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Book of Extended summaries ISDA

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International Conference on Reimagining Rainfed Agro-ecosystems: Challenges &<br />

Opportunities during 22-24, December 2022 at ICAR-CRIDA, Hyderabad<br />

Projected run<strong>of</strong>f and soil losses (% increase over baseline) under low to high<br />

emission climate change scenarios in different IFS based hilly micro-watersheds<br />

(HMWs)<br />

HMWs<br />

4 RCPs<br />

Baseline<br />

Projected annual soil loss<br />

% change (+) w.r.t. baseline<br />

t ha -1 yr -1 2020s 2050s 2080s<br />

Forest (HMW 1) Mean # 15.40 14.5 11.2 28.9<br />

Shifting cultivation (HMW 2) Mean # 39.54 68.4 94.4 150.4<br />

Livestock with fodder (HMW 3) Mean # 33.14 11.5 15.1 61.1<br />

Agr<strong>of</strong>orestry (HMW 4) Mean # 26.66 17.5 20.2 40.4<br />

Agri-horti-silvi-pastoral (HMW 5) Mean # 29.17 21.6 22.1 44.4<br />

Horticulture (HMW 6) Mean # 21.65 15.4 16.8 35.5<br />

#<br />

: Average over 4 RCPs (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5).<br />

Conclusion<br />

The results from the measured data suggest that cultivation in IFS mode (especially<br />

Agr<strong>of</strong>orestry and Horticulture) can reduce annual run<strong>of</strong>f and soil loss by over 10-15%<br />

relative to dense forests. This decline is attributable to the stability <strong>of</strong> land use practices and<br />

the adoption <strong>of</strong> SWCMs, specifically the combination <strong>of</strong> terracing, contour Bund, and grass<br />

waterways together than the only contour bunding in the IFS based on forage and livestock<br />

(HMW 3). Soil erosion projected in the CMIP5 climate change projections for four PCRs has<br />

shown an upward trend for future periods (2020, 2050 and 2080). The maximum SE was<br />

estimated in the shifting cultivation-based IFS (HMW 2) while the lowest was in forestry<br />

followed by horticulture and agr<strong>of</strong>orestry. Therefore, it is recommended to promote IFS<br />

models based on horticulture and Agr<strong>of</strong>orestry with SWCMs on steep slopes to control soil<br />

erosion while providing food and nutritional security. Mulching or installing underground<br />

drainage as adaptation strategies may make these cultivated IFS models more climate<br />

resilient.<br />

References<br />

Choudhury, B.U., Ansari, M.A., Chakraborty, M., and Meetei, T.T. 2021. Effect <strong>of</strong> land-use change<br />

along altitudinal gradients on soil micronutrients in the mountain ecosystem <strong>of</strong> Indian (Eastern)<br />

Himalaya. Sci. Rep. 11, 14279.<br />

Choudhury, B. U., Nengzouzam, G., Ansari, M. A., and Islam, A. 2022. Causes and consequences <strong>of</strong><br />

soil erosion in northeastern Himalaya, India. Curr. Sci. 122(7), 1–18.<br />

Lobo, G. P., and Bonilla, C. A., Predicting soil loss and sediment characteristics at the plot and field<br />

scales: Model description and first verifications. Catena. 172, 113–124.<br />

Pijl, A., Lara, E. H., Quarella, E. R., Vogel, T. A., and Tarolli, P., GIS-based soil erosion modelling<br />

under various steep-slope vineyard practices. Catena, 2020, 193, 104604.<br />

292 | Page<br />

Climate resilient agriculture for risk mitigation

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