2022 Year in Review

The Year in Review is YDS’ biggest and most exciting publication of the year - featuring analysis that covers the most significant and impactful events that have shaped our world. The 2022 Year in Review explores key events in all regions, from the overturning of Roe v Wade, the war in Ukraine, and the UK leadership crisis, this year’s edition is not one to miss! Read it now ! The Year in Review is YDS’ biggest and most exciting publication of the year - featuring analysis that covers the most significant and impactful events that have shaped our world.

The 2022 Year in Review explores key events in all regions, from the overturning of Roe v Wade, the war in Ukraine, and the UK leadership crisis, this year’s edition is not one to miss!

Read it now !

theyoungdiplomats
from theyoungdiplomats More from this publisher
19.12.2022 Views

P H O T O B Y A N N W A N G / R E U T E R SSTRATEGICAMBIGUITY –A COLD WARFOSSILThe coming years are crucial indetermining Taiwan’s future. Theisland stands at a cross-roads, withthe direction to be determined inWashington D.C. Will Taiwanpersevere as a free democracy, orwill the world witness anothervibrant liberal society atrophy intothe abyss of Chinese totalitarianism?Samuel NgP A G E 9 4

Taiwan’s situation is tricky to say the least, and the American position regarding itsdefence obligations is not any less complicated. Taiwan has been an internationalanomaly since 1949 when the Republic of China (ROC) government fled the mainlandonto the island. The 1952 San Francisco Treaty further complicated the island’s legalstatus when Japan renounced its sovereignty over Formosa without designating inwhose favour the renouncement was directed.ACKNOWLEDGE VS RECOGNISEThe People’s Republic of China (PRC) has adamantly claimed sovereignty over Taiwanand has coerced nations, institutions, and businesses to adhere to its ‘One ChinaPrinciple’. Western nations, including Australia, “acknowledge” but do not “recognise”the PRC’s claim over Taiwan. Here’s the complication: to recognise is to understandsomething as a fact or truth, or to declare a belief in. To acknowledge is to admitknowledge of something. In practice, this translates to countries like the UnitedStates and the United Kingdom saying, “yes we know the PRC claims Taiwan”, and not“the PRC claims Taiwan period”.Although it may seem semantical or a mere twist on words, this disparity between“acknowledge” and “recognise” makes a world of difference, as it provides the UnitedStates and others with room to manoeuvre and formulate policy with ambiguousdefence obligations regarding Taiwan.STRATEGIC AMBIGUITY HAS EXPIREDStrategic ambiguity, at its core, assumes that shrouding the US’ policy vis-a-vis aninvasion would minimise the probability of war and decrease the PRC’s willingness toinvade. But even apologists of the existing policy have admitted that the approach nolonger deters China effectively, as Beijing’s strength and military build-up hasstretched beyond American predictions and expectations.Developed in the 1970s, strategic ambiguity was formed when the US wasattempting to cleave the PRC away from the USSR and required a strong yet vaguepolicy regarding Chinese ambitions towards Taiwan.P A G E 9 5

Taiwan’s situation is tricky to say the least, and the American position regarding its

defence obligations is not any less complicated. Taiwan has been an international

anomaly since 1949 when the Republic of China (ROC) government fled the mainland

onto the island. The 1952 San Francisco Treaty further complicated the island’s legal

status when Japan renounced its sovereignty over Formosa without designating in

whose favour the renouncement was directed.

ACKNOWLEDGE VS RECOGNISE

The People’s Republic of China (PRC) has adamantly claimed sovereignty over Taiwan

and has coerced nations, institutions, and businesses to adhere to its ‘One China

Principle’. Western nations, including Australia, “acknowledge” but do not “recognise”

the PRC’s claim over Taiwan. Here’s the complication: to recognise is to understand

something as a fact or truth, or to declare a belief in. To acknowledge is to admit

knowledge of something. In practice, this translates to countries like the United

States and the United Kingdom saying, “yes we know the PRC claims Taiwan”, and not

“the PRC claims Taiwan period”.

Although it may seem semantical or a mere twist on words, this disparity between

“acknowledge” and “recognise” makes a world of difference, as it provides the United

States and others with room to manoeuvre and formulate policy with ambiguous

defence obligations regarding Taiwan.

STRATEGIC AMBIGUITY HAS EXPIRED

Strategic ambiguity, at its core, assumes that shrouding the US’ policy vis-a-vis an

invasion would minimise the probability of war and decrease the PRC’s willingness to

invade. But even apologists of the existing policy have admitted that the approach no

longer deters China effectively, as Beijing’s strength and military build-up has

stretched beyond American predictions and expectations.

Developed in the 1970s, strategic ambiguity was formed when the US was

attempting to cleave the PRC away from the USSR and required a strong yet vague

policy regarding Chinese ambitions towards Taiwan.

P A G E 9 5

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!