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Theory of Knowledge - Course Companion for Students Marija Uzunova Dang Arvin Singh Uzunov Dang

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1798, Thomas Malthus argued that human

in

would end in misery because of unchecked

life

growth. His logic seemed

consumption

resources were finite, while needs

inescapable:

wants were growing quickly—but then

and

technology.

came

sets of predictions are yet to come

Both

the “Limits to Growth” thesis has

true—but

much more popular in the 21st century.

become

groups of scientists have observed

Independent

contemporary data suggest we are on the

that

predicted by the MIT team. How do

trajectory

know this? It is possible of course, to look

they

the details of their methodology but, for the

at

else can we do to measure and move towards

What

matters in the Anthropocene? To begin with,

what

can identify and agree on the things that matter,

we

find ways to measure them. Ecological impact,

and

can be asked about the power and

questions

of predictive knowledge.

validity

1. What counts as evidence for the accuracy of

If experts suggest different courses of

2.

based on different predictions, which

action

Given the complexity of the calculations

3.

predictive knowledge about the

underlying

of the world, what is the role of trust in

state

this knowledge?

communicating

Does predictive knowledge bestow

4.

responsibilities on those who

special

and the living standards of typical

wellbeing,

have all been put forward as important

people

that are more feasible than they might

indicators

seem.

IV. Ethics

IV. Ethics

a prediction?

can we use to judge which one is

criteria

reliable?

more

purposes of analysis in TOK, more general

produce it?

Figure 8.7

The planetary

boundaries (www.anthropocene.info)

245

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