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COMMENT<br />

Editor:<br />

David Chadwick<br />

(cad.user@btc.co.uk)<br />

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Comment<br />

Water, water, everywhere....<br />

by David Chadwick<br />

But not where you want it! It has been<br />

a year of extremes, not all of which<br />

can be attributed to the current<br />

situation in Ukraine, but certainly<br />

exacerbating the fallout from the region.<br />

As a harbinger of the future, the evolving<br />

catastrophic consequences of water<br />

mismanagement are beginning to be felt<br />

on a global basis, from massive droughts<br />

and water shortages in many countries,<br />

the depletion of water reserves in<br />

reservoirs, to unprecedented floods<br />

across the globe.<br />

In an attempt to fathom - no pun intended<br />

- the reasons why a world whose surface is<br />

71% water should start to present itself as<br />

a problem, we need to look at how it is<br />

distributed. Apparently 96.5% of that is salt<br />

water in the oceans, and only 3.5% is<br />

locked up in glaciers, ice caps (mostly at<br />

69%) and freshwater lakes. That's still a lot,<br />

as if you could flatten out the mountains<br />

and melt all the ice, sea levels would rise to<br />

an altitude of 2.7km!<br />

So why are we short of water and why,<br />

when it does rain, it absolutely pours? We<br />

saw the results of persistent drought in<br />

this country with the fields turning brown<br />

and crops withering. I particularly noticed<br />

the absence of cattle and sheep on the<br />

local fields and presumed they were<br />

eating the sileage from last year back on<br />

the farm and depleting their winter rations.<br />

The extremes in this country were mild,<br />

though, compared to the devastation<br />

occurring elsewhere.<br />

In the developed world, the drought and<br />

extreme heat is estimated to have cut<br />

production by around 20%, but due to the<br />

disparity between the extensive<br />

agricultural methods used in the<br />

developed world compared to third world<br />

countries, the impact is thought be less<br />

severe in the latter. It exacerbates,<br />

however, the decline in grain exports from<br />

the Ukrainian bread-basket.<br />

That is now. The future is less certain, but<br />

we do know that rising populations in the<br />

Third World and increasing urbanisation<br />

are going to make the current situation<br />

seem like a summer holiday compared to<br />

the climactic conditions we will face in the<br />

future. Water management is as significant<br />

a factor in managing the Earth's changing<br />

ecosystem as Net Zero Carbon and global<br />

warming, and current measures to<br />

improve its sourcing and control are<br />

merely the thin end of the wedge.<br />

One of the articles in this issue looks at<br />

the use of Bentley's OpenFlows<br />

WaterSight risk mitigation application to<br />

increase the efficiency of water distribution<br />

to households and businesses in given<br />

areas. It uses analytical tools to evaluate,<br />

simulate and control water networks<br />

based on digital twin-based data models.<br />

It could bring up to date the more<br />

traditional methods of management used<br />

by local water authorities in this country.<br />

The supply of water, though, is just one<br />

part of the equation. High temperatures<br />

that normally accompany droughts<br />

evaporate moisture from the soil and<br />

compact it so that subsequent storms<br />

merely run off violently flooding roads,<br />

towns and water courses and invariably<br />

wasted, instead of refreshing the soil and<br />

filling up depleted reservoirs.<br />

There has, naturally, been a great deal of<br />

comment on the drought, and the use of<br />

hosepipe and other bans on water usage<br />

to mitigate its effects. There has been<br />

precious little discussion, however, about<br />

the long-term possibilities of water<br />

shortage due to climate change and the<br />

steps needed to cope with them. Perhaps<br />

it's time for the water companies to stop<br />

counting their bonuses and step up their<br />

plans for real risk mitigation. I would be<br />

delighted to see Bentley's OpenFlows<br />

meet this challenge by extending its<br />

analytics to cover global events.<br />

4 <strong>Sep</strong>tember/<strong>Oct</strong>ober 2022

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