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CFA III, Session 14 2022

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PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT<br />

Reading 33: Portfolio Management for Institutional Investors<br />

Reading 34: Trading, Performance Evaluation and Manager Selection


33a) Discuss common characteristics of institutional investors as a group.<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

Scale<br />

AUM size improves access, capabilities, and trading costs.<br />

Long-term Horizon<br />

Generally has benefit commitment; e.g., endowment, pension plan.<br />

Regulatory Frameworks<br />

Various jurisdictional frameworks that vary in complexity.<br />

Governance<br />

Clearly defined investment model and governance.<br />

Principal-Agent Issues<br />

Less incentive because they work for a principal rather than themselves.


33b) Discuss investment policy of institutional investors.<br />

Institutional<br />

investors<br />

• Mission, objectives<br />

• Approaches to SAA<br />

DB Pension Plan<br />

100% funded ratio; return target for<br />

assets greater than liabilities (i.e.,<br />

overfunded portion).<br />

Risk: surplus volatility.<br />

Banks/Insurance<br />

Maximize NPV of net assets while<br />

managing funding risk.<br />

Risk: VaR, CVaR, outcome of stress tests.<br />

Mission<br />

Endowment Fund<br />

Maintain real purchasing power<br />

while funding its institution.<br />

Risk: Volatility of total returns.<br />

Sovereign Wealth<br />

Much like an endowment.<br />

Risk: Investment or purchasing power losses.


33b) Discuss investment policy of institutional investors.<br />

Investment Approach Description/characterization Pros Cons<br />

Norway Model<br />

Traditional style, 60%/40% equity/fixed-income Low cost, transparent, Limited value-added potential.<br />

allocation, few alternatives, largely passive investments, suitable for large scale, easy<br />

tight tracking error limits, and benchmark as a starting for board to understand.<br />

position.<br />

Endowment Model<br />

High alternatives exposure, active management and<br />

outsourcing.<br />

High value-added potential.<br />

Expensive and difficult to implement<br />

for most sovereign wealth funds<br />

because of their large asset sizes, so<br />

they struggle to come down to niches.<br />

Canada Model<br />

High alternatives exposure, active management, and<br />

insourcing.<br />

High value-added potential<br />

and development of internal<br />

capabilities.<br />

Potentially expensive and difficult to<br />

manage.<br />

LDI Model<br />

Focus on hedging liabilities and interest rate risk<br />

including via duration-matched, fixed-income exposure.<br />

A growth component in the return-generating portfolio is<br />

also typical (exceptions being bank and insurance<br />

company portfolios).<br />

Explicit recognition of<br />

liabilities as part of the<br />

investment process.<br />

Certain risks (e.g., longevity risk,<br />

inflation risk) may not be hedged.


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors (pension funds, endowment funds, banks/insurance, SWFs)<br />

Characteristics Defined Benefit Pension Plan Defined Contribution Pension Plan<br />

Benefit payments<br />

Defined by a contract between the employee and the pension<br />

plan (payouts are often calculated as a percentage of salary).<br />

Benefit payouts are determined by the performance of investments<br />

selected by the participant.<br />

Contributions<br />

The employer is the primary contributor, though the employee<br />

may contribute as well. The size of contributions is driven by<br />

several key factors, including performance of investments<br />

selected by the pension fund.<br />

The employee is typically the primary contributor—although the<br />

employer may contribute as well or may have a legal obligation to<br />

contribute a percentage of the employee’s salary.<br />

Investment decision<br />

making<br />

The pension fund determines how much to save and what to<br />

invest in to meet the plan objectives.<br />

The employee determines how much to save and what to invest in to<br />

meet his/her objectives (from the available menu of investment<br />

vehicles selected by the plan sponsor).<br />

Investment risk<br />

Mortality/Longevity risk<br />

The employer bears the risk that the liabilities are not met and<br />

may be required to make additional contributions to meet any<br />

shortfall.<br />

The employee bears the risk of not meeting his/her objectives for this<br />

account in terms of funding retirement.<br />

Mortality risk is pooled. If a beneficiary passes away early, The employee bears the risk of not meeting his/her longevity risk<br />

he/she typically leaves a portion of unpaid benefits in the pool objectives for this account in terms of funding retirement.<br />

offsetting additional benefit payments required by beneficiaries<br />

that live longer than expected (mortality credits)<br />

As a result, the individual does not bear any of the risk of<br />

outliving his/her retirement benefits.


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors (pension funds, endowment funds, banks/insurance, SWFs)<br />

Stakeholders DBP Funds DCP Funds SWFs University<br />

Endowments<br />

Private<br />

Foundations<br />

Plan sponsors Employer Employer Alumni Donors<br />

Plan<br />

beneficiaries<br />

Employees and<br />

retirees<br />

Board INVESCOM INVESCOM<br />

Financiers<br />

Investment<br />

Managers<br />

Customers<br />

Rating agencies<br />

Regulators/gov’t<br />

Others<br />

Employees Citizens Current and future<br />

students<br />

Grant recipients<br />

Banks<br />

Shareholders<br />

and lenders<br />

CIO et al CIO et al Asset-Liability<br />

Committee<br />

Government,<br />

unions<br />

Plan sponsor<br />

Government Government University<br />

community<br />

Depositors,<br />

borrowers.<br />

S&P, Fitch,<br />

etc.<br />

Insurers<br />

Shareholders<br />

and lenders<br />

Policy holders,<br />

derivative<br />

counter parties.<br />

S&P, Fitch, etc.


Factor<br />

Service/tenure<br />

Salary/earnings<br />

Additional or matching<br />

contributions<br />

33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors (pension funds, endowment funds, banks/insurance, SWFs)<br />

Liquidity Needs of DBP Funds A function of liabilities: Factors Affecting DCP Liabilities<br />

Employer contribution = Liability<br />

Factors Affecting Defined Benefit Liabilities<br />

Impact on Liabilities<br />

Depending on plan design, often the longer the period of<br />

service or tenure, the larger the benefit payments.<br />

The faster salaries or earnings grow, the larger the<br />

benefit payments.<br />

Additional or matching contributions are often rewarded<br />

by a step change increase in benefit payments.<br />

Investment in Alternative<br />

Investments<br />

% of active employees<br />

relative to retirees<br />

Age of workforce<br />

Liquidity risk if any event causes a significant<br />

proportion of its participants to exit the plan.<br />

Liquidity Needs<br />

More retirees →Higher liquidity needs.<br />

Frozen DB face negative CF →Higher liquidity<br />

Open mature plans →Lower liquidity needs.<br />

Older age → Higher liquidity needs<br />

Mortality/Longevity<br />

assumptions<br />

If life expectancy increases, the obligations or liabilities<br />

will increase.<br />

DB plan funded status<br />

Well funded →plan sponsor may reduce<br />

contributions→ Higher liquidity needs<br />

Expected Vesting<br />

If employee turnover decreases, expected vesting will<br />

increase.<br />

Ability to switch/withdraw<br />

from plan<br />

Easy → Higher liquidity needs<br />

Expected Investment<br />

Returns<br />

In some cases, increases in expected returns will result in<br />

a higher discount rate being used—hence, lower<br />

obligations or liabilities.<br />

Both DBP and DCF<br />

Long investment horizon<br />

Discount Rate<br />

A higher (lower) discount rate results in lower (higher)<br />

liabilities.


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors (pension funds, endowment funds, banks/insurance, SWFs)<br />

Comparing DB and DC Pension Plans<br />

Geoff Albright is 35 years old and has been working at Henley<br />

Consulting in Melbourne, Australia, for 10 years. Henley<br />

Consulting offers a defined benefit (DB) pension plan for its<br />

employees. The defined benefit plan is fully funded. Geoff<br />

Albright’s benefit formula for monthly payments upon retirement<br />

is: final monthly salary × benefit percentage (=1.5%) × number<br />

of years of service, where final monthly salary equals his<br />

average monthly earnings for the last three financial years<br />

immediately prior to retirement date. Having been at Henley<br />

Consulting for 10 years, his benefits have vested and can be<br />

transferred to another pension plan.<br />

Current Employer (DBP)<br />

Benefit payments • Transferable to Horizon<br />

• Linked to years of service and<br />

final salary.<br />

• Increase by time employed as<br />

well as by growth in his wages.<br />

Consider capacity to grow wages<br />

Job offer: Horizon (DCP)<br />

Uncertain, linked to the company’s<br />

and his contribution rates and<br />

performance of plan assets.<br />

Compares capacity to grow wages<br />

to the return objectives of his<br />

chosen option: Horizon Growth.<br />

Contributions Contribution rate is not known Contribution rate is also known<br />

(15% of annual salary)<br />

Geoff has been offered a job at rival Australian firm, Horizon<br />

Ventures Consulting, which is offering a similar salary; however,<br />

Horizon Ventures Consulting offers a defined contribution (DC)<br />

pension plan for its employees. Horizon Ventures Consulting will<br />

pay 15% of annual salary into the plan each year. Employees<br />

can choose to invest in one of three diversified portfolios offered<br />

by the plan sponsor—Horizon Growth, Horizon Balanced, and<br />

Horizon Conservative—based upon their risk appetite, and<br />

employees can elect to make additional contributions to the<br />

plan. The monthly pension payments will depend on what has<br />

accumulated in Geoff’s account when he retires.<br />

Discuss the features that Geoff should consider in<br />

evaluating the two plans.<br />

Shortfall risk<br />

Mortality/longevity<br />

risks<br />

Plan is fully-funded, and Henley<br />

obligation to maintain funded<br />

status.<br />

Pools mortality risk, those in the<br />

pool who die prematurely leave<br />

assets that help fund benefit<br />

payments for those who live longer<br />

than expected (mortality credit)<br />

Can also make additional<br />

contributions himself<br />

depends on the contribution rate<br />

(15% from the company plus any<br />

additional contributions he<br />

chooses to make) and the<br />

performance of his chosen<br />

investments.<br />

Pays out the amount accumulated<br />

in Geoff’s account, and he bears<br />

the risk of outliving his savings.


33d) Describe the focus of legal, regulatory, and tax constraints affecting different types of institutional investors.<br />

Legal and<br />

regulatory<br />

constraints<br />

Breach<br />

Regulation<br />

varies per<br />

country<br />

Regulatory bodies typically cover:<br />

• Financial services licensing and regulation,<br />

• Prudential supervision,<br />

• Capital adequacy,<br />

• Market integrity, and<br />

• Consumer protection.<br />

Loss of operating licenses and/or loss of tax benefits,<br />

Minimum and maximum percentage allocations to certain<br />

asset classes<br />

Minimum contribution rate by employers, particularly if<br />

the plan’s funded ratio falls below 100%.<br />

Extensive reporting, not only on direct investment fees<br />

and costs incurred by pension plans but also on indirect<br />

fees and costs of external commingled vehicles.<br />

Governments<br />

encourage<br />

retirement<br />

savings<br />

Tax<br />

constraints<br />

Examples<br />

• Reduced taxes on retirement plan contributions,<br />

• Favorable tax rates on investment income and/or<br />

capital gains, and<br />

• Lower tax rates on benefit payments throughout<br />

retirement (v higher taxes on lump sum payments).<br />

Governments typically place restrictions on plan design,<br />

governance, and investment activities in order for plans<br />

to qualify for the favorable tax treatment.<br />

Plans are tax deferred, make pre-tax contributions and<br />

pay no tax on investment earnings.<br />

Benefit payments are taxed as ordinary income and early<br />

withdrawal taxed higher.<br />

Favorable capital gains tax treatment for investments<br />

held over 1 year incentivizes investing in lower turnover<br />

strategies.<br />

Provide investor education to employees, DC plan<br />

trustees, as fiduciaries, are still required to operate with<br />

prudence and as if they were the asset owners.<br />

Pension fund returns from derivatives are taxed at higher<br />

rates than returns from underlying securities.<br />

US regulates vesting, funding requirements, and<br />

payouts, including a fiduciary code of conduct and<br />

required disclosures, even discount rates.<br />

To reduce risk of double taxation in international<br />

investments, pension plans should invest via legal<br />

structures that provide access to double taxation treaties.


US—PRIVATE<br />

US—PUBLIC<br />

33d) Describe the focus of legal, regulatory, and tax constraints affecting different types of institutional investors.<br />

Pension Plans—Accounting Considerations—US Example<br />

• Overfunded (underfunded) plan must appear<br />

as an asset (liability) on the sponsor’s<br />

balance sheet.<br />

• Plan sponsor must report gains, losses, and<br />

service costs of the plan as part of net<br />

income.<br />

• Assets—Fair market values<br />

• Liabilities—Blended approach<br />

• Funded portion discounted using expected<br />

return on plan assets.<br />

• Unfunded portion discounted using (lower)<br />

yield on tax-exempt municipal bonds.<br />

Accounting treatment drives a sponsor’s investment decision making.


33e) Evaluate risk considerations of private DB pension plans in relation to 1) plan funded status, 2) sponsor financial strength, 3)<br />

interactions between the sponsor’s business and the fund’s investments, 4) plan design, and 5) workforce characteristics.<br />

Factors Affecting Risk Tolerance and Risk Objectives of Defined Benefit Plans<br />

Category Variable Explanation<br />

Plan status • Plan funded status (surplus or deficit) • Higher pension surplus or higher funded status implies potentially<br />

greater risk tolerance.<br />

Sponsor financial status and<br />

profitability<br />

• Debt to total assets<br />

• Current and expected profitability<br />

• Size of plan compared to market capitalization of<br />

sponsor company<br />

• Lower debt ratios and higher current and expected profitability imply<br />

greater risk tolerance.<br />

• Large sponsor company size relative to pension plan size implies<br />

greater risk tolerance.<br />

Sponsor and pension fund<br />

common risk exposures<br />

• Correlation of sponsor operating results with pension<br />

asset returns.<br />

• The lower the correlation, the greater the risk tolerance, all else<br />

equal.<br />

Plan features • Provision for early retirement<br />

• Provision for lump-sum distributions<br />

• Such options tend to reduce the duration of plan liabilities, implying<br />

lower risk tolerance, all else equal.<br />

Workforce characteristics • Age of workforce<br />

• Active lives relative to retired lives<br />

• The younger the workforce and the greater the proportion of active<br />

lives, the greater the duration of plan liabilities and the greater the<br />

risk tolerance.


33e) Evaluate risk considerations of private DB pension plans in relation to 1) plan funded status, 2) sponsor financial strength, 3)<br />

interactions between the sponsor’s business and the fund’s investments, 4) plan design, and 5) workforce characteristics.<br />

Andes Sports Equipment Corporation—Defined Benefit Plan<br />

Frank Smit, <strong>CFA</strong>, is chief financial officer of Andes Sports Equipment<br />

Company (ADSE), a leading Dutch producer of winter and water sports gear.<br />

ADSE is a small company based in Amsterdam, and all of its revenues come<br />

from Europe. Product demand has been strong in the past few years, although<br />

it is highly cyclical. The company has rising earnings and a strong (low debt)<br />

balance sheet. ADSE is a relatively young company, and as such, its defined<br />

benefit pension plan has no retired employees. This essentially active-lives<br />

plan has €100 million in assets and an €8 million surplus in relation to the<br />

projected benefit obligation (PBO). Several facts concerning the plan follow:<br />

Smit must set risk objectives for the ADSE pension plan. Because of<br />

excellent recent investment results, ADSE has not needed to make a<br />

contribution to the pension fund in the two most recent years.<br />

Smit considers it very important to maintain a plan surplus in relation to<br />

PBO. Because an €8 million surplus will be an increasingly small buffer<br />

as plan liabilities increase, Smit decides that maintaining plan funded<br />

status, stated as a ratio of plan assets to PBO at 100 percent or<br />

greater, is his top priority.<br />

2. State an appropriate risk objective for ADSE.<br />

a) The duration of the plan’s liabilities (all Europe-based) is 20 years.<br />

b) The discount rate applied to these liabilities is 6 percent.<br />

c) The average age of ADSE’s workforce is 39 years.<br />

1. Based on the information provided, discuss ADSE’s risk tolerance.<br />

Funded status<br />

Balance sheet<br />

Profitability<br />

Average age of<br />

workforce<br />

Above average or high risk tolerance:<br />

8% of plan assets: overfunded by €8 million.<br />

Strong, low use of debt<br />

Rising earnings despite operating in a cyclical industry.<br />

39 years, low [no retired employees]<br />

Shortfall risk<br />

Important to maintain a plan surplus in relation to PBO<br />

Example 1 • The probability that funded status falls below 100<br />

percent to be ≤10 percent.<br />

Example 2 • Minimize the present value of expected cash<br />

contributions.<br />

If a plan surplus is maintained, more years without need<br />

for contribution.


33f) Prepare the investment objectives section of an institutional investor’s investment policy statement.<br />

33g) Evaluate the investment policy statement of an institutional investor.<br />

33h) Evaluate the investment portfolio of a private DB plan, sovereign wealth fund, university endowment, and private foundation.<br />

Sample Investment Objectives of Different Pension Plans<br />

Corporate DC Pension Plan:<br />

Public DB Pension Plan:<br />

1. The assets of Public Plan will be invested with the objective of<br />

achieving a long-term rate of return that meets or exceeds the Public<br />

Plan actuarial expected rate of return.<br />

2. Public Plan will seek to maximize returns for the level of risk taken.<br />

3. Public Plan will also seek to achieve a return that exceeds the Policy<br />

Index.<br />

4. Public Plan will seek to achieve its objectives on an after fees basis.<br />

Corporate DB Pension Plan:<br />

The Trustee wishes to ensure that the Corporate Plan can meet its<br />

obligations to the beneficiaries while recognizing the cost implications to the<br />

Company of pursuing excessively conservative investment strategies.<br />

The objectives of the Plan are defined as: wishing to maximize the longterm<br />

return on investments subject to, in its opinion, an acceptably low<br />

likelihood of failing to achieve an ongoing 105% funding level.<br />

The Fund currently offers a range of investment options to its<br />

participants and has adopted an age-based default strategy for<br />

participants who do not choose an investment option.<br />

The investment strategy of the Fund is to put in place portfolios to<br />

achieve the objectives of its stakeholders over a reasonable period of<br />

time with a reasonable probability of success.<br />

In establishing each option’s investment objectives, the Trustee takes<br />

into account the average participant’s age, account balance, and risk<br />

appetite. The participant’s choice of investment option indicates his/her<br />

risk appetite.<br />

For example, a participants selecting the growth option indicates a<br />

higher risk tolerance over a longer investment time horizon.<br />

The investment objective for the growth option is to build an<br />

investment portfolio to outperform inflation + 4% per annum over 7-<br />

year periods while accepting a high level of risk that is expected to<br />

generate 4–6 negative annual returns over any 20-year period.


33f) Prepare the investment objectives section of an institutional investor’s investment policy statement.<br />

33g) Evaluate the investment policy statement of an institutional investor.<br />

33h) Evaluate the investment portfolio of a private DB plan, sovereign wealth fund, university endowment, and private foundation.<br />

Asset Allocation by a Public Defined Benefit Plan<br />

Susan Liew, <strong>CFA</strong>, is the chief investment officer of the Lorenza State Pension<br />

Plan (LSPP), a public DB plan. The plan maintains an asset allocation of 30%<br />

US equities, 30% international equities, 30% US fixed income, and 10%<br />

international fixed income. Liew’s investment team developed the following longterm<br />

expected real returns for the asset classes in which the LSPP has<br />

traditionally invested. The outlook for US and international equities is slightly<br />

below long-term averages, while the outlook for US and international fixed<br />

income is well below long-term averages.<br />

Given the poor prospects for fixed income and the mediocre expectations for<br />

equities, Liew is exploring making allocations to various alternatives.<br />

How will the change in SAA (next slide) affect LSPP’s funded status?<br />

E®↑<br />

Liabilities↓<br />

Funded status↑<br />

Volatility of<br />

assets↓<br />

Liquidity↓<br />

Manager<br />

selection (MS)<br />

risk<br />

Higher expected asset values over time.<br />

AIs have higher projected long-term returns than<br />

traditional debt/equities, the discount rate applied to<br />

liabilities can be increased →reducing their PV<br />

On balance, funded status would improve.<br />

Risk to funded status should be reduced because of<br />

the lower correlation among asset returns.<br />

AIs reduce liquidity, no impact on FS, but must be<br />

considered to sufficient cover prospective liabilities.<br />

AIs entail greater MS risk and larger dispersion of<br />

returns around the policy benchmark relative to a<br />

passive allocation to public markets. Careful manager<br />

selection require resources that would increase<br />

internal costs, and also require paying higher fees


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors (pension funds, SWFs, endowment funds, banks/insurance)<br />

SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS<br />

TYPES AND STAKEHOLDERS<br />

Type Objective Examples<br />

Budget stabilization<br />

funds (BSFs)<br />

Development funds<br />

(DFs)<br />

Savings funds (SFs)<br />

Reserve funds (RFs)<br />

Pension reserve funds<br />

(PRFs)<br />

Set up to insulate the budget and economy from commodity price<br />

volatility and external shocks.<br />

Established to allocate resources to priority socio-economic<br />

projects, usually infrastructure.<br />

Intended to share wealth across generations by transforming nonrenewable<br />

assets into diversified financial assets.<br />

Intended to reduce the negative carry costs of holding foreign<br />

currency reserves or to earn higher return on ample reserves.<br />

Set up to meet identified future outflows with respect to pensionrelated<br />

contingent-type liabilities on governments’ balance sheets.<br />

• Economic and Social Stabilization Fund of<br />

Chile.<br />

• Timor-Leste Petroleum Fund.<br />

• Russia’s Oil Stabilization Fund.<br />

• Mubadala (UAE).<br />

• Iran’s National Development Fund.<br />

• Ireland Strategic Investment Fund.<br />

• Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.<br />

• Kuwait Investment Authority.<br />

• Qatar Investment Authority.<br />

• Russia’s National Wealth Fund.<br />

• China Investment Corporation.<br />

• Korea Investment Corporation.<br />

• GIC Private Ltd. (Singapore).<br />

• National Social Security Fund (China).<br />

• New Zealand Superannuation Fund.<br />

• Future Fund of Australia.


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors (pension funds, SWFs, endowment funds, banks/insurance)<br />

SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS<br />

TYPES AND STAKEHOLDERS<br />

Wealth Managers


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors (pension funds, SWFs, endowment funds, banks/insurance)<br />

SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS<br />

LIABILITIES AND INVESTMENT HORIZONS<br />

Budget<br />

Stabilization<br />

(BSFs)<br />

Development<br />

Funds (DFs)<br />

Savings Funds<br />

(SFs)<br />

Reserve<br />

(RFs)<br />

Pension Reserve<br />

(PRFs)<br />

• Shorterm Risk<br />

management<br />

• Increase<br />

productivity and<br />

real GDP over time<br />

• Transform S-T<br />

resource wealth to<br />

trans-generational<br />

financial wealth<br />

• Redeploy foreign<br />

currency reserves<br />

• Prefund future<br />

benefits<br />

• Uncertain liabilities<br />

• Relatively short<br />

horizon<br />

• Uncertain liabilities<br />

• Project-based<br />

horizons (e.g.<br />

infrastructure)<br />

• Uncertain n/a<br />

• Absolute or<br />

benchmark return<br />

driven<br />

• Liabilities are<br />

monetary<br />

stabilization bonds<br />

• Need greater<br />

liquidity for<br />

unpredictable<br />

health costs than<br />

for retirement<br />

• Long-term horizon<br />

• Very long horizon


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors.<br />

33d) Describe the focus of legal, regulatory, and tax constraints affecting different types of institutional investors.<br />

SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS<br />

LEGAL AND REGULATORY<br />

Mission<br />

Contributions<br />

Withdrawal permissions<br />

Governance structure<br />

Asset allocation (some jurisdictions)<br />

Transparency/accountability<br />

IFSWF members adhere to best<br />

practices that promote:<br />

• A well-defined mission,<br />

• Ethics and professionalism,<br />

• Transparency,<br />

• Accountability,<br />

• Independence,<br />

• Disclosure, and compliance.<br />

SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS<br />

TAX CONSTRAINTS<br />

SWFs receive tax-exempt status inside the country they benefit.<br />

Some regulators recognize tax-exempt status for SWFs; others tax SWFs similar to other taxable investors.


33f) Prepare the investment objectives section of an institutional investor’s investment policy statement.<br />

33g) Evaluate the investment policy statement of an institutional investor.<br />

33h) Evaluate the investment portfolio of a private DB plan, SWF, university endowment, and private foundation.<br />

SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS<br />

OBJECTIVES<br />

Budget Stabilization Funds (BSFs)<br />

Reserve Funds (RFs)<br />

“Capital preservation; real return with low probability of<br />

losses.”<br />

“Rate of return exceeding interest rate on monetary<br />

stabilization bonds.”<br />

Development Funds (DFs)<br />

Pension Reserve Funds (PRFs)<br />

“Real return in excess of real GDP and productivity growth.”<br />

Savings Funds (SFs)<br />

“Rate of return sufficient to defease future healthcare and<br />

pension liabilities.”<br />

“Perpetual real return sufficient to support ongoing<br />

governmental activities.”


33f) Prepare the investment objectives section of an institutional investor’s investment policy statement.<br />

33g) Evaluate the investment policy statement of an institutional investor.<br />

33h) Evaluate the investment portfolio of a private DB plan, SWF, university endowment, and private foundation.<br />

The People’s Fund of Wigitania—A Pension Reserve Fund<br />

The People’s Fund is a pension reserve fund established by the government<br />

of Wigitania by setting aside current government surpluses. Its objective is to<br />

meet future unfunded social security payments caused by an aging population.<br />

The following is an extract from the People’s Fund IPS.<br />

Effective from 2030, the government will have the ability to withdraw assets to<br />

meet pension and social security liabilities falling due each year. Actuarial<br />

projections estimate annual payouts to be about 5% of the total fund value at<br />

that time. Given this level of cash flow, the Fund is expected to maintain most<br />

of its asset base for the foreseeable future. As such, 2030 does not represent<br />

an ‘end date’ for measurement purposes. A long-term investment horizon<br />

remains appropriate at present. However, the appropriate timeframe, risk<br />

tolerance, portfolio construction and liquidity profile may change.<br />

1. What are the liquidity needs of the People’s Fund?<br />

2. What factors does the Board need to consider when reviewing<br />

the Fund’s investment horizon?<br />

Board should consider two separate phases when reviewing the<br />

Fund’s investment horizon and investment policy:<br />

1 Accumulation phase - Lasts until 2030:<br />

• Investing with little to no liquidity needs; and<br />

• Investing with little concern for interim volatility.<br />

2 Decumulation phase - starts after 2030:<br />

• When the government expects to withdraw about 5% of the<br />

assets on an annual basis.<br />

Unfunded pension and<br />

social security liabilities<br />

Prior to 2030 –Low<br />

liquidity needs<br />

Post 2030 – High<br />

liquidity needs<br />

Expected to be about 5% of total fund value per<br />

year, starting in 2030.<br />

People’s Fund can invest a significant part of its<br />

portfolio in less-liquid alternative asset classes.<br />

Management must find sufficient liquidity at that<br />

time to meet those ongoing liabilities<br />

• The investment horizon, liquidity needs, and risk tolerance<br />

will need to be modified during this phase, which will affect<br />

the investment policy.


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors.<br />

33d) Describe the focus of legal, regulatory, and tax constraints affecting different types of institutional investors.<br />

SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS ASSET ALLOCATION BSFs Bonds dominate –defensive, relatively stable returns, and<br />

diversify against cyclically-sensitive factors (commodity prices)<br />

that drive government budget revenues in some countries.<br />

SFs<br />

RFs<br />

Cash follows, overall conservative SAA, partly explained by<br />

several major BSFs managed central bank or Ministry of<br />

Finance (typically risk averse entities)<br />

Tilted growth assets, equities, and AIs:<br />

Inter-generational, very long investment horizons.<br />

Similar SAA to SFS but less to AIs:<br />

Relatively higher liquidity needs given central bank activities.<br />

Public equities are the most liquid growth asset and help<br />

counter the negative carry generated by forex reserves,<br />

PRS<br />

Tilt to Bonds to reduce reserve funds’ portfolio volatility.<br />

Heavy tilt to equities, AIs (real assets, infrastructure):<br />

• Long-term investment horizons (but not necessarily intergenerational<br />

as with SFs); and<br />

• Low liquidity needs during their accumulation phases.


33d) Describe the focus of legal, regulatory, and tax constraints affecting different types of institutional investors.<br />

Endowments and Foundations<br />

Overview<br />

ENDOWMENTS<br />

Accept gifts and invest in<br />

capital markets to help<br />

fund ongoing activities for<br />

universities, churches,<br />

museums, and other<br />

nonprofit organizations.<br />

FOUNDATIONS<br />

Make grants to groups<br />

and individuals for<br />

social, educational, and<br />

other charitable<br />

activities.<br />

Social welfare


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and<br />

the liquidity needs of different types of institutional investors.<br />

Endowments and Foundations<br />

Stakeholders<br />

Current<br />

spending<br />

Future<br />

spending<br />

Administrators<br />

Endowments<br />

Foundations<br />

Trustees


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and<br />

the liquidity needs of different types of institutional investors.<br />

Endowments and Foundations<br />

Liabilities and Investment Horizon<br />

ENDOWMENTS<br />

University’s capacity for fundraising<br />

Percentage of annual funding<br />

provided by endowment<br />

Financial ability of<br />

university/endowment to issue debt<br />

Endowments and foundations both have perpetual time horizons.*


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and<br />

the liquidity needs of different types of institutional investors.<br />

Endowments and Foundations<br />

Endowment<br />

Spending policy<br />

Liabilities and Investment Horizon<br />

Defines how much of the net assets of the endowment<br />

fund is pout out to fund the university’s spending.<br />

Hybrid<br />

rule<br />

Spending rate is weighted average of the constant<br />

growth and market value rules (Yale Spending rule,<br />

weights can rage from 30 – 70%).<br />

Strikes balance between the shortcomings of both rules<br />

Constant rule<br />

Market value Rule<br />

Spending rate is a fixed amount annually adjusted for<br />

inflation (the growth rate).<br />

Disadvantage:<br />

Not linked to AUM –weak (strong) performance means<br />

spending rate as % of AUM becomes high (low).<br />

Will need to be completed with caps and floors, about 4-<br />

6% of AUM.<br />

Spending rate is a pre-specified % of the moving average<br />

of assets (4-6%), smoothed over 3-5 years MA.<br />

Disadvantage:<br />

Tends to be procyclical: when markets perform well<br />

(poorly), overall payout increases (decreases)<br />

( t)( ) ( )( )( )<br />

Spending = t 1<br />

w Spending 1 + I + 1 −<br />

+<br />

w Spending rate AUM<br />

where<br />

w = weight of prior period spending<br />

w = 0 Market value rule<br />

0 w 1 Hybrid rule<br />

w = 1 Constant growth rule


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and<br />

the liquidity needs of different types of institutional investors.<br />

Endowments and Foundations<br />

Liquidity Needs –Relative low<br />

ENDOWMENTS<br />

FOUNDATIONS<br />

Annual Spend of<br />

2‒4% of net Assets<br />

VS.<br />

Annual Spend of<br />

5% of Net Assets<br />

Donor- and budget funding‒dependent spend rate.<br />

Mandated minimum spend rate (US)<br />

Fund may have liquidity risk maximum (total NAV in illiquid<br />

investments/total AUM) that triggers commitment reduction/<br />

stoppage or sale of illiquid investments.


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and<br />

the liquidity needs of different types of institutional investors.<br />

Comparison Between Private US Foundations and US University Endowments<br />

Purpose<br />

US FOUNDATION<br />

Grant-making for social, educational, and charitable purposes; principal<br />

preservation focus.<br />

US UNIVERSITY ENDOWMENT<br />

General support of institution or restricted support;<br />

principal preservation focus.<br />

Stakeholders<br />

Founding family, donors, grant recipients, and broader community that<br />

may benefit from foundation’s activities.<br />

Current/future students, alumni, university faculty and<br />

administration, and the larger university community.<br />

Liabilities/Spending Legally mandated to spend 5% of assets + investment expenses + 100%<br />

of donations (flow-through).<br />

Flexible spending rules (headline spending rate<br />

between 4% and 6% of assets) with smoothing.<br />

Other liability considerations Future gifts and donations, or just one-time gift?<br />

Gifts and donations, percentage of operating budget<br />

supported by endowment, and ability to issue debt.<br />

Investment time horizon Very long-term/perpetual (except limited-life foundations). Perpetual<br />

Risk High risk tolerance with some short-term liquidity needs. High risk tolerance with low liquidity needs.<br />

Liquidity needs Annual net spending is at least 5% of assets. Annual net spending is typically 2% to 4% of assets,<br />

after alumni gifts and donations.


33d) Describe the focus of legal, regulatory, and tax constraints affecting different types of institutional investors.<br />

Endowments and Foundations<br />

Legal and regulatory constraints<br />

UPMIFA (US—2006)<br />

Trustee Act (UK—2000)<br />

Total return basis (MPT)<br />

Appropriate diversification (MPT)<br />

5% spending (foundations)<br />

Duty of care<br />

Endowments and Foundations<br />

Tax constraints<br />

Tax-exempt status:<br />

• Donors receive tax deduction (up to some limit).<br />

• Tax-exempt investment income and capital gains (at least for universities, religious organizations, and museums).<br />

• Donations from Endowments and Foundations to for-profit institutions are taxable.<br />

Foundations, which are subject to 5% minimum spend, pay 30% tax against undistributed funds below that minimum.


33f) Prepare the investment objectives section of an institutional investor’s investment policy statement.<br />

33g) Evaluate the investment policy statement of an institutional investor.<br />

33h) Evaluate the investment portfolio of a private DB plan, sovereign wealth fund, university endowment, and private foundation.<br />

Endowments and Foundations<br />

Objectives<br />

Endowments<br />

Primary Objective<br />

Achieve investment returns sufficient to support university<br />

budget in perpetuity, after outside contributions:<br />

“Achieve X% total real rate of return over K years with Y%<br />

expected volatility.”<br />

Inflation: HEPI<br />

Secondary Objective (optional)<br />

Outperform long-term policy benchmark.<br />

Foundations<br />

Primary Objective<br />

“Generate 5% real return, net of investment expenses, with<br />

reasonable expected volatility over a 3- to 5-year period.”<br />

Secondary Objective (optional)<br />

Outperform the long-term policy benchmark within tracking<br />

error limits.<br />

Tertiary Objective (optional)<br />

Outperform predefined set of peers.


33f) Prepare the investment objectives section of an institutional investor’s investment policy statement.<br />

33g) Evaluate the investment policy statement of an institutional investor.<br />

33h) Evaluate the investment portfolio of a private DB plan, sovereign wealth fund, university endowment, and private foundation.<br />

Investment Objectives of the Ivy University Endowment<br />

1. Draft the investment objectives section of the IPS of the Ivy Univ Endowment.<br />

The Ivy University Endowment was established in 1901 by Ivy<br />

University and supports up to 40% of the university’s operating<br />

budget. Historically, the endowment has invested in a traditional 20%<br />

public US equities and 80% US Treasury portfolio, entirely<br />

implemented through passive investment vehicles.<br />

The investment staff at the endowment is relatively small. Endowment<br />

assets are US$250 million, and the endowment has an annual<br />

spending policy of paying out 5% of the 3-year rolling asset value to<br />

the university.<br />

An investment consultant hired assist with the investment policy<br />

review has provided the following 10-year (nominal) expected return<br />

assumptions for various asset classes:<br />

• US equities: 7%<br />

• Non-US equities: 8%<br />

• US Treasuries: 2%<br />

• hedge funds: 5%, and<br />

• private equity: 10%.<br />

Additionally, the consultant believes the endowment could generate<br />

an extra 50 bps per year in alpha from active management in equities.<br />

Expected inflation for the next ten years is 2% annually.<br />

Mission Maintain purchasing power of its assets while financing up to 40%<br />

of Ivy University’s operating budgeting in perpetuity.<br />

Investment<br />

objective<br />

Achieve a total real rate of return over the Higher Education Price<br />

Index (HEPI) of at least 5% with volatility of returns ≤15% annually.<br />

2. Discuss whether the current investment policy is appropriate given the<br />

investment objectives of Ivy University Endowment.<br />

20/80 portfolio E® = 0.2 × 7% + 0.8 × 2% = 3% per year (nominal)<br />

Expected INFL 2%<br />

Summary<br />

1% real rate of return, falls well short of the 5% spending<br />

rate and the stated objective of a 5% real rate of return.<br />

Endowment’s purchasing power deteriorate over time if it<br />

continues with its current asset mix and spending rate.<br />

3. What decisions could the CIO and board of the Ivy University Endowment<br />

take to align the investment policy and the spending policy?<br />

SAA mix<br />

Spending rate<br />

Combination<br />

Adopt asset mix with better probability of achieving a 5% real<br />

rate of return (SAA including non-US equities and PE);<br />

Change spending rate to more accurately reflect the expected<br />

real rate of return of the current investment policy<br />

CIO may want to recommend a combination of both.


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the<br />

liquidity needs of different types of institutional investors.<br />

33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Banks and Insurers—Stakeholders<br />

Customers<br />

Banks<br />

Insurers<br />

Employees<br />

Management<br />

Directors<br />

Policy holders


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the<br />

liquidity needs of different types of institutional investors.<br />

33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Banks and Insurers—<br />

Liabilities and<br />

Investment Horizon<br />

BANKS<br />

INSURERS<br />

Demand deposits (ATM, checking)<br />

Expected claims<br />

Time deposits (CDs)<br />

Varies with product line:<br />

• Life claims—longer duration<br />

• Annuities—shorter duration<br />

Wholesale funding (Fed Funds and<br />

central bank loans)<br />

P&C has shorter duration, less<br />

probability<br />

As corporations, both banks and insurance companies have a perpetual time horizon; their<br />

liabilities have product-specific duration.


Banks and Insurers—Liquidity<br />

33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the<br />

liquidity needs of different types of institutional investors.<br />

33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Banks<br />

vs.<br />

Insurers<br />

Short-duration deposits, uncertain<br />

timing<br />

Increased liquidity during adverse<br />

markets<br />

Higher-quality, lower-earning assets<br />

since regulation after 9/11<br />

Life Insurance: Interest rates<br />

P&C Insurers: Claims, timing<br />

Rising interest can cannibalize<br />

policies<br />

More cash/equivalents


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors.<br />

33d) Describe the focus of legal, regulatory, and tax constraints affecting different types of institutional investors.<br />

33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Banks and<br />

Insurers—Legal<br />

and Regulatory<br />

Constraints<br />

Supranational and national bank regs<br />

Adequate capitalization<br />

Asset liability quality<br />

Diversification of assets/liabilities<br />

NAIC (insurers)/state oversight<br />

Banks with largest portfolios have lower volatility and lower funding costs. Banks become larger<br />

and larger, so the financial system has designated some banks as too big to fail.


33c) Discuss the stakeholders in the portfolio, the liabilities, the investment time horizons, and the liquidity needs of<br />

different types of institutional investors.<br />

33d) Describe the focus of legal, regulatory, and tax constraints affecting different types of institutional investors.<br />

33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Banks and Insurers—<br />

Tax and Accounting<br />

Considerations<br />

GAAP/IFRS—Shareholders (or members in the case of mutual companies), deposit or<br />

policyholders, and suppliers of debt capital. Smoothest reporting of value changes.<br />

Economic/Mark-To-Market (MTM)—Contemporaneously recognizes market value<br />

changes in assets/liabilities net of imputed taxes. Most volatile value changes.<br />

Statutory accounting (regulators)—Differs by national and local jurisdictions. Used<br />

by regulators to establish capital adequacy but usually also available to the public.<br />

Subtracts intangible assets and accelerates policy underwriting and sales costs.<br />

Banks and insurers are taxable entities and consider decisions in terms of<br />

after-tax return.


33f) Prepare the investment objectives section of an institutional investor’s investment policy statement.<br />

33g) Evaluate the investment policy statement of an institutional investor.<br />

33h) Evaluate the investment portfolio of a private DB plan, sovereign wealth fund, university endowment, and private foundation.<br />

Banks and Insurers—Objectives<br />

Banks<br />

Insurers<br />

“Maximize long-term portfolio yield consistent with<br />

liquidity needs, pledging requirements, asset/liability<br />

management strategies, and safety of principal.”<br />

Asset/liability management committee (ALMCo) sets the<br />

IPS, monitors the portfolio, and mandates asset/liability<br />

adjustments.<br />

“Earn a return sufficient to fund all policyholder liabilities and<br />

match or exceed expected returns factored into product prices<br />

as well as contribute to the growth of surplus through capital<br />

appreciation.”<br />

A detailed IPS objective should encompass an insurer’s risk<br />

appetites, including market, credit, and interest rate risk.<br />

ALMCo also ensures interest rate/FX, credit, liquidity, and<br />

solvency (capital adequacy) risk is within tolerance.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Balance sheet A = L + E (assume all assets are financial) 1<br />

Balance sheet changes ΔA = ΔL + ΔE | → ΔE = ΔA - ΔL 2<br />

Isolate leverage (A/E)<br />

Divide through by E<br />

Equation 4<br />

ΔE = ΔA - ΔL<br />

E E E<br />

Multiply by 1: A/A, L/L ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL x L<br />

E E A E L<br />

Re-align ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL x L<br />

E A E L x E<br />

Substitute L = A - E ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL x A-E<br />

E A E L x E<br />

Resolve ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL x (A) - 1<br />

E A E L E<br />

How percentage changes in market value of both assets and<br />

liabilities are magnified by the leverage factors.<br />

3<br />

4<br />

Exhibit 22:<br />

MV E capital as a<br />

function of:<br />

• Declines in asset value (credit quality; liquidity of loans<br />

or securities held; rising interest rates (if fixed-rate loans).<br />

• Beginning leverage<br />

Finding<br />

Small losses in the MV assets (or increases in liabilities) has<br />

significant impact effect MV E capital (inverse is true).<br />

Exhibit 23<br />

MV E capital as a<br />

function of:<br />

• Increases in its liabilities (forward-funding commitment to<br />

a struggling company, the exercise of a guarantee, or<br />

high policy loss claims in case of insurers)<br />

• Beginning leverage<br />

Note<br />

Equity holds only loose value of investment but gain all when<br />

MV E capital rises<br />

Creditors gain nothing, must be protected from such volatility<br />

relative to the base capital level! Refine framework further!


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Leverage equation ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL x (A) - 1<br />

E A E L E<br />

Divide by reference yield, Δy ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL x (A) - 1<br />

EΔy AΔy E LΔy E<br />

Multiply by 1: Δi / Δi in the<br />

appropriate location<br />

Recall, MDUR of asset W with<br />

respect to its YTM, r:<br />

ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL (Δi) x (A) - 1<br />

EΔy AΔy E LΔi Δy E<br />

D W * = ─ ΔW 1<br />

W Δr<br />

Re-arrange Q 6 D E * = D A * x A - D L * x (A - 1) x (Δi)<br />

E E Δy<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

For modest yield Δs, the volatility of a<br />

Bank/insurer’s equity capital is a function of:<br />

• Comparative MDUR A and MDUR L ;<br />

• Degree of leverage, and<br />

• Correlation (sensitivity) of Δs in yields of As and Ls.<br />

Exhibit 24 /25 • Differing initial A/E (5, 10) (based on E/A of 20%, 10%), with correlation in returns<br />

between A & L, di/dy = Δi/Δy = 0.90<br />

Finding • High capital ratios (20%), volatility swings -10 to +15<br />

• Low capital ratio (10%) volatility swings -30 to + 25<br />

Implication • Regulators not keen to see very high durations for equity capitalization, so we must<br />

keep assets and liabilities from having large differences in duration.<br />

Lower A DUR<br />

Extend L<br />

DUR<br />

Hold cash, deposits at central banks, foreign currency reserves; loans (business,<br />

credit cards, etc) at floating rates. Fixed-rate mortgage loans are securitized.<br />

Issuance of medium to LT debt instruments, and perpetual preferred stock; use<br />

financial futures and interest rate swaps to alleviate asset/liability mismatches.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

MegaWorld Bancorp has an equity capital ratio for financial assets of<br />

9%. The modified duration of its assets is 2.0 and of its liabilities is 1.5.<br />

Over small changes, the yield on liabilities is expected to move by 85<br />

bps for every 100 bps of yield change in its asset portfolio.<br />

1. Compute the modified duration of the bank’s equity capital.<br />

3. Management is considering issuing common stock, selling<br />

investment portfolio assets, and paying off some liabilities in order<br />

to achieve an equity capitalization ratio of 10%. Assuming no<br />

change in the durations of assets and liabilities and assuming no<br />

change in the sensitivity of liability yields to asset yields, what is<br />

the resulting MDUR of the bank’s equity capital?<br />

Re-arrange Q 6 D E * = D A * x A - D L * x (A - 1) x (Δi)<br />

E E Δy<br />

A/E 1/0.09 = 11.11<br />

A/E - 1 11.11 – 1 = 10.11<br />

D A * 2<br />

D L * 1.5<br />

Δy 0.85<br />

D E * (11.11 × 2) − (10.11 × 1.50) × 0.85 = 9.33<br />

8<br />

With this less<br />

leveraged<br />

balance sheet<br />

A ÷ E = 1/0.1 = 10;<br />

(A ÷ E) − 1 = 9<br />

D E * = (10× 2) − (9 × 1.50) × 0.85 = 8.53<br />

4. Using the facts in question 3 but assuming the bank<br />

rebalances its investment portfolio to achieve a MDUR A = 1.75,<br />

what happens to the duration of the bank’s equity capital?<br />

2. What would be the impact on the value of shareholder capital of a<br />

50 basis point rise in the level of yields on its asset portfolio?<br />

Equation 7 D W * = ─ΔW 1<br />

W Δr<br />

0.5% × −9.33 = −4.67%.<br />

Duration of<br />

shareholders’<br />

capital now<br />

declines to:<br />

D E * = (10 × 1.75) − (9 × 1.50) × 0.85 = 6.03


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Equation 6 ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL (Δi) x (A) - 1<br />

EΔy AΔy E LΔi Δy E<br />

Equation 7 D W * = ─ ΔW 1<br />

W Δr<br />

Equation 8 D E * = D A * x A - D L * x (A - 1) x (Δi)<br />

E E Δy<br />

Model<br />

critique<br />

The above duration analysis captures the effects of only<br />

small Δs in interest rates and only over short time intervals:<br />

The duration model does not reflect well on non-linear<br />

factors, such as convexity and embedded options in many<br />

fixed-income securities and derivatives.<br />

Furthermore, changes in the overall levels of interest<br />

rates are only one source of volatility<br />

RECALL: σ p<br />

2<br />

w A2 σ A2 + w B2 σ 2 B + 2w A w B σ A σ B ρ A,B [−1 ≤ ρ ≤ 1]<br />

Equation 9<br />

Re-states Equation 6, in terms of volatility of the key<br />

components, incorporating correlation, key to LDI<br />

Exhibit 26<br />

Over the range of leverage (E/A 5% to 20%), volatility of the MV E<br />

decreases as the ρ between A and L value changes (ρ) increases<br />

toward +1.0. Most beneficial effect when highly leveraged.<br />

With ρ of 0.5 and 0.9, vol gap is is only 6.9% vs 3.5% for a leverage<br />

ratio of 20 vs 5. But it becomes dramatic 30.1 when ρ is reduced to 0.5<br />

If the ρ A,L is 1.0, the volatility MV E shrinks to minimal amounts, even for<br />

high leverage (E/A = 5.0%).<br />

Flip side, any divergence in ρ (e.g., turbulent markets) causes equity<br />

volatility to increase, and dramatically so when leverage is high.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Foresight is an international multiline insurance conglomerate. Under its<br />

overall strategic financial plan, it computes the annualized SD of returns on<br />

investment assets as 5.0% and on liabilities as 2.5%. The bulk of its<br />

liabilities are constituted by the Net Present Value of expected claims<br />

payouts. The correlation between asset and liability returns is therefore a<br />

very low 0.25. Foresight’s common equity to financial assets ratio is 20.0%.<br />

1 What is the SD of changes in the value its shareholder capitalization?<br />

Management believes it also needs to lower the volatility of its assets. It<br />

shifts out of low-quality bonds into higher quality, more liquid gov’t securities,<br />

expecting to lower the SD of asset returns to 4.0% per year without having<br />

any impact on the correlation ratio between assets and liabilities.<br />

4 Along with the stronger capital ratios premised in question 2, what does<br />

this do to the volatility of shareholder equity value?<br />

σ 2 ΔE/E = 4 2 × 0.04 2 + 3 2 × 0.025 2 − 2 × 4 × 3 × 0.025 × 0.25 × 0.05 = 0.025225<br />

Standard Deviation = √0.025225 = 0.159 = 15.9% per year ↓<br />

A / E = 1/0.20 = 5; (A / E) −1 = 5 – 1 = 4<br />

σ 2 ΔE/E = 5 2 × 0.05 2 + 4 2 × 0.025 2 − 2 × 5 × 4 × 0.025 × 0.25 × 0.05 = 0.06.<br />

Standard Deviation = √0.06 = 0.245 = 24.5% per year.<br />

Management believes the overall risk profile of the company is too high and<br />

desires to increase the common equity ratio by issuing additional shares of<br />

common equity and listing such shares on several international stock<br />

market exchanges. The new target equity ratio will be 25.0%.<br />

2 All else same, how does this impact the volatility of value changes in<br />

shareholder capitalization?<br />

A / E = 1/0.25 = 4; (A / E) −1 = 4 – 1 = 3<br />

σ 2 ΔE/E = 4 2 × 0.05 2 + 3 2 × 0.025 2 − 2 × 4 × 3 × 0.025 × 0.25 × 0.05 = 0.0381256.<br />

Standard Deviation = √0.0381256 = 0.195 = 19.5% per year↓<br />

5 What is the impact of the various portfolio and capitalisation changes<br />

on the value of Foresight’s common shares outstanding?<br />

Fall in EPS<br />

Fall in E(Rs) on assets<br />

Impact analysis<br />

Fall in E(Rs) on assets: 20.0% to 25.0% shift.<br />

Raising A/E (equity target) from 20.0% to 25.0%<br />

Increase number of shares outstanding.<br />

Lowering its equity risk exposure: 5.0% to 4.0%<br />

Reputation as better operated and capitalized<br />

Lower risk profile might improve credit rating<br />

Lower discount rate applied to lower EPS trajectory<br />

Greater percentage of safer, lower yielding assets.<br />

Improved long-term survivability and underwriting strength<br />

could result in a higher long-term growth outlook.<br />

Share price<br />

The impact on MV E cannot be predicted merely by a Δ in capital structure<br />

and near-term reduction in earnings and portfolio expected returns.<br />

↓<br />

↑<br />

↑<br />

↑<br />

↑<br />


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

SWFs, Endowments,<br />

Foundations, DB/DCs<br />

Financial institutions<br />

[Banks and Insurance<br />

Companies]<br />

Implementation of Portfolio Decisions<br />

Investment adviser must primarily focus on the<br />

investment of assets (Asset Only)<br />

ΔA = ΔL + ΔE | → ΔE = ΔA - ΔL<br />

ΔE = ΔA x A - ΔL x (A) - 1<br />

E A E L E<br />

Optimal management focuses on liabilities,<br />

• Particularly the volatility; and<br />

• Convexity of asset and liability payouts.<br />

Investment strategy must also consider the,<br />

• Appropriate degree of leverage; and<br />

• Total amount of common equity capital.<br />

Max long-term economic earnings: Raise leverage Lower leverage<br />

• Portfolio of assets Acquire Dispose<br />

• Portfolio of liabilities Underwrite Retire<br />

• Capital stock Repurchase Issue<br />

Financial management<br />

Focus 1 –Markets<br />

Focus 2: Capital<br />

Focus 3 –Competitor/s<br />

Focus 4 -Regulators<br />

Summary<br />

Banks and Insurance Companies (B/Is)<br />

Monitor the level and direction of key markets and<br />

factors as they impact the investment portfolio:<br />

• Interest rates,<br />

• Credit spreads,<br />

• Derivatives markets,<br />

• Economic cycles, and<br />

• Stock markets<br />

Master valuation of own common equity and debt<br />

capital securities.<br />

Requires a view on the actions of competitors:<br />

• Will they create a housing bubble through<br />

excessive lending to low-quality borrowers?<br />

• Will they drive down insurance policy premiums<br />

through overly aggressive underwriting?<br />

Meet existing regulations, and new ones that will<br />

evolve with changes in global economic<br />

circumstances and other political pressures.<br />

B/Is attempt to create positive NPV for capital holders by<br />

solving simultaneously several different conditions with several<br />

different variables (1 to 4). Key decisions at strategic level.<br />

Specific analysts and investment managers are assigned only<br />

to specialized subsets of their varied assets and liabilities.


Mini-Case A:<br />

33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

A bank considers reducing its ownership of<br />

commercial loans in smaller businesses. These loans<br />

pay interest quarterly at various contractually prespecified<br />

spreads above the floating market reference<br />

rate (MRR). The runoff of the loan portfolio through<br />

repayments, together with proceeds of outright sales<br />

and securitizations of other loans, are to be reinvested<br />

in a portfolio of fixed-rate government securities of<br />

comparable maturities.<br />

The securities will be hedged fully against general<br />

interest rate risk through the use of publicly traded<br />

options and futures on government securities.<br />

Additionally, hedging interest rate risk completely would<br />

create a synthetic variable rate asset:<br />

• If interest rates rise, gains on hedges can be<br />

reinvested to raise overall portfolio income;<br />

• If interest rates fall, losses on hedges will require<br />

some assets to pay counterparties, thereby lowering<br />

overall portfolio income.<br />

1 How would this portfolio restructuring affect the asset/liability profile of the<br />

bank?<br />

Strategy<br />

Switch from variable to fixed-rate<br />

assets of similar maturities.<br />

Hedging positions on fixed-rate<br />

assets.<br />

Net effect of the portfolio alteration.<br />

Duration impact on overall portfolio.<br />

Increases duration.<br />

Shorten overall duration.<br />

Little effect on existing asset/liability<br />

duration profile, as floating-rate<br />

corporate loans also have little price<br />

exposure in the event of rising or<br />

falling interest rates.<br />

2. What is the expected impact on the volatility of bank shareholder equity<br />

valuation?<br />

Small business<br />

loans<br />

Liquidity Less liquid More liquid<br />

Sensitivity to volatility arising<br />

from changes in credit default<br />

Net effect of the portfolio alteration.<br />

More sensitive<br />

Hedged portfolio of<br />

government securities<br />

Less sensitive<br />

Overall volatility of assets and<br />

capitalisation should decrease


3. What is the likely impact on bank earnings?<br />

33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Switch from Higher Yields on B-loans, adjusting for expected default<br />

rates→ Lower Yields on G-sec, adjusting for the costs of hedging.<br />

If overall interest rates subsequently rise<br />

Bank earnings<br />

↓<br />

Bank earnings<br />

B-loan portfolio Should generate higher income to the bank. ↓<br />

4. What are reasons that argue in favor of this portfolio<br />

redeployment, despite the lower expected earnings?<br />

Liquidity<br />

Bank believes it needs to have a more liquid<br />

investment portfolio because of the risk of<br />

unexpected claims against assets.<br />

G-sec portfolio Should generate lower income to the bank. ↑<br />

The portfolio<br />

value is<br />

approximately<br />

unchanged<br />

Rates up<br />

Rates down<br />

Underlying G-sec portfolio Market value drops Market value up<br />

Hedges on G-sec portfolio Offsetting gains Offsetting loses<br />

Impact<br />

Both portfolios have<br />

similar modified<br />

durations<br />

Permits more investment in now<br />

high yield G-sec portfolio<br />

Sale of appreciated<br />

underlying G-sec to<br />

cover hedge losses.<br />

But, the (reduced) ability to generate income has tracked interest<br />

rates downward.<br />

Changes in overall interest rates impact income-generating ability<br />

similarly for both the B-loan hedged G-sec portfolio.<br />

In any environment, the net yields on the hedged G-sec are<br />

lower than on the B-loans. Thus, bank net income is<br />

unambiguously lower due to the portfolio rebalancing.<br />

Regulation<br />

Business<br />

cycles<br />

In all three<br />

rationales<br />

The bank needs to raise its regulatory “equity to<br />

risky assets” ratio (by substituting low credit-risk<br />

for high credit-risk assets).<br />

The bank believes it will be able to reverse the<br />

trade in the future after a recession has driven<br />

up the effective default-adjusted spreads (i.e.,<br />

driven down the prices) on small business loans.<br />

1. Overall volatility is expected to decline<br />

2. Reduction in volatility is expected to provide<br />

a benefit that more than offsets the<br />

anticipated reduction in earnings.<br />

3. Therefore, the risk-adjusted return is<br />

projected to rise.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Mini-Case B:<br />

A medium size insurer plans to sell a large portion of its diversified,<br />

fixed-rate, I-grade-rated securities in order to redeploy proceeds into a<br />

special purpose trust holding a diversified portfolio of automobile loans<br />

with original loan lives of 5 years. The loans are collateralized by<br />

direct liens on the vehicles, and the underlying borrowers meet<br />

minimum consumer credit scores set by a national credit rating<br />

agency. The underlying loans were randomly selected for the trust,<br />

and the collateral constitutes a nationwide sample of automobiles of<br />

different foreign and domestic manufacturers.<br />

1. What does this transaction reveal about is it regulatory capital<br />

• Portfolio redeployment to auto loans reduces the insurer’s liquidity.<br />

• These underlying illiquid auto loans require more regulatory capital<br />

than high-quality/I-grade, marketable, fixed-income securities.<br />

• Therefore, the insurance company has excess regulatory capital.<br />

2. What key info must the insurer know about the auto loans held by<br />

the trust in order to manage its asset/liability duration profile?<br />

Overall<br />

change in<br />

asset/liability<br />

profile for the<br />

insurer<br />

Depends on projected MDUR of the auto loans vs the I-<br />

grade to be sold. A material difference requires:<br />

a) Δs in the MDUR of insurer’s liabilities, such as by<br />

altering the maturities of future debt issuances; or<br />

b) implementation of interest rate-hedging transactions.<br />

3. What external factors might the insurer need to consider with<br />

respect to the duration of trust assets?<br />

Factors with adverse impact on the value of the<br />

auto loan (compared with the highly liquid I-G<br />

sold) and which could undermine the cash flow<br />

assumptions made with respect to setting the<br />

company’s overall asset/liability profile.<br />

• An adverse<br />

change in the<br />

economic cycle,<br />

• Changes in<br />

technology, and/or<br />

• Energy prices<br />

4. What is the expected impact from the proposed investment<br />

transaction on (a) the insurer’s earnings, and (b), the overall<br />

volatility of the insurer’s common equity capitalization?<br />

Actuarial projections<br />

of contractual cash<br />

flows from the auto<br />

loans, taking into<br />

account:<br />

• Full and partial pre-payments because of<br />

accidents, auto trade-ins, and loan defaults.<br />

• The acceptable credit quality of the<br />

borrowers and the geographical and brand<br />

diversity<br />

Earnings↑<br />

Volatility↑<br />

Because the expected yield on the auto loans, net of credit<br />

losses, is higher than for I-grade, liquid securities.<br />

Insurer is taking on more credit risk:<br />

→Higher volatility of the value of assets<br />

→Higher volatility of equity capitalization.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Mini-Case D:<br />

Floating-rate securities, paying a fixed spread over the floating MRR, are<br />

trading at historically narrow yield spreads over MRR. In addition, issuers<br />

of these securities tend to be concentrated in a small no. of industries—<br />

notably in banks, insurers, and other financial services companies.<br />

A bank considers selling the bank’s portfolio holdings of these floating-rate<br />

securities, which have a 5-year maturity and trade at 0.1% over MRR; and<br />

buy more-diversified (by issuer type), I-grade, fixed-rate securities that are<br />

selling at more normal spreads versus G-bond yields of comparable<br />

duration (which trade at 1.0% over 5-year US Treasury bond yields).<br />

The fixed-rate securities portfolio is to be combined with pay-fixed/receivefloating<br />

interest rate swaps under standard mark-to-market (MTM)<br />

collateralization terms. The 5-year interest rate swap terms permit one to<br />

receive MRR while paying 0.4% over Treasury yields.<br />

1. Impact of portfolio alteration on required regulatory risk-based capital?<br />

2. What suggests the bank’s senior managers are more concerned<br />

about risks to equity capitalization than are regulators?<br />

Securities<br />

Senior<br />

managers<br />

more<br />

concerned<br />

about<br />

systemic<br />

risk in the<br />

financial<br />

sector<br />

Short<br />

Floating rate concentrated<br />

in banks, insurers…<br />

Long<br />

Fixed rate more-diversified<br />

(by issuer type)<br />

Especially as the securities they plan to short are<br />

concentrated in the financial sector and are trading at<br />

unusually high prices (narrow spreads to MRR).<br />

They believe prospective volatility of floating-rate bank<br />

assets (and own equity capital) —is higher than<br />

reflected in the regulatory risk-weight framework,<br />

which does not take into account relative price risk.<br />

Thus, from the bank’s perspective, the proposed trade<br />

lowers asset and equity volatility.<br />

3. Expected effect on the bank’s asset/liability profile?<br />

Floating-for-Floating,<br />

5-to 5; 0.1% to 0.4%<br />

New portfolio has<br />

more industry<br />

diversification<br />

Little change in average credit quality, hence little<br />

effect on regulatory risk-based capital<br />

requirements.<br />

Thus, under robust scenario simulation testing, it<br />

should be more resistant to loss than the moreconcentrated<br />

portfolio assets being sold.<br />

1. Long fixed-rate and selling floating increase MDUR of bank assets.<br />

2. The pay-fixed/receive-floating swap is a synthetic liability, becomes<br />

(i) smaller as interest rates rise and (ii) greater as interest rates fall.<br />

3. The pay-fixed/receive-floating swap therefore increases the DUR of<br />

the bank’s liabilities to counterbalance the rise in asset duration.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

4. What is the expected effect on expected earnings?<br />

Securities<br />

Short<br />

Concentrated<br />

in banks,<br />

insurers…<br />

Long (new portfolio)<br />

More-diversified (by issuer type)<br />

Comprises fixed-rate securities + payfixed/receive-floating<br />

interest rate swap<br />

Receipts MRR + 0.1% Fixed rate securities:<br />

• Receive 5-year T-yield (T) + 1.0%<br />

Net<br />

outcome<br />

MRR + 0.1%<br />

Net outcome of the hedged,<br />

fixed-rate holdings<br />

Impact on earnings<br />

Fixed rate leg of the interest rate swap:<br />

• Pay 5-year T-yield (T) + 0.4%<br />

Floating rate leg on the interest rate swap:<br />

• Receive MRR<br />

= T + 1.0% − (T + 0.4%) + MRR<br />

= MRR + 0.6%.<br />

This synthetic floating-rate portfolio<br />

compares with the original floating-rate<br />

portfolio that paid just MRR + 0.1%.<br />

Earnings are expected to rise.<br />

5. Summarize the rationale for the portfolio alteration.<br />

Securities<br />

Lower risk<br />

Better yield<br />

Liquidity<br />

Regulatory<br />

system<br />

Summary of<br />

trade results<br />

Short<br />

Floating-rate<br />

securities<br />

Lower<br />

systemic<br />

financial risks<br />

Long (new portfolio)<br />

Fixed-rate securities<br />

+ pay-fixed/receive-floating rate swap<br />

Better diversification<br />

Cheap (higher yielding) synthetic MRR<br />

floaters in place of true MRR floaters.<br />

A pay-fixed/receive-floating interest rate<br />

swap is “plain vanilla”; it is easy to value<br />

and unwind, so no major adverse impact<br />

on the institution’s liquidity.<br />

Has a statistical system that penalizes<br />

excessive use of derivatives by deeming<br />

worst-case liabilities in a stress test.<br />

Bank might believe this is no issue if the<br />

proposed trade is small enough, relative<br />

to the institution’s size, to have no<br />

significant impact on stress test results.<br />

Trade is duration-neutral trade, secures higher net<br />

earnings and lower asset and equity risk without<br />

significantly impacting the bank’s regulatory capital ratios.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Mini-Case D:<br />

In the aftermath of prolonged financial turmoil and a recession, a large<br />

pan-European life insurance company believes that corporate debt<br />

securities and asset-based securities are now very attractive relative to<br />

more-liquid government securities. The yield spreads more than<br />

compensate for default and credit downgrade risk. Interest rates for<br />

government securities are near cyclical lows. The insurance company is<br />

concerned that rates may rise and that, as a result, many outstanding<br />

annuities might be surrendered.<br />

The insurer believes the probability of a large, adverse move in interest<br />

rates is much higher than is currently reflected by the implied volatility of<br />

traded options on government securities in the eurozone. The insurer’s<br />

regulatory capital and reserves are deemed to be healthy.<br />

1. What are the consequences of lowering allocations to G-sec and<br />

raising allocations to corporate and asset-backed securities?<br />

C-Debt Sec G-sec A-backed sec.<br />

Maturity Similar Similar Similar<br />

Yields Higher Lower<br />

Duration Shorter Longer Lowest EFFDUR<br />

Duration<br />

Liquidity<br />

Regulatory<br />

capital<br />

The<br />

proposed<br />

portfolio<br />

moves make<br />

sense only if:<br />

Expected<br />

earnings<br />

Impact on overall portfolio:<br />

Lower, which is consistent with the insurer’s concerns<br />

about rising interest.<br />

Lower as corporate and asset-backed securities are<br />

less liquid.<br />

Lower regulatory risk-based capital measures,<br />

because the new securities are treated less favorably<br />

for regulatory purposes:<br />

• Less liquid, higher credit risk corporate debt and<br />

asset-backed securities require a higher equity<br />

charge than liquid, low credit risk government<br />

securities, so regulatory “equity to risky assets” is<br />

reduced).<br />

• The regulatory capital position of the insurer is<br />

already ample.<br />

• The existing liquidity elsewhere in the portfolio is<br />

enough to fund an uptick of annuity surrenders in<br />

the case of rising interest rates.<br />

The reallocation would increase expected earnings<br />

(from higher interest income) and set the stage for<br />

price gains if credit spreads versus government<br />

securities contract to more normal levels.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Mini-Case D:<br />

In the aftermath of prolonged financial turmoil and a recession, a large<br />

pan-European life insurance company believes that corporate debt<br />

securities and asset-based securities are now very attractive relative to<br />

more-liquid government securities. The yield spreads more than<br />

compensate for default and credit downgrade risk. Interest rates for<br />

government securities are near cyclical lows. The insurance company is<br />

concerned that rates may rise and that, as a result, many outstanding<br />

annuities might be surrendered.<br />

The insurer believes the probability of a large, adverse move in interest<br />

rates is much higher than is currently reflected by the implied volatility of<br />

traded options on government securities in the eurozone. The insurer’s<br />

regulatory capital and reserves are deemed to be healthy.<br />

2. Are there steps that the insurer should take on the liability side?<br />

Asymmetric risk<br />

Purchase OTM<br />

puts on G-Sec<br />

Purchas<br />

swaptions with<br />

the right to be a<br />

fixedpayer/floatingreceiver.<br />

A spike up in interest rates could result in a rise in<br />

surrenders of annuities during a time when asset<br />

values are coming under pressure.<br />

Company seems more concerned about higher<br />

interest rate volatility than is reflected in current option<br />

prices, so consider:<br />

Becomes valuable to the holder if prices of the<br />

underlying asset fall (following a rise in rates)<br />

Economically analogous to a put option on a bond:<br />

• Gain if rates rise by receive a rising stream of<br />

floating payments in exchange for what will have<br />

then become a stream of reasonably low fixed<br />

payments.<br />

• This would offset some of the burden of premature<br />

annuity surrenders.<br />

Two issues with<br />

low interest<br />

rates on liability<br />

side<br />

Reallocation investment portfolio (question 1)<br />

Leverage is higher, deal with an asymmetric risk, alter<br />

the bank liability profile to minimize potential adverse<br />

changes in its common equity capitalization<br />

If time passes without any substantial rise in interest<br />

rates, the cost of purchasing option protection would<br />

detract from the incremental benefits from the<br />

proposed switch into higher yielding securities.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Portfolio Strategy<br />

Considerations<br />

Main Factors<br />

Affected<br />

Explanation/Rationale<br />

Additional Regulatory Concerns<br />

Diversified fixed-income<br />

investments<br />

Decreases<br />

σΔA / A<br />

Debt securities are less volatile than common equities, real<br />

estate, and other securities.<br />

Effective diversification, multiplicity of issuers<br />

and industries, domestic/ foreign.<br />

High-Quality bond/debt<br />

investments<br />

Match asset and liability<br />

durations, KRD, and sensitivity<br />

to embedded borrower and<br />

claimant options<br />

Common Stock Investments<br />

Derivatives transparency,<br />

collateralization<br />

Liquidity of portfolio<br />

investments<br />

Decreases<br />

σΔA / A<br />

Increases ρ<br />

Increases<br />

σ ΔA /A,<br />

typically<br />

decreases ρ<br />

Decreases both<br />

σΔA/ A<br />

and σΔL / L, and<br />

increases ρ<br />

Decreases<br />

σΔA / A<br />

Less likely to be downgraded or default, thereby lessening<br />

the probability of significant loss of value through either<br />

losses or widening of credit spreads.<br />

Requires more in-depth analysis than simple durationmatching<br />

strategy, because must account for convexity and<br />

asymmetric payoffs due to (i) defaults, (ii) principal payoffs<br />

prior to maturity, and (iii) annuity, life-insurance policy, and<br />

bank CD surrenders in high interest rate scenarios.<br />

Only slight diversification benefits while adding to volatility.<br />

Also, common stock returns do not correlate well with<br />

financial institution returns, which pushes correlation, ρ,<br />

away from 1.0 toward 0.0.<br />

Whether derivatives are used to hedge or synthesize (i)<br />

assets or (ii) liabilities, the more “plain vanilla” (and<br />

protected against counterparty default) they are, the less<br />

likely they will revalue in unexpected directions.<br />

Includes short-maturity debt securities of highly rated<br />

issuers, currency reserves, access to credit lines, and<br />

access for banks to emergency central bank borrowing.<br />

Regulatory structures and central banks favor<br />

sovereign issuers for this reason.<br />

Regulatory structures penalize institutions<br />

with unjustifiable asset/liability mismatches.<br />

Regulatory structures require 100% or more<br />

risk weighting for common stock investments,<br />

thus such investments are ineligible for<br />

backing financial liability issuance.<br />

Transparency fosters regulatory “financial<br />

stress test” confidence. It also allows<br />

regulators and claimants to ascertain whether<br />

derivatives are being used in a justifiable<br />

manner.<br />

Problems occur for regulators when financial<br />

contagion extends beyond just a few<br />

institutions.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Portfolio Strategy<br />

Considerations<br />

Main Factors<br />

Affected<br />

Explanation/Rationale<br />

Surrender penalties Decreases σΔL / L Cushion losses to financial institutions for having to pay back<br />

liabilities “at par” when rising interest rates would otherwise<br />

have reduced the discounted present value of the obligations.<br />

Prepayment<br />

penalties on debt<br />

investments<br />

Catastrophic<br />

insurance risks<br />

Predictability of<br />

underwriting losses<br />

Diversifying<br />

insurance business<br />

Variable annuities<br />

Increases ρ<br />

Increases σΔL/L<br />

Decreases σΔLL<br />

Decreases σΔL / L<br />

Increases ρ, and σΔA<br />

/ A,<br />

σΔL / L diminish in<br />

relevance<br />

When interest rates are declining, borrowers must incur a<br />

penalty to repay loans at par to refinance.<br />

Also, prepayment penalties help institutions offset rising<br />

values of their fixed-rate liabilities in falling rate environments.<br />

By definition, these losses faced by insurance companies are<br />

less predictable and possibly very large.<br />

High frequency, low cost loss events caused by law of large<br />

numbers make total insurance liabilities less uncertain.<br />

Diversifying across several business lines increases<br />

aggregate risk-reduction potential (due to law of large<br />

numbers).<br />

Where equity/bond market risks are fully borne by<br />

policyholders, the correlation between asset and liability<br />

returns approaches 1.0, independent of investment<br />

performance of the underlying, segregated account assets.<br />

Additional Regulatory Concerns<br />

Regulators/customers do not tolerate<br />

economically justified surrender penalties (priced<br />

too low to offset the institution’s risk).<br />

None.<br />

Regulators and insurance customers usually<br />

expect (i) higher capital ratios, (ii) higher quality<br />

and liquid investment portfolios, and (iii) strong<br />

reinsurance agreements compared with typical<br />

home, health, auto, and fire insurance.<br />

Adverse changes in legal or regulatory systems<br />

cannot be offset by actions on the asset side of<br />

the financial institution. These are risks borne by<br />

owners of the institution’s equity capital.<br />

None.<br />

Assuming adequate risk disclosure to<br />

policyholders, and sufficient asset custody<br />

protections, regulators permit greater investment<br />

flexibility than in insurer’s standard business<br />

lines.


33i) Describe considerations affecting the balance sheet management of banks and insurers.<br />

Decrease Asset Volatility<br />

• Increase FI portfolio diversification<br />

• Increase FI asset quality<br />

• Increase FI asset liquidity<br />

• Reduce equity allocation<br />

Decrease Liability Volatility<br />

• Surrender penalties<br />

• High loss predictability<br />

• Diversified policy base<br />

Increase Correlation<br />

• Duration mismatch<br />

• Key rate duration<br />

• Embedded option management<br />

• Prepayment penalties<br />

• Variable annuities; decrease relevance of<br />

asset-liability volatility<br />

• Reduce equity allocation<br />

Increasing derivatives transparency/collateralization both decreases asset and liability transparency<br />

AND increases correlation.


PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT<br />

Reading 33: Portfolio Management for Institutional Investors<br />

Reading 34: Trading, Performance Evaluation and Manager Selection


34a) Discuss motivations to trade and how they relate to trading strategy.<br />

Profit seeking<br />

Risk mgt/<br />

hedging needs<br />

To generate positive risk-adjusted alpha in excess<br />

benchmark by trading on superior signals:<br />

• Trade urgency is fast, to minimise risk of alpha decay.<br />

• Value (long-term) strategies trades on undervalued<br />

companies, it is less short term and less urgency.<br />

• Trade in index future to adjust target beta.<br />

• Trade in VIX futures to target volatility.<br />

• Trade in CDS to target credit spread risk.<br />

Cash flow needs • Trade to raise cash for collateral/margin.<br />

• Trade in ETS equitize uninvested cash.<br />

Corporate actions • M/As takes long, trading required expired derivatives.<br />

Index<br />

reconstitution<br />

• Trade to rebalance portfolio following a an index<br />

reconstitution.<br />

Variation margins • Trade to cover a margin calls or variation margin.<br />

The trading desk of a large firm receives three orders from the senior portfolio<br />

manager. Based on his research, the portfolio manager has identified two<br />

investment opportunities:<br />

• A short-term stock buy;<br />

• A longer-term stock sell.<br />

• Raise proceeds to accommodate an end-of-day client withdrawal.<br />

Discuss the motivation to trade and the associated trade urgency for each.<br />

Short-term<br />

buy<br />

Longerterm<br />

sell<br />

Client<br />

withdrawal<br />

A short-term profit-seeking trade investment opportunity:<br />

Trade urgency:<br />

High, to realize alpha before it dissipates (decays). Speed<br />

essential, trading is less price sensitive and more<br />

aggressive, resulting in higher price impact.<br />

Longer term profit-seeking trade investment opportunity:<br />

Trade urgency:<br />

Low, managers more patient in trading and willing to wait<br />

for favorable prices by spreading executions over a longer<br />

time horizon (days or weeks).<br />

Cash flow–driven, raises proceeds for client withdrawal.<br />

Trade urgency:<br />

High, targeting of end-of-day closing prices to match trade<br />

prices to funds NAV to meet daily liquidity provisions that<br />

allow mutual fund clients to invest and redeem at the end<br />

of each trading day.<br />

Low, Hedge funds allow redemptions only at quarter-end<br />

and with a relatively long notice period (1 month), allowing<br />

them more time to sell illiquid positions. Client-driven<br />

redemptions typically involve much lower trade urgency.


Order<br />

characteristics<br />

(buy, sell,<br />

cover or short)<br />

Security<br />

characteristics<br />

Market<br />

conditions<br />

Order side, buy:<br />

• Rising prices → higher execution risk → negative price<br />

impact for buyers as they wait for sellers.<br />

• Falling prices → higher execution risk → negative price<br />

impact for sellers as they wait for buyers.<br />

Order size<br />

Larger orders → greater market impact → less urgent<br />

trading.<br />

Security type: Trading cost my be lower in in trading an ADR<br />

or GDR than trading the underlying security in a local market.<br />

Security liquidity<br />

Greater liquidity →lower execution risk and market impact.<br />

Real-time market conditions are likely to be different from<br />

those anticipated when investment decision was made.<br />

More predictable : Seasonal or local market holidays and<br />

quarter-end or year-end dates<br />

34b) Discuss inputs to the selection of a trading strategy.<br />

Dilemma of<br />

market<br />

impact and<br />

execution<br />

risk<br />

This dilemma closely relates to alpha decay.<br />

Increasing trading urgency → decreases execution risk<br />

Slicing order/patient execution → decreases market impact<br />

‘’Trading too fast increases market risk, but trading roo<br />

slow increases execution risk.’’<br />

Trading strategy should optimize the trade-off between<br />

decreasing market impact versus decreasing execution<br />

risk.<br />

IN-TEXT QUESTION<br />

Discuss how order size and security liquidity considerations affect market<br />

impact and execution risk for an order.<br />

Larger order<br />

size<br />

→ greater market impact and execution risk<br />

To minimize market impact, trade over a longer time<br />

horizons; →raises the execution risk of the order.<br />

User based<br />

considerations<br />

Less predictable: Market crisis and impact price volatility and<br />

bid-ask spreads.<br />

Also, being being removed or added to an index or, for fixed<br />

income securities, becoming off-the-run.<br />

Less risk averse managers →trade more patiently<br />

More risk averse managers →trade patiently<br />

More liquid<br />

security<br />

Higher rates of<br />

alpha decay<br />

Lower market impact and execution risk given that they<br />

can be transacted over shorter time horizons with<br />

greater certainty of execution.<br />

→ Lower execution risk (higher trade urgency)<br />

→ Higher market impact costs.


34c) Compare benchmarks for trade execution.<br />

Pretrade<br />

Decision price: The security price at the time of decision to buy or sell the<br />

security, used by quantitative managers.<br />

Previous close: Security’s closing price on the previous trading day. Used by<br />

quantitative managers for decision if none exists.<br />

Post<br />

trade<br />

Closing price: Used by index managers and mutual<br />

funds that wish to execute transactions at the closing<br />

price/NAV.<br />

Advantage<br />

Opening price: The security’s opening price for the day. Used as a proxy for the<br />

decision price by fundamental portfolio managers who are investing in a security<br />

for long-term alpha or growth potential. Unlike decision or closing price, it is free<br />

from overnight risk.<br />

Provides portfolio managers with the price used for fund<br />

valuation and thus minimizes potential tracking error.<br />

Disadvantage<br />

Intraday<br />

Not great if the trade is to be executed in the opening auction, because the trade<br />

itself can influence the reference benchmark.<br />

Arrival price: The price of the security at the time the order is entered into the<br />

market for execution. Best at minimize trading cost.<br />

Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP): If rebalancing portfolio, portfolio<br />

managers can use VWAP to structure their executions over time to ensure cash<br />

received from sell orders is sufficient to fund remaining buy orders.<br />

Price<br />

target<br />

Portfolio manager would not know whether they are<br />

performing more or less favorably until after trading is<br />

completed.<br />

Used to transact in a security—believed to be<br />

undervalued or overvalued—at a more favorable price.<br />

Say stock is trading at $20.00 and believed to be<br />

undervalued by $0.5<br />

Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP): An equal-weighted average price of<br />

trades executed over the specified time horizon. Useful to exclude potential<br />

trade outliers for which market participants are not able to fully participate.<br />

Used to evaluate fair and reasonable trading prices in markets with high volume<br />

uncertainty and for securities that are subject to spikes in trading volume<br />

throughout the day.<br />

Purchase by specifying a price target of ≤ $20.50 as the<br />

benchmark price.<br />

In this setting, the portfolio manager wishes to purchase<br />

as many order shares as possible at a price equal to or<br />

better (lower) than the specified price target.


Primary<br />

goal of<br />

trading<br />

strategy<br />

Common<br />

trade types<br />

34d) Select and justify a trading strategy (given relevant facts)<br />

Balance the expected costs and risks with portfolio manager’s<br />

trading objectives, and risk aversion, as well as other factors at<br />

the time of trading, such as:<br />

• Trade urgency,<br />

• Order size and<br />

• Security liquidity<br />

• Market conditions..<br />

Short-term alpha-driven equity trade (high trade urgency)<br />

Long-term alpha-driven fixed-income trade (low trade urgency)<br />

1 Closing price – most appropriate reference price<br />

• It is an index fund these are valued using official closing prices.<br />

• Trade motivation is to rebalance fund by maintaining the same<br />

security holdings and weights as the benchmark index.<br />

• Executing the buys and sells at the close, minimizes the fund’s<br />

potential tracking error to the benchmark index.<br />

Previous close –not appropriate benchmark price<br />

Risk rebalance: buy/sell basket trade to rebalance a fund’s risk<br />

exposure<br />

Cash flow driven: client redemption trade to raise proceeds<br />

Cash flow driven: cash equitization (derivatives) trade to invest a<br />

new client mandate<br />

A portfolio manager for a global fixed-income index fund is required to trade for<br />

quarterly index changes taking place at the end of the trading day. To keep the<br />

fund in line with the anticipated index constituent changes, the portfolio<br />

manager generates a fund rebalance list consisting of buys and sells. He<br />

approaches the senior trader to discuss the best trade strategy for the list.<br />

1. Identify the most appropriate reference price benchmark for his trade.<br />

2. Select/justify the most appropriate trading strategy to execute his trade.<br />

• It would be security’s closing price on the previous trading day.<br />

• Quantitative models or optimizers incorporate the previous<br />

close as an input or as a proxy for the decision price.<br />

Opening price –not appropriate benchmark price<br />

• It is often selected by portfolio managers and traders who wish<br />

to begin trading at the market open, and may be used as a<br />

proxy for the decision price.<br />

2 A market-on-close (MOC) trade – most appropriate.<br />

Trading the rebalance list at the market’s closing prices best aligns<br />

the trade execution prices with the same closing prices used for the<br />

fund’s NAV and benchmark calculation, thus minimizing tracking<br />

error of the fund to the benchmark index.


34e) Describe factors that typically determine the selection of a trading algorithm class.<br />

Implementation<br />

Human touch –<br />

• Illiquid<br />

securities<br />

• Extremely<br />

large trade<br />

sizes<br />

Automated<br />

execution<br />

• Liquid<br />

securities<br />

• Small sizes<br />

Exhibit 1<br />

Choices/methods to execute the chosen trade strategy:<br />

In principal trades, executing broker assumes all or<br />

part of the risk, pricing it into her quoted spread. Wider<br />

bid–ask spread quoted by dealer for taking on this<br />

additional risk.<br />

In agency trades, broker is agent only, finds the other<br />

side of the trade; risk remains with the buy-side portfolio<br />

manager or trader.<br />

Algorithmic trading, is well established in most equity,<br />

forex, and exchange-traded derivative markets.<br />

Involved Direct Market Access (DMA) all participants<br />

can interact directly with the order book of an exchange,<br />

usually through a broker’s exchange connectivity.<br />

In fixed income, algorithmic execution is mostly limited<br />

to trading highly liquid government securities, such as<br />

US Treasury securities.<br />

In most asset classes, electronic trading increased over<br />

the period to more than 50% of total trading volume.<br />

High touch:<br />

High-yield bonds, illiquid hard to find counter party.<br />

Electronic trading:<br />

Cash equities and futures


Execution<br />

algorithms.<br />

Profitseeking<br />

algorithms.<br />

Algorithmic Trading – 2 types<br />

34e) Describe factors that typically determine the selection of a trading algorithm class.<br />

• Input – what to buy/sell per investment style/objective.<br />

• Output – algorithm executes buy/sell input<br />

• Input –Investment style/objective.<br />

• Output – algorithm determines what to buy/sell, based on<br />

real-time price, market data (e.g., volume and volatility).<br />

Scheduled<br />

(POV,<br />

VWAP,<br />

TWAP)<br />

Execution algorithms.<br />

Appropriateness/factors determining their use in orders:<br />

• Expectations of adverse price movement in horizon.<br />

• Risk tolerance for longer execution time periods<br />

Execution algorithms.<br />

• More concerned with minimizing market impact.<br />

Scheduled<br />

(POV,<br />

VWAP,<br />

TWAP)<br />

Percentage of volume (POV) algorithms: Send orders<br />

following a volume participation schedule.<br />

A POV of 10% means for every 10,000 shares that trade in<br />

the market, the algorithm will execute 1,000 shares.<br />

Advantage: Automatically trade more shares when there is<br />

ample market liquidity and will not trade in times of illiquidity.<br />

Disadvantage: Higher trading costs by continuing to buy as<br />

prices move higher and to sell as prices move lower; and<br />

may not complete order within the time period specified.<br />

VWAP algorithms: Slices the order into smaller amounts<br />

and sends to market following a time slicing schedule based<br />

on historical intraday volume profiles. Typically U-shaped,<br />

trading a higher % of the order at the open and close and a<br />

smaller % during midday.<br />

TWAP algorithms: Slices and sends equal number (or %)<br />

of shares/order to be traded in each time period.<br />

Liquidity<br />

seeking or<br />

opportunistic<br />

algorithms<br />

• Small order sizes (


34e) Describe factors that typically determine the selection of a trading algorithm class.<br />

Execution algorithms.<br />

Execution algorithms.<br />

Arrival price<br />

Dark<br />

strategies/<br />

liquidity<br />

aggregators<br />

These trade close to current market prices at the time the order<br />

is received for execution (front-loaded strategy). Tend to be<br />

time schedule than volume participation based.<br />

Appropriateness/factors determining their use in orders:<br />

• Prices would move unfavorably during the trade horizon.<br />

• Trade more quickly to reduce the execution risk.<br />

• Security is relatively liquid or the order is not outsized.<br />

Execute shares away from “lit” markets, that provide pre- and<br />

post-trade transparency regarding prices, volumes, market<br />

spreads, and depth.<br />

Instead, these algorithms execute in opaque, or less<br />

transparent, trade venues, such as dark pools.<br />

Appropriateness/factors determining their use in orders:<br />

• Information leakage during posting limit orders.<br />

• Order size is large relative to the market<br />

• Trading in the open market would lead to market impact.<br />

• Illiquid securities, or with wide bid–ask spreads.<br />

Smart<br />

order<br />

routers<br />

(SORs)<br />

Routes orders to the destination with the highest probability of<br />

executing the limit order and the venue with the best market<br />

price for market orders.<br />

The SOR continuously monitors real-time data from exchanges<br />

and venues and also assesses ongoing activity in dark pools.<br />

Appropriateness/factors determining their use in orders:<br />

Market orders<br />

• Orders small enough that will not have a large market impact<br />

if sent (less than the quantity posted at the best bid or offer).<br />

• Orders that require immediate execution because of<br />

imminent price movement.<br />

Limit orders<br />

• Orders small enough that will not leak information to the<br />

market and move prices (orders that are similar to those<br />

currently posted in the market).<br />

• When there are multiple venues currently posting orders at<br />

the trader’s limit price.<br />

• No need to execute the order in its entirety.


34e) Describe factors that typically determine the selection of a trading algorithm class.<br />

A portfolio manager has identified a stock with attractive long-term growth<br />

potential and would like to place an order of moderate size, relative to the<br />

stock’s average traded volume. The stock is very liquid and has attractive<br />

short-term alpha potential. The portfolio manager expects short-term buying<br />

pressure by other market participants into the market close, ahead of the<br />

company’s earnings call scheduled later in the day.<br />

1. Explain when the following algorithms are used: (a) arrival price, (b) dark<br />

aggregator, and (c) SOR.<br />

c) Smart<br />

order<br />

routing<br />

systems<br />

(SORs)<br />

Appropriateness/when to use:<br />

Market orders<br />

• Orders small enough to not impact price<br />

• Orders require immediate execution<br />

Limit orders<br />

• Orders small enough that will not leak information<br />

• Multiple venues currently posting orders at the<br />

trader’s limit price.<br />

a) Arrival price<br />

algorithms<br />

b) Dark<br />

aggregator<br />

algorithms<br />

Appropriateness/when to use:<br />

• Liquid securities, order not expected to market impact.<br />

• Higher levels of risk aversion require more<br />

aggressive/faster trading to reduce the execution risk.<br />

• Illiquid securities, with wide bid–ask spreads<br />

• Large sizes with large price impact if traded in open<br />

market.<br />

• Concerns about information leakage during posting of<br />

limit orders in lit venues.<br />

2. Discuss which of the 3 algorithms is most suited to trading this order.<br />

Adverse<br />

price<br />

expectations<br />

Trade<br />

urgency<br />

Arrival price<br />

Manager expects short-term buying pressure into the<br />

market close, ahead of the company’s earnings call<br />

scheduled later in the day<br />

Has to trade more aggressively to capture alpha ahead of<br />

less favorable prices expected later in the day.<br />

Executing the order more quickly, at more favorable<br />

prices ahead of the adverse price movement and the less<br />

favorable prices expected from other participants’ buying<br />

pressure into the close, in line with his trade urgency.<br />

• When order does not need to be filled in its entirety, as<br />

dark pools have higher risk of unfilled executions.<br />

Summary<br />

Stocks with similar characteristics might need similar<br />

execution, some machine learning technique called<br />

“clustering” to the problem of algorithmic strategy selection.


34f) Contrast key characteristics of the following markets in relation to trade implementation: equity, fixed<br />

income, options and futures, OTC derivatives, and spot currency.<br />

Equities<br />

Fixed<br />

income<br />

In relation to trade implementation<br />

Generally traded on exchanges and dark pools:<br />

• Exchanges are lit markets, provide pre-trade transparency—<br />

namely, limit orders that reflect trader intentions for trade side<br />

(buy or sell), price, and size. However, detailed book data<br />

may be costly and available only to some market participants.<br />

• Dark pools provide anonymity, but regardless of the trading<br />

venue, transactions/quantities are always reported. Also,<br />

called Alternative Trading Systems (ALTs in USA) or in<br />

Europe, Multilateral Trading Facilities (MTF)<br />

and Systematic Internalisers (SI), typically regulated as<br />

brokers/dealer, rather than exchanges.<br />

• Low market transparency,<br />

• Sourcing market liquidity relies on dealers/counterparties (i.e.,<br />

principal trades), via electronic RFQ platforms.<br />

• Limited algorithmic trading, except for on-the-run US<br />

Treasuries, bond and interest rate futures contracts.<br />

• Market illiquidity, large size and low frequency of potential<br />

trades creates challenges for algorithmic trading.<br />

• High-touch trading persists for larger trades and less liquid<br />

securities, urgent trades done via broker risk trades (RFQs),<br />

• Large, non-urgent trades are generally implemented using a<br />

high-touch approach, with brokers acting as agents to source<br />

liquidity (agency trades instead of principal trades).<br />

Exchangetraded<br />

derivatives<br />

(options and<br />

futures)<br />

Offexchange<br />

(OTC)<br />

derivatives<br />

Spot<br />

currencies<br />

trades/<br />

markets<br />

• High market transparency as trade price, size, quote, and<br />

depth of book data are publicly available.<br />

• Electronic trading is widespread; however, algorithmic is not<br />

as evolved, more used for futures trading than options.<br />

• Large, urgent trades “sweep the book” where market depth<br />

is relatively good. Large, non-urgent trades done<br />

electronically through trading algorithms.<br />

• Buy-side traders generally use direct market access,<br />

particularly for small trades.<br />

• Opaque with little public data about prices, trade sizes, and<br />

structure details, with regulators seeking transparency and<br />

reducing counterparty risk.<br />

• Dodd–Frank Wall Act increased post-trade transparency<br />

with the establishment of swap data repositories (SDRs) to<br />

which trade details must be submitted.<br />

• Large, urgent trades done as broker risk trades; non urgent<br />

ones done via high-touch agency trade, a strong price<br />

concession often required to find a buyer or seller.<br />

• Entirely OTC, opaque, almost no cross-border regulation.<br />

• Multiple levels: top level is interbank (large bank/dealers);<br />

next level smaller banks/FSOs buy from interbank; then<br />

firms/retail traders commercial companies and retail traders<br />

that buy from middle level, paying higher bid–ask spread.<br />

• For large, urgent trades, RFQs are submitted to multiple<br />

dealers competing; non-urgent executed using algorithms<br />

(TWAP) or a high-touch agency approach.<br />

• Small trades are usually implemented using DMA.


34f) Contrast key characteristics of the following markets in relation to trade implementation: equity, fixed<br />

income, options and futures, OTC derivatives, and spot currency.<br />

IN-TEXT QUESTION<br />

A hedge fund manager has three trades that<br />

she would like to execute for her fund. The<br />

orders are for:<br />

1. a large, non-urgent sell of OTC options,<br />

2. a large, urgent sell of corporate bonds,<br />

and<br />

3. a small, non-urgent buy of six liquid<br />

emerging market currencies.<br />

Describe factors affecting trade<br />

implementation for each trade.<br />

1 A large, non-urgent sell of OTC options:<br />

• A broker agency trade, broker finds a matching buyer for the options.<br />

• Depending on the level of contract customization, however, a significant price<br />

concession may be required by the manager to complete order execution.<br />

2 A large, urgent sell of corporate bonds<br />

• Broker risk trade via the RFQ process, due corporate bond illiquidity, the<br />

likelihood of finding a matching buyer is low.<br />

• For more immediate (urgent) order execution, a broker act as counterparty<br />

(dealer) to the trade, taking the bonds and their associated risk into his inventory.<br />

3 Small, non-urgent trades in foreign exchange<br />

• Generally executed using direct market access (DMA).<br />

• DMA allows the buy-side trader to electronically route orders using the broker’s<br />

technology infrastructure and market access and typically involves algorithmic<br />

trading.


Implementation Shortfall<br />

A portfolio manager decides to buy 100,000 shares of RLK<br />

at 9:00 a.m., when the price is $30.00. He sets a limit price<br />

of $30.50 for the order. The buy-side trader does not<br />

release the order to the market for execution until 10:30<br />

a.m., when the price is $30.10. The fund is charged a<br />

commission of $0.02/share and no other fees.<br />

At the EOD, 80,000 shares are executed and RLK closes at<br />

$30.65. Order and execution details are as follows:<br />

34g) Explain how trade costs are measured and determine the cost of a trade.<br />

1. Calculate execution cost<br />

• Real portfolio (at transacted prices)<br />

less paper portfolio (at decision price)<br />

2. Calculate opportunity cost<br />

• Failure to execute all at decision price.<br />

30,000 shares × $30.20<br />

+ 20,000 shares × $30.30<br />

+ 20,000 shares × $30.40<br />

+ 10,000 shares × $30.50<br />

= $2,425,000<br />

$2,425,000 − (80,000 × $30.00) = $25,000<br />

(100,000 − 80,000)($30.65 − $30.00) = $13,000<br />

3. Calculate fixed fees 80,000 × $0.02 = $1,600<br />

4. Calculate implementation shortfall in<br />

basis points.<br />

Execution + opportunity + fees<br />

total shares<br />

$25,000 + $13,000 + $1,600 = $39,600<br />

$39,600 x 10,000 bps = 132 bps<br />

100,000 x $30.00<br />

5. Discuss how opportunity cost could be minimized for the trade.<br />

• Opportunity cost was $13,000 on 100,000 − 80,000 = 20,000 shares.<br />

• It accounts for $13,000/$39,600 = 32% of the Implementation Shortfall cost.<br />

• If known in advance, could have reduced the size of the order to 80,000 shares<br />

• Invested the extra 20,000 shares × $30.00/share = $600,000 in second most attractive<br />

investment opportunity.


34g) Explain how trade costs are measured and determine the cost of a trade.<br />

Implementation Shortfall<br />

A portfolio manager decides to buy 100,000 shares of<br />

RLK at 9:00 a.m., when the price is $30.00. He sets a<br />

limit price of $30.50 for the order. The buy-side trader<br />

does not release the order to the market for execution<br />

until 10:30 a.m., when the price is $30.10. The fund is<br />

charged a commission of $0.02/share and no other fees.<br />

At the EOD, 80,000 shares are executed and RLK<br />

closes at $30.65. Order and execution details are:<br />

6. Calculate delay cost<br />

• Price gain between decision and release to market.<br />

7. Calculate trading cost<br />

• Real portfolio (at transacted prices)<br />

less paper portfolio (at release price)<br />

8. Show expanded implementation shortfall in<br />

basis points<br />

80,000 shares x $30.10<br />

80,000 shares x $30.00<br />

$8,000<br />

30,000 shares × $30.20<br />

+ 20,000 shares × $30.30<br />

+ 20,000 shares × $30.40<br />

+ 10,000 shares × $30.50<br />

= $2,425,000<br />

= $2,425,000 − (80,000 × $30.10 = $17,000<br />

$8,000 + $17,000 + $13,000 $1,600 = $39,600<br />

Delay + Trading [= Execution] + opportunity + fees<br />

total shares<br />

$39,600 x 10,000 bps = 132 bps<br />

100,000 x $30.00<br />

9. Discuss how delay cost could be minimized for the trade.<br />

• Delay cost is caused by time lag between investment decision and release of order to the<br />

market; and accounts for a sizable $8,000/$39,600 = 20.2% of the total IS.<br />

• Proactively provide buy-side trader with broker performance metrics, to quickly identify the<br />

best broker and/or algorithm to execute the order given its characteristics and current market<br />

conditions.<br />

• This will minimizing the time lag between order receipt and market execution.


34h) Evaluate the execution of a trade.<br />

Trade cost analysis (TCA)<br />

Benchmark/REF price<br />

Cost (in $)<br />

Evaluates the execution quality of<br />

the trade and the overall<br />

performance of the trader, broker,<br />

and/or algorithm<br />

Arrival price, VWAP, TWAP,<br />

MOC, MAC<br />

Side x (P AVG – P REF ) x shares<br />

Cost (in $ per share) Side x (P AVG – P REF )<br />

Cost (in bps)<br />

P AVG<br />

P REF<br />

Shares<br />

Side<br />

Buy order (+1) → P AVG > P REF<br />

Side x (P AVG – P REF ) x 10,000 bps<br />

P REF<br />

bps represent a standardized<br />

measure across order sizes,<br />

market prices, and currencies<br />

Average execution price of order<br />

Reference price<br />

Number of shares executed<br />

+ 1 Buy order<br />

─ 1 Sell order<br />

+ value is u/performance<br />

Arrival<br />

price<br />

VWAP<br />

TWAP<br />

Market price at the time the order was released to the market and the actual<br />

transaction price for the fund.<br />

Example: Buy order at P AVG = $30.05; Arrival price, P REF = $30.00.<br />

Arrival Cost (bps) = +1 x (30.05 - $30.00)/ $30.00 x 10 4 bps = 16.7 bps<br />

The fund underperform the Arrival price benchmark.<br />

Captures all market activity over the day, including all buying and selling<br />

pressure, and market noise; provides reasonable indication of the fair cost<br />

for market participants over the day.<br />

Example: Buy order at P AVG = $30.05; VWAP over trading horizon = $30.04<br />

VWAP Cost ($) = +1 x (30.05 - $30.04)/$30.04 x 10 4 bps = 3.3 bps<br />

The fund underperform the VWAP because of the bid–ask spread and the<br />

buying or selling pressure associated with the order.<br />

Alternative to VWAP, used when managers wish to exclude potential trade<br />

price outliers.<br />

Sell order (─1) → P AVG < P REF<br />

Buy order (+1) → P AVG < P REF<br />

Sell order (─1) → P AVG > P REF<br />

+ value is u/performance<br />

─ value is savings o/performance<br />

─ value is savings o/performance<br />

Example: Buy order at P AVG = $30.05; TWAP over trading horizon = $30.06<br />

TWAP Cost ($) = +1 x (30.05 - $30.06)/ $30.06 x 10 4 bps = ─3.3 bps (o/p)<br />

The fund outperformed the TWAP benchmark by 3.3 bps.


34h) Evaluate the execution of a trade.<br />

Market<br />

on<br />

Close<br />

(MOC)<br />

Used by index managers and mutual funds that wish to<br />

achieve the closing price on the day and compare their actual<br />

transaction prices with the closing price.<br />

Ensures benchmark cost measure will be consistent with the<br />

valuation of the fund and with the tracking error calculation.<br />

Example: A portfolio manager executing a buy order using an<br />

MOC strategy transacts the order at an average price of<br />

$30.40. The stock’s official closing price is $30.50.<br />

MAC<br />

We can isolate the price movement due to the general market from the<br />

cost due to the impact of the order:<br />

MAC (bps) = Arrival cost (bps) − β × Index cost (bps)<br />

Index cost (bps) = Side x (Index VWAP – Index Arrival Price) x 10 4<br />

Index Arrival Price<br />

β is the stock’s beta to the underlying index, removes the price change<br />

that would have occurred even if the order was not entered.<br />

Market-<br />

Adjusted<br />

Cost<br />

(MAC)<br />

Close (bps) = Side x (P AVG – P CLOSE ) x 10,000 bps<br />

P CLOSE<br />

= +1 x (30.40 - 30.50)/ 30.50 x 10 4 bps = ─32.80 bps<br />

Order was executed 32.8 bps more favorably than the closing<br />

price of the order. In an index fund, the outperformance would<br />

contribute to positive tracking error for the fund.<br />

Besides market impact costs,<br />

• Buying in a rising market incurs higher cost<br />

• Selling in a falling market incurs high cost<br />

Similarly,<br />

• Buying in a falling market incurs lower cost<br />

• Selling in a rising market incurs lower cost<br />

Ex. Buy order was placed at P AVG = $30.50 and arrival price = $30.00.<br />

Index price was $500, and market index VWAP over the trade horizon<br />

was $505 and β = 1.25 [buying in rising market, $500 to $505)<br />

Compute the Market-adjusted cost:<br />

Steps 1. Arrival cost (bps) = +1 x (30.50 - 30.00)/ 30.00 x 10 4 = 166.7 bps<br />

Interpret<br />

2. Index cost (bps) = +1 x (505 - 500)/500 x 10 4 = 100 bps<br />

3. MAC = 166.7 bps – 1.25 x 100 bps = 41.7 bps<br />

We spent 166.7 bps more, but 125 bps of that came from buying<br />

in a rising market.<br />

The true impact of the order was just 41.7 bps!


34h) Evaluate the execution of a trade.<br />

Selling in a Falling Market<br />

A PM executes a sell order at an average price of $29.50. The arrival price at the<br />

time the order was entered into the market was $30.00. The selected index price at<br />

the time of order entry was $500, and market index VWAP over the trade horizon<br />

was $495. The stock has a beta to the index of 1.25.<br />

Added<br />

Value<br />

Another methodology is to compare the arrival cost with the<br />

estimated pre-trade cost (EPTC).<br />

EPTC relies on a pre-trade model with order size, volatility,<br />

market liquidity, investor risk aversion, level of urgency, and<br />

the underlying market conditions at the time of the trade.<br />

1. Arrival<br />

cost.<br />

2. Index<br />

cost<br />

Arrival Cost (bps) = Side x (P AVG – P REF ) x 10 4 bps<br />

P REF<br />

─1 x (29.50 - $30.00)/ $30.00 x 10 4 bps = + 166.7 bps<br />

U/performed the arrival price benchmark, likely attributable to market<br />

movement than inferior performance from the broker or algorithm.<br />

Index cost (bps) = Side x (Index VWAP – Index Arrival Price) x 10 4<br />

Index Arrival Price<br />

─1 x ($495 - $500)/ $500 x 10 4 bps = + 100 bps<br />

Added value (bps) = Arrival cost (bps) – EPTC (bps)<br />

Example: PM executes a buy order at P AVG = $50.35,<br />

P ARR = $50.00. Prior to trading, buy-side trader performs<br />

pre-trade analysis and finds that the EPTC is 60 bps.<br />

The pre-trade adjustment is calculated as follows:<br />

Arrival Cost (bps) = +1 x ($50.35 - $50.00)/ $50.00 x 10 4<br />

= + 70 bps<br />

Added value = 70 bps − 60 bps = + 10 bps<br />

3. MAC<br />

(bps)<br />

Interpretation<br />

Arrival cost (bps) − β × Index cost (bps)<br />

166.7 bps – 1.25 x 100 bps = 41.7 bps<br />

Sell order was executed in a falling market, resulted in an arrival<br />

cost of 166.7 bps for the investor. However, 125 bps of this cost<br />

was due to market movement, irrespective of the order. Thus,<br />

MAC for order is 41.7 bps.<br />

Proper trade<br />

cost<br />

evaluation<br />

informs where<br />

trading<br />

activities may<br />

be improved:<br />

Fund underperformed pre-trade expectations by 10 bps.<br />

Through better trade governance, policies and<br />

processes used to manage trading-related activities.<br />

Such internal trade management practices, may<br />

include the use of:<br />

• Appropriate trading partners and<br />

• Venues.


Trade policy<br />

document<br />

Best Order Execution<br />

Optimal Order<br />

Execution Approach<br />

34i) Evaluate a firm’s trading procedures, including processes, disclosures, and record keeping with respect to good governance.<br />

Typically mandated by major market regulators, it<br />

articulates the firm’s trading policies and<br />

escalation procedures doe issues that cannot be<br />

resolved by standard procedures.<br />

Relevant Regulatory Frameworks require that<br />

Firms execute orders on terms most favorable to<br />

the client, by considering trade-offs between:<br />

• Execution price,<br />

• Trading costs,<br />

• Speed of execution,<br />

• Likelihood of execution and settlement,<br />

• Order size, and<br />

• Nature of the trade.<br />

For example, although market impact costs can<br />

lowered by trading more patiently, patient trading<br />

may be suboptimal for an asset manager that<br />

uses extremely short-horizon expected return<br />

forecasts, which decay quickly.<br />

Prioritise factors like:<br />

• Urgency of an order,<br />

• Characteristics of the securities traded,<br />

• Characteristics of the execution,<br />

• Venues/platforms used,<br />

• Investment strategy objectives (ST/LT),<br />

• Rationale/motivation for a trade.<br />

List of Eligible<br />

Brokers and<br />

Execution<br />

Venues<br />

Process Used to<br />

Monitor<br />

Execution<br />

Arrangements<br />

• Quality of service<br />

• Financial stability<br />

• Reputation<br />

• Settlement capabilities<br />

• Speed of execution<br />

• Cost competitiveness<br />

• Willingness to commit capital (act as dealer).<br />

All brokers and execution venues used should be subject<br />

to ongoing monitoring for reputational risk, irregularities<br />

(such as trading errors), criminal actions, and financial<br />

stability.<br />

• What was the execution quality of a trade relative to its<br />

benchmark (e.g., arrival price, VWAP, TWAP, MOC)?<br />

• Is there an appropriate balance between trading costs<br />

and opportunity costs (for non-executed trades)?<br />

Trading records should archived, used to:<br />

• Address client concerns<br />

• Address regulator concerns<br />

• Assist in improving execution quality.<br />

• Monitor the parties involved in trading/order execution<br />

Policies enacted, involving portfolio management, risk,<br />

and legal/compliance departments. If no formal committee<br />

is tasked with owning this document, then the<br />

legal/compliance should, with collaboration from portfolio<br />

management and risk management functions.


34i) Evaluate a firm’s trading procedures, including processes, disclosures, and record keeping with respect to good governance.<br />

Choice of Broker<br />

ABC Asset Management (ABCAM) is one of the world’s largest asset<br />

managers. ABCAM has been using AAA Brokerage (AAAB) as its<br />

exclusive broker for a number of its funds for many years. Other<br />

brokers are used only for market segments in which AAAB does not<br />

have business operations. The leadership of ABCAM explains its<br />

choice of broker by stating, “Because of its long-standing business<br />

relationship with AAAB, ABCAM has a uniquely informed insight into<br />

the operations of AAAB, which provides greater comfort and assurance<br />

that AAAB will fulfill its duties when compared with other brokers.”<br />

Discuss whether this practice is permissible and can be justified.<br />

Solution:<br />

ABCAM needs to show that it takes all sufficient steps to ensure best<br />

execution for its clients’ trades. This includes choosing brokers that<br />

provide the best service for potential best execution.<br />

In order to justify that AAAB is the right broker to use, ABCAM must<br />

demonstrate that it has done comparisons of different brokers, that this<br />

analysis is regularly conducted with updates, and that each time AAAB is<br />

found to be the best choice for order implementation.<br />

A thorough and unbiased analysis is required for this. Stating a subjective<br />

opinion, such as the explanation provided by ABCAM leadership, is not<br />

sufficient justification.<br />

Trade Policy Document<br />

For several decades, XYZ Capital has been running enhanced index funds.<br />

These funds have low levels of target tracking error compared with their marketweighted<br />

benchmarks. The firm’s trade policy document has a focus on<br />

minimizing trading costs and defines best execution as follows:<br />

“The firm takes all sufficient steps to obtain the best possible result in executing<br />

orders; that is, the firm makes its best attempt to achieve the best execution price<br />

and lowest trading cost possible for every transaction. In this way, the firm<br />

achieves best execution for its client portfolios.”<br />

Discuss whether the trade policy statement is in line with regulatory<br />

requirements and client best interests.<br />

Achieving the best execution price at the lowest trading cost possible is only<br />

part of the best execution effort. To ensure that clients and their portfolios are<br />

served in the best manner possible, other factors require consideration.<br />

These considerations include the speed of execution, the alignment of execution<br />

approach and execution horizon with the investment process, the likelihood of<br />

execution to be optimal, and so on. An exclusive focus on best execution price<br />

and lowest trading cost is too narrow a definition to achieve best client<br />

execution.<br />

For example, doing so could leave many trades unexecuted, which would<br />

result in increased opportunity costs from lost opportunities that could not be<br />

implemented.


PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT<br />

Reading 35: Portfolio Performance Evaluation<br />

Reading 36: Investment Manager Selection


35a) Explain the following components of portfolio evaluation and their interrelationships: performance measurement, performance attribution, and performance appraisal.<br />

35b) Describe attributes of an effective attribution process.<br />

35c) Distinguish between return attribution and risk attribution and between macro and micro return attribution<br />

35d) Describe returns-based, holdings-based, and transactions-based performance attribution, including advantages and disadvantages of each.<br />

Performance<br />

measurement<br />

Components of portfolio evaluation<br />

What was the portfolio’s performance?<br />

• Portfolio return over benchmark return.<br />

Effective<br />

performance<br />

attribution<br />

process:<br />

Performance attribution<br />

• Account for all of the portfolio’s return or risk exposure;<br />

• Reflect the investment decision-making process;<br />

• Quantify the active decisions of the manager; and<br />

• Full clarity on the excess return/risk of the portfolio.<br />

Performance<br />

attribution<br />

• The risk incurred to achieve that return<br />

How was the performance achieved?<br />

• Return attribution analyzes the impact of active<br />

investment decisions on returns;<br />

• Returnsbased<br />

attribution<br />

Sources of returns by breakdown of total portfolio returns<br />

Useful when underlying portfolio holding information is not<br />

available (e.g. hedge funds).<br />

Easiest method to implement, but least accurate<br />

Performance<br />

appraisal<br />

• Risk attribution analyzes the risk consequences<br />

of those decisions.<br />

Extendable to:<br />

• Asset owner’s TAA (micro-attribution); and<br />

• Manager selection decisions (macro attribution)<br />

Was the performance achieved through manager<br />

skill or luck?<br />

Makes use of risk, return, and attribution analyses<br />

to draw conclusions regarding the quality of a<br />

portfolio’s performance.<br />

• Holdingsbased<br />

attribution<br />

• Transactions<br />

-based<br />

attribution<br />

Sources of returns by BOP holdings of the portfolio; more<br />

accurate over short period as holdings change overtime<br />

Doesn’t capture intra-period transactions, needs recon to actual<br />

portfolio return (residual/timing or trading effect).<br />

Great for passive strategies with little turnover.<br />

Both the weights and returns reflect all transactions during the<br />

period, including transaction costs.<br />

Best method, but most time-consuming, the underlying data must<br />

be complete, and reconciled from period to period.<br />

Return used will reconcile with the return presented to the client.


35e) Interpret the sources of portfolio returns using a specified attribution approach.<br />

Equity Return Attribution<br />

The Brinson–Hood–Beebower Model<br />

Energy<br />

Health care<br />

Financials<br />

Portfolio return, R Benchmark return, B Excess return<br />

+ 50% × 18%<br />

+ 30% × −3%<br />

+ 20% × 10%<br />

+ 50% × 10%<br />

+ 20% × −2%<br />

+ 30% × 12%<br />

Arithmetic<br />

difference, R - B<br />

Total 10.1% 8.2% 1.9% or 190 bps.<br />

Allocation effect<br />

Value added by having portfolio sector weights that are<br />

different from the benchmark sector weights:<br />

A i = (w i − W i )B i • Energy: (50% − 50%) × 10% = 0.0%<br />

• Health care: (30% − 20%) × −2.0% = −0.2%<br />

• Financials: (20% − 30%) × 12% = −1.2%<br />

• Total allocation effect = –1.4%<br />

Exhibit 2<br />

Provides data for a three-sector domestic equity<br />

portfolio, used to illustrate the BHB model.<br />

Security<br />

selection<br />

Value added by holding individual securities or within the<br />

sector in different-from-benchmark weights.<br />

S i = W i (R i − B i ) • Energy: 50% × (18% − 10%) = 4.0%<br />

• Health care: 20% × (–3% − –2.0%) = −0.2%<br />

• Financials: 30% × (10% − 12%) = −0.6%<br />

• Total selection effect = 3.2%<br />

Interaction (I)<br />

effect<br />

I i =<br />

(w i − W i )(R i − B i )<br />

Allocation (–1.4%) and selection (3.2%) = just 1.8% of the<br />

1.9%. To explain the remaining 0.1%, the BHB model uses<br />

the ‘I effect’, between allocation and selection decision.<br />

• Energy: (50% − 50%) × (18% − 10%) = 0.0%<br />

• Health care: (30% − 20%) × (–3% − –2.0%) = −0.1%<br />

• Financials: (20% − 30%) × (10% − 12%) = 0.2%<br />

• Total interaction effect = 0.1%


35e) Interpret the sources of portfolio returns using a specified attribution approach.<br />

In the<br />

BHB<br />

model<br />

BF<br />

Model<br />

R B Excess return<br />

Total 10.1% 8.2% 1.9% or 190 bps.<br />

A i = (w i − W i )B i • Energy: (50% − 50%) × 10% = 0.0%<br />

• Health care: (30% − 20%) × −2.0% = −0.2%<br />

• Financials: (20% − 30%) × 12% = −1.2%<br />

• Total allocation effect = –1.4%<br />

Brinson–Fachler Model<br />

Allocation effect, A i = (w i − W i )B i > 0 = positive:<br />

If we o/w a sector i with positive return, even when the sector<br />

return < overall benchmark return (i.e., B i < B).<br />

Solves this problem by modifying the asset allocation factor to<br />

compare returns with the overall benchmark:<br />

B S − B<br />

The contribution to arithmetic excess return from sector<br />

allocation for the portfolio = 6.8% − 8.2% = −1.4%.<br />

A i = (w i − W i )(B i − B) Energy: (50% - 50%) x (10% - 8.20%) = 0.0%<br />

Health care: (30% - 20%) x (-2.0% - 8.20%) = -1.02%<br />

Financials: (20% - 30%) x (12.0% - 8.20%) = - 0.38%<br />

Total allocation effect = –1.4%<br />

Impact in<br />

Health<br />

care is<br />

greater<br />

Impact in<br />

financials<br />

is much<br />

smaller<br />

Manager is o/w (by 10%) in a negative market = −0.2%<br />

Penalized by opportunity cost of market 10% × −8.2% = −0.82%<br />

Total impact<br />

= −1.02%.<br />

Portfolio is 10% o/w in a market that is u/performing the overall<br />

market by −10.2% (−2.0% − 8.2%) and generating a loss of −1.02%<br />

u/w by 10% in a positive market cost = −1.2%<br />

Opportunity cost o/w in overall market −10% × −8.2% = 0.82%<br />

Total impact of<br />

−0.38%.<br />

Net effect<br />

As expected, at the portfolio level, the allocation effect of −1.4%<br />

remains the same as that calculated with the BHB model.


Interpreting the Results of a BHB Attribution<br />

35e) Interpret the sources of portfolio returns using a specified attribution approach.<br />

C is correct.<br />

B, C, A, A<br />

The manager is underweight in APAC, 20% vs a benchmark weight of 30%.<br />

The APAC portion of the portfolio underperformed, with a −0.50%<br />

benchmark return versus the total benchmark return of 0.81%.<br />

3. Which of the following conclusions from the above attribution analysis<br />

is most correct?<br />

1. Why is the contribution to selection for Europe, the Middle East, and<br />

Africa (EMEA) negative?<br />

A. The total benchmark return is less than the total portfolio return.<br />

B. The manager selected securities in EMEA that underperformed the<br />

benchmark.<br />

C. The manager underweighted an outperforming sector.<br />

B is correct.<br />

The manager selected securities that u/performed, with a portfolio return<br />

for EMEA of 0.7% vs a benchmark return of 1.5%.<br />

2. Why is the contribution to allocation for APAC equal to +5 bps?<br />

A. The benchmark weight and the portfolio weight are equal.<br />

B. The manager has an o/w position in an overperforming region.<br />

C. The manager has an u/w position in an underperforming region.<br />

A. The manager’s SS decisions were better in the Americas than in APAC.<br />

B. The manager’s SS decisions were better in EMEA than in APAC.<br />

C. The manager’s allocation decisions were better in APAC than in EMEA.<br />

A is correct.<br />

As reflected in the contribution to selection, the manager’s security selection<br />

decisions were better in the Americas (0.48%) than in APAC (–0.30%).<br />

4. Which of the following conclusions from the above attribution analysis<br />

is most correct?<br />

A. Overall, the manager made better allocation decisions than SS decisions.<br />

B. Overall, the manager made better SS decisions than allocation decisions.<br />

C. Contribution from interaction was most noticeable in the Americas.<br />

A is correct.<br />

Overall, the manager made better allocation decisions (0.20%) than selection<br />

decisions (–0.<strong>14</strong>%).


The<br />

issue<br />

Equities<br />

Brinson–Fachler focuses on SS, AA, interaction of SS and AA. How<br />

about other decisions within the investment process?<br />

R p − R f = a p + b p1 RMRF + b p2 SMB + b p3 HML + b p4 WML + E p<br />

35f) Interpret the output from fixed-income attribution analyses.<br />

A, A<br />

A is the correct answer.<br />

The negative coefficient on SMB indicates that the manager had a<br />

slight large-cap bias relative to the benchmark.<br />

The slight tilt on WML (+0.02) combined with a positive return to the<br />

factor resulted in a positive contribution to return.<br />

The below-benchmark beta of RMRF (–0.05) combined with a<br />

positive return to the factor resulted in a negative contribution to<br />

return.<br />

2. What investment approach, not taken by the portfolio<br />

manager, could have delivered more value to the portfolio<br />

during the investment period?<br />

A. A momentum-based approach<br />

B. A growth-oriented approach<br />

C. A small-cap-based approach<br />

Factor-Based Attribution<br />

Use the data from Exhibit 5 to answer the following questions.<br />

1. Which of the following statements is not correct?<br />

A. The manager’s slight small-cap tilt contributed positively to return.<br />

B. The manager’s slight momentum tilt contributed positively to return.<br />

C. The manager’s below-benchmark beta contributed negatively to return.<br />

A is correct.<br />

Had the manager overweighted momentum stocks during the period,<br />

the momentum factor (WML) return of 9.63% would have contributed<br />

significant positive performance to the portfolio.


Fixed income<br />

portfolios<br />

• Exposure<br />

decomposition<br />

—duration<br />

based<br />

• Yield curve<br />

decomposition<br />

—full repricing<br />

based<br />

• Yield curve<br />

decomposition<br />

—duration<br />

based<br />

Durations<br />

• Short < 5<br />

• Mid 5 – 10<br />

• Long > 10<br />

For instance, a<br />

bond with a<br />

duration of 5.5 is<br />

treated the same as<br />

a bond with a<br />

duration of 9.5 in<br />

terms of its relative<br />

impact on the<br />

portfolio versus its<br />

benchmark<br />

35f) Interpret the output from fixed-income attribution analyses.<br />

Inferences<br />

PDur (8.17) vs Bdur (7.19):<br />

• Manager bullish on long-term<br />

bonds (interest rates↓),<br />

increasing exposure to the<br />

long end curve (50%) vs 30%<br />

for the benchmark).<br />

Corporate sector (60% v 45%<br />

benchmark weight):<br />

• Manager expected credit<br />

spreads to narrow, bet<br />

produces the 4.94 contribution<br />

to DUR vs 3.28 for the<br />

benchmark.<br />

• Might also have been a yield<br />

bet. Even if spreads do not<br />

narrow, the higher-yielding<br />

corporates are likely to<br />

outperform the government<br />

bonds in the portfolio.<br />

• This allocation makes the<br />

portfolio more exposed to<br />

market yield fluctuations in the<br />

corporate sector.<br />

Total portfolio return = −5.03% vs<br />

benchmark return of −4.83%:<br />

U/performance = −0.20% over the<br />

period.


35f) Interpret the output from fixed-income attribution analyses.<br />

Yield curve decomposition—full repricing<br />

Inferences<br />

Exhibit 5<br />

Portfolio’s attribution results (based on Exhibit 4). (Note you are expected to be<br />

able to interpret, but not calculate, these results.)<br />

Duration effect<br />

62 bps lost extending/longduration<br />

(instead of shortening)<br />

during a period when yields<br />

increased (benchmark returns were<br />

negative in each duration bucket).<br />

Curve effect<br />

52 bps gained from changes in the<br />

shape of the yield curve. Given the<br />

manager’s o/w in the long-duration<br />

bucket (50/30), we can infer that<br />

the yield curve flattened.<br />

Total Interest<br />

Allocation<br />

10 bps lost, net effect of duration +<br />

curve effect.<br />

Sector Allocation<br />

23 bps lost because the manager<br />

o/w the corporate sector during a<br />

period when credit spreads<br />

widened (benchmark corporate<br />

returns in each duration bucket<br />

were less than the government<br />

returns in those same duration<br />

buckets).<br />

Bond Selection<br />

13 bps were added through bond<br />

selection., holding non benchmark<br />

bonds. One in long duration bucket.<br />

Overall<br />

The portfolio underperformed its<br />

benchmark by 20 bps.


35f) Interpret the output from fixed-income attribution analyses.<br />

Exhibit 6<br />

Yield curve decomposition—duration based<br />

Provides an example of a sample duration-based yield curve decomposition<br />

attribution analysis (focus on interpretations, not calculations).<br />

Shift<br />

Slope<br />

Lost 89 bps: O/w of long DUR of 8.17 vs<br />

benchmark of 7.19<br />

Gained 39 bps: O/w on long-end, meets a<br />

flattening curve, long-term yields increase less<br />

than yields on shorter terms yields.<br />

Curvature<br />

Gained 53 bps: U/w government in rising rates<br />

helped.<br />

Spread<br />

Loss 33 bps: O/w the corporate sector and<br />

corporate spreads widened.<br />

Specific spread/<br />

selection return<br />

Corporate 5% 30 June 26 bond added 2 bps of<br />

selection return.<br />

Corporate (P) 6% 30 June 31 bond added 15 bps<br />

of selection return.<br />

Both decisions at +17 bps to active returns.<br />

Yield<br />

Inferences<br />

Gained 11 bps: O/w of corporate bonds and longer-term maturities<br />

(Exhibit 4/5), which generally offer higher yield than G-bonds and<br />

short-term maturities.<br />

Residual<br />

A residual of −0.<strong>14</strong>% is unaccounted for because<br />

duration and convexity can only estimate the<br />

percentage price variation.<br />

It is not an accurate measure of the true price<br />

variation.<br />

Roll<br />

Lost 4 bps from o/w of longer maturities (Exhibit 5): The<br />

flattened yield curve means bonds with longer maturities sit on a<br />

flatter part of the yield curve, where the roll return is limited.<br />

The residual becomes more important during<br />

large yield moves, which is the case here, with a<br />

+1% yield shift.


35f) Interpret the output from fixed-income attribution analyses.<br />

C<br />

Fixed-Income Return Attribution<br />

1. Which decision had the most<br />

positive effect on the overall<br />

performance of the portfolio?<br />

A. Taking a long-duration position<br />

B. Security selection of bond issues<br />

C. Overweighting the long end of the<br />

yield curve<br />

C is correct:<br />

52 bps were gained by<br />

overweighting the long end of<br />

the yield curve during a period<br />

when the slope of the yield<br />

curve flattened.


35f) Interpret the output from fixed-income attribution analyses.<br />

C<br />

Interest rates↑<br />

should’ve shortened<br />

not extended duration<br />

Curve effect (+37 bps)<br />

Duration and sector<br />

allocation effects<br />

Credit spreads<br />

Exhibit 4<br />

The –97 bps duration effect relative return:<br />

Manager took a longer-than-benchmark-duration<br />

position in the long-duration bucket, a decision that<br />

hurt performance because interest rates rose.<br />

Manager’s specific positioning along the long end<br />

of the yield curve benefited from changes in the<br />

shape of the yield curve (flattening).<br />

This implication is further supported by the positive<br />

slope effect shown in Ehibit 6 (+0.39 bps)<br />

Taken together, these accounted for the majority<br />

of the manager’s underperformance relative to the<br />

benchmark.<br />

In the long-duration bucket, the manager o/w<br />

corporate bonds relative to the benchmark.<br />

2. Explain the contribution of the long-duration bucket to<br />

overall portfolio performance.<br />

This decision penalized returns because credit<br />

spreads widened, which can be inferred from the<br />

weaker performance of the long-duration corporate<br />

segment of the benchmark (–5.42%) relative to the<br />

long-duration government segment (–4.38%).<br />

Curve effect, selection effects<br />

Duration, sector allocation effects<br />

Long-duration bucket cost the portfolio<br />

+37 bps, +13 bps<br />

–125 bps, −22 bps<br />

–97 bps of relative return<br />

Selection effect (+0.13)<br />

Manager’s specific bond selections added to<br />

return, supported by specific spread contribution<br />

reflected of +0.17 in Exhibit 6


35g) Discuss considerations in selecting a risk attribution approach.<br />

A, B, C<br />

Risk attribution<br />

Identifies the sources of risk in the investment process.<br />

1. Which risk attribution approach is most relevant to evaluate Manager A?<br />

A. Marginal contribution to total risk<br />

B. Marginal contribution to tracking risk<br />

C. Factor’s marginal contributions to total risk and specific risk<br />

A is correct. Manager A is bottom-up manager with an absolute return<br />

target. B is incorrect because tracking risk is not relevant to an absolute<br />

return mandate. C is incorrect because, as a market-neutral manager,<br />

Manager A is not seeking to take different-from-market exposures.<br />

Risk Attribution<br />

2. Which risk attribution approach is best to evaluate Manager B?<br />

A. Marginal contribution to total risk<br />

B. Marginal contribution to tracking risk<br />

C. Factor’s marginal contributions to total risk and specific risk<br />

Manager A is market-neutral, follows a systematic investment approach, scoring each<br />

security on a set of risk factors. He seeks to maximize the portfolio score on the basis of the<br />

factor characteristics of individual securities. He has a hurdle rate of T-bills plus 5%.<br />

Manager B has a strong fundamental process based on a comprehensive understanding of<br />

the business model and competitive advantages of each firm. He also uses sophisticated<br />

models to make explicit three-year forecasts of the growth of free cash flow to determine the<br />

attractiveness of each security’s current valuation. His objective is to outperform the MSCI<br />

World ex-US Index by 200 bps.<br />

Manager C specializes in timing sector exposure and generally avoids idiosyncratic risks<br />

within sectors. Using technical analyses and econometric methodologies, she produces<br />

several types of forecasts. The manager uses this information to determine appropriate<br />

sector weights. The risk contribution from any single sector is limited to 30% of total portfolio<br />

risk. She hedges aggregate market risk and seeks to earn T-bills plus 300 bps.<br />

B is correct. Manager B is a bottom-up manager with a relative return<br />

target. A and C are incorrect because they are best suited to absolute return<br />

mandates.<br />

3. Which risk attribution approach is most relevant to evaluate Manager C?<br />

A. Marginal contribution to total risk<br />

B. Marginal contribution to tracking risk<br />

C. Factor’s marginal contributions to total risk and specific risk<br />

C is correct.<br />

Manager C is a top-down manager with an absolute return target. A factorbased<br />

attribution is best suited to evaluate the effectiveness of the<br />

manager’s sector decisions and hedging of market risk.


35h) Distinguish between investment results attributable to the asset owner versus those attributable to the investment manager.<br />

A fund sponsor<br />

has these total<br />

equity benchmark:<br />

Exhibit 10<br />

Macro Attribution<br />

• 50% large-cap value equities<br />

• 25% small-cap value equities<br />

• 25% large-cap growth equities<br />

Investment returns by two investment managers hired by<br />

fund sponsor to manage the equity portion of the fund.<br />

Hire Value Manager<br />

Allocation (78% − 75%)[0.32 − (–0.03)]<br />

= 0.01<br />

Hire Growth Manager<br />

(22% − 25%)[–1.08 − (–0.03)]<br />

= 0.03<br />

Sponsor decision O/w equity: 78% − 75%) U/w growth : 22% − 25%)<br />

Perf. Vs. B. O/p : 0.32 − (–0.03) U/p: –1.08 – (−0.03)<br />

Selection +<br />

Interaction =<br />

I i = (w i − W i )(R i − B i )<br />

Manager<br />

performance vs<br />

benchmark<br />

Conclusion<br />

+ [(75%)(0.99 − 0.32)]<br />

+ [(78% − 75%)(0.99 − 0.32)]<br />

= 0.52<br />

The value manager<br />

outperformed (0.99 − 0.32).<br />

Sponsor’s manager selection<br />

decision, independent of the<br />

decision to overweight value<br />

equities, added value.<br />

+ [(25%)(0.82 − (–1.08)]<br />

+ [(22% − 25%)(0.82 − (–1.08)]<br />

= 0.42<br />

The growth manager outperformed<br />

(+0.82 −−1.08).<br />

Fund sponsor’s manager selection<br />

decision, independent of the<br />

decision to underweight growth<br />

equities, added value.<br />

To evaluate the decisions<br />

of the fund sponsor<br />

We perform a return Brinson–Fachler attribution<br />

analysis using the set of weight and return data<br />

Allocation<br />

Selection<br />

TAA decision of the sponsor against its own strategic benchmark.<br />

A i = (w i − W i )(B i − B)<br />

Fund sponsor’s manager selection decision: Did the selected<br />

managers add value relative to their assigned benchmarks?


35h) Distinguish between investment results attributable to the asset owner versus those attributable to the investment manager.<br />

A fund sponsor has<br />

these total equity<br />

benchmark:<br />

Exhibit 10<br />

Micro Attribution<br />

• 50% large-cap value equities<br />

• 25% small-cap value equities<br />

• 25% large-cap growth equities<br />

Investment returns by two investment managers to hired by<br />

fund sponsor to manage the equity portion of the fund.<br />

Summing up the segment-level results for each manager:<br />

• The total outperformance at the overall fund level of 98 bps is almost entirely<br />

the result of positive security selection decisions (105 bps in total).<br />

Impact of the PM’s decisions on<br />

total fund performance<br />

Allocation (w i − W i )(B i − B)<br />

Perform a return Brinson–Fachler attribution<br />

analysis<br />

Selection + Interaction W i (R i − B i ) + (w i − W i )(R i − B i )<br />

Attribution effects for the small-cap value equities<br />

Allocation (20% − 25%)[1.52 − (–0.03)] = −0.08<br />

Selection + Interaction [(25%)(2.39 − 1.52)] + [(20% − 25%)(2.39 − 1.52)] = 0.17<br />

• The decision of the Value Portfolio Manager to underweight small cap in favor<br />

of large cap detracted from total fund performance because the small-cap value<br />

benchmark outperformed the total benchmark (1.52% versus −0.03%), leading<br />

to an allocation effect of −0.10.<br />

• The large-cap value benchmark underperformed the total benchmark (−0.28%<br />

versus −0.03%). Because the portfolio was underweight large-cap value, this<br />

led to a positive allocation effect of 0.03.<br />

• In total, allocation decisions contributed −7 bps.


Granular<br />

35h) Distinguish between investment results attributable to the asset owner versus those attributable to the investment manager.<br />

Micro Attribution<br />

Attribution analysis extendable down another level and to examine<br />

the investment manager’s results relative to the investment process<br />

Stock piker<br />

–within<br />

sectors<br />

Drilling down to the lowest level, the same allocation and selection<br />

formulas can be used to calculate the contribution of individual<br />

security decisions within sectors.<br />

Transaction costs<br />

If the pricing sources used in the portfolio and the benchmark<br />

are identical, then any difference in return will be caused by<br />

transaction activity; because of trading expenses and bid–offer<br />

spreads will negatively affect returns, but occasionally because<br />

of timing, the manager may be able to trade at advantageous<br />

prices during the day and recover all the transaction costs by<br />

the end of the day, resulting in a positive effect.<br />

Exhibit 13<br />

Exhibit <strong>14</strong><br />

Contradiction<br />

Good country allocation but ─ SS within countries<br />

Poor sector allocation but strongly +SS within industrial sectors.<br />

The importance of an attribution approach around the investment<br />

decision-making process used by the manager.<br />

The arithmetic<br />

allocation effects<br />

of each security<br />

Allocation<br />

measures the<br />

value added from<br />

individual SS<br />

Chevron = (24% − 30%) × (10% − 7.05%) = −0.18%<br />

ConocoPhillips (21% − 25%) × (8.0% − 7.05%) = −0.04%<br />

ExxonMobil = (41% − 35%) × (6.0% − 7.05%) = −0.06%<br />

Marathon Oil = (6% − 5%) × (4.0% − 7.05%) = −0.03%<br />

Newfield Exploration (8% − 5%) × (–5.0% − 7.05%) = −0.36%<br />

Transactions occur for only one security during the period—<br />

ExxonMobil. Therefore, the only selection effects (transaction<br />

costs and timing) occur for this security:<br />

ExxonMobil = 41% × (5.0% − 6.0%) = −0.41%


35h) Distinguish between investment results attributable to the asset owner versus those attributable to the investment manager.<br />

Macro Attribution<br />

AAA Asset Management runs a fixed-income<br />

fund of funds. The fund’s benchmark is a<br />

blended benchmark comprising 80%<br />

Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index<br />

and 20% Bloomberg Barclays Global<br />

Treasury Index (both in US dollars,<br />

unhedged). Two internal investment teams<br />

have been selected to manage the fund’s<br />

assets. The allocations to the two products<br />

are determined by the firm’s chief fixedincome<br />

strategist.<br />

The fund has underperformed its benchmark<br />

in each of the last three years. You are a<br />

member of the board of directors, which is<br />

meeting to determine what action should be<br />

taken. Based solely on the data in the table<br />

below, which of the following courses of<br />

action would you recommend?<br />

C is correct.<br />

Based solely on the information<br />

provided, the chief fixed-income<br />

strategist’s allocation decision<br />

was the main driver of the fund’s<br />

underperformance. Product A<br />

modestly underperformed its<br />

benchmark over the three-year<br />

period (−16 bps). Product B<br />

outperformed its benchmark<br />

(+39 bps). The strategist’s<br />

allocation decisions were<br />

strongly negative in Years 1 and<br />

2, when he overweighted the<br />

Treasury allocation and the<br />

Treasury index underperformed<br />

the aggregate fund benchmark.<br />

The results of the attribution<br />

analysis are shown below:<br />

Justify your response.<br />

A. Terminate the manager of Product A.<br />

B. Terminate the manager of Product B.<br />

C. Remove the chief fixed-income strategist<br />

as manager of the fund of funds.


Benchmark ≠<br />

Index<br />

Liabilitybased<br />

benchmarks<br />

A market index may be considered for use as a benchmark.<br />

However, the most appropriate benchmark is not necessarily<br />

a market index.<br />

Many active managers follow specific investment disciplines<br />

that cannot be adequately described by a security market<br />

index<br />

Used when the assets are required to pay a specific future<br />

liability (e.g., DBP plan), so must focus on cash flows<br />

required to defease the liabilities.<br />

Tracks the fund’s progress toward fully funded status or<br />

tracks the performance of assets relative to the changes in<br />

liabilities.<br />

Crucial because it would possible for the portfolio to<br />

outperform a market index but still not meet its liabilities.<br />

Furthermore, a market-value-weighted index would likely be<br />

an inappropriate benchmark because the liability often has a<br />

targeted asset allocation and risk exposures that are<br />

different from those of the index.<br />

A more recent innovation is LDI indexes. The Bloomberg<br />

Barclays LDI Index Series is a series of six investible<br />

indexes designed specifically for portfolios intended to<br />

hedge pension liabilities. However, they may not describe<br />

a plan’s liability structure as accurately as a benchmark<br />

constructed specifically for the plan.<br />

35i) Discuss uses of liability-based benchmarks.<br />

35j) Describe types of asset-based benchmarks.<br />

Absolute<br />

(including target)<br />

return<br />

Broad market<br />

Style<br />

Factor-modelbased<br />

Returns-based<br />

(Sharpe style<br />

analysis)<br />

Manager<br />

universes (peer<br />

groups)<br />

Custom securitybased<br />

(strategy)<br />

Asset-Based Benchmarks<br />

Minimum target return that the manager is expected to beat:<br />

20% per annum return for a private equity investment.<br />

Measures of broad asset class performance, such MSCI<br />

World Index for global developed market equities.<br />

Natural grouping of investment disciplines that has some<br />

predictive power in explaining the future dispersion of returns<br />

across portfolios<br />

Constructed to more closely capture the investment decisionmaking<br />

process (e.g., Cahart Model)<br />

Factors are the returns for various style indexes (e.g., smallcap<br />

value, small-cap growth, large-cap value, and large-cap<br />

growth). The style analysis produces a benchmark of the<br />

weighted average of these asset class indexes that best<br />

explains or tracks the portfolio’s returns.<br />

Broad group of managers with similar investment disciplines.<br />

Although not a benchmark, per se, a manager universe<br />

allows investors to make comparisons with the performance<br />

of other managers following similar investment disciplines<br />

Built to more precisely reflect the investment discipline of an<br />

investment manager. Such benchmarks are developed<br />

through discussions with the manager and an analysis of past<br />

portfolio exposures. After identifying the manager’s<br />

investment process, the benchmark is constructed by<br />

selecting securities and weightings consistent with that<br />

process and client restrictions.


35i) Discuss uses of liability-based benchmarks.<br />

35j) Describe types of asset-based benchmarks.<br />

Liability-Based Benchmarks<br />

1. Which of the following portfolios is most likely to use a<br />

liability-based benchmark?<br />

A. A portfolio managed for a private client with a goal of<br />

capital appreciation<br />

B. An intermediate-duration fixed-income portfolio<br />

managed for a defined benefit pension fund<br />

2. Which of the following most accurately describes a liability-based<br />

benchmark?<br />

A. It focuses on the cash flows that the benchmarked asset must<br />

generate.<br />

B. It represents the performance of a specific security market,<br />

market segment, or asset class.<br />

C. It is a collection of securities that represents the pool of assets<br />

available to the portfolio manager.<br />

C. The total portfolio for a defined benefit pension fund<br />

with an asset allocation of 80% fixed income/20%<br />

equity<br />

A is correct. A liability-based benchmark is constructed according to the cash<br />

flows that the benchmarked asset must generate.<br />

C is correct. A liability-based benchmark is most likely to be used<br />

for the total pension fund portfolio as the plan sponsor tracks its<br />

funded status.


35k) Discuss tests of benchmark quality.<br />

35m) Describe the impact of benchmark misspecification on attribution and appraisal analysis.<br />

Unambiguous<br />

Investable<br />

Measurable<br />

Appropriate<br />

Reflective of current<br />

investment opinions<br />

Specified in advance<br />

Accountable<br />

Characteristics of a valid benchmark<br />

The individual securities and their weights should<br />

be clearly identifiable.<br />

It must be possible to replicate and hold the<br />

benchmark to earn its return (at least gross of<br />

expenses).<br />

It must be possible to measure the benchmark’s<br />

return on a reasonably frequent and timely basis.<br />

The benchmark must be consistent with the<br />

manager’s investment style or area of expertise.<br />

The manager should be familiar with the securities<br />

that constitute the benchmark and their factor<br />

exposures.<br />

Must be constructed prior to the evaluation period so<br />

that the manager is not judged against benchmarks<br />

created after the fact.<br />

The manager should accept ownership of the<br />

benchmark and its securities and be willing to be held<br />

accountable to the benchmark. The benchmark should<br />

be fully consistent with the manager’s investment<br />

process, and the manager should be able to<br />

demonstrate the validity of his or her benchmark.<br />

Through acceptance of the benchmark, the sponsor<br />

assumes responsibility for any discrepancies between<br />

the targeted portfolio for the fund and the benchmark.<br />

The manager becomes responsible for differences<br />

between the benchmark and her performance.<br />

Benchmarks<br />

1. You have hired a bond manager to run an intermediate-duration government fixedincome<br />

portfolio. Which type of benchmark is most suitable for this portfolio?<br />

A. A broad market index<br />

B. A liability-based benchmark<br />

C. A factor-model-based benchmark<br />

A is correct. A broad market index is a suitable benchmark for a government bond<br />

portfolio provided the maturity and duration characteristics of the benchmark align with<br />

those of the investment mandate.<br />

2. You have hired a top-down quantitative equity manager who has built a<br />

proprietary process based on timing the fund’s exposures to systematic risks.<br />

Which type of benchmark is most suitable for this portfolio?<br />

A. A broad market index<br />

B. A liability-based benchmark<br />

C. A factor-model-based benchmark<br />

C is correct. Factors represent systematic risks. The manager’s approach attempts to<br />

create alpha by timing the portfolio’s exposure to factors. A factor-model-based<br />

benchmark can be constructed to represent the manager’s investment approach.


35k) Discuss tests of benchmark quality.<br />

35m) Describe the impact of benchmark misspecification on attribution and appraisal analysis.<br />

3. You are on the board of a pension fund that is seeking to close the gap<br />

between its assets and its liabilities. What is the most appropriate benchmark<br />

against which to measure the performance of the plan’s outsourced chief<br />

investment officer?<br />

A. A broad market index<br />

B. A liability-based benchmark<br />

C. A factor-model-based benchmark<br />

B is correct. The primary investment objective of the pension portfolio is to close the<br />

gap between assets and liabilities. The performance of the pension fund’s manager<br />

should be evaluated relative to this objective.<br />

You are a portfolio manager at JEMstone Capital. Your firm has been hired to run a<br />

global small-cap developed market equity portfolio. The agreement with the client sets a<br />

minimum market cap of US$500 million and a liquidity constraint that states that a<br />

portfolio holding is capped at 5 times its average daily liquidity over the past 12 months.<br />

Most portfolios managed by the firm are managed without constraint against the MSCI<br />

ACWI Small Cap Index, which has an average market cap of approximately $1.2 billion<br />

and a median market cap of approximately $650 million. A stock is eligible for inclusion<br />

in the index if the shares traded over the prior three months are equal to at least 20% of<br />

the security’s free-float-adjusted market capitalization. Your team is discussing the<br />

suitability of the MSCI ACWI Small Cap Index for this portfolio.<br />

Discuss the validity of this benchmark using the Richards and Tierney framework.<br />

Unambiguous<br />

Investable<br />

Measurable<br />

Does not meet<br />

the criteria<br />

of appropriate.<br />

Reflective of<br />

current<br />

investment<br />

opinions<br />

Specified in<br />

advance<br />

Accountable<br />

The individual securities and their weights<br />

are clearly identifiable.<br />

The shares in the index are freely tradeable.<br />

Index returns are published daily.<br />

The liquidity and capitalization constraints<br />

imposed by the client are not consistent with<br />

the manner in which the manager runs other<br />

portfolios managed by the firm.<br />

The benchmark was selected by the<br />

manager and is presumed to be<br />

representative of the manager’s investment<br />

process.<br />

The benchmark is not created after the fact.<br />

The manager may choose to<br />

be accountable to this index if the liquidity<br />

and capitalization constraints are not<br />

expected to interfere with the ability to<br />

execute the investment strategy.<br />

The client should be made aware of the<br />

discrepancies between the portfolio<br />

constraints and the benchmark.


35k) Discuss tests of benchmark quality.<br />

35m) Describe the impact of benchmark misspecification on attribution and appraisal analysis.<br />

Evaluating Benchmark Quality:<br />

Analysis Based on a Decomposition of Portfolio Holdings and Returns<br />

Portfolio’s return (P) = itself P = P 13<br />

Incorporate Benchmark, B P = B + (P − B) <strong>14</strong><br />

P – B = Active return = A P = B + A 15<br />

Enter market index return (M) P = M + (B – M) + A 16<br />

B – M = manager’s style return = S<br />

P = M + S + A<br />

If the manager’s portfolio is a broad market index where S = 0 and A = 0 P = M<br />

If the benchmark is a broad market index, then S = 0 P = M + A.<br />

If the benchmark is a broad market index and the manager does have style<br />

differences from the benchmark, the analysis using the broad market<br />

benchmark is incorrect.<br />

Do manager’s active selection decisions align with the style currently<br />

favored by the market (systematic biases)<br />

Likewise, we define the difference between the portfolio and the broad<br />

market index as E = (P – M).<br />

P = M + S + A<br />

Style return (S) will be lumped together with the measured active management component (A),<br />

manager’s true added value will be obscured.<br />

A = (P – B), S = (B – M)<br />

A good benchmark should not reflect any biases, where the correlation between A and S should<br />

not be statistically different from zero.<br />

When a manager’s style (S) is in (out of) favor relative to the market, we expect both the<br />

benchmark and the account to outperform (underperform) the market. Therefore, a good<br />

benchmark will have a statistically significant positive correlation coefficient between S and E.


35k) Discuss tests of benchmark quality.<br />

35m) Describe the impact of benchmark misspecification on attribution and appraisal analysis.<br />

Decomposition of Portfolio Return<br />

The return due to style is the style-specific benchmark return of 7.85% minus<br />

the broad market return of 8.92%: −1.07%.<br />

1. Assume that the Courtland account has a return of −5.3% in a given<br />

month, during which the portfolio benchmark has a return of −5.5%<br />

and the market index has a return of −2.8%.<br />

A. Calculate the Courtland account’s return due to the manager’s style.<br />

The return due to style is S = B – M = −5.5% − (–2.8%) = −2.7%.<br />

B. Calculate the Courtland account’s return due to active management.<br />

A = P – B = −5.3% − (–5.5%) = 0.2%.<br />

2. Assume that Mr. Kuti’s account has a return of 5.6% in a given month,<br />

during which the portfolio benchmark has a return of 5.1% and a<br />

market index has a return of 3.2%.<br />

A. Calculate the return due to the manager’s style for Mr. Kuti’s account.<br />

S = B – M = 5.1% − 3.2% = 1.9%.<br />

B. Calculate the return due to active management for Mr. Kuti’s account.<br />

A = P – B = 5.6% − 5.1% = 0.5%.<br />

3. An actively managed mid-cap value equity portfolio has a return of<br />

9.24%. The portfolio is benchmarked to a mid-cap value index that has<br />

a return of 7.85%. A broad equity market index has a return of 8.92%.<br />

Calculate the return due to the portfolio manager’s style.<br />

4. A US large-cap value portfolio run by Anderson Investment<br />

Management returned 18.9% during the first three quarters of 2019.<br />

During the same time period, a US large-cap value index had a return of<br />

21.7% and a broad US equity index returned 25.2%.<br />

A. Calculate the return due to style.<br />

The return due to style is the difference between the benchmark and the<br />

market index, or S = (B − M) = (21.7% − 25.2%) = −3.5%.<br />

B. Calculate the return due to active management.<br />

The return due to active management is the difference between the portfolio<br />

and the benchmark, or A = (P − B) = (18.9% − 21.7%) = −2.8%.<br />

C. Using your answers to A and B, discuss Anderson’s performance<br />

relative to the benchmark and relative to the market.<br />

Anderson’s underperformance relative to the broad US equity index is partly<br />

a function of style and partly a function of the manager’s weak performance<br />

within the style. Given that the US large-cap value index underperformed<br />

the US market index by 3.5%, we can infer that large-cap value was out of<br />

favor during the period measured. Provided the US large-cap value index is<br />

an appropriate benchmark for Anderson, the manager’s underperformance<br />

bears further investigation. The client would want to understand the specific<br />

drivers of the underperformance and relate those decisions to the<br />

manager’s stated investment process.


Impact of benchmark<br />

mis-specification<br />

A manager invests in<br />

Japanese stocks, thus, the<br />

MSCI Japan Index more<br />

closely represents the<br />

manager’s normal portfolio.<br />

The 2018 returns are as<br />

follows:<br />

35k) Discuss tests of benchmark quality.<br />

35m) Describe the impact of benchmark misspecification on attribution and appraisal analysis.<br />

Importance of Choosing the Correct Benchmark<br />

Lead to mismeasurement of the value added by<br />

the portfolio managers.<br />

The sponsor evaluates the manager using<br />

the MSCI Pacific Index comprised mostly<br />

Japanese stocks, but the index also<br />

includes Australia, New Zealand, Hong<br />

Kong SAR, and Singapore.<br />

• Manager return: 24.5%<br />

• MSCI Japan (normal portfolio) return:<br />

24.0%<br />

• MSCI Pacific (investor’s benchmark)<br />

return: 25.0%<br />

Implications • Fundamentally, any further performance attribution<br />

against the investor’s benchmark will also be useless.<br />

Peer group<br />

comparisons or<br />

benchmarking<br />

• By using the incorrect benchmark, the attribution<br />

would attempt to explain an underperformance,<br />

rather than the true active return, which contributed<br />

positively to the investor’s return.<br />

• Using a broad market index, as most fund sponsors<br />

do, typically misses the manager’s style (i.e., creates<br />

style bias). This decomposition is useful for<br />

understanding the impact of a mis-specified<br />

benchmark on performance appraisal.<br />

This is particularly susceptible to selection problems.<br />

Practitioners must select peers without suggesting to the<br />

PM that median peer group performance is the target.<br />

Performance vs MSCI Japan<br />

Performance vs MSCI Pacific<br />

24.5 – 24.0% = +0.5% (O/performed)<br />

24.5 – 25.0% = – 0.5% (U/performed)<br />

In summary, • the manager’s “true” active return is<br />

24.5% − 24.0% = + 0.5%, and<br />

• the manager’s “misfit” active return is<br />

24% − 25% = −1.0%.<br />

Motive for<br />

benchmark<br />

Investment decisions of the fund manager is then<br />

incentivized to not underperform the peer group median,<br />

often leading to herding around the median return.<br />

Sometimes, benchmarks are chosen for the wrong<br />

reasons. Underperforming managers change benchmarks<br />

to improve their measured excess return, which is both<br />

inappropriate and unethical.


Not an asset<br />

class such as<br />

equities and<br />

fixed income<br />

Use leverage,<br />

sell assets short,<br />

take positions in<br />

derivatives<br />

Transparency<br />

Arbitrage-based<br />

hedge fund<br />

strategies<br />

35l) Describe problems that arise in benchmarking alternative investments.<br />

Benchmarking Hedge Fund Investments<br />

Diverse characteristics make it difficult to create<br />

a single standard against; varied types of<br />

strategies unlimited investment universe, vary<br />

substantially from one to another;<br />

Some hedge funds lever many times their capital<br />

base, which increases their expected return and<br />

risk. A manager’s use of style, leverage, short<br />

positions, and derivatives may change over time.<br />

Hedge funds also typically lack transparency,<br />

are difficult to monitor, and are often illiquid.<br />

R F + spread (3- 6%) is advocated as benchmark,<br />

as arbitrage strategies are risk free, with the<br />

spread reflecting the active management return<br />

and management costs.<br />

However, most, even EMN strategies, are not<br />

completely free of systematic risk, and the use of<br />

leverage could magnify that systematic risk, so<br />

spread rate should be adjusted upward.<br />

Both broad market indexes and the R F rate will<br />

be weakly correlated or uncorrelated with hedge<br />

fund returns, thus failing the benchmark quality<br />

test: that states that portfolio and benchmark<br />

factor sensitivities should be similar.<br />

Hedge<br />

fund peer<br />

universes<br />

and<br />

limitations<br />

Benchmarking Hedge Fund Investments<br />

Because of the shortcomings of broad market indexes and the<br />

risk-free rate, hedge fund manager universes are often used<br />

as hedge fund benchmarks.<br />

Key limitations of such HF peer universes include:<br />

1. The risk and return characteristics of a strategy peer group<br />

is unlikely to be representative of the approach taken by a<br />

single fund.<br />

2. HF peer groups suffer from survivorship and backfill bias -<br />

when the index provider adds a manager to the index and<br />

imports the manager’s entire return history.<br />

3. HF performance data are often self-reported and typically<br />

not confirmed by the index provider. A fund’s reported net<br />

asset value may be a managed value. Even if the manager<br />

has no intention to misreport the data, hedge funds hold<br />

illiquid assets that require some subjectivity in pricing. If<br />

the previous period’s price is used as the current price or<br />

an appraisal is used, then the data will be smoothed. The<br />

presence of stale pricing will result in downward-biased<br />

standard deviations and temporal instability in correlations,<br />

with hedge funds potentially given larger portfolio<br />

allocations as a result.


35l) Describe problems that arise in benchmarking alternative investments.<br />

Unrepresentative<br />

Large fund<br />

dominance<br />

Bias<br />

Weighting system<br />

Infrequent valuations<br />

Leverage<br />

Transparency<br />

Different measures<br />

of appropriate return<br />

measure.<br />

Benchmarking Real Estate Investments<br />

The benchmarks are based on a subset of the real<br />

estate opportunity set, not fully representative.<br />

Index performance is likely to be highly correlated with<br />

the returns of the largest fund data contributors.<br />

Benchmark returns are based on manager-reported<br />

performance and may be inherently biased.<br />

Benchmarks weighted by fund or asset value may<br />

place a disproportionate emphasis on the most<br />

expensive cities and asset types.<br />

Valuations based on appraisals, often infrequent and<br />

smooths changes in property values, and lag<br />

underlying property performance. Transaction-based<br />

indexes are becoming more readily available.<br />

Some benchmark returns are unlevered, whereas<br />

others contain varying degrees of leverage based on<br />

the structure used by the investor that contributed the<br />

data.<br />

Real estate indexes do not reflect the high transaction<br />

costs, limited transparency, and lack of liquidity that<br />

drive performance for actual real estate investments.<br />

Open-end funds, generally use time-weighted rates of<br />

return. Closed-end funds, however,, generally report<br />

using internal rates of return.<br />

Valuation<br />

methodology<br />

Time Value of<br />

Money<br />

Life cycle<br />

issues<br />

Choice of public<br />

market<br />

equivalent<br />

(PME)<br />

methodology<br />

Benchmarking Private Equity<br />

The valuation methodology used by the managers may<br />

differ.<br />

A fund’s IRR can be meaningfully influenced by an early<br />

loss or an early win in the portfolio.<br />

The data are from a specific point in time, and the<br />

companies in a fund can be at different stages of<br />

development.<br />

The PME methodology has been developed to allow<br />

comparisons of private equity IRRs with returns of<br />

publicly traded equity indexes.<br />

The methodology uses cash flow data to replicate the<br />

general partner’s capital calls and distributions,<br />

assuming these same cash flows were invested in the<br />

chosen equity index.<br />

Comparing the performance of the PME index with the<br />

net IRR of the fund reveals the extent of over- or<br />

underperformance of the PME index relative to the<br />

public index.<br />

Several PME methodologies exist; It is important to<br />

choose the appropriate PME for each private equity<br />

fund; a poorly chosen PME raises the risk of leading the<br />

investor to an incorrect conclusion.


Indexes use futures,<br />

rather than actual<br />

assets<br />

Some major groups<br />

are investable.<br />

Benchmarking of<br />

commodity<br />

investments<br />

presents similar<br />

challenges to other<br />

AIs, including<br />

35l) Describe problems that arise in benchmarking alternative investments.<br />

Benchmarking Commodity Investments<br />

Commodity benchmarks attempt to replicate the returns<br />

available to holding long positions in commodities rather than<br />

the actual commodity.<br />

Because the cost-of-carry model ensures that the return on a<br />

fully margined position in a futures contract mimics the return<br />

on an underlying spot deliverable, futures contract returns are<br />

often used as a surrogate for cash market performance.<br />

The major indexes contain some common groups of<br />

underlying assets, including energy (oil and gas), metals<br />

(industrial and precious), grains (corn, soybeans, and wheat),<br />

and soft commodities (cocoa, coffee, cotton, sugar).<br />

However, beyond these basic groupings, commodity indexes<br />

vary greatly in their composition and weighting schemes. A<br />

market-cap-weighting scheme, so common for equity and<br />

bond market indexes, cannot be carried over to indexes of<br />

commodity futures. Because every long futures position has a<br />

corresponding short futures position, the market capitalization<br />

of a futures contract is always zero.<br />

1. the use of derivatives to represent actual commodity<br />

assets,<br />

2. varying degrees of leverage among funds, and<br />

3. the discretionary weighting of exposures within the index.<br />

Market<br />

indexes do<br />

not exist for<br />

managed<br />

derivatives<br />

peer group–<br />

based<br />

benchmarks,<br />

including<br />

survivorship<br />

bias.<br />

Difficult to find<br />

suitable<br />

benchmarks<br />

Use market<br />

indexes, such<br />

as the Barclay<br />

Distressed<br />

Securities<br />

Index.<br />

Benchmarking Managed Derivatives<br />

Benchmarks are typically specific to a single<br />

investment strategy. For example, the Mount<br />

Lucas Management Index takes both long and<br />

short positions in many futures markets based on<br />

a technical (moving-average) trading rule that is,<br />

in effect, specific to an active momentum strategy.<br />

Other derivative benchmarks are based on peer<br />

groups. For example, the BarclayHedge. These<br />

indexes suffer from the known limitations of peer<br />

group–based benchmarks, including survivorship<br />

bias.<br />

Benchmarking Distressed Securities<br />

Takes long time for this strategy to play out; thus,<br />

valuing the holdings may be a challenge. It is<br />

difficult to estimate the true market values, and<br />

stale pricing is almost inevitable.<br />

This can help but as index is constructed from<br />

multiple strategies, it is difficult to discern whether<br />

the index is suitable for a given investment<br />

approach. In addition, because the valuations for<br />

the member funds are calculated at random<br />

intervals, it doesn’t necessarily correct for the<br />

valuation issues noted previously.


35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Skill<br />

Luck<br />

Distinguishing Investment Skill from Luck<br />

Active investment management skill as the ability of a<br />

portfolio manager to add value on a risk-adjusted basis<br />

through investment analysis and insights.<br />

Performance reflects good luck (unanticipated good<br />

developments) and bad luck (unanticipated bad<br />

developments).<br />

The paradox of skill says as people become more<br />

knowledgeable about an activity, the difference between the<br />

worst and the best performers becomes narrower.<br />

Thus, the ever-increasing aggregate skill level of investment<br />

managers, supplemented by massive computing power and<br />

access to “big data,” may lead to narrower investment<br />

performance differentials and a greater likelihood that these<br />

differentials can be explained by luck.<br />

Perhaps we gain additional insight into<br />

skill by examining the consistency of<br />

performance over time. But the<br />

hypothesis that the manager’s underlying<br />

mean return exceeds the benchmark’s<br />

mean return may require many years of<br />

observations to confirm with a<br />

reasonably high degree of confidence<br />

One problem faced in<br />

investment performance<br />

appraisal is that many<br />

investment management<br />

performance records are only a<br />

few years long, making it<br />

difficult to distinguish between<br />

luck and skill.<br />

Sharpe ratio<br />

Appraisal Measures<br />

E(R P ) – R F /σ p<br />

Additional (excess) return for bearing risk above the risk-free<br />

rate, stated per unit of return volatility.<br />

Performance appraisal = excess return.<br />

Performance attribution = return in excess of a R B .<br />

Advantage<br />

Can be compared among different funds without the explicit<br />

choice of a market benchmark.<br />

Weakness<br />

• SD assumes investors are indifferent between upside and<br />

downside volatility. For example, for an investor looking<br />

for a potentially high-rewarding investment, volatility on<br />

the upside is not necessarily a negative.<br />

• Similarly, risk-averse investors concerned about the<br />

preservation of capital are clearly most concerned with<br />

downside risk.


Treynor<br />

ratio<br />

35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

E(R P ) – R F /β p<br />

Measures the excess return per unit of systematic risk. We<br />

must carefully choose an efficient market benchmark against<br />

which to measure the systematic risk of the manager’s fund.<br />

The<br />

Appraisal<br />

Ratio (AR)<br />

Appraisal Measures<br />

Measures the reward of active management relative to the<br />

risk of active management (alpha from a factor model):<br />

AR = α / σε<br />

The<br />

Information<br />

Ratio (IR)<br />

Advantage<br />

Usefulness depends on whether systematic risk or total risk is<br />

most appropriate in evaluating performance.<br />

Shows performed in relation not to its own volatility (σ p ) but to<br />

the volatility it would bring to a well-diversified portfolio (β p )<br />

Ranking is most useful if the portfolios whose performance is<br />

being evaluated are being combined in a broader, fully<br />

diversified portfolio.<br />

The ratio is most informative when the portfolios being<br />

evaluated are compared with the same benchmark index.<br />

E(R P ) – E(R B )/σ(r p – r B ) = Active return / Active risk (TE)<br />

Assess performance relative to the benchmark, scaled by risk<br />

The ratio implicitly assumes the chosen benchmark is well<br />

matched to the risk of the investment strategy.<br />

where<br />

σ ε equals the standard deviation of ε t , commonly denoted as<br />

the “standard error of regression,” which is readily available<br />

from the output of commonly used statistical software.<br />

AR is a returns-based measure, like the IR. It is the<br />

annualized alpha divided by the annualized residual risk.<br />

In the appraisal ratio, both the alpha and the residual risk are<br />

computed from a factor regression. Although the AR can be<br />

computed using any factor model appropriate for the<br />

portfolio, the measure was first introduced by Treynor and<br />

Black (1973) using Jensen’s alpha and the standard<br />

deviation of the portfolio’s residual or non-systematic risk.<br />

Treynor and Black argued that security selection ability<br />

implies that deviations from benchmark portfolio weights can<br />

be profitable and showed that the optimal deviations from the<br />

benchmark holdings for securities depend on “appraisal<br />

ratio.” The appraisal ratio is also referred to as the Treynor–<br />

Black ratio or the Treynor–Black appraisal ratio.


35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Sortino<br />

Ratio<br />

Sharpe ratio = [E(R P ) – R F /σ p ] :<br />

Equally penalizes both upside and downside volatility.<br />

Sortino ratio = E(R P ) – R T /σ D<br />

A measure of return per unit of downside risk.<br />

Modifies Sharpe ratio to penalize only those returns that<br />

are lower than a user-specified return, being R T, the<br />

minimum acceptable return (MAR) [target rate of return).<br />

Example<br />

Replaces SD with downside risk as target semi-standard<br />

deviation or target semi-deviation, σ D; hence it penalizes<br />

managers only for “harmful” volatility.<br />

Assume a portfolio has an MAR of 4.0%. The portfolio’s<br />

returns over a 10- year period are given in Exhibit <strong>14</strong>.<br />

And the numerator is E(R P ) – R T = 6.0% − 4.0% = 2.0%<br />

Target semi-Standard deviation is reported in Exhibit <strong>14</strong>.<br />

Not a risk<br />

premium<br />

Based on the information in the table, the Sortino ratio is<br />

approximately 2.0% / 3.07% = 0.65.<br />

It is return that is greater than what is minimally<br />

acceptable to the investor. It penalizes a manager when<br />

portfolio return is lower than the MAR.


35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Sortino<br />

Ratio<br />

Advantages<br />

Better than Sharp Ratio when return distributions are not symmetrical,<br />

due to the underlying assumption of normally distributed returns inherent<br />

in the standard deviation used for Sharpe ratio.<br />

Sharp ratio will not effectively distinguish between strategies with<br />

greater-than-normal upside volatility (positively skewed strategies, such<br />

as trend following) and strategies with greater-than-normal downside<br />

volatility (negatively skewed strategies, such as option writing). Both<br />

types of volatility are penalized equally in the Sharpe ratio.<br />

The Sortino ratio is arguably a better performance metric for such assets<br />

as hedge funds or commodity trading funds, whose return distributions<br />

are purposefully skewed away from the normal.<br />

The Sortino ratio it is most relevant when one of the investor’s primary<br />

objectives is capital preservation.<br />

Although there are arguments in favor of both the Sharpe ratio and the<br />

Sortino ratio, the Sharpe ratio has been much more widely used. In<br />

some cases, this preference may reflect a certain comfort level<br />

associated with the use of standard deviation, which is a more traditional<br />

measure of volatility.<br />

Also, cross-sectional comparisons of Sortino ratios are difficult to make<br />

applicable to every investor, because the MAR is investor-specific.<br />

Performance Appraisal Measures<br />

1. Portfolio B delivered 10.0% annual returns on average over<br />

the past 60 months. Its average annual volatility as measured<br />

by standard deviation was <strong>14</strong>.0%, and its downside volatility<br />

as measured by target semi-standard deviation was 8.0%.<br />

Assuming the target rate of return is 3.0% per year, the<br />

Sortino ratio of portfolio B is closest to:<br />

A. 0.66.<br />

B. 0.77. C is correct.<br />

C. 0.88.<br />

2. Why might a practitioner use the Sortino ratio, rather than the<br />

Sharpe ratio, to indicate performance?<br />

A. He is measuring option writing.<br />

B. The return distributions are not symmetrical.<br />

C. The investor’s primary objective is capital preservation.<br />

D. All of the above<br />

D is correct, because the Sortino ratio is more relevant when return<br />

distributions are not symmetrical, as with option writing. The Sortino<br />

ratio is also preferable when one of the primary objectives is capital<br />

preservation.


35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Performance Appraisal Measures -continued<br />

3. Portfolio Y delivered an average annualized return of 9.0% over the past<br />

60 months. The annualized SD over this same time period was 20.0%.<br />

The market index returned 8.0% per year on average over the same<br />

time period, with an annualized standard deviation of 12.0%. Portfolio Y<br />

has an estimated beta of 1.40 versus the market index. Assuming the<br />

risk-free rate is 3.0% per year, the appraisal ratio (AR) is closest to:<br />

A. ‒0.8492.<br />

B. ‒0.0922.<br />

C. ‒0.0481.<br />

AR = α / σε<br />

B is correct.<br />

Jensen’s alpha, α p = 9.0% – [3.0% + 1.40(8.0% – 3.0%)] = –1.0% = –0.01.<br />

Non- systematic risk, σ 2 εp = = 0.202 – 1.402(0.122) = 0.011776.<br />

4. The AR is the ratio of the portfolio’s alpha to the standard deviation of its:<br />

A. total risk.<br />

B. systematic risk.<br />

C. non-systematic risk.<br />

4. Portfolio C delivered an average annualized return of 11.0%, with an<br />

annualized SD of <strong>14</strong>.0% based on the past 60 months of data. The<br />

market index returned 12.0% per year over the same time period,<br />

with an annualized standard deviation of 16.0%. A market model<br />

regression estimates beta of 0.90 for Portfolio C, with an R 2 of 0.64.<br />

Assuming the R F is 3.0% per year, the appraisal ratio is closest to:<br />

A. ‒0.1701.<br />

B. ‒0.1304.<br />

C. ‒0.0119.<br />

C is correct.<br />

αp = 11.0% − [3.0% + 0.90(12.0% − 3.0%)] = −0.10%<br />

Non-systematic risk , σ 2 εp = (1 − 0.64)0.<strong>14</strong> 2 = 0.007056.<br />

AR = α / σε = −0 001 /√0.007056 = −0.0119.<br />

5. Assume a target return of 3.0%. Annual returns over the past four<br />

years have been 6.0%, −3.0%, 7.0%, and 1.0%. The target semistandard<br />

deviation is closest to:<br />

A. 1.33%.<br />

B. 3.16%.<br />

C. 4.65%.<br />

B is correct.<br />

C is correct. It is ratio of the portfolio’s alpha to the standard deviation of the<br />

portfolio’s non-systematic risk. Allows an investor to evaluate whether excess<br />

returns warrant the additional non-systematic risk in actively managed portfolios.


Capture<br />

ratios &<br />

draw downs<br />

Capture<br />

Ratios<br />

35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

CR (m, B, t) = UC (m, B, t)/ DC (m, B , t)<br />

Large losses require proportionally greater gains to reverse or offset.<br />

Performance measures used to monitor this aspect of manager<br />

performance include capture ratios and drawdowns.<br />

Measure manager’s participation in up and down markets—that is, the<br />

manager’s % return relative to that of the benchmark.<br />

UC(m,B,t) = R(m,t)/R(B,t) if R(B,t) ≥ 0<br />

DC(m,B,t) = R(m,t)/R(B,t) if R(B,t) < 0<br />

Capture<br />

Ratios<br />

Exhibit 17<br />

Where: CR(m, B, t) = capture ratio for<br />

manager m relative to benchmark B for time t<br />

CR measures the asymmetry of return and, as such, is<br />

like bond convexity and option gamma.<br />

Where:<br />

• UC(m,B,t) = UC for manager m relative to benchmark B for time t<br />

• DC(m,B,t) = DC for manager m relative to benchmark B for time t<br />

• R(m,t) = Return of manager m for time t<br />

• R(B,t) = Return of benchmark B for time t<br />

Upside capture (UC) ratio: Measures capture when the benchmark<br />

return is positive. UC greater (less) than 100% suggests o/performance<br />

(u/performance) relative to the benchmark, and<br />

Downside capture (DC) ratio: measures capture when the<br />

benchmark return is negative. DC less (greater) than 100% suggests<br />

o/performance (u/performance) relative to the benchmark.<br />

Practitioners should note that when the manager and benchmark<br />

returns are of the opposite sign, the ratio will be negative—for example,<br />

a manager with a 1% return when the market is down 1% will have a<br />

downside capture ratio of −100%.<br />

CR > 1 = positive asymmetry,<br />

or a convex return profile<br />

CR < 1 = negative asymmetry,<br />

or a concave return profile.<br />

As benchmark returns increase,<br />

portfolio returns increase—but at<br />

a increasing rate.<br />

Concave CR: As benchmark returns<br />

increase, portfolio returns<br />

increase—but at a decreasing rate.


Exhibit 18<br />

35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Consider the following return series for the manager, R(m), and<br />

the benchmark, R(B).<br />

During up<br />

markets<br />

During<br />

down<br />

markets<br />

Geometric avg return is 0.51% for the manager and 0.70%<br />

for the benchmark, giving an upside capture of 72.8%.,<br />

Geometric avg return is −0.70% for the manager and<br />

−1.17% for the benchmark, giving a downside capture of<br />

59.8%. The manager’s capture ratio is 1.217, or 121.7%


Drawdown<br />

35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

The cumulative peak-to-trough loss during a continuous<br />

period.<br />

Drawdown duration is the total time from the start of the<br />

drawdown until the cumulative drawdown recovers to zero,<br />

which can be segmented into the drawdown phase:<br />

• Start to trough and<br />

• Recovery phase (trough-to-zero cumulative return).<br />

Maximum DD(m,t) = min([V(m,t) – V(m,t*)]/V(m,t*), 0)<br />

Exhibit 20<br />

Observation<br />

where<br />

V(m,t) = portfolio value of manager m at time t<br />

V(m,t*) = peak portfolio value of manager m<br />

t > t*<br />

Consider the return on the S&P 500 Index from January<br />

2011 to February 2012.<br />

The drawdown is 0% until May 2011, when the return is<br />

−1.13% and the drawdown continues to grow, reaching a<br />

maximum of −16.26% in September 2011.<br />

The strong returns from October 2011 to February 2012<br />

reverse the drawdown.<br />

The total duration of the drawdown was 10 months, with a<br />

5-month recovery period.


35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Principle<br />

An asymmetrical return profile or avoiding large drawdowns,<br />

particularly during periods when the market is not trending<br />

strongly upward, can result in higher risk-adjusted returns.<br />

Exhibit 22<br />

Four trading strategies to illustrate the potential effects of the<br />

capture ratio and drawdown on return performance.<br />

This arises from basis drift, the change in the denominator<br />

when calculating returns, or from the practical problem of<br />

recovering from a smaller asset base after a large loss.<br />

Exhibit 21<br />

A portfolio decline of 90% needs a 900% gain to recover<br />

Experiment<br />

Each strategy’s allocation to the S&P 500 Total Return (TR)<br />

Index and to 90-day T-bills (assuming monthly rebalancing)<br />

is based on the realized monthly return from January 2000<br />

to December 2013.<br />

Time period chosen to encompasses the extreme<br />

drawdown of 2008–2009.)<br />

Long-only<br />

100% allocated to S&P 500 throughout the period.<br />

Low-beta<br />

50% allocated to the S&P 500 throughout the period.<br />

Positive<br />

asymmetry<br />

75% to the S&P 500 for months when the S&P 500 return is<br />

positive and 25% when S&P 500 is negative.<br />

Negative<br />

asymmetry<br />

25% to the S&P 500 for months when the S&P 500 return is<br />

positive and 75% when S&P 500 is negative.<br />

Exhibit 23<br />

Each profile’s cumulative monthly return.


35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Long only vs<br />

low beta<br />

Observations<br />

1. Long-only outperformed from the strong up market of<br />

2013.<br />

2. Low-beta outperformed for most of the period, with lower<br />

realized volatility (7.79% vs 15.64%) and higher riskadjusted<br />

returns during the entire period (0.<strong>14</strong> vs 0.10).<br />

3. Low-beta profile declined only 18.8% (vs 42.5%), from<br />

January 2000 to September 2002; hence it had higher<br />

cumulative performance from January 2000 to October<br />

2007 despite markedly lagging the long-only profile (56.0%<br />

to 108.4%) from October 2002 to October 2007.<br />

Positive vs<br />

negative<br />

asymmetry<br />

4. Low-beta approach may sacrifice performance, but it<br />

shows that limiting drawdowns (-28.3% vs -50.9%) can<br />

result in better absolute and risk-adjusted returns in certain<br />

markets (Sharpe ratio, 0.<strong>14</strong> vs 0.10).<br />

5. Not surprisingly, positive asymmetry results in better<br />

performance relative to long only, low beta, and negative<br />

asymmetry. It lags lags in up markets, this lag is more than<br />

offset by the lower participation in down markets.<br />

6. Not surprisingly, the negative asymmetry profile lags, with<br />

lower participation in up markets insufficient to offset the<br />

greater participation in down markets.


35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Key point<br />

Is strategy inherently<br />

convex or convexity<br />

relies on manager skill?<br />

Consistency between<br />

the stated investment<br />

process and reported<br />

performance?<br />

What is the strategy’s<br />

robustness and<br />

potential risks?<br />

How does Manager<br />

responds to a large<br />

drawdown?<br />

Positive asymmetry is a desirable trait, only some<br />

strategies are convex.<br />

A hedging strategy that rolls forward OTM put<br />

options will return many small losses as more<br />

options expire worthless than are compensated for<br />

by the occasional large gain during a large market<br />

downturn. This strategy will exhibit consistent<br />

positive asymmetry because it depends more on the<br />

nature of the strategy than on investment skill.<br />

An inconsistency could indicate issues with the<br />

strategy’s repeatability and implementation or more<br />

serious reporting and compliance concerns. Capture<br />

ratios can be useful in evaluating consistency issues.<br />

For example, the expected benefits of<br />

diversification—in particular, mitigating downside<br />

capture—might not be realized in a crisis if<br />

correlations converge toward 1.<br />

These provide evidence of the robustness and<br />

repeatability of the investment, portfolio construction,<br />

and risk management processes, as well as insight<br />

into the people implementing the processes.<br />

How does<br />

Manager<br />

responds to a<br />

large<br />

drawdown?<br />

Investment<br />

horizon and its<br />

relationship<br />

with risk<br />

capacity.<br />

Drawdowns are stress tests of the investment<br />

process and provide a natural point to evaluate and<br />

improve processes, which is particularly true of firmspecific<br />

drawdowns.<br />

An investor closer to retirement, with less time to<br />

recover from losses, places more emphasis on<br />

absolute measures of risk. In addition, even if the<br />

manager maintains her discipline during a large<br />

drawdown, the investor may not.<br />

This dynamic arises if the investor’s perception of risk<br />

is path dependent or the drawdown changes risk<br />

tolerance. If there has been no change to investment<br />

policy and no change in the view that the manager<br />

remains suitable, the temptation to exit should be<br />

resisted to avoid exiting at an inauspicious time.<br />

Investors with shorter horizons, with lower risk<br />

capacity, or who are prone to overreact to losses may<br />

bias selection toward managers with shallower and<br />

shorter expected drawdowns.<br />

This requires understanding of the source of the<br />

drawdown and the potential principal–agent risk,<br />

operational risk, and business risk that it entails.


35n) Calculate and interpret the Sortino ratio, the appraisal ratio, upside/downside capture ratios, maximum drawdown, and drawdown duration.<br />

35o) Describe limitations of appraisal measures and related metrics.<br />

Capture Ratios and Drawdown<br />

1. Do losses require proportionally greater<br />

gains to reverse or offset? Choose the<br />

best response.<br />

A. Yes, because in investing, it is easier to<br />

lose than to gain.<br />

B. No, gains should reflect losses.<br />

C. Yes, because we calculate percentage<br />

gains/losses on the basis of the starting<br />

amount of portfolio holdings.<br />

C is the correct response. If the denominator<br />

of the gain calculation is lower, a higher<br />

percentage gain is required to offset the loss.<br />

E.G, if you lose 10% of $100, your new holding<br />

is $90. To earn back the $10 loss, you must<br />

earn 10/90, or 11%.<br />

A is not correct because the “ease” of gaining<br />

or losing is not relevant.<br />

B is not correct because proportionally higher<br />

gains are required.<br />

2. Using the return information in the<br />

table below, what is the manager’s<br />

downside capture ratio?<br />

A. 103%<br />

B. 108%<br />

C. 115%<br />

A is the correct answer. See the table below.


35p) Evaluate the skill of an investment manager.<br />

Context<br />

Performance<br />

Attribution<br />

Analysis<br />

Over a five-year period, Manager A’s performance is<br />

9.42%, versus the benchmark performance of 9.25%.<br />

So, we know that the manager added 17 bps (9.42 −<br />

9.25) of outperformance.<br />

But did the manager earn the 17 bps through skill, or<br />

was she the beneficiary of luck?<br />

In Exhibit 25, we present the sample attribution analysis<br />

(for simplicity, we have combined the interaction effect<br />

with stock selection).<br />

Overall country<br />

allocation<br />

decisions<br />

Impacts Portfolio Managers decisions<br />

Portfolio manager lost 43 bps.<br />

O/w Australia (30% to 25%) lost 24 bps, as<br />

Australia underperformed (4.10% versus 9.25%).<br />

U/W Japan (51% to 60%) lost 21 bps, because<br />

Japan outperformed (12.4% versus 9.25%).<br />

Summary: manager did not make good weighting<br />

decisions over the five-year period.<br />

Stock selection<br />

decisions.<br />

Portfolio manager gained 59 bps<br />

Selecting Australian stocks added 31 bps<br />

Selecting Japanese stocks added 47 bps<br />

Selecting Hong Kong SAR lost 18 bps.<br />

Summary: Manager is a good stock picker,<br />

especially for Japanese and Australian stocks.; not<br />

successful in choosing the markets to allocate<br />

assets.<br />

Risks incurred<br />

to achieve<br />

performance<br />

Lets consider Manager A relative to other<br />

managers, using a sample appraisal ratio analysis<br />

over the same five-year period (Exhibit 26)


35p) Evaluate the skill of an investment manager.<br />

Volatility vs Benchmark<br />

(two-sided deviation)<br />

Sharp ratio vs Benchmark<br />

(total risk-adjusted returns)<br />

Trevor ratio vs Benchmark<br />

(systematic risk-adjusted returns)<br />

Information ratio vs Benchmark<br />

(active risk-adjusted returns)<br />

Sortino ratio vs Benchmark<br />

(one-sided deviation)<br />

< B, 2 nd < B, 3 rd > B, 1 st In the end<br />

Sample Evaluation of Skill<br />

Summary<br />

Risk<br />

Finding<br />

Country<br />

allocation:<br />

Manager A<br />

made incorrect<br />

A B C<br />

bets in Japan<br />

> B, 2 nd < B, 1 st > B, 3 rd<br />

and Australia.<br />

A long track<br />

< B, 2 nd > B, 1 st < B, 3 rd<br />

record is<br />

necessary to<br />

have any<br />

< B, 1 st < B, 2 nd < B, 3 rd<br />

statistical<br />

certainty in a<br />

> B, 1 st > B, 2 nd > B, 3 rd<br />

conclusion of<br />

skill or no skill.<br />

Reinforced Exhibit 25, Manager A has generated excess<br />

return over the benchmark through stock selection<br />

Did so without incurring significant excess risk relative to<br />

the benchmark and two similar managers.<br />

Within the limits of these analyses, Manager A has<br />

exhibited some level of skill worthy of further analysis.<br />

• What beliefs about country selection are embedded in<br />

Manager A’s investment philosophy?<br />

• Are country allocations integral to her investment<br />

approach, or they a by-product of her stock selection?<br />

• Answers to these will determine whether her skill<br />

should be penalized by the poor outcomes of the<br />

country selection decisions in this period.<br />

Additional analyses to increase confidence could include:<br />

• Risk attribution;<br />

• Ex ante analyses<br />

• Qualitative analyses of the manager (e.g., direct<br />

interviews with management to assess abilities),<br />

assessment of investment goals and management<br />

fees, and so on.<br />

We must understand and acknowledge the limits of all<br />

tools, being careful to qualify any conclusions regarding<br />

investment skill with the appropriate level of prudence.


35p) Evaluate the skill of an investment manager.<br />

Investment Manager Skill<br />

1. Which statement best describes Manager A’s performance during this fiveyear<br />

period?<br />

A. On an absolute basis, Manager A performed better than either B or C.<br />

B. Relative to systematic risk, A performed better than either B or Manager C.<br />

C. Manager C incurred the least risk.<br />

B is correct. Manager A’s Treynor ratio was better than that of both Manager B<br />

and Manager C for the period.<br />

A is not correct because A’s return for the period was less than C’s return.<br />

C is not correct because C’s annualized SD (volatility) was highest.<br />

2. Which of the following best provides evidence of manager skill?<br />

A. Security selection attribution effect of 47 bps<br />

B. Annualized performance equal to 9.42%<br />

C. Annualized standard deviation equal to 12.34%<br />

A is correct. Performance attribution can be indicative of manager skill,<br />

especially over longer historical time periods.<br />

Neither B nor C is correct because neither performance nor standard deviation,<br />

on their own, is necessarily indicative of manager skill.


35p) Evaluate the skill of an investment manager.<br />

Investment Manager Skill<br />

3. How can a practitioner best distinguish manager skill from luck?<br />

A. Run thousands of analyses of the same manager over an extended period.<br />

B. Avoid making broad-based judgments without statistical evidence.<br />

C. Use multiple analysis tools to jointly infer conclusions, sensitive to the limits<br />

of those tools.<br />

C is correct.<br />

Practitioners should use multiple analyses with different tools to find multiple<br />

sources that agree on evidence of skill.<br />

A is not correct, because thousands of analyses, especially the same types of<br />

analyses, may not necessarily lead to more conclusive results.<br />

B is not correct because it states best practice but not necessarily techniques<br />

to distinguish skill from luck.


PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT<br />

Reading 35: Portfolio Performance Evaluation<br />

Reading 36: Investment Manager Selection


Reading 36: Investment Manager Selection


Learning Outcome Statements<br />

Covered<br />

• a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i<br />

Not Covered<br />

• None<br />

36a) Describe the components of a manager selection process, including due diligence.<br />

36b) Contrast Type I and Type II errors in manager hiring and continuation decisions.<br />

36c) Describe uses of returns-based and holdings-based style analysis in investment manager selection;<br />

36d) Describe uses of the upside capture ratio, downside capture ratio, maximum drawdown, drawdown duration, and up/down<br />

capture in evaluating managers;<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process;<br />

36f) Evaluate the costs and benefits of pooled investment vehicles and separate accounts;<br />

36g) Compare types of investment manager contracts, including their major provisions and advantages and disadvantages;<br />

36h) describe the three basic forms of performance-based fees;<br />

36i) Analyze and interpret a sample performance-based fee schedule.


36a) Describe the components of a manager selection process, including due diligence.<br />

Manager Selection Process Components<br />

Defining the Manager Universe<br />

• Attribution/Appraisal<br />

• Capture ratio<br />

• Maximum drawdown<br />

Qualitative Investment Due Diligence<br />

• Financial stability/Process<br />

• Vehicle/Terms<br />

• Monitoring<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

• Suitability<br />

• Style<br />

• Active vs. passive<br />

Quantitative Analysis<br />

• Philosophy/Process<br />

• People<br />

• Portfolio construction vs. philosophy<br />

Qualitative Operational Due Diligence


Hiring and Continuation Errors<br />

36b) Contrast Type I and Type II errors in manager hiring and continuation decisions.<br />

H 0 : Manager has no skill<br />

H 1 : Manager has skill<br />

Decision<br />

No Skill<br />

Realization<br />

Skill<br />

Hire/Retain Type I Correct<br />

Not hire/<br />

Fire<br />

Correct<br />

Type II<br />

Monitoring should involve both managers that were hired (to uncover Type I<br />

errors) and managers who were fired (to uncover Type II errors).


Performance Implications<br />

Firing a skilled<br />

manager<br />

Holding an<br />

unskilled manager<br />

• Size<br />

• Shape<br />

• Mean<br />

• Dispersion


Practice Question<br />

As a uptrending market becomes more efficient, the difference between Type I<br />

and Type II errors will most likely:<br />

A. Increase.<br />

B. Decrease.<br />

C. Remain the same.<br />

36b) Contrast Type I and Type II errors in manager hiring and continuation decisions.


Practice Question<br />

As a uptrending market becomes more efficient, the difference between Type I<br />

and Type II errors will most likely:<br />

A. Increase.<br />

B. Decrease.<br />

C. Remain the same.<br />

36b) Contrast Type I and Type II errors in manager hiring and continuation decisions.<br />

Correct answer: B (LOS 36b; easy)<br />

Explanation: The possibility of earning excess economic returns decreases as<br />

the market becomes more efficient. Bad managers find it more difficult to<br />

make mistakes and good managers find it more difficult to gain an edge.<br />

Therefore, making Type I and Type II errors will become less costly.


36c) Describe uses of returns-based and holdings-based style analysis in investment manager selection;<br />

Style Analysis—Determining Sources of Risks and Return<br />

RETURNS-BASED<br />

HOLDINGS-BASED<br />

Top-down approach<br />

Bottom-up approach<br />

Estimates portfolio<br />

sensitivities to indexes<br />

representing specific factors.<br />

Estimates risk factor<br />

sensitivities to securities in<br />

the portfolio.<br />

Data is easy to acquire but<br />

the outcome is imprecise.<br />

Allows estimating current risk<br />

factors but is computationally<br />

intensive.


36d) Describe uses of the upside capture ratio, downside capture ratio, maximum drawdown, drawdown duration, and up/down capture in evaluating managers.<br />

Evaluation Using Drawdown and Capture<br />

A manager with large drawdowns may be less suitable as an investor nears the end of an investment<br />

horizon.<br />

Up<br />

capture<br />

96%<br />

Capture ratios help assess manager compatibility with an investor’s IPS in the context of the current<br />

market environment, especially as an investor nears the end of an investment horizon.<br />

Upside capture ratio is when the benchmark return is positive.<br />

Upside capture > 100% outperformance<br />

Downside capture ratio is when the benchmark return is negative.<br />

Downside capture < 100% outperformance<br />

Down<br />

capture<br />

40%<br />

Capture ratio is upside capture divided by downside capture.<br />

Drawdown is the cumulative peak-to-trough loss during a particular continuous<br />

period.<br />

Drawdown duration is the total time from the start of the drawdown until the<br />

cumulative drawdown recovers to zero.


Active Share<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

AS = 0.5 w −W<br />

where<br />

n<br />

i=<br />

1<br />

i<br />

i<br />

w , W = portfolio weight and benchmark weight for asset<br />

i<br />

i<br />

<br />

i<br />

Tracking Risk<br />

Low<br />

High<br />

Low<br />

Closet indexer<br />

Sector rotator<br />

Active Share<br />

High<br />

Diversified<br />

stock picker<br />

Concentrated<br />

stock picker


Philosophy<br />

Passive<br />

Active<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Manager Due Diligence—Investment Philosophy<br />

Manager must<br />

determine<br />

whether market<br />

inefficiencies<br />

exist and can be<br />

exploited.<br />

Exposure to<br />

systematic risks<br />

Generate return<br />

greater than<br />

costs of<br />

exploiting<br />

inefficiencies.<br />

Structural<br />

Behavioral<br />

Structural


Practice Question<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

With regard to the capacity to exploit a market inefficiency, an active manager<br />

will least likely be concerned with:<br />

A. Dependence of the strategy on unique information.<br />

B. Whether the source of the inefficiency is repeatable.<br />

C. Whether the inefficiency will allow exploitation while covering costs.


Practice Question<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

With regard to the capacity to exploit a market inefficiency, an active manager<br />

will least likely be concerned with:<br />

A. Dependence of the strategy on unique information.<br />

B. Whether the source of the inefficiency is repeatable.<br />

C. Whether the inefficiency will allow exploitation while covering costs.<br />

Correct answer: A (LOS 36e; moderate)<br />

Explanation: Information advantages are a concern in establishing an<br />

investment philosophy rather than an evaluation of the capacity of an<br />

inefficiency.


36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Manager Due Diligence—Investment Decision-Making Process<br />

Idea Generation<br />

• Unique information<br />

• Unique<br />

interpretation<br />

• Timing advantages<br />

Idea Implementation Portfolio Construction Portfolio Monitoring<br />

• Ideas to investments<br />

• Strategy consistency<br />

• Repeatable<br />

• Approval chain<br />

• SAA/tactical basis<br />

• Manager convictions<br />

• Long/short methods<br />

• Stop losses/Risk<br />

• Hedges/derivatives<br />

• External<br />

considerations<br />

• Internal considerations


36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Manager Due Diligence—Operational Due Diligence<br />

• Trading/soft dollar<br />

• Unauthorized trading<br />

• Personal investment<br />

• Order of transactions<br />

• Third-party providers<br />

Operational<br />

Due Diligence<br />

• Fee calculation and<br />

collection<br />

• Reporting standards<br />

• Trade allocations<br />

RISK MANAGEMENT<br />

Contingencies<br />

• Offsite backup capabilities<br />

• Portfolio/firm position risk<br />

• Cybersecurity capabilities


36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Manager Due Diligence—Investment Vehicle<br />

POOLED<br />

SEPARATE<br />

Investor funds pooled.<br />

Trades made for the benefit of the<br />

pool; no customization.<br />

Liquidity demands of other<br />

investors influence manager<br />

actions.<br />

May pay taxes on other investor<br />

transactions.<br />

Potential lack of transparency or<br />

delayed reporting.<br />

Investor funds held in specific<br />

account for investor.<br />

Trades made for the benefit of the<br />

SMA investor; customization.<br />

Liquidity demands of other<br />

investors does not directly affect<br />

SMA investor.<br />

Tax efficiency possible.<br />

Position-level detail provided.<br />

Lower COST Higher


Practice Question<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Which of the following is most likely an advantage of a separately managed<br />

account (SMA) over a pooled investment vehicle?<br />

A. Lower cost<br />

B. Potential tax efficiency<br />

C. Lower tracking risk to a published benchmark


Practice Question<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Which of the following is most likely an advantage of a separately managed<br />

account (SMA) over a pooled investment vehicle?<br />

A. Lower cost<br />

B. Potential tax efficiency<br />

C. Lower tracking risk to a published benchmark<br />

Correct answer: B (LOS 36f; easy)<br />

Explanation: An SMA has the potential to customize accounts to the investor,<br />

including when taxable gains are harvested and losses are realized.


36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Manager Due Diligence—Investment Manager Contracts<br />

Lower Liquidity Higher<br />

• Venture funds<br />

• Private equity<br />

• Open-end funds<br />

• CTAs<br />

• ETFs<br />

• Closed-end funds<br />

• Hedge funds<br />

Subject to:<br />

• Hard locks<br />

• Soft locks


36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Manager Due Diligence—Performance-Based Fees<br />

Symmetrical<br />

Exposure to both gains and losses.<br />

Fee = Base + % of upside/downside<br />

performance<br />

Upside-Full<br />

Full upside exposure; downside protection<br />

Fee = Base + % of Positive performance<br />

Upside-Cap<br />

Capped upside exposure; downside protection<br />

Fee = Base + % of positive performance, capped


NAV<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Performance-Based Fee Calculations<br />

High-Water Marks and Hurdle Rates<br />

Highwater<br />

mark<br />

F<br />

R<br />

M<br />

Application of<br />

performance<br />

fee<br />

Hurdle<br />

rate<br />

<br />

( % ) <br />

HWM<br />

M<br />

0, %<br />

P ( Gross M )<br />

Fees = AUM F + Max F R − F − Hurdle<br />

<br />

where<br />

, F = Fees for management and performance (incentives)<br />

P<br />

HWM<br />

Gross<br />

= Gross return in excess of the high-water mark<br />

Hurdle = in currency terms, after HWM and AUM-based fee


Practice Question<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Which type of fee structure has the least incentive to assume greater risk to achieve<br />

higher return, assuming all are subject to high-water marks and the same hurdle rate?<br />

A. 1.5% of AUM plus 20% of net return<br />

B. 1% of AUM plus 20% of net gains<br />

C. 0.75% of AUM plus 20% of net gains, subject to a limitation that the performance<br />

fee may not exceed the management fee


Practice Question<br />

36e) Evaluate a manager’s investment philosophy and investment decision-making process.<br />

Which type of fee structure has the least incentive to assume greater risk to achieve<br />

higher return, assuming all are subject to high-water marks and the same hurdle rate?<br />

A. 1.5% of AUM plus 20% of net return<br />

B. 1% of AUM plus 20% of net gains<br />

C. 0.75% of AUM plus 20% of net gains, subject to a limitation that the performance<br />

fee may not exceed the management fee<br />

Correct answer: A (LOS 36i; easy)<br />

Explanation: This fund structure provides an incentive through the management fee of<br />

1.5% to protect AUM from losses as well as a performance fee that would discourage<br />

risk-taking past the fund mandate to avoid loss sharing.


PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT<br />

Reading 35: Portfolio Performance Evaluation<br />

Reading 36: Manager Selection

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