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11th ICRS Abstract book - Nova Southeastern University

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20-1<br />

The Comparative Demographic Of Two Scleractinian Corals On A Shallow<br />

Caribbean Reef<br />

Peter EDMUNDS* 1<br />

1 California State <strong>University</strong>, Northridge, Northridge, CA<br />

Oral Mini-Symposium 20: Modeling Concepts and Processes on Coral Reefs<br />

In light of the consequences of anthropogenic disturbances for coral reefs, considerable<br />

effort has been expended to understand the mechanisms by which such phenomena result<br />

in coral death, and how affected populations change over time. There has been less<br />

attention however, to the question of which corals might endure the adverse conditions,<br />

and to what extent might their populations increase in size? This study focused on two<br />

Caribbean corals that have survived better than most on shallow reefs (1 showing that the populations were growing independent of the input<br />

from recruitment. Over the next 25 years, population projections suggest that both<br />

species will increase in abundance, regardless of the effects of catastrophic disturbances<br />

or periodic recruitment failure. Both P. astreoides and D. strigosa appear to have<br />

characteristics favoring high adult survival and successful fission under contemporary<br />

environmental conditions, both of which contribute to population growth in an era when<br />

most corals are declining in abundance.<br />

20-2<br />

Simulating the Growth and Spread of Key Macroalgae in Florida Reefs<br />

Aletta YÑIGUEZ* 1 , John MCMANUS 2<br />

1 National Center for Coral Reef Research (NCORE)/ Marine Biology & Fisheries (MBF),<br />

RSMAS, <strong>University</strong> of Miami, Muntinlupa City, Philippines, 2 National Center for Coral<br />

Reef Research (NCORE)/ Marine Biology & Fisheries (MBF), RSMAS, <strong>University</strong> of<br />

Miami, Key Biscayne, FL<br />

The growth patterns of macroalgae can provide important information regarding the<br />

environments in which they live, and insights into changes that may occur when those<br />

environments shift. To decipher these patterns and their attendant mechanisms and<br />

influencing factors, a spatially-explicit model was developed. Using the threedimensional<br />

agent-based model SPREAD (SPatially-explicit REef Algae Dynamics),<br />

which incorporates key morphogenetic characteristics of clonality and morphological<br />

plasticity, the influences of light, temperature, nutrients and disturbance on how the<br />

dominant macroalgae in the Florida Reef Tract grow and occupy space were investigated.<br />

At the individual level, SPREAD yielded several morphological types for Halimeda tuna,<br />

Halimeda opuntia, and Dictyota sp. under a large range of light, temperature, nutrient and<br />

disturbance levels. These morphological types approximated those measured for<br />

individuals in two inshore patch reefs and two offshore spur and groove reefs, and were<br />

formed in conditions similar to the environmental (light, nutrient and disturbance)<br />

conditions in the field sites. At the macroalgal population level, increasing disturbance in<br />

SPREAD such that the fragment pool was increased, but not enough so that fragments<br />

could not survive, led to the highest potential for space capture. Enabling fragmentation<br />

also allowed for comparable abundances in the three species between the model and the<br />

actual study sites, and, for Halimeda spp., captured the observed disparity in abundances<br />

between the sites. The variation in growth and disturbance conditions, as well as each<br />

species’ capacity for success with fragmentation, seemed to play a strong role in the<br />

distinct differences in macroalgal abundances between inshore patch and offshore reef<br />

study sites. These mosaics of scenario-running and empirical studies have enabled us to<br />

tease out potential mechanisms and factors responsible for the growth patterns observed<br />

in reality at different levels.<br />

20-3<br />

Recovery Dynamics Of diadema Antillarum And The Potential For Active Rebuilding<br />

Measures<br />

Alice ROGERS* 1 , Kai LORENZEN 1<br />

1 Biology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom<br />

In recent decades, Caribbean coral reefs have suffered a shift in community structure from a<br />

healthy coral-dominated state to a less resilient and less productive macroalgae-dominated state.<br />

This shift is believed to be related in part to the functional extinction of the previously dominant<br />

grazer of macroalgae, the sea urchin Diadema antillarum following a mass mortality event in<br />

1983.<br />

Diadema antillarum has failed to recover to pre-mortality densities in many locations. In light<br />

of recent studies suggesting that large scale recovery of Diadema antillarum could reverse<br />

community change and improve the health of Caribbean coral reefs, interest has arisen around<br />

the potential for active rebuilding measures such as hatchery enhancement to aid and increase<br />

population recovery.<br />

We developed a size- and spatially structured, combined population dynamics and grazing<br />

impact model for D. antillarum. The model accounts for compensatory density-dependence in<br />

recruitment and individual growth, and depensatory density effects mediated by fertilization<br />

success, the possible refuge function of adults for juveniles, and ‘cultivation’ of settlement<br />

habitat by grazing. Results show that the population can exist in two distinct states, i.e. a lowabundance<br />

equilibrium associated with high macroalgal cover, and a high-abundance<br />

equilibrium associated with low macroalgal cover.<br />

In order to ‘kick start’ recovery and switch from the low to the high abundance state the<br />

population needs to overcome multiple depensatory processes. This may require both, prior<br />

reduction in algal cover by other herbivores or human intervention, and a high recruitment event<br />

based on dispersal from recovered populations or the stocking of hatchery-reared D. antillarum.<br />

Hatchery releases could contribute effectively to recovery, but this would require stocking<br />

densities that are high relative to the natural population and may result in substantial ecological<br />

and genetic interactions with the natural population.<br />

20-4<br />

Spatial Dynamics Of Herbivory And Coral Growth: Implications For Reef Conservation<br />

And Recovery<br />

Dylan MCNAMARA 1 , Stuart SANDIN* 2<br />

1 Duke <strong>University</strong>, Atlantic Beach, NC, 2 Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA<br />

Competition for space is a critical dynamic affecting patterns and rates of growth of sedentary<br />

organisms both on land and in the sea. Understanding the aggregate impact of spatial dynamics<br />

on competitive hierarchies along shared margins is important for gaining insight into large-scale<br />

systematic shifts, such as catastrophic phase shifts within coral reefs. Predictive insights are<br />

fundamental for both understanding conditions leading to coral loss and, perhaps more<br />

importantly, for designing strategies for restoring coral populations.<br />

To explore this question, we have constructed a cellular automata model for coral reefs to<br />

mimic the dominant dynamics of coral reefs. State transitions are governed by probabilitydriven<br />

rules based on dynamics of growth, death, succession and recruitment. Explicit spatial<br />

dynamics are depicted both through size-dependent patterns of growth in corals and<br />

autocorrelated patterns of foraging for some herbivores. These assumptions are based on two<br />

main field observations: (i) small corals are more susceptible to overgrowth by macroalgae than<br />

larger colonies, and (ii) patterns of herbivory are distinct between fishes and urchins, especially<br />

in reference to the level of spatial autocorrelation of foraging. We find that algal dominated<br />

reefs are particularly stable because coral recruitment is severely reduced in the presence of<br />

macroalgae. Although clonal growth allows adult corals to increase in size even in the presence<br />

of high macroalgal cover, only in the presence of significant herbivory is coral recruitment<br />

facilitated. Additionally, because urchins open larger contiguous sections of benthos from algal<br />

coverage than do fishes, coral recruitment will be particularly facilitated in the presence of<br />

herbivorous urchins. The wide-spread mortality of both fast-growing corals (e.g., acroporids)<br />

and herbivorous urchins in the Caribbean, the dynamic attractor of macroalgal domination is<br />

particularly stable. These model predictions mimic closely a growing number of empirical<br />

observations from across the Caribbean.<br />

170

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