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11th ICRS Abstract book - Nova Southeastern University

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Oral Mini-Symposium 16: Ecosystem Assessment and Monitoring of Coral Reefs - New Technologies and Approaches<br />

16-9<br />

Integrating Satellite and In Situ Light, Wind and Temperature Data for Ecological<br />

Forecasting of Coral Bleaching at Four Sites in the Caribbean<br />

James HENDEE 1 , Tao ZHENG 2 , Lew GRAMER 3 , Erik STABENAU* 4 , Derek<br />

MANZELLO 5 , Shunlin LIANG 6<br />

1 Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, National Oceanic and<br />

Atmospheric Administration, Miami, FL, 2 Department of Geography, Central Michigan<br />

<strong>University</strong>, Mount Pleasant, MI, 3 Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric<br />

Studies, <strong>University</strong> of Miami, Miami, FL, 4 South Florida Natural Resources Center,<br />

Everglades National Park, Homestead, FL, 5 Rosenstiel School for Marine and<br />

Atmospheric Sciences, <strong>University</strong> of Miami, Miami, FL, 6 Department of Geography,<br />

<strong>University</strong> of Maryland, College Park, MD<br />

Satellite and in situ irradiance instruments provide different perspectives on the ocean<br />

environment, the former providing regional coverage of incident radiation, the latter<br />

providing both site-specific light penetration data, as well as validation of the satellite<br />

readings. Physiological studies of corals reveal that sea temperature and light, under<br />

elevated and sustained conditions, induce coral bleaching. At the Atlantic Oceanographic<br />

and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML), ecological forecasts (ecoforecasts) such as<br />

coral bleaching are produced using an artificial intelligence tool that integrates various<br />

data sources (e.g., satellite and in situ) in near real-time, and includes heuristic and<br />

numeric modeling capabilities. To improve upon existing ecoforecasts of bleaching,<br />

satellite acquired Photosynthetically Available Radiation (PAR) data were produced by<br />

Central Michigan <strong>University</strong> during April through August, 2007 for four stations of<br />

AOML's Integrated Coral Observing Network (ICON), located in the Bahamas, Jamaica,<br />

Puerto Rico and St. Croix. The satellite derived instantaneous PAR values were<br />

estimated within nine pixels of a 3x3 window centered on a site's latitude and longitude.<br />

In situ sea surface PAR values at each site were used to validate the average of the nine<br />

estimated values, with time interpolation applied to match surface measurement and<br />

satellite observation times. The satellite and surface PAR data agreed well at all four<br />

sites. Irradiance at the coral surface was calculated using attenuation coefficients (Kd)<br />

derived from readings from well-maintained sub-surface irradiance sensors at each site<br />

and were extrapolated to each region using the satellite PAR readings. Satellite and<br />

surface wind and sea temperature data were combined with these readings to produce<br />

regional bleaching ecoforecasts. Inherent problems of high spatial and temporal<br />

variability in solar radiation at any defined point provide unique challenges to large-scale<br />

implementation. Although major bleaching was not observed during this time frame,<br />

output from the ecoforecasting construct shows promise for future implementation.<br />

16-10<br />

GBROOS – An Ocean Observing System for the Great Barrier Reef<br />

Scott BAINBRIDGE* 1<br />

1 Australian Institute of Marine Science, Townsville, Australia<br />

The Great Barrier Reef Ocean Observing System (GBROOS), a geographic node of the<br />

Australian Integrated Marine Observing System (IMOS), is an observation network<br />

currently being deployed along the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) in Northern Australia. The<br />

project aims to quantify and monitor the impact of the Coral Sea, in particular cool and<br />

warm water intrusions, on the GBR and to provide the real-time physical data required to<br />

understand the impact of climate change and other environmental factors on coral reef<br />

ecosystems.<br />

The project has four components. Sets of long-term oceanographic moorings consisting<br />

of paired deep (200m) and shallow (30-70m) moorings will be deployed to detect water<br />

moving onto and long the GBR from the pole-ward East Australian and the equatorial<br />

Hiri western boundary currents. Upgraded Remote Sensing capacity (SST and Ocean<br />

Colour), coupled with real-time underway sampling to validate the remotely sensed data,<br />

will give large-scale information about the GBR.<br />

Sensor networks located at seven sites, using high-speed communications and a range of<br />

buoy mounted sensors, will provide real-time information about small-scale phenomena.<br />

This component provides a platform for the development and testing of the next<br />

generation of smart technologies and approaches for real-time observing systems.<br />

The observational data will have significant impact on our understanding of global<br />

change, its potential impact on the physical and chemical conditions in marine<br />

environments and the associated changes to the biology and structure of the GBR.<br />

GBROOS is setting up the infrastructure to support a new generation of observation<br />

systems from sophisticated real-time moorings to the communication and data systems<br />

for ‘smart’ sensor systems. This data, coupled with model and scenario engines, will<br />

increase our ability to understand changes in the physical environment and the impact<br />

these have on coral reef systems.<br />

16-11<br />

Ecological Forecasting for Coral Reef Ecosystems<br />

James HENDEE* 1 , Lew GRAMER 2 , Derek MANZELLO 3 , Erik STABENAU 4 , Chris<br />

LANGDON 3 , Mike JANKULAK 2<br />

1 Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric<br />

Administration, Miami, FL, 2 Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies,<br />

<strong>University</strong> of Miami, Miami, FL, 3 Rosenstiel School for Marine and Atmospheric Sciences,<br />

<strong>University</strong> of Miami, Miami, FL, 4 South Florida Natural Resources Center, Everglades National<br />

Park, Homestead, FL<br />

Assessment of coral reef ecosystems implies the acquisition of precision data and observations<br />

appropriate for answering questions about the response of multiple organisms to physical and<br />

other environmental stimuli. At the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's<br />

Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, we model marine organismal response<br />

to the environment in terms of a Stimulus/Response Index (S/RI). S/RI is computed using an<br />

approach called heuristic programming, from parameters bounded in subjective terms, which<br />

are defined within the software numerically, so as to match research and our understanding of<br />

the process in question. The modelled organismal response is called an ecological forecast, or<br />

ecoforecast, and the likelihood and severity of the response is reflected in a rising S/RI. We<br />

have had success to date in modelling coral bleaching response to high sea temperatures plus<br />

high irradiance and other parameters. The approach requires, a) highly robust instrumentation<br />

(in situ, satellite, or other) deployed for long periods and producing high quality data in near<br />

real-time, b) a basic understanding of the process, behavior and/or physiology being modelled,<br />

and, c) a knowledge of approximate threshold levels for single or synergistically acting<br />

environmental parameters that elicit the phenomenon in question. We use both traditional (e.g.,<br />

sea temperature, salinity, light), as well as novel (e.g., pCO2, pulse amplitude fluorometry)<br />

oceanographic instruments to produce a continuous S/RI that has been used as an overall<br />

indicator of ecosystem health at all ICON coral reef monitoring locations. We are now actively<br />

researching ecoforecast models of species-specific spawning, and of enhanced water column<br />

productivity on reefs. Results from recent monitoring efforts, as well as the implications of<br />

adapting this technique for use in other locations or on data streams managed by other agencies,<br />

will be presented.<br />

16-12<br />

Advancing Spatial-Temporal Continuity in Coral Reef Ecosystem Pattern Detection: The<br />

Morphology, Distribution And Chemical Environments Of Coral Habitats Encompassing<br />

Coiba National Park, Panamá.<br />

Luis CAMILLI* 1 , Oscar PIZARRO 2 , Richard CAMILLI 3<br />

1 Center for Habitat Studies, Moss Landing Marine Laboratories, Moss Landing, CA,<br />

2 Australian Centre for Field Robotics, <strong>University</strong> of Sydney, Sydney, Australia, 3 Applied Ocean<br />

Physics & Engineering Dept, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA<br />

Quantitative study of environmental change in coral ecosystems is challenging, costly, and<br />

hindered by inadequate scales of observation. A synoptic perspective of reef biogeochemical<br />

dynamics and community structure was revealed using new technologies and methods designed<br />

to enable high resolution underwater habitat assessment with non invasive monitoring<br />

capabilities and rapid information output. A towed, chemical sensor platform and a diver-based,<br />

automated imaging system were developed to compare reef architecture and benthic<br />

morphology across spatial scales ranging from centimeters to kilometers, and resolve sub-meter<br />

variability in ambient water chemistry across basin scale seascapes. Acoustic bathymetry,<br />

stereo-optical imaging, in-situ underwater mass spectrometry, CTD, chlorophyll, and CDOM<br />

data were coupled with precision navigation to enable multi parameter biogeochemical and<br />

structural comparisons of coastal and island coral habitats surrounding Parque Nacional Coiba,<br />

a UNESCO World Heritage site in Pacific Panamá. Baseline chemical data (O2, CO2, CH4,<br />

N2) and 3-D digital reef mosaics generated in this research were augmented with traditional<br />

monitoring protocols, time series data from a moored observatory, video sampling and remote<br />

sensing analysis to create and validate comprehensive, thematic water chemistry and benthic<br />

habitat maps. This integrated approach shows considerable promise for locating, predicting and<br />

quantifying natural and anthropogenic environmental stressors affecting the distribution,<br />

diversity and health of tropical coral communities.<br />

131

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