30.09.2021 Views

Caribbean Compass Yachting Magazine - October 2021

Welcome to Caribbean Compass, the most widely-read boating publication in the Caribbean! THE MOST NEWS YOU CAN USE - feature articles on cruising destinations, regattas, environment, events...

Welcome to Caribbean Compass, the most widely-read boating publication in the Caribbean! THE MOST NEWS YOU CAN USE - feature articles on cruising destinations, regattas, environment, events...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Need Crew? Want to Crew?<br />

SailOPO.com<br />

Experienced Crew Available<br />

for short deliveries or<br />

long offshore passages.<br />

Crew requests are free.<br />

For 25 Years,<br />

US Leading Crew Network.<br />

Offshore Passage Opportunities<br />

SUPPORTSTORM<br />

<strong>October</strong>, Not All Over!<br />

by Don Street<br />

There is an old <strong>Caribbean</strong> rhyme regarding hurricanes:<br />

June, too soon<br />

July, stand by<br />

September, remember<br />

<strong>October</strong>, all over<br />

But the last line is no longer true.<br />

Sailors in the <strong>Caribbean</strong> complained bitterly in the late 1990s when insurance companies changed their closing<br />

date of hurricane season from <strong>October</strong> 30th to November 30th. The figures that follow show that the change is<br />

completely justifiable. There were more November and December hurricanes in the last ten years than there had<br />

been in the previous 50.<br />

In 1980 I obtained a book from the US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) that<br />

showed the track charts of every hurricane from 1879 to around the mid-1970s. I then regularly obtained loosepage<br />

updates until 1988 when a new book came out that tracked all hurricanes from 1851 until then. I have since<br />

updated with loose pages right up through 2020.<br />

OCTOBER <strong>2021</strong> CARIBBEAN COMPASS PAGE 18<br />

SKN MARINE SURVEYING<br />

& CONSULTANCY<br />

GRENADA (SAMS, MECAL and ABYC)<br />

PATRICK O'LOUGHLIN<br />

Master Mariner, MSc<br />

1-473-422-2052<br />

CINDY MODESTE<br />

BSc, Naval Piloting<br />

1-473-422-5050<br />

SHELVIN THOMAS<br />

BSc. Nautical Science/<br />

Maritime Operations 1-473-407-0300<br />

CLARKES COURT BAY<br />

Woodlands<br />

St. George’s<br />

sknmarinesurveying@gmail.com<br />

www.sknmarinesurveying.com<br />

McINTYRE BROS. LTD.<br />

True Blue, St George’s Grenada<br />

Call 1 (473) 444 3944 macford@spiceisle.com<br />

We service what we sell!<br />

2 & 4-Stroke Engines Genuine Parts & Service<br />

Yamaha Certified Technicians<br />

Duty free deliveries & reliable service for Yachts<br />

Honda, Mazda and Ford Dealership<br />

Vehicle Sales & Service<br />

Book your Car rentals & Island Tours with us<br />

Discover Grenada with<br />

<strong>Caribbean</strong> Horizons Tours & Services<br />

info@caribbeanhorizons.com<br />

www.caribbeanhorizons.com<br />

GRENADA<br />

In mid-November 1999 ‘Wrong Way’ Hurricane Lenny ran from west to east.<br />

I have just done another review, as mentioned in last month’s Readers’ Forum, and have come up come up with<br />

some interesting figures on November and December hurricanes from 1950 to 2020.<br />

In the months of November from 1950 to 1980 there were eight hurricanes and four tropical storms, and the<br />

period from 1980 to 1989 saw four November hurricanes in nine years. Ten November hurricanes and nine tropical<br />

storms occurred in the 30 years from 1990 to 2020.<br />

However, with few exceptions, these November hurricanes had little or no effect on the islands of the Eastern<br />

<strong>Caribbean</strong>. The November hurricanes were either in the Western <strong>Caribbean</strong> or Gulf of Mexico, or out in the Atlantic.<br />

One notable exception was Hurricane Klaus. In early November 1984 Klaus formed south of Puerto Rico, headed<br />

northeast hitting the US and British Virgin Islands, and continued eastward passing north of St. Martin.<br />

Another remarkable exception was 1999’s famous “Wrong Way Lenny.” Hurricane Lenny was the fourth strongest<br />

November hurricane on record, behind the 1932 Cuba hurricane and 2020’s Hurricanes Iota and Eta. Lenny<br />

formed on November 13th in the western <strong>Caribbean</strong> and maintained a west-to-east track for its entire duration. It<br />

attained hurricane status south of Jamaica on November 15th and passed south of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico<br />

over the next few days. Lenny rapidly intensified over the northeastern <strong>Caribbean</strong> on November 17th, attaining<br />

peak winds of 134 knots about 21 miles south of St. Croix. It gradually weakened while moving through the<br />

Leeward Islands, eventually dissipating on November 23rd over the open Atlantic. Lenny’s storm surges affected<br />

the entire Eastern <strong>Caribbean</strong> chain.<br />

December storms can be even more surprising.<br />

Hurricane Alice formed on December 30th 1954 west of Grenada, headed northwest, took a right-angle turn<br />

passing over St. Kitts & Nevis, and then carried on out to sea. There was a December tropical storm in 1953, giving<br />

one December hurricane and one December tropical storm between 1950 and 2000. Then there were two December<br />

tropical storms in 2003, two in 2005, one in 2007 and one in 2013 — six in ten years.<br />

Going through the yearly track charts it is obvious that in the months of September and <strong>October</strong>, the northern<br />

Lesser Antilles are hit by hurricanes to the point that area from Anguilla to Puerto Rico is referred to as “Hurricane<br />

Alley.” But it’s also apparent that the next couple of months aren’t risk free.<br />

The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) has stated that <strong>2021</strong> will be an active hurricane season, so stay alert.<br />

Regularly check www.nhc.noaa/gov for information on systems that may form tropical storms or hurricanes, and<br />

note their positions, course and speed of advance.<br />

The vast majority of hurricanes that affect the islands of Eastern <strong>Caribbean</strong> start as low-pressure areas of rain<br />

southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. These move westwards into the Atlantic and sometimes pick up a circular<br />

motion. If and when one does, the NHC notes it as a tropical depression and gives its position, speed of advance,<br />

and direction. The depression sometimes forms into a tropical storm and then sometimes into a hurricane. These<br />

systems, as long as they are below 19°N, progress westwards, rarely changing course more than five degrees in 24<br />

hours. With very few exceptions the alteration of course is to the north. Very seldom has a course alteration lasted<br />

more than 48 hours before the system again turns west. Only twice since 1851 has a jog to the south lasted more<br />

than 48 hours, and those two cases lasted 72 hours then turned west again.<br />

Most tropical storms or hurricanes when they arrive at the island chain are relatively small in diameter although<br />

they may be very intense. Once a hurricane passes through the islands it can do anything, even make a right angle<br />

turn to the north, which has happened twice since 1851. Once in the <strong>Caribbean</strong>, alterations of course are to the<br />

north, never to the south. And after a hurricane passes north of 19°N it can go anywhere. If it continues on to the<br />

warm water of the Bahamas it usually builds up a big head of steam and becomes a major hurricane, causing<br />

havoc in the Bahamas and in the States.<br />

It may be <strong>October</strong>, but it’s not time to let your guard down yet.<br />

For more information on hurricanes visit Don’s website at www.street-iolare.com

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!