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Mind, Body, World- Foundations of Cognitive Science, 2013a

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define more complex probabilistic contrasts that are possible when multiple cues<br />

occur and can be affected by the context in which they are presented.<br />

Empirically, the probability matching <strong>of</strong> perceptrons, illustrated in Figure 4-6,<br />

suggests that their behaviour can represent P. When a cue is presented, activity<br />

is equal to the probability that the cue signals reinforcement—that is, P(O|C). This<br />

implies that the difference between a perceptron’s activity when a cue is presented<br />

and its activity when a cue is absent must be equal to P. Let us now turn to a computational<br />

analysis to prove this claim.<br />

What is the formal relationship between formal contingency theories and<br />

theories <strong>of</strong> associative learning (Shanks, 2007)? Researchers have compared the<br />

predictions <strong>of</strong> an influential account <strong>of</strong> associative learning, the Rescorla-Wagner<br />

model (Rescorla & Wagner, 1972), to formal theories <strong>of</strong> contingency (Chapman &<br />

Robbins, 1990; Cheng, 1997; Cheng & Holyoak, 1995). It has been shown that while<br />

in some instances the Rescorla-Wagner model predicts the conditional contrasts<br />

defined by a formal contingency theory, in other situations it fails to generate these<br />

predictions (Cheng, 1997).<br />

Comparisons between contingency learning and Rescorla-Wagner learning<br />

typically involve determining equilibria <strong>of</strong> the Rescorla-Wagner model. An equilibrium<br />

<strong>of</strong> the Rescorla-Wagner model is a set <strong>of</strong> associative strengths defined by the<br />

model, at the point where the asymptote <strong>of</strong> changes in error defined by Rescorla-<br />

Wagner learning approaches zero (Danks, 2003). In the simple case described earlier,<br />

involving a single cue and a single outcome, the Rescorla-Wagner model is identical<br />

to contingency theory. This is because at equilibrium, the associative strength<br />

between cue and outcome is exactly equal to P (Chapman & Robbins, 1990).<br />

There is also an established formal relationship between the Rescorla-Wagner<br />

model and the delta rule learning <strong>of</strong> a perceptron (Dawson, 2008; Gluck & Bower,<br />

1988; Sutton & Barto, 1981). Thus by examining the equilibrium state <strong>of</strong> a perceptron<br />

facing a simple contingency problem, we can formally relate this kind <strong>of</strong> network<br />

to contingency theory and arrive at a formal understanding <strong>of</strong> what output<br />

unit activity represents.<br />

When a continuous activation function is used in a perceptron, calculus can be<br />

used to determine the equilibrium <strong>of</strong> the perceptron. Let us do so for a single cue<br />

situation in which some cue, C, when presented, is rewarded a frequency <strong>of</strong> a times,<br />

and is not rewarded a frequency <strong>of</strong> b times. Similarly, when the cue is not presented,<br />

the perceptron is rewarded a frequency <strong>of</strong> c times and is not rewarded a frequency<br />

<strong>of</strong> d times. Note that to reward a perceptron is to train it to generate a desired<br />

response <strong>of</strong> 1, and that to not reward a perceptron is to train it to generate a desired<br />

response <strong>of</strong> 0, because the desired response indicates the presence or absence <strong>of</strong> the<br />

unconditioned stimulus (Dawson, 2008).<br />

Elements <strong>of</strong> Connectionist <strong>Cognitive</strong> <strong>Science</strong> 155

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