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082-Engineering-Mathematics-Anthony-Croft-Robert-Davison-Martin-Hargreaves-James-Flint-Edisi-5-2017

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978 Chapter 29 Statistics and probability distributions

(d) Usethe Poissonapproximation to calculate the

probability that in a given week more than three

computersfail.

11 Arandom variable,t,has a uniform distribution, f (t),

given by

{ 14

0<t<4

f(t)=

0 otherwise

Calculate the probability that

(a) 1t3

(b) 0.2t2.7

(c) |t| >1 (d) |t| 1.5

12 Thetime,t,betweenfailures foraparticular typeof

electrical component follows an exponential

distribution with a meanvalue of24weeks. Calculate

the probabilitythat

(a)t>24 (b)t<22

13 Theresistance ofresistorsis arandom variablewith a

normal distributionwith ameanof3ohmsanda

standard deviation of0.1ohm. Calculate the

probability thataresistor has aresistance of

(a) between 2.9and3.05 ohms

(b) more than2.95 ohms

(c) less than2.83 ohms

14 Thecapacitance ofcapacitors isarandom variable

with anormal distribution, with ameanof12farads

andastandard deviation of0.6farads.Inabatchof

300 capacitors how many would you expectto have

with capacitance

(a) between 11and12.3 farads

(b) more than11.6 farads

(c) less than12.8 farads?

15 Acomputer fails,onaverage, onceevery 4 months.

An engineering systemusesninecomputers, all of

whichneedto be workingforthe system to operate.

Calculate the probability thatthe system willfail

sometimeduring

(a) a1monthperiod

(b) a2weekperiod(i.e.half amonth)

16 TheMTBF foramotor is270 hours.When the motor

fails ittakes7hours to repair. Calculate the

availabilityofthe motor.

17 Asystem comprisesfour components in series.The

MTBF foreachcomponentis 170 hours,200 hours,

250 hours and210 hours. Calculate the reliabilityof

the system over a100 hour period.

18 Asystem comprisestwo components in parallel.The

components have anMTBF of150 hours and

170 hours. Calculate the probabilitythe systemwill

failin a 200 hourperiod.

Solutions

1 mean = 8.35;st.dev. = 1.1314

2 (a) 0.06 (b) 0.4 (c) 0.51 (d) 0.46

3 (a) 0.125 (b) 0.973 (c) 0.216

(d) 0.75 (e) 0.194

4 (a) 0.775 (b) 0.799

5 (a)

1

λ

(b)

1

λ

6 (a) 20 (b) 1680

7 (a) 35 (b) 19900

8 (a) 1.4687 ×10 −4 (b) 0.1835

(c) 0.7513 (d) 0.2487

9 (a) 0.2707 (b) 0.1804 (c) 0.2707

(d) 0.3233

10 (a) 0.1736 (b) 0.8307 (c) 0.1898

(d) 0.6577

11 (a) 0.5 (b) 0.625 (c) 0.75

(d) 0.375

12 (a) 0.3679 (b) 0.6002

13 (a) 0.5328 (b) 0.6915 (c) 0.0446

14 (a) 193 (b) 225 (c) 272

15 (a) 0.8946 (b) 0.6753

16 0.9747

17 0.1402

18 0.5093

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