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082-Engineering-Mathematics-Anthony-Croft-Robert-Davison-Martin-Hargreaves-James-Flint-Edisi-5-2017

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930 Chapter 28 Probability

probabilitiesare 0.94, 0.91,0.97 and0.94,

respectively, formachines 1, 2, 3 and 4.

(a) Acapacitor istaken from each machine. What is

the probability all fourcapacitors are acceptable?

(b) Twocapacitorsaretakenfrommachine1andtwo

from machine 2. What isthe probability all four

capacitors are acceptable?

(c) Acapacitor istaken from each machine.

Calculate the probability that atleastthree

capacitors are acceptable.

(d) Acapacitor istaken from each machine. From

thissampleoffour capacitors, one istaken at

random.

(i) What is the probability itis acceptable and

made by machine 1?

(ii) What is the probability itis acceptable and

made by machine 2?

(e) Acapacitor istaken from each machine. From

thissampleoffour capacitors, one istaken at

random. What isthe probability itis acceptable?

[Hint: use the resultsin (d).]

Solutions

1 (a) 0.196 (b) 0.112 (c) 0.2401

2 (a) 0.0049 (b) 0.8649 (c) 0.0651

(d) 0.9951

3 (a) 0.7787 (b) 5.12 ×10 −4

(c) 0.2031 (d) 0.9818

4 (a) 0.2025 (b) 0.15 (c) 0.375

(d) 0.4375 (e) 0.355

5 (a) 0.7800 (b) 0.7317 (c) 0.9808

(d) (i) 0.235 (ii) 0.2275 (e) 0.94

REVIEWEXERCISES28

1 Componentsare made bymachines A, B and C.

Machine Amakes 30% ofthe components, machine

B makes50% ofthe components and machine C

makes the rest. Theprobability that a component is

acceptable when made by machine Ais 0.96, when

made bymachine Bthe probability is0.91 andwhen

made bymachine Cthe probability is0.93.

(a) Acomponent is picked atrandom. Calculate the

probability that itis made bymachine C.

(b) Acomponent is picked atrandom. Calculate the

probability that itis made byeither machine Aor

machine C.

(c) Acomponent is picked atrandom. Calculate the

probability that itis made bymachine Band is

acceptable.

(d) Acomponent is picked atrandom. Calculate the

probability that itis notacceptable.

(e) Acomponent picked atrandom is notacceptable.

Calculate the probability that itismade by

machine A.

(f) Acomponent picked atrandom is acceptable.

Calculate the probability that itismade by either

machine Aormachine B.

(g) Two components are picked atrandom. Calculate

the probability that they are both acceptable.

(h) Two components are picked atrandom. Calculate

the probability that oneis acceptable and oneis

unacceptable.

2 Three machines, A, Band C,manufacture a

component. Machine A manufactures 35%ofthe

components, machine B manufactures 40%ofthe

components and machine C makesthe rest.A

component is eitheracceptable ornotacceptable: 7%

ofcomponents made bymachine Aare not

acceptable, 12%ofcomponents made by machine B

are not acceptable and 2% ofthosemade bymachine

Care alsonotacceptable.

(a) Findthe probability that acomponent is made by

eithermachine Aormachine B.

(b) Two components are picked atrandom. What is

the probability that they are both made by

machine B?

(c) Three components are picked atrandom. What is

the probability they are each made by adifferent

machine?

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