Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System

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Turtle TradingAlgorithm FlowchartStartCalculate Nand Unit SizeCalculateSystem 1Entry and ExitLevelsCalculateSystem 2Entry and ExitLevelsCalculate 2%Risk LevelsSystem 1 System 1LiquidationStop =Max (Sys1 Exit,2% Stop)Which SystemInitiated LongPos?LiquidationStop =Max (Sys2 Exit,2% Stop)LongIs CurrentPosition Long,Short, or Flat?Which SystemInitiated LongPos?System 2 System 2FlatShortLiquidationStop =Min (Sys2 Exit,2% Stop)LiquidationStop =Min (Sys1 Exit,2% Stop)NoBeginSimulationTradingNoWas LastTrade aLoser?YesIs System 1 LongEntry < System 2Long Entry?NoBuy Stop =System 2Entry78COMPLETE TRADING ALGORITHMSPlaceSimulatedSystem 1Buy/ShortEntry/ExitOrdersTrackSimulatedPositionsLast TradeLoser = YesEndSimulationWinning TradeObservedLosing Trade ObservedPlace Orderto LiquidateLongNoNoYesSell Stop =System 1EntryWas LastTrade aLoser?YesSell Stop =System 1EntryNoIs Short EntryCloser Than LongLiquidation?YesLongIs System 1 ShortEntry > System 2Short Entry?Is CurrentPosition Long,Short, or Flat?NoShortSell Stop =System 2EntryIs Long EntryCloser Than ShortLiquidation?NoPlace Order toLiquidateShortYesPlace Order toReverse fromLong to ShortFlatPlace Buy andSell ShortOrders toInitiate NewPositionsYesPlace Order toReverse fromShort to LongFIGURE 3.1Turtle trading algorithm flowchart.www.rasabourse.com
Box 3.1 Turtle System #1Buy one tick above the highest high of the past 20 days stop.Sell short one tick below the lowest low of the past 20 days stop.If position is long, thenSell next bar at the maximum of:one tick below the lowest low of the past 10 days stop, orentryPrice – (0.02 * initialCapital) / bigPointValue stopIf position is short, thenBuy next bar at the minimum of:one tick above the highest high of the past 10 days stop, orentryPrice + (0.02 * initialCapital) / bigPointValue stopThis description does not utilize the ‘‘last trade was a loser filter’’ (LTLF).Even with the application of the LTLF, this system is very easy to trade. A simplespreadsheet is all it takes to help keep track of actual and simulated trades. Remembera simulated trade occurs after a winning trade is realized. Real trading is turned backon once a simulated losing trade occurs.System 2 (Box 3.2) entries are congruent with System 1, but require a muchlonger lookback period—55 days. Even though the Donchian Channel exit is wider,the same 2 percent maximum loss is still used.Box 3.2 Turtle System #2Buy one tick above the highest high of the past 55 days stop.Sell short one tick below the lowest low of the past 55 days stop.If position is long, thenSell next bar at the maximum of:one tick below the lowest low of the past 20 days stop orentryPrice – (0.02 * initialCapital) / bigPointValue stopIf position is short, thenBuy next bar at the minimum of:one tick above the highest high of the past 10 days stop orentryPrice + (0.02 * initialCapital) / bigPointValue stop79COMPLETE TRADING ALGORITHMSThe LTLF does not apply to these longer-term entries. If the market is making anew 55-day high/low, then the Turtle system thinks a new trend has definitely begunand the trader must be on board. This entry was considered the failsafe breakout.www.rasabourse.com
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THE ULTIMATEALGORITHMICTRADING SYST
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THE ULTIMATEALGORITHMICTRADING SYST
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CONTENTSAbout the authorIntroductio
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Reproduction 238Mutation 240Using G
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ABOUT THE AUTHORIt was March of 198
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Well that was 27 years ago and I di
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xivINTRODUCTION TO THE ULTIMATE ALG
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xviINTRODUCTION TO THE ULTIMATE ALG
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CHAPTER 1Introductionto TradingAlgo
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However, at this introductory stage
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completely above the tableau. If th
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Don’t get bogged down trying to u
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checking account was down the $10K,
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Short Liquidation Condition—What
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One BarStrengthTwo BarStrengthThree
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and inexperienced trading system pr
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Input = 6StartInput = 4Input <> 6In
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The diagram in Figure 1.4 looks cle
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observed. If the latter criterion i
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Start or NewBarIs C >AVG(C,200)YesN
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CHAPTER 2Stochastics andAverages an
Page 43 and 44: The basic theory behind the ADX is
Page 45 and 46: 4. Divide the 14-day smoothed plus
Page 47 and 48: if myADX < 35 thenif MarketPosition
Page 49 and 50: TABLE 2.1Performance of Directional
Page 51 and 52: FIGURE 2.4Source: TradeStationExamp
Page 53 and 54: Start orNew BarIs RSI < 30YesBuy Ma
Page 55 and 56: RSI DivergenceMarket Continuing to
Page 57 and 58: If marketPosition =-1 and close > e
Page 59 and 60: TABLE 2.3Performance of RSI Failure
Page 61 and 62: Start orNew BarIs Slow %K CrossingA
Page 63 and 64: TABLE 2.4Performance of Stochastic
Page 65 and 66: it is boundless extended readings a
Page 67 and 68: TABLE 2.5Performance of CCI algorit
Page 69 and 70: FIGURE 2.11Source: TradeStationThe
Page 71 and 72: We will discuss moving averages in
Page 73 and 74: MACDAvg = XAverage( MyMACD,9)MACDDi
Page 75 and 76: FIGURE 2.13Source: TradeStationThre
Page 77 and 78: LC0_E0B −25000 −41790 398 −62
Page 79 and 80: FIGURE 2.14Source: TradeStationA 60
Page 81 and 82: TABLE 2.8 Performance of Bollinger
Page 83 and 84: If filterTrade = false thenIf close
Page 85 and 86: Keltner ChannelChester Keltner brou
Page 87 and 88: FIGURE 2.15Source: TradeStationKelt
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Page 91 and 92: TABLE 2.12Best Parameter Sets of Ke
Page 93: CHAPTER 3Complete TradingAlgorithms
Page 97 and 98: TABLE 3.1Turtle System 1 without LT
Page 99 and 100: TABLE 3.3Turtle System 1 with LTLF
Page 101 and 102: TABLE 3.4Tandem Performance of Turt
Page 103 and 104: Pause the Battle—Let’s Talk Ris
Page 105 and 106: Box 3.3 Battle Royale—And the Com
Page 107 and 108: TABLE 3.5Single Moving Average (SMA
Page 109 and 110: TABLE 3.8Donchian Channel Breakout
Page 111 and 112: we have, because who has the time t
Page 113 and 114: %Winners ShortLen InterLen StopDoll
Page 115 and 116: on a peak. This demonstrates a lack
Page 117 and 118: The correlation coefficients range
Page 119 and 120: TABLE 3.13The Best Results for the
Page 121 and 122: TABLE 3.17Results for the Donchian
Page 123 and 124: FIGURE 3.5AmiBroker’s walk-forwar
Page 125 and 126: direction of the 200-day moving ave
Page 127 and 128: range day and initially puts on two
Page 129 and 130: CHAPTER 4Introduction toAmiBroker
Page 131 and 132: Things All Programmers Need to Know
Page 133 and 134: expressions deal with a string of c
Page 135 and 136: AFL uses functions DateNum(), DateT
Page 137 and 138: to Short and Cover as well. If you
Page 139 and 140: FIGURE 4.2The AmiBroker Editor wind
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shortMav = MA(C,avgLen1);longMav =
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code. This is a very difficult thin
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the order of the arrays. I admit th
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FIGURE 4.17The AFL Code Wizard ‘
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■■■This time click on is grea
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This should look very similar to th
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before a single line of code is typ
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COND3 = C > MA(C,100);COND1 = cente
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’********************************
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FIGURE 5.1trading.Once you define t
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GetDataGET DATACOMPONENTLoad Data i
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152USING MICROSOFT EXCEL TO BACKTES
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performance of the trading system.
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156 FIGURE 5.9 The Visual Basic Edi
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FIGURE 5.12This error message appea
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End IfIf marketPosition = -1 ThenCa
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■■moc—Market On Close order.
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Simple Moving Average Crossover usi
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Call Trade(ExitShort, "S-ATR Prof",
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168USING PYTHON TO BACKTEST YOUR AL
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It works well on both Unix and Wind
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function modules and some are a lit
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inclusive, the number of iterations
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176This indicator is programmed as
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if prices[curBar - offset] < prices
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All these files deal with opening a
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entryPrice,fileList,entryPrice,entr
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Python has a ton of reusable code a
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186USING PYTHON TO BACKTEST YOUR AL
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portfolioClass. These classes are n
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percent wins, number of trades, and
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>>> c = a + b>>> cAfter you hit ent
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you don’t need to know exactly ho
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Shorting occurs when the low of the
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That was the long entry logic only
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FIGURE 6.4brackets.A Python run-tim
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prevAvg2 and today’s avg1 must be
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■ TradeStation IDE204AN INTRODUCT
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206AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEt
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FIGURE 7.5The algorithm with a sing
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the Vars statement and initialize t
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TABLE 7.1EasyLanguage Keywords and
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214AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEF
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standard deviations. In our example
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218AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEt
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into a project makes it easier to a
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If marketPosition =-1 thenbeginend;
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or program any trading idea. Practi
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CHAPTER 8Genetic Optimization,Walk
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superfast processors, searching a l
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This equation involves four unknown
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For generation = 1 To 100 ' total g
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Converting Fitness in Terms of Slic
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'the 6 darts landedRandomizeFor l =
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roulette(i) = Rnd(1#)If roulette(i)
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selection and reproduction may even
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This is just one possible solution.
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history of each market. This test w
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Crossover RateThe rate that determi
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TradeStation’s and AmiBroker’s
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TABLE 8.3In-Sample Testing TA2Le Se
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Here are the various calculations t
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1. movAvgLen { 50 to 150 by 10 incr
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TABLE 8.6The Out-of-Sample (OOS) Re
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your algorithm are each written on
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That’s it! These seven lines of c
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[Equity]350003000025000200001500010
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Calculating Start Trade Drawdown Wi
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A loop is used to flow through each
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The maximum drawdown of this algori
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■ Fixed Fractional272PORTFOLIO AN
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FIGURE 9.2Add a strategy to your st
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276FIGURE 9.6The UGTATS markets and
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278FIGURE 9.9 How to adjust the set
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FIGURE 9.12 The Trade Analysis wind
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282PORTFOLIO ANALYSISFIGURE 9.15thi
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FIGURE 9.18 Profit and drawdown are
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FIGURE 9.20 To set the portfolio st
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FIGURE 9.24Source: TradeStationThe
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count makes sense; trades are turne
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APPENDIX AAmiBrokerHere is a brief
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switchbreak (part of the switch sta
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Here is the source code from Chapte
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PctSize = PositionRisk * MarginDepo
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■ KeywordsprevMarketPositionmarke
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upSumAvg = upSum / lengthdnSumAvg =
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Sub BollingerBand(dataList, length,
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308EXCEL SYSTEM BACKTESTERIf (kVal
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■ Keywords and Identifierscurrent
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312PYTHON SYSTEM BACKTESTERdef calc
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sysMark =self.systemMarkets[i]avgLo
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class stochClass(object):class stoc
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318PYTHON SYSTEM BACKTESTERfor i in
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■ Python-Specific Keywordsandasas
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Monte Carlo Analysis# Monte Carlo A
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FIGURE D.1324TRADESTATION AND EASYL
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Simple RSI with Profit Objective an
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If condition1 and condition2 then b
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330TRADESTATION AND EASYLANGUAGEIf(
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if lastTradeLoser thenbeginif curre
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Value1 = swingHighBar(1,h,pivotHiSt
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■■■■■■■Statistically
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INDEXNote: Page references followed
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calculation2 standard deviations, u
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ES. See Exhaustive searchESB. See E
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Mini Russell day trading system, na
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PPO. See Percentage price oscillato
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Time-based market order (MOC), exit
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Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System

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