Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System

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342INDEXCumulative frequency distribution table (CFDT),265curBar (sAverage function parameter), 172Curve fitting, 227prevention, 247–249Customize Ribbon, 154DDaily bars (pivot high points), strength differences(examples), 13Dartboardcreation, VBA Excel (usage), 236example, 236fDart-throwing blindfolded monkey (simulation),VBA Excel (usage), 236–237Data arrays (ESB), 301Data arrays (PSB), 309DataMaster worksheet, usage (example). See ExcelSystem BacktesterDC. See Donchian ChannelsDefiniteness (algorithm criteria), 1Dependencies, nesting, 221fDeveloper tab option, example, 155fDirectional movement (DM), 26–29algorithm, 31fperformance, 33tconcept, introduction, 26examples, 27fsystem description, 30b–31bDirectional Movement Index (DX), 29DM. See Directional movementDMA. See Double simple moving averagednSum (variable), 177Donchian algorithms, results, 103t, 105tDonchian Channels (DC), 90bbreakout, 93tDonchian lengths, Donchian Channel breakout(usage), 93tDouble simple moving average (DMA) algorithm, 95Double simple moving average (DMA) crossover,89balgorithm, 92tdownward, term (removal), 6Draw down. See TradedrawdownDX. See Directional Movement IndexEEasyLanguage, 203, 204, 323abbreviations, 212talgorithm codes, 325–334chart, strategy application, 213fcodes, usage, 333–334comments, 209Connors/Alvarez, time-based exit (usage),327–328editor, 206fline number display, 219feditor, usage, 208ffunctions, 324–325inputs, change (process), 215fkeywords, 212t, 324–325mean reversion strategy (change), input variables(usage), 215fprofit objective, usage, 326–327projectcreation, 220fstrategy, addition, 220fprotective stop, usage, 326–327remarks, 209reversion analysis strategy, 214fsamples, 221–224SKIP words, 209strategyadjustment process, 215falgorithm, dependencies/functions (nesting),221fsyntax, 209–221Turtle, LTL filter/pyramiding/position sizing(usage), 328–332Editor. See AmiBroker Function Languageline number display (EasyLanguage), 219fEdit (keyword), recognition, 4Effectiveness (algorithm criteria), 2ELD filesimporting, 323–324reimporting, 273EMA. See Exponential moving averageEnd Of Day (EOD)data feeds, 114historic database, 151Entry logic, 7bEntry rules, template (example), 9b–10bEOD. See End Of DayequityClass, 188, 310–311Equity curvechart, maximum drawdown (display), 280fcreation, 247example, 107fmean reversion algorithm, 108fmultiple randomized equity curves, chart, 263fpattern system, 109fprofit, display, 283fstops, addition, 288fEquityStream worksheet, macro (launch), 153fwww.rasabourse.com
ES. See Exhaustive searchESB. See Excel System BacktesterEurocurrency downturn, CCI system detection, 53fExceldata, 148–149worksheet, example, 151fribbon, customization, 155fusage, 145. See also Visual Basic for Applications.Visual Basic Editor, example, 156fExcelSystemBackTester, 152Excel System Backtester (ESB), 145, 301components, 149, 151data arrays, 301DataMaster worksheet, usage (example), 152EquityStream worksheet, macro (launch), 153ffunctions, 302–308keywords, 302programming environment, 154–163Results worksheet, trades/performance metricslisting, 153fsource code, 147subroutines, 302–308VBA code, 155–163ExcelSystemTester, functions/subroutines, 148exclude (AmiBroker keyword), 293Exhaustive search (ES)algorithm, parameters (results), 245tExhaustive search (ES) optimization engines, 228Exitprocedure, 162rules, template (example), 10b–11bExit logic, 7b–8bexitPos function, 180Explorationresults, 296fusage, 295–298Exponential moving average (EMA), 58–62ExpressionsAmiBroker Function Language (AFL), 116–117arithmetic expressions, 116logical expressions, 116results, 117–118FFailure swing algorithm, performance, 43tFailure swing system description. See RelativeStrength IndexFast %D, 42Fast %K, 42filter (AmiBroker keyword), 294filterTrade variable, 67Finding moms and pops, VBA Excel (usage),238–240Finiteness (algorithm criteria), 1Finite state machine (FSM), 16, 24code, example, 224–226diagram, 17–18modeling, 17f, 18fFitness conversion, VBA Excel (usage), 235Fitness of chromosomes (testing), VBA Excel(usage), 232–233Fitschen, Keith, 2645X ATR profit objective, usage, 165–166Fixed Fractional, 272formula, 283money management overlay, 281–284parameters, change, 281–282Flowchart (FC), 21, 24example, 22fusage, example, 23fFlow control structures, 294–295for loop, 139, 184, 186for-loop, 174FORTRAN, 16814-day ADX, calculation, 28–2914-day RSI, calculation, 32, 3414-day stochastic (FAST), calculation, 42FSM. See Finite state machineFunctionsdefinition, colon (usage), 172Functions, nesting, 221fFuture leak, advantage, 148Futures mode option, 127Futures prices, ASCII database, 121GGarbage in garbage out (GIGO), 152Generation, 231concepts, 230Genes allocation process, VBA Excel (usage), 240Genetic algorithms (GAs)concepts, 230crossover rate, 247curve fitting, prevention, 247–249generations, 246identification, 228–230mutation rate, 246population size, 246usage, 243–247Genetic optimization (GO), 95, 227getData(), 182GetData (ESB component), 149Graphical user interface (GUI), 168343INDEXwww.rasabourse.com
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THE ULTIMATEALGORITHMICTRADING SYST
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THE ULTIMATEALGORITHMICTRADING SYST
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CONTENTSAbout the authorIntroductio
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Reproduction 238Mutation 240Using G
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ABOUT THE AUTHORIt was March of 198
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Well that was 27 years ago and I di
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xivINTRODUCTION TO THE ULTIMATE ALG
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xviINTRODUCTION TO THE ULTIMATE ALG
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CHAPTER 1Introductionto TradingAlgo
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However, at this introductory stage
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completely above the tableau. If th
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Don’t get bogged down trying to u
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checking account was down the $10K,
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Short Liquidation Condition—What
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One BarStrengthTwo BarStrengthThree
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and inexperienced trading system pr
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Input = 6StartInput = 4Input <> 6In
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The diagram in Figure 1.4 looks cle
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observed. If the latter criterion i
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Start or NewBarIs C >AVG(C,200)YesN
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CHAPTER 2Stochastics andAverages an
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The basic theory behind the ADX is
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4. Divide the 14-day smoothed plus
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if myADX < 35 thenif MarketPosition
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TABLE 2.1Performance of Directional
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FIGURE 2.4Source: TradeStationExamp
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Start orNew BarIs RSI < 30YesBuy Ma
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RSI DivergenceMarket Continuing to
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If marketPosition =-1 and close > e
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TABLE 2.3Performance of RSI Failure
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Start orNew BarIs Slow %K CrossingA
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TABLE 2.4Performance of Stochastic
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it is boundless extended readings a
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TABLE 2.5Performance of CCI algorit
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FIGURE 2.11Source: TradeStationThe
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We will discuss moving averages in
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MACDAvg = XAverage( MyMACD,9)MACDDi
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FIGURE 2.13Source: TradeStationThre
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LC0_E0B −25000 −41790 398 −62
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FIGURE 2.14Source: TradeStationA 60
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TABLE 2.8 Performance of Bollinger
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If filterTrade = false thenIf close
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Keltner ChannelChester Keltner brou
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FIGURE 2.15Source: TradeStationKelt
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35000300002500020000150001000050000
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TABLE 2.12Best Parameter Sets of Ke
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CHAPTER 3Complete TradingAlgorithms
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Box 3.1 Turtle System #1Buy one tic
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TABLE 3.1Turtle System 1 without LT
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TABLE 3.3Turtle System 1 with LTLF
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TABLE 3.4Tandem Performance of Turt
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Pause the Battle—Let’s Talk Ris
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Box 3.3 Battle Royale—And the Com
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TABLE 3.5Single Moving Average (SMA
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TABLE 3.8Donchian Channel Breakout
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we have, because who has the time t
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%Winners ShortLen InterLen StopDoll
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on a peak. This demonstrates a lack
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The correlation coefficients range
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TABLE 3.13The Best Results for the
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TABLE 3.17Results for the Donchian
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FIGURE 3.5AmiBroker’s walk-forwar
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direction of the 200-day moving ave
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range day and initially puts on two
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CHAPTER 4Introduction toAmiBroker
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Things All Programmers Need to Know
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expressions deal with a string of c
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AFL uses functions DateNum(), DateT
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to Short and Cover as well. If you
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FIGURE 4.2The AmiBroker Editor wind
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to the user. Instead of having to r
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This is where you can change the va
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shortMav = MA(C,avgLen1);longMav =
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code. This is a very difficult thin
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the order of the arrays. I admit th
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FIGURE 4.17The AFL Code Wizard ‘
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■■■This time click on is grea
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This should look very similar to th
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before a single line of code is typ
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COND3 = C > MA(C,100);COND1 = cente
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’********************************
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FIGURE 5.1trading.Once you define t
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GetDataGET DATACOMPONENTLoad Data i
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152USING MICROSOFT EXCEL TO BACKTES
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performance of the trading system.
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156 FIGURE 5.9 The Visual Basic Edi
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FIGURE 5.12This error message appea
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End IfIf marketPosition = -1 ThenCa
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■■moc—Market On Close order.
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Simple Moving Average Crossover usi
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Call Trade(ExitShort, "S-ATR Prof",
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168USING PYTHON TO BACKTEST YOUR AL
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It works well on both Unix and Wind
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function modules and some are a lit
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inclusive, the number of iterations
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176This indicator is programmed as
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if prices[curBar - offset] < prices
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All these files deal with opening a
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entryPrice,fileList,entryPrice,entr
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Python has a ton of reusable code a
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186USING PYTHON TO BACKTEST YOUR AL
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portfolioClass. These classes are n
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percent wins, number of trades, and
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>>> c = a + b>>> cAfter you hit ent
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you don’t need to know exactly ho
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Shorting occurs when the low of the
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That was the long entry logic only
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FIGURE 6.4brackets.A Python run-tim
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prevAvg2 and today’s avg1 must be
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■ TradeStation IDE204AN INTRODUCT
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206AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEt
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FIGURE 7.5The algorithm with a sing
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the Vars statement and initialize t
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TABLE 7.1EasyLanguage Keywords and
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214AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEF
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standard deviations. In our example
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218AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEt
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into a project makes it easier to a
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If marketPosition =-1 thenbeginend;
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or program any trading idea. Practi
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CHAPTER 8Genetic Optimization,Walk
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superfast processors, searching a l
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This equation involves four unknown
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For generation = 1 To 100 ' total g
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Converting Fitness in Terms of Slic
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'the 6 darts landedRandomizeFor l =
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roulette(i) = Rnd(1#)If roulette(i)
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selection and reproduction may even
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This is just one possible solution.
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history of each market. This test w
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Crossover RateThe rate that determi
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TradeStation’s and AmiBroker’s
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TABLE 8.3In-Sample Testing TA2Le Se
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Here are the various calculations t
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1. movAvgLen { 50 to 150 by 10 incr
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TABLE 8.6The Out-of-Sample (OOS) Re
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your algorithm are each written on
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That’s it! These seven lines of c
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[Equity]350003000025000200001500010
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Calculating Start Trade Drawdown Wi
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A loop is used to flow through each
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The maximum drawdown of this algori
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■ Fixed Fractional272PORTFOLIO AN
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FIGURE 9.2Add a strategy to your st
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276FIGURE 9.6The UGTATS markets and
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278FIGURE 9.9 How to adjust the set
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FIGURE 9.12 The Trade Analysis wind
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282PORTFOLIO ANALYSISFIGURE 9.15thi
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FIGURE 9.18 Profit and drawdown are
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FIGURE 9.20 To set the portfolio st
Page 301 and 302: FIGURE 9.24Source: TradeStationThe
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Page 305 and 306: APPENDIX AAmiBrokerHere is a brief
Page 307 and 308: switchbreak (part of the switch sta
Page 309 and 310: Here is the source code from Chapte
Page 311 and 312: PctSize = PositionRisk * MarginDepo
Page 313 and 314: ■ KeywordsprevMarketPositionmarke
Page 315 and 316: upSumAvg = upSum / lengthdnSumAvg =
Page 317 and 318: Sub BollingerBand(dataList, length,
Page 319 and 320: 308EXCEL SYSTEM BACKTESTERIf (kVal
Page 321 and 322: ■ Keywords and Identifierscurrent
Page 323 and 324: 312PYTHON SYSTEM BACKTESTERdef calc
Page 325 and 326: sysMark =self.systemMarkets[i]avgLo
Page 327 and 328: class stochClass(object):class stoc
Page 329 and 330: 318PYTHON SYSTEM BACKTESTERfor i in
Page 331 and 332: ■ Python-Specific Keywordsandasas
Page 333 and 334: Monte Carlo Analysis# Monte Carlo A
Page 335 and 336: FIGURE D.1324TRADESTATION AND EASYL
Page 337 and 338: Simple RSI with Profit Objective an
Page 339 and 340: If condition1 and condition2 then b
Page 341 and 342: 330TRADESTATION AND EASYLANGUAGEIf(
Page 343 and 344: if lastTradeLoser thenbeginif curre
Page 345 and 346: Value1 = swingHighBar(1,h,pivotHiSt
Page 347 and 348: ■■■■■■■Statistically
Page 349 and 350: INDEXNote: Page references followed
Page 351: calculation2 standard deviations, u
Page 355 and 356: Mini Russell day trading system, na
Page 357 and 358: PPO. See Percentage price oscillato
Page 359 and 360: Time-based market order (MOC), exit
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Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System

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