Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System

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FIGURE 9.10 As you prepare to backtest your portfolio, ensure the settings are correct. Beginby clicking the Backtest Portfolio button (marked 1 in the figure). Then, check the initial capital,test period, and backtest type in the appropriate fields (marked with 2). When everything looksgood, click the Perform Backtest button (number 3 in the figure).279FIGURE 9.11A backtest performance report.PORTFOLIO ANALYSISplethora of performance metrics. The one thing I would like PM to show in thisreport is the maximum drawdown. The maximum drawdown is shown but youhave to hunt for it. Click on the Trade Analysis tab. The Trade Analysis drillsdown and proffers up even more performance metrics. If you are a statistician, thenyou will think you have died and gone to Heaven. The neatest feature in this tabis located at the bottom right and is labeled View/Hide Symbols. If you hit thisbutton, then every market that was traded and their associated performance metricswill be added to the Trade Analysis window (see Figure 9.12).Scroll around and make yourself comfortable with the report. I could write anentire book just on these neat reports and bore you to death. However, I will leavethe exploration of all of the different report tabs up to you. But if you indulge me awww.rasabourse.com
FIGURE 9.12 The Trade Analysis window displays trading statistics. To get to this screen, clickthe Trade Analysis tab (marked 1). The View/Hide Symbols button (marked 2) reveals theperformance metric for every market in your portfolio (item 3).280PORTFOLIO ANALYSISlittle bit more, I will show two very interesting charts that PM generates that showthe location of the maximum drawdown. Click on the Graphs tab and the equitycurve for the portfolio will be plotted and look similar to the one in Figure 9.13.If you want to see the contribution of each individual market to the portfolio, thisis done by selecting Total P/L by symbol (Figure 9.14). This chart is a histogram ofeach market’s contribution to the grand total. If you want to know the maximumdrawdown of the portfolio, you will find this under the Returns and EquityFIGURE 9.13Source: TradeStationAn equity curve chart that shows the maximum drawdown.www.rasabourse.com
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THE ULTIMATEALGORITHMICTRADING SYST
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THE ULTIMATEALGORITHMICTRADING SYST
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CONTENTSAbout the authorIntroductio
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Reproduction 238Mutation 240Using G
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ABOUT THE AUTHORIt was March of 198
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Well that was 27 years ago and I di
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xivINTRODUCTION TO THE ULTIMATE ALG
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xviINTRODUCTION TO THE ULTIMATE ALG
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CHAPTER 1Introductionto TradingAlgo
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However, at this introductory stage
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completely above the tableau. If th
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Don’t get bogged down trying to u
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checking account was down the $10K,
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Short Liquidation Condition—What
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One BarStrengthTwo BarStrengthThree
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and inexperienced trading system pr
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Input = 6StartInput = 4Input <> 6In
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The diagram in Figure 1.4 looks cle
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observed. If the latter criterion i
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Start or NewBarIs C >AVG(C,200)YesN
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CHAPTER 2Stochastics andAverages an
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The basic theory behind the ADX is
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4. Divide the 14-day smoothed plus
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if myADX < 35 thenif MarketPosition
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TABLE 2.1Performance of Directional
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FIGURE 2.4Source: TradeStationExamp
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Start orNew BarIs RSI < 30YesBuy Ma
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RSI DivergenceMarket Continuing to
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If marketPosition =-1 and close > e
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TABLE 2.3Performance of RSI Failure
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Start orNew BarIs Slow %K CrossingA
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TABLE 2.4Performance of Stochastic
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it is boundless extended readings a
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TABLE 2.5Performance of CCI algorit
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FIGURE 2.11Source: TradeStationThe
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We will discuss moving averages in
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MACDAvg = XAverage( MyMACD,9)MACDDi
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FIGURE 2.13Source: TradeStationThre
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LC0_E0B −25000 −41790 398 −62
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FIGURE 2.14Source: TradeStationA 60
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TABLE 2.8 Performance of Bollinger
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If filterTrade = false thenIf close
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Keltner ChannelChester Keltner brou
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FIGURE 2.15Source: TradeStationKelt
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35000300002500020000150001000050000
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TABLE 2.12Best Parameter Sets of Ke
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CHAPTER 3Complete TradingAlgorithms
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Box 3.1 Turtle System #1Buy one tic
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TABLE 3.1Turtle System 1 without LT
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TABLE 3.3Turtle System 1 with LTLF
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TABLE 3.4Tandem Performance of Turt
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Pause the Battle—Let’s Talk Ris
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Box 3.3 Battle Royale—And the Com
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TABLE 3.5Single Moving Average (SMA
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TABLE 3.8Donchian Channel Breakout
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we have, because who has the time t
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%Winners ShortLen InterLen StopDoll
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on a peak. This demonstrates a lack
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The correlation coefficients range
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TABLE 3.13The Best Results for the
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TABLE 3.17Results for the Donchian
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FIGURE 3.5AmiBroker’s walk-forwar
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direction of the 200-day moving ave
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range day and initially puts on two
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CHAPTER 4Introduction toAmiBroker
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Things All Programmers Need to Know
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expressions deal with a string of c
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AFL uses functions DateNum(), DateT
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to Short and Cover as well. If you
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FIGURE 4.2The AmiBroker Editor wind
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to the user. Instead of having to r
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This is where you can change the va
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shortMav = MA(C,avgLen1);longMav =
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code. This is a very difficult thin
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the order of the arrays. I admit th
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FIGURE 4.17The AFL Code Wizard ‘
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■■■This time click on is grea
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This should look very similar to th
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before a single line of code is typ
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COND3 = C > MA(C,100);COND1 = cente
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’********************************
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FIGURE 5.1trading.Once you define t
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GetDataGET DATACOMPONENTLoad Data i
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152USING MICROSOFT EXCEL TO BACKTES
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performance of the trading system.
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156 FIGURE 5.9 The Visual Basic Edi
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FIGURE 5.12This error message appea
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End IfIf marketPosition = -1 ThenCa
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■■moc—Market On Close order.
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Simple Moving Average Crossover usi
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Call Trade(ExitShort, "S-ATR Prof",
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168USING PYTHON TO BACKTEST YOUR AL
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It works well on both Unix and Wind
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function modules and some are a lit
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inclusive, the number of iterations
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176This indicator is programmed as
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if prices[curBar - offset] < prices
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All these files deal with opening a
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entryPrice,fileList,entryPrice,entr
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Python has a ton of reusable code a
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186USING PYTHON TO BACKTEST YOUR AL
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portfolioClass. These classes are n
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percent wins, number of trades, and
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>>> c = a + b>>> cAfter you hit ent
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you don’t need to know exactly ho
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Shorting occurs when the low of the
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That was the long entry logic only
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FIGURE 6.4brackets.A Python run-tim
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prevAvg2 and today’s avg1 must be
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■ TradeStation IDE204AN INTRODUCT
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206AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEt
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FIGURE 7.5The algorithm with a sing
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the Vars statement and initialize t
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TABLE 7.1EasyLanguage Keywords and
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214AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEF
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standard deviations. In our example
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218AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEt
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into a project makes it easier to a
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If marketPosition =-1 thenbeginend;
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or program any trading idea. Practi
Page 241 and 242: CHAPTER 8Genetic Optimization,Walk
Page 243 and 244: superfast processors, searching a l
Page 245 and 246: This equation involves four unknown
Page 247 and 248: For generation = 1 To 100 ' total g
Page 249 and 250: Converting Fitness in Terms of Slic
Page 251 and 252: 'the 6 darts landedRandomizeFor l =
Page 253 and 254: roulette(i) = Rnd(1#)If roulette(i)
Page 255 and 256: selection and reproduction may even
Page 257 and 258: This is just one possible solution.
Page 259 and 260: history of each market. This test w
Page 261 and 262: Crossover RateThe rate that determi
Page 263 and 264: TradeStation’s and AmiBroker’s
Page 265 and 266: TABLE 8.3In-Sample Testing TA2Le Se
Page 267 and 268: Here are the various calculations t
Page 269 and 270: 1. movAvgLen { 50 to 150 by 10 incr
Page 271 and 272: TABLE 8.6The Out-of-Sample (OOS) Re
Page 273 and 274: your algorithm are each written on
Page 275 and 276: That’s it! These seven lines of c
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Page 279 and 280: Calculating Start Trade Drawdown Wi
Page 281 and 282: A loop is used to flow through each
Page 283 and 284: The maximum drawdown of this algori
Page 285 and 286: ■ Fixed Fractional272PORTFOLIO AN
Page 287 and 288: FIGURE 9.2Add a strategy to your st
Page 289 and 290: 276FIGURE 9.6The UGTATS markets and
Page 291: 278FIGURE 9.9 How to adjust the set
Page 295 and 296: 282PORTFOLIO ANALYSISFIGURE 9.15thi
Page 297 and 298: FIGURE 9.18 Profit and drawdown are
Page 299 and 300: FIGURE 9.20 To set the portfolio st
Page 301 and 302: FIGURE 9.24Source: TradeStationThe
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Page 305 and 306: APPENDIX AAmiBrokerHere is a brief
Page 307 and 308: switchbreak (part of the switch sta
Page 309 and 310: Here is the source code from Chapte
Page 311 and 312: PctSize = PositionRisk * MarginDepo
Page 313 and 314: ■ KeywordsprevMarketPositionmarke
Page 315 and 316: upSumAvg = upSum / lengthdnSumAvg =
Page 317 and 318: Sub BollingerBand(dataList, length,
Page 319 and 320: 308EXCEL SYSTEM BACKTESTERIf (kVal
Page 321 and 322: ■ Keywords and Identifierscurrent
Page 323 and 324: 312PYTHON SYSTEM BACKTESTERdef calc
Page 325 and 326: sysMark =self.systemMarkets[i]avgLo
Page 327 and 328: class stochClass(object):class stoc
Page 329 and 330: 318PYTHON SYSTEM BACKTESTERfor i in
Page 331 and 332: ■ Python-Specific Keywordsandasas
Page 333 and 334: Monte Carlo Analysis# Monte Carlo A
Page 335 and 336: FIGURE D.1324TRADESTATION AND EASYL
Page 337 and 338: Simple RSI with Profit Objective an
Page 339 and 340: If condition1 and condition2 then b
Page 341 and 342: 330TRADESTATION AND EASYLANGUAGEIf(
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if lastTradeLoser thenbeginif curre
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Value1 = swingHighBar(1,h,pivotHiSt
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■■■■■■■Statistically
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INDEXNote: Page references followed
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calculation2 standard deviations, u
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ES. See Exhaustive searchESB. See E
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Mini Russell day trading system, na
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PPO. See Percentage price oscillato
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Time-based market order (MOC), exit
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Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System

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