Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System

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FIGURE 5.7tab option.FIGURE 5.8The ESB VBA CodeCustomize your Excel ribbon. Make sure you check the box next to the DeveloperThe Developer tab in Microsoft Excel.The modules are individual files that contain the source code to carry out the variouschores necessary to test a trading system. The most import module (Main)istheonewe will spend most of our time in. Go ahead and double-click Main—the sourcecode inside the module will open in a separate window (see Figure 5.10). Insidethis module are five submodules or subroutines: declarations, fillTradeInfo,GetData, SystemTester, andmain. Most of our work will take place in theSystemTester module. Go ahead and scroll up and down in this window. It’s goingto look daunting without a doubt, but you need not concern yourself with 80 percentof the source code. Scroll to the very top of the window and you will see a lot of text155USING MICROSOFT EXCEL TO BACKTEST YOUR ALGORITHMwww.rasabourse.com
156 FIGURE 5.9 The Visual Basic Editor (VBE) in Microsoft Excel.USING MICROSOFT EXCEL TO BACKTEST YOUR ALGORITHMin green. In VB, everything green is considered a comment. This information is justthere for the benefit of the person reading the code—it is hidden from the computer.Notice the first character in each line that is green. It is a single quote (‘). A singlequote at the beginning of a line of VBA code tells the computer to ignore the line.Just like the double forward slashes ‘‘//’’ in AmiBroker. This area of the source codelets the reader know the title, version, subversion of the software, and any notespertaining to revisions and necessary information a user may need to know. If youscrolled through the source, you will see multiple lines of comments. I did this tomodularize the code and explain what the individual sections were doing. Breakingdown a large program into sections helps explain the code in block-by-block fashion.Source code read as a whole is very difficult to understand, but if you can break thecode into individual blocks, it will help make things much clearer.You will notice several banners or blocks of green text embedded in the sourcecode. Figure 5.10 is an example of one of these blocks.These comments, in this format, help break up the code and also explain what’shappening in the next few lines of code. This commentary explains how the datacontained in the cells of the Data worksheet will be imported into the individualdata arrays. Column 1 holds the Dates of each individual daily bar. The first row ofwww.rasabourse.com
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THE ULTIMATEALGORITHMICTRADING SYST
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THE ULTIMATEALGORITHMICTRADING SYST
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CONTENTSAbout the authorIntroductio
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Reproduction 238Mutation 240Using G
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ABOUT THE AUTHORIt was March of 198
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Well that was 27 years ago and I di
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xivINTRODUCTION TO THE ULTIMATE ALG
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xviINTRODUCTION TO THE ULTIMATE ALG
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CHAPTER 1Introductionto TradingAlgo
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However, at this introductory stage
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completely above the tableau. If th
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Don’t get bogged down trying to u
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checking account was down the $10K,
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Short Liquidation Condition—What
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One BarStrengthTwo BarStrengthThree
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and inexperienced trading system pr
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Input = 6StartInput = 4Input <> 6In
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The diagram in Figure 1.4 looks cle
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observed. If the latter criterion i
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Start or NewBarIs C >AVG(C,200)YesN
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CHAPTER 2Stochastics andAverages an
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The basic theory behind the ADX is
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4. Divide the 14-day smoothed plus
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if myADX < 35 thenif MarketPosition
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TABLE 2.1Performance of Directional
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FIGURE 2.4Source: TradeStationExamp
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Start orNew BarIs RSI < 30YesBuy Ma
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RSI DivergenceMarket Continuing to
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If marketPosition =-1 and close > e
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TABLE 2.3Performance of RSI Failure
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Start orNew BarIs Slow %K CrossingA
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TABLE 2.4Performance of Stochastic
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it is boundless extended readings a
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TABLE 2.5Performance of CCI algorit
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FIGURE 2.11Source: TradeStationThe
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We will discuss moving averages in
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MACDAvg = XAverage( MyMACD,9)MACDDi
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FIGURE 2.13Source: TradeStationThre
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LC0_E0B −25000 −41790 398 −62
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FIGURE 2.14Source: TradeStationA 60
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TABLE 2.8 Performance of Bollinger
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If filterTrade = false thenIf close
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Keltner ChannelChester Keltner brou
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FIGURE 2.15Source: TradeStationKelt
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35000300002500020000150001000050000
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TABLE 2.12Best Parameter Sets of Ke
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CHAPTER 3Complete TradingAlgorithms
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Box 3.1 Turtle System #1Buy one tic
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TABLE 3.1Turtle System 1 without LT
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TABLE 3.3Turtle System 1 with LTLF
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TABLE 3.4Tandem Performance of Turt
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Pause the Battle—Let’s Talk Ris
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Box 3.3 Battle Royale—And the Com
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TABLE 3.5Single Moving Average (SMA
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TABLE 3.8Donchian Channel Breakout
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we have, because who has the time t
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%Winners ShortLen InterLen StopDoll
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on a peak. This demonstrates a lack
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The correlation coefficients range
Page 119 and 120: TABLE 3.13The Best Results for the
Page 121 and 122: TABLE 3.17Results for the Donchian
Page 123 and 124: FIGURE 3.5AmiBroker’s walk-forwar
Page 125 and 126: direction of the 200-day moving ave
Page 127 and 128: range day and initially puts on two
Page 129 and 130: CHAPTER 4Introduction toAmiBroker
Page 131 and 132: Things All Programmers Need to Know
Page 133 and 134: expressions deal with a string of c
Page 135 and 136: AFL uses functions DateNum(), DateT
Page 137 and 138: to Short and Cover as well. If you
Page 139 and 140: FIGURE 4.2The AmiBroker Editor wind
Page 141 and 142: to the user. Instead of having to r
Page 143 and 144: This is where you can change the va
Page 145 and 146: shortMav = MA(C,avgLen1);longMav =
Page 147 and 148: code. This is a very difficult thin
Page 149 and 150: the order of the arrays. I admit th
Page 151 and 152: FIGURE 4.17The AFL Code Wizard ‘
Page 153 and 154: ■■■This time click on is grea
Page 155 and 156: This should look very similar to th
Page 157 and 158: before a single line of code is typ
Page 159 and 160: COND3 = C > MA(C,100);COND1 = cente
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Page 163 and 164: FIGURE 5.1trading.Once you define t
Page 165 and 166: GetDataGET DATACOMPONENTLoad Data i
Page 167 and 168: 152USING MICROSOFT EXCEL TO BACKTES
Page 169: performance of the trading system.
Page 173 and 174: FIGURE 5.12This error message appea
Page 175 and 176: End IfIf marketPosition = -1 ThenCa
Page 177 and 178: ■■moc—Market On Close order.
Page 179 and 180: Simple Moving Average Crossover usi
Page 181 and 182: Call Trade(ExitShort, "S-ATR Prof",
Page 183 and 184: 168USING PYTHON TO BACKTEST YOUR AL
Page 185 and 186: It works well on both Unix and Wind
Page 187 and 188: function modules and some are a lit
Page 189 and 190: inclusive, the number of iterations
Page 191 and 192: 176This indicator is programmed as
Page 193 and 194: if prices[curBar - offset] < prices
Page 195 and 196: All these files deal with opening a
Page 197 and 198: entryPrice,fileList,entryPrice,entr
Page 199 and 200: Python has a ton of reusable code a
Page 201 and 202: 186USING PYTHON TO BACKTEST YOUR AL
Page 203 and 204: portfolioClass. These classes are n
Page 205 and 206: percent wins, number of trades, and
Page 207 and 208: >>> c = a + b>>> cAfter you hit ent
Page 209 and 210: you don’t need to know exactly ho
Page 211 and 212: Shorting occurs when the low of the
Page 213 and 214: That was the long entry logic only
Page 215 and 216: FIGURE 6.4brackets.A Python run-tim
Page 217 and 218: prevAvg2 and today’s avg1 must be
Page 219 and 220: ■ TradeStation IDE204AN INTRODUCT
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206AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEt
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FIGURE 7.5The algorithm with a sing
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the Vars statement and initialize t
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TABLE 7.1EasyLanguage Keywords and
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214AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEF
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standard deviations. In our example
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218AN INTRODUCTION TO EASYLANGUAGEt
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into a project makes it easier to a
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If marketPosition =-1 thenbeginend;
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or program any trading idea. Practi
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CHAPTER 8Genetic Optimization,Walk
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superfast processors, searching a l
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This equation involves four unknown
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For generation = 1 To 100 ' total g
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Converting Fitness in Terms of Slic
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'the 6 darts landedRandomizeFor l =
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roulette(i) = Rnd(1#)If roulette(i)
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selection and reproduction may even
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This is just one possible solution.
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history of each market. This test w
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Crossover RateThe rate that determi
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TradeStation’s and AmiBroker’s
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TABLE 8.3In-Sample Testing TA2Le Se
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Here are the various calculations t
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1. movAvgLen { 50 to 150 by 10 incr
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TABLE 8.6The Out-of-Sample (OOS) Re
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your algorithm are each written on
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That’s it! These seven lines of c
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[Equity]350003000025000200001500010
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Calculating Start Trade Drawdown Wi
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A loop is used to flow through each
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The maximum drawdown of this algori
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■ Fixed Fractional272PORTFOLIO AN
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FIGURE 9.2Add a strategy to your st
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276FIGURE 9.6The UGTATS markets and
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278FIGURE 9.9 How to adjust the set
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FIGURE 9.12 The Trade Analysis wind
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282PORTFOLIO ANALYSISFIGURE 9.15thi
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FIGURE 9.18 Profit and drawdown are
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FIGURE 9.20 To set the portfolio st
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FIGURE 9.24Source: TradeStationThe
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count makes sense; trades are turne
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APPENDIX AAmiBrokerHere is a brief
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switchbreak (part of the switch sta
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Here is the source code from Chapte
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PctSize = PositionRisk * MarginDepo
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■ KeywordsprevMarketPositionmarke
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upSumAvg = upSum / lengthdnSumAvg =
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Sub BollingerBand(dataList, length,
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308EXCEL SYSTEM BACKTESTERIf (kVal
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■ Keywords and Identifierscurrent
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312PYTHON SYSTEM BACKTESTERdef calc
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sysMark =self.systemMarkets[i]avgLo
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class stochClass(object):class stoc
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318PYTHON SYSTEM BACKTESTERfor i in
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■ Python-Specific Keywordsandasas
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Monte Carlo Analysis# Monte Carlo A
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FIGURE D.1324TRADESTATION AND EASYL
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Simple RSI with Profit Objective an
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If condition1 and condition2 then b
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330TRADESTATION AND EASYLANGUAGEIf(
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if lastTradeLoser thenbeginif curre
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Value1 = swingHighBar(1,h,pivotHiSt
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■■■■■■■Statistically
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INDEXNote: Page references followed
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calculation2 standard deviations, u
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ES. See Exhaustive searchESB. See E
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Mini Russell day trading system, na
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PPO. See Percentage price oscillato
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Time-based market order (MOC), exit
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