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64<br />
Keep Calm<br />
and Carry On….!<br />
2020 was a very challenging year for investors with most<br />
markets falling heavily in March/April on the back of<br />
Covid 19 only to see an incredible recovery assisted by<br />
the vaccine announcement in November.<br />
Covid 19, Brexit worries and the US elections created<br />
significant uncertainty resulting in high levels of volatility<br />
in portfolio values last year. Triggers for market volatility<br />
can come in many different forms - policy uncertainty,<br />
earnings reports, geo-political unrest and how could we<br />
forget, global pandemics.<br />
I fully understand that market swings can rattle even the<br />
most seasoned investors however it is just part and parcel<br />
of longer-term stock market investing. Whilst intuitively<br />
the temptation is to ‘do something’ whether it is to<br />
reduce risk, change the funds or dare I say move to cash ,<br />
often the best advice is to sit tight if you have a properly<br />
diversified portfolio and wait for recovery.<br />
A well-defined investment plan tailored to your goals can<br />
help you navigate the ups and downs of the market, and<br />
to take advantage of opportunities as they arise. Market<br />
volatility should be a reminder to review your investments<br />
regularly to ensure that the overall risk in your portfolio<br />
fits your personality and allow you to sleep at night.<br />
Keeping perspective<br />
Market downturns may be unnerving, but history shows<br />
that markets have been able to recover from declines and<br />
can still provide investors with positive long-term returns.<br />
In 2015 and 2016, this general pattern played out. U.S.<br />
stocks experienced sharp drops in <strong>August</strong> 2015, when<br />
China devalued its currency; in January 2016, as oil prices<br />
dropped; in June of 2016, after the “Brexit” vote; and in<br />
the run up to the 2016 U.S. presidential election.<br />
Still, during that 2-year period, the market was up close to<br />
8% cumulatively.<br />
More recently, despite the covid impact client portfolios<br />
have not only recovered but are indeed showing a very<br />
healthy profit due to the active management and the<br />
strong market bounce. Those investors that ignored<br />
the market noise and held tight have been very well<br />
rewarded.<br />
Be comfortable with your investments<br />
If you are nervous when the market goes down, you may<br />
not be in the right investments. Your time horizon, goals,<br />
and tolerance for risk are key factors in helping to ensure<br />
that you have an investing strategy that works for you.<br />
Do not try to time the market<br />
Attempting to move in and out of the market can<br />
be costly. Studies from independent research firm<br />
Morningstar show that the decisions investors make<br />
about when to buy and sell funds cause those investors<br />
to perform worse than they would have had the investors<br />
simply bought and held the same funds.<br />
If you could avoid the bad days and invest during the good<br />
ones, it would be great - the problem is, it is impossible to<br />
consistently predict when those good and bad days will<br />
happen. The best days typically come very shortly after<br />
the worst days.<br />
The adage goes it’s ‘time in’ the market not ‘timing’ the<br />
market which creates wealth. We’re here to make it as<br />
comfortable as possible but the market’s gains are only<br />
there for those who can ride out a few bumps on the way<br />
The value of investments can fall as well as rise and<br />
you may get back less than you invested<br />
David Barton<br />
APFS Cert CII (MP)<br />
Chief Executive Officer<br />
If you would like more<br />
information, please feel free to<br />
get in touch on 01257 423800.<br />
Remember all investments can fall as well as rise in value so investors could get back less than they invest.