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UNITED SPIRITS


Alcohol beverage industry India

INDIAN ALCHOLBEV INDUSTRY

Indian Made

Foreign Liquor

(IMFL)

Indian Made

Indian Liquor

(IMIL)

Beer

Wine

IMFL category accounts for almost 72% of the market.


Alcohol industry growth rate

Spirits Market in India by Volume

5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4%

20% 19% 17% 15% 15% 15% 14% 14% 14% 13%

16% 17% 18% 22% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 19%

59% 59% 60% 59% 59% 60% 60% 61% 61% 64%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Whisky Brandy Rum White Spirits

Spirit Market in India by Value

5% 5% 4% 4% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6%

14% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9%

11% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10%

70% 69% 71% 72% 72% 73% 73% 73% 74% 75%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Whisky Brandy Rum White Spirits

Source: Equrius Report


Major players in the industry


Major Companies in the Indian Liquor Market

Source: Equrius Report


Source: Equrius Report

Top liquor brands in India


United Spirits – Diageo India

World’s second largest liquor company by Volume.

Subsidiary of Diageo PLC.

One of the leading players of IMFL in India with a strong bouquet of brands like Mcdowell’s, Signature, Royal Challenge

etc.

In 2013, Diageo PLC acquired 10% stake in the company and gradually ramped up its share to 55% by the end of 2014.

The main inflexion point came in 2015, after the whole company came under the control of Diageo PLC.


Brands

Consumer Prices

> Rs. 200

LUXURY

Johnnie Walker, Cîroc, Gordon, Baileys, J&B

Rs. 900-2000

PREMIUM

VAT 69, Black & White, Black Dog, SmirnOff

Rs. 350-900

PRESTIGE

Mcdowells, Signature, Antiquity, Royal Challenge, Captain Morgan

< Rs. 350

POPULAR

Director’s Special, Bagpiper, White Mischief, Haywards


Top brands for United Spirits

Company has a portfolio of 15 brands in its

portfolio, which sell more than a million cases every

year.

Out of the brands 2 brands sells more than 10 million

cases each annually.

McDowell’s No.1, Royal

Challenge, Signature, Antiquity, Director’s Special

Black, McDowell’s VSOP, Romanov, Bagpiper, Old

Tavern, Haywards are some of the marquee brands

owned by your Company.

Source: Equrius Report

In addition, your Company also

imports, manufactures, distributes and sells various

iconic Diageo brands such as Haig Gold

Label, Captain Morgan, Johnnie

Walker, J&B, Baileys, Lagavulin, Talisker, VAT 69, Black

& White, Smirnoff and Ciroc in India under different

licensing agreements.


IMFL players volumes

Brands (mn cases) Company 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Officers Choice Whiskey ABD 32.9 32.9 32 34 30.6

Mc Dowell's No 1 Whiskey United Spirits 25.7 26.6 26.4 29 30.7

Imperial Blue Pernord Ricard 17.5 18 19 22.7 26.3

Royal Stag Pernord Ricard 17.3 18 19 22.7 26.3

Old Tavern United Spirits 11 9.9 7.1 6.2 5.3

Original Choice John Distilleries 10.7 10.1 10.3 11.5 12.7

Hayward's Fine United Spirits 7.1 7.9 8.5 9.4 9.6

Blender's Pride Pernord Ricard 5.6 6.2 6.4 7.3 7.7

Director's Special Whisky United Spirits 5 5 4.1 4.2 4.2

8PM Radico Khaitan 4.1 5.7 7 8.2 8.5

Royal Challenge United Spirits 3.6 4.7 4.5 5.6 5.5

Signature United Spirits 1.5 1.8 2 2.3 2.3

White and Blue Alcobrew 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.4

Bangalore Malt Whisky John Distilleries 1.1 2.1 3.6 5.2 4.2

Sterling Premium Whisky's ABD 0 0 0 1.2 2.8

Source: Equrius Report


IMFL players market share

Brands Market Share Company 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Officers Choice Whiskey ABD 23% 22% 21% 20% 17%

Mc Dowells No 1 Whiskey United Spirits 18% 18% 17% 17% 17%

Imperial Blue Pernord Ricard 12% 12% 13% 13% 15%

Royal Stag Pernord Ricard 12% 12% 13% 13% 15%

Old Tavern United Spirits 8% 7% 5% 4% 3%

Original Choice John Distilleries 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%

Hayward's Fine United Spirits 5% 5% 6% 5% 5%

Blender's Pride Pernord Ricard 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%

Director's Special Whisky United Spirits 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%

8PM Radico Khaitan 3% 4% 5% 5% 5%

Royal Challenge United Spirits 2% 3% 3% 3% 3%

Signature United Spirits 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

White and Blue Alcobrew 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Bangalore Malt Whisky John Distilleries 1% 1% 2% 3% 2%

Sterling Premium Whisky's ABD 0% 0% 0% 1% 2%

Source: Equrius Report


Meet the new United Spirits

UNITED SPIRITS PRE-2015

UNITED SPIRITS POST-2015

BAD

CORPORATE

GOVERNANC

E

CLEAN

CORPORATE

GOVERNANCE

DEBT LADEN

SICK

ACQUISITIONS

STRONG

MANAGEMENT

SUBSIDIARIES

RATIONALISATION

HIGH VOLUMES

BUT LESS

REALISATIONS

CORRUPT

MANAGEMENT

CONTINOUSLY

REDUCING DEBT

CLEAN

ACCOUNTS

BAD

ACCOUNTS

LESS VOLUMES

BUT HIGH

REALISATIONS


WHAT CHANGED AFTER 2015?


1. Manufacturing and subsidiaries rationalizations

Subsidiaries

79 78 80

68

Number of Own Manufacturing Plants

46

28

27

22

19 18 20 20

19 19

15

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


2.Focusing more on realizations than volumes

Volume (cases in mn)

38

56 59

66

74

88

100

113

120 123 121 117

93 90

78 82 80

51

21

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M

FY21

3405 3521 3603

3871

2572

2862

1961

1021 1762

1915

760

1053

1524

725 466 339 638

1103

1257

479

628 618 636 653 770 854 877 798 913 980 1101 1139 1166 1157

309 222

362 446

26 18 13 32 66 144 44 72 101 93 89 -11 3 104 110 155 170 190 129

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21

Revenue per Case (in Rs) EBITDA per Case (in Rs) Gross Revenue per Case


3. Increasing focus more on Prestige and Above category

93 94

88 86

59

53

27 29

33 31

34

37 37

41 42 40 41 39

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

P&A (mn cases)

Popular (mn Cases)

78% 76% 73% 74%

63% 59%

52% 49% 49%

22% 24% 27% 26%

37% 41%

48% 51% 51%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

P&A Volume Contribution

Popular Volume Contribution


3(a). Prestige and above category brands

Volume (in mn cases)

25.7

26.6 26.4

29

30.7

3.6

4.7 4.5

5.6 6.1

1.5 1.5 2 2.3 2.3

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Mc Dowell's No 1 Whisky Royal Challenge Siganture

83%

Brand wise Contribution to P&A Segment

78%

78%

71%

73%

12% 14% 12% 15% 15%

5% 4% 5% 6% 5%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Mc Dowell's Royal Challenge Siganture


3 (b). Category wise turnover

3580

6919

4257

6358

3650

5685

5910 5968

4601

4966 5128

3894 3852

3463 3431 3357

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

P&A Turnover (Rs Crores)

Popular Turnover (Rs Crores)

66% 60% 61%

46% 44% 40% 37% 36%

34% 40% 39%

54% 56% 60% 63% 64%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

P&A Contribution to Total Revenue

Popular Contribution to Total Net Revenue


3 (c). Prudent focus shift

1234

1290

1177

1353 1342 1378 1407

1456

736 723

661 660

727

849 858 861

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

P&A Revenue per case

Popular Revenue per case


4. Change in Management

Anand Kripalu- MD&CEO ( 2014-20)

Mr. Anand Kripalu joined Diageo India in May 2014 as Chief Executive Officer. In his

current position his task is to transform the company, making it one of the most

trusted and respected consumer goods company. His focus has been around

transformation of corporate citizenship as well as ethical standards in the industry.

Anand has over 30 years of experience in the Indian consumer goods market

Ms. Hina Nagrajan- MD&CEO

( w.e.f July 2021)

Ms. Hina is currently MD, Africa Regional Markets (ARM) at Diageo. She will take over

as Managing Director and CEO of UNSP and will also join the Diageo Executive

Committee, reporting to John Kennedy, President Diageo Europe & India. She has

spent over 30 years in CPG businesses and held several senior marketing and general

management positions at Reckitt Benckiser, Nestle India and Mary Kay India.


5. Debt reduction

9000

8000

7000

6000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

13%

13%

10%

8%

4%

3%

7804

6604

6%

5850

4%

3%

4048

338 334 973 1543 1480

12%

9%

9%

7718 7476

8239 7%

4963

5%

4%

3% 3%

3729 4137

2%

3417

2900

2401

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 6M FY21

3%

1775

16%

14%

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%

Total Debt

Interest Expense as a % of Sales

D/E

7.6

1.3 1.2

3.6

1.8

1.1

3.2 3.3

1.6 1.6 1.8 1.7

2.7

2.6 2.3

1.4

0.9 0.6 0.5

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 6M FY21


6. Adopting franchise model

Income from Brand Franchisee (in Rs crores)

149

185

167

95

69

53

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

To enhance focus on the premium range, UNSP curtailed production of some low-margin products in select markets

and also started franchising popular brands in some markets to local distilleries since FY15.

This helps the company to have its popular range of products in markets lower the working capital requirements and

use resources to focus on the core portfolio of brands.

Currently, company has brand franchise agreements (typically for 3-5 years) across 13 states.


Uncertain regulations

The Alcoholic Beverages Industry continues to suffer the twin impact of excessive taxation and over-regulation.

A favorite of Governments, when they need to bridge their budgetary deficits, they increase the duties.

In 2017, supreme court banned liquor vendors within 500 m of state or national highway.

The highway ban lead to closure of 30000 shops but it has been normalized for now

Black swan events like Liquor ban in Bihar.

Nearly two-third of the street price of a bottle of alcohol goes to the State and local Governments towards taxes and duties.

In states with government control on pricing, price increase is based on government notifications.

In states where retailing is controlled by the state government, there is a specified quota that each player can sell, capping potential to

increase market share for our products. These regulations make operations restrictive for the industry players.

Recently, Government in the state of Maharashtra has increased the excise duties abnormally which had a cascading impact on the sale

of liquor in the state. Further, declaration of General Election in April has also resulted in multiple challenges in terms of effective supply

chain since timing of election coincide with annual excise licence renewal cycle in majority of states etc. (2019 AR)


Regulations

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

48% 49% 52%

43% 41%

41% 42%

39%

34% 34% 34%

908

754

605

246

276 314 393 435 467

157 117

58%

55%

1659

1083 1117

70%

64% 66% 68% 68% 68%

2714

1882 2303 2382 2437

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0

Excise per Case (in Rs)

Excise as a % of Gross Revenue

The government is continuously burdening the liquor industry, by increasing the excise duty. Currently it is the

highest.

A favorite of Governments, when they need to bridge their budgetary deficits, they increase the excise.


Example of how fragmented the market is?

Mc Dowells MRP

530

600

900

778

720

720

380

UP Rajasthan Kerala Karnataka Tamil Nadu Delhi West Bengal

MRP of McDowell’s No 1 premium whisky ranges from Rs 380-Rs 900 for a 750ml bottle


Revenue from operations

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

15%

1016 1172 1244

6%

73%

10499 10615

9244

56%

7376

38%

6362

5468

25%

4628 18% 16% 16%

14%

2962

1%

2148

9335

9341 9325

8495 8818 8591

9%

4%

-3%

0%

-12% -9%

0.8

0.6

0.4

5901

0.2

0

-20%-0.2

0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M

FY21

-0.4

Net Sales

Growth Y-o-Y

Although the Revenue is flat over the last 5 years but realizations per case sold has increased.

There has been many regulatory roadblocks over the previous years which has hampered revenue growth.

The company’s main focus is on premiumisation of offerings.


Gross Profitability

Gross Margins

44% 44%

39%

47% 46%

55%

51% 50% 48% 45% 45% 45% 44% 44% 44%

50% 51%

46% 46%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21

The raw material prices are very fluctuating which leads to unstable gross margins.

The company cannot pass on the price increases to end customers because of different policy of sale in different

states.

For e.g. Andhra Pradesh government during one instance denied the industry even reasonable inflation-linked

increases.


Major costs

Employee Cost as a % of Sales

12%

7% 7% 7%

8%

7% 7%

8%

6%

8% 7%

8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7%

6%

7%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21

11%

12%

10%

11%

10%

Advertisement and Sales Promotion as a % of Sales

12%

12%

10%

11%

11%

11%

10%

10%

7%

8%

The new management has

made the advertisement

spend more effective

9% 9%

8% 8%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21


Operating Profitability

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

-200

-400

1517

2

1394

169%

144%

1207

2

1144 1118

1062

1091

717

965 989

127%

1

84%

60%

656 1

26%

-2%

436

2%

389

-2%

3%

9%

0

22% 15%

192

0%

56 70 72

33

-50% -1

-63%

-1

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21

-138

-124%

-113%

-2

EBITDA

Growth Y-o-Y

23%

EBITDA Margins

Increase in EBITDA margins is

because of increased share of

prestige and above category

5% 6% 6%

9%

15%

7%

11%

16%

12%

10%

11% 11%

14%

15%

16%

11%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21

-1%

0%


Net profitability

PAT

12 24 6 45

611

301

568

187

143 93

652 685 624

160

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -23 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21

-408

-105

-1687

-4489

PAT Margins

1% 2%

21%

7%

8%

8% 7% 7%

1% 2%

0%

2%

2%

-1%

1%

-7%

3%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 9M FY21

-18%

-42%


Return ratios

5%

2%

9%

8%

4%

18%

56%

14%

13%

5%

31% 25%

18%

-117% -91%

8%

12%

6%

14%

13%

10% 8%

20%

32%

13%

14%

9%

20%

5%

21%

23%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

-1%

2010 2011 2012 2013 -2% -24%

2014

-11%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-19%

ROCE % ROE %


Efficient manufacturing

28

Number of Own Manufacturing Plants

27

19 19

15

The reduction in the number of owned manufacturing

plants and moving towards outsourcing/franchisee has

led to significant jump in the asset turnover.

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Fixed Asset Turnover

3.0 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.9

1.8 2.0

1.5 1.6 1.4

1.1

0.9 1.0

1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5

2.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


Working capital cycle

610

572

362

298

316

277

293 286

259

237

253 216 267

201 201 198

185 202 190

158

123

6883 6475 78 95 81

52 55 49 66 59 77 69 70 84 78 68

144 202 195 149

150

99

122

143

165 153 140

116

115 99 89

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Debtors Days Inventory Days Payable Days

Working Capital as a % of Sales

30% 28%

31%

28% 27% 29%

32%

29%

38%

41%

37%

33% 32%

9% 11%

2%

5%

8%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


Turning cash and FCF positive

Operations back on

track with consistent

CFO and FCF generation

3583

31 70 40 52

530459

523

267 235

0

1591

1723

756

1969 1980

1617

283317

647617

1050

925 948

898

783669

-302003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-85

-116

-116 -518

-552 -196

-753

-1133

CFO FCF


Steadily converting operating profits into cash

CFO/EBITDA

198%

278%

37%

67%

102%

63% 67%

47%

121% 133% 16%

81%

49%

86% 111% 128% 90%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-167%

Prudent cash conversion post 2015, indicates that the operating profit is actually being converted into cash and is not

getting stuck in working capital.


PEERS- Revenue from operations

Net Sales (in Rs Crores)

8495 8818 8591

6357 6523

7239

9341

8572

2498

2953

1794 1651 2012

1679 1822

715 704 818 936

2096

2016 2017 2018 2019

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd.

John Distilleries Pvt Ltd.

Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

United Spirits

Radico Khaitan

Excise duty as a % of Sales

74% 75% 76% 76%

64% 66% 66% 68% 71% 74%

67% 68%

61%

66%

54% 58%

47% 49% 49%

40%

Gross Sales (in Rs Crores)

2016 2017 2018 2019

28873

25757 26556

23921

20271

15820

11975 12849

8935

7411

8058

6270

3007 4271

2712

3962

4868

2833 3396 3949

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd.

Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

Radico Khaitan

John Distilleries Pvt Ltd.

United Spirits

2016 2017 2018 2019

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd.

John Distilleries Pvt Ltd.

Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

United Spirits

Radico Khaitan


PEERS - Margins

EBITDA Margin

14%

14%

12% 12%

11% 11%

11%

15%

7%

5% 5%

5% 5% 5%

3% 4%

3% 3% 3% 3%

2016 2017 2018 2019

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd.

John Distilleries Pvt Ltd.

Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

United Spirits

Radico Khaitan

Gross Margins

67%

56%

52%

49% 48%

50% 51% 51% 52%

44% 46% 44% 45%

48%

37% 39% 40%

35% 37%

32%

PAT Margin

9%

7% 8%

8% 7%

6%

2016 2017 2018 2019

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd. John Distilleries Pvt Ltd. Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

2%

2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

1% 1% 1%

1%

0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%

United Spirits

Radico Khaitan

2016 2017 2018 2019

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd.

Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

Radico Khaitan

John Distilleries Pvt Ltd.

United Spirits


PEERS- Return ratios

2.8

2.6

2.8

2.3

D/E

3.8

4.2

95%

69%

ROCE %

81% 83%

1.4 1.3

1.4

1.2

1.0

0.8

1.0

0.5

0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0

0.9

0.3

20%

16% 17% 20% 20%

14%

11% 13% 15% 18% 21%

13%

9% 10%

14%

19%

2016 2017 2018 2019

2016 2017 2018 2019

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd.

Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

Radico Khaitan

John Distilleries Pvt Ltd.

United Spirits

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd.

Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

Radico Khaitan

John Distilleries Pvt Ltd.

United Spirits

ROE %

61%

45%

53% 52%

25% 26%

13% 13%

31% 30% 31%

11%

11%

5% 8%

1%

4% 3%

25%

15%

2016 2017 2018 2019

Allied Blenders And Distillers Pvt Ltd.

Pernod Ricard India Pvt. Ltd.

Radico Khaitan

John Distilleries Pvt Ltd.

United Spirits


SWOT Analysis

STRENGTHS

WEAKNESS

Strong Brand Portfolio.

Largest Alco Bev company in India.

Diageo Expertise helping United Spirits.

More than 10 millionaire brands.

Best Margins in the Industry.

The company is susceptible to raw material price

volatility, which leads to fluctuating Gross

Margins.

No pricing power even if the raw material price

increases.

Direct advertisement of alcobev products are

not permitted in India.

P&A Category, the largest contributor to

Revenue.


SWOT Analysis

OPPORTUNITIES

THREATS

Transition from country liquor to IMFL

presents a huge opportunity.

Per capita consumption of Liquor is among

the lowest in India.

Excessive regulation risk from both Central and

State Governments.

Rise in Competitive Intensity from Pernord

Ricard.

Liquor Ban in any State (E.g. Ban in Bihar in

2017).

Lower than expected growth in P&A segment

could delay margin expansion.


To invest with us, Contact :

+91-98253 28449

Vkapadia01@gmail.com

MJK Investments

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