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API RP 581 - 3rd Ed.2016 - Add.2-2020 - Risk-Based Inspection Methodology

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RISK-BASED INSPECTION METHODOLOGY, PART 3—CONSEQUENCE OF FAILURE METHODOLOGY 3-103

p) STEP 8.16—For each hole size, determine the component damage and personnel injury flammable

consequence areas, flam

flam

CA and

f , cmd , n

CA , using Equation (3.176) and Equation (3.177), respectively.

f , inj,

n

Use the probability of each event outcome, as determined in STEP 8.10, and the consequence area of

each of the event outcomes, as determined in STEPs 8.11 through 8.15.

q) STEP 8.17—Determine the final consequence areas (probability weighted on release hole size) for

component damage, flam

flam

CA , and personnel injury,

f , cmd

CA , using Equation (3.178) and Equation

f , inj

(3.179), respectively.

5.9 Determine Toxic Consequences

5.9.1 General

To evaluate fluids in addition to the 14 provided in Level 1, as well as use of other published toxic criteria

(IDLH, ERPG, AEGL), a Level 2 consequence analysis is required.

Toxic consequence procedure consists of performing a cloud dispersion analysis (see Section 5.7.4) to

determine the extent and duration of the portions of the cloud that remain above the toxic impact criteria

acceptable for the particular toxin being evaluated. The vapor source rate to be used as input to a cloud

dispersion analysis either from a jet release or from evaporation off of a liquid pool is discussed in Section

5.7.4.

5.9.2 Toxic Impact Criteria

5.9.2.1 General

Table 4.14 provides toxic impact criteria for specific toxic fluids modeled in this methodology. Consequence

areas are determined for toxic releases by comparing the cloud concentration to various published toxic impact

criteria. In addition to probit equations, published criteria available for a fluid under consideration can be used.

When multiple published criteria are available, the consequence area should be based on the following

prioritization:

a) probit analysis or LC50;

b) ERPG-3, AEGL-3, or TEEL-3;

c) IDLH or EPA Toxic Endpoint.

This order was established to best represent the 50 % fatality rule used for determining the consequence area.

Group a) represents the consequence of 50 % fatality, group b) represents the lower fatality limit, or 0 % fatality,

and group c) represents the limit in which non-fatal long-term health issues will arise.

5.9.2.2 Probit Analysis

Probit equations [29] provide a simple way of expressing probability of fatality due to exposure of personnel to

concentrations and dosages of toxic releases. Coefficients for probit equations are provided for common toxic

in Table 4.14. The probit equation and some background into its use are provided in Annex 3.A.

5.9.2.3 IDLH

The IDLH air concentration values used by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH)

as respirator selection criteria were first developed in the mid-1970s. The documentation for IDLH

concentrations is a compilation of the rationale and sources of information used by NIOSH during the original

determination of 387 IDLHs and their subsequent review and revision in 1994.

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