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API RP 581 - 3rd Ed.2016 - Add.2-2020 - Risk-Based Inspection Methodology

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3-82 API RECOMMENDED PRACTICE 581

in Annex 3.A, Tables 3.A.3.3 through 3.A.3.6. These curves take into consideration the release rate and flash

point. In general, the lower the flash point of the released fluid, the higher the probability of ignition. Using

these curves eliminates the need to blend results between the continuous and instantaneous results as

required in the Level 1 consequence analysis.

The mass fraction of flammable fluid in the release fluid mixture,

release rate of flammable material:

rate rate mfrac

flam

n

flam

mfrac , must be known to calculate the

flam

=

n⋅ (3.106)

The liquid and vapor portions of the flammable release rate are determined using Equation (3.107) and

Equation (3.108).

( )

rate = rate ⋅ − frac

(3.107)

flam flam

l, n n

1

fsh

rate = rate ⋅ frac

(3.108)

flam flam

v,

n n fsh

As an alternative to using Figure 5.5 and Figure 5.6, the probability of ignition at ambient conditions of a

flammable liquid or vapor release may be calculated from Equation (3.109) or Equation (3.110), respectively.

Since these are a function of release rate, the probabilities of ignition are calculated for each of the release

hole sizes selected. Note that when the flammable liquid or vapor release rate exceeds a rate that would

indicate an instantaneous release [4,535.9 kg (10,000 lb) release in 3 minutes or less], a maximum value of

25.22 kg/s (55.6 lb/s) should be used for flam

flam

rate or

ln

rate in Equation (3.109) and Equation (3.110).

,

vn ,

( 12 fp ) ( 12 fp ) ( 12 fp )

2 3

⎛⎡a+

b⋅ C ⋅ T + c⋅ C ⋅ T + d⋅ C ⋅ T ⎤+

amb ⎜⎢⎣

⎥⎦

poiln

,

= exp⎜ 2 3

flam

⎜ ⎡e+ f ⋅( C12 ⋅ Tfp ) + g⋅( C12 ⋅ Tfp ) + h⋅( C12 ⋅Tfp )

⎤⋅ln

( C4 B

⋅ratel , n ) ⎟

⎝ ⎢⎣

⎥⎦

where,

a = -1.368924E-01

b = -7.598764E-03

c = 8.282163E-06

d = -6.124231E-09

e = 6. 876128E-02

f = 1.193736E-04

g = 2.081034E-07

h = -4.057289E-11

(3.109)

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