Asian Sky Quarterly - Q2 2020

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SECOND QUARTER 2020 AIRCRAFT SPOTLIGHT BELL 505 COMMENTARY HFW | RECOVERY OF BUSINESS AVIATION GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE GLOBAL JET CAPITAL | AMSTAT ASIA-PACIFIC OUTLOOK METRICS & MOOD ASIA-PACIFIC FLIGHT ACTIVITY MARKET SUMMARIES JETS & HELICOPTERS

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong><br />

AIRCRAFT SPOTLIGHT<br />

BELL 505<br />

COMMENTARY<br />

HFW | RECOVERY OF BUSINESS AVIATION<br />

GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE<br />

GLOBAL JET CAPITAL | AMSTAT<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC OUTLOOK<br />

METRICS & MOOD<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC FLIGHT ACTIVITY<br />

MARKET SUMMARIES<br />

JETS & HELICOPTERS


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CONTENTS<br />

04<br />

ECONOMICS<br />

Overview of the Asia-Pacific’s region current status and<br />

specific country’s GDP versus their business jet and<br />

helicopter fleet size.<br />

32<br />

GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE<br />

Q1 GLOBAL JET CAPITAL<br />

An analysis of the global market, including commentary on<br />

the world economy, flight operations and OEM backlogs<br />

10<br />

16<br />

20<br />

23<br />

MOOD & INTENTIONS<br />

Results of our survey on the Asia-Pacific region’s outlook on<br />

economic status, aircraft utilization, purchase intentions and<br />

influencing factors.<br />

COMMENTARY<br />

RECOVERY OF BUSINESS AVIATION BY HFW<br />

Gordon Gardiner of HFW discusses the impacts of Covid-19<br />

on business aviation and how the industry will bounce back.<br />

AIRCRAFT SPOTLIGHT<br />

BELL 505<br />

A look at the Bell 505 -- designed for safety, efficiency and<br />

reliability across mission types.<br />

SPECIAL FEATURE<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC FLIGHT ACTIVITY BY WINGX<br />

A look at the flight activity in <strong>Q2</strong>, including most popular<br />

flight routes and impact on flight activity from COVID-19.<br />

38<br />

46<br />

48<br />

65<br />

MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

An analysis of APAC inventory levels, market trends and the<br />

changing price signals for the business jet and helicopter fleets.<br />

GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE<br />

JUNE <strong>2020</strong> AMSTAT<br />

An update on the pre-owned business jet market, including<br />

the short-term impact of Covid-19 on transactions.<br />

MARKET SUMMARY - JETS<br />

A look at market position and average days on market of<br />

featured pre-owned business jets.<br />

MARKET SUMMARY – HELICOPTERS<br />

A look at market position and average days on market of<br />

featured pre-owned helicopters.<br />

27<br />

PRE-OWNED MARKET ANALYSIS<br />

BELL 412<br />

A comprehensive market performance analysis of the preowned<br />

Bell 412 market.<br />

PUBLISHER<br />

EDITORIAL & MARKET RESEARCH<br />

Litalia Yoakum<br />

Bowen Zhang<br />

Maggie Gu<br />

DESIGN<br />

Aya Leung<br />

Michael Wong<br />

The materials and information provided by <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>Sky</strong><br />

Group Limited (“ASG”) in this report is for reference<br />

only. Any information we provide about how we may<br />

interpret the data and market, or how certain issues<br />

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considering your specific circumstances. Such<br />

information should not be regarded as a substitute<br />

for professional advice. Independent professional<br />

advice should be sought before taking action on any<br />

matters to which information provided in this report<br />

may be relevant.<br />

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or expenses howsoever caused, arising directly or<br />

indirectly from the use of or inability to use this report<br />

or use of or reliance upon any information or material<br />

provided in this report or otherwise in connection with<br />

any representation, statement or information on or<br />

contained in this report.<br />

ASG endeavors to ensure that the information<br />

contained in this report is accurate as at the date<br />

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its accuracy or completeness, or accept any liability<br />

of whatever nature for any losses, damage, costs<br />

or expenses howsoever caused, whether arising<br />

directly or indirectly from any error or omission in<br />

compiling such information. This report also uses<br />

third party information not compiled by ASG. ASG<br />

is not responsible for such information and makes<br />

no representation about the accuracy, completeness<br />

or any other aspect of information contained. The<br />

information, data, articles, or resources provided by<br />

any other parties do not in any way signify that ASG<br />

endorses the same.<br />

ADVERTISING/AIRCRAFT SALES ENQUIRIES:<br />

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SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 1


PUBLISHER’S NOTE<br />

Oh, what a difference a quarter makes as hope grows and a recovery<br />

from Covid-19 starts to take hold in the aviation industry.<br />

In China, the commercial airlines flew 26M passengers in May, down<br />

only 53% y-o-y; still a 16% improvement from April. Some projections<br />

even see a full recovery to pre-Covid-19 levels by the end of August and<br />

“possibly even see a slightly positive y-o-y growth”.<br />

The Asia-Pacific region did not fare as well as the huge domestic China<br />

market, but was only 43% down in June versus 2019, with projections<br />

of just 12% down in August.<br />

For business aviation, likewise, improvements took hold in <strong>Q2</strong> of <strong>2020</strong>,<br />

with China the busiest business aviation market with 280 domestic<br />

flights. The Asia-Pacific region as a whole saw business jet flight<br />

activity stop its decline and the curve flatten but flights of five hours<br />

or more saw the biggest increase as Europe and the United States<br />

reopened.<br />

These positive trends were reflected in our survey with optimism<br />

significantly bouncing back in the <strong>Q2</strong>: overall optimism was up 8%,<br />

with China registering a whopping 20% improvement.<br />

But people’s intentions in the end are still tempered as recent events<br />

have demonstrated the fragility of any recovery, with an outbreak in<br />

Beijing in June and as we here in Hong Kong experience a “third wave”.<br />

To help you see your own way forward, as always, we here at <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>Sky</strong><br />

Group have strived to provide you with relevant commentary, special<br />

features & market updates.<br />

Enclosed in the <strong>Q2</strong> issue of <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>Sky</strong> <strong>Quarterly</strong> you’ll find commentary<br />

by Gordon Gardiner and James Jordan of HFW on the Recovery of<br />

Business Aviation, a market update on the global business jet fleet -<br />

including OEM backlogs by Global Jet Capital, an update on pre-owned<br />

transactions on a worldwide scale by AMSTAT, <strong>Q2</strong> Asia-Pacific flight<br />

activity courtesy of WINGX, a look at the flexibility and efficiency of<br />

the Bell 505, and analysis of the Bell 412 pre-owned market. Lastly, we<br />

hear from AsBAA Chairman Wu Zhendong in our foreword, discussing<br />

the importance of regulators and associations during such periods of<br />

uncertainty.<br />

So, despite renewed optimism, the percentage of the “I’m not sure”<br />

respondents grew 10% in <strong>Q2</strong> to 59% - almost 2/3rds. And with this<br />

growing uncertainty, the higher percentage of the fleet for sale, due<br />

to the drastic economic impacts of Covid-19, sits unsold longer, with<br />

Seller’s having few options but to eventually lower prices.<br />

Thus, this is the current state of affairs, but by no means where we<br />

will end up.<br />

Sincerely,<br />

Jeffrey C. Lowe<br />

Managing Director, <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>Sky</strong> Group<br />

SPECIAL THANKS TO OUR CONTRIBUTORS:<br />

2 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


FOREWORD<br />

Dear all,<br />

As Covid-19 continues to impact many industries including business<br />

aviation, our thoughts remain with the communities and individuals<br />

most affected by the pandemic, and with those working around the<br />

clock to alleviate the situation. AsBAA will continue to remain vigilant<br />

in monitoring and working with relevant government authorities in<br />

the region to help resolve our members' and the industry's challenges<br />

during this historic time.<br />

The Covid-19 crisis underscores the importance of regulators and<br />

associations working together. Last month, the AsBAA Singapore<br />

Chapter reached out to the CAAS on the subject of support for<br />

the business aviation community as a result of the pandemic.<br />

Subsequently, the association received a response from CAAS in which<br />

the Authority clarified details and provided a contact for technical<br />

clarifications going forward. The AsBAA Malaysia Chapter has also<br />

recently met with the new CEO of Civil Aviation Authority of Malaysia<br />

(CAAM) to discuss key operational and infrastructural issues affecting<br />

business aviation in Malaysia. The CAAM has suggested regular<br />

dialogue with AsBAA going forward in order to continue working<br />

towards resolving challenges. AsBAA continues to be in close dialogue<br />

with other government authorities in representing our members' and<br />

the industry's interests.<br />

Within the association, we have continued to improve and streamline<br />

our own capabilities and resources to better serve our members. In<br />

addition to bringing on board our COO Jeff Chiang earlier this year, we<br />

have also invited former business aviation magazine editor-in-chief<br />

Anthony Lam in-house to spearhead the association's marketing and<br />

external affairs going forward (replacing the external agency). We<br />

believe these strategic and economic decisions will aid in the long<br />

term vitality, strength, and effectiveness of the association.<br />

Looking forward, there are a couple of upcoming events to highlight.<br />

The inaugural AsBAA Malaysia Safety Day is still set to take place on<br />

3 November <strong>2020</strong> at Saujana Hotel, Subang, just ahead of our 6th<br />

Icons of Aviation Awards gala on 5 November <strong>2020</strong>, which coincides<br />

with the association's 20-year anniversary. The Philippine Safety Day<br />

is tentatively scheduled for 11 November <strong>2020</strong> with venue details to<br />

follow. More events are in the pipeline and we will be sharing details<br />

with all of you through our weekly email digests and social media<br />

channels.<br />

As the situation evolves rapidly, we will continue to adapt. Business<br />

aviation is fundamentally strong, and this disruption to our industry is<br />

only temporary. Remember aircraft take off into the wind, and together<br />

we will overcome this turbulence. On behalf of the association, allow<br />

me to give our sincere thanks to our members and supporters for their<br />

contributions. Stay safe and healthy.<br />

Best Wishes,<br />

Zhendong Wu<br />

Chairman, AsBAA<br />

ABOUT ASBAA:<br />

AsBAA’s mission is to represent the needs of its members<br />

and the wider industry through its three core pillars:<br />

Advocacy, Representation and Community. The association<br />

actively advocates the benefits of business aviation to key<br />

stakeholders such as government, transport ministries and<br />

the media. It represents the interests of all sectors of the<br />

business and general aviation industry across the region, and<br />

creates a community in which members can network, access<br />

B2B opportunities, and tackle common issues with greater<br />

collective influence.<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 3


ECONOMICS<br />

GREATER CHINA<br />

ASIA PACIFIC REGION BUSINESS JET<br />

FLEET REPORT YEAR END 2019<br />

NOW AVAILABLE<br />

MAINLAND CHINA, HONG KONG, MACAU & TAIWAN<br />

Mainland China<br />

The Chinese economy shrank 6.8% y-o-y in the first quarter of<br />

<strong>2020</strong>, after a 6% growth in the last three months of 2019 and<br />

compared with market forecasts of a 6.5% decline. It is the first<br />

GDP contraction since records began in 1992, reflecting the<br />

impact of the COVID-19 outbreak after the authorities enforced<br />

a near two-month-long shutdown of all non-essential business<br />

activity.<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Hong Kong's economy shrank 8.9% y-o-y, the sharpest contraction<br />

on record, after a 3% drop in the prior period amid disruptions<br />

of economic activities due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Private<br />

consumption dropped 6.7% and exports of goods declined 9.2%<br />

(vs 2% in Q4) and those of services plunged 16.8% (vs -10.6% in<br />

Q4).<br />

Taiwan<br />

Taiwan’s economy grew 1.5% y-o-y in Q1 <strong>2020</strong>, slowing from the<br />

3.3% increase recorded in Q4 2019 and marking the slowest rate<br />

of growth since <strong>Q2</strong> 2016. On a seasonally-adjusted quarter-onquarter<br />

basis, activity shrank 1.5% in Q1 <strong>2020</strong>, contrasting the<br />

1.9% expansion in Q4 <strong>2020</strong>.<br />

Source: Focus Economics & Trading Economics<br />

GDP GROWTH (BILLION USD)<br />

$11,016<br />

$525<br />

$309<br />

$45<br />

54.0%<br />

52.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

48.0%<br />

46.0%<br />

44.0%<br />

42.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

38.0%<br />

36.0%<br />

34.0%<br />

32.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

Mainland China<br />

$11,138<br />

$531<br />

$321<br />

$45<br />

Mainland China<br />

$12,134<br />

$579<br />

$342<br />

$51<br />

Taiwan<br />

Taiwan<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Apr20<br />

May20<br />

Macau<br />

$13,608 $14,200 $12,835<br />

$589 $605 $597<br />

$363 $362 $335<br />

$55 $50<br />

$25<br />

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

PURCHASING MANAGER’S INDEX<br />

Jun19<br />

Jul19<br />

Aug19<br />

Sep19<br />

Oct19<br />

Nov19<br />

Dec19<br />

Jan20<br />

Feb20<br />

Mar20<br />

Jun20<br />

Expansion Contraction<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

BUSINESS JET<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBINE HELICOPTER<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBOPROP<br />

Mainland China Taiwan Mainland China Taiwan Mainland China Taiwan<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Macau<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Hong Kong<br />

313<br />

344 338 332 321<br />

679 719 741<br />

157 164<br />

581<br />

495<br />

133<br />

184<br />

184<br />

129<br />

135<br />

135<br />

122<br />

123<br />

24<br />

11<br />

25<br />

9<br />

10<br />

27 27 28<br />

5 5 5<br />

4 4<br />

27<br />

25 24 23<br />

21<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

23 22<br />

2<br />

19<br />

10 10 10<br />

15 15<br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

* Data Source: ASG's Annual Business Jet Fleet Report and Helicopter Fleet Report. Turboprop data provided by Amstat.<br />

4 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


ECONOMICS<br />

AUSTRALASIA<br />

AUSTRALIA, NEW ZEALAND & PAPUA NEW GUINEA<br />

Australia<br />

A severe bushfire season coupled with a prolonged drought<br />

and lockdown measures to combat the coronavirus pandemic<br />

hit the economy hard in Q1. GDP fell 0.3% quarter-on-quarter<br />

in seasonally-adjusted, contrasting a 0.5% quarter-on-quarter<br />

increase in the fourth quarter of 2019. The result matched<br />

expectations and marked the sharpest contraction since Q4 2008.<br />

Meanwhile, on an annual basis, the economy grew 1.4%, down<br />

from Q4’s 2.2%.<br />

GDP GROWTH (BILLION USD)<br />

Australia New Zealand Papua New Guinea<br />

$1,352<br />

$1,210 $1,331 $1,432 $1,439 $1,446<br />

$177 $188 $203 $205 $210 $205<br />

New Zealand<br />

New Zealand’s GDP contracted 0.2% y-o-y after a 1.8 percent<br />

expansion. On a quarterly basis, the economy shrank 1.6%<br />

following a 0.5% increase in the previous period, as travel<br />

restrictions and a national lockdown contributed heavily to the<br />

largest decline in 29 years. Services contributed significantly to<br />

the decline, as hospitality (accommodation, restaurants, and bars)<br />

was among the most affected industries, falling 7.8% and tourism<br />

declining after the border was closed to slow the spread of the<br />

coronavirus.<br />

$22<br />

$21<br />

$22<br />

$23 $24 $23<br />

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

PURCHASING MANAGER’S INDEX<br />

60.0%<br />

55.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

45.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

Australia<br />

New Zealand<br />

Expansion Contraction<br />

20.0%<br />

Jun19<br />

Jul19<br />

Aug19<br />

Sep19<br />

Oct19<br />

Nov19<br />

Dec19<br />

Jan20<br />

Feb20<br />

Mar20<br />

Apr20<br />

May20<br />

Jun20<br />

Source: Focus Economics & Trading Economics<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

BUSINESS JET<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBINE HELICOPTER<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBOPROP<br />

Australia New Zealand<br />

Australia New Zealand<br />

Australia New Zealand<br />

Papua New Guinea Papua New Guinea Papua New Guinea<br />

181<br />

186<br />

185<br />

199<br />

196<br />

808<br />

832<br />

853 855 860 410 428 433<br />

432<br />

432<br />

15<br />

16<br />

19<br />

19<br />

19<br />

462<br />

478<br />

511<br />

539<br />

557<br />

49<br />

51<br />

54<br />

56<br />

58<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

3<br />

3<br />

107<br />

104<br />

116<br />

103<br />

91<br />

23<br />

22<br />

23<br />

28<br />

29<br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong> 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong> 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

* Data Source: ASG's Annual Business Jet Fleet Report and Helicopter Fleet Report. Turboprop data provided by Amstat.<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 5


ECONOMICS<br />

EAST ASIA & CENTRAL ASIA<br />

JAPAN, SOUTH KOREA & INDIA<br />

Japan<br />

The Japanese economy contracted 2.2% y-o-y in Q1, less than<br />

the initial reading of a 3.4% contraction and compared with<br />

consensus of a 2.1% fall. On a quarterly basis, it shrank 0.6%.<br />

This was the first recession since 2015, as the COVID-19 crisis<br />

took a huge toll on activity and demand. Private consumption fell<br />

slightly more than anticipated (-0.8% vs -0.7% in the preliminary<br />

estimate), while there was a significant upward revision of capital<br />

expenditure (1.9% vs -0.5%).<br />

South Korea<br />

South Korea’s quarterly GDP declined 1.3%, falling after increasing<br />

1.3% in the prior period. It was the sharpest drop since the last<br />

quarter of 2008, dragged by services (-2.4% vs 1.3% in Q4) and<br />

manufacturing (-1% vs 1.8%). Also, construction activity slowed<br />

sharply (0.2% vs 3.7%). On an annual basis, GDP expanded an<br />

upwardly revised 1.4%.<br />

India<br />

The Indian economy expanded 3.1% y-o-y in the first quarter of<br />

<strong>2020</strong>, beating market forecasts of a 2.1% rise. Still, it is the slowest<br />

GDP growth since quarterly data became available in 2004, as the<br />

country imposed a nationwide lockdown from March 24th aiming<br />

to contain the spread of the coronavirus.<br />

GDP GROWTH (BILLION USD)<br />

Japan South Korea India<br />

$4,927 $4,860 $4,971 $4,881 $4,981<br />

$4,389<br />

$2,597 $2,769 $2,899 $2,899<br />

$2,274<br />

$2,095<br />

$1,378 $1,415<br />

$1,531 $1,619 $1,640 $1,614<br />

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

PURCHASING MANAGER’S INDEX<br />

Japan South Korea India<br />

60.0%<br />

55.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

45.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

Expansion Contraction<br />

20.0%<br />

Jun19<br />

Jul19<br />

Aug19<br />

Sep19<br />

Oct19<br />

Nov19<br />

Dec19<br />

Jan20<br />

Feb20<br />

Mar20<br />

Apr20<br />

May20<br />

Jun20<br />

Source: Focus Economics & Trading Economics<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

BUSINESS JET<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBINE HELICOPTER<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBOPROP<br />

Japan South Korea India Japan South Korea India Japan<br />

South Korea India<br />

138<br />

140<br />

140<br />

138 139<br />

646<br />

647<br />

646<br />

664 676<br />

134<br />

155<br />

155<br />

97<br />

94<br />

92<br />

78<br />

77<br />

73<br />

75<br />

54<br />

54<br />

55<br />

63 63<br />

21<br />

21<br />

19<br />

21 19<br />

286<br />

291<br />

287<br />

285 293<br />

16<br />

16<br />

19<br />

17<br />

17<br />

222<br />

227<br />

229<br />

233 226<br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

* Data Source: ASG's Annual Business Jet Fleet Report and Helicopter Fleet Report. Turboprop data provided by Amstat.<br />

6 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


ECONOMICS<br />

SOUTHEAST ASIA<br />

THAILAND, MALAYSIA, SINGAPORE<br />

Thailand<br />

Thailand's gross domestic product shrank by 1.8% year-on-year<br />

in the first quarter of <strong>2020</strong>, following a downwardly revised 1.5%<br />

expansion in the previous period and better than market consensus<br />

of a 4 percent contraction. This was the worst economic downturn<br />

since the fourth quarter 2011, as both supply and demand took a hit<br />

from the pandemic crisis. On the production side, output contracted<br />

mostly for agriculture (-5.7%), manufacturing (-2.7%), construction<br />

(-9.9%), transportation and storage (-6%), accommodation and food<br />

service activities (-24.1%), administrative and support services<br />

activities (-6.7%).<br />

Malaysia<br />

GDP growth decelerated to 0.7% on an annual basis in the first<br />

quarter, down from the fourth quarter’s 3.6% y-o-y expansion and<br />

marking the slowest growth rate since Q3 2009. On a seasonallyadjusted<br />

quarter-on-quarter basis, economic activity dropped 2.0% in<br />

Q1, contrasting Q4's 0.6% growth. The Covid-19 crisis is expected to<br />

push the economy into recession this year. Containment measures,<br />

rising unemployment and deteriorated sentiment will hamper<br />

domestic demand, while exports look set to shrink on muted global<br />

demand, fragile commodity prices, and diminished tourism. Political<br />

risks also cloud the outlook.<br />

Singapore<br />

The economy contracted sharply in Q1 to 2.2% year-on-year (Q4:<br />

+1.0% y-o-y) and fell 10.6% on a quarter-on-quarter seasonallyadjusted<br />

annualized (SAAR) basis (Q4: +0.6% SAAR). The result<br />

reflects the economic impact of the global Covid-19 pandemic. The<br />

economy is expected to contract this year, although the outlook<br />

remains uncertain due to questions surrounding the longevity and<br />

severity of the coronavirus pandemic..<br />

Source: Focus Economics & Trading Economics<br />

GDP GROWTH (BILLION USD)<br />

Singapore Thailand Malaysia<br />

$474 $475 $471<br />

$455<br />

$412<br />

$395<br />

$364 $366 $360<br />

$338<br />

$308<br />

$318<br />

$354<br />

$356 $358<br />

$314<br />

$296 $297<br />

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

PURCHASING MANAGER’S INDEX<br />

Singapore Thailand Malaysia<br />

60.0%<br />

55.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

45.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

Mar20<br />

Feb20<br />

Jan20<br />

Dec19<br />

Nov19<br />

Oct19<br />

Sep19<br />

Aug19<br />

Jul19<br />

Jun19<br />

Expansion Contraction<br />

Jun20<br />

May20<br />

Apr20<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

BUSINESS JET<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBINE HELICOPTER<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBOPROP<br />

Singapore Thailand Malaysia Singapore Thailand Malaysia Singapore Thailand<br />

Malaysia<br />

60<br />

64<br />

63<br />

62<br />

54<br />

38<br />

56<br />

57<br />

59 59<br />

154 157<br />

106<br />

111<br />

48<br />

40<br />

37<br />

38<br />

4 6<br />

35<br />

161<br />

111<br />

6<br />

153<br />

118<br />

6<br />

155<br />

121<br />

6<br />

40<br />

33<br />

6<br />

42<br />

34<br />

5<br />

44<br />

28<br />

9<br />

25<br />

19<br />

8<br />

24<br />

18<br />

8<br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong> 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong> 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

* Data Source: ASG's Annual Business Jet Fleet Report and Helicopter Fleet Report. Turboprop data provided by Amstat.<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 7


ECONOMICS<br />

SOUTHEAST ASIA<br />

INDONESIA & PHILIPPINES<br />

Philippines<br />

GDP GROWTH (BILLION USD)<br />

The economy dipped in Q1 as disruptions from the Taal Volcano<br />

eruption in January, the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent<br />

lockdown put in place in March combined to hammer activity.<br />

GDP contracted 0.2% y-o-y in Q1 <strong>2020</strong>, after expanding 6.7% in Q4<br />

2019. This marked the first annual economic contraction since<br />

Q4 1998 and also surprised market analysts who had expected<br />

growth of 3.1%. In seasonally-adjusted quarter-on-quarter terms,<br />

the economy shrank 5.1% in Q1, contrasting the revised 1.8%<br />

expansion in Q4 (previously reported: +2.2% quarter-on-quarter).<br />

While Q1’s result marked an over two-decade low, prospects for<br />

<strong>Q2</strong> are even more dismal.<br />

$862<br />

$292<br />

Indonesia<br />

$932<br />

$305<br />

Philippines<br />

$1,016<br />

$314<br />

$1,042<br />

$331<br />

$1,024<br />

$338<br />

$1,087<br />

$327<br />

Indonesia<br />

Activity lost momentum in the first quarter, with GDP expanding<br />

3.0% (Q4: +5.0% year-on-year), below market expectations of<br />

4.0% and marking the weakest quarterly reading in nearly two<br />

decades. Domestic demand softened sharply in Q1 due to social<br />

distancing measures introduced in March and rising uncertainty<br />

as coronavirus cases accelerated. Household spending increased<br />

2.8% in the first quarter, which was below the fourth quarter's<br />

5.0% expansion. Fixed investment growth moderated to 1.7% in<br />

Q1, compared to the 4.1% expansion in the prior quarter. However,<br />

public spending growth picked up to 3.7% in Q1 (Q4: +0.5% yoy),<br />

likely amid government efforts to support the economy.<br />

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

PURCHASING MANAGER’S INDEX<br />

Indonesia Philippines<br />

60.0%<br />

55.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

45.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

Expansion Contraction<br />

20.0%<br />

Jun20<br />

May20<br />

Apr20<br />

Mar20<br />

Feb20<br />

Jan20<br />

Dec19<br />

Nov19<br />

Oct19<br />

Sep19<br />

Aug19<br />

Jul19<br />

Jun19<br />

Source: Focus Economics & Trading Economics<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

BUSINESS JET<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBINE HELICOPTER<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBOPROP<br />

Indonesia Philippines Indonesia Philippines Indonesia Philippines<br />

50<br />

51<br />

51<br />

51<br />

221<br />

226<br />

117<br />

116<br />

119<br />

121<br />

48<br />

49<br />

48<br />

203<br />

208<br />

207<br />

104<br />

47<br />

48<br />

46<br />

156<br />

162<br />

163<br />

168<br />

162<br />

52<br />

57<br />

59<br />

62<br />

64<br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

* Data Source: ASG's Annual Business Jet Fleet Report and Helicopter Fleet Report. Turboprop data provided by Amstat.<br />

8 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


FLIGHT ELEVATED<br />

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Gulfstream G280 ; the high-performing G550 ; the<br />

all-new, award-winning G500 and G600 ; the legendary<br />

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SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 9


MOOD & INTENTIONS:<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

44+24+18+7+7+G<br />

15+14+13+11+10+9+8+5+5+5+5+G<br />

RESPONDENT LOCATION<br />

Rest of the World (7%)<br />

Oceania (7%)<br />

Greater<br />

China (18%)<br />

Indonesia (5%)<br />

Pakistan (5%)<br />

Philippines (5%)<br />

Australia (5%)<br />

Singapore (8%)<br />

Malaysia (9%)<br />

Hong Kong (10%)<br />

Turboprop (18%)<br />

Civil Helicopter<br />

(19%)<br />

550 +<br />

RESPONDENTS<br />

TOP 10 RESPONDENT’S LOCATIONS<br />

RESPONDENT AIRCRAFT TYPE<br />

Owner /<br />

Charter User (4%)<br />

Broker (12%)<br />

Others** (18%)<br />

63+19+18+G<br />

35+31+18+12+4+G<br />

RESPONDENT CATEGORY<br />

Central Asia &<br />

Middle East (44%)<br />

SE & NE Asia (24%)<br />

India (15%)<br />

Qatar (14%)<br />

China (13%)<br />

United Arab Emirates<br />

(11%)<br />

Business Jet (63%)<br />

Aircraft Service<br />

Providers* (35%)<br />

Aircraft Operator<br />

/Management Company<br />

(31%)<br />

* Aircraft Service Providers include: financial services, training, FBO, ground<br />

handlers, Service, MRO, parts, etc.<br />

** Others include law firms, research facilities and government official<br />

Results Summary in <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong>:<br />

1. Pessimistic mood in APAC stabilized slightly in <strong>Q2</strong>, with<br />

optimism levels slowing increasing mainly contributed by<br />

Greater China and Central Asia.<br />

2. Covid-19 has continued to affect business confidence in<br />

<strong>Q2</strong> with more respondents believing their business has<br />

been seriously affected. The industry is adjusting business<br />

targets, as well as re-evaluating market demand.<br />

3. Cabin sanitation is now the second most critical factor to<br />

business aviation / general aviation, aside from value for<br />

price paid.<br />

4. Historically high 49% respondents reported decreasing<br />

fleet utilization.<br />

5. Historically high level of respondents “not sure” of<br />

purchasing an aircraft.<br />

In <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong>, over 550 respondents participated in ASG’s survey regarding the<br />

mood and intentions of the current business aviation market.<br />

Regions with the most respondents include:<br />

1. Greater China (18%) 2. Southeast and Northeast Asia (24%) 3. Central Asia &<br />

Middle East (44%, incl. India, Pakistan, UAE etc.) 4. Oceania (7%)<br />

The majority of the respondent’s aircraft type are business jets (63%).<br />

67% of the respondents from this quarter’s survey are from aircraft services<br />

providers (FBO, MRO, etc.) and aircraft operators, as well as from aircraft brokers<br />

(12%), aircraft end users (4%) and respondents from other related areas.<br />

Covid-19 Pandemic in Asia Pacific<br />

The ongoing Covid-19 pandemic has continued to impact business aviation<br />

companies business confidence and perspective of the market. In <strong>Q2</strong>, more<br />

companies have reported being impacted, particularly on the flight operation<br />

side of the industry. Over 70% of the respondents from the operator / end user<br />

segment reported that Covid-19 has seriously affected their business.<br />

A few more respondents believe that market demand will not bounce back by the<br />

end of the year. This comes with many companies adjusting their market goals<br />

and evaluations to meet the ongoing challenges of the pandemic. On a positive<br />

note, many are still optimistic about meeting their business targets for <strong>2020</strong>.<br />

In this quarter’s survey we added a new question asking respondents to rank the<br />

factors they think would be critical to the future of business aviation / general<br />

aviation. ‘Value for price paid’ was ranked the first, while cabin sanitation ranked<br />

second - surpassing many factors typically believed to be most important.<br />

Privacy ranked last.<br />

Aircraft Utilization<br />

Aircraft utilization was mainly contributed to by respondents in Greater China<br />

as well as respondents from Oceania. Fleet utilization in the area was largely<br />

affected by Covid-19; 49% of the respondents reported their fleet utilization has<br />

been decreasing. This is the highest decreasing level since the survey began.<br />

Purchase Intention<br />

Purchase intention has been affected as well. More respondents now are not<br />

sure whether to purchase an aircraft. This comes as many brokers are hesitant<br />

to define the market situation as well. We saw a drop in respondents believing<br />

this is a ‘Buyer’s Market’ shifting to “I’m not sure”.<br />

10 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


ECONOMICS STATUS<br />

WHAT IS OUR CURRENT ECONOMIC STATUS? (QUARTERLY COMPARISON)<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

45%<br />

34%<br />

21%<br />

2017<br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

52%<br />

32%<br />

15%<br />

2017<br />

Q3<br />

56%<br />

34%<br />

10%<br />

2017<br />

Q4<br />

52%<br />

37%<br />

11%<br />

2018<br />

Q1<br />

55%<br />

28%<br />

16%<br />

2018<br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

41%<br />

27%<br />

32%<br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

38%<br />

29%<br />

33%<br />

2018<br />

Q4<br />

29%<br />

2019<br />

Q1<br />

MOOD & INTENTIONS: ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

32%<br />

35% 28% 31% 32%<br />

2019<br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

32%<br />

35% 19%<br />

20%<br />

2019<br />

Q3<br />

2019<br />

Q4<br />

Past Low Point<br />

At Low Point<br />

29%<br />

Not Reached<br />

Low Point<br />

37% 45%<br />

36% 40% 33% 53%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

Q1<br />

35%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

Optimistic<br />

(Will get better)<br />

Pessimistic<br />

(Will get worse)<br />

OPTIMISM LEVELS SINCE 2017<strong>Q2</strong> - REGIONAL DIFFERENCES<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

Greater China SE & NE Asia Central Asia & Middle East Oceania<br />

100%<br />

87%<br />

95%<br />

94%<br />

95%<br />

91%<br />

92%<br />

92%<br />

91%<br />

92%<br />

88%<br />

89%<br />

89%<br />

86% 90%<br />

88% 89%<br />

85%<br />

84%<br />

86%<br />

86%<br />

81%<br />

83%<br />

82%<br />

79%<br />

79%<br />

78%<br />

80%<br />

75%<br />

70%<br />

75% 76%<br />

73%<br />

72%<br />

74%<br />

68%<br />

68%<br />

67%<br />

67%<br />

64%<br />

65%<br />

63%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

48%<br />

84%<br />

82%<br />

73%<br />

67%<br />

Overall<br />

67%<br />

61%<br />

58%<br />

55%<br />

56%<br />

54%<br />

40%<br />

41%<br />

43%<br />

36%<br />

47%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

32%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

2017<br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

2017<br />

Q3<br />

2017<br />

Q4<br />

2018<br />

Q1<br />

2018<br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

2018<br />

Q4<br />

2019<br />

Q1<br />

2019<br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

2019<br />

Q3<br />

2019<br />

Q4<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

Q1<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 11


MOOD & INTENTIONS: ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

COVID-19 IMPACT ON ASIA PACIFIC<br />

Has the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak affected you<br />

or your organization’s business so far?<br />

6%<br />

3% 4%<br />

1%<br />

Hard to tell at<br />

the Moment<br />

No, it has not<br />

affected my<br />

business<br />

68%<br />

63%<br />

Yes, It has seriously<br />

affected my<br />

business<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

27% 28%<br />

Yes, It has somewhat<br />

affected my<br />

business<br />

Aircraft Operator / Management Company<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No, it has not affected my business<br />

Yes, it has seriously affected my business<br />

Yes, it has somewhat affected my business<br />

Aircraft Owner / Charter User<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No, it has not affected my business<br />

Yes, it has seriously affected my business<br />

Yes, it has somewhat affected my business<br />

Aircraft Sales / Charter Broker<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No, it has not affected my business<br />

Yes, it has seriously affected my business<br />

Yes, it has somewhat affected my business<br />

Other Related (FBO, MRO, etc.)<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No, it has not affected my business<br />

Yes, it has seriously affected my business<br />

Yes, it has somewhat affected my business<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

4%<br />

7%<br />

65%<br />

24%<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

12%<br />

12%<br />

54%<br />

23%<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

6%<br />

1%<br />

62%<br />

30%<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

5%<br />

3%<br />

62%<br />

30%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

2%<br />

0%<br />

75%<br />

22%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

0%<br />

0%<br />

76%<br />

24%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

1%<br />

4%<br />

67%<br />

27%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

67%<br />

30%<br />

Do you foresee market demand bouncing back in the<br />

2nd half-year of <strong>2020</strong>?<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

Aircraft Operator / Management Company<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

35%<br />

23%<br />

41%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

37%<br />

26%<br />

37%<br />

36%<br />

35%<br />

24%<br />

27%<br />

40%<br />

38%<br />

Aircraft Owner / Charter User<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

42%<br />

38%<br />

19%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

14%<br />

43%<br />

43%<br />

Aircraft Sales / Charter Broker<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

39%<br />

19%<br />

42%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

33%<br />

25%<br />

42%<br />

Hard to tell at<br />

the Moment<br />

Are you or your organization still optimistic to meet the<br />

business performance targets you set for <strong>2020</strong>?<br />

33%<br />

Hard to tell at<br />

the Moment<br />

36%<br />

42%<br />

No No<br />

34%<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

25%<br />

Yes Yes<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

30%<br />

Other Related (FBO, MRO, etc.)<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

Aircraft Operator / Management Company<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

Aircraft Owner / Charter User<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

Aircraft Sales / Charter Broker<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

Other Related (FBO, MRO, etc.)<br />

Hard to tell at the moment<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

33%<br />

25%<br />

42%<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

33%<br />

36%<br />

30%<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

27%<br />

62%<br />

12%<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

20%<br />

57%<br />

23%<br />

<strong>2020</strong>Q1<br />

41%<br />

34%<br />

25%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

37%<br />

26%<br />

37%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

39%<br />

37%<br />

24%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

38%<br />

38%<br />

24%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

21%<br />

51%<br />

28%<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

36%<br />

27%<br />

37%<br />

Rank the following factors that you think are critical to the future of business aviation / general aviation:<br />

Value for Price Paid<br />

More Important<br />

Factors<br />

Overall Rank<br />

Score (the lower the better)<br />

Privacy<br />

Maintenance Support<br />

Cabin Sanitation<br />

Customer Service<br />

Value for Price Paid<br />

Cabin Sanitation<br />

Customer Service<br />

Flexibility / Punctuality<br />

Maintenance Support<br />

Privacy<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

2.6<br />

2.7<br />

2.8<br />

3.0<br />

3.8<br />

4.1<br />

Flexibility / Punctuality<br />

12 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MOOD & INTENTIONS: ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

FLEET UTILIZATION<br />

SUMMARY: AIRCRAFT UTILIZATION CHANGES COMPARED TO 12 MONTHS AGO<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

Up by 20% and more (>20%)<br />

Up but less than 20% (0 - 20%)<br />

17%<br />

14%<br />

4%<br />

INCREASED<br />

SAME<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

The same (0%)<br />

16%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

Down but less than 20% (-20 - 0%)<br />

49%<br />

DECREASED<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

2018<br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

2018<br />

Q4<br />

2019<br />

Q1<br />

2019<br />

<strong>Q2</strong><br />

Down by 20% or more (


MOOD & INTENTIONS: ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

PURCHASE INTENTION<br />

DO YOU OR YOUR CLIENT OWN OR<br />

CHARTER A PRIVATE AIRCRAFT?<br />

65+20+15+G<br />

Just Charter (15%) Both Own and Charter (65%)<br />

Just Own (20%)<br />

WHERE ARE WE IN THE CURRENT PRE-OWNED MARKET?<br />

WHEN CHARTERING AN AIRCRAFT,<br />

WHAT IS YOUR PRIMARY SOURCE?<br />

8+92+G<br />

Contact Operator (92%)<br />

Contact Broker (8%)<br />

PURCHASE INTENTION 2018<strong>Q2</strong> - <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong>*<br />

Buyer’s Market<br />

Balanced Market<br />

Seller’s Market<br />

66%<br />

I’m not sure<br />

Yes, a new aircraft Yes, a pre-owned aircraft No / I’m not sure<br />

59%<br />

58%<br />

55%<br />

53%<br />

47%<br />

28%<br />

17%<br />

8%<br />

43%<br />

38%<br />

14%<br />

38%<br />

26%<br />

10%<br />

41%<br />

38%<br />

16%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

50%<br />

5% 5%<br />

8%<br />

6%<br />

54%<br />

12%<br />

11%<br />

2018<strong>Q2</strong> 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019<strong>Q2</strong> 2019Q3 2019Q4 <strong>2020</strong>Q1 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

28%<br />

17%<br />

21%<br />

15%<br />

9%<br />

13%<br />

8%<br />

22%<br />

13%<br />

43%<br />

46%<br />

48% 49%<br />

40%<br />

41%<br />

38%<br />

32%<br />

31%<br />

30%<br />

28%<br />

27%<br />

28%<br />

30% 31%<br />

27%<br />

26%<br />

29%<br />

22%<br />

25%<br />

24%<br />

20%<br />

19%<br />

2018<strong>Q2</strong> 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019<strong>Q2</strong> 2019Q3 2019Q4 <strong>2020</strong>Q1 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong><br />

PURCHASE INTENTION - REGIONAL DIFFERENCES (FIXED WING)<br />

SE & NE Asia<br />

Corporate Airliner Large Jet Medium Jet Small Jet Turboprop /<br />

Piston Fixed Wing<br />

20% 26%<br />

23%<br />

17%<br />

14%<br />

Oceania<br />

Greater China<br />

25% 25%<br />

50%<br />

11% 43%<br />

29%<br />

7% 11%<br />

Central Asia<br />

& Middle East<br />

34%<br />

30% 22% 8% 5%<br />

PURCHASE INTENTION<br />

- FIXED WING<br />

(OUTER IS PREFERRED)<br />

Corporate Airliner<br />

(Such as ACJ, BBJ)<br />

PURCHASE INTENTION<br />

- HELICOPTER<br />

(OUTER IS PREFERRED)<br />

Twin Turbine<br />

(Such as Sikorsky S-76C++)<br />

PURCHASE DECISIONS<br />

- INFLUENCING FACTORS<br />

(OUTER IS LIMITING)<br />

Government / Public Opinion<br />

Most Preferred<br />

Most Preferred<br />

Turboprop/Piston<br />

Fixed Wing<br />

(Such as King Air Series)<br />

Large Jet<br />

(Such as G650,<br />

Falcon 8X)<br />

Inconvenient<br />

to Use<br />

No Interesting<br />

Aircraft<br />

Small Jet<br />

(Such as Citation Series,<br />

Hawker Series)<br />

Midsize Jet<br />

(Such as G200 &<br />

CL650)<br />

Piston Helicopter<br />

(Such as Robinson R22)<br />

Single Turbine Helicopter<br />

(Such as Bell 206)<br />

No Need<br />

Greater China<br />

Central Asia<br />

Price<br />

Oceania<br />

SE & NE Asia<br />

14 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


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SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 15


THE FLIGHT PATH TO COVID-19 RECOVERY<br />

MINIMISING THE LEGAL TURBULENCE<br />

In this article, business aviation lawyers, HFW Hong Kong Partner Gordon Gardiner and Singapore Senior<br />

Associate James Jordan, provide an overview of some of the critical legal issues created by the pandemic and<br />

list ten key questions that industry stakeholders should be asking as the sector looks to rebuild its international<br />

operations in a post-COVID-19 (C-19) world.<br />

The impact of COVID-19 (C-19) on the business aviation sector<br />

is truly unprecedented. Even during previous international<br />

crises - such as 9/11 or the Global Financial Crisis - business<br />

aviation operations were relatively unaffected and in some instances<br />

saw an increase in operations compared to the airline sector. C-19 has,<br />

however, led to a steep decline in business aviation movements due to<br />

strict border restrictions, which in many cases has made international<br />

flights impossible.<br />

Domestic business aviation traffic is, however, starting to recover in<br />

many places. The sector is now turning its mind to safely resuming<br />

international operations as we enter into a new phase of the pandemic.<br />

Outlined below are the key legal concerns for the business aviation<br />

community and the questions that the sector needs to address as the<br />

recovery process gathers pace.<br />

The impact of C-19 over recent months:<br />

• Just over 26,000 business jet flights operated worldwide<br />

in the first two weeks of April <strong>2020</strong>, 79% below the same<br />

period in 2019.<br />

• Just under 1,000 business jets were active worldwide<br />

in the first half of April, compared to over 4,000 in the<br />

corresponding 2019 period.<br />

• Business aviation activity in Asia was down 28% in June<br />

compared to 2019, although flight hours are down by 44% 1 .<br />

TRANSMISSION RISKS AND CLAIMS<br />

The biggest threat to the industry is that aviation continues to act not<br />

only as a transmission vector (i.e. transporting C-19 from an area of<br />

high infection rates to less affected areas) but also as a transmission<br />

cluster in and of itself (i.e. passengers/crew infect other passengers on<br />

board the aircraft).<br />

Operators and aircraft management companies should be alive to the<br />

risk of liability claims from passengers who contract C-19 on board<br />

their aircraft or inside business aviation centres during the process<br />

of embarkation or disembarkation. While proving that an operator or<br />

manager is liable may be difficult, it is not impossible if the correct<br />

evidence can be adduced by the passenger. Given the smaller number<br />

of passengers and crew on business aircraft, it may be easier for<br />

passengers to demonstrate transmission links which will be clearer and<br />

easier to define.<br />

Operators and aircraft managers are also at risk of claims from crew<br />

and other employees if steps are not taken by employers to ensure that<br />

they are adequately protected. These risks can, however, be significantly<br />

mitigated if appropriate steps are taken in accordance with international<br />

regulations and guidance issued by entities such as the NBAA 2 .<br />

1<br />

https://wingx-advance.com/covid-impact-live-updates/<br />

2<br />

https://nbaa.org/wp-content/uploads/aircraft-operations/safety/<br />

coronavirus/nbaa-aircraft-disinfection-and-cleaning-procedures.pdf<br />

16 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


COMMENTARY: RECOVERY OF BUSINESS AVIATION BY HFW<br />

ASSET PRESERVATION<br />

The general sentiment is that global demand exists for business aviation<br />

but that it is being hindered by a complex patchwork of government<br />

border and immigration controls. It is, therefore, hoped that the sector<br />

will recover quickly as soon as restrictions are relaxed, unlike the airline<br />

industry where the recovery is likely to be considerably slower due to<br />

waning consumer demand and broader economic malaise.<br />

That being said, a large number of business jets will remain grounded<br />

for an extended period. A significant concern for stakeholders involved<br />

in the financing and insuring of the industry is that aircraft are not being<br />

maintained in a manner that will enable them to remain serviceable and<br />

to retain their value.<br />

Operators and entities involved in aircraft maintenance should ensure<br />

asset preservation and maintenance plans are clear, robust and<br />

accessible in the event that they are requested by a party with an<br />

interest in the aircraft. Failure to properly maintain aircraft during a<br />

period of extended grounding may vitiate insurance terms and/or lead<br />

to claims from owners and finance parties.<br />

PERSONAL DATA<br />

Health screening for C-19 and/or antibody certification is likely to<br />

become commonplace within the broader aviation industry and may<br />

even be mandated in order for passengers and crew to enter certain<br />

countries.<br />

This will entail business aviation operators having to manage<br />

increasingly more complex and sensitive personal data relating to<br />

passenger and employee health. Fines for data breaches are significant<br />

(e.g. under the European Union General Data Protection Regulation –<br />

which has extraterritorial effect - fines can be up to €20 million, or up<br />

to 4% of the relevant company’s annual worldwide turnover for the<br />

preceding financial year, whichever is greater) and existing systems<br />

will need to be enhanced to manage these exposures.<br />

Operational staff will need to understand the relevant data protection<br />

and privacy laws so as to avoid sanctions for their respective<br />

organisations.<br />

COMMERCIAL CONTRACTS<br />

Inevitably there will be greater scrutiny on the allocation of risk between<br />

parties in commercial contracts. In particular, given the impact of<br />

C-19 on businesses across the whole spectrum of business aviation,<br />

it is likely that counterparties will seek greater financial protection<br />

in case of default on payment obligations. Credit and payment<br />

terms will therefore be a particular focus of attention, as well as the<br />

circumstances in which liens can be exercised over aircraft and other<br />

property. The scope of ‘force majeure’ clauses and the contractual<br />

consequences will also be subject to close examination.<br />

Operators may also wish to consider drafting specific wording into their<br />

terms of business to deal with the issues that have been created by the<br />

pandemic. This should not only deal with transmission risks but also<br />

issues created by travel disruptions and border control restrictions.<br />

SUSTAINABILITY<br />

In the 2019 Q4 version of <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>Sky</strong> <strong>Quarterly</strong>, we discussed the<br />

importance of sustainability for the business aviation sector and why<br />

failing to address green issues represents one of the most significant<br />

threats to the sector. This was before the emergence of C-19.<br />

Notwithstanding the systemic threat created by C-19, the world and<br />

its economies will recover and, while the nature of that recovery is<br />

still uncertain, sustainability should still be a core pillar of all business<br />

plans. Shifting consumer sentiment towards a desire for sustainable<br />

business aviation has not disappeared and cannot be ignored. There<br />

is, however, now an opportunity to develop a new model for the future<br />

of business aviation which puts the sustainability of the industry at<br />

its core.<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 17


COMMENTARY: RECOVERY OF BUSINESS AVIATION BY HFW<br />

QUESTIONS TO ASK<br />

All companies within the business aviation sector should consider<br />

whether the following questions have been addressed within their<br />

organisations:<br />

1. Are all relevant employees and crew fully briefed on the<br />

applicable local and international regulations relating to reducing<br />

transmission risks?<br />

2. What steps have been taken to keep an accurate record of<br />

employee and crew training relating to C-19? Is your business<br />

able to easily present such information if requested by the<br />

regulator or in the event that you face a legal claim?<br />

3. Is the business prepared to handle C-19 claims by passengers? Is<br />

it clear what steps will be taken if/when an incident occurs so that<br />

ongoing legal and litigation risks can be effectively managed and<br />

immediate steps can be taken to mitigate reputational damage?<br />

4. For aircraft that remain grounded, what discussions have been<br />

held with insurers, lessors and other finance parties to ensure that<br />

all stakeholders are in agreement as to the long term preservation<br />

of the asset?<br />

5. Have you reviewed your data protection protocols to ensure that<br />

they adequately address the additional health data you may be<br />

holding, either now or in the future, as a result of C-19?<br />

6. What do your terms of business state about transmission risks<br />

relating to C-19 and have amendments been made to deal with<br />

issues that are specific to the pandemic?<br />

7. Do your commercial contracts with suppliers, vendors and<br />

business partners adequately manage the unique risks of C-19<br />

(e.g. if your contracts contain force majeure provisions, do you<br />

understand the triggers and consequences)?<br />

8. Credit risk remains high throughout the entire business aviation<br />

sector. Have payment terms with customers and suppliers been<br />

reviewed so as to highlight areas of financial risk for the business?<br />

9. Are Business Continuity Plans (BCP) in place to deal with further<br />

future waves of C-19 or a return to lockdown? These should be<br />

concise, easily understood, and up to date. They should also be<br />

regularly reviewed and tested, to enable your company to remain<br />

operational through future waves of C-19, or to mitigate against<br />

reduced demand.<br />

10. Is your company committed to sustainability as the business<br />

aviation sector enters the recovery phase? If so, what steps have<br />

been taken to document and publicise the action you have taken<br />

to ensure that sustainability remains a key constituent of your<br />

post-C-19 business plan?<br />

PLANNING FOR THE RECOVERY<br />

C-19 has created numerous and complex legal questions for the<br />

business aviation sector. Those companies that pre-emptively address<br />

the issues raised above before they develop into real legal problems<br />

will be well placed to overcome the challenges presented by C-19, as<br />

borders gradually reopen and government restrictions are relaxed.<br />

ABOUT THE AUTHORS<br />

HFW HONG KONG PARTNER GORDON GARDINER<br />

AND SINGAPORE SENIOR ASSOCIATE JAMES JORDAN<br />

ARE TRUSTED LEGAL ADVISERS TO THE BUSINESS<br />

AVIATION COMMUNITY. THEY REGULARLY ADVISE ON<br />

A DIVERSE RANGE OF BUSINESS AVIATION MATTERS<br />

AND ARE PART OF A GLOBAL TEAM THAT PROVIDES<br />

CLIENTS WITH SOLUTIONS ACROSS THE BROAD<br />

SPECTRUM OF FINANCING & LEASING, COMMERCIAL<br />

CONTRACTS, REGULATORY ISSUES, AND DISPUTES.<br />

HFW has more than 600 lawyers working across Asia Pacific,<br />

the Americas, Europe and the Middle East. HFW is committed<br />

to Asia Pacific, with seven offices and three associations across<br />

the region.<br />

HFW has been at the forefront of legal developments in the<br />

aerospace sector for more than four decades. With more than<br />

80 specialist aviation lawyers in ten international hubs, HFW<br />

provides at the point of delivery the resources of a global team.<br />

HFW prides itself in knowing clients’ business needs and delivers<br />

solutions 24 hours a day.<br />

Recent examples of HFW’s business aviation work include<br />

advising on:<br />

• Sale and purchase agreements for both new and used business jets<br />

GORDON GARDINER<br />

Partner, Hong Kong<br />

D: +852 3983 7710<br />

E: Gordon.Gardiner@hfw.com<br />

• Acquisition and financing or refinancing by lease or loan of numerous<br />

business jets<br />

• Terms and conditions of use for an <strong>Asian</strong> FBO<br />

• Commercial contracts relating to the services provided by an <strong>Asian</strong><br />

MRO facility<br />

• Various commercial disputes in relation to aircraft acquisition and<br />

aircraft management<br />

JAMES JORDAN<br />

Senior Associate, Singapore<br />

D: +65 6411 5374<br />

E: James.Jordan@hfw.com<br />

• Insured claims arising out of business jet and general aviation incidents<br />

and major accidents<br />

hfw.com<br />

18 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


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SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 19


AIRCRAFT SPOTLIGHT:<br />

BELL 505<br />

The 505 is a five-seater, flat-floor cabin, light single turbine engine helicopter. Loaded with the<br />

latest technology from Garmin G1000H NXi avionics to a Safran dual channel FADEC (Full Authority<br />

Digital Engine Control), the 505 is Bell’s entry level offering seeking to recapture a market once<br />

owned by the Bell 206 Jet Ranger. The powerful 505 SHP engine, 2,295 lb external load capability,<br />

and open, high visibility cabin, have opened the 505 up to compete with traditionally larger aircraft<br />

markets such as public safety, HEMS, and long lining.<br />

The 505 was unveiled in 2013, at the Paris Air Show, and formally<br />

introduced in 2014 at the HAI Expo in Anaheim, California. The Bell<br />

505 Jet Ranger X was designed to fill a gap in product offering left<br />

by the Bell 206B Jet Ranger when it was discontinued in 2010. The<br />

505 continues the Jet Ranger legacy, utilizing the rotor and drive<br />

system from the venerable 206 Long Ranger, with a modernized<br />

cockpit, improved engine power, and versatile open cabin.<br />

There are over 260 505s operating in 46 countries. The 505 fleet<br />

has flown over 45,000 hours in less than three years. The 505 is<br />

put to work every day in a wide variety of mission from private<br />

individuals flying for fun, long lining operators taking supplies and<br />

crew high into the mountains, militaries training their future pilots,<br />

or police agencies keeping their cities safe.<br />

Embedded sensors around the aircraft provide critical information<br />

to the cockpit helping the pilot more quickly identify, solve, and<br />

react to any potential problems. The dual channel FADEC utilizes<br />

a redundant channel control system to maintain the turbine engine<br />

at peak performance. This FADEC allows the 505 to eliminate any<br />

mechanical throttle linkage and provide single switch automated<br />

starting that eliminates the chance for a pilot induced hot start.<br />

Digital engine control provides smooth and consistent rotor<br />

speed as well as better fuel economy by setting fuel flow to the<br />

optimized limit based on the required power setting. The engine<br />

control system also includes a 3rd backup channel that, in the<br />

unlikely event of a FADEC failure, would keep fuel flowing to the<br />

engine to allow the pilot to bring the aircraft to the ground safely.<br />

The 505 is the most advanced short light single helicopter on<br />

the market today. The Garmin G1000H NXi avionics and dual<br />

channel FADEC provide enhanced situational awareness and<br />

reduced pilot workload to help pilots and operators ensure every<br />

mission is a success. The Garmin G1000H NXi provides flight<br />

and engine parameters in an easy to read, color coded, display<br />

that combines with aural headset alerts to ensure the pilot has<br />

a complete picture of the aircraft’s current status. This primary<br />

flight display includes the Bell unique Power Situation Indicator<br />

(PSI) and dual tachometer that combines five traditional engine<br />

and rotor displays into two easy to read gauges that provide color<br />

coded engine parameters.<br />

20 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


AIRCRAFT SPOTLIGHT: BELL 505<br />

The 505’s open cabin, easily removeable seats, and integrated tie<br />

downs provides the ultimate in versatility for operators around the<br />

world. The 505 is quickly able to convert from moving passengers<br />

or crew to cargo and goods with tool free removal of seats. The<br />

505’s cabin boasts best in class 99 cubic feet of usable volume<br />

and a 18 cubic foot cargo bay providing ample space for passenger<br />

baggage or important cargo. The Bell 505 includes a 2000 lb cargo<br />

hook capability providing additional uses for operators to serve<br />

the community or add revenue streams to their business.<br />

Tim Otteson, former U.S. army pilot and current Bell demo pilot<br />

details his trust in the 505:“The Bell 505 Jet Ranger X does a<br />

magnificent job of blending proven technologies like the 206L4<br />

drive train with a state-of-the-art Dual Channel FADEC and glass<br />

cockpit. I have had the privilege of flying the 505 in locations as<br />

diverse as the Himalayas and the Dead Sea. The avionics suite has<br />

kept me from getting lost in places I’ve never been and gives me<br />

power I can feel confident in. I was able to land at and depart from<br />

the Annapurna Basecamp, Nepal with 5 people on board at a density<br />

altitude of approximately 15,500 or so feet. My time flying the 505<br />

in Nepal did nothing but increase my confidence in the aircraft and<br />

its ability to operate in the world’s mountainous environments.”<br />

The Garmin G1000H NXi utilizes a second screen, called the<br />

Multi-Function Display or MFD, to display a series of maps, charts,<br />

weight & balance diagrams, and other supporting information key<br />

to providing enhanced situational awareness and reducing the<br />

pilot’s overall workload. The MFD also allows pilots to process<br />

live data such as weather, traffic, and terrain to ensure the<br />

complete situational picture is presented allowing pilots to make<br />

the best possible decisions while flying. With optional Synthetic<br />

Vision, terrain and traffic are presented on the Primary Flight<br />

Display similar to how it would appear outside of the windscreen.<br />

Terrain is color coded based on the aircraft’s proximity and<br />

paired with aural alerts to help key pilots to look for impending<br />

problems. Utilizing the optional Flight Stream 510, pilots can also<br />

automatically upload flight plans and database updates from a<br />

compatible portable device. The Flight Stream 510 also allows<br />

for a portable device to be used as a third screen for further<br />

situational awareness.<br />

While new to the market, the 505’s rotor and drive system have<br />

millions of combined flight hours. The 505 utilizes the same high<br />

inertia rotor system from the 206 Long Ranger. A high inertia rotor<br />

system provides the pilot more time to react to an engine failure<br />

and enter an auto rotation without the rotor slowing down too<br />

much, providing a better cushion and a safer landing. The millions<br />

of flight hours on these systems provide operators the assurance<br />

of reliability knowing that they can not only trust the operating<br />

cost numbers, but they can also rely on the aircraft to be ready to<br />

go each and every day for their needs.<br />

The 505’s open cabin,<br />

easily removeable seats,<br />

and integrated tie downs<br />

provides the ultimate in<br />

versatility for operators<br />

around the world.<br />

The Bell 505 utilizes the 505 SHP Safran Arrius 2R. This is the<br />

first Safran engine product to be used by Bell. The Arrius 2R<br />

is the newest offering in the Arrius family of engines that has<br />

accumulated millions of successful flight hours through multiple<br />

OEMs products all over the world. The Arrius 2R provides a variety<br />

of features that add to the reliability and safety of the 505 from the<br />

dual channel FADEC to the Flame Out Protection System (FOPS).<br />

The FOPS provides a preference flame tube that has its own fuel<br />

line and bypass valve. In the event of a fuel blockage, the preference<br />

flame tube would re-light the engine maintaining thrust and safety<br />

of flight. The Arrius 2R provides best in class power to the 505<br />

giving the aircraft the ability to hover at over 10,000 feet out of<br />

ground effect and have a service ceiling of up to 22,500 ft density<br />

altitude. The Arrius 2R is comprised of 2 modular sections to ease<br />

overhauls and replacements, a hot section and a gear box section.<br />

The Bell 505 provides hydraulically powered cyclic and collective<br />

controls to maintain low control forces. A panel mounted switch<br />

allows pilots to cycle hydraulic power on and off to provide<br />

additional training opportunities for new pilots to practice flying<br />

through hydraulic failures.<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 21


AIRCRAFT SPOTLIGHT: BELL 505<br />

TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS<br />

SPEEDS AT MGW, ISA<br />

MAX CRUISE<br />

125 KTS 231KM/H<br />

RANGE AT VLRC1<br />

306 NM 566 KM<br />

MAX ENDURANCE1 (NO RESERVES, 60 KIAS) >3.9+ HRS<br />

CAPACITIES<br />

CABIN FLOOR AREA2<br />

22 FT 2 2.0 M 2<br />

BAGGAGE COMPARTMENT VOLUME 18 FT 2 0.5 M 2<br />

CEILING ALTITUDES AT MGW, ISA<br />

SERVICE CEILING<br />

18,610 FT PA 5,672 M PA<br />

HOVER CEILING IGE<br />

14,450 FT 4,404 M<br />

HOVER CEILING OGE<br />

10,460 FT 3,188 M<br />

WEIGHTS<br />

EMPTY WEIGHT (BASE AIRCRAFT)<br />

2,180 LBS 989 KG<br />

The Bell 505 utilizes the Maintenance Steering Group 3 (MSG-<br />

3) methodology commonly found in commercial airlines<br />

maintainer groups. MSG-3 utilizes industry experts to create an<br />

analytically backed program to ensure logical inspection and<br />

overhaul scheduling that allows for maximum aircraft availability.<br />

Maintenance operations are also grouped by their location on the<br />

airframe to ensure maintainers are accomplishing as many tasks<br />

as logical when entering certain access panels or maintenance<br />

locations. MSG-3 aids in increasing aircraft availability and<br />

lowers operating costs, bringing a more modern and analytical<br />

maintenance program to the operator.<br />

Being the most recently certified Short Light Single helicopter on<br />

the market, the 505 meets the latest safety standards. The Bell<br />

505 features standard crash attenuating seats, a crash resistant<br />

fuel system, and 4-point seat belts for all occupants. Technology<br />

like the Garmin G1000H NXi integrated avionics suite and dual<br />

channel FADEC create the additional situation awareness and<br />

reduced pilot workload that benefit pilots of all experience levels.<br />

MAX GROSS WEIGHT (INTERNAL)<br />

MAX GROSS WEIGHT (EXTERNAL)<br />

USEFUL LOAD (BASE AIRCRAFT, INTERNAL)<br />

POWERPLANT SPECIFICATIONS<br />

3,680 LBS 1,669 KG<br />

4,475 LBS 2,030 KG<br />

1,500 LBS 680 KG<br />

Many 505 operators will attest that the 505s many redundant<br />

systems create a level of security that allow their pilots to learn<br />

and confidently fly the 505 faster than other aircraft, allowing<br />

them to integrate the aircraft into their operations more quickly.<br />

TURBOMECA ARRIUS 2R (UNINSTALLED THERMODYNAMIC RATING)<br />

www.bellflight.com<br />

TAKEOFF<br />

MAX CONTINUOUS<br />

505 SHP 377 KW<br />

459 SHP 342 KW<br />

In Asia Pacific, PT. Whitesky relies on their two Bell 505s for air taxi/charter and medical evacuation<br />

for their HeliCity project in Jakarta, Indonesia.<br />

“I have to be honest with you, the first time I saw the 505 in Dallas I knew it was the perfect<br />

helicopter for Jakarta and our project, HeliCity. With our experience working in these types of<br />

operations, it can be difficult to learn to operate several different machines at once. The 505 is<br />

easy for pilots to learn, with its advanced avionics and FADEC computer systems. The FADEC is<br />

a safety feature that’s nice for us. Instead of needing a twin-engine helicopter, we have the three<br />

levels of redundancy in a single engine helicopter.”<br />

- PT. Whitesky CEO, Denon Prawiraatmadia<br />

22 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


SPECIAL FEATURE<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC FLIGHT ACTIVITY<br />

<strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong><br />

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SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 23


SPECIAL FEATURE: ASIA-PACIFIC FLIGHT ACTIVITY <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong><br />

<strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong> ASIA PACIFIC BUSINESS JET FLIGHT ACTIVITY<br />

TOTAL DEPARTURE FLIGHTS FROM APAC<br />

TOTAL ARRIVAL FLIGHTS TO APAC<br />

9.3%<br />

-1.3%<br />

-29.3%<br />

-70.3%<br />

-84.5%<br />

-83.4%<br />

9.3%<br />

-1.1%<br />

-29.1%<br />

-70.2%<br />

-84.6%<br />

-83.6%<br />

6,807<br />

6,227<br />

6,041 6,120 5,931<br />

7334<br />

6539 5950<br />

6,722<br />

6,150 6,030 6,097 5,907<br />

7,266<br />

6,313<br />

5,879<br />

4,171<br />

4,186<br />

2178<br />

988 988<br />

2,168<br />

972 965<br />

Jan<br />

Feb<br />

Mar<br />

Apr<br />

May<br />

Jun<br />

Jan<br />

Feb<br />

Mar<br />

Apr<br />

May<br />

Jun<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Dep. Flights 2019 Dep.Flights YoY Growth Rate<br />

<strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong> BUSIEST REGIONS (DEPARTURE)<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Arr. Flights 2019 Arr .Flights YoY Growth Rate<br />

INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS VS. DOMESTIC FLIGHTS<br />

<strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong><br />

32%,<br />

1,321<br />

68%,<br />

2,843<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Q1<br />

43%, 7,386<br />

57%, 9,653<br />

DEPARTURE AREA FLIGHTS YOY GROWTH RATE<br />

Israel<br />

United Arab Emirates<br />

Saudi Arabia<br />

Mainland China<br />

Lebanon<br />

Japan<br />

Iraq<br />

Georgia<br />

Hong Kong SAR<br />

Kazakhstan<br />

During <strong>Q2</strong>, business aviation flights in the Asia-Pacific region<br />

declined by 78.8%, compared with the same period in 2019. As the<br />

Covid-19 pandemic continuted to spread globally in the second<br />

quarter countries imposed tight restrictions on movement to halt<br />

the spread of the virus. Consequently, flight activity was more<br />

seriously affected than during Q1. Flights ( departures & arrivals)<br />

in APAC dropped each month in <strong>Q2</strong>; from 4,346 in April to 1,960 in<br />

May and to 1,953 in June.<br />

As the Covid-19 situation in mainland China has begun to subside,<br />

the domestic business jet market saw more activity. <strong>Q2</strong> saw 280<br />

domestic flights, making it the most active regional market (in<br />

terms of business jet activity).<br />

583<br />

369<br />

362<br />

353<br />

309<br />

280<br />

165<br />

154<br />

145<br />

128<br />

- 60%<br />

- 75%<br />

- 79%<br />

- 86%<br />

- 43%<br />

- 78%<br />

2%<br />

- 65%<br />

- 82%<br />

- 58%<br />

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000<br />

FLIGHT DURATIONS<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-82%<br />

1 to 2 hours<br />

More than 5 hours<br />

Domestic Flights<br />

30 min. to 1 hours<br />

2 to 3 hours<br />

International Flights<br />

Apr May Jun <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong> vs 2019 <strong>Q2</strong><br />

Lockdown lifts are being seen throughout North America and<br />

Europe. As such, business aviation activity in May and June showed<br />

signs of recovery. During these two months there was a significant<br />

increase in the long-range category (flights with a duration of more<br />

than five hours).<br />

-71%<br />

-85%<br />

-79% -75%<br />

In <strong>Q2</strong>, the proportion of international flights was higher than in Q1,<br />

accounting for 68% of all business jet activity. Notably, Turkey, the<br />

United States, Germany, United Kingdom and Greece were the Top<br />

3 to 4 hours<br />

-83%<br />

Max 30 min.<br />

5 destinations for international business jet flights.<br />

-66%<br />

* Unless otherwise noted, all numbers are compared on a year-on-year basis.<br />

* * The Oceanian traffic only consists flights arrived in Asia<br />

Data Source: WINGX<br />

4 to 5 hours<br />

24 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


SPECIAL FEATURE: ASIA-PACIFIC FLIGHT ACTIVITY <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong><br />

TOP AVIATION HUBS’ PERFORMANCES<br />

There were a total of 537 business jet departures in Greater China,<br />

falling 86% compared with the second quarter of last year.<br />

During <strong>Q2</strong>, 353 flights departed from mainland China in total. As a<br />

ban on all non-resident foreign nationals from entering the territory<br />

remains in place indefinitely, domestic flights within Mainland China<br />

represented the largest portion of activity, with 280 flights.<br />

GREATER CHINA <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong> PERFORMANCE<br />

-90%, 38<br />

-99%, 1<br />

-82%, 145<br />

-86%, 353<br />

Ultra Long Range<br />

Large Cabin<br />

Super Light<br />

Super Midsize<br />

193, -89%<br />

140, -78%<br />

Mainland China<br />

Taiwan<br />

Macau<br />

Hong Kong<br />

10, -9%<br />

7, -94%<br />

*Light Jet 2, -87%<br />

*Airliner/Bizliner(Jet) 1,


SPECIAL FEATURE: ASIA-PACIFIC FLIGHT ACTIVITY <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong><br />

<strong>Q2</strong> DEPARTURE BY CITY<br />

FROM TOKYO<br />

217 222<br />

<strong>Q2</strong> Flights: 74<br />

YoY Growth Rate: -87%<br />

Asia<br />

Southeast Asia Europe North America Oceania Total<br />

FROM SINGAPORE<br />

286<br />

240<br />

135<br />

<strong>Q2</strong> Flights: 48<br />

YoY Growth Rate: -94%<br />

131<br />

150<br />

87<br />

42<br />

12<br />

20<br />

181<br />

168<br />

39<br />

5<br />

4<br />

Jan<br />

Feb<br />

Mar<br />

Apr<br />

May<br />

Jun<br />

Flights departing from Tokyo fell 87% in <strong>Q2</strong>. Flights within Asia dropped<br />

from 25 flights in April to zero in June. However, arrivals into North<br />

America from Tokyo increased throughout.<br />

Departures from Singapore were down -94% y-o-y in <strong>Q2</strong>. In March,the<br />

Singapore Government placed restricted all short-term vistors from<br />

entering or transiting through the city-state. Further to that, in June,<br />

long-term travelers or residents coming from specified countries/<br />

regions would no longer need to server a mandatory 14-day quarantine at<br />

dedicated quarantine facilities; rather the quarantine could be served at<br />

home. The move was expected to translate to move business jet activity.<br />

<strong>2020</strong><strong>Q2</strong> ASIA PACIFIC BUSINESS JET FLIGHT ACTIVITIES<br />

TOTAL FLIGHT ACTIVITIES BY SIZE CATEGORY<br />

TOP OEM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON YOY%<br />

Airliner / Bizliner, -93%, 47<br />

Entry Level, -64%, 4<br />

Very Light, -72%, 75<br />

Super Light, -46%, 217<br />

Super Midsize, -74%, 353<br />

-81%<br />

-84%<br />

1,118 1,087<br />

-66%<br />

-76%<br />

Flights<br />

-35%<br />

YoY Growth Rate<br />

Large Cabin,<br />

-76%, 1,450<br />

Light, -66%, 367<br />

Midsize, -62%, 491<br />

535<br />

469<br />

301<br />

Ultra Long Range, -86%, 1160<br />

Bombardier<br />

Gulfstream<br />

Cessna<br />

Embraer<br />

Learjet<br />

In light of Covid-19, medical and cargo flights have played an important<br />

role in business aviaiton activity. In <strong>Q2</strong>, flights utilizing large cabin jets<br />

dominanted the market.<br />

TOP 10 CITIES (DEPARTURE + ARRIVAL FLIGHTS)<br />

497<br />

Depature Arrival<br />

In terms of business jet activities by OEM: flights using Bombardier and<br />

Gulfstream aircraft decreased by 81% and 84%.<br />

Cities in the Middle East saw significantly more flight activity than most<br />

aviation hubs in the Asia-Pacific region during <strong>Q2</strong>. Notably, Hong Kong<br />

376<br />

302<br />

274<br />

235<br />

229<br />

200<br />

159<br />

153<br />

157<br />

had the 6th most traffic, with 145 flights departures and 84 flights arrivals.<br />

Tel Aviv<br />

Beirut<br />

Riyadh<br />

Beersheba<br />

Tbilisi<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Jebel Ali<br />

Abu Dhabi<br />

Baku<br />

Shanghai<br />

4<br />

17<br />

9<br />

4<br />

2<br />

3<br />

18<br />

7<br />

1<br />

0<br />

5<br />

25<br />

11<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

10<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

1<br />

19<br />

0<br />

2<br />

0<br />

2<br />

42<br />

57<br />

65<br />

97<br />

19<br />

16<br />

1<br />

1<br />

6<br />

3<br />

1<br />

3<br />

25<br />

0<br />

1<br />

6<br />

4<br />

34<br />

0<br />

0<br />

4<br />

0<br />

2<br />

0<br />

1<br />

2<br />

41<br />

103<br />

Jan<br />

Feb<br />

Mar<br />

Apr<br />

May<br />

Jun<br />

* Unless otherwise noted, all numbers are compared on a year-on-year basis.<br />

Data Source: WINGX<br />

26 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


PRE-OWNED MARKET ANALYSIS<br />

BELL 412<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 27


PRE-OWNED MARKET ANALYSIS: BELL 412<br />

MODEL INTRODUCTION<br />

Introduced in the 1980s, the Bell 412 is a twin-engine utility helicopter powered by Pratt & Whitney PT6T-3D Twin Pac engines, the 412 EP has<br />

still in production today. It is widely noted for its reliability in varying a useful load capability of 5,100 lbs / 2,313 kg. The EPI is powered by<br />

climates and multi-mission flexibility. After a few variants stemming the Pratt & Whitney Canada PT6T-9 engines, replacing the 3D.<br />

from the original 412 model – SP (Special Performance) and HP (High<br />

Performance), today’s EP (Enhanced Performance) and EPI versions In the cockpit, the 414EPI is certified for single pilot IFR operation.<br />

continue to be a sought-after aircraft.<br />

The three-axis, dual digital automatic flight control system (AFCS)<br />

enables safe and easy operation while reducing the pilot workload.<br />

The Bell 412 EPI model has an expansive cabin, with 220 ft3 / 6.2 The avionics include multi-functional displays, VHF antenna, VHF<br />

m3 of space designed to be easily reconfigured to comfortably seat transceiver, magnetic compass, distance measuring equipment,<br />

up to 14 passengers. Its wide-opening 7.7 ft / 2.3m doors also allow transponder, airspeed indicator, and altimeter. The EPI comes with the<br />

for quick and easy loading and unloading. The Bell 412 EP model is addition of the Bell BasiX Pro fully integrated glass flight deck.<br />

MODEL COMPARISON<br />

Model Bell 412EPI Bell 412EP S76C++ AW139<br />

Production Period<br />

2014 - present 1994 - 2013<br />

2006 - 2012<br />

2004 - present<br />

Engine Type<br />

Max Range (30 Min Reserve, nm)<br />

Useful Load (lb)<br />

Average Speed (Standard Trip, kts)<br />

PWC PT6T-9<br />

318<br />

3,911<br />

115<br />

PWC PT6T-3D<br />

314<br />

4,028<br />

115<br />

Turbomeca Arriel 2S2<br />

335<br />

3,571<br />

131<br />

PWC PT6C-67C<br />

580<br />

4,701<br />

134<br />

Fuselage (W*L)<br />

9.3 ft x 56.2 ft<br />

9.3 ft x 56.2 ft<br />

10 ft x 52.5 ft<br />

11.4 ft x 54.6 ft<br />

Passengers Capacity & Crew<br />

Cabin Width (ft.)<br />

Cabin Height (ft.)<br />

Cabin Length (ft.)<br />

Cabin Volume (cu.ft.)<br />

14 Pax / 1 Crew<br />

8.00<br />

4.35<br />

8.62<br />

208<br />

14 Pax / 1 Crew<br />

8.00<br />

4.35<br />

8.62<br />

208<br />

13 Pax / 1 Crew<br />

6.25<br />

4.50<br />

8.75<br />

205<br />

15 Pax / 2 Crew<br />

7.20<br />

4.70<br />

8.85<br />

282<br />

Total Variable Cost/Hour (USD/Hour)<br />

1,387<br />

1,348<br />

1,827<br />

1,645<br />

* Data Source: Conklin & de Decker<br />

** Data Source: Amstat<br />

DELIVERIES AND OPERATING REGIONS<br />

The Bell 412 EP is known for is flexibility and versatility. The EP model<br />

has a significantly higher number of deliveries than its predecessors,<br />

which until now is still in production under the name of 412EPI with<br />

upgraded glass cockpit and electronical controlled engine.<br />

Europe and the US are home to mostly older 412 models such as<br />

the original 412, 412SP and HP models, all of which have stopped<br />

production. While Asia and the Middle East have more 412EP models<br />

in operation. The top countries using 412 models include Mexico,<br />

Spain, Indonesia, and the US.<br />

The average year of manufacture for the 412EP model on market is<br />

2005, which means that like its major competitors such as the S76 or<br />

AW139, the Bell 412EP fleet is aging with its value slowly depreciating.<br />

BELL 412 OPERATING REGIONS<br />

BELL 412 TOP OPERATING COUNTRIES<br />

412 412HP 412SP 412EP*<br />

412<br />

160 60<br />

412HP<br />

412SP<br />

412EP*<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0 0<br />

20<br />

10<br />

Asia<br />

Mid. East /<br />

Africa<br />

W. Europe<br />

N. America<br />

S. / C.<br />

America<br />

Australia /<br />

Oceania<br />

E. Europe /<br />

W.Asia<br />

Mexico<br />

Spain<br />

Indonesia<br />

U.S.A<br />

Canada<br />

Australia<br />

Japan<br />

India<br />

U.A.E<br />

Nigeria<br />

28 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


PRE-OWNED MARKET ANALYSIS: BELL 412<br />

BELL 412 AGE DISTRIBUTION<br />

35<br />

412 412HP 412SP 412EP*<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

1981<br />

1982<br />

1983<br />

1984<br />

1986<br />

1987<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

2016<br />

2017<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

*EP model includes EPI, data source: Amstat<br />

BELL 412 OPERATIONS IN ASIA PACIFIC<br />

In the Asia-Pacific region, the EP model has been popular since the<br />

90s with the EPI model also increasing in popularity. Asia currently<br />

operates the largest fleet of 412 helicopters with the majority of the<br />

fleet made up of the Bell 412EP model. Among regional countries,<br />

Indonesia, Japan as well as India are the major 412EP users. This model<br />

throughout the Asia-Pacific region is mainly used for multi-tasking, law<br />

enforcement (by Japanese, Philippine and Thai governments) or VIP/<br />

corporate flying for large corporations, as well as offshore operations.<br />

Model Breakdown<br />

Bell 412EP<br />

Bell 412<br />

Bell 412HP<br />

Bell 412EPI<br />

Bell 412SP<br />

Grand Total<br />

Fleet Size<br />

202<br />

20<br />

20<br />

18<br />

12<br />

272<br />

In the Oceania region, such as Australia and Papua New Guinea,<br />

they have a relatively smaller scale of Bell 412 fleet under operation<br />

compared to Asia. And the 412 fleet is mainly controlled by major<br />

leasing companies such as CHC, Babcock, or Kestrel Aviation. This<br />

model in Oceania is often used for multi-mission purposes including<br />

EMS, offshore and air transport.<br />

BELL 412 IN ASIA PACIFIC<br />

Corporate, 6 (2%)<br />

Charter, 8 (3%)<br />

SAR,18 (6%)<br />

Law Enforcement, 32<br />

(12%)<br />

Offshore, 32 (12%)<br />

EMS, 34 (12%)<br />

52+12+12+12+6+3+2+1+G<br />

Private, 2 (1%)<br />

Multi-Mission, 144<br />

(52%)<br />

Top Operators In APAC<br />

Japan Fire Dept<br />

Global Vectra<br />

Babcock<br />

Royal Thai Police<br />

Aero Asahi<br />

Kestrel Aviation (Australia)<br />

PT National Utility Helicopter<br />

Gov’t of Japan<br />

Japan Coast Guard<br />

Japan National Police<br />

% of Total<br />

FOR MORE INFORMATION, GO<br />

TO ASIAN SKY MEDIA’S CIVIL<br />

HELICOPTER COUNTRY PROFILES.<br />

www.asianskymedia.com<br />

Fleet Size<br />

22<br />

18<br />

16<br />

12<br />

10<br />

10<br />

10<br />

10<br />

10<br />

10<br />

47%<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 29


PRE-OWNED MARKET ANALYSIS: BELL 412<br />

PRE-OWNED MARKET ANALYSIS<br />

INVENTORY VALUE (PRICES X FLEET FOR SALE)<br />

250<br />

Bell 412EP<br />

AW139<br />

S76C+<br />

S76C++<br />

Inventory Value (M USD)<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

Jan-15<br />

Mar-15<br />

May-15<br />

Jul-15<br />

Sep-15<br />

Nov-15<br />

Jan-16<br />

Mar-16<br />

May-16<br />

Jul-16<br />

Sep-16<br />

Nov-16<br />

Jan-17<br />

Mar-17<br />

May-17<br />

Jul-17<br />

Sep-17<br />

Nov-17<br />

Jan-18<br />

Mar-18<br />

May-18<br />

Jul-18<br />

Sep-18<br />

Nov-18<br />

Jan-19<br />

Mar-19<br />

May-19<br />

Jul-19<br />

Sep-19<br />

Nov-19<br />

Jan-20<br />

Mar-20<br />

May-20<br />

Similar to its fellow competitors - the S76 and AW139, the 412EP and<br />

EPI’s performance on the pre-owned market saw a slowly depreciating<br />

value trend. The Bell 412EP’s value has depreciated as its operating<br />

fleet ages, but given the fact it has a relatively younger fleet the<br />

depreciation speed is still slower than the AW139 or S76C++ models.<br />

AVERAGE ASKING PRICES TREND<br />

Bell 412EP AW139<br />

12<br />

10<br />

S76C+<br />

S76C++<br />

ASG expects the pre-owned 412EP’s average asking prices will<br />

stabilize, similar to the S76C+ model, in around 2 years’ time.<br />

Currently there are around 20-25 412EP models listed publicly for sale.<br />

This number has been decreasing, like other models, as the helicopter<br />

markets slowly begins to revive; a trend seen since 2019. The highest<br />

number of EP models for sale was seen in 2019 Q1 when there was<br />

over 30 for sale.<br />

There is a large variety of pre-owned 412EP available on market –<br />

ranging from mid- 90s models to the most recent EPI models. The<br />

most popular 412EP models on market are around 10 years old with a<br />

current asking price of around US$4M. This market segment has been<br />

the most active and transparent. Most likely buyers will be dealing with<br />

sellers with their aircraft based in Asia.<br />

On average we see around one or two 412EP transactions every<br />

month. According to AMSTAT, buyers of 412EP often use it to replace<br />

their 407, 212 or AS350. Given the vast market reserve of these models<br />

ASG foresees that the 412 will continue to have robust market demand<br />

in the future<br />

Asking Price (M USD)<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

Jan-15<br />

Apr-15<br />

Jul-15<br />

Oct-15<br />

Jan-16<br />

Apr-16<br />

Jul-16<br />

Oct-16<br />

Bell 412EP<br />

Jan-17<br />

Apr-17<br />

Jul-17<br />

Oct-17<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

Jan-18<br />

Apr-18<br />

Jul-18<br />

Oct-18<br />

Jan-19<br />

Apr-19<br />

AW139<br />

S76C+<br />

Jul-19<br />

Oct-19<br />

Jan-20<br />

Apr-20<br />

S76C++<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

Jan-15<br />

Apr-15<br />

Jul-15<br />

Oct-15<br />

Jan-16<br />

Apr-16<br />

Jul-16<br />

Oct-16<br />

Jan-17<br />

Apr-17<br />

Jul-17<br />

Oct-17<br />

Jan-18<br />

Apr-18<br />

Jul-18<br />

Oct-18<br />

Jan-19<br />

Apr-19<br />

Jul-19<br />

Oct-19<br />

Jan-20<br />

Apr-20<br />

30 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


PRE-OWNED MARKET ANALYSIS: BELL 412<br />

FLEET FOR SALE<br />

40<br />

Bell 412EP<br />

AW139<br />

S76C+<br />

S76C++<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Feb-15<br />

Apr-15<br />

Jun-15<br />

Aug-15<br />

Oct-15<br />

Dec-15<br />

Feb-16<br />

Apr-16<br />

Jun-16<br />

Aug-16<br />

Oct-16<br />

Dec-16<br />

Feb-17<br />

Apr-17<br />

Jun-17<br />

Aug-17<br />

Oct-17<br />

Dec-17<br />

Feb-18<br />

Apr-18<br />

Jun-18<br />

Aug-18<br />

Oct-18<br />

Dec-18<br />

Feb-19<br />

Apr-19<br />

Jun-19<br />

Aug-19<br />

Oct-19<br />

Dec-19<br />

Feb-20<br />

Apr-20<br />

Jun-20<br />

TRANSACTIONS<br />

Bell 412EP<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Jan-15<br />

Feb-15<br />

Mar-15<br />

Apr-15<br />

May-15<br />

Jun-15<br />

Jul-15<br />

Aug-15<br />

Sep-15<br />

Oct-15<br />

Nov-15<br />

Dec-15<br />

Jan-16<br />

Feb-16<br />

Mar-16<br />

Apr-16<br />

May-16<br />

Jun-16<br />

Jul-16<br />

Aug-16<br />

Sep-16<br />

Oct-16<br />

Nov-16<br />

Dec-16<br />

Jan-17<br />

Feb-17<br />

Mar-17<br />

Apr-17<br />

May-17<br />

Jun-17<br />

Jul-17<br />

Aug-17<br />

Sep-17<br />

Oct-17<br />

Nov-17<br />

Dec-17<br />

Jan-18<br />

Feb-18<br />

Mar-18<br />

Apr-18<br />

May-18<br />

Jun-18<br />

Jul-18<br />

Aug-18<br />

Sep-18<br />

Oct-18<br />

Nov-18<br />

Dec-18<br />

Jan-19<br />

Feb-19<br />

Mar-19<br />

Apr-19<br />

May-19<br />

Jun-19<br />

Jul-19<br />

Aug-19<br />

Sep-19<br />

Oct-19<br />

Nov-19<br />

Dec-19<br />

Jan-20<br />

Feb-20<br />

Mar-20<br />

Apr-20<br />

May-20<br />

Jun-20<br />

Data Source: Amstat & <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>Sky</strong> Group


Q1 <strong>2020</strong> – GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE<br />

GLOBAL JET CAPITAL<br />

Q1 <strong>2020</strong> can be looked at as two separate stories. Leading up to the World Health Organization’s (WHO)<br />

announcement on March 11 that COVID-19 was an official pandemic, most key business aviation metrics were in<br />

good shape when measured against Q1 2019. Following the WHO announcement and ensuing social distancing<br />

measures, the industry entered into a forced hiatus, negatively impacting flight operations, aircraft production,<br />

and deal flow. We are now in a period of uncertainty that looks to continue through the second quarter.<br />

OVERALL, KEY BUSINESS JET MARKET<br />

INDICATORS WERE MIXED IN Q1 <strong>2020</strong><br />

• Business jet operations declined 9.7 percent compared to the<br />

same period last year, a trend that had started internationally<br />

in late Q4 2019 and accelerated globally late in Q1 <strong>2020</strong>.<br />

• While OEM backlogs remain healthy, a mix of shutdowns<br />

and furloughs across the production ecosystem led industry<br />

forecasters to reduce supply side forecasts between 25-50%.<br />

While difficult for everyone in the industry, this unusual<br />

dynamic may act as a guardrail on aircraft values as the full<br />

impact of the pandemic plays out.<br />

• While inventories, as measured by the percentage of the<br />

active fleet for sale, have been inching up since Q1 2019,<br />

they ended Q1 <strong>2020</strong> below 10%. This is a historically sound<br />

position. Furthermore, to date, there has not been a major<br />

increase in new aircraft being listed for sale.<br />

• The overall fleet continues to show signs of aging, with 55%<br />

of the fleet now greater than 13 years in age. While there is<br />

evidence that operators are flying aircraft longer, these data<br />

suggest a growing need for fleet renewal.<br />

• There is evidence that the business jet market was undergoing<br />

a fleet renewal before the outbreak of COVID-19. Operators<br />

were retiring older aircraft in response to mandated upgrade<br />

requirements, while new deliveries led to a modest increase<br />

in younger aircraft in the fleet.<br />

• Overall, new and pre-owned transactions for the quarter were<br />

down 6.7 percent by unit volume and 16.4 percent by dollar<br />

volume versus the same period last year. Most of the dropoff<br />

was felt in March as the industry hit the “pause” button.<br />

• Residual values experienced modest declines in Q1 <strong>2020</strong> as<br />

model-by-model volatility continued.<br />

Looking ahead, the full effect of the coronavirus on the market<br />

remains unknown, although speculative comparisons to 2008 and<br />

the impact of the Great Recession are rampant.<br />

The current environment demonstrates some important differences<br />

to 2008, however. The cause of the economic disruption is a virus,<br />

not widespread failures in financial regulation. Banking systems and<br />

capital markets are not in a state of seizure. Government reaction<br />

and intervention has been swift and expansive. OEM production<br />

has been curtailed in a disciplined fashion to protect backlogs and<br />

ultimately aircraft values. This is clearly a different environment.<br />

32 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


Special Feature on the Global Economy<br />

by Jason Thomas, Managing Director & Head of Global Research for The Carlyle Group<br />

1. When people don’t work, shop or travel, it shows<br />

in the economic data. March’s economic collapse<br />

continued in April with implied growth rates deeply<br />

negative across virtually every Indicator we track.<br />

Yet, when measured relative to March 31, a slow and<br />

uneven recovery in China and the first signs of life in<br />

Europe caused our (i.e., the Carlyle Group’s) forwardlooking<br />

index to rise despite further deterioration in<br />

U.S. data.<br />

2. Officially, the U.S. economy contracted at a -4.8%<br />

annualized rate in Q1-<strong>2020</strong>, a remarkable result<br />

considering that official data were consistent with 2%<br />

annualized growth through the first 10 of the quarter’s<br />

13 weeks. Our data suggest real consumption fell -<br />

32% annually in April, as spending on experiences<br />

(travel, tourism, events, etc.) and big-ticket goods fell<br />

to a fraction of pre-crisis levels. The drop in industrial<br />

and logistics volumes appears less steep, but energy<br />

development is in free fall.<br />

3. Despite worse U.S. data, U.S. stocks rebounded<br />

sharply over the month, with the S&P 500 up by 33%<br />

from its March lows and forward price-to-earnings<br />

ratios 13% above their February peak. While much<br />

of this may be explained by the scale of announced<br />

fiscal and monetary policy support, improving public<br />

health data also play a role. The level of the S&P 500<br />

has risen in lockstep with the decline in new COVID-<br />

19 cases (new infections net of recoveries) and<br />

projected U.S. COVID-19 mortalities.<br />

4. Ironically, the improvement in public health data may<br />

have come at the expense of the private health sector.<br />

The sharp decline in non-essential medical, surgical,<br />

and dental procedures subtracted 2.25 percentage<br />

points from U.S. GDP in Q1-<strong>2020</strong>, a result that implies<br />

that revenues at private health care providers and<br />

clinics are suffering every bit as much as those in<br />

the retail, energy, or airline sectors. Our data suggest<br />

U.S. health care hiring is down -15% over the course<br />

of the pandemic.<br />

5. While investors may be looking past the “lockdown”<br />

and focused instead on the reopening, business<br />

managers are taking a more cautious tac. Our<br />

proprietary data point to another leg down in the labor<br />

market, with hiring intentions off significantly across<br />

virtually every sector of the economy. The initial boom<br />

in grocery, delivery and logistics hiring has subsided<br />

as those businesses have scaled up to meet demand.<br />

Overall, job postings have declined by -40% over the<br />

past six weeks and capex budgets have been cut by<br />

-18%. Cancellation of jobs, projects, and equipment<br />

purchases signals that management teams are<br />

preparing for a future that looks far less sanguine than<br />

the one pictured by stock market investors.<br />

While investors may be<br />

looking past the ‘lockdown’<br />

and focused instead on<br />

the reopening, business<br />

managers are taking a<br />

more cautious tac.<br />

6. The only economy where hiring intentions increased<br />

over the past month was Italy’s. There were other signs<br />

of life in Europe: more workplaces were open and more<br />

work trips occurred, contributing to more electricity<br />

consumption and better manufacturing numbers. In<br />

many European economies, more retail establishments<br />

were open at the end of April than the end of March.<br />

Online sales continue to grow rapidly.<br />

7. Despite these hopeful signs, the euro zone economy<br />

continues to contract at even more dramatic rates<br />

than those observed in the U.S., with a -14% annualized<br />

fall in Q1-<strong>2020</strong> GDP and an implied annualized decline<br />

in April retail sales of nearly -40%. Unfortunately, the<br />

economies hardest hit by the virus, Italy and Spain,<br />

will also be among the most impacted by any travel<br />

restrictions that extend into summer given tourism’s<br />

~15% contribution to GDP.<br />

8. China continues to recover at a pace that looks either<br />

remarkably fast or frustratingly slow depending on<br />

your point of view. Over a span of six weeks, China went<br />

from fully locked down to operating at 95% of capacity<br />

– an impressive achievement. Rather than experience<br />

setbacks in April, the economy consolidated these<br />

gains with over 98% of retail locations in operation,<br />

an impressive 34% rebound in logistics volumes,<br />

and ongoing improvement in real estate markets. To<br />

detractors, the Chinese economy looks soft. Declines<br />

in retail foot traffic, air travel, and subway ridership all<br />

point to skittish consumers worried about a “second<br />

wave” of infections.<br />

9. Interestingly, the same concerns that depress transit<br />

ridership also bolster auto sales. After declining by<br />

-80% in February and - 40% last month, auto sales in<br />

China dropped by just -7% in April relative to the same<br />

month last year. An 11% annual increase in Beijing<br />

auto traffic relative to April 2019 also suggests auto<br />

demand has risen measurably. Overall retail sales<br />

continue to contract on an annual basis but at a much<br />

slower rate than observed a month ago.<br />

10. The effect of India’s lockdown was evident in the<br />

April data. Equipment sales fell at a -34% annual rate,<br />

suggesting that the economy is in the midst of its<br />

worst performance since the 1991 reforms.<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 33


Q1 <strong>2020</strong> – GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE<br />

FLIGHT OPERATIONS<br />

GLOBAL BUSINESS JET OPERATIONS<br />

1.11M 1.15M 1.12M 1.14M<br />

1.11M 1.15M 1.13M 1.15M<br />

15.0% 16.1% 15.7% 14.6% 15.1% 16.3% 16.0% 14.5%<br />

U.S.<br />

Rest of World<br />

1.00M<br />

14.7%<br />

85.0% 83.9% 84.3% 85.4% 84.9% 83.7% 84.0% 85.5%<br />

85.3%<br />

2018 Q1 2018 <strong>Q2</strong> 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 <strong>Q2</strong> 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 <strong>2020</strong> Q1<br />

In 2019, the FAA reported 4.53 million flight operations (defined as<br />

a takeoff and landing) around the globe, representing a 0.3 percent<br />

increase from 2018. Operations appeared to continue their steady<br />

growth in <strong>2020</strong>, increasing 1.2 percent year-over-year in January and<br />

February. However, the outbreak of COVID-19 disrupted global flight<br />

operations. Flight operations increased in early March as people flew<br />

to their sheltering locations.ii However, flights decreased over the<br />

course of March, leading to a 9.7 percent year-over-year decline for<br />

the quarter.<br />

OEM BACKLOGS<br />

Q4 BACKLOG AT MAJOR BUSINESS JET OEM’S<br />

FORECAST PRODUCTION<br />

Million USD<br />

Bombardier Cessna Dassault Embraer Gulfstream<br />

$33,303<br />

$31,022 $30,569<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

Scenario 1<br />

2018<br />

Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Q4 Forecast<br />

2019 <strong>2020</strong>F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F<br />

2025F<br />

2017 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Q4<br />

Backlogs at major business jet manufacturers increased in Q4, driven<br />

by strong demand for recently certified new models. In Q4, backlogs<br />

at five major OEMs reached $33.3 billion, an 8.9 percent increase<br />

from a year earlier. Strong quarterly results from Dassault, Embraer,<br />

and Gulfstream drove the gains. Orders for new aircraft will likely<br />

decline as a result of COVID-19 and the efforts to contain it, putting<br />

downward pressure on backlogs. At the same time, manufacturers<br />

have reduced production levels, which could stabilize backlogs<br />

despite lower order intakes.<br />

There are many unknowns that will affect the market in the future,<br />

such as how long the virus will last and what the long-term economic<br />

effects will be. As a result, many analysts are suggesting a number<br />

of scenarios, rather than using a single model to forecast production.<br />

For example, Rollie Vincent of JetNet iQ, laid out four scenarios, with<br />

production forecasts ranging from 377 to 630 aircraft versus a Q4<br />

2019 forecast of 730. Each scenario makes different assumptions<br />

about a range of factors, including sold to unsold delivery positions<br />

by OEMs, announced and additional production furloughs, and other<br />

factors. At this point, JetNet iQ expects business jet deliveries to be<br />

down 40-50 percent year-over-year in <strong>2020</strong> in its most likely scenario.<br />

34 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


Q1 <strong>2020</strong> – GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE: GLOBAL JET CAPITAL<br />

FOR-SALE INVENTORY<br />

PERCENT OF BUSINESS JET FLEET FOR SALE<br />

TOTAL 0-12 YEARS 13 YEARS<br />

AIRCRAFT LISTED FOR SALE BY WEEK (<strong>2020</strong> YTD)<br />

(NOT ACCUMULATING INVENTORY)<br />

14%<br />

12%<br />

48<br />

58 58<br />

44<br />

59<br />

54<br />

57 52 54 53<br />

46<br />

47 47 50 48 47<br />

41<br />

10%<br />

8%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

2%<br />

0%<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Q1<br />

2019 Q4<br />

2019 Q3<br />

2019 <strong>Q2</strong><br />

2019 Q1<br />

2018 Q4<br />

2018 Q3<br />

2018 <strong>Q2</strong><br />

2018 Q1<br />

Pre-owned inventory has gradually increased from historical lows<br />

in mid-2018. As a percentage of the overall fleet, increases have<br />

been gradual and remain below 10 percent, considered a historical<br />

average. Jets younger than 13 years old are typically seen as more<br />

desirable aircraft.<br />

15<br />

WK1<br />

WK2<br />

WK3<br />

WK4<br />

WK5<br />

WK6<br />

WK7<br />

WK8<br />

WK9<br />

The number of aircraft listed for sale each week has remained<br />

consistent throughout <strong>2020</strong>, despite disruptions due to the COVID-<br />

19 outbreak. There has been some mention of “shadow inventory,” or<br />

inventory intended for sale but not officially listed. However, available<br />

data reflects stability. Throughout <strong>2020</strong>, the average number of<br />

aircraft listed for sale has been 48, with a peak of 59 in mid-February.<br />

For comparison, as the Great Recession took hold in 2008, new<br />

listings averaged 70 per week with peaks of 106, 115 and 120 in Q4<br />

2008. One reason for the steady listings may be that aircraft owners<br />

are waiting to see how the COVID-19 pandemic plays out and what<br />

effect it will have on the economy before deciding what to do with<br />

their business jets. It also suggests an absence of speculative activity<br />

and excessive leverage, which may serve to cushion the effect of a<br />

drop-off in demand.<br />

WK10<br />

WK11<br />

WK12<br />

WK13<br />

WK14<br />

WK15<br />

WK16<br />

WK17<br />

WK18<br />

FLEET STATUS<br />

BUSINESS JET FLEET BY AIRCRAFT AGE*<br />

55+24+21+G<br />

0-6 Years, 4,755 (21%) 13+ Years, 12,357 (55%)<br />

7-12 Years, 5,362 (24%)<br />

* as of Mar <strong>2020</strong><br />

CHANGES IN OPERATIONAL BUSINESS JET FLEET<br />

8.0%<br />

6.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-2.0%<br />

-4.0%<br />

-6.0%<br />

-8.0%<br />

-10.0%<br />

TOTAL 0-6 YEARS 7-12 YEARS 13+ YEARS<br />

2018 Q1<br />

2018 <strong>Q2</strong><br />

2018 Q3<br />

2018 Q4<br />

2019 Q1<br />

2019 <strong>Q2</strong><br />

2019 Q3<br />

2019 Q4<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Q1<br />

Following the financial crisis of 2008, reduced new production and<br />

longer lifespans for in-service jets led to an aging fleet increasingly<br />

made up of older jets (defined as aircraft older than 12 years). More<br />

recently, however, that trend has slowed. Mandated upgrades (such<br />

as ADS-B Out and FANS 1/A) led to some older aircraft being taken<br />

out of service. As a group, older aircraft continue to increase as<br />

aircraft built around the financial crisis age. However, young aircraft<br />

(defined as aircraft younger than 7 years old), continue to increase<br />

as OEM deliveries of new models increase.<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 35


Q1 <strong>2020</strong> – GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE: GLOBAL JET CAPITAL<br />

FLIGHT OPERATIONS<br />

BUSINESS JET TRANSACTIONS<br />

New<br />

Pre-Owned<br />

$6.1B<br />

(727 Units)<br />

53.3%<br />

46.7%<br />

$7.3B<br />

(840 Units)<br />

46.8%<br />

53.2%<br />

$6.0B<br />

(706 Units)<br />

48.8%<br />

51.2%<br />

$8.8B<br />

(951 Units)<br />

44.3%<br />

55.7%<br />

$5.8B<br />

(629 Units)<br />

43.2%<br />

56.6%<br />

$6.8B<br />

(759 Units)<br />

41.1%<br />

58.9%<br />

$6.9B<br />

(738 Units)<br />

39.0%<br />

61.0%<br />

$8.6B<br />

(991 Units)<br />

39.9%<br />

60.1%<br />

$4.9B<br />

(587 Units)<br />

48.9%<br />

51.1%<br />

2018 Q1<br />

2018 <strong>Q2</strong> 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 <strong>Q2</strong> 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 <strong>2020</strong> Q1<br />

JANUARY & FEBRUARY TRANSACTIONS<br />

MARCH TRANSACTIONS<br />

$3.0B<br />

(405 Units)<br />

67.7%<br />

$2.9B<br />

(347 Units)<br />

54.5%<br />

$2.5B<br />

(370 Units)<br />

$3.2B<br />

(322 Units)<br />

39.8%<br />

$3.0B<br />

(282 Units)<br />

32.2%<br />

$2.3B<br />

(271 Units)<br />

58.8% 38.0%<br />

32.3%<br />

45.5%<br />

41.2%<br />

60.2%<br />

67.8%<br />

62.0%<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong> 2018<br />

2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

In January and February <strong>2020</strong>, transaction unit volume was 6.6<br />

percent higher than the same period in 2019. However, transaction<br />

value was down by about 13.8 percent due to lower new deliveries<br />

and a higher proportion of smaller aircraft transactions taking place.<br />

The market performance in January and February set the stage for a<br />

stable year of business jet transactions.<br />

However, the outbreak of COVID-19 had an effect on business jet<br />

transactions in March. The World Health Organization (WHO)<br />

officially declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on March 11, <strong>2020</strong>.<br />

As a result, transaction numbers in March <strong>2020</strong> were down 23<br />

percent compared to a year earlier and transaction value was down<br />

21.6 percent. As nations implemented social distancing and “stay-athome”<br />

orders, it became difficult to conduct the necessary activities<br />

to buy and sell aircraft (e.g. inspect the aircraft, travel to a location to<br />

deliver or pick up the aircraft, etc.). Furthermore, many business jet<br />

OEMs and suppliers shut down or slowed operations, delaying new<br />

deliveries. Overall, transactions for the quarter were down 6.7 percent<br />

by number and 16.4 percent by value.<br />

Note: That transaction metrics are preliminary and may require<br />

adjustment if additional transactions are reported by the U.S. FAA.<br />

RESIDUAL VALUE<br />

YOY % VALUATION CHANGE<br />

1.3%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.8% 0.8%<br />

-1.3%<br />

-4.1%<br />

-3.0%<br />

-5.9%<br />

-8.0% -8.1%<br />

2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q1 2019 Q1 <strong>2020</strong> Q1<br />

The above chart compares the year-over-year percentage change<br />

in value of like-aged aircraft over time (e.g., the difference between<br />

value of an eight-year-old aircraft from one year to the next). Global<br />

Jet Capital analyzed a basket of aircraft as a proxy for the overall<br />

market and increases or decreases in value are not applicable to<br />

individual aircraft or aircraft make/model. For the value of a specific<br />

aircraft, please contact a licensed aircraft appraiser.<br />

Declining for-sale inventory and strong transaction levels in 2017 and<br />

2018 led to stable residual values in 2018 and 2019. Even with overall<br />

market improvements in 2018 and 2019, the values of individual jets<br />

varied, particularly heavy jets in late 2019. This period of stability<br />

follows a period of decline between 2015 and 2017, led by relatively<br />

lower transaction levels and weak demand outside North America.<br />

In <strong>2020</strong>, the year started off with modest declines in value. It is<br />

unlikely the early declines were the result of COVID-19, as the virus<br />

did not cause major disruptions until late in quarter. Instead, the<br />

value declines were likely routine fluctuations normally seen from<br />

quarter to quarter as a result of multiple factors and patterns. There<br />

is not enough data to assess the impact of COVID-19 on business jet<br />

valuations quite yet.<br />

36 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


Q1 <strong>2020</strong> – GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE: GLOBAL JET CAPITAL<br />

CONCLUSION<br />

Following the official declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic<br />

on March 11 and the ensuing social distancing measures, the<br />

business jet market was forced into a hiatus. As a result, in Q1 <strong>2020</strong><br />

flight operations were down 9.7 percent year-over-year, OEM new<br />

deliveries dropped, and new and pre-owned transactions were down<br />

6.7 percent by unit volume and 16.4 percent by dollar volume versus<br />

the same period last year.<br />

Going forward, forecasting deliveries and transactions will be difficult<br />

due to the uncertainty surrounding the virus. As a result, some<br />

analysts are suggesting using a number of scenarios to forecast<br />

production rather than relying on a single model. For example, Roland<br />

Vincent of JetNetiQ is using four such scenarios in his JetNetiQ Pulse<br />

newsletter with production forecasts ranging from 377 to 630 aircraft<br />

versus a Q4 2019 forecast of 730.<br />

Many have compared the current situation to the financial crisis in<br />

2008. There are few similarities, however. The current situation was<br />

caused by a virus rather than widespread failures in the financial<br />

system. Furthermore, swift government intervention combined with a<br />

healthy banking sector heading into the crisis has avoided significant<br />

capital markets disruption. Within the business jet industry, OEM<br />

production has been reduced, which should help protect backlog and<br />

aircraft values.<br />

Interested in learning more about the flexible financing options<br />

available for obtaining a business aircraft? Global Jet Capital’s<br />

financial products are designed to help you optimize your<br />

private aviation experience across the lifetime of the asset—<br />

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goal is to free up capital or to enable the flexibility to transition<br />

between aircraft, we work tirelessly to understand your needs<br />

and provide straightforward and highly responsive solutions.<br />

Visit www.globaljetcapital.com to learn more.<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 37


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

PRE-OWNED BUSINESS JETS MARKET - <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong><br />

INVENTORY VALUE (USD) 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

$9,992M<br />

$7,592M<br />

$1,728M<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

$1,008M<br />

Jun<br />

2017<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

The Inventory Value Line represents the number of aircraft actively being marketed for sale in USD terms. 2<br />

The Trend Line represents the market’s direction in terms of the balance between sellers and buyers (supply and<br />

demand) at today’s price levels. A rising Trend Line indicates that pre-owned activity is stabilizing, with sellers of<br />

aircraft increasingly likely to find buyers.<br />

The Signal Line represents an indication of where the market’s direction may be heading in the future. A Signal<br />

Line consistently falling below the Trend Line indicates that any improvement in the market’s direction may not be<br />

entirely sustainable.<br />

MARKET TREND 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

TREND<br />

WORSENING<br />

TREND REVERSAL<br />

MOVING TOWARDS SELLER’S MARKET<br />

MOVING TOWARDS BUYER’S MARKET<br />

AIRCRAFT SOLD 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

80<br />

73<br />

54<br />

46 47 44 40 40<br />

35<br />

55<br />

36<br />

59<br />

42 45 51 55<br />

45<br />

45<br />

41<br />

38<br />

40<br />

42<br />

29 31 36<br />

33<br />

26<br />

43<br />

38<br />

56<br />

47<br />

28 32<br />

23 22<br />

28 28<br />

Jun<br />

2017<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

1 The historical inventory value and transactions are subject to change based on latest market information updates.<br />

2 ASG’s Inventory Value line is calculated by taking the total number of aircraft for sale from a selection of 39 different models, multiplied by their average asking prices.<br />

38 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

WORLDWIDE % OF FLEET SOLD<br />

1.10%<br />

1.05%<br />

1.00%<br />

0.95%<br />

0.90%<br />

0.85%<br />

0.80%<br />

0.75%<br />

0.70%<br />

0.65%<br />

0.60%<br />

0.55%<br />

0.50%<br />

0.45%<br />

0.40%<br />

0.35%<br />

0.30%<br />

0.25%<br />

0.20%<br />

0.15%<br />

Jun<br />

17<br />

Aug<br />

17<br />

Oct<br />

17<br />

Dec<br />

17<br />

Feb<br />

18<br />

Apr<br />

18<br />

Jun<br />

18<br />

Aug<br />

18<br />

Oct<br />

18<br />

Dec<br />

18<br />

Feb<br />

19<br />

Apr<br />

19<br />

Jun<br />

19<br />

Aug<br />

19<br />

Oct<br />

19<br />

Dec<br />

19<br />

Feb<br />

20<br />

Apr<br />

20<br />

Jun<br />

20<br />

AVERAGE ASKING PRICE<br />

MILLION USD<br />

28<br />

26<br />

24<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

22<br />

20<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

10<br />

Jun<br />

17<br />

Aug<br />

17<br />

Oct<br />

17<br />

Dec<br />

17<br />

Feb<br />

18<br />

Apr<br />

18<br />

Jun<br />

18<br />

Aug<br />

18<br />

Oct<br />

18<br />

Dec<br />

18<br />

Feb<br />

19<br />

Apr<br />

19<br />

Jun<br />

19<br />

Aug<br />

19<br />

Oct<br />

19<br />

Dec<br />

19<br />

Feb<br />

20<br />

Apr<br />

20<br />

Jun<br />

20<br />

% OF FLEET FOR SALE<br />

15%<br />

13%<br />

11%<br />

9%<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

7%<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

5%<br />

3%<br />

Jun<br />

17<br />

Aug<br />

17<br />

Oct<br />

17<br />

Dec<br />

17<br />

Feb<br />

18<br />

Apr<br />

18<br />

Jun<br />

18<br />

Aug<br />

18<br />

Oct<br />

18<br />

Dec<br />

18<br />

Feb<br />

19<br />

Apr<br />

19<br />

Jun<br />

19<br />

Aug<br />

19<br />

Oct<br />

19<br />

Dec<br />

19<br />

Feb<br />

20<br />

Apr<br />

20<br />

Jun<br />

20<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

550<br />

500<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

250<br />

200<br />

Jun<br />

17<br />

Aug<br />

17<br />

Oct<br />

17<br />

Dec<br />

17<br />

Feb<br />

18<br />

Apr<br />

18<br />

Jun<br />

18<br />

Aug<br />

18<br />

Oct<br />

18<br />

Dec<br />

18<br />

Feb<br />

19<br />

Apr<br />

19<br />

Jun<br />

19<br />

Aug<br />

19<br />

Oct<br />

19<br />

Dec<br />

19<br />

Feb<br />

20<br />

Apr<br />

20<br />

Jun<br />

20<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 39


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

SUPPLY / DEMAND INDICATORS<br />

BUSINESS JETS<br />

SUPPLY VS. DEMAND RATIO<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

SUPPLY ><br />

DEMAND<br />

% OF FLEET<br />

FOR SALE<br />

MODEL<br />

DAYS ON MARKET<br />

AVERAGE<br />

AVERAGE<br />

NO TRANSACTIONS<br />

15.8%<br />

4.3%<br />

5.6%<br />

AIRBUS<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

ACJ320<br />

3.0%<br />

4.5%<br />

6.2%<br />

BOEING<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

CL300<br />

3.5%<br />

CL350<br />

8.1%<br />

CL604<br />

10.8%<br />

6.8%<br />

15.4%<br />

14.5%<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

CL605<br />

CL650<br />

CL850<br />

GL Express<br />

9.3%<br />

GL XRS<br />

9.5%<br />

GL5000<br />

6.5%<br />

GL6000<br />

10.7%<br />

CIT. CJ3<br />

6.3%<br />

2.5%<br />

CESSNA<br />

CIT. CJ4<br />

CIT. Latitude<br />

7.3%<br />

CIT. Sovereign<br />

NO TRANSACTIONS<br />

6.1%<br />

F2000LX<br />

8.2%<br />

F2000LXS<br />

2.3%<br />

F2000S<br />

NO TRANSACTIONS<br />

5.2%<br />

6.7%<br />

16.7%<br />

4.2%<br />

11.7%<br />

5.1%<br />

17.2%<br />

6.7%<br />

5.6%<br />

6.5%<br />

EMBRAER DASSAULT<br />

F7X<br />

F8X<br />

F900DX<br />

F900EX<br />

F900EXe<br />

F900LX<br />

L1000<br />

L600<br />

L650<br />

Phenom 300<br />

12.9%<br />

G200<br />

NO TRANSACTIONS<br />

7.8%<br />

8.8%<br />

5.7%<br />

8.1%<br />

2.7%<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

G280<br />

G450<br />

G500<br />

G550<br />

G650<br />

4.9%<br />

G650ER<br />

450% 400% 350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0<br />

Average AC for sale / Total sold in last 12 months<br />

7.5%<br />

Average<br />

0 200 400 600 800 1000<br />

The above chart reflects where certain aircraft models are positioned<br />

in terms of supply and demand (based on a ratio of completed<br />

transactions compared to the number of sellers and the average<br />

number of days on the market for a transaction to take place).<br />

These indications do not necessarily mean that prices will be higher in<br />

the future, but it does indicate that sellers of these particular models<br />

are more likely to find willing buyers in a shorter period of time than the<br />

overall average.<br />

For some model types, given the market indicators shown on the<br />

previous page, the stabilization in pre-owned asking prices and<br />

decline in inventory level appear to have stimulated increased<br />

demand, leading to an increase in transactions and a more balanced<br />

state of supply and demand.<br />

40 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong><br />

This can be seen most with certain Gulfstream (G200, G450, G550,<br />

G650), Bombardier models (Challenger 604/605 & Global 5000)<br />

and Dassault Falcon models (2000 Series and 7X), where more<br />

transactions are occurring relative to the number for sale, and<br />

transactions are requiring less time on the market for sellers to<br />

complete.<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

MARKET POSITIONING<br />

BUSINESS JETS<br />

MOVING TOWARDS<br />

BUYER’S MARKET<br />

Balanced<br />

Supply & Demand<br />

MOVING TOWARDS<br />

SELLER’S MARKET<br />

AIRBUS<br />

BOEING<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

EMBRAER DASSAULT<br />

CESSNA<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

ACJ320<br />

BBJ 1<br />

BBJ 2<br />

CL300<br />

CL350<br />

CL604<br />

CL605<br />

CL650<br />

CL850<br />

GL Express<br />

GL XRS<br />

GL5000<br />

GL6000<br />

CIT. CJ3<br />

CIT. CJ4<br />

CIT. Latitude<br />

CIT. Sovereign<br />

F2000LX<br />

F2000LXS<br />

F2000S<br />

F7X<br />

F8X<br />

F900DX<br />

F900EX<br />

F900EXe<br />

F900LX<br />

L1000<br />

L600<br />

L650<br />

Phenom 300<br />

G200<br />

G280<br />

G450<br />

G500<br />

G550<br />

G650<br />

G650ER<br />

The above chart provides a visual representation of the Supply /<br />

Demand Ratio of each aircraft model relative to the overall market,<br />

and is based on a ‘Marketability’ calculation for each particular model<br />

including the following four market indicators:<br />

When taking into account these four factors, most of the the large and<br />

medium sized jets, such as Challenger 600, Falcon 2000 & 900 Series,<br />

as well as the various Gulfstream models, appear better positioned to<br />

find buyers available, compare to corporate airliner models.<br />

1. The percentage of aircraft for sale relative to its fleet size.<br />

2. The number of aircraft sold relative to the average number for sale.<br />

3. The average days for sale relative to the overall market average.<br />

4. The momentum of the marketplace (represented by the trend<br />

towards supply and demand market equilibrium portrayed earlier).<br />

* Since 2019 Q3, ASG expanded its market research scope to include 39 business jet models<br />

including light jet models as described in the report.<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 41


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

PRE-OWNED CIVIL HELICOPTERS MARKET - <strong>2020</strong> <strong>Q2</strong><br />

INVENTORY VALUE (USD) 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

$1,489M<br />

$1,073M<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

$227M<br />

$167M<br />

Jun<br />

2017<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

The Inventory Value Line represents the number of aircraft actively being marketed for sale in USD terms. 2<br />

The Trend Line represents the market’s direction in terms of the balance between sellers and buyers (supply and<br />

demand) at today’s price levels. A rising Trend Line indicates that pre-owned activity is stabilizing, with sellers of<br />

aircraft increasingly likely to find buyers.<br />

The Signal Line represents an indication of where the market’s direction may be heading in the future. A Signal<br />

Line consistently falling below the Trend Line indicates that any improvement in the market’s direction may not be<br />

entirely sustainable.<br />

MARKET TREND 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

TREND<br />

WORSENING<br />

TREND<br />

WORSENING<br />

MOVING TOWARDS SELLER’S MARKET<br />

MOVING TOWARDS BUYER’S MARKET<br />

TREND<br />

IMPROVEMENT<br />

TREND<br />

IMPROVEMENT<br />

AIRCRAFT SOLD 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

20<br />

15<br />

Jun<br />

2017<br />

10<br />

7 11 12<br />

20<br />

26<br />

21 20<br />

19 19 19<br />

17 16<br />

28<br />

22<br />

23 24<br />

19 21<br />

16<br />

19<br />

14 15 17<br />

18<br />

12 12 12 12<br />

7 10 12<br />

9<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

32<br />

1<br />

1 The historical inventory value and transactions are subject to change based on latest market information updates.<br />

2 ASG’s Inventory Value line is calculated by taking the total number of aircraft for sale from a selection of 16 different models, multiplied by their average asking prices.<br />

42 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

WORLDWIDE % OF FLEET SOLD<br />

0.35%<br />

0.30%<br />

0.25%<br />

0.20%<br />

0.15%<br />

0.10%<br />

0.05%<br />

0.00%<br />

Jun<br />

17<br />

Aug<br />

17<br />

Oct<br />

17<br />

Dec<br />

17<br />

Feb<br />

18<br />

Apr<br />

18<br />

Jun<br />

18<br />

Aug<br />

18<br />

Oct<br />

18<br />

Dec<br />

18<br />

Feb<br />

19<br />

Apr<br />

19<br />

Jun<br />

19<br />

Aug<br />

19<br />

Oct<br />

19<br />

Dec<br />

19<br />

Feb<br />

20<br />

Apr<br />

20<br />

Jun<br />

20<br />

AVERAGE ASKING PRICE<br />

MILLION USD<br />

3.6<br />

3.4<br />

3.2<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

3.0<br />

2.8<br />

2.6<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

2.4<br />

2.2<br />

2.0<br />

Jun<br />

17<br />

Aug<br />

17<br />

Oct<br />

17<br />

Dec<br />

17<br />

Feb<br />

18<br />

Apr<br />

18<br />

Jun<br />

18<br />

Aug<br />

18<br />

Oct<br />

18<br />

Dec<br />

18<br />

Feb<br />

19<br />

Apr<br />

19<br />

Jun<br />

19<br />

Aug<br />

19<br />

Oct<br />

19<br />

Dec<br />

19<br />

Feb<br />

20<br />

Apr<br />

20<br />

Jun<br />

20<br />

% OF FLEET FOR SALE<br />

5.5%<br />

5.0%<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

4.5%<br />

4.0%<br />

3.5%<br />

3.0%<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

2.5%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

Jun<br />

17<br />

Aug<br />

17<br />

Oct<br />

17<br />

Dec<br />

17<br />

Feb<br />

18<br />

Apr<br />

18<br />

Jun<br />

18<br />

Aug<br />

18<br />

Oct<br />

18<br />

Dec<br />

18<br />

Feb<br />

19<br />

Apr<br />

19<br />

Jun<br />

19<br />

Aug<br />

19<br />

Oct<br />

19<br />

Dec<br />

19<br />

Feb<br />

20<br />

Apr<br />

20<br />

Jun<br />

20<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

700<br />

650<br />

600<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

550<br />

500<br />

450<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

Jun<br />

17<br />

Aug<br />

17<br />

Oct<br />

17<br />

Dec<br />

17<br />

Feb<br />

18<br />

Apr<br />

18<br />

Jun<br />

18<br />

Aug<br />

18<br />

Oct<br />

18<br />

Dec<br />

18<br />

Feb<br />

19<br />

Apr<br />

19<br />

Jun<br />

19<br />

Aug<br />

19<br />

Oct<br />

19<br />

Dec<br />

19<br />

Feb<br />

20<br />

Apr<br />

20<br />

Jun<br />

20<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 43


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

SUPPLY / DEMAND INDICATORS<br />

CIVIL HELICOPTERS<br />

SUPPLY VS. DEMAND RATIO<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

SUPPLY ><br />

DEMAND<br />

% OF FLEET<br />

FOR SALE<br />

MODEL<br />

DAYS ON MARKET<br />

AVERAGE<br />

AVERAGE<br />

1.4%<br />

EC145<br />

3.1%<br />

H125<br />

3.9%<br />

0.4%<br />

9.4%<br />

4.4%<br />

AIRBUS HELICOPTERS<br />

H130<br />

H145<br />

H155<br />

EC135P2<br />

0.7%<br />

EC135T2<br />

7.1%<br />

EC155B<br />

5.0%<br />

BELL 206 JetRanger<br />

6.2%<br />

BELL 206 LongRanger<br />

3.3%<br />

3.7%<br />

4.3%<br />

4.4%<br />

9.0%<br />

2.4%<br />

19.1%<br />

SIKORSKY LEONARDO<br />

BELL HELICOPTER<br />

BELL 407<br />

BELL 412EP<br />

BELL 412HP<br />

BELL 429<br />

AW109SP GN<br />

AW139<br />

S76C+<br />

350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0<br />

Average AC for sale / Total sold in last 12 months<br />

4.4%<br />

Average<br />

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800<br />

The above chart reflects where certain aircraft models are positioned in terms of supply and demand (based on a ration of completed transactions<br />

compared to the number of sellers, and average number of days on the market for a transaction to take place).<br />

44 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

MARKET POSITIONING<br />

CIVIL HELICOPTERS<br />

MOVING TOWARDS<br />

BUYER’S MARKET<br />

Balanced<br />

Supply & Demand<br />

MOVING TOWARDS<br />

SELLER’S MARKET<br />

EC145<br />

H125<br />

SIKORSKY LEONARDO BELL HELICOPTER<br />

AIRBUS HELICOPTERS<br />

H130<br />

H145<br />

H155<br />

EC135P2<br />

EC135T2<br />

EC155B<br />

BELL 206 JetRanger<br />

BELL 206 LongRanger<br />

BELL 407<br />

BELL412EP<br />

BELL412HP<br />

BELL 429<br />

AW109SP GN<br />

AW139<br />

S76C+<br />

The above chart provides a visual representation of the Supply / Demand Ratio of each aircraft model relative to the overall market, resulting in a<br />

‘Marketability’ calculation of each particular model based on the following four market indicators:<br />

1. The percentage of aircraft for sale relative to its fleet size.<br />

2. The number of aircraft sold relative to the average number for sale.<br />

3. The average days for sale relative to the overall market average.<br />

4. The momentum of the marketplace (represented by the trend towards supply and demand market equilibrium portrayed earlier).<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 45


GLOBAL PRE-OWNED BUSINESS JET<br />

MARKET REPORT - JUNE <strong>2020</strong><br />

AMSTAT<br />

It remains to be seen whether the trends of the last few months will continue long-term.<br />

However, whether the result of a COVID-19 driven reduction in travel or the logistical issues<br />

surrounding getting deals done under quarantine, or both, there was a year-over-year reduction<br />

in resale transactions in March and April this year. Further, the analytics clearly show a<br />

reduction in estimated aircraft values.<br />

What is also interesting is that inventories, while up, are not indicating a panic to sell and levels<br />

remain below recent highs seen in 2017. If inventory levels remain relatively low and interest<br />

in business aviation materializes as an alternative to commercial travel in parallel with an<br />

economic recovery, then we might expect to see a significant uptick in transaction activity<br />

leading to a recovery in aircraft values in the coming months.<br />

- Andrew Young, AMSTAT General Manager<br />

AMSTAT releases interim business aircraft resale market data<br />

showing the short-term impact of COVID-19 on aircraft values,<br />

transactions and inventory.<br />

AIRCRAFT VALUES<br />

The overall business jet market has experienced a significant decline<br />

in estimated values since early April in our most recent update, and<br />

this update shows a consistent decline across all Business Jet<br />

Groups. Some individual makes/models fell between 15% and 20%<br />

with the deepest decline of over 20% for an individual make/model<br />

in the heavy jet group.<br />

The below highlights the changes observed since early April <strong>2020</strong>:<br />

• Significant declines in values across all business jet groups<br />

since early April<br />

• Some individual make/model values fell between 15% and<br />

20% in heavy jets and super-ids<br />

• The deepest decline for an individual make/model was over<br />

20% in heavy jets<br />

• A slower decline in Light Jet and Turboprop values was<br />

found in the data in early June<br />

AIRCRAFT VALUES COMPARED TO Q1 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Category*<br />

All Business Jets<br />

Heavy Jets<br />

Super-Midsize<br />

Medium Jets<br />

Light Jets<br />

Turboprops<br />

Average<br />

-13%<br />

-15%<br />

-14%<br />

-12%<br />

-12%<br />

-10%<br />

Median<br />

-12%<br />

-14%<br />

-14%<br />

-11%<br />

-10%<br />

-10%<br />

46 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


Q1 <strong>2020</strong> – GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE: AMSTAT<br />

BUSINESS JET & TURBOPROP<br />

TRANSACTIONS<br />

After the Business Jet market saw improved performance year-overyear<br />

in the months of January (+13%) and February (+23%) the market<br />

changed in March and April. In March <strong>2020</strong>, resale retail transactions<br />

were down 23% compared to March 2019 and in April <strong>2020</strong> activity<br />

was down 40% compared to April 2019. Overall, transaction activity<br />

in the first four months of <strong>2020</strong> are down 10% versus the first four<br />

months of 2019.<br />

BUSINESS JETS<br />

200<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

After a minimal change year-over-year in transaction activity in the<br />

months of January and February <strong>2020</strong>, resale retail transaction<br />

activity in the Turboprops dropped 27% and 40% respectively<br />

year-over-year in March and April. Overall, transaction activity in<br />

the first four months of <strong>2020</strong> are down 19% versus the first four<br />

months of 2019.<br />

BUSINESS TURBOPROPS<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

200<br />

150<br />

-25%<br />

-40%<br />

100<br />

150<br />

-25%<br />

50<br />

100<br />

-40%<br />

0<br />

Jan<br />

Feb Mar Apr<br />

50<br />

0<br />

Jan<br />

Feb Mar Apr<br />

For a full copy of the report go to:<br />

https://www.amstatcorp.com/pages/PressReleases/AMSTAT_<br />

Resale_Market_Update_June<strong>2020</strong>.pdf<br />

About the AMSTAT Aircraft Valuation Tool<br />

The AMSTAT Aircraft Valuation Tool (AVT) is fully integrated<br />

into the AMSTAT Premier service and calculates objective<br />

statistically generated serial number specific estimated<br />

values for business aircraft in seconds.<br />

About AMSTAT, Inc.<br />

AMSTAT is the leading provider of market research<br />

information and services to the corporate aviation industry.<br />

Founded in 1982, and based in Tinton Falls, NJ, AMSTAT<br />

introduced the concept of providing researched information<br />

to corporate aviation professionals. AMSTAT’s mission is to<br />

provide timely, accurate, and objective market information<br />

to its customers. AMSTAT products and services provide<br />

aviation market and statistical information that generates<br />

revenue and delivers competitive advantage to brokers/<br />

dealers, finance companies, fractional providers, and<br />

suppliers of aircraft parts and services.<br />

Information: Andrew Young, AMSTAT GM, 732-530-6400<br />

x147, andrew@amstatcorp.com<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 47


AIRCRAFT POSITIONING - BUSINESS JET<br />

AIRCRAFT ACQUISITION VS. MAX RANGE<br />

CORP. AIRLINER<br />

LONG RANGE<br />

LARGE<br />

MEDIUM<br />

LIGHT<br />

VERY LIGHT<br />

ACJ321<br />

ACJ320<br />

BBJ3<br />

BBJ2<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

16<br />

15<br />

14<br />

ACJ319 BBJ<br />

G650ER<br />

ACJ318<br />

G650<br />

GLOBAL 6000<br />

G550<br />

LINEAGE 1000E<br />

F8X<br />

GLOBAL 5000<br />

F7X<br />

G500<br />

F900LX<br />

13<br />

12<br />

11<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

CIT. XLS+<br />

LEGACY 500<br />

LEGACY 650<br />

LEGACY 600<br />

CIT. X+<br />

CIT. SOVEREIGN+ F2000DX<br />

CIT. LATITUDE<br />

L75<br />

CL850<br />

LEGACY 450<br />

CIT. SOVEREIGN<br />

H850XP<br />

CIT. X<br />

H4000<br />

CL350<br />

CL650<br />

G350<br />

CL300 G300<br />

F2000<br />

G150<br />

H900XP<br />

CL605<br />

F50EX<br />

G200<br />

GLOBAL EXPRESS XRS<br />

F2000LXS<br />

G450<br />

F2000S<br />

GLOBAL EXPRESS<br />

G280<br />

F900EX EASY<br />

F2000LX<br />

G-IVSP<br />

G-IV F900EX<br />

F2000EX<br />

CL604<br />

G-V<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

CIT. CJ4 L70<br />

H800XP<br />

CIT. VII<br />

PHENOM 300<br />

L45XR<br />

L60XR<br />

CIT. CJ3+ CIT. XLS<br />

CIT. EXCEL<br />

L40XR<br />

G100<br />

CIT. CJ2+ CIT. CJ3<br />

CIT. ENCORE+<br />

ASTRA SP<br />

CIT. M2 DIAMOND 1A<br />

CIT. ENCORE<br />

H800 CIT. ULTRA<br />

CIT. BRAVO<br />

CIT. CJ2<br />

NEXTANT 400XTI<br />

H400XP<br />

CIT. CJ1<br />

CIT. CJ1+<br />

BEECHJET 400<br />

PREMIER 1A<br />

HONDAJET<br />

PHENOM 100E<br />

CIT. MUSTANG<br />

2<br />

ECLIPSE 550<br />

1<br />

500<br />

1,000<br />

1,500<br />

2,000<br />

2,500<br />

3,000<br />

3,500<br />

4,000<br />

4,500<br />

5,000<br />

5,500<br />

6,000<br />

6,500<br />

7,000<br />

7,500<br />

8,000<br />

TOTAL ANNUAL COST (MILLION USD/YEAR)<br />

MAX RANGE (N.M.)<br />

* The estimated total yearly cost is based on aircraft ownership cost for 10 years including financing, plus annual operating costs and regional adjustments.<br />

Source: Conklin & de Decker 2019<br />

48 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY PER MODEL — BUSINESS JETS<br />

INVENTORY LEVEL, PRICE TREND & TRANSACTIONS<br />

ACJ318, ACJ319 & ACJ320<br />

MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

AIRBUS<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

ACJ318<br />

4,253 N.M. /7,877 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

ACJ319<br />

6,000 N.M. /11,112 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

ACJ320<br />

5,250 N.M. /9,723 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

3 (15.8%) 3 (15.8%) 3 (4.3%) 4 (5.6%) 1 (5.6%) 1 (5.6%)<br />

25.2M USD 25.2M USD 42.0M USD 43.0M USD 39.5M USD 39.5M USD<br />

1,027 935<br />

930 779<br />

658 566<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

ACJ318<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$50.8<br />

$47.1<br />

$39.5<br />

$29.9 $30.3<br />

$25.0<br />

$45.2<br />

$23.7<br />

$39.5<br />

$46.9<br />

$45.5<br />

$39.5 $39.5<br />

$23.2<br />

$26.0<br />

ACJ319<br />

ACJ320<br />

Average<br />

$43.0<br />

$42.0<br />

$39.5<br />

$39.5<br />

$25.2 $25.2<br />

ACJ318<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

ACJ319<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

ACJ320<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

1<br />

Inventory Level<br />

8 7 10 11 11 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10 11 11 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

BBJ 787-8<br />

TOTAL HOURS: DELIVERY HOURS<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: DELIVERY CYCLES<br />

• Interior Completed 2019<br />

• Brand New Aircraft with Delivery Hours & Cycles Only<br />

• One of the Longest Ranged Business Jet - Capable of Flying 16 Hours<br />

Non-stop<br />

• 39 Passenger VVIP Configuration, with 2,415 square feet (224 square<br />

meters) Living Space including: a Master Suite, VIP Lounge, Dining<br />

Lounge, Business Class, Fwd & Aft Galley, Crew Rest Area and a gym.<br />

• Aero H+ Satcom w/ Ku-Band High Speed Internet<br />

• State-of-the-art avionics, including: New, Latest Generation FMC;<br />

SELCAL, ADS, FANS-1 & CPDLC; Dual Head-Up Displays; Weather<br />

Radar, TCAS & TAWS; Approved For GLS II Approaches<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 49


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

BBJ & BBJ2<br />

BOEING<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

BBJ<br />

6,235 N.M. / 11,547 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

BBJ2<br />

5,620 N.M. / 10,408 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

4 (3.0%) 6 (4.5%) 1 (4.5%) 2 (9.1%)<br />

31.3M USD 31.3M USD 90.0M USD 90.0M USD<br />

573 505<br />

41 404<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

4<br />

3<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

BBJ2<br />

BBJ<br />

Average<br />

$90.0 $90.0 $90.0 $90.0 $90.0<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

BBJ<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$59.0 $58.0<br />

$40.9 $41.9<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$47.2<br />

$43.8<br />

$52.5<br />

$45.0<br />

$31.3<br />

BBJ2<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

3<br />

1 2 2 1<br />

1<br />

3<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

13 13 13 12 12 12 13 12 11 11 12 12 13 11 10 9 9 7 7 8 8 8 13 10 12<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

BELL HELCIOPTERS<br />

CHALLENGER 650 SN 6131<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 450 SINCE NEW<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: 185 SINCE NEW<br />

• Mint 2019 Aircraft with Very Low Hours Since New<br />

• 11 Passengers & Belted Lav Configuration with Fwd Galley<br />

• Under Original OEM Warranty: 5 Years Airframe & 2 Years Interior<br />

• <strong>2020</strong> Avionics Ready: FANS 1A+, ADS-B Out, CPDLC & TCAS II 7.1<br />

• Satellite Communication System<br />

• ELT, CVR & FDR<br />

SIKORSKY<br />

50 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

CHALLENGER 300 & 350<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

CL300<br />

3,340 N.M. /6,185 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

CL350<br />

3,421 N.M. /6,335 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

28 (6.2%) 24 (5.3%) 12 (3.5%) 10 (3.2%)<br />

7.5M USD 8.0M USD 14.9M USD 14.9M USD<br />

229 213<br />

159 98<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

28<br />

3<br />

25<br />

13<br />

8<br />

1<br />

7<br />

3<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

CL350<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$17.4<br />

$16.9<br />

$16.3 $16.2<br />

$16.1<br />

CL300<br />

Average<br />

$14.9<br />

$14.2<br />

CL300<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$7.5<br />

$9.1<br />

$10.4<br />

$9.9 $10.0<br />

$8.6<br />

$7.5<br />

CL350<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

8<br />

1 4 4 7<br />

2 5<br />

4 7<br />

2<br />

4<br />

3 5 5<br />

2 3<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

13<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

23 25 27 25 26 23 22 17 24 23 28 36 37 36 35 37 35 36 38 35 33 34 42 40 40<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

CHALLENGER 350 SN20649<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 527 SINCE NEW<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: 199 SINCE NEW<br />

• Delivery Date: December 2016<br />

• Fully Enrolled on Programs: Honeywell MSP, BBD Smart Parts & CAMP<br />

Tracking<br />

• FANS 1/A+ (CPDLC & ADS-C), & TCAS 7.1<br />

• Gogo Biz Cabin Wifi & Swift Broadband High Speed Data<br />

• 3C Inspection Completed: December 2019<br />

• Aircraft Still Under Warranty<br />

• Single Owner Since New<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 51


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

CHALLENGER 604, 605 & 650<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

CL604<br />

4,027 N.M. / 7,458 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

9<br />

CL605<br />

4,123 N.M. / 7,635 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

9<br />

CL650<br />

4,123 N.M. / 7,635 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

10<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

29 (8.1%) 22 (6.1%) 31 (10.8%) 28 (9.7%) 7 (6.8%) 6 (6.3%)<br />

4.7M USD 4.8M USD 10.2M USD 10.2M USD 17.0M USD 17.5M USD<br />

273 274<br />

208 165<br />

221 236<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

31<br />

4<br />

27<br />

10<br />

22<br />

3<br />

19<br />

10<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$18.7<br />

$18.7<br />

$18.2<br />

CL650<br />

CL605<br />

CL604<br />

Average<br />

$17.5<br />

$17.0 $17.0<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

CL604<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$12.4<br />

$9.2<br />

$12.5 $12.0<br />

$10.8 $10.4 $10.2<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

CL605<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$5.3<br />

$5.3<br />

$5.0 $4.8 $5.0 $4.8 $4.7<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

4<br />

Sold<br />

10<br />

7<br />

For Sale<br />

7 9<br />

8<br />

4<br />

11<br />

1<br />

5<br />

6 1<br />

9<br />

6<br />

2<br />

5<br />

7<br />

7<br />

3<br />

7<br />

6<br />

2<br />

4 2<br />

2<br />

CL650<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

35 28 33 28 25 32 34 35 34 34 37 43 49 50 49 46 46 46 48 50 52 56 62 65 67<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

LEGACY 600 SN14500644<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 5,338 SINCE NEW<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: 3,231 SINCE NEW<br />

• 13 Passengers VIP<br />

• Medical Transport (1-2 Patients) Convertible Configuration<br />

• Engines enrolled on RRCC<br />

• Airframe and APU enrolled on EEC Enhanced<br />

• Dual Spectrum EMS Sleds installed 2015<br />

• <strong>2020</strong> Avionics Mandate Ready: ADS-B Out, CPDLC & TCAS 7.1<br />

52 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

CHALLENGER 850<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$7.8<br />

$8.6<br />

$9.3<br />

$7.0<br />

$7.5<br />

$6.8 $6.8<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

6,750 N.M. / 12,501 km<br />

Mach 0.87<br />

18<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

1<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

1 1 1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

12 10 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8<br />

1<br />

9 10 10 11 10 11 12 13 14<br />

1<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

14 (15.4%) 11 (12.2%)<br />

6.8M USD 6.8M USD<br />

431 446<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

8 6<br />

2 2<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 53


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

GLOBAL EXPRESS, 5000, XRS & 6000<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

GLOBAL 5000<br />

5,350 N.M. / 9,908 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

13<br />

GLOBAL EXPRESS<br />

6,125 N.M. / 11,343 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

13<br />

GLOBAL XRS<br />

6,226 N.M. / 11,520 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

13<br />

GLOBAL 6000<br />

6,080 N.M. / 11,260 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

13<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

22 (9.5%) 20 (8.7%) 21 (14.5%) 18 (12.4%) 15 (9.3%) 14 (8.6%) 21 (6.5%) 13 (4.0%)<br />

18.6M USD 16.5M USD 8.0M USD 9.0M USD 16.4M USD 17.0M USD 27.0M USD 27.0M USD<br />

314 326<br />

242 253<br />

196 150<br />

121 145<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

16<br />

3<br />

13<br />

3<br />

18<br />

3<br />

15<br />

5<br />

10<br />

1<br />

9<br />

4<br />

17<br />

2<br />

15<br />

9<br />

$36.3<br />

$18.2<br />

$17.3<br />

$8.2<br />

Sold<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

$35.8<br />

$19.3<br />

$18.7<br />

$8.6<br />

8<br />

7 4 5 3<br />

3 3<br />

7<br />

$32.7<br />

$20.0<br />

$18.0<br />

$9.2<br />

48 53 48 51 52 56 55 59 60 69 74 68 63 65 64 68<br />

1<br />

5<br />

3<br />

5<br />

$32.0<br />

$29.3<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

GL EXPRESS<br />

GL XRS<br />

$30.0<br />

8<br />

$29.8<br />

$16.9 $17.5<br />

$15.8<br />

$8.7 $9.3 $9.1<br />

6 10<br />

1<br />

66 61 65<br />

9<br />

GL6000<br />

GL5000<br />

Average<br />

$27.0<br />

$17.0<br />

5<br />

1<br />

56 61 65 70 73 79<br />

4<br />

3<br />

$27.0<br />

$18.6<br />

$16.4<br />

$8.0<br />

2<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

GLOBAL 5000<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

GLOBAL EXPRESS<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

GLOBAL XRS<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

GLOBAL 6000<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

LEGACY 500 SN55000072<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 596 SINCE NEW<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: 181 SINCE NEW<br />

• Very Low Hours & One Owner Since New<br />

• Airframe Enrolled on EECE<br />

• Engine & APU Enrolled on MSP Gold<br />

• Aircraft Enrolled on CAMP<br />

• 10 Passenger Executive Configuration with Fwd Galley<br />

• SATCOM, Swift Broadband High Speed Data and Cabin Wi-fi<br />

• RNP-1,2,4,5,10 Certification<br />

• SVS, EVS & HUD<br />

• ADS-B Out, FANS 1/A+, ATN-B1 CPDLC<br />

• Weather Radar, TCAS 7.1, CVR, ELT, FDR<br />

54 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

CITATION CJ3 & CJ4<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

Cit. CJ3<br />

1,891 N.M. / 3,502 km<br />

Mach 0.73<br />

6<br />

Cit. CJ4<br />

1,991 N.M. / 3,687 km<br />

Mach 0.77<br />

7<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

61 (10.7%) 51 (9.0%) 20 (6.3%) 18 (5.8%)<br />

4.3M USD 4.0M USD 5.5M USD 6.3M USD<br />

160 139<br />

176 128<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

16 9<br />

26 23<br />

7<br />

9<br />

3<br />

11<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

CJ4<br />

CJ3<br />

Average<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Cit. CJ3<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

CESSNA<br />

$6.1<br />

$6.4 $6.4 $6.3<br />

$6.2<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$6.2<br />

$5.5<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Cit. CJ4<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$3.7<br />

$4.3<br />

$4.1<br />

$4.4<br />

$4.2<br />

$4.0<br />

$4.3<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

10<br />

5<br />

4<br />

5 4<br />

3<br />

11<br />

14<br />

3<br />

6<br />

4<br />

3<br />

9<br />

6<br />

6 10<br />

9<br />

9<br />

9<br />

4<br />

5<br />

2<br />

4<br />

5<br />

1<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

29 32 34 38 40 46 44 36 37 45 46 54 50 51 44 43<br />

46 54 51<br />

53 63 62 74 74 81<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

CITATION MUSTANG SN5100441<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 793 SINCE NEW<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: 609 SINCE NEW<br />

• 5 Passenger Executive Configuration<br />

• Low Hours Since New<br />

• Enrolled on ProParts Program, Power Advantage & CESCOM<br />

• <strong>2020</strong> Compliant<br />

• Always Hangared<br />

• N-registered, FAA Part 91 Ops<br />

• 36 Month Inspection completed December 2019<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 55


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

CITATION LATITUDE<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$13.9<br />

$13.6<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

$13.5<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$13.0<br />

$12.3 $12.3<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$12.0<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

2,870N.M. / 5,315 km<br />

Mach 0.80<br />

9<br />

CESSNA<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

6 (2.5%) 5 (2.2%)<br />

12.0M USD 13.4M USD<br />

165 265<br />

1 1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

4 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5<br />

7 6 6<br />

8 7 5 5 5 6<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

6 6<br />

0 2<br />

CITATION SOVEREIGN<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$7.8 $7.7<br />

$7.9<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$7.7<br />

$7.1<br />

$6.7<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$4.1<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

3,010N.M. / 5,574 km<br />

Mach 0.80<br />

9<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

3<br />

5 1<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

32 (7.3%) 27 (6.2%)<br />

6.7M USD 6.9M USD<br />

164 152<br />

21 19 12 14 14 19 18 18 23 22 24 22 22 22 20 24<br />

19 24 24 22 25 27 29 30 32<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

10 8<br />

2 8<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

56 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

FALCON 900DX/EX/EX EASy/LX<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

F900DX<br />

4,100 N.M. /7,593 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

12<br />

F900EX<br />

4,500 N.M. /8,334 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

12<br />

F900EX EASy<br />

4,500 N.M. /8,334 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

12<br />

F900LX<br />

4,750 N.M. /8,800 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

12<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

4 (16.7%) 6 (25.0%) 5 (4.2%) 7 (5.9%) 14 (11.7%) 14 (11.7%) 4 (5.1%) 5 (6.5%)<br />

11.8M USD 12.7M USD 7.8M USD 7.8M USD 13.4M USD 14.6M USD 21.0M USD 21.0M USD<br />

206 134<br />

161 178<br />

217 151<br />

120 54<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

7<br />

6<br />

11 111<br />

7<br />

5<br />

4<br />

2<br />

1<br />

4<br />

0<br />

5<br />

2<br />

3<br />

2<br />

0<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

F900EX EASy<br />

F900EX<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

F900LX<br />

F900DX<br />

Average<br />

F900DX<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$27.9<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$18.5<br />

$16.3<br />

$18.5<br />

$13.1<br />

$12.5 $12.5<br />

$7.0 $7.4<br />

$14.2 $15.9<br />

$12.0 $12.9<br />

$6.9 $6.9<br />

$21.0 $21.0<br />

$15.9<br />

$14.7<br />

$13.4<br />

$13.6 $12.6<br />

$11.8<br />

$7.3 $8.3 $7.8<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

F900EX<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

F900EX EASy<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

DASSAULT<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

4<br />

1 3 2 2<br />

5<br />

3<br />

6<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

6<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

4<br />

1<br />

1<br />

9 1 1 2<br />

2<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

F900LX<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

23 24 23 22 24 17 18 19 18 19 18 16 17 17 16 15 16 21 20 22 29 32 31 28 27<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

G450 SN4202<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 2,604 SINCE NEW<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: 953 SINCE NEW<br />

• 14 Passenger Configuration with Forward Galley<br />

• Engines Enrolled on RRCC<br />

• APU Enrolled on MSP<br />

• Airframe Enrolled on Gulfstream Planeparts<br />

• FAA Compliant, EASA Validation<br />

• ADSB-Out, High Speed Data, FM Immunity<br />

• FANS-1A, CPDLC, TCAS7.1<br />

• Honeywell Head Up Display / Visual Guidance System<br />

• Fresh Annual Inspection<br />

• 96 Month Inspection Completed<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 57


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

FALCON 2000LX/LXS/S<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

F2000LX<br />

4,000 N.M. /7,408 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

10<br />

F2000LXS<br />

4,000 N.M. /7,408 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

10<br />

F2000S<br />

3,350 N.M. /6,208 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

10<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

8 (6.1%) 6 (4.5%) 8 (8.2%) 8 (8.2%) 1 (2.3%) 1 (2.3%)<br />

12.0M USD 15.0M USD 21.8M USD 21.8M USD 27.7M USD 27.7M USD<br />

242 293<br />

277 185<br />

257 165<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar <strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

4<br />

3<br />

4<br />

4<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

0<br />

2<br />

0<br />

0<br />

DASSAULT<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$27.9 $25.0 $25.0<br />

$16.5<br />

$16.5<br />

$23.5<br />

$19.7<br />

F2000S<br />

F2000LXS<br />

F2000LX<br />

Average<br />

$27.7 $27.7 $27.7<br />

$22.3 $21.8 $21.8<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

F2000LX<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

F2000LXS<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

$14.1<br />

$15.4<br />

$16.0<br />

$16.0<br />

$13.9<br />

$14.5<br />

$12.0<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

F2000S<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

4<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1 3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

7 7 7 8 9 8 9 7 7 8 11 11 11 11 13 12<br />

14 16 16<br />

16 16 15 16 16 17<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

G550<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 3,162 SINCE NEW<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: 1,168 SINCE NEW<br />

• Engines & APU Enrolled Pro-Rata JSSI<br />

• 16 Pax, Forward Galley & Crew Rest<br />

• 4 Club, Conf. Area & Aft Double Divans<br />

• Beijing Based, all Logs in English<br />

• Painting & Interior Refurbished 2017<br />

• ADS-B Out, CPDLC & FANS 1/A+<br />

• BBML & HD-700<br />

• No Damage or Material Corrosion<br />

58 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

FALCON 7X<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$21.7<br />

$20.9<br />

$23.0<br />

$21.2<br />

$24.4<br />

$23.3<br />

$24.5<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

5,950 N.M. / 11,018 km<br />

Mach 0.90<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

12<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

15 (5.2%) 20 (7.0%)<br />

2<br />

6<br />

2<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

5<br />

3<br />

2 1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

24.5M USD<br />

304<br />

23.3M USD<br />

256<br />

2<br />

17 18 16 14 11 9 12 15 15 18 17 17 16 16 17 19<br />

18 14<br />

15<br />

20 22 20 20 22 20<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

18 15<br />

3 6<br />

DASSAULT<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 59


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

PHENOM 300<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$8.0<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

$6.9 $7.5<br />

$7.0<br />

$6.8<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$6.8<br />

$6.8<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

1,242 N.M. / 2,300 km<br />

Mach 0.78<br />

5<br />

Sold<br />

4<br />

2<br />

For Sale<br />

3<br />

6<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2<br />

8<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

2 2<br />

4<br />

5<br />

3<br />

3<br />

2<br />

3<br />

1<br />

1<br />

0<br />

2<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

36 (6.5%) 28 (5.2%)<br />

6.8M USD 6.6M USD<br />

274 269<br />

19 16 17 10 13 15 16 16 18 18 19 18 19 19 20 21<br />

20 20<br />

20<br />

20 25 26 33 35 36<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

29 26<br />

3 9<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

EMBRAER<br />

LEGACY 600/650<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$13.7<br />

$11.7<br />

$9.5<br />

$15.1<br />

L650<br />

L600<br />

Average<br />

$15.1 $15.0<br />

$15.0<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

L600<br />

L650<br />

$7.9<br />

$8.1<br />

$7.3<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

$6.9 $6.7<br />

$5.1<br />

$5.3<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

L600<br />

3,400 N.M. 3,640 N.M.<br />

6,297 km<br />

Mach 0.80<br />

13<br />

L650<br />

7,112 km<br />

Mach 0.80<br />

13<br />

7<br />

3 3<br />

4 3<br />

3<br />

2 1<br />

3<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1<br />

3<br />

2<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

13 | 18<br />

7.9M USD<br />

9.2M USD<br />

286 | 289<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

6 | 4<br />

15.0M USD<br />

15.0M USD<br />

211 | 186<br />

21 20 24 24 21 22 22 21 21 25 23 21 22 24 21 21<br />

22 21 25 23 19 12 24 21 19<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

21 | 17<br />

4 | 8<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

7 | 7<br />

0 | 5<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

60 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

LINEAGE 1000/E<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$23.5<br />

$22.2<br />

$22.2<br />

$21.4<br />

$20.2<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$19.1<br />

$18.3<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

4,400 N.M. / 8,149 km<br />

Max Speed<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

19<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

5 (17.2%) 6 (20.7%)<br />

18.3M USD 19.1M USD<br />

525 450<br />

5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8<br />

9 10<br />

10<br />

7 6 6 6 5 5<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

2 2<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

0<br />

1<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

EMBRAER<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 61


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

G200<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$4.1<br />

$4.4<br />

$4.6<br />

$4.3<br />

$4.0<br />

$4.1<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$4.1<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

3,050 N.M. / 5,651 km<br />

Mach 0.81<br />

8<br />

3<br />

Sold<br />

3<br />

3<br />

For Sale<br />

4<br />

4<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2 2 1<br />

4<br />

3 1<br />

1<br />

3<br />

4<br />

6 2<br />

1<br />

8<br />

2<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

31 (12.9%)<br />

4.1M USD<br />

196<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

21 (8.8%)<br />

4.2M USD<br />

226<br />

24 20 17 17 21 26 27 23 20 21 25 27 27 27 28 28<br />

25 27<br />

24<br />

22 22 21 22 22 21<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

26<br />

1<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

25<br />

14<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

G280<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

$18.3<br />

$18.3<br />

$17.3<br />

$15.7<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$14.7<br />

$13.3<br />

$13.2<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

3,600 N.M. / 6,667 km<br />

Mach 0.84<br />

8<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

3<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

15 (7.8%)<br />

13.2M USD<br />

196<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

13 (7.0%)<br />

12.5M USD<br />

137<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1 3 3 3 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 9 8 9 10 12<br />

11<br />

9 12 13 14 15 15<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

3<br />

0<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

3<br />

1<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

62 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

G450<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$16.8<br />

$16.4<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$15.1<br />

$15.8<br />

$15.2<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$14.1<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$12.4<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

4,350 N.M. / 8,056 km<br />

Mach 0.85<br />

13<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

4<br />

5<br />

3 2<br />

4 5<br />

5<br />

6<br />

2<br />

4<br />

3<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

5<br />

4<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

4<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

31 (8.8%)<br />

12.4M USD<br />

343<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

31 (8.8%)<br />

13.7M USD<br />

299<br />

20 20 23 24 20 20 18 18 17 22 25 22 21 23 23 23 21 28 29 25 29 31 20 20 23<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

24<br />

4<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

20<br />

4<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

G550<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$25.7<br />

$28.1<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$25.2<br />

$22.0<br />

$22.7<br />

$20.2<br />

$17.7<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

6,750 N.M. / 12,501 km<br />

Mach 0.87<br />

18<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

5<br />

3<br />

5<br />

2 2 2<br />

5<br />

3<br />

3 3 4 3 1 3 3<br />

4<br />

2<br />

3<br />

29 24 27 26 24 27 28 27 26 27 18 18 19 24 31 32 31 33 33<br />

8 2<br />

32 36<br />

1<br />

39<br />

3<br />

45 49<br />

1<br />

48<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

48 (8.1%) 39 (6.6%)<br />

17.7M USD 20.3M USD<br />

203 169<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

39<br />

4<br />

35<br />

15<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 63


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

G650 & G650 ER<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

G650ER<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$62.4<br />

G650<br />

Average<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

G650<br />

G650ER<br />

$56.2<br />

$53.1<br />

$51.7<br />

$61.9<br />

$52.0<br />

$50.6<br />

$51.6<br />

$49.7<br />

$44.4<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

$48.0<br />

$44.8 $44.0<br />

$39.4<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

G650 G650ER<br />

7,000 N.M. 7,500 N.M.<br />

12,964 km 13,890 km<br />

Mach 0.90 Mach 0.90<br />

18 18<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2 1 3 3<br />

3<br />

4 2<br />

1<br />

1 1 1 1<br />

1<br />

3<br />

1<br />

1 1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

5 | 5<br />

39.4M USD<br />

43.2M USD<br />

157 | 164<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

11 | 8<br />

46.6M USD<br />

49.7M USD<br />

214 | 194<br />

16 13 11 15 18 14 12 12 9 10 15 16 15 16 16 16<br />

17 15 17 14 14 13 16 15 16<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Jun | Mar Jun | Mar<br />

6 | 5 5 | 4<br />

1 | 4 1 | 2<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

64 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


AIRCRAFT POSITIONING - CIVIL HELICOPTERS<br />

ACQUISITION COST VS. MAX RANGE<br />

AIRCRAFT ACQUISITION PRICE (MILLION USD)<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

HEAVY<br />

(SUPER) MEDIUM<br />

LIGHT TWIN<br />

SINGLE TURBINE<br />

PISTON<br />

100<br />

S-76D<br />

BELL 412EPI<br />

H135(T3)<br />

BELL 430<br />

MD902<br />

BELL 429<br />

MD530F BELL 206L4<br />

MD502N<br />

MD600N<br />

MD550E R66<br />

R22 BETA II<br />

R44 RAVEN II<br />

H225<br />

BELL 407GXP<br />

H215(C1)<br />

S-76C++<br />

H145<br />

S-92<br />

200 300 400<br />

500<br />

600 700<br />

MAXIMUM RANGE (N.M)<br />

H155<br />

BELL 505<br />

EN480B BELL 407<br />

AW169<br />

AW109 GRANDNEW<br />

AW109 POWER<br />

H125<br />

H130 AW119KX<br />

H120<br />

H175<br />

AW139<br />

AW189<br />

ACQUISITION COST VS. MAX TAKEOFF WEIGHT<br />

AIRCRAFT ACQUISITION PRICE (MILLION USD)<br />

8<br />

4<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0.5<br />

0.25<br />

1000<br />

HEAVY<br />

(SUPER) MEDIUM<br />

LIGHT TWIN<br />

SINGLE TURBINE<br />

PISTON<br />

2000<br />

MD500E<br />

EN480B<br />

R66<br />

R44 RAVEN II<br />

R22 BETA II<br />

MD520N<br />

MD530F<br />

H120<br />

MD 902<br />

H135(T3)<br />

AW109 POWER<br />

BELL 407GXP<br />

4000<br />

MD 600N<br />

BELL 505<br />

MAX TAKE-OFF WEIGHT (LBS)<br />

8000<br />

16000<br />

H225<br />

H155<br />

H215(C1)<br />

H145<br />

S-76D<br />

AW189<br />

AW169<br />

H175<br />

AW139<br />

BELL 429<br />

BELL 412EPI<br />

S-76C++<br />

BELL 430<br />

AW109 GRANDNEW<br />

AW119KX<br />

H130<br />

H125 BELL 407 BELL 206L4<br />

S-92<br />

32000<br />

ACQUISITION COST VS. CABIN VOLUME<br />

AIRCRAFT ACQUISITION PRICE (MILLION USD)<br />

8<br />

4<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0.5<br />

0.25<br />

20<br />

HEAVY<br />

(SUPER) MEDIUM<br />

LIGHT TWIN<br />

SINGLE TURBINE<br />

PISTON<br />

EN480B<br />

MD 520N<br />

MD 530F<br />

R44 RAVEN II<br />

R22 BETA II<br />

MD 500E<br />

R66<br />

40<br />

H125<br />

H130<br />

H120<br />

BELL 505<br />

MD 902<br />

H135(T3)<br />

80<br />

BELL 407GXP<br />

MD 600N<br />

BELL 407<br />

BELL 206L4<br />

H215(C1) S-92<br />

H175<br />

BELL430<br />

H145<br />

S-76D H155<br />

AW169<br />

AW139<br />

AW189<br />

BELL412EPI S-76C++<br />

BELL429 AW109 GRANDNEW<br />

AW109 POWER<br />

AW119KX<br />

160<br />

CABIN VOLUMN (CU.FT)<br />

H225<br />

320 640 800<br />

Source: Conklin & de Decker 2019<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 65


SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

MARKET SUMMARY PER MODEL — CIVIL HELICOPTERS<br />

INVENTORY LEVEL, PRICE TREND & TRANSACTIONS<br />

H125<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$2.5<br />

Inventory Level<br />

$2.5<br />

$2.4<br />

$2.4<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$2.4<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$2.4<br />

$2.4<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

340 N.M. / 630 km<br />

140 Knots<br />

6<br />

4<br />

Sold<br />

1<br />

3<br />

For Sale<br />

2<br />

4 4 8<br />

2 1<br />

1<br />

1 2<br />

2 1<br />

1<br />

3<br />

2<br />

3<br />

3<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

26 (3.1%)<br />

2.4M USD<br />

530<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

26 (3.2%)<br />

2.4M USD<br />

492<br />

18 17 18 21 23 23 23 25 26 31 32 33 29 27 29 25<br />

26 27<br />

25<br />

27 26 26<br />

24 26 26<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

20<br />

6<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

14<br />

6<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

H130<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

AIRBUS<br />

$2.9<br />

$2.9<br />

$3.0<br />

$3.0<br />

$3.0<br />

$3.0<br />

$2.7<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

333 N.M. / 606km<br />

128 Knots<br />

7<br />

2<br />

Sold<br />

2<br />

For Sale<br />

2<br />

1 1<br />

1 1 1<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

11 (3.9%)<br />

2.7M USD<br />

231<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

7 (2.6%)<br />

3.1M USD<br />

321<br />

6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 9 10 10 9 10 11 10 10<br />

11 9<br />

9<br />

9 9 7 8 11 11<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun<br />

6<br />

1<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

5<br />

2<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

66 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

EC135P2 & T2<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

EC135T2<br />

EC135P2<br />

Average<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

EC135P2 EC135T2<br />

$3.1<br />

$2.8<br />

$2.6<br />

$2.6<br />

$2.4<br />

$2.2 $2.2<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$1.8<br />

$1.6<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

5<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

$2.1<br />

$1.7<br />

1<br />

$1.7<br />

1<br />

1<br />

$1.7<br />

1<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

EC135P2<br />

332 N.M.<br />

614 km<br />

127 Knots<br />

6<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

7 | 8<br />

2.2M USD<br />

2.2M USD<br />

595 | 484<br />

EC135T2<br />

332 N.M.<br />

614 km<br />

127 Knots<br />

6<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

1 | 1<br />

1.7M USD<br />

1.7M USD<br />

116 | 24<br />

11 11 12 12 12 11 9 9 10 10 11 12 12 11 11 11<br />

11 10 11 10 8 9 9 8 8<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

2 | 1<br />

1 | 0<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

2 | 1<br />

1 | 0<br />

EC145<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$5.1<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$4.5<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

AIRBUS<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$4.3<br />

$3.6<br />

$3.6<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$3.4<br />

$3.9<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

461 N.M. / 855 km<br />

131 Knots<br />

9<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1<br />

3<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1<br />

3<br />

4<br />

1<br />

3<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

10 (1.4%) 9 (1.3%)<br />

3.9M USD 4.3M USD<br />

440 410<br />

9 11 13 15 14 14 12 13 13 13 13 12 9 9 8 10<br />

12 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

16 13<br />

3 5<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 67


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

H155 & EC155B<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

EC155B<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$5.1<br />

$4.9<br />

$4.5<br />

$4.5<br />

$5.9<br />

H155<br />

Average<br />

$3.9<br />

$3.9<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

H155<br />

EC155B<br />

$2.4 $2.0<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

$2.0<br />

$2.0<br />

$2.0<br />

$2.9<br />

$2.6<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

H155<br />

516 N.M.<br />

955 km<br />

150 Knots<br />

13<br />

EC155B<br />

516 N.M.<br />

955 km<br />

135 Knots<br />

13<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

13 | 12<br />

3.9M USD<br />

3.9M USD<br />

644 | 650<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

3 | 4<br />

2.6M USD<br />

2.9M USD<br />

390 | 491<br />

15 15 15 15 13 13 13 12 12 12 11 10 11 11 15 23<br />

20 18 17 18 16 16 16 16 16<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

0 | 0<br />

0 | 0<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

2 | 1<br />

1 | 1<br />

H225<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

AIRBUS<br />

$7.0<br />

$5.8<br />

$7.0<br />

$6.0<br />

$6.2 $6.2<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$4.0<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

452 N.M. / 837 km<br />

142 Knots<br />

19<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

9 (5.1%) 9 (5.1%)<br />

6.2M USD 6.2M USD<br />

701 1,094<br />

13 13 14 13 13 17 17 16 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13<br />

12 12<br />

11<br />

11 9 9 11 10 9<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

0 0<br />

0 0<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

68 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

BELL 206 JETRANGER / LONGRANGER<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Bell 206 LongRanger<br />

Bell 206 JetRanger<br />

Average<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Bell 206JBell 206L<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$0.9<br />

$0.9<br />

$0.9<br />

$0.9<br />

$0.8<br />

$0.9<br />

$0.8<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$0.6<br />

$0.6<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

$0.6<br />

$0.5<br />

$0.6<br />

$0.5<br />

7<br />

9 13<br />

4<br />

$0.5<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

Bell 206J<br />

374 N.M.<br />

693 km<br />

121 Knots<br />

4<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

125 | 132<br />

0.5M USD<br />

0.5M USD<br />

789 | 737<br />

Bell 206L<br />

270 N.M.<br />

500 km<br />

105 Knots<br />

6<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

82 | 79<br />

0.8M USD<br />

0.9M USD<br />

403 | 440<br />

206 205 195 201 201 211 215 205 209 201 208 215 213 211 210 208<br />

206 193 201 207 216 211 208 208 207<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

29 | 14<br />

15 | 14<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

4 | 2<br />

2 | 2<br />

BELL 407<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$2.3<br />

$2.5<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$2.0<br />

$2.2<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$1.9<br />

$1.9<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$1.9<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

323 N.M. / 598 km<br />

132 Knots<br />

7<br />

BELL<br />

6<br />

Sold<br />

8<br />

For Sale<br />

4<br />

5<br />

5<br />

5<br />

6<br />

10<br />

3<br />

5 4<br />

1 5 5 7<br />

3<br />

3<br />

5<br />

2<br />

4<br />

3 5 6 3<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

52 (3.3%) 46 (2.9%)<br />

2.3M USD 2.3M USD<br />

506 519<br />

42 42 42 44 46 47 48 48 48 41 38 41 43 44 39 43<br />

44 49<br />

53<br />

51 46 46 49 49 52<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

49 40<br />

9 16<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 69


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

BELL 412EP/412HP<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Bell 412 HP<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Bell 412 EP<br />

Average<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Bell 412EPBell 412HP<br />

$4.8<br />

$4.3<br />

$3.0<br />

$2.8<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

$4.6<br />

$3.0<br />

$4.2<br />

$2.0<br />

$3.7<br />

$3.3<br />

$2.0 $2.0<br />

$4.0<br />

$2.1<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

Bell 412EP<br />

356 N.M. /<br />

659 km<br />

140 Knots<br />

9<br />

Bell 412HP<br />

349 N.M. /<br />

646 km<br />

133 Knots<br />

14<br />

2 1<br />

3 2<br />

1 2 1<br />

1 2<br />

3 5<br />

2 1 3<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1 3<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

21 | 24<br />

5.6M USD<br />

4.4M USD<br />

591 | 682<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

2 | 3<br />

2.1M USD<br />

2.0M USD<br />

673 | 1,055<br />

32 34 37 37 38 38 36 38 35 36 34 33 31 28 27 27<br />

26 26<br />

26<br />

27 25 27 23 23 23<br />

Jun Mar Aug May Oct Jul Dec Sep Feb Nov Apr Jan Jun Mar Aug May Oct Jul Dec Sep Feb Nov Apr Jan Jun Mar<br />

2018 2019 2019<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

20 | 17<br />

3 | 7<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

2 | 1<br />

1 | 0<br />

BELL 429<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$5.4<br />

$5.6<br />

$5.6<br />

$5.0<br />

$4.8<br />

$4.5<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

BELL<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$4.1<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

368 N.M. / 681 km<br />

130 Knots<br />

7<br />

1<br />

Sold<br />

1<br />

2<br />

For Sale<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

3<br />

4<br />

2<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

16 (4.4%) 14 (3.9%)<br />

4.1M USD 4.4M USD<br />

263 378<br />

14 13 14 14 14 15 16 15 16 15 17 20 21 20 21 21<br />

24 24<br />

21<br />

20 17 14 14 15 16<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

14 14<br />

0 9<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

70 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

AW109SP GRANDNEW<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

$6.2<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$4.7<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$4.7<br />

$4.2<br />

$4.5<br />

$4.3 $4.4<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

480 N.M. / 889 km<br />

130 Knots<br />

7<br />

1<br />

Sold<br />

1<br />

1<br />

For Sale<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1 1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

17 (9.0%) 12 (6.5%)<br />

4.4M USD 4.3M USD<br />

216 235<br />

6 8 8 9 10 9 8 8 9 7 7 8 8 8 9 8<br />

12 10 10 9 11 12 15 17 17<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

6 5<br />

1 4<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

AW139<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

$7.5 $7.5 $7.5<br />

$7.7<br />

Inventory Level<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$6.3<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$6.6<br />

$5.7<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

568 N.M. / 1,052 km<br />

140 Knots<br />

15<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

2<br />

3 1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

4<br />

1<br />

2 3 3<br />

1 1<br />

28 28 27 28 28 25 24 26 26 27 26 23 23 26 23 22<br />

22 23 23<br />

6<br />

4 2<br />

22 24 23<br />

1<br />

24 24 23<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

23 (2.4%) 23 (2.4%)<br />

5.7M USD 6.0M USD<br />

552 509<br />

<strong>2020</strong> Jun <strong>2020</strong> Mar<br />

22 21<br />

1 13<br />

LEONARDO<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong> — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 71


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

S-76C+ / S-76C++<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

S76C+<br />

Market Indicators (vs. Last Quarter)<br />

S76C++<br />

Average<br />

S76C+<br />

Transaction Level (Past 12 Months)<br />

S76C++<br />

$6.7<br />

Inventory Level<br />

$5.8<br />

$5.6<br />

$4.9<br />

$4.7<br />

$4.8<br />

$4.4<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

Average Days on Market<br />

$2.1<br />

$1.9<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Sold For Sale<br />

$2.0<br />

$1.9<br />

$1.7<br />

$1.7<br />

$1.7<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

S-76C+<br />

335 N.M. /<br />

620 km<br />

155 Knots<br />

12<br />

S-76C++<br />

335 N.M. /<br />

620 km<br />

155 Knots<br />

12<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1 1 1 1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

SUPPLY<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

22 | 20<br />

1.7M USD<br />

1.7M USD<br />

723 | 695<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

22 | 20<br />

4.4M USD<br />

4.8M USD<br />

652 | 780<br />

54 51 49 47 48 46 46 42 46 47 42 45 41 41 45 45<br />

44 45<br />

45<br />

44 41 40 43 43 44<br />

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun<br />

2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><br />

TRANSACTION<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

0 | 0<br />

0 | 0<br />

Jun | Mar<br />

3 | 3<br />

0 | 2<br />

FEATURED AIRCRAFT<br />

BELL 412EP SN36442<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 2,632 HOURS<br />

TOTAL CYCLES: 7,604 CYCLES<br />

Source: AMSTAT & ASG<br />

• 13+2 Seats Configuration<br />

• Aircraft Enrolled on Pratt Eagle Service Gold and the Bell CAP<br />

• ADS-B Fitted<br />

• Emergency Floats and External Mounted Life Rafts<br />

• Hoist Available Separately<br />

• AFCS<br />

• Cargo Hook Provisions<br />

• Emergency Floats<br />

• Litter Kit<br />

• Auxiliary Fuel Tank<br />

BELL 205A1 SN30109<br />

TOTAL HOURS: 7,688 HOURS<br />

SIKORSKY<br />

• 13 Passengers Utilty Configuration<br />

• <strong>Sky</strong>light Window<br />

• Dart Dual Mirror<br />

• Onboard System Cargo Hook with Load Cell<br />

• Dart Heli Access Handle<br />

• Dart Door Modification Kit<br />

• Dart Shoulder Harness Kit<br />

• Dart Interior Protector Kit<br />

• AKV N1/N2 Cycle Counter<br />

• K-flex Main Driveshaft<br />

72 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>


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