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Panther Prints | Issue 4 | May 2020

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@PESHPRINTS Opinion • 19

Temporary sacrifice, permanent results

Full shelter-in-place policies needed to combat COVID-19

Staff Editorial

ov. Greg Abbott’s executive orders

Gallowed most businesses in the state

to reopen by May 8 at 25% capacity and

in accordance with CDC guidelines. This

came as the second part of a phased

plan to balance prevention measures

and economic well-being. However,

the state should reverse this decision

and return to a full stay-at-home policy

to be able to properly enforce social

distancing measures necessary

to slow the spread of the virus, the

benefits of which outweigh negative

economic effects.

A lack of effective and enforceable

prevention measures has drastic

consequences — the loss of life

resulting from ineffective policies is

much more detrimental to the economy

than temporary

closure of non-essential

businesses. Based

on White House projections

created April

1, the national death

toll would be between

100,000 to 240,000 if

containment measures

are followed perfectly.

Without effective social

distancing measures,

the model predicted between

1.5 and 2.2 million

deaths. Losing such a

large piece of the population

over the span

of a few months means

businesses lose hundreds

and thousands

of employees faster

than they can replace

them. In addition, the

indiscriminant nature of

COVID-19 means this

loss is not limited to

any particular type of

worker — both skilled

and unskilled workers

are equally likely to be

affected, regardless of

how difficult they may

be to replace.

Shelter-in-place

measures can mitigate

a loss of

workers and

would preserve

the functionality

of businesses

in the

long term, even

if they may

lose profits in

the short term.

This means the

overall time

spent experiencing

the economic

effects of the pandem-

Cartoon by Sevval Erenkol

ic would be much shorter than it would

be if non-essential businesses continue

to function. If workers stay home and

follow social distancing guidelines, they

can help “flatten the curve” or reduce the

peak number of cases and related demands

on hospitals, allowing more people

to recover fully from the virus. As a result,

the minimized effect on any business’s

workforce ensures that it can begin functioning

at the same capacity immediately

after shelter-in-place policies are lifted.

Temporarily halting economic activity

does still have a profound effect on the

financial health of the nation. However,

there are already structures in place to

navigate an economic downturn whereas

there is no vaccine or alternative solution

to combat the pandemic yet. As of now,

the most effective tool against the spread

of the virus is social distancing, which

can only be fully enforced through

shelter-in-place policies. By following

these policies, the nation can recover

from the current economic contraction

as it would through any other, using

means of monetary and fiscal policy

combined with more effective use

of security net programs, increased

government support

for businesses and a

shift in payment schedules,

according to the

Brookings Institution.

Opponents of a full

shelter-in-place policy

argue that widespread

unemployment will

make the policy unsustainable

for individual

workers because they

will not have the funds

to continue to buy essential

products nor any

more products to buy.

However, the way this

policy works in other

states allows essential

businesses and their

workers to remain at

work, meaning the

people necessary to

sustain the essential

needs of everyone

else are still doing

their jobs. In addition,

the federal

government’s

$2 trillion

stimulus

package will

help support

the newly

unemployed

through economic

impact

payments or

stimulus checks.

With the present

magnitude of this pandemic,

there must be

a sacrifice. The current

choices are a temporary

economic sacrifice

leading to a slow but

sure recovery, or the

permanent sacrifice of

millions.

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