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The Political Dynamics of Justice Reform in The U.S.

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Predictive Polic<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Predictive polic<strong>in</strong>g is an analytical technique used by law enforcement <strong>in</strong> order to predict<br />

where crime is likely to occur. It <strong>in</strong>volves predict<strong>in</strong>g both the potential time and place <strong>of</strong><br />

crimes and <strong>in</strong>dividuals likely to commit them. It is used as an alternative to full reliance<br />

and trust <strong>in</strong> the “hunches” and <strong>in</strong>st<strong>in</strong>cts <strong>of</strong> law enforcement that are believed to come<br />

with tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g. Proponents <strong>of</strong> predictive polic<strong>in</strong>g believe that it is a way to m<strong>in</strong>imize bias<br />

and discrim<strong>in</strong>atory practices with<strong>in</strong> polic<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Opponents <strong>of</strong> predictive polic<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t to the fact that (1) the data used to isolate<br />

patterns <strong>of</strong> crim<strong>in</strong>al behavior uses a privatized algorithm that only companies have<br />

access to and (2) its potential to re<strong>in</strong>force exist<strong>in</strong>g biases aga<strong>in</strong>st poor and m<strong>in</strong>ority<br />

communities. Because predictive polic<strong>in</strong>g algorithms use exist<strong>in</strong>g data to make<br />

predictions, it would follow that exist<strong>in</strong>g bias with<strong>in</strong> the system is not elim<strong>in</strong>ated but<br />

amplified. Additionally, opponents believe that it is a way to “manufacture” crime; it<br />

re<strong>in</strong>forces the idea that crime <strong>in</strong> an area exists and just needs to be found by law<br />

enforcement.<br />

Stop and Frisk<br />

Stop-and-frisk stops refer to “a brief non-<strong>in</strong>trusive police stop <strong>of</strong> a suspect” warranted by<br />

“reasonable suspicion” that <strong>of</strong>ten <strong>in</strong>volve a pat down <strong>of</strong> the suspect. Stop-and-frisk<br />

policies became a large part <strong>of</strong> crim<strong>in</strong>al justice reform efforts follow<strong>in</strong>g NYPD's use <strong>of</strong><br />

the tactic. NYPD vowed to end its implementation <strong>of</strong> stop and frisk policies August 12,<br />

2013 when ruled unconstitutional <strong>in</strong> Floyd v. City <strong>of</strong> New York. Although this is the case,<br />

similar policies are used <strong>in</strong> other cities throughout the U.S.<br />

Opponents <strong>of</strong> stop-and-frisk believe that it is unconstitutional, <strong>in</strong>effective, and racist.<br />

Most cases <strong>in</strong> which stop and frisk is used are a result <strong>of</strong> the War on Drugs. In l<strong>in</strong>e with<br />

this, the majority <strong>of</strong> those targeted are racial m<strong>in</strong>orities, specifically African<br />

Americans. A report by the Public Advocate's <strong>of</strong>fice <strong>in</strong>dicates that <strong>of</strong> the 532,911 stops<br />

made <strong>in</strong> 2012 <strong>in</strong> New York City, 53% <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividuals were Black and 31%<br />

were Hispanic. Additionally, the New York Civil Liberties Union <strong>in</strong>dicated that only<br />

97,296 stops were made <strong>in</strong> 2002, or less than a fifth <strong>of</strong> those made <strong>in</strong> 2012. Opponents<br />

po<strong>in</strong>t to the fact that stop-and-frisk is <strong>of</strong>ten unproductive and fails to fulfill its aim. Of the<br />

2.3 million <strong>in</strong>stances <strong>of</strong> police stopp<strong>in</strong>g Black males based on reasonable suspicion<br />

between 2004 and 2012, only 16,000 resulted <strong>in</strong> the seizure <strong>of</strong> illicit goods.<br />

Re-Entry<br />

Those that believe re-entry programs need reform typically po<strong>in</strong>t to recidivism rates<br />

with<strong>in</strong> the United States crim<strong>in</strong>al justice system. While those aga<strong>in</strong>st reform claim<br />

that recidivism rates are <strong>in</strong>dicative <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>herent crim<strong>in</strong>ality amongst certa<strong>in</strong> groups, those<br />

<strong>in</strong> support <strong>of</strong> reform believe it is <strong>in</strong>dicative <strong>of</strong> the <strong>in</strong>effectiveness <strong>of</strong> re-entry and parole<br />

programs.<br />

Page 28 <strong>of</strong> 262

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