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342 MATHEMATICS<br />

Step 3 (Solving the problem) : From (1) and (2)<br />

1790 r 1 =20<br />

100 12<br />

or r =<br />

20 1200 ✁<br />

1790<br />

= 13.14 (approx.)<br />

Step 4 (Interpreting the solution) : The rate of interest charged in the instalment<br />

scheme = 13.14 %.<br />

The rate of interest charged by the bank = 10%<br />

So, she should prefer to borrow the money from the bank to buy the bicycle which is<br />

more economical.<br />

Step 5 (Validating the model) : This stage in this case is not of much importance<br />

here as the numbers are fixed. However, if the formalities for taking loan from the<br />

bank such as cost of stamp paper, etc., which make the effective interest rate more<br />

than what it is the instalment scheme, then she may change her opinion.<br />

Remark : Interest rate modelling is still at its early stages and validation is still a<br />

problem of financial markets. In case, different interest rates are incorporated in fixing<br />

instalments, validation becomes an important problem.<br />

EXERCISE A2.2<br />

In each of the problems below, show the different stages of mathematical modelling for solving<br />

the problems.<br />

1. An ornithologist wants to estimate the number of parrots in a large field. She uses a net<br />

to catch some, and catches 32 parrots, which she rings and sets free. The following<br />

week she manages to net 40 parrots, of which 8 are ringed.<br />

(i) What fraction of her second catch is<br />

ringed?<br />

(ii) Find an estimate of the total number<br />

of parrots in the field.<br />

2. Suppose the adjoining figure represents<br />

an aerial photograph of a forest with each<br />

dot representing a tree. Your purpose is to<br />

find the number of trees there are on this<br />

tract of land as part of an environmental<br />

census.

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