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Sheep magazine Archive 2: issues 10-17

Lefty online magazine: issue 10, May 2016 to issue 17, November 2016

Lefty online magazine: issue 10, May 2016 to issue 17, November 2016

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WHAT IF?<br />

–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––<br />

CHAOS<br />

THEORY<br />

Chaos theory is an area of mathematics<br />

that studies how small differences in initial<br />

conditions within comples dynamic systems<br />

can result in widely different outcomes.<br />

Chaos theory has been applied to systems<br />

in a ranges of fields, including meteorology,<br />

biology and physics. Although such systems<br />

are deterministic, with no random elements,<br />

the apparently chaotic way that they behave<br />

makes prediction very difficult.<br />

An early pioneer of chaos theory was the<br />

American mathematician and meteorologist<br />

Edward Lorenz. In 1961 Lorenz was using<br />

a computer model to predict the weather.<br />

He started inputting data relating to such<br />

interdependent variables as temperature,<br />

humidity, air pressure and the strength and<br />

direction of the wind. The first time he ran<br />

the programme, he typed in a figure of<br />

.506127 for one of the variables. Then,<br />

when he ran the programme again, he took<br />

a short cut, typing in the rounded down<br />

figure of .506. The weather scenario that<br />

resulted the second time was completely<br />

different from the first. The tiny disparity of<br />

.000127 had had a huge effect.<br />

37<br />

MAY DAY 2016

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