08.02.2019 Views

MerchantFX Reversal Patterns

The double bottoms chart pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a change in price direction. It is basically the opposite of a double top reversal pattern. This pattern signals the reversal of a downtrend into an uptrend.

The double bottoms chart pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a change in price direction. It is basically the opposite of a double top reversal pattern. This pattern signals the reversal of a downtrend into an uptrend.

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

<strong>Reversal</strong> <strong>Patterns</strong>


JAPENESE CANDLESTICKS<br />

Every candlestick pattern has four sets of data that help to define its shape.<br />

Analysts are able to make assumptions about price behaviour based on the<br />

shape.<br />

Each candlestick is based on an open, high, low and close.<br />

The time period or tick interval used does not matter.<br />

The filled or hollow bar created by the candlestick pattern is called the<br />

body.<br />

The lines that extend out of the body are called shadows.<br />

An instrument that closes higher than its opening will have a hollow or<br />

green candlestick.<br />

If the instrument closes lower, the body will have a filled or red candlestick.


Technical<br />

Analysis<br />

Japanese Candles


DOJI<br />

One of the most important candlestick formations is<br />

called the Doji.<br />

Doji, referring to both singular and plural form, is created<br />

when the open and close price is virtually the same.<br />

Doji tend to look like a cross or plus sign and have small<br />

or non-existent bodies.<br />

From an auction theory perspective Doji represent<br />

indecision on the side of both buyers and sellers.<br />

Everyone is equally matched, so the price goes nowhere;<br />

buyers and sellers are in a standoff.<br />

Analysts interpret this as a sign of reversal. However, it<br />

may also be a time when buyers or sellers are gaining<br />

momentum for a continuation trend.<br />

Doji are commonly seen in periods of consolidation and<br />

can help analysts identify potential price breakouts.<br />

4


LONG-LEGGED DOJI<br />

The Long-legged Doji is composed of long upper and lower shadows.<br />

FORMATION: Throughout the time period, the price moved up and down dramatically before it<br />

closed at or very near the opening price. This reflects the great indecision that exists between<br />

the bulls and the bears.<br />

SIGNAL: Bearish trend traders look to enter the market after a Long-Legged Doji closes and are<br />

best used on wider timeframes like the daily chart.<br />

DRAGONFLY DOJI<br />

A candle that is formed when the open and closing prices are equal to, or near, the high of the<br />

candle.<br />

FORMATION: Bears begin to sell causing the price to fall. Bullish buyers begin to buy causing the<br />

price to increase.<br />

SIGNAL: If the Dragonfly Doji is found in an downtrend, it may signal a bullish trend reversal when<br />

confirmed by a subsequent bullish candle.<br />

GRAVESTONE DOJI<br />

A candle that is formed when the open and closing prices are equal to, or near, the high of the<br />

candle<br />

FORMATION: Bulls begin to buy causing the price a rally. Bears begin selling causing the price to<br />

decrease.<br />

SIGNAL: If the Gravestone Doji is found in an uptrend, it may signal a bearish trend reversal if<br />

confirmed by a bearish decision candle.


Spinning Top<br />

Bulls and Bears struggle to take control of the price.<br />

The shadows above and below the real body suggests<br />

price action, but the small real body reflects the fact that<br />

there was no real winner in the battle.<br />

The colour of the Spinning Top is irrelevant.<br />

The Spinning Top is a signal of indecision.<br />

6


Spinning Top & Bearish<br />

7<br />

Spinning Top<br />

Candlestick lines that have small bodies with upper and lower<br />

shadows that exceed the length of the body. Spinning tops signal<br />

indecision.


Engulfing<br />

An engulfing pattern signals a reversal, and can be<br />

bullish or bearish. It comprises two candles. The<br />

body of the second must engulf the body of the<br />

first, and must be the opposite colour to the first.<br />

For a bullish engulfing candle, we have a smaller<br />

red candlestick, followed by a green candlestick,<br />

the body of which is greater in size that the<br />

previous candle.<br />

For a bearish engulfing candle, the first candlestick<br />

is smaller and green, followed by a red candlestick,<br />

the body of which engulfs the previous candle.<br />

8


The Hammer &<br />

The Hanging Man<br />

The Hammer<br />

FORMATION: In a downtrend, the sellers push the price to a<br />

level where the buyers step in and begin to lift the price higher.<br />

SIGNAL: If the Hammer is found in an extended downtrend, it<br />

may signal a bullish trend reversal when confirmed by a<br />

subsequent bullish decision candle.<br />

The Hanging Man<br />

FORMATION: In an uptrend, the sellers attempt to gain control of<br />

price by pushing the price down, but the bulls are able to step in<br />

and lift the price higher once again.<br />

SIGNAL: The Hanging Man signals vulnerability to bearish<br />

pressure. For this reason the Hanging Man is a signal of a bearish<br />

reversal if confirmed by a subsequent bearish decision candle.


Inverted Hammer &<br />

Shooting Star<br />

These candles are identified by having very small real bodies with little or no shadow to the south, and a<br />

long shadow to the north. The shape of these formations are the same, but it is the location in the trend<br />

that determines whether the formation is a Shooting Star (Bearish) or an Inverted Hammer (Bullish).<br />

Inverted Hammers and Shooting Stars can have green or red<br />

bodies – what’s important here is that the body size is small, that<br />

the upper wick is at least twice the length of the body, and the<br />

lower wick is negligible.<br />

Inverted Hammer<br />

A one-day bullish reversal pattern. In a downtrend, the open is<br />

lower, then it trades higher, but closes near its open, therefore<br />

looking like an inverted lollipop.<br />

Shooting Star<br />

A single day pattern that can appear in an uptrend. It opens<br />

higher, trades much higher, then closes near its open. It looks just<br />

like the Inverted Hammer except that it is bearish.<br />

10


Three Soldiers &<br />

Three Crows<br />

Three White Soldiers<br />

A bullish reversal pattern consisting of three consecutive<br />

long green or white bodies. Each should open within the<br />

previous body and the close should be near the high of the<br />

day.<br />

Three Black Crows<br />

A bearish reversal pattern consisting of three consecutive<br />

long red or black bodies where each day closes at or near<br />

its low and opens within the body of the previous day.<br />

11


Strategic Trading For Financial Freedom!<br />

www.<strong>MerchantFX</strong>.com.au


Double Top<br />

The double top is a frequent price formation at the end of a bull<br />

market.<br />

It appears as two consecutive peaks of approximately the same<br />

price on a price-versus-time chart of a market.<br />

The two peaks are separated by a minimum in price, a valley.<br />

The price level of this minimum is called the neck line of the<br />

formation.<br />

The formation is completed and confirmed when the price falls<br />

below the neck line, indicating that further price decline is imminent<br />

or highly likely.<br />

The double top pattern shows that demand is outpacing supply<br />

(buyers predominate) up to the first top, causing prices to rise.<br />

The supply-demand balance then reverses; supply outpaces<br />

demand (sellers predominate), causing prices to fall.<br />

After a price valley, buyers again predominate, and prices rise.<br />

If traders see that prices are not pushing past their level at the first<br />

top, sellers may again prevail, lowering prices and causing a double<br />

top to form.<br />

It is generally regarded as a bearish signal if prices drop below the<br />

neck line.


Double Top<br />

The time between the two peaks is also a determining factor for<br />

the existence of a double top pattern. If the tops appear at the<br />

same level but are very close in time, then the probability is high<br />

that they are part of the consolidation and the trend will resume.<br />

Volume is another indicator for interpreting this formation. Price<br />

reaches the first peak on increased volume then falls down the<br />

valley with low volume. Another attempt on the rally up to the<br />

second peak should be on a lower volume.


Double Bottom<br />

Confirming a Double Bottom Chart Pattern<br />

The double bottom pattern always follows a major or minor down trend in a<br />

particular security, and signals the reversal and the beginning of a potential<br />

uptrend.<br />

Consequently, the pattern should be validated by market fundamentals for the<br />

security itself, as well as the sector that the security belongs to, and the market in<br />

general.<br />

The fundamentals should reflect the characteristics of an upcoming reversal in<br />

market conditions.<br />

Also, volume should be closely monitored during the formation of the pattern.<br />

A spike in volume typically occurs during the two upward price movements in the<br />

pattern.<br />

15<br />

These spikes in volume are a strong indication of upward price pressure and serve<br />

as further confirmation of a successful double bottom pattern.


There is way more to understanding candlestick patterns than<br />

just identifying them it’s about what is going to happen next?<br />

Knowing what is in front of you on the charts, understanding price action, the trend and volatility of the asset class will<br />

put you in the best position possible as the opportunity arises!<br />

BULLS VS BEARS Every candlestick is a battle of the buyers against the sellers. From candlesticks we can see the data<br />

of who is in control who is pulling back.<br />

What will happen next?<br />

“I can’t emphasize enough that we should always look at the bigger picture. a single candlestick alone is not enough.<br />

PAST TRENDS? KEY LEVELS ? PARAMETERS? HIGHS? LOWS? FORMATIONS?”<br />

16<br />

CRAIG MERCHANT


NEVER MISS AN<br />

OPPORTUNITY AGAIN<br />

TRADE ALERTS<br />

QUANT MODELS<br />

KEY CHART LEVELS<br />

LIVE NEWS UPDATES


Head and Shoulders<br />

A Head and Shoulders reversal pattern forms<br />

after an uptrend, and its completion marks a trend<br />

reversal. The pattern contains three successive<br />

peaks with the middle peak (head) being the<br />

highest and the two outside peaks (shoulders)<br />

being low and roughly equal. The reaction lows of<br />

each peak can be connected to form support, or a<br />

neckline.<br />

Inverted Head and Shoulders<br />

18


Head and Shoulders<br />

Prior Trend: It is important to establish the existence of a prior uptrend for this to be a reversal pattern. Without a prior uptrend to reverse, there<br />

cannot be a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern (or any reversal pattern for that matter).<br />

Left Shoulder: While in an uptrend, the left shoulder forms a peak that marks the high point of the current trend. After making this peak, a decline<br />

ensues to complete the formation of the shoulder The low of the decline usually remains above the trend line, keeping the uptrend intact.<br />

Head: From the low of the left shoulder, an advance begins that exceeds the previous high and marks the top of the head. After peaking, the low of<br />

the subsequent decline marks the second point of the neckline. The low of the decline usually breaks the uptrend line, putting the uptrend in<br />

jeopardy.<br />

Right Shoulder: The advance from the low of the head forms the right shoulder. This peak is lower than the head (a lower high) and usually in line<br />

with the high of the left shoulder. While symmetry is preferred, sometimes the shoulders can be out of whack. The decline from the peak of the right<br />

shoulder should break the neckline.<br />

Neckline: The neckline forms by connecting low points 1 and 2. Low point 1 marks the end of the left shoulder and the beginning of the head. Low<br />

point 2 marks the end of the head and the beginning of the right shoulder. Depending on the relationship between the two low points, the neckline<br />

can slope up, slope down or be horizontal. The slope of the neckline will affect the pattern's degree of bearishness - a downward slope is more<br />

bearish than an upward slope. Sometimes more than one low point can be used to form the neckline.<br />

Support Turned Resistance: Once support is broken, it is common for this same support level to turn into resistance. Sometimes, but certainly not<br />

always, the price will return to the support break, and offer a second chance to sell.<br />

Price Target: After breaking neckline support, the projected price decline is found by measuring the distance from the neckline to the top of the<br />

head. This distance is then subtracted from the neckline to reach a price target. Any price target should serve as a rough guide, and other factors<br />

should be considered as well. These factors might include previous support levels, Fibonacci retracements, or long-term moving averages


Morning Star<br />

A three-day bullish reversal pattern<br />

consisting of three candlesticks - a longbodied<br />

black candle extending the<br />

current downtrend, a short middle<br />

candle that gapped down on the open,<br />

and a long-bodied white candle that<br />

gapped up on the open and closed<br />

above the midpoint of the body of the<br />

first day.<br />

20


Evening Star<br />

Evening Star<br />

A bearish reversal pattern that continues an<br />

uptrend with a long white body day followed by a<br />

gapped up small body day, then a down close with<br />

the close below the midpoint of the first day<br />

Evening Doji Star<br />

A three-day bearish reversal pattern similar to the<br />

Evening Star. The uptrend continues with a large<br />

white body. The next day opens higher, trades in a<br />

small range, then closes at its open (Doji). The next<br />

day closes below the midpoint of the body of the<br />

first day.<br />

21


Questions to ask yourself while<br />

you do the analysis?<br />

THE CURRENT CANDLE:<br />

The size of the body?<br />

The candle body is a great starting point because we can get a lot of information from it. A long body is showing strength<br />

when bodies become larger it shows momentum . When bodies become smaller, it shows slowing momentum. The body<br />

shows the range over the duration of the candle .<br />

Larger or smaller than the previous ones? Is the size changing meaningful or not?<br />

Is the change happening during an inactive trading period?<br />

For example, candlesticks on EUR pairs they tend to shrink in size during the quieter Asian session.<br />

The length of wicks?<br />

Wicks can show the volatility of price movements. Larger wicks show that price has moved a lot during the duration of<br />

the candle, but it got rejected. When candle wicks become larger it shows an increase in volatility. This often happens<br />

after long trending phases before a reversal happens. Or at major support and resistance levels.


Continued<br />

The ratio between wicks and bodies do you see longer wicks or bodies?<br />

In a high momentum trend, you can often see long bodies with small wicks. When uncertainty<br />

rises, the volatility picks up and bodies become smaller while wicks become larger. The position<br />

of the body this is an extension of the previous point.<br />

Can you see a long wick with a body on the opposite side?<br />

This is often showing a rejection When you have a small body in the middle of a candle with long<br />

wicks, it means indecision<br />

You can see that once we start combining the information that wicks and bodies provide, we can<br />

practically analyse all candlestick formations<br />

23


MFX LIVE TV<br />

www,myFXplan.com/MFX-live-tv/<br />

For more strategies tutorials and in depth analysis follow us on our YouTube channel:<br />

LIVE WEBINARS<br />

WATCH ANYTIME


info@<strong>MerchantFX</strong>.com.au +61 (0) 38 393 1800 www.<strong>MerchantFX</strong>.com.au

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!