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Richard H Thaler - Misbehaving- The Making of Behavioral Economics (epub)

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one. He also did not sell any <strong>of</strong> his bottles to Woody. This is illogical. If he is<br />

willing to drink a bottle that he could sell for $100, then drinking it has to be<br />

worth more than $100. But then, why wouldn’t he also be willing to buy such a<br />

bottle? In fact, why did he refuse to buy any bottle that cost anything close to<br />

$100? As an economist, Rosett knew such behavior was not rational, but he<br />

couldn’t help himself.§<br />

<strong>The</strong>se examples all involve what economists call “opportunity costs.” <strong>The</strong><br />

opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> some activity is what you give up by doing it. If I go for a<br />

hike today instead <strong>of</strong> staying home to watch football, then the opportunity cost<br />

<strong>of</strong> going on the hike is the forgone pleasure <strong>of</strong> watching the game. For the $100<br />

bottle <strong>of</strong> wine, the opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> drinking the bottle is what Woody was<br />

willing to pay Rosett for it. Whether Rosett drank his own bottle or bought one,<br />

the opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> drinking it remains the same. But as Rosett’s behavior<br />

illustrated, even economists have trouble equating opportunity costs with out-<strong>of</strong>pocket<br />

costs. Giving up the opportunity to sell something does not hurt as much<br />

as taking the money out <strong>of</strong> your wallet to pay for it. Opportunity costs are vague<br />

and abstract when compared to handing over actual cash.<br />

My friend Tom Russell suggested another interesting case. At the time, credit<br />

cards were beginning to come into widespread use, and credit card issuers were<br />

in a legal battle with retailers over whether merchants could charge different<br />

prices to cash and credit card customers. Since credit cards charge the retailer for<br />

collecting the money, some merchants, particularly gas stations, wanted to<br />

charge credit card users a higher price. Of course, the credit card industry hated<br />

this practice; they wanted consumers to view the use <strong>of</strong> the card as free. As the<br />

case wound its way through the regulatory process, the credit card lobby hedged<br />

its bets and shifted focus to form over substance. <strong>The</strong>y insisted that if a store did<br />

charge different prices to cash and credit card customers, the “regular price”<br />

would be the higher credit card price, with cash customers <strong>of</strong>fered a “discount.”<br />

<strong>The</strong> alternative would have set the cash price as the regular price with credit card<br />

customers required to pay a “surcharge.”<br />

To an Econ these two policies are identical. If the credit card price is $1.03<br />

and the cash price is $1, it should not matter whether you call the three-cent<br />

difference a discount or a surcharge. Nevertheless, the credit card industry<br />

rightly had a strong preference for the discount. Many years later Kahneman and<br />

Tversky would call this distinction “framing,” but marketers already had a gut<br />

instinct that framing mattered. Paying a surcharge is out-<strong>of</strong>-pocket, whereas not<br />

receiving a discount is a “mere” opportunity cost.<br />

I called this phenomenon the “endowment effect” because, in economists’<br />

lingo, the stuff you own is part <strong>of</strong> your endowment, and I had stumbled upon a

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