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ASQ12-EN Final

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COUNTRY PROFILE: GREATER CHINA<br />

GREATER CHINA<br />

by Litalia Yoakum<br />

With a population of over 1.35 billion people, not including Taiwan, Hong<br />

Kong and Macau, Mainland China is the most populated country in the<br />

world. From North to South along the eastern border are the country’s<br />

most populated provinces, while the inner and western provinces are<br />

much less inhabited because of its geographical makeup.<br />

As one of the world’s largest economies, second only to the US — and<br />

first by many accounts, China is an influential player in the global<br />

economy; one that can’t be overlooked. After introducing its Open Door<br />

Policy in 1978 — set in place by then-party leader Deng Xiaoping, the<br />

country opened itself up to foreign investment, trade and the setup of<br />

foreign businesses. Since then its economy has transformed, developing<br />

into the world’s largest manufacturing economy and fastest growing<br />

consumer market.<br />

The HNW and UHNWI populations in Greater China have grown<br />

exponentially, as well. According to WealthX, the number of UHNWIs —<br />

with assets of over US$50M — reached 19,257 by 2018.<br />

Still, this swift economic growth isn’t without challenge. Recent divide<br />

over tariffs on US and Chinese goods has left uncertainty between<br />

two of the largest, global trading partners; threatening to permanently<br />

weaken their economic relationship. This tension has hit all industries,<br />

including aircraft manufacturers. While analysts have yet to determine<br />

what the full impact of a trade war would be, the Chinese government’s<br />

economic outlook remains positive.<br />

In a bid to further drive the economy, one of the government’s most<br />

recent ventures is its Greater Bay Area Initiative; bringing together the<br />

Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of Macau and Hong Kong — both<br />

of which operate under the ‘one country, two systems’ principle, entitling<br />

each to retain their own economic and administrative systems — along<br />

with the Guangdong Province in Mainland China. This ambitious plan,<br />

including the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau Bridge and an Express Rail Link<br />

between Hong Kong, Shenzhen and Guangzhou, is set to integrate the<br />

regions physically and economically, as well as to tie each SAR a bit<br />

closer to Beijing.<br />

Capitalizing on China’s rapid expansion are the equally-growing general<br />

and business aviation industries. Growth in these industries has<br />

long been correlated with economic expansion and now, with recent<br />

economic reform and a push for more infrastructure, China’s aviation<br />

industry is more notable than ever before.<br />

Passenger traffic will<br />

continue to grow and<br />

the demand for aircraft<br />

will increase to meet<br />

the growing need.<br />

Business Jet Fleet Distribution by Age<br />

16-20 Years, 37 (7%)<br />

11-15 Years, 66 (13%)<br />

6-10 Years, 264 (52%)<br />

24+52+13+7+4+G<br />

>20 Years, 22 (5%)<br />

0-5 Years, 123 (24%)<br />

Business Jet Fleet by Operators and OEM<br />

57 +39 +16 +15 +14+12 +12 +11 +11 +7<br />

57<br />

39<br />

Deer Jet<br />

BAA<br />

Sino Jet<br />

TAG Aviation<br />

Total Fleet<br />

512<br />

16 15 14 12 12 11 11 7<br />

China Eastern<br />

Lily Jet<br />

Nanshan Jet<br />

LilyAstro Air<br />

Total<br />

Airbus 2 5 1 8<br />

Beoing 4 2 1 3 10<br />

Bombardier 1 7 1 7 1 5 10 1 4 37<br />

Cessna 1 1<br />

Dassault 8 9 1 3 2 1 1 25<br />

Embraer 3 5 1 5 5 19<br />

Gulfstream 37 15 7 3 7 7 1 1 9 1 88<br />

Hawker 5 1 6<br />

Total 57 39 16 15 14 12 12 11 11 7 194<br />

Data Source: Asian Sky Group Fleet Report (Year-End 2017)<br />

STATUS QUO<br />

Mainland China’s aviation market is set to become the largest in the world,<br />

overtaking the US as the current market leader, according to forecasts by<br />

both Boeing and the International Civil Aviation Organization. Passenger<br />

traffic will continue to grow and the demand for aircraft will increase<br />

to meet the growing need. While these numbers are reflective of the<br />

commercial aviation sector, business and general aviation are likewise<br />

experiencing growth.<br />

2017 was a strong year for the business jet market in Greater China.<br />

Maintaining its position as the Asia-Pacific market leader at yearend<br />

2017, with 512 jets up from 476 at yearend 2016; the Greater China<br />

region experienced 7.6% growth almost doubling the annual growth rate<br />

of 4.4% in 2016.<br />

HongKong Jet<br />

Sparkle Roll Jet<br />

20 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018

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