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THIRD QUARTER 2018<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC OUTLOOK<br />

METRICS & MOOD<br />

UPCOMING AIRCRAFT<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

GLOBAL 5500 / 6500 / 7500<br />

PRE-OWNED MARKET<br />

CORPORATE AIRLINERS<br />

PAST, PRES<strong>EN</strong>T & FUTURE<br />

COUNTRY PROFILE<br />

GREATER CHINA<br />

MARKET SUMMARIES<br />

JETS & HELICOPTERS<br />

INTERVIEWS<br />

MICHAEL HUI<br />

CONSULTING MANAGER<br />

ASIAN SKY GROUP<br />

SPECIAL FEATURES<br />

• ASG'S TRAINING REPORT: EXCLUSIVE PREVIEW<br />

• US-CHINA RELATIONS


RELY ON.<br />

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PUBLISHER’S NOTE<br />

The third quarter of 2018 saw a dramatic change from just two years<br />

before. In Q2 2016 the market had an abundance of inventory — with a<br />

worldwide inventory value of roughly US$7.8 billion. Two years later, the<br />

inventory value has been reduced significantly, reaching a worldwide<br />

value of US$5.8 billion. Back then, buyers had ample supply at much<br />

lower prices. Today’s market has much less supply at higher prices,<br />

making it harder for buyers to find that ideal business jet.<br />

One of the driving forces leading the market from a Buyer’s Market<br />

toward a Seller’s Market is Gulfstream and its fleet of pre-owned aircraft.<br />

Gulfstream’s G200 saw 41 transactions in the past 12 months. The<br />

G550 had 39 transactions and the G650/650ER had 23 transactions<br />

in the past 12 months. A few other indicators are the low number of<br />

days on market (DOM) and the overall supply vs. demand ratio; both of<br />

which are lower than most aircraft on the market. Notably, Bombardier’s<br />

Challenger 600 series and Global series have also followed a similar<br />

trend. These models are all relatively ‘easy’ to sell, more attractive to<br />

buyers and they have a higher inventory available for sale.<br />

Because those aircraft are selling much quicker than most, pricing has<br />

increased for those still on the market. Overall, this has made for a less<br />

active market, with fewer transactions.<br />

Of course, as we saw in ASG’s quarterly Market Survey in the ‘Mood &<br />

Intentions’ section, economic confidence is down. Optimism plateaued<br />

in Q1 and pessimistic feelings toward the economy have raised<br />

drastically; the biggest decline in economic confidence since the start<br />

of the Market Survey. We’re seeing these feelings across the region, but<br />

these are most prominent in Greater China.<br />

The obvious finger to point here is at the US-China trade war, which, as a<br />

Special Feature for this issue of Asian Sky Quarterly, I explain in further<br />

detail on Page 18, offering what I hope to be a look into this complex<br />

situation between two global powerhouses.<br />

The helicopter segment is, as always, more complex. There remains an<br />

oversupply of inventory, yet average asking prices are dropping. This<br />

is likely a result of owners coming to terms with unrealistic prices, as<br />

average DOM are increasing. Once again, the market is going through<br />

changes. The best example of this is the S-76 C++, used for offshore oil<br />

and gas operations. In Q3 2017, the average asking prices was US$7.3M.<br />

One year later the price is US$5.4M. DOM have increased significantly<br />

from just the previous quarter; rising from 555 in Q2 to 641 this quarter.<br />

This is the epitome of a Buyer’s Market with no significant indicators to<br />

when this will turn around.<br />

As for the rest of Asian Sky Quarterly, this issue features a look at<br />

Bombardier’s Global series — the 5500, 6500 and 7500. We also<br />

examine the pre-owed corporate airliner market — including data on<br />

BBJs, the ACJ series, Bombardier’s Challenger 850 and Embraer’s<br />

Lineage 1000. China is very much in the minds of the industry; thus,<br />

we’ve profiled business aviation in Greater China this quarter. One of<br />

ASG’s newest additions is Michael Hui, Consulting Manager and he has<br />

shared his insight on the growing consulting division with the company.<br />

You’ll also get a glimpse of ASG’s latest report, an update to the inagural<br />

Asia Pacific Training School Report, highlighting the need for training<br />

schools in light of the growing pilot shortage.<br />

As with every issue of Asian Sky Quarterly, I hope you find this edition<br />

to be a useful resource, particularly when making aircraft buying and<br />

selling decisions.<br />

Another example of the changing market is the AW139, which<br />

showcases a different story. Operators of this aircraft are gradually<br />

changing its mission type from offshore use to EMS and VIP use. These<br />

mission segments, along with SAR and law enforcement, are more in<br />

demand. Consequently, inventory level for this aircraft is reducing and<br />

average asking price is rising.<br />

Sincerely,<br />

Jeffrey C. Lowe<br />

Managing Director, Asian Sky Group<br />

SPECIAL THANKS TO OUR CONTRIBUTORS:<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 1


CONT<strong>EN</strong>TS<br />

04 ECONOMICS<br />

34<br />

08<br />

14<br />

18<br />

19<br />

28<br />

Overview of the Asia-Pacific region’s current status and<br />

specific country’s GDP versus their business jet fleet size.<br />

MOOD & INT<strong>EN</strong>TIONS<br />

Results of the survey on the Asia-Pacific region’s outlook<br />

on current economic status, aircraft utilization, purchase<br />

intentions and influencing factors.<br />

SPECIAL FEATURE: TRAINING REPORT<br />

PILOT DEMAND & SPECIAL MISSIONS TRAINING<br />

A sneak peek at what’s to come in ASG’s upcoming Asia<br />

Pacific Training Report.<br />

SPECIAL FEATURE: US-CHINA RELATIONS<br />

JEFFREY C. LOWE, MANAGING DIRECTOR; ASG<br />

Speaking on the volatile climate between the US and China<br />

in their escalating talks on trade and how this will impact<br />

business aviation.<br />

COUNTRY PROFILE - GREATER CHINA<br />

Overview and examination of Greater China’s business aviation<br />

industry, current challenges and potential for the future.<br />

PRE-OWNED MARKET SPOTLIGHT<br />

CORPORATE AIRLINER<br />

A comprehensive market performance analysis of the preowned<br />

corporate airliner market.<br />

42<br />

45<br />

50<br />

60<br />

MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

An in-depth analysis of inventory levels, market trends<br />

and the changing price signals for the business jet and<br />

helicopter fleets in the Asia-Pacific region, given the<br />

continual fluctuations in supply and demand.<br />

INTERVIEW:<br />

MICHAEL HUI, CONSULTING MANAGER; ASG<br />

Discussing his insight in providing consultancy to the<br />

commercial aviation sector and how this will translate to<br />

working in general aviation.<br />

UPCOMING SPOTLIGHT<br />

BOMBARDIER GLOBAL SERIES<br />

An introduction to the Global series — Global 5500, Global<br />

6500 and Global 7500, with a complete look at series’<br />

range, payload capacity and evolution over the years.<br />

MARKET SUMMARY - JETS<br />

A look at market position and average days on market of<br />

featured pre-owned business jets.<br />

MARKET SUMMARY - HELICOPTERS<br />

A look at market position and average days on market of<br />

featured pre-owned helicopters.<br />

PUBLISHER<br />

EDITORIAL<br />

Litalia Yoakum<br />

Roderick Li<br />

DESIGN<br />

Michael Wong<br />

Aya Leung<br />

Robert Li<br />

MARKET RESEARCH & DATA ANALYSIS<br />

Bowen Zhang<br />

DATA SUPPORT<br />

Avinava Sengupta<br />

Candice Yue<br />

Casper Zhuang<br />

Jersey Wu<br />

Michelle Shen<br />

The materials and information provided by Asian Sky<br />

Group Limited (“ASG”) in this report is for reference<br />

only. Any information we provide about how we may<br />

interpret the data and market, or how certain issues<br />

may be addressed is provided generally without<br />

considering your specific circumstances. Such<br />

information should not be regarded as a substitute<br />

for professional advice. Independent professional<br />

advice should be sought before taking action on any<br />

matters to which information provided in this report<br />

may be relevant.<br />

ASG shall not be liable for any losses, damage, costs<br />

or expenses howsoever caused, arising directly or<br />

indirectly from the use of or inability to use this report<br />

or use of or reliance upon any information or material<br />

provided in this report or otherwise in connection with<br />

any representation, statement or information on or<br />

contained in this report.<br />

ASG endeavors to ensure that the information<br />

contained in this report is accurate as at the date<br />

of publication, but does not guarantee or warrant<br />

its accuracy or completeness, or accept any liability<br />

of whatever nature for any losses, damage, costs<br />

or expenses howsoever caused, whether arising<br />

directly or indirectly from any error or omission in<br />

compiling such information. This report also uses<br />

third party information not compiled by ASG. ASG<br />

is not responsible for such information and makes<br />

no representation about the accuracy, completeness<br />

or any other aspect of information contained. The<br />

information, data, articles, or resources provided by<br />

any other parties do not in any way signify that ASG<br />

endorses the same.<br />

ADVERTISING/AIRCRAFT SALES <strong>EN</strong>QUIRIES:<br />

sales@asianskygroup.com<br />

Asian Sky Group<br />

Suite 1401, 14 Floor, Fortis Tower<br />

77-79 Gloucester Road, Wan Chai, Hong Kong<br />

Tel: (852) 2235 9222 | Fax: (852) 2528 2766<br />

sales@asianskygroup.com<br />

www.asianskygroup.com<br />

www.asianskymedia.com<br />

2 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


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2018Q2 ECONOMICS<br />

Australia<br />

Australia’s economy advanced 3.4 percent year-on-year (y/y) in Q2,<br />

beating market expectations of a 2.8% growth. This is the fastest<br />

expansion Australia has seen since Q3 2012. Growth is attributed to<br />

domestic demand, namely household consumption and government<br />

spending. Foreign trade also supported the growth, with both exports<br />

and imports of goods and services increasing.<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Hong Kong’s GDP slowed in Q2 2018, coming in at 3.5% y/y after<br />

reaching 4.7% y/y in the first quarter of 2018. This marks the seventh<br />

quarter of growth for Hong Kong, attributed to an expansion in export<br />

services and inbound tourism, which registered double-digit growth.<br />

Still, the regional trade conflict marks uncertainties.<br />

Malaysia<br />

Malaysia’s GDP grew by 4.5% y/y in Q2, down from 5.4% in Q1 and below<br />

market expectations of a 5.2% growth. The 4.5% growth is attributed to<br />

strong domestic demand, with private consumption growing 8% y/y.<br />

Manufacturing and construction also fuelled further growth.<br />

Philippines<br />

Growth in the Philippines slowed to 6% in Q2 2018, falling short<br />

of market expectations. The external sector is attributed to the<br />

deceleration, posting a large negative growth as imports surged. The<br />

closure of the tourist hotspot Boracay further impacted growth in export<br />

of services, while the closure of several mining pits and the excise tax<br />

on non-metallic and metallic minerals left the mining sector with a poor<br />

performance.<br />

India<br />

India’s economy grew by 8.2% y/y in Q2, after expanding to 7.7% in the<br />

previous quarter, making it the world’s fastest-growing major economy.<br />

This was the strongest growth rate since Q1 2016. Strong performances<br />

in household spending, financial, real estate and manufacturing sectors<br />

are attributed to the GDP increase.<br />

Taiwan<br />

In Q2 2018, Taiwan’s economy rose to 3.29% y/y, supported by a strong<br />

showing in exports and private consumption. Q2’s GDP beat market<br />

expectations of a 3.08% increase, which is expected to boost the entire<br />

economic growth for 2018. Still, analysts expect Q3 and Q4 growths<br />

to slow.<br />

Indonesia<br />

Indonesia’s economy saw a 5.27% increase y/y in Q2 2018, the highest<br />

(annual) quarterly growth pace under President Joko Widodo, along<br />

with the strongest growth in 4.5 years. The expansion was driven by<br />

faster rises in private consumption and government spending while<br />

fixed investment grew firmly.<br />

Japan<br />

Japan’s economy returned to growth with a 1.9% expansion in Q2 after<br />

declining in Q1. The improved performance stems from a rebound<br />

in private consumption, supported by a tight labor market. Fixed<br />

investment also recovered in the second quarter.<br />

Mainland China<br />

Amid an escalating trade war, China’s economy grew 6.7% y/y in Q2<br />

2018, in line with expectations and above the government’s year growth<br />

target of 6.5%. GDP growth in Q2 was the lowest expansion rate since<br />

Q3 2016. The slower expansion is attributed to the country’s effort to<br />

bring down the national debt. While the tariff battle between the US and<br />

China hasn’t made a significant impact on GDP thus far, it has impacted<br />

business confidence.<br />

Singapore<br />

Singapore’s economy grew 3.9% in Q2, down from Q1’s revised 4.5%<br />

performance and below expectations of 4.1% growth. Slowed growth<br />

was backed by an increase in the manufacturing sector, while the<br />

construction sector contracted. The city-state’s Ministry of Trade and<br />

Industry expects the second half of 2018 to moderate, citing increased<br />

trade tensions between the US and China, as well as tighter financial<br />

conditions globally.<br />

South Korea<br />

South Korea’s economy grew 2.8% in Q2 y/y, coming in with the same<br />

growth that Q1 saw. Private consumption slipped in Q2, coinciding with<br />

a fall in consumer confidence. The first half of 2018 saw unemployment<br />

rates increase, which has left consumers unwilling to spend. Still,<br />

government spending remained strong.<br />

Thailand<br />

Thailand’s economy slowed in Q2 to 4.6 y/y, still beating market<br />

expectations. Government spending rose at a slower pace while<br />

investment, private consumption and exports continued to increase at<br />

a solid pace. Q2 saw a decrease to the number of tourists, slowing from<br />

15.4% in Q1 to 9.1%.<br />

* China's researching area includes Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau & Taiwan.<br />

4 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


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THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 5


ECONOMICS<br />

BUSINESS JET FLEET AND GDP BY COUNTRY<br />

Australia<br />

China<br />

Hong Kong<br />

India<br />

Indonesia<br />

Japan<br />

Malaysia<br />

New Zealand<br />

Papua New<br />

Guinea<br />

Philippines<br />

Singapore<br />

South Korea<br />

Taiwan<br />

Thailand<br />

GDP (BILLION USD)*<br />

BUSINESS JET FLEET<br />

CIVIL TURBINE HELICOPTER FLEET<br />

356<br />

897<br />

12,348<br />

9,491<br />

4,909<br />

5,034<br />

250<br />

749<br />

608<br />

649<br />

642<br />

2,393<br />

1,862<br />

1,564<br />

1,306<br />

913<br />

511<br />

420<br />

323<br />

300<br />

276<br />

272<br />

191<br />

15<br />

1,477<br />

1,235<br />

951<br />

570<br />

421<br />

338<br />

334<br />

319<br />

315<br />

193<br />

20<br />

170<br />

140<br />

114<br />

55<br />

48<br />

43<br />

39<br />

32<br />

20<br />

16<br />

9<br />

3<br />

185<br />

146<br />

138<br />

63<br />

54<br />

52<br />

50<br />

48<br />

38<br />

25<br />

20<br />

19<br />

6<br />

382<br />

274<br />

272<br />

210<br />

170<br />

136<br />

135<br />

128<br />

95<br />

36<br />

14<br />

1<br />

496<br />

292<br />

227<br />

214<br />

171<br />

156<br />

112<br />

106<br />

21<br />

15<br />

6<br />

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Q1 2018Q2 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Q1 2018Q2 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Q1 2018Q2<br />

* 2014 - 2017 ASG data, historically adjusted using Jetnet fleet yearly increases.<br />

* GDP Source: Tradingeconomics.com<br />

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6 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


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THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 7


G+4+4+4+8+11+11+11+12+15<br />

MOOD & INT<strong>EN</strong>TIONS:<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY 2018Q3<br />

In the third quarter of 2018, over 320 respondents participated in ASG’s<br />

survey regarding the mood and intentions of the current business<br />

aviation market.<br />

Regions with the most respondents include:<br />

1. Southeast and Northeast Asia (121 valid respondents, including<br />

Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, Brunei, Philippines, Thailand,<br />

Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam, Japan, and South Korea)<br />

2. Greater China (99 valid respondents, including Mainland China,<br />

Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau)<br />

3. Central Asia (45 valid respondents, including India, Pakistan, UAE,<br />

etc.)<br />

4. Oceania (37 valid respondents, including Australia and New<br />

Zealand)<br />

TOP 10 RESPOND<strong>EN</strong>T’S LOCATION<br />

Japan (4%)<br />

Malaysia (4%)<br />

Indonesia (8%)<br />

Philippines (11%)<br />

India (11%)<br />

Singapore (11%)<br />

20+<br />

84 %<br />

OF TOTAL<br />

RESPOND<strong>EN</strong>TS<br />

Thailand (4%)<br />

Mainland China (20%)<br />

Hong Kong (15%)<br />

Australia (12%)<br />

Almost 70% of the respondents from this quarter’s survey are from aircraft operators and aircraft services providers (FBO, MRO, etc.), as well<br />

as from aircraft brokers (13%), aircraft end users (3%) and other related areas, as well.<br />

RESPOND<strong>EN</strong>T LOCATION<br />

RESPOND<strong>EN</strong>T AIRCRAFT TYPE<br />

RESPOND<strong>EN</strong>T CATEGORY<br />

Rest of the World<br />

(7%)<br />

Oceania (11%)<br />

37+31+14+11+7+G<br />

Turboprop (19%)<br />

Civil Helicopter<br />

(24%)<br />

57+24+19+G 39+30+15+13+3+G<br />

Business Jet (57%)<br />

Aircraft Owner / Charter<br />

User (3%)<br />

Aircraft Sales / Charter<br />

Broker (13%)<br />

Central Asia<br />

(14%) Other (15%)<br />

320+<br />

RESPOND<strong>EN</strong>TS<br />

Southeast & Northeast<br />

Asia (37%)<br />

Greater China (31%)<br />

Service Providers<br />

(FBO,MRO,etc) (39%)<br />

Aircraft Operator (30%)<br />

WHAT IS OUR CURR<strong>EN</strong>T ECONOMIC STATUS?<br />

(QUARTERLY COMPARISON)<br />

Optimistic<br />

(Will get better)<br />

Past Low Point<br />

25% 22%<br />

At Low Point<br />

30% 30%<br />

24%<br />

30%<br />

26%<br />

27%<br />

36%<br />

38%<br />

45%<br />

52%<br />

56%<br />

52%<br />

55%<br />

41%<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

30%<br />

50%<br />

Pessimistic<br />

(Will get worse)<br />

45%<br />

Not Reached Low Point<br />

48%<br />

46%<br />

47%<br />

34%<br />

35%<br />

27%<br />

34%<br />

21%<br />

32%<br />

15%<br />

34%<br />

10%<br />

37%<br />

11%<br />

28%<br />

16%<br />

27%<br />

32%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

2015<br />

Q4<br />

2016<br />

Q1<br />

2016<br />

Q2<br />

2016<br />

Q3<br />

2016<br />

Q4<br />

2017<br />

Q1<br />

2017<br />

Q2<br />

2017<br />

Q3<br />

2017<br />

Q4<br />

2018<br />

Q1<br />

2018<br />

Q2<br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

8 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


MOOD & INT<strong>EN</strong>TIONS: ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY 2018Q3<br />

OPTIMISM LEVELS SINCE 2016Q3 - REGIONAL DIFFER<strong>EN</strong>CES<br />

Greater China SE & NE Asia Central Asia Oceania<br />

Overall<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

80%<br />

57%<br />

83% 84%<br />

79%<br />

69%<br />

73%<br />

66%<br />

61%<br />

62%<br />

91%<br />

81%<br />

79%<br />

70%<br />

68%<br />

95%<br />

86%<br />

85%<br />

79%<br />

100%<br />

94%<br />

92%<br />

91%<br />

92%<br />

89%<br />

90%<br />

87% 88%<br />

78%<br />

92%<br />

89%<br />

84%<br />

76%<br />

75%<br />

88%<br />

88%<br />

83%<br />

68%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

54%<br />

53%<br />

54%<br />

43%<br />

41%<br />

30%<br />

2016<br />

Q3<br />

2016<br />

Q4<br />

2017<br />

Q1<br />

2017<br />

Q2<br />

2017<br />

Q3<br />

2017<br />

Q4<br />

2018<br />

Q1<br />

2018<br />

Q2<br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

Level of optimistic feelings for economics dropped drastically in 2018<br />

Q3. This quarter, 41% of respondents believed that the economy passed<br />

its low point and will improve, which is 14% lower than 2018 Q2 and the<br />

lowest point since 2017 Q2. The number of respondents who believe<br />

the current economy is at its low point and will get better is 27%; 1%<br />

lower than the previous quarter and the lowest number since 2016 Q3.<br />

Alternatively, 32% of respondents believed that the economy hasn’t<br />

reached its low point and will continue to worsen; this is a 16% increase<br />

compared to 2018 Q2 and is the highest point since 2017 Q1.<br />

One factor for such a drastic change regarding the economy is the<br />

continually elevating Sino-US trade war which has heavily affected the<br />

economic confidence of respondents from Greater China. However,<br />

respondents from Oceania region have shown more optimism.<br />

In general, respondents who believe that the current economic situation<br />

has passed its low point or is at its low point can be described as<br />

optimistic. This quarter, 68% of respondents believed that our economy<br />

will improve in the future; this is a 16% decrease from 2018 Q2 and the<br />

lowest since 2016 Q1.<br />

The optimistic level for Greater China (Mainland, Hong Kong, Macau<br />

and Taiwan) is much lower than average this quarter, after enduring a<br />

35% decline from 2018 Q2. This is the highest decline and lowest point<br />

since 2015 Q4; when the survey began. Central Asia (made up of mainly<br />

respondents from India and Pakistan) showed the highest optimistic<br />

level of 88%, a minor 4% decrease compared to 2018 Q2, yet still at a<br />

very high level. The optimistic level for Southeast and Northeast Asia<br />

has decreased by 6% to 83% compared to last quarter. Oceania, however,<br />

stopped its trend of declining and increased to 88% in 2018 Q3, which is<br />

the highest since 2015 Q4, making it the top two most optimistic regions<br />

— along with Central Asia.<br />

HOW IS YOUR AIRCRAFT UTILIZATION COMPARED TO 12 MONTHS AGO?<br />

100%<br />

Up by 20% and more (>20%)<br />

90%<br />

24%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

Up but less than 20% (0 - 20%)<br />

Increased<br />

60%<br />

The same (0%)<br />

36%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

Down but less than 20% (-20 - 0%)<br />

21%<br />

Unchanged<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

2016<br />

Q3<br />

Down by 20% or more (


MOOD & INT<strong>EN</strong>TIONS: ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY 2018Q3<br />

GREATER CHINA<br />

Improved Aircraft Utilization<br />

AIRCRAFT UTILIZATION:<br />

REGIONAL DIFFER<strong>EN</strong>CES<br />

OPTIMISTIC<br />

47 19 34 34 28 38 29 24 47 18 31 51 22 23 55 21 19 60 18 22 60 21 33 48 232255<br />

PESSIMISTIC<br />

47%<br />

19%<br />

34%<br />

2016<br />

Q3<br />

OCEANIA<br />

46 32 22 38 31 31 31 44 25 23 33 45 25 17 58 21 38 41 30 18 52 47 18 35 261956<br />

PESSIMISTIC<br />

34%<br />

28%<br />

38%<br />

Decreased The Same Increased Signal Line*<br />

29%<br />

24%<br />

47%<br />

18%<br />

31%<br />

51%<br />

22%<br />

23%<br />

55%<br />

21%<br />

19%<br />

60%<br />

18%<br />

22%<br />

Improved Aircraft Utilization<br />

OPTIMISTIC<br />

46%<br />

32%<br />

22%<br />

2016<br />

Q4<br />

38%<br />

31%<br />

31%<br />

2017<br />

Q1<br />

Decreased The Same Increased Signal Line*<br />

31%<br />

44%<br />

25%<br />

2017<br />

Q2<br />

23%<br />

33%<br />

45%<br />

2017<br />

Q3<br />

25%<br />

27%<br />

58%<br />

2017<br />

Q4<br />

21%<br />

38%<br />

41%<br />

30%<br />

18%<br />

60%<br />

2018<br />

Q1<br />

52%<br />

21%<br />

47%<br />

33%<br />

18%<br />

46%<br />

2018<br />

Q2<br />

35%<br />

23%<br />

22%<br />

26%<br />

19%<br />

55%<br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

56%<br />

This quarter, 18% of respondents (+3% since<br />

last quarter, -25% since 2016 Q1) in the surveyed<br />

area said their expected aircraft utilization has<br />

decreased. 60% of respondents said their<br />

aircraft utilization has increased, which is a 1%<br />

decrease compared to last quarter.<br />

* An Optimistic-Pessimistic Signal Line has<br />

been added to regional aircraft usage trend<br />

analyses for Greater China, Oceania and South<br />

and East Asia regions. An optimistic mood is<br />

derived from more people indicating a ‘higher’<br />

aircraft utilization than 12 months ago, and a<br />

pessimistic mood is derived from more people<br />

indicating ‘lower’ aircraft utilization than 12<br />

months ago.<br />

Greater China<br />

55% of respondents indicated their aircraft<br />

utilization in 2018 Q3 increased, which is a<br />

significantly higher level compared to last<br />

quarter (46% at 2018 Q2), though the same<br />

level compared to 2017 Q3. 22% of respondents<br />

stated their aircraft utilization has lowered<br />

compared to 12 months ago, which is a similar<br />

level compared to previous quarters’ result.<br />

Based on survey results, the ongoing trade talks<br />

have yet to affect aircraft utilization of Chinabased<br />

owners.<br />

Oceania<br />

2016<br />

Q3<br />

2016<br />

Q4<br />

2017<br />

Q1<br />

2017<br />

Q2<br />

2017<br />

Q3<br />

SOUTHEAST AND NORTHEAST ASIA<br />

2017<br />

Q4<br />

2018<br />

Q1<br />

2018<br />

Q2<br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

356% of respondents have indicated their<br />

aircraft utilization increased, a 21% increase<br />

from 2018 Q2. 26% of respondents believe<br />

their aircraft utilization decreased, 21% lower<br />

than the previous quarter. High aircraft<br />

utilization may be reflective of respondent’s<br />

high economic optimism.<br />

Improved Aircraft Utilization<br />

OPTIMISTIC<br />

PESSIMISTIC<br />

37 27 33 26 22 27 17 10 14<br />

28 35 36 37 48 19 18 56 13 65 14 59 22 61 20 70 2264<br />

37%<br />

28%<br />

35%<br />

27%<br />

36%<br />

37%<br />

Decreased The Same Increased Signal Line*<br />

33%<br />

48%<br />

19%<br />

26%<br />

18%<br />

56%<br />

26%<br />

13%<br />

65%<br />

27%<br />

14%<br />

59%<br />

17%<br />

22%<br />

61%<br />

10%<br />

20%<br />

70%<br />

14%<br />

22%<br />

64%<br />

Southeast and Northeast Asia<br />

In 2018 Q3, 64% of respondents recorded an<br />

increased use of aircraft, which is 6% lower<br />

compared to 2018 Q2. 14% of respondents<br />

believe that their aircraft utilization decreased,<br />

which is 4% higher compared to last quarter.<br />

2016<br />

Q3<br />

2016<br />

Q4<br />

2017<br />

Q1<br />

2017<br />

Q2<br />

2017<br />

Q3<br />

2017<br />

Q4<br />

2018<br />

Q1<br />

2018<br />

Q2<br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

10 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


G+31+12<br />

MOOD & INT<strong>EN</strong>TIONS: ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY 2018Q3<br />

SATISFACTION KEY FACTORS:<br />

CHARTER OPERATOR VS. CHARTER BROKER<br />

(OUTER IS BETTER)<br />

Operational<br />

Safety<br />

Charter<br />

Operator<br />

Customer Service<br />

Charter<br />

Broker<br />

Most Satisfied<br />

Operational<br />

Efficiency<br />

DO YOU OR YOUR CLI<strong>EN</strong>T OWN OR CHARTER<br />

A PRIVATE AIRCRAFT?<br />

57+<br />

Just Own (31%) Both Own and Charter (57%)<br />

Just Charter (12%)<br />

WH<strong>EN</strong> CHARTERING AN AIRCRAFT, WHAT IS<br />

YOUR PRIMARY SOURCE?<br />

Quality of<br />

Maintenance<br />

Quality of<br />

On-board Service<br />

Value for<br />

Money (Price)<br />

16+84+G<br />

Contact Operator (84%) Contact Broker (16%)<br />

In this quarter’s market survey, ASG recorded over 80 rankings from the<br />

Asia-Pacific region regarding the satisfaction factors of management<br />

companies and those of charter brokers. Over 280 respondents answered<br />

questions regarding end users’ travel behaviours.<br />

On the charter operator / broker side, when asked the primary choice<br />

when chartering an aircraft, 84% of respondents would contact a charter<br />

operator first.<br />

WHERE ARE WE IN THE CURR<strong>EN</strong>T<br />

PRE-OWNED MARKET?<br />

PURCHASE INT<strong>EN</strong>TION 2016Q3 - 2018Q3*<br />

2017Q3<br />

2017Q4<br />

2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3<br />

Yes, a new aircraft<br />

Yes, a pre-owned aircraft<br />

No / I’m not sure<br />

49%<br />

39%<br />

40%<br />

47%<br />

43%<br />

36%<br />

38%<br />

43%<br />

56<br />

54%<br />

59%<br />

23%<br />

29%<br />

28%<br />

26%<br />

21%<br />

21%<br />

17%<br />

14%<br />

10%<br />

8%<br />

29%<br />

28%<br />

25%<br />

23%<br />

22%<br />

41% 38%<br />

31% 33%<br />

27% 29%<br />

41% 40%<br />

31% 31%<br />

28%<br />

31%<br />

37%<br />

32%<br />

31%<br />

2%<br />

4%<br />

5%<br />

19%<br />

19%<br />

Buyer’s Market in<br />

general - High supply,<br />

low demand<br />

Balanced Market in<br />

general - Demand<br />

and Supply are on<br />

the same level<br />

Seller’s Market in general<br />

- High demand,<br />

low supply<br />

I’m not sure 2016 2016 2017 2017<br />

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2<br />

2017<br />

Q3<br />

2017<br />

Q4<br />

2017<br />

Q1<br />

2018<br />

Q2<br />

* Since 2017 Q3’s market survey, a new method was applied filtering out those<br />

2018<br />

Q3<br />

respondents who are not relevant to this question, hence reflecting a percentage<br />

drop in the category “No / I’m not sure”.<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 11


MOOD & INT<strong>EN</strong>TIONS: ASIA-PACIFIC REGION SURVEY 2018Q3<br />

PURCHASE INT<strong>EN</strong>TION - REGIONAL DIFFER<strong>EN</strong>CES (FIXED WING)<br />

Corporate Airliner Large Jet Medium Jet Small Jet Turboprop / Piston Fixed Wing<br />

Central Asia 17% 22% 22% 17%<br />

22%<br />

Greater China<br />

19% 44% 25%<br />

7%<br />

4%<br />

Oceania 7% 21% 7% 36% 29%<br />

SE & NE Asia<br />

17% 28% 19% 13%<br />

23%<br />

PURCHASE INT<strong>EN</strong>TION<br />

PURCHASE INT<strong>EN</strong>TION - FIXED WING<br />

(OUTER IS PREFERRED)<br />

Regarding Asia-Pacific based professional aircraft sales’ opinion of the<br />

current pre-owned market, 43% of respondents believed that the current<br />

market is still in a ‘Buyer’s Market’ with low demand and high supply.<br />

This is lower compared to last quarter, but still the result is affected by<br />

respondents from Greater China. 38% (28% last quarter) of respondents<br />

believed that we are now in a balanced market with equal demand and<br />

supply; a 10% increase compared to last quarter. The remaining 14%<br />

(-3%, 17% last quarter) believed that we have moved into a ‘Seller’s<br />

Market’, with higher demand on the market.<br />

Turboprop/Piston<br />

Fixed Wing<br />

(Such as King Air Series)<br />

Corporate Airliner<br />

(Such as ACJ, BBJ)<br />

Most Preferred<br />

Large Jet<br />

(Such as G650,<br />

Falcon 8X)<br />

Based on the Market Dynamic analysis from ASG’s research department,<br />

ASG now believes the pre-owned business jet market has entered a<br />

balanced market. Notably, the pre-owned market for the large and longrange<br />

business jet markets have improved. For details, please go to the<br />

Market Dynamics section of this issue of ASQ.<br />

Small Jet<br />

(Such as Citation Series, Hawker Series)<br />

Midsize Jet<br />

(Such as G200 & CL650)<br />

Regarding the Purchase Intentions of 2018 Q3, ASG noticed that the<br />

demand for both new aircraft and pre-owned aircraft has slightly risen<br />

and together they represent over 62% of the respondents who now have<br />

the intention of buying an aircraft.<br />

higher need for large jets, while turboprops and small jets are more<br />

suitable for Oceania. Corporate airliners are commonly needed (17-<br />

19%) in all areas except Oceania. Additionally, the medium and small jet<br />

categories are wanted, but on a relatively lower level.<br />

Purchase intention by region is shown in a graph to understand regional<br />

differences for fixed-wing aircraft. Greater China has a significantly<br />

PURCHASE DECISIONS - INFLU<strong>EN</strong>CING FACTORS<br />

(OUTER IS LIMITING)<br />

Greater China Oceania Central Asia SE & NE Asia<br />

Government / Public Opinion<br />

PURCHASE INT<strong>EN</strong>TION - HELICOPTER<br />

(OUTER IS PREFERRED)<br />

Twin Turbine<br />

(Such as Sikorsky S-76C++)<br />

Most Limiting<br />

Most Preferred<br />

No Need<br />

No Interesting Aircraft<br />

Piston Helicopter<br />

(Such as Robinson R22)<br />

Single Turbine Helicopter<br />

(Such as Bell 206)<br />

Price<br />

12 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


TRAINING REPORT AD. TBD


SPECIAL FEATURE: TRAINING REPORT 2018<br />

PILOT DEMAND<br />

WITH THE NEED FOR INCREASED CONNECTIVITY COMES A GLOBAL DEMAND FOR PILOTS. THE<br />

ASIA PACIFIC LEADS THE DEMAND FOR GROWTH, REQUIRING 261,000 PILOTS BY 2037, ACCORDING<br />

TO BOEING’S 2018 PILOT OUTLOOK. PILOT DEMAND IS DRIV<strong>EN</strong> BY INCREASED NUMBERS OF<br />

PASS<strong>EN</strong>GERS, AIR CARGO AND MORE WIDESPREAD AIRCRAFT UTILIZATION IN VARIOUS FIELDS<br />

INCLUDING FARMING (CROP DUSTING, AERIAL MUSTERING) AND EMERG<strong>EN</strong>CY SERVICES, SUCH AS<br />

PATI<strong>EN</strong>T TRANSPORTATION.<br />

2027<br />

COMMERCIAL<br />

+90,000<br />

Pilots<br />

HELICOPTER<br />

+9,600<br />

Pilots<br />

BUSINESS JET<br />

NOTE:<br />

Airline pilot demand figure source: CAE<br />

Airline Pilot Demand Outlook Report.<br />

+2,850<br />

Pilots<br />

COMMERCIAL<br />

Airlines are the largest driver of pilot demand. According to CAE’s<br />

“Airline Pilot Demand Outlook” report, the annual global passenger<br />

number is projected to increase by 1.6 billion to 4.8 billion by 2027.<br />

More passengers drive aircraft production, which, in turn, drives<br />

demand for more pilots to operate new aircraft.<br />

An airliner is flown by two pilots at any given time; however, extra<br />

pilots are required on long-haul flights to comply with maximum<br />

flight time limitations. Moreover, since pilots typically fly around<br />

15 days a month, pilots need to work in shifts, further increasing<br />

the pilot-per-aircraft ratio. The exact ratio is determined by aircraft<br />

utilization and aviation authority regulations. One regional aircraft<br />

may require 10 pilots, and one wide-body jet may need up to 16<br />

pilots to operate frequent long-haul flights.<br />

Airlines are expected to create jobs for 255,000 new pilots over<br />

the next 10 years in Asia Pacific: 70% of these will accommodate<br />

for fleet growth and the remaining 30% will replace pilots who<br />

retire or switch profession. The Asia Pacific also needs to address<br />

the issue of retiring pilots. With an average pilot age of 46 as of<br />

2016 pointed out by CAE’s report, the industry will lose a good<br />

number of qualified and trained pilots in the coming years as they<br />

reach the mandatory 65 years old retirement age. This means<br />

that the industry will demand not just more pilots overall, but<br />

disproportionately more highly experienced pilots, to place them<br />

into captain positions previously occupied by older employees.<br />

14 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


BUSINESS AVIATION<br />

Demand for pilots in the business aviation industry is also growing.<br />

As of 2017 yearend, ASG estimate there were about 4,500 business<br />

jet pilots in APAC and forecast the figure will reach 6,500 by 2027. The<br />

Asia-Pacific Region will require an increase of 2,850 pilots by 2027. The<br />

forecast considers new pilots needed to meet both the demands of<br />

the growing market as well as to replace the retiring business aviation<br />

pilots.<br />

The projection uses past information about business jet fleet growth in<br />

the Asia Pacific in conjunction with average ratios of pilot-per-aircraft<br />

in the business aviation sector to estimate past pilot demand trends.<br />

It also considers a number of economic trends including expected<br />

GDP growths of APAC nations to estimate jet fleet, and therefore pilot<br />

demand growth up to 2027.<br />

In terms of aircraft, large and long-range jets drive the most demand<br />

for pilots in the Asia Pacific. Larger jets require more pilots for one<br />

aircraft, an average of four pilots, as they are primarily used for longer<br />

range non-stop intercontinental routes.<br />

However, light and medium-sized jets can<br />

require three pilots or less. Further, large and<br />

long-range jets account for particularly large<br />

proportions of total aircraft fleets in Asia<br />

Pacific and together made up almost 54%<br />

of the total business jet fleet in 2017. In the<br />

past five years, Indonesian large and longrange<br />

jets made up on average 49.2% of the<br />

entire fleet. In Hong Kong and in Macau they<br />

accounted for 85.9% and 74.7%, respectively.<br />

Asia Pacific Business Jet Pilot Demand<br />

Projection<br />

Number of Pilots<br />

7,000<br />

6,500<br />

6,000<br />

5,500<br />

5,000<br />

4,500<br />

4,000<br />

3,500<br />

3,000<br />

0<br />

2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028<br />

Major large and long-range business jet OEMs<br />

such as Bombardier, Gulfstream and Dassault<br />

might consider expanding the capacity of their<br />

Asian training bases to be able to train more<br />

pilots for their type ratings. In terms of basic<br />

pilot training, this would require more schools<br />

to offer multi-engine and instrument ratings.<br />

HELICOPTER<br />

Helicopter pilot demand is also on the rise. The number of pilots<br />

demanded in the Asia Pacific increased from 12,800 in 2014 to 14,600<br />

in 2017 and is predicted to grow steadily for the next 10 years. By<br />

2027, the region may need up to 23,000 pilots to participate in a range<br />

of missions, such as offshore, SAR, law enforcement and corporate<br />

charter.<br />

Multi-mission is expected to be the greatest source of pilot demand<br />

growth as it will need over 10,000 pilots by 2027. This implies that<br />

more training schools may need to start offering more specialized<br />

training to maintain competitiveness. Relevant courses might include<br />

sling rating, low level rating and more specialized courses, such as<br />

aerial mustering or mountain rating.<br />

Asia Pacific Helicopter Pilot Demand<br />

Projection<br />

Number of Pilots<br />

25,000<br />

20,000<br />

18,000<br />

16,000<br />

14,000<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 15


SPECIAL FEATURE: SPECIAL MISSIONS TRAINING<br />

SPECIAL MISSIONS TRAINING REFERS TO TEACHING FIXED-<br />

AND ROTARY-WING PILOTS AND CREW THE NECESSARY SKILLS<br />

TO PARTICIPATE IN SEARCH AND RESCUE (SAR), EMERG<strong>EN</strong>CY<br />

MEDICAL SERVICE (EMS) AND FIREFIGHTING OPERATIONS.<br />

CURR<strong>EN</strong>T STATE IN APAC<br />

In the Asia Pacific, Australia and New Zealand<br />

are the only countries with training schools<br />

which offer special missions courses and<br />

have their own aircraft. Simulator and ground<br />

crew courses are also offered in India,<br />

Singapore, Indonesia and in the Philippines.<br />

After the development of the helicopter, rotary aircraft quickly<br />

gained popularity in special mission operations. Early versions<br />

of helicopters were used as early as the Second World War<br />

primarily by Germany, USA and Great Britain, though predominantly<br />

for transportation of soldiers rather than in combat. During the 1950s<br />

Korean Conflict, helicopters were used for EMS, though the first inflight<br />

medical treatment did not occur until the war in Vietnam. The<br />

1950s also marked the initial uses of helicopters for SAR.<br />

Although quickly adopted, helicopters were not immediately accepted<br />

as essential aircraft. During the Korean conflict, for example, Major<br />

General James M. Gavin requested helicopters from the director<br />

of requirements for the Air Force. However, he was told that "the<br />

helicopter is aerodynamically unsound... and no matter what the Army<br />

says, I know that it does not need any."<br />

As of 2018, Australia is the market leader, with 13 schools offering a<br />

broad range of special mission courses ranging from water bucket<br />

dropping for firefighting to personnel insertion and extraction for<br />

emergencies in SAR missions.<br />

Although special missions training is available both in Australia and<br />

in New Zealand, the latter market is far more restricted in terms of<br />

training availability. The reason behind this is fierce competition<br />

between emergency aerial services providers. The New Zealand<br />

government outsources missions such as firefighting to private<br />

contractors, but supply outweighs demand. And since most special<br />

missions training schools exist as sub-divisions of private operators,<br />

companies are wary of training external personnel, for fear of assisting<br />

a competing organisation. Thus, in New Zealand, special missions<br />

training is typically an in-house and less formal activity than in<br />

Australia.<br />

The difference in course availability is caused by high costs of training.<br />

While EMS training can mostly be conducted on the ground through<br />

simulations, firefighting operations need to be practiced in the air,<br />

which means these courses are significantly more expensive both for<br />

the school and for the end students.<br />

Countries where training infrastructure is less developed tend to<br />

send pilots abroad, typically to the United States, to complete special<br />

missions training. Training is also frequently outsourced to aircraft<br />

manufacturers as part of a purchase package. For example, when<br />

the Philippine navy ordered over 100 million euros worth of AW159<br />

helicopters in 2017, the contract with Leonardo also included training<br />

and multi-year support for local pilots.<br />

HOW DOES THIS COMPARE TO THE US?<br />

Sixty years later, helicopters are now utilized in day-to-day operations<br />

not only by the military, but also by firefighters to combat wildfires,<br />

by medical organizations to respond to critical patients in remote<br />

destinations, police for pursuits and to track fugitives or missing<br />

persons, and by many others.<br />

Fixed-wing aircraft are typically used as air ambulances. The Royal<br />

Flying Doctor Service (RFDS) was the first formal air ambulance<br />

organizations established in 1934 in the Australian outback. RFDS still<br />

operates today and is one of the most comprehensive aeromedical<br />

organizations in the world.<br />

The Asia-Pacific region has fewer schools offering special<br />

missions training than the United States, where schools are mostly<br />

concentrated in California. Though where the APAC region lacks<br />

quantity, it exhibits quality regulation when it comes to special<br />

mission courses. Australia is the only country in the world which<br />

requires a formal qualification for firefighting pilots. Pilots wishing<br />

to become firefighters must complete a five-hour course to receive<br />

a Firefighting Endorsement under the Aerial Application rating<br />

according to CASA Part 61 regulations. In other countries, pilots only<br />

require a sling endorsement to take part in firefighting missions; and<br />

while this endorsement is helpful because it teaches pilots to carry<br />

heavy loads with a helicopter, it is not fully comprehensive as it does<br />

not teach pilots how to conduct safe aerial operations in high risk<br />

scenarios that arise during fires.<br />

The increased use of aircraft in special mission operations has created<br />

demand for training schools and courses for pilots and for supporting<br />

aircrew and groundcrew.<br />

16 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


EMS<br />

EMS training is most widely available in the special missions category,<br />

with 17 schools in APAC offering relevant courses either for pilots, for<br />

aircrew or for both. However, the job description of a pilot participating in<br />

EMS operations is very similar to that of a charter pilot. Therefore, special<br />

training is mostly provided to supporting aircrew, who have direct contact<br />

with patients in critical conditions. Specialist courses include clinical<br />

simulation training and aeromedical retrieval training as well as general<br />

courses to familiarize non-aviation professionals with helicopter or fixed<br />

wing operations.<br />

FIREFIGHTING<br />

12 schools in APAC offer firefighting training. Courses are mainly for<br />

pilots rather than aircrew, and they cover skills such as water bucket<br />

and belly tank dropping, wire avoidance, as well as incendiary delivery.<br />

Unlike in Australia, most countries’ firefighting training courses are not<br />

standardized, so operators choose how to train their pilots on a caseby-case<br />

basis. It is common to take a pilot under training on an active<br />

firefighting mission, so he/she can observe the procedure and learn to<br />

cope with the stressful environment of a firefighting operation.<br />

Both fixed- and rotor-wing aircraft are used in firefighting missions.<br />

Airplanes are often adapted from crop dusters and other large tankers,<br />

whereas helicopters, which dominate the firefighting fleet, are used in<br />

regular configuration with slings attached. Firefighter pilots come from<br />

a range of backgrounds, although utility-background pilots are the<br />

most likely to pursue this route because they have highly transferrable<br />

skills for aerial firefighting.<br />

SAR<br />

SAR training is third in popularity in APAC, with seven schools offering<br />

relevant courses. Courses cover hoist operations, high angle rescue,<br />

urban SAR and piloting techniques over difficult terrain such as<br />

mountain, water and boat. Much like with firefighting, many SAR<br />

trainees come from a utility background; ex-military pilots also often<br />

participate in this kind of training. SAR pilots then go on to work in<br />

numerous areas, such as in the mountains, where they rescue skiers,<br />

or in coastguard service, where they assist boat crews in adverse<br />

weather conditions.<br />

LAW <strong>EN</strong>FORCEM<strong>EN</strong>T<br />

Only two schools in the Asia-Pacific offer police pilot training.<br />

One reason for this is the lack of demand for law enforcement<br />

helicopter pilots. Police authorities in the Asia-Pacific have<br />

comparatively fewer helicopters than police forces in the US. For<br />

example, Indian and Australian law enforcement fleets only have<br />

six and 11 rotorcraft respectively. Moreover, some governments<br />

choose to train students abroad. Budding Chinese police pilots<br />

are sent over to train with Air Rescue Systems or UTC Aerospace<br />

Systems training centers in the US.<br />

Nonetheless, existing courses cover both advanced piloting<br />

techniques and more combat-focused activities, such as electrooptical<br />

pod training, weapon firing and deflection shooting.<br />

Students typically come from military background and move on to<br />

work for the government service.<br />

POWERLINE<br />

Powerline training is the least popular in the Asia Pacific, as only<br />

one school offers such training in the entire region. This is partly<br />

because powerline training is particularly complex, and much like<br />

the Chinese government many operators choose to send their pilots<br />

to experienced instructors in the USA to be trained for this job.<br />

Powerline pilots are taught to fly in very close proximity to towers,<br />

poles and electrical wires, and hover in place while they suspend<br />

a lineman below the helicopter, so he/she can work on live<br />

transmission lines. The job requires the pilot to have full control<br />

of the aircraft, exhibit impeccable accuracy and communicate<br />

effectively with the lineman worker.<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 17


SPECIAL FEATURE:<br />

JEFFREY C. LOWE,<br />

ASIAN SKY GROUP, MANAGING DIRECTOR,<br />

US-CHINA RELATIONS<br />

After months of flexing their political muscles, Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping have rocked the<br />

world with a full-blown trade war. Once long-time trading partners, the world’s two leading economies<br />

have exchanged “tit for tat” tariffs on each other’s products totalling US$360B and left the rest of the<br />

world in shock and wonder as to what would happen next.<br />

When the threats finally materialized — with the US introducing its<br />

first wave of tariffs in July 2018 on Chinese imports, stock markets<br />

were met with volatility and industries across the board were left<br />

with unsettling feelings.<br />

One of the first Chinese industries hit was aviation, where the US<br />

placed tariffs on are aircraft and aircraft parts. Though tariffs on<br />

Chinese-built aircraft won’t affect the global market, it does put<br />

a damper on the country’s own growing aviation industry and<br />

ambitions during a time when several of these manufacturers are<br />

still in production and development phases.<br />

In retaliation, Beijing announced a 25% tariff on US aircraft with an<br />

empty weight of between 15,000 kilograms and 45,000 kilograms,<br />

which would undoubtedly hits the large-cabin business jet industry,<br />

meaning Gulfstream’s G550 and G650 models, but avoids some of<br />

the larger airliners and smaller turboprops.<br />

Ultimately, when a revised list of goods to be imposed with tariffs<br />

was released by China, aircraft were left off. The industry has since<br />

been able to breathe a sigh of relief, but the threat of impending<br />

tariffs have already left an impression.<br />

So, what’s next? Manufacturers, buyers and sellers are all in a ‘wait<br />

and see’ situation. Will tariffs finally be imposed in the next round<br />

of tariff exchanges in this growing trade war? That’s an answer no<br />

one can answer — yet.<br />

economic uncertainty of any kind is thrown into the mix, consumer<br />

confidence is affected, as we witnessed in this quarter’s Market<br />

Survey; this is the bigger issue today. An aircraft is a substantial<br />

investment, requiring a great deal of capital. Will buyers be willing<br />

to spend such capital during periods of uncertainty?<br />

This is a tricky question; one which will be analyzed until aviation<br />

tariffs are or aren’t definitely put in place. The discussions will<br />

ponder how to circumvent potential tariffs by not importing and<br />

registering aircraft overseas; perhaps buying pre-owned instead<br />

or leasing. Of course, another way to avoid the tariff is to avoid<br />

American manufacturers altogether, possibly giving Canada-built<br />

Bombardier and French manufacturer Dassault Falcon a step up<br />

in the game, although any “trade” bump in sales is unlikely to be<br />

experienced.<br />

Today, China’s economy comes second to the US economy. But,<br />

by many accounts, the US will fall to second place behind China in<br />

the foreseeable future. So two is the case of aviation. Today, the<br />

US is the largest air travel market. But, again, by most accounts,<br />

China will overtake the US as the top aviation market in as little as<br />

five years.<br />

So, while the complex situation between these two global<br />

powerhouses continues, industries in all segments are preparing<br />

themselves for the worst, while simultaneously realizing just how<br />

significant the other is.<br />

For now, the initial scare — or rather, warning shot — was enough<br />

to throw the business aviation industry off its course. And when<br />

18 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


COUNTRY PROFILE<br />

GREATER CHINA<br />

HARBIN<br />

30<br />

31<br />

SH<strong>EN</strong>YANG TAOXIAN<br />

45<br />

78<br />

2<br />

11<br />

12 13 14 15 16 17 59 60 61 62<br />

BEIJING CAPITAL INT'L | BADALING<br />

48 SHIJIAZHUANG DAGUOCUN INT'L<br />

18 BINZHOU DAGAO G<strong>EN</strong>ERAL<br />

5 40 41 42 43 44 81 82 SHANGHAI HONGQIAO INT'L<br />

TIANJIN BINHAI INT'L 10 52 53 54 78<br />

JINAN YAOQIANG 17<br />

QINGDAO 39 86<br />

3<br />

56<br />

79<br />

XI'AN XIANYANG INT'L<br />

57 DALU G<strong>EN</strong>ERAL AVIATION<br />

23 24 GUANGHAN<br />

11 20 21 CH<strong>EN</strong>GDU SHUANGLIU INT'L<br />

55 XIANGFAN<br />

38<br />

NINGBO<br />

HANGZHOU 3 69<br />

22 CHONGQING<br />

3 19 CHANGSHA HUANGHUA INT'L<br />

JINGDEZH<strong>EN</strong><br />

35 36<br />

4<br />

7<br />

49 50 51<br />

83<br />

84<br />

85<br />

TAIPEI TAOYUAN INT'L | TAIPEI SONGSHAN<br />

1<br />

3<br />

25 26 27 28 63 64 65 66 67<br />

GUILIN LIANGJIANG INT'L<br />

GUANGZHOU BAIYUN INT'L<br />

33<br />

XIAM<strong>EN</strong> GAOQI INT'L<br />

9 46 47<br />

SH<strong>EN</strong>ZH<strong>EN</strong> BAO'AN INT'L<br />

3<br />

NANNING WUXU INT'L<br />

51<br />

TAINAN<br />

60<br />

ZHUHAI JINWAN<br />

3<br />

29<br />

HAIKOU MEILAN INT'L<br />

HONG KONG INT'L 70<br />

6<br />

32<br />

71<br />

33 34 58 66<br />

72 73 74 75<br />

68<br />

76<br />

69<br />

77<br />

MACAU INT'L<br />

8<br />

34<br />

37<br />

SANYA PHO<strong>EN</strong>IX INT'L<br />

3<br />

Airport FBO MRO Top Operator<br />

1<br />

Baiyun Airport BAC<br />

19<br />

Jielian Aircraft MA.<br />

37<br />

Skytech Engineering<br />

55<br />

Sky-Blue<br />

73<br />

Meridian<br />

2<br />

Beijing Capital Jet<br />

20<br />

Dachuan GA<br />

38<br />

GDAT<br />

56<br />

China Flight GA<br />

74<br />

Metrojet<br />

3<br />

Deer Jet<br />

21<br />

SMECO<br />

39<br />

Jiutian Flight Academy<br />

57<br />

Zhenjiang Aerochine<br />

75<br />

Sino Jet<br />

4<br />

EVA SKY JET C<strong>EN</strong>TER<br />

22<br />

Chongqing GA<br />

40<br />

Boeing SC<br />

58<br />

Metrojet<br />

76<br />

TAG Aviation<br />

5<br />

Hawker Pacific<br />

23<br />

CA Flight Univ.<br />

41<br />

China Eastern<br />

59<br />

Beijing Airlines<br />

77<br />

Vision Aviation<br />

6<br />

HKBAC<br />

24<br />

Xilin Feng Teng GA<br />

42<br />

Hawker Pacific<br />

60<br />

Deer Jet<br />

78<br />

Lily Jet<br />

7<br />

Huan Yu VIP Terminal<br />

25<br />

Champion Heli Tech<br />

43<br />

Kingwing GA<br />

61<br />

Mandarin Air<br />

79<br />

China Zhongfei GA<br />

8<br />

MBAC<br />

26<br />

GAMECO<br />

44<br />

STARCO<br />

62<br />

Sino Jet<br />

80<br />

Nanshan Jet<br />

9<br />

Shenzhen Joyee<br />

27<br />

H&P GA<br />

45<br />

China Southern<br />

63<br />

Amber Aviation<br />

81<br />

China Eastern<br />

10<br />

Tianjin Airport BAC<br />

28<br />

Suilian Heli GA<br />

46<br />

Avion Pacific<br />

64<br />

Astro Air<br />

82<br />

Deer Jet<br />

11<br />

12<br />

13<br />

14<br />

15<br />

16<br />

17<br />

18<br />

AMECO<br />

Beijing Airines<br />

Beijing Dingshi GA<br />

BJ Capital Heli<br />

Deer Jet<br />

Gulfstream Beijing(JV)<br />

STAECO<br />

Shandong Hairuo GA<br />

29<br />

30<br />

31<br />

32<br />

33<br />

34<br />

35<br />

36<br />

HNA Aviation Technik<br />

AVIC (Harbin)<br />

China Flying Dragon<br />

CASL<br />

HAECO<br />

Jet Aviation`<br />

AVIC CHAC<br />

JX Changhe Agusta Heli.<br />

47<br />

48<br />

49<br />

50<br />

51<br />

52<br />

53<br />

54<br />

COHC GAMEC<br />

Cessna-Avic Aircraft<br />

Air Asia<br />

EVA SKY JET C<strong>EN</strong>TRE<br />

Mandarin Airlines<br />

Bombardier SC<br />

Eastern GA<br />

ExecuJet Haite<br />

65<br />

66<br />

67<br />

68<br />

69<br />

70<br />

71<br />

72<br />

BAA<br />

Brilliant Jet<br />

Donghai Jet<br />

Gama Aviation<br />

Global Jet Concept<br />

HK Bellawings<br />

Hongkong Jet<br />

Jet Aviation<br />

83<br />

84<br />

85<br />

86<br />

EVA Airways Corporation<br />

Executive Aviation Taiwan<br />

Win Air<br />

Sparkle Roll Jet<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 19


COUNTRY PROFILE: GREATER CHINA<br />

GREATER CHINA<br />

by Litalia Yoakum<br />

With a population of over 1.35 billion people, not including Taiwan, Hong<br />

Kong and Macau, Mainland China is the most populated country in the<br />

world. From North to South along the eastern border are the country’s<br />

most populated provinces, while the inner and western provinces are<br />

much less inhabited because of its geographical makeup.<br />

As one of the world’s largest economies, second only to the US — and<br />

first by many accounts, China is an influential player in the global<br />

economy; one that can’t be overlooked. After introducing its Open Door<br />

Policy in 1978 — set in place by then-party leader Deng Xiaoping, the<br />

country opened itself up to foreign investment, trade and the setup of<br />

foreign businesses. Since then its economy has transformed, developing<br />

into the world’s largest manufacturing economy and fastest growing<br />

consumer market.<br />

The HNW and UHNWI populations in Greater China have grown<br />

exponentially, as well. According to WealthX, the number of UHNWIs —<br />

with assets of over US$50M — reached 19,257 by 2018.<br />

Still, this swift economic growth isn’t without challenge. Recent divide<br />

over tariffs on US and Chinese goods has left uncertainty between<br />

two of the largest, global trading partners; threatening to permanently<br />

weaken their economic relationship. This tension has hit all industries,<br />

including aircraft manufacturers. While analysts have yet to determine<br />

what the full impact of a trade war would be, the Chinese government’s<br />

economic outlook remains positive.<br />

In a bid to further drive the economy, one of the government’s most<br />

recent ventures is its Greater Bay Area Initiative; bringing together the<br />

Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of Macau and Hong Kong — both<br />

of which operate under the ‘one country, two systems’ principle, entitling<br />

each to retain their own economic and administrative systems — along<br />

with the Guangdong Province in Mainland China. This ambitious plan,<br />

including the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau Bridge and an Express Rail Link<br />

between Hong Kong, Shenzhen and Guangzhou, is set to integrate the<br />

regions physically and economically, as well as to tie each SAR a bit<br />

closer to Beijing.<br />

Capitalizing on China’s rapid expansion are the equally-growing general<br />

and business aviation industries. Growth in these industries has<br />

long been correlated with economic expansion and now, with recent<br />

economic reform and a push for more infrastructure, China’s aviation<br />

industry is more notable than ever before.<br />

Passenger traffic will<br />

continue to grow and<br />

the demand for aircraft<br />

will increase to meet<br />

the growing need.<br />

Business Jet Fleet Distribution by Age<br />

16-20 Years, 37 (7%)<br />

11-15 Years, 66 (13%)<br />

6-10 Years, 264 (52%)<br />

24+52+13+7+4+G<br />

>20 Years, 22 (5%)<br />

0-5 Years, 123 (24%)<br />

Business Jet Fleet by Operators and OEM<br />

57 +39 +16 +15 +14+12 +12 +11 +11 +7<br />

57<br />

39<br />

Deer Jet<br />

BAA<br />

Sino Jet<br />

TAG Aviation<br />

Total Fleet<br />

512<br />

16 15 14 12 12 11 11 7<br />

China Eastern<br />

Lily Jet<br />

Nanshan Jet<br />

LilyAstro Air<br />

Total<br />

Airbus 2 5 1 8<br />

Beoing 4 2 1 3 10<br />

Bombardier 1 7 1 7 1 5 10 1 4 37<br />

Cessna 1 1<br />

Dassault 8 9 1 3 2 1 1 25<br />

Embraer 3 5 1 5 5 19<br />

Gulfstream 37 15 7 3 7 7 1 1 9 1 88<br />

Hawker 5 1 6<br />

Total 57 39 16 15 14 12 12 11 11 7 194<br />

Data Source: Asian Sky Group Fleet Report (Year-End 2017)<br />

STATUS QUO<br />

Mainland China’s aviation market is set to become the largest in the world,<br />

overtaking the US as the current market leader, according to forecasts by<br />

both Boeing and the International Civil Aviation Organization. Passenger<br />

traffic will continue to grow and the demand for aircraft will increase<br />

to meet the growing need. While these numbers are reflective of the<br />

commercial aviation sector, business and general aviation are likewise<br />

experiencing growth.<br />

2017 was a strong year for the business jet market in Greater China.<br />

Maintaining its position as the Asia-Pacific market leader at yearend<br />

2017, with 512 jets up from 476 at yearend 2016; the Greater China<br />

region experienced 7.6% growth almost doubling the annual growth rate<br />

of 4.4% in 2016.<br />

HongKong Jet<br />

Sparkle Roll Jet<br />

20 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


COUNTRY PROFILE: GREATER CHINA<br />

Gulfstream, Bombardier and Dassault have continued to be the market<br />

leaders in Greater China since at least 2012. The most popular models<br />

are Gulfstream’s G550, G450, Dassault’s Falcon 7X, Bombardier’s G6000<br />

and the Gulfstream G650, respectively; all of which reflect the market’s<br />

preference for long-range and large-cabin business jets, offering the<br />

space and range<br />

Manufacturers have taken note with the introduction of the Gulfstream<br />

G500, G600 Global 7500 and the Falcon 6X.<br />

In terms of operators, nine out of the 10 top operators in the Asia-Pacific<br />

region are based in Greater China. The past few years have seen the<br />

development of several new operators, including HK Bellawings, Brilliant<br />

Jet and Sparkle Roll.<br />

In terms of operators, nine out of the 10 top operators in the Asia-Pacific<br />

region are based in Greater China. The past few years have seen the<br />

development of several new operators, including HK Bellawings, Brilliant<br />

Jet and Sparkle Roll.<br />

As the Chinese market begins to mature, the trend of buying preowned<br />

has increased. Buyers are maturing along with the market,<br />

understanding that buying an aircraft out of warranty isn’t necessarily<br />

a bad characteristic because the region now has more infrastructure<br />

to support this. Thus, with OEMs producing new aircraft every couple<br />

of years, which ultimately lands owners on a waiting list until deliveries<br />

begin, those interested in buying pre-owned can cut down on wait time<br />

and enjoy a smaller price tag.<br />

INFRASTRUCTURE<br />

To handle China’s growing market requires sufficient infrastructure,<br />

including airports, fixed-based operators (FBOs) and maintenance,<br />

repair and overhaul (MRO) facilities. The Chinese government has<br />

taken note introducing legislation aimed at improving the country’s<br />

connectivity, outlined in its 13th Five-Year Plan (2016-2020). The plan,<br />

which includes major objectives for economic and social development,<br />

Civil Helicopter Fleet by Mission and OEM<br />

362<br />

100+17+16+14+12+7+2+2+1<br />

63 59 50 45 25 8 7 4<br />

Multi-Mission<br />

Offshore<br />

Law<br />

Enforcement<br />

EMS<br />

SAR<br />

Charter<br />

Training<br />

Corporate<br />

Private<br />

Total<br />

Airbus 150 30 18 14 20 8 1 2 243<br />

Avicopter 30 9 39<br />

Bell 93 6 8 6 4 2 3 122<br />

Enstrom 19 4 23<br />

Kaman 2 2<br />

Leonardo 17 2 18 28 11 2 78<br />

MD 7 1 1 9<br />

Robinson 11 2 3 16<br />

Russian Helicopters 33 2 35<br />

Sikorsky 31 25 56<br />

Total 362 63 59 50 45 25 8 7 4 623<br />

Fleet Growth 2014 - 2016<br />

Number of Hangars<br />

Business Jets<br />

Civil Turbine Helicopters<br />

543<br />

+19%<br />

458<br />

427<br />

+7%<br />

457<br />

+4% 477<br />

+16%<br />

394<br />

2014 2015 2016<br />

16 16<br />

Business Jet Parking Civil Helicopter Parking<br />

Data Source: Asian Sky Group Infrastructure Report 2017<br />

Total number of hangars only includes FBO and MRO facilities in this report.<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 21


FOR DETAILED AIRCRAFT FLEET AND INFRASTRUCTURE PROFILES OF<br />

GREATER CHINA, DOWNLOAD OUR REPORT AT: WWW.ASIANSKYMEDIA.COM<br />

focuses on infrastructure with an emphasis on aviation development.<br />

Most of the new regulations have already been set in place, such as<br />

opening airspace below 3,000-meters, as well as simplifying flight<br />

application time. Still, a great deal of the development is concentrated<br />

on the building of airports.<br />

As of July 2017, the Beijing Capital, Hong Kong International, Shanghai<br />

Pudong and Guangzhou Baiyun airports had already reached<br />

commercial passenger traffic capacity, leaving little space for parking<br />

— and consideration — of business and general aviation aircraft.<br />

To serve increasing traffic in the Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei areas is<br />

the planned Beijing Daxing International Airport, expected to serve<br />

100 million passengers annually and provide considerable support<br />

to business and general aviation. Other airports under development<br />

are the Chengdu Tianfu International, Pearl River Delta and Qingdao<br />

Jiaodong International airports, along with several more catering to<br />

both commercial and general aviation.<br />

Catering solely to business aviation are a wide-range of FBOs and<br />

MROs. Four full-service FBOs serve Mainland China — Beijing CJet,<br />

Shanghai Hawker Pacific Business Aviation Center (SHPBAC),<br />

Shenzhen Joyee FBO and Yitong Business Aviation Service Company.<br />

Additionally, several ground handlers are located throughout China. In<br />

Hong Kong, the Hong Kong Business Aviation Center is the only FBO,<br />

while the Macau Business Aviation Center in Macau. Likewise, Taiwan<br />

is home to one FBO — Eva Sky Jet Center.<br />

Throughout Greater China, several MROs are present serving the<br />

growing fleets; notably in Beijing, Jinan, Shanghai, Tianjin, Xi’an, Zhuhai,<br />

Hong Kong and Macau. In 2017, the Tianjin Airport Economic Area and<br />

Bombardier Business Aircraft opened one of the newest centers in<br />

China, supporting the Global series, Challenger 604, 605 and 850 series.<br />

With an increasing number of business and general aviation aircraft<br />

to cater to, one of the main concerns of the industry continues to be<br />

infrastructure. More so than the number of FBOs, MROs and airports is<br />

the concern that business and general aviation are placed as a priority<br />

behind commercial aviation. As such, heavily-restricted landing and<br />

parking continues to be an issue at all major airports.<br />

GREATER BAY AREA<br />

The major cities making up the Greater Bay Area are Guangzhou,<br />

Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Foshan, Huizhou, Dongguan, Zhongshan, Jiangmen<br />

and Zhaoqing, along with Hong Kong and Macau.<br />

As part of the Greater Bay Area initiative, the Chinese government hopes<br />

to bring the cities along the Pearl River Delta region together to develop<br />

a powerhouse region comparable to California’s San Francisco Bay area,<br />

the Greater New York area or the Greater Tokyo area. The expectation<br />

is that the Greater Bay Area will act as a hub for innovation, while<br />

capitalizing on the region’s manufacturing strengths.<br />

An interesting element of the initiative is the role it will play connecting<br />

the region. Already in place is the Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong<br />

Express Rail Link, while the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau Bridge is set to<br />

open by the end of 2018. The connectivity of this region also presents an<br />

opportunity for the aviation industry, particularly general aviation.<br />

Currently, the operating environment varies greatly between Hong Kong,<br />

Macau and Mainland China. Airports within this area, including Hong<br />

Kong Int’l, the Guangzhou Baiyun and Shenzhen Bao’an, suffer from<br />

congestion and a lack of standardized regulations. Plans are in place<br />

for an additional runway at the Hong Kong airport, set for completion<br />

in 2023, and both Guangzhou and Shenzhen airports have plans for<br />

additional runways within the next five years.<br />

22 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


COUNTRY PROFILE: GREATER CHINA<br />

Still, this leaves the business aviation industry competing with<br />

commercial aviation. With a rise in low-budget carriers, coupled with<br />

increasing passenger traffic, business aviation requires an immediate<br />

solution.<br />

The most practical alternative to deal with congestion and limited<br />

parking space is to utilize airports in Macau and Zhuhai. The use of<br />

general aviation is an option many in the industry are considering, with<br />

helicopter transfers from Hong Kong to either the Macau or Zhuhai<br />

airports presenting a possible solution.<br />

Any plan for the use of helicopters throughout this region will still require<br />

the support of Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macau governments and<br />

will, consequently, mean the amendment of current regulations. For<br />

now, it’s the industry’s duty to showcase the potential for aviation within<br />

the Greater Bay Area.<br />

2017. To sustain this growth, the business aviation industry will continue<br />

to face challenges with infrastructure.<br />

The biggest challenge is the preference of commercial aviation over<br />

business and general aviation at airports. Advocacy groups are now<br />

working to appeal to airport authorities for additional business aviationdedicated<br />

slots, with only slight improvements throughout the years.<br />

In years to come, advocacy will continue with special consideration paid<br />

towards the highest populated province in Mainland China — Guangdong,<br />

along with the region making up the Greater Bay Area.<br />

In years to come, advocacy will continue with special consideration<br />

paid towards the highest populated province in Mainland China —<br />

Guangdong, along with the region making up the Greater Bay Area.<br />

FUTURE<br />

An estimated 558 business jets will be based in Greater China by yearend<br />

2018, according to Asian Sky Group forecasts; a 9% growth from yearend<br />

FBO’s Facilities and Services<br />

FBO Name<br />

Airport<br />

Aircraft<br />

Hangarage<br />

On-Site<br />

CIQ 2<br />

VIP<br />

Lounges<br />

Aircraft<br />

Handling<br />

Aircraft<br />

Refueling 3<br />

Baiyun Airport BAC 1 Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport ● ● ●<br />

Beijing Capital Jet Beijing Capital International Airport ● ● ● ●<br />

Haikou Meilan International Airport ● ● ● ●<br />

Nanning Wuxu International Airport ● ● ● ●<br />

Sanya Phoenix International Airport ● ● ● ●<br />

Deer Jet<br />

Xi'an Xianyang International Airport ● ● ● ●<br />

Changsha Huanghua International Airport 1 ● ● ●<br />

Guilin Liangjiang International Airport 1 ● ● ● ●<br />

Hangzhou Xiaoshan International Airport 1 ● ● ● ●<br />

EVA SKY JET C<strong>EN</strong>TER Taipei Songshan Airport ● ● ● ●<br />

Hawker Pacific Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport ● ● ● ● ●<br />

HKBAC Hong Kong International Airport ● ● ● ● ●<br />

Huan Yu VIP Terminal Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport ● ● ●<br />

MBAC Macau International Airport ● ● ● ● ●<br />

Shenzhen Joyee Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport ● ● ●<br />

Tianjin Airport BAC Tianjin Binhai International Airport ● ● ● ●<br />

Data Source: Asian Sky Group Infrastructure Report 2017<br />

1 Under Construction; 2 CIQ: Customs, Immigration and Quarantine; 3 Aircraft Refueling: Fuel Arrangement Service<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 23


● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

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● ● ●<br />

● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ●<br />

COUNTRY PROFILE: GREATER CHINA<br />

MRO Capabilities by Model<br />

● Line Maintenance (Fixed-wing)/Field Maintenance (Helicopter)<br />

● Base Maintenance (Fixed-wing)/Overhaul (Helicopter)<br />

● Both<br />

AIRBUS<br />

AMECO (BJ)<br />

AMECO (CD)<br />

Beijing Airlines<br />

Boeing SC (SH)<br />

China Southern<br />

Deer Jet (BJ)<br />

GAMECO<br />

HAECO (XM)<br />

HNA Aviation<br />

SMECO<br />

STAECO (BJ)<br />

STAECO (JN)<br />

STARCO (SH)<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

ACJ320<br />

ACJ321<br />

BOEING<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

BBJ3<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

Beijing Airlines<br />

Bombardier (TJ)<br />

China Eastern<br />

Deer Jet (BJ)<br />

Deer Jet (SH)<br />

ExecuJet Haite<br />

Hawker Pacific<br />

STAECO (BJ)<br />

STAECO (JN)<br />

Learjet 35/36<br />

Learjet 40/45/45XR<br />

Learjet 60/60XR<br />

CRJ200<br />

Challenger 300<br />

Challenger 601<br />

Challenger 604<br />

Challenger 605<br />

Challenger 850<br />

Global Express<br />

Global Express XRS<br />

Global 5000<br />

Global 6000<br />

DASSAULT<br />

Falcon 7X<br />

Falcon 8X<br />

Falcon 10<br />

Falcon 20<br />

Falcon 50/EX<br />

Falcon 200<br />

Falcon 900<br />

Falcon 2000<br />

24 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ●<br />

● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ●<br />

● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ●<br />

● ●<br />

● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ●<br />

●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

●<br />

● ●<br />

● ●<br />

COUNTRY PROFILE: GREATER CHINA<br />

EMBRAER<br />

Beijing Airlines<br />

China Eastern<br />

Deer Jet (BJ)<br />

Deer Jet (SH)<br />

ExecuJet Haite<br />

Gulfstream (BJ)<br />

Hawker Pacific<br />

Metrojet (ZH)<br />

STAECO (BJ)<br />

STAECO (JN)<br />

TEXTRON<br />

BJ Dingshi GA<br />

China Eastern<br />

China Flight GA<br />

Deer Jet (BJ)<br />

Deer Jet (SH)<br />

Hawker Pacific<br />

Phenom 100<br />

Citation I<br />

Phenom 300<br />

Citation II/Bravo<br />

Legacy 500<br />

Citation III/VI/VII<br />

Legacy 600<br />

Citation V<br />

Legacy 650<br />

Citation XLS/+<br />

Lineage 1000<br />

Citation X/+<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

Citation CJ1/+<br />

G100<br />

Citation CJ2/+<br />

G150<br />

Citation Sovereign/+<br />

G200<br />

Citation Longitude<br />

G280<br />

Citation Mustang<br />

GIV/GIV-SP/G300/G400<br />

Hawker 400A/B<br />

GV<br />

Hawker 400XP<br />

G350/G450<br />

Hawker 750<br />

G500/G550<br />

Hawker 800 A/B/850XP<br />

G650/G650ER<br />

Hawker 900XP<br />

Hawker 4000<br />

CITY ABBREVIATION<br />

TEXTRON<br />

Dingshi GA (BJ)<br />

CAFUC<br />

Cessna-Avic<br />

China Eastern<br />

China Flight GA<br />

H&P GA<br />

Hairuo GA (SD)<br />

Jiutian<br />

Sky-Blue<br />

BJ<br />

Beijing<br />

King Air 90<br />

CD<br />

Chengdu<br />

King Air 200/250<br />

CS<br />

GZ<br />

JN<br />

Changsha<br />

Guangzhou<br />

Jinan<br />

King Air 300/350<br />

Cessna 172<br />

NB<br />

SC<br />

SD<br />

Ningbo<br />

Sichuan<br />

Shanghai<br />

Cessna 182<br />

Cessna 205<br />

SH<br />

TJ<br />

XM<br />

ZH<br />

Shandong<br />

Tianjin<br />

Xiamen<br />

Zhahai<br />

Cessna 206<br />

Cessna 207<br />

Cessna 400<br />

Caravan<br />

Grand Caravan<br />

Baron<br />

Bonanza<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 25


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●<br />

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● ● ●<br />

● ● ●<br />

● ● ●<br />

●<br />

● ● ●<br />

● ●<br />

COUNTRY PROFILE: GREATER CHINA<br />

AIRBUS<br />

AVIC Changhe<br />

BJ Capital<br />

COHC GAMEC<br />

Eastern GA<br />

Flying Dragon<br />

GDAT (NB)<br />

Hafei<br />

Xilin Fengteng GA<br />

BELL<br />

Aerochine Aviation<br />

Avion Pacific<br />

Champion<br />

Chongqing GA<br />

COHC GAMEC<br />

Dachuan GA<br />

GDAT (NB)<br />

Jielian (CS)<br />

JX Changhe<br />

Kingwing GA<br />

Suilian GA<br />

H120<br />

204<br />

H125<br />

205<br />

H130<br />

206<br />

H135<br />

212<br />

H145<br />

214<br />

H155<br />

230<br />

H215<br />

407<br />

H225<br />

412<br />

AS355<br />

427<br />

AS365<br />

429<br />

BK117<br />

430<br />

AVIC<br />

LEONARDO<br />

AC311<br />

AW109<br />

AC313<br />

AW119<br />

H410<br />

AW139<br />

Z9/Z9A<br />

AW169<br />

MD<br />

MD 500/520<br />

MD 600<br />

MD 900<br />

ROBINSON<br />

BJ Capital<br />

Champion<br />

China Flight GA<br />

Dachuan GA (SC)<br />

GDAT (NB)<br />

H&P GA<br />

Heliflite<br />

Jielian (CS)<br />

Kingwing GA<br />

Ruoer GA<br />

Suilian (GZ)<br />

Xilin Fengteng GA<br />

Yanxiang (SH)<br />

CITY ABBREVIATION<br />

R22<br />

R44<br />

R66<br />

SIKORSKY<br />

S76<br />

S92<br />

BJ<br />

CD<br />

CS<br />

GZ<br />

JN<br />

NB<br />

SC<br />

Beijing<br />

Chengdu<br />

Changsha<br />

Guangzhou<br />

Jinan<br />

Ningbo<br />

Sichuan<br />

S300<br />

269C<br />

SD<br />

SH<br />

TJ<br />

Shanghai<br />

Shandong<br />

Tianjin<br />

C++<br />

XM<br />

Xiamen<br />

ZH<br />

Zhahai<br />

26 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

●<br />

● ● ● ● ●<br />

● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

●<br />

●<br />

● ● ●<br />

● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●<br />

COUNTRY PROFILE: GREATER CHINA<br />

HONG KONG | TAIWAN | MACAU<br />

MRO CAPABILITIES BY MODEL<br />

● Line Maintenance (Fixed-wing)/Field Maintenance (Helicopter)<br />

● Base Maintenance (Fixed-wing)/Overhaul (Helicopter)<br />

● Both<br />

AIRBUS<br />

Air Asia (TW)<br />

CASL (HK)<br />

EVA SKY JET (TW)<br />

HAECO (HK)<br />

Jet Aviation (HK)<br />

Mandarin Airlines<br />

Metrojet (HK)<br />

EMBRAER<br />

EVA SKY JET (TW)<br />

Jet Aviation (HK)<br />

Metrojet (HK)<br />

BELL<br />

Air Asia (TW)<br />

Executive Aviation (TW)<br />

HK Aviation Club<br />

Skytech (MC)<br />

ACJ318<br />

Phenom 100<br />

204<br />

ACJ319<br />

Phenom 300<br />

205<br />

ACJ320<br />

Legacy 500<br />

206<br />

ACJ321<br />

Legacy 600<br />

212<br />

BOEING<br />

Legacy 650<br />

214<br />

BBJ<br />

ERJ135/ER/LR<br />

230<br />

BBJ2<br />

Lineage 1000<br />

407<br />

BBJ3<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

412<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

G100<br />

427<br />

Learjet 35/36<br />

G150<br />

429<br />

Learjet 40/45/45XR<br />

G200<br />

430<br />

Learjet 60/60XR<br />

G280<br />

LEONARDO<br />

Learjet 75<br />

GIV/GIV-SP/G300/G400<br />

AW109<br />

CRJ200<br />

GV<br />

AW119<br />

Challenger 300<br />

G350/G450<br />

AW139<br />

Challenger 601<br />

G500/G550<br />

AW169<br />

Challenger 604<br />

G650/G650ER<br />

MD<br />

Challenger 605<br />

MD 500/520<br />

Challenger 850<br />

MD 600<br />

Global Express<br />

Global Express XRS<br />

Global 5000<br />

TEXTRON<br />

Air Asia (TW)<br />

MD 900<br />

ROBINSON<br />

R22<br />

Global 6000<br />

King Air 90<br />

R44<br />

DASSAULT<br />

Falcon 7X<br />

Falcon 8X<br />

Falcon 10<br />

Falcon 20<br />

Falcon 50/EX<br />

Falcon 200<br />

Falcon 900<br />

Falcon 2000<br />

King Air 200/250<br />

King Air 300/350<br />

Cessna 172<br />

Cessna 182<br />

Cessna 205<br />

Cessna 206<br />

Cessna 207<br />

Cessna 400<br />

Caravan<br />

Grand Caravan<br />

Baron<br />

Bonanza<br />

R66<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 27


PRE-OWNED MARKET SPOTLIGHT<br />

CORPORATE AIRLINERS<br />

PAST, PRES<strong>EN</strong>T AND FUTURE<br />

Appealing to VVIP buyers looking for more space and a customized interior,<br />

Corporate Airliners created a market for manufacturers by transforming popular<br />

commercial airliners into corporate jets. In 1996, Boeing Commercial Airplanes<br />

partnered with GE Aviation to bring one of the very first Corporate Airliners to the<br />

market: the Boeing Business Jet based of the then 737 NG Series of commercial<br />

airliners. French manufacturer Airbus followed with its Airbus Corporate Jet<br />

series and since then other manufacturers have attempted the same with varying<br />

degrees of success — Bombardier with its Challenger 850 from the CRJ, Embraer<br />

with the Lineage 1000 from the E190, and the Russian manufacturer Sukhoi with<br />

the SBJ<br />

28 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


PRE-OWNED SPOTLIGHT<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

The BBJ1, a combination of a 737-700 airframe and 737-800 wing,<br />

was Boeing Business Jets’ first aircraft serving the Corporate<br />

Airliner segment. With configurations typically ranging from 19 to 50<br />

passengers – much less than the typical 149 passenger capacity of<br />

the 737-700 NG airliner – a BBJ’s cabin is typically divided into four<br />

sections: a boardroom, lounge, VIP bedroom and a business office,<br />

along with two restrooms. Since the first BBJ, Boeing Business Jets<br />

has introduced the BBJ2, based on the 737-800, and the BBJ3, based<br />

on the 737-900ER. With additional fuel tanks and CFM56-7 engines,<br />

the BBJ flies as far as 6,200nm and the BBJ2 flies 5,600nm. The<br />

major difference between the two is the cabin size where the BBJ2<br />

has 25% more space than the BBJ.<br />

As Boeing’s direct competitor, Airbus’ ACJ Family offers a similar<br />

range of Corporate Airliners based on the CEO variant, short for<br />

current engine options, originally including the ACJ318 — based off<br />

the A318; the ACJ319 — based off the A319; and then ACJ320 &<br />

ACJ321. All ACJ models except the ACJ318 which is no longer in<br />

production, typically accommodate 19 to 50 passengers so are sized<br />

much like their BBJ competitor, but the ACJs have a slightly wider<br />

and taller cabin. The ACJ319 has a range of up to 6,000nm, while<br />

the ACJ318 is capable of just 4,200nm with two tanks. Both can<br />

be equipped with engines from either CFM, IAE (not the ACJ318) or<br />

P&WC.<br />

Based on the 50-seat regional airliner CRJ200LR, Bombardier<br />

introduced the Challenger 800 back in 1997, with an updated version<br />

later brought to the market in 2006 — the Challenger 850. Capable<br />

of accommodating up to 19 passengers or 27 in a Corporate Shuttle<br />

version, the Challenger 850’s range is significantly lower than the<br />

MODEL COMPARISON<br />

MODEL<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

LINEAGE 1000<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 850<br />

Manufacturer<br />

Airbus<br />

Airbus<br />

Boeing<br />

Boeing<br />

Embraer<br />

Bombardier<br />

Engine Type<br />

CFM56-5B<br />

CFM56-5B<br />

CFM56-7<br />

CFM56-7<br />

GE CF34-10E<br />

GE CF34-3B1<br />

Engine Thrust (Lbs/Shp)<br />

26,500<br />

26,500<br />

27,300<br />

27,300<br />

18,500<br />

8,729<br />

Typical Crew / Passenger Seating<br />

3/18<br />

3/19<br />

3/19<br />

3/19<br />

3/13<br />

3/15<br />

“Maximum Range - Up To<br />

(NBAA IFR Res, Seat Full)<br />

Maximum Take-off Weight (Lbs.)<br />

3,800<br />

145,504<br />

6,100<br />

168,650<br />

6,141<br />

171,000<br />

5,644<br />

174,200<br />

4,198<br />

120,152<br />

2,456<br />

53,000<br />

* Source: Conklin & de Decker.<br />

AIRCRAFT DIM<strong>EN</strong>SION<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

LINEAGE 1000<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 850<br />

Length (ft.)<br />

103.7<br />

111<br />

110.3<br />

129.4<br />

118.9<br />

87.8<br />

Height (ft.)<br />

41.2<br />

38.5<br />

41.2<br />

41.2<br />

34.7<br />

20.4<br />

Wing Span (ft.)<br />

120.8<br />

111.8<br />

117.4<br />

117.4<br />

94.2<br />

69.5<br />

* Source: Conklin & de Decker<br />

CABIN DIM<strong>EN</strong>SION<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

LINEAGE 1000<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 850<br />

Cabin Width (ft.)<br />

12.08<br />

12.08<br />

11.50<br />

11.50<br />

8.75<br />

8.17<br />

Cabin Height (ft.)<br />

7.33<br />

7.33<br />

7.00<br />

7.00<br />

6.58<br />

6.08<br />

Cabin Length (ft.)<br />

70.92<br />

78.75<br />

79.20<br />

98.30<br />

84.32<br />

48.42<br />

Cabin Volume (cu.ft.)<br />

5,300<br />

5,843<br />

5,396<br />

6,525<br />

3,914<br />

1,964<br />

* Source: Conklin & de Decker<br />

OTHER FEATURES<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

LINEAGE 1000<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 850<br />

Max Certified Cabin Altitude (ft.)<br />

N/A<br />

8,000<br />

6,500<br />

6,500<br />

7,000<br />

8,000<br />

Avionic System / Suppliers<br />

Various<br />

Various<br />

Rockwell Collins<br />

Rockwell Collins<br />

Honeywell<br />

Rockwell Collins<br />

Enhanced Vision / Heads Up Guidance<br />

Optional<br />

Optional<br />

HGS-4000 HUD<br />

HGS-4000 HUD<br />

Optional<br />

Optional<br />

* Source: OEM, Conklin & de decker<br />

OPERATING COST<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

LINEAGE 1000<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 850<br />

Per Hour (USD)<br />

$8,005<br />

$8,317<br />

$8,478<br />

$9,303<br />

$7,605<br />

$5,058<br />

* Source: Conklin & de Decker, total cost includes including variable cost & fixed cost.<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 29


PRE-OWNED SPOTLIGHT<br />

AGE AND MODEL DISTRIBUTION - CURR<strong>EN</strong>T IN OPERATION<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

Challenger 850 * Lineage 1000<br />

45<br />

No. of Aircraft in Operation<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

2016<br />

2017<br />

2018<br />

Data Source: JETNET<br />

*Including re-configured CL850(CRJ)<br />

MARKET CONDITION<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

ACJ318<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 850<br />

LINEAGE 1000<br />

In Production<br />

Current in Operation*<br />

Current on Market for Sale<br />

% of the fleet<br />

Sold past 12 Months<br />

1998 - Present<br />

70<br />

9<br />

13%<br />

1<br />

1998 - Present<br />

135<br />

15<br />

11%<br />

11<br />

2001 - Present<br />

23<br />

4<br />

17%<br />

2<br />

2005 - 2015<br />

20<br />

5<br />

25%<br />

1<br />

2006 - 2012<br />

71<br />

10<br />

14%<br />

6<br />

2009 - 2017<br />

29<br />

6<br />

21%<br />

1<br />

*Source: Jetnet & Conklin & de Decker<br />

much bigger BBJs or ACJs — falling into the super-midsize category,<br />

reaching 3,100 nm. The Challenger 850 was introduced as a costeffective<br />

“Global Express” offering almost the equivalent cabin size,<br />

at the sacrifice of range.<br />

Brazilian aircraft manufacturer Embraer launched the Lineage 1000<br />

in 2006, based off its very successful E190 regional jet airliner.<br />

Categorized as an ultra-large business jet due to its 4,085 cu-ft cabin,<br />

with a range of 4,200nm, the Lineage 1000 accommodates from<br />

13 to 19 passengers. While its cross-section is larger than several<br />

conventional business jets, like the Gulfstream G550, 7X or Global<br />

Express, it’s still smaller than the BBJ or ACJ. Embraer relaunched<br />

the Lineage 1000 as the 1000E in 2013, with enhanced avionics and<br />

performance, as well as a greater range of 4,60nm.<br />

PRE-OWNED MARKET ANALYSIS<br />

The pre-owned market for Corporate Airliners really needs to be<br />

broken down into two categories, as an ACJ can’t be thought of in<br />

the same category as a Challenger 850. So, on one hand you have<br />

the very successful BBJ and ACJ319 – ultra-long-range business<br />

jets with fully customized interiors, both market successes, along<br />

with the new MAX and NEO versions coming to the market now. On<br />

the other hand you have the ACJ318, L1000 and CL850 – mid-range<br />

business jets with limited cabin customization available, poor market<br />

acceptability and are no longer in production.<br />

Considering all of these Corporate Airliner models, the BBJ is the<br />

most popular model, with 135 jets in operation. Not too surprisingly,<br />

the US is its largest market, where it is also utilized by numerous<br />

government entities. Greater China is also a strong market for the<br />

BBJ, followed by the UAE and Saudi Arabia, where this aircraft is most<br />

used by private owners. The ACJ319, the direct competitor of the BBJ,<br />

has a younger but much smaller fleet of 70 worldwide. Greater China<br />

and Germany are the largest markets for this aircraft. The Challenger<br />

850 has a fleet of 71 aircraft, used primarily in Greater China by a<br />

number of governmental entities and state-owned enterprises, along<br />

with the US and Russia. The L1000, with a fleet of 29 aircraft, also<br />

OPERATING REGION - BREAKDOWN BY MODEL<br />

REGION<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

ACJ318<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 850<br />

LINEAGE 1000<br />

Europe<br />

Asia<br />

Northern America<br />

Middle East<br />

Sub-Saharan Africa<br />

Latin Amer. & Carib<br />

Oceania<br />

Northern Africa<br />

33<br />

11<br />

1<br />

14<br />

4<br />

2<br />

1<br />

22<br />

25<br />

45<br />

20<br />

6<br />

6<br />

7<br />

1<br />

3<br />

5<br />

2<br />

11<br />

1<br />

5<br />

8<br />

7<br />

30<br />

16<br />

16<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

9<br />

8<br />

4<br />

4<br />

1<br />

Grand Total *<br />

66<br />

132<br />

22<br />

20<br />

68<br />

27<br />

Data Source: JETNET<br />

*Aircraft with unknown base info are omitted.<br />

30 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


PRE-OWNED SPOTLIGHT<br />

TOTAL INV<strong>EN</strong>TORY MARKET VALUE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2016 - COMPARE TO G550<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

Challenger 850 Lineage 1000<br />

G550<br />

2000<br />

1800<br />

Inventory Market Value<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

2016-09<br />

2016-10<br />

2016-11<br />

2016-12<br />

2017-01<br />

2017-02<br />

2017-03<br />

2017-04<br />

2017-05<br />

2017-06<br />

2017-07<br />

2017-08<br />

2017-09<br />

2017-10<br />

2017-11<br />

2017-12<br />

2018-01<br />

2018-02<br />

2018-03<br />

2018-04<br />

2018-05<br />

2018-06<br />

2018-07<br />

2018-08<br />

2018-09<br />

has a number of governmental users, plus<br />

Asian and Middle East owners.<br />

Inventory market values for Corporate<br />

Airliners have been steadily increasing since<br />

September 2016, with the ACJ319 and BBJ2<br />

increasing the most. Comparatively, the<br />

G550’s inventory value has been decreasing<br />

since early 2016.<br />

Currently the market for pre-owned<br />

Corporate Airliners is witnessing little<br />

activity. Typically, the average percentage of<br />

business jets for sale — at any given time —<br />

is around 6 to 9%. The BBJ sits just above<br />

that with 11% of its fleet for sale, while the<br />

ACJ319 has 13% for sale and the Challenger<br />

850 has 14% of its fleet for sale. The BBJ2,<br />

Lineage 1000 and ACJ318 have 17%, 21%<br />

and 25% of their fleets for sale, respectively.<br />

In comparison, the G550 has a worldwide<br />

fleet of 556 aircraft with just 5% of its fleet<br />

for sale at the moment.<br />

The average days on market (DOM) for the<br />

selected Corporate Airliners reached just<br />

over 600 days, as of September 2018. The<br />

ACJ318 has the highest DOM at more than<br />

1,000 days, while the Challenger 850 and<br />

ACJ319 have the lowest DOM at just over<br />

AVERAGE ASKING PRICE TR<strong>EN</strong>D SINCE SEPTEMBER 2016<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET AVERAGE ASKING PRICE (M USD)<br />

ACJ318 ACJ319 BBJ BBJ2 Challenger 850 Lineage 1000<br />

75<br />

65<br />

55<br />

45<br />

35<br />

25<br />

15<br />

5<br />

2016-09<br />

2016-10<br />

2016-11<br />

2016-12<br />

2017-01<br />

2017-02<br />

2017-03<br />

2017-04<br />

2017-05<br />

2017-06<br />

2017-07<br />

2017-08<br />

2017-09<br />

2017-10<br />

2017-11<br />

2017-12<br />

2018-01<br />

2018-02<br />

2018-03<br />

2018-04<br />

2018-05<br />

2018-06<br />

2018-07<br />

2018-08<br />

2018-09<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET TR<strong>EN</strong>D<br />

CORPORATE AIRLINERS VS. G550<br />

G550 Corporate Airliners’ Average<br />

ACJ318 ACJ319 BBJ BBJ2 Challenger 850 Lineage 1000<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

2016-09<br />

2016-10<br />

2016-11<br />

2016-12<br />

2017-01<br />

2017-02<br />

2017-03<br />

2017-04<br />

2017-05<br />

2017-06<br />

2017-07<br />

2017-08<br />

2017-09<br />

2017-10<br />

2017-11<br />

2017-12<br />

2018-01<br />

2018-02<br />

2018-03<br />

2018-04<br />

2018-05<br />

2018-06<br />

2018-07<br />

2018-08<br />

2018-09<br />

200 days and 315 days, respectively. For comparison again, the G550<br />

had an average DOM of 165 days.<br />

In terms of market activity, as mentioned Corporate Airliners are<br />

currently experiencing few transactions, particularly when compared<br />

to conventional business jets. BBJs are the most active, with about<br />

one sale every few months. Therefore, price-wise — average asking<br />

prices for pre-owned Corporate Airliners are less volatile than the<br />

traditional business jet market. For popular models, such as the<br />

BBJ1, pricing has remained stable, varying just between US$34M<br />

and US$41M. The highest priced model of the Corporate Airliners<br />

is the BBJ2, with an average asking price of around US$57M.<br />

The Challenger 850, which has ceased production, is one of the<br />

lowest-priced Corporate Airliners, with an asking price of just<br />

over US$25M. However, each aircraft’s price tag can increase<br />

significantly depending on the aircraft’s interior, which most owners<br />

have customized using an industry renowned designer. The paradox<br />

here is that given only a small group of aircraft buyers can afford a<br />

Corporate Airliner in the first place, combined with their numerous<br />

requirements regarding cabin configuration and interior, most<br />

potential buyers would most likely go for a brand-new aircraft thus<br />

lowering demand for pre-owned aircraft.<br />

While pricing is understandably higher for a Corporate Airliner versus<br />

a conventional business jet, the depreciation rate for Corporate<br />

Airliners is slower. According to VREF, for a BBJ with a price tag of<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 31


PRE-OWNED SPOTLIGHT<br />

TIME LINE<br />

YEAR OEM MODEL EV<strong>EN</strong>T<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2001<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2015<br />

2016<br />

Boeing<br />

Airbus<br />

Boeing<br />

Airbus<br />

Boeing<br />

Boeing<br />

Boeing<br />

Airbus<br />

Bombardier<br />

Airbus<br />

Embraer<br />

Boeing<br />

Airbus<br />

Embraer<br />

Bombardier<br />

Airbus<br />

Embraer<br />

Bombardier<br />

Airbus<br />

Boeing<br />

BBJ<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ2<br />

BBJ2<br />

BBJ<br />

ACJ318<br />

Challenger 850<br />

ACJ318<br />

Lineage 1000<br />

BBJ<br />

ACJ318<br />

Lineage 1000<br />

Challenger 850<br />

ACJ318<br />

Lineage 1000E<br />

Challenger 850<br />

ACJ NEO<br />

BBJ MAX<br />

Boeing Business Jets was launched as a joint venture between Boeing and General Electric.<br />

Airbus joined the business jet market with the A319 Corporate Jet.<br />

First BBJ entered service.<br />

First ACJ319 entered service.<br />

In October, the BBJ2 was announced which has 25 percent more cabin space and twice the cargo<br />

space of the original BBJ.<br />

First BBJ2 entered service.<br />

In May, the BBJ became the first non-commercial aircraft to cross the North Atlantic using Future<br />

Air Navigation System (FANS) technology.<br />

Airbus introduced the ACJ318.<br />

Bombardier introduced the Challenger 850 and announced its first order.<br />

First Airbus ACJ318 entered service.<br />

Embraer launched the Lineage 1000 in May.<br />

In January, Boeing and Rockwell Collins announced the development of an Enhanced Vision<br />

System (EVS) for the BBJ.<br />

Airbus A318 approved for Heads Up Display.<br />

First Lineage 1000 entered into service.<br />

The first Challenger 850 was delivered to BAA Jet Management in March.<br />

Airbus introduced the ACJ318 Enhanced, with more cabin configurations and airframe<br />

enhancements.<br />

Embraer renamed the Lineage 1000 the Lineage 1000E.<br />

Challenger 850 production ceased.<br />

Airbus launched the ACJneo with its first order.<br />

BBJ MAX7 was unveiled in October, with a 7,000 nautical mile range, 10% lower operating costs<br />

and a longer cabin compared to the original BBJ.<br />

% OF AIRCRAFT FOR SALE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2016<br />

30%<br />

28%<br />

26%<br />

24%<br />

22%<br />

20%<br />

18%<br />

16%<br />

14%<br />

12%<br />

10%<br />

8%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

NUMBER OF AIRCRAFT FOR SALE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2016<br />

No. of Aircraft for Sale<br />

20<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

ACJ318 ACJ319 BBJ BBJ2<br />

US$46.5M delivered in 2008, today’s value would be US$34M; a 2.5-<br />

3% annual depreciation rate. This is much less than the average 6-9%<br />

annual rate for a conventional business jet.<br />

PROS & CONS<br />

ACJ318 ACJ319 BBJ BBJ2<br />

G550 Supply Level: 6-8%<br />

Challenger<br />

850<br />

Challenger<br />

850<br />

Lineage<br />

1000/E<br />

Lineage<br />

1000/E<br />

Because they are based off of commercial airliners with high annual<br />

utilizations, Corporate Airliners inherently have a robust airframe<br />

and system design allowing them to serve for longer periods, with<br />

fewer factory visits than conventional business jets. Also, Corporate<br />

Airliners are more spacious; a BBJ’s cabin volume is almost three<br />

times that of a G550 and consequently the interior can provide more<br />

flexibility for the buyer. These features along with a long list of others<br />

have successfully drawn the attention of top-tier business jet buyers<br />

and created a solid market demand for Corporate Airliners.<br />

While the Corporate Airliner market is undoubtedly popular for<br />

government entities and corporate users, the efficiency of these<br />

aircraft and their suitability for the demanding private user is often<br />

debated. A good example is with the avionics. Most business jets,<br />

including the Falcon 7X, Global 5500 and G550, have long offered<br />

Enhanced Vision System (EVS) with a Head-Up Display (HUD),<br />

improving pilot awareness in challenging conditions. Yet, these have<br />

only more recently found their way onto Corporate Airliners and even<br />

then merely as options with several Corporate Airliners only offering<br />

EVS as an upgrade while the baseline avionics typically remain from<br />

the last generation. Corporate Airliners also have a relatively slower<br />

cruising speed (around Mach 0.8) and a lower cruising altitude,<br />

ranging from 35,000ft to 39,000ft versus conventional business<br />

jets usually flying well above Mach 0.8 at 39,000ft. Thus, Corporate<br />

Airliners take a longer time to travel and typically can’t avoid<br />

challenging weather conditions like a conventional business jet. The<br />

cabin altitude in a Corporate Airliner is relatively higher too while in<br />

cruise. A BBJ’s cabin altitude is 6,500ft, while a G550 is slightly lower<br />

at 6,000ft, making a significant difference over long-haul flights, as<br />

passengers would feel more comfortable at a lower cabin altitude.<br />

Another major selling point for business jets is the reduced cabin<br />

noise they offer. In today’s conventional business jets, with the help<br />

of advanced insulation liners and the latest in acoustic treatment<br />

technology, they have virtually eliminated cabin noise by reducing it<br />

32 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


INDUSTRY INSIDER<br />

to an unperceivable level. In some cases this technology isn’t fully<br />

reflected in Corporate Airliners, which continue to come from the<br />

factory with the conventional noise treatment of just a commercial<br />

aircraft.<br />

In terms of the interior, Corporate Airliners — straight from the<br />

factory — tend to have limited customization options and OEMs have<br />

often opted for film-coated materials versus real veneer to reduce<br />

cabin weight, maintain range and lower costs. This has left the<br />

finished interior unappealing to a lot of buyers. Alternatively, in the<br />

case of BBJs and ACJs, those purchasing these aircraft typically look<br />

to interior specialists and completion centers to outfit the aircraft<br />

according to their customized needs. This process can take up to 18<br />

months or longer and comes with a hefty price tag; an ACJ or BBJ<br />

customised interior costs between US$20M to US$30M to outfit.<br />

MODEL PERFORMANCE COMPARISON<br />

RANGE, CABIN VOLUME & OPERATING COST PER HOUR<br />

Cabin Volume (ft3)<br />

7500<br />

6500<br />

5500<br />

4500<br />

3500<br />

2500<br />

1500<br />

500<br />

BBJ2, $9,303<br />

ACJ319, $8,317<br />

ACJ318, $8,005<br />

BBJ, $8,478<br />

Lineage 1000, $7,598<br />

Challenger 850, $5,058<br />

G550, $6,733<br />

2,000<br />

2,500<br />

3,000<br />

3,500<br />

4,000<br />

4,500<br />

5,000<br />

5,500<br />

6,000<br />

MAX RANGE (N.M.)<br />

* Data Source: Asian Sky Group & Conklin & de Decker<br />

6,500<br />

Operating costs for Corporate Airliners tend to be much higher than<br />

that of a conventional business jet. The BBJ and ACJ319, comparable<br />

in both range and cabin size, cost approximately US$8,000 to operate<br />

hourly, and over US$3.5M annually, according to Conklin & de Decker.<br />

In comparison, the G550, which has a slightly longer range yet a<br />

smaller cabin, costs approximately US$6,700 to operate hourly and<br />

US$2.8 million annually.<br />

At the moment, the market demand for Corporate Airliners is much<br />

lower than supply impacting seller’s expectations. Consequently,<br />

it takes a significantly longer period of time to sell a Corporate<br />

Airliner than a conventional business jets. Still, as the ‘top-tier’ of<br />

the corporate jet market, Corporate Airliners offer a shallower<br />

depreciation curve, combined with more space and the potential for<br />

specialized interiors custom designed by completion centers. Still,<br />

buyers are always pushing for future models to provide for a more<br />

genuine business jet experience, complete with advanced technology<br />

throughout the cockpit and cabin and a more luxurious cabin design<br />

as standard.<br />

THE FUTURE<br />

There are potentially three “new” Corporate Airliner models entering<br />

the market. These are referred to as “new” because some have<br />

already been announced but are taking a while to bring to market<br />

which is never a good sign for the long-term viability of a program.<br />

The three programs are the Sukhoi Business Jet (SBJ) from Superjet<br />

International; the ARJ21 Business Jet from COMAC in China; and a<br />

potential ACJ220 from Airbus Corporate Jets.<br />

The first SBJ was sold in 2013 and today the type is in operation<br />

with RusJet, Rossiya Special Flight Squad, Comlux KZ (on behalf of<br />

Metallurgical Corporation Kazakhmys), Kazakhstan’s border patrol<br />

and the Royal Thai Air Force. Currently, the collective fleet stands<br />

at 11 units. The aircraft was recently upgraded to incorporate eight<br />

tanks instead of four and added blended winglets. This extended<br />

the range of the aircraft out to 3,900nm. The target markets for<br />

the SBJ are CIS countries, Middle East, Southeast Asia and Africa,<br />

where buyers are looking for something between an ultra-long-range<br />

business jet and a Corporate Airliner, such as the ACJ and BBJ.<br />

The ARJ21 Business Jet is still in development mainly due to<br />

corresponding delays to the commercial airliner program and its<br />

ongoing certification issues. To date, there are only five airliner<br />

TRANSACTION SUMMARY - BREAKDOWN BY MODEL<br />

NO. OF AIRCRAFT FOR SALE<br />

ARJ21s in service with Chengdu Airlines and three more involved<br />

in flight test duties. COMAC also holds firm orders for 127 more of<br />

the type, and options and letters of intent for a further 399. The first<br />

ARJ21 Business Jet is currently under production in Shanghai, with<br />

the prime vendor for the cabin installation being Fokker Techniek,<br />

supported by cabinetry from F/LIST in Austria and cabin liners from<br />

Jeff Bonner Research & Development Company Inc. (JBRND) in the<br />

US.<br />

ACJ318<br />

2016/09<br />

2016/10<br />

2016/11<br />

2016/12<br />

* Data source: JETNET & ASG<br />

Last, but not least is the ACJ220 which is still a project very much<br />

on the drawing board but being talked about nevertheless. With<br />

Bombardier and Airbus now partners on the former C Series and the<br />

program subsequently rebranded the A220, an ACJ220 potential fills<br />

in the bottom of the ACJ family previously occupied by the ACJ318<br />

and for Bombardier Business Aircraft provides a product that could<br />

nicely sit between the current Challenger and Global product lines.<br />

As sales of the A220 have fallen to Airbus Group, maybe we will<br />

see an ACJ220 being sold by Bombardier in the end. To fit either<br />

role, the A220 will need to be modified and avoid the limitations<br />

of the A318. For instance, the airliner A220-100 only has a range<br />

of 3,100nm so this would need to be pushed out into the 5,000nm<br />

range. Customization and a high-quality fit and finish to the cabin will<br />

be a requirement for any buyer of a business jet in this segment too.<br />

Lastly, the needs of the Asian market will need to be factored into the<br />

final specification of the aircraft because, if the past is any indication<br />

of the future, markets for Corporate Airliners, Asia will be one of the<br />

most dominate.<br />

ACJ319<br />

2017/01<br />

2017/02<br />

2017/03<br />

2017/04<br />

BBJ<br />

2017/05<br />

2017/06<br />

BBJ2<br />

1 1 1<br />

1<br />

2 2 2<br />

2017/07<br />

2017/08<br />

2017/09<br />

2017/10<br />

Challenger 850 Lineage 1000<br />

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1<br />

2017/11<br />

2<br />

2017/12<br />

2018/01<br />

2018/02<br />

3<br />

2018/03<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2018/04<br />

2018/05<br />

2018/06<br />

2018/07<br />

2018/08<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 33


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

PRE-OWNED BUSINESS JETS FOR SALE - 2018 Q3<br />

INV<strong>EN</strong>TORY VALUE (USD) 1<br />

$7,804M<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

$6,080M<br />

JUN 2018<br />

$5,765M<br />

$1,322M<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

$1,117M<br />

$1,036M<br />

JUN 2018<br />

Sep<br />

2016<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

2017<br />

2018<br />

Sep<br />

The Inventory Value Line represents the number of aircraft actively being marketed for sale in USD terms. 2<br />

The Trend Line represents the market’s direction in terms of the balance between sellers and buyers (supply and<br />

demand) at today’s price levels. A rising Trend Line indicates that pre-owned activity is stabilizing, with sellers of<br />

aircraft increasingly likely to find buyers.<br />

The Signal Line represents an indication of where the market’s direction may be heading in the future. A Signal<br />

Line consistently falling below the Trend Line indicates that any improvement in the market’s direction may not be<br />

entirely sustainable.<br />

MARKET TR<strong>EN</strong>D 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

TR<strong>EN</strong>D REVERSAL<br />

TR<strong>EN</strong>D<br />

IMPROVEM<strong>EN</strong>T<br />

TR<strong>EN</strong>D<br />

WORS<strong>EN</strong>ING<br />

MOVING TOWARDS SELLER’S MARKET<br />

MOVING TOWARDS BUYER’S MARKET<br />

AIRCRAFT SOLD 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

23<br />

30<br />

28<br />

32<br />

21<br />

25 25<br />

5<br />

22<br />

36<br />

30<br />

37<br />

38<br />

34<br />

34<br />

30 30 31 31<br />

28<br />

23<br />

24<br />

30<br />

28<br />

20<br />

Sep<br />

2016<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

2017<br />

2018<br />

Sep<br />

1 The historical inventory value and transactions are subject to change based on latest market information updates.<br />

2 ASG’s Inventory Value line is calculated by taking the total number of aircraft for sale from a selection of 26 different models, multiplied by their average asking prices.<br />

34 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

% OF FLEET SOLD<br />

1.00%<br />

0.95%<br />

0.90%<br />

0.85%<br />

0.80%<br />

0.75%<br />

0.70%<br />

0.65%<br />

0.60%<br />

0.55%<br />

0.50%<br />

0.45%<br />

0.40%<br />

Sep<br />

16<br />

Nov<br />

16<br />

Jan<br />

17<br />

Mar<br />

17<br />

May<br />

17<br />

Jul<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

17<br />

Nov<br />

17<br />

Jan<br />

18<br />

Mar<br />

18<br />

May<br />

18<br />

Jul<br />

18<br />

Sep<br />

18<br />

AVERAGE ASKING PRICE<br />

MILLION USD<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

16<br />

Nov<br />

16<br />

Jan<br />

17<br />

Mar<br />

17<br />

May<br />

17<br />

Jul<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

17<br />

Nov<br />

17<br />

Jan<br />

18<br />

Mar<br />

18<br />

May<br />

18<br />

Jul<br />

18<br />

Sep<br />

18<br />

% OF FLEET FOR SALE<br />

15%<br />

13%<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

11%<br />

9%<br />

7%<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

5%<br />

3%<br />

Sep<br />

16<br />

Nov<br />

16<br />

Jan<br />

17<br />

Mar<br />

17<br />

May<br />

17<br />

Jul<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

17<br />

Nov<br />

17<br />

Jan<br />

18<br />

Mar<br />

18<br />

May<br />

18<br />

Jul<br />

18<br />

Sep<br />

18<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

620<br />

570<br />

520<br />

470<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

420<br />

370<br />

320<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

270<br />

220<br />

Sep<br />

16<br />

Nov<br />

16<br />

Jan<br />

17<br />

Mar<br />

17<br />

May<br />

17<br />

Jul<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

17<br />

Nov<br />

17<br />

Jan<br />

18<br />

Mar<br />

18<br />

May<br />

18<br />

Jul<br />

18<br />

Sep<br />

18<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 35


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

SUPPLY / DEMAND INDICATORS<br />

BUSINESS JETS<br />

SUPPLY VS. DEMAND RATIO<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

SUPPLY ><br />

DEMAND<br />

% OF FLEET<br />

FOR SALE<br />

MODEL<br />

DAYS ON MARKET<br />

25.0%<br />

12.9%<br />

11.1%<br />

18.2%<br />

5.3%<br />

3.5%<br />

14.1%<br />

7.7%<br />

3.6%<br />

8.0%<br />

6.3%<br />

20.7%<br />

EMBRAER BOMBARDIER BOEING AIRBUS<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

BBJ2<br />

CL604<br />

CL605<br />

CL850<br />

GL5000<br />

GL6000<br />

L600<br />

L650<br />

L1000<br />

AVERAGE<br />

1.5%<br />

2.8%<br />

5.1%<br />

F2000LX<br />

F2000LXS<br />

F2000S<br />

AVERAGE<br />

7.9%<br />

2.5%<br />

3.4%<br />

8.3%<br />

1.5%<br />

13.4%<br />

1.4%<br />

6.2%<br />

4.7%<br />

4.4%<br />

DASSAULT<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

F7X<br />

F900DX<br />

F900EX<br />

F900EXe<br />

F900LX<br />

G200<br />

G280<br />

G450<br />

G550<br />

G650<br />

5.9%<br />

G650ER<br />

400% 300% 200% 100%<br />

0<br />

Average AC for sale / Total sold in last 12 months<br />

6.2%<br />

Average<br />

0 200 400 600 800 1000<br />

The above chart reflects where certain aircraft models are positioned<br />

in terms of supply and demand (based on a ratio of completed<br />

transactions compared to the number of sellers and the average<br />

number of days on the market for a transaction to take place).<br />

These indications do not necessarily mean that prices will be higher in<br />

the future, but it does indicate that sellers of these particular models<br />

are more likely to find willing buyers in a shorter period of time than the<br />

overall average.<br />

For some model types, given the market indicators shown on the<br />

previous page, the stabilization in pre-owned asking prices and<br />

decline in inventory level appear to have stimulated increased<br />

demand, leading to an increase in transactions and a more balanced<br />

state of supply and demand.<br />

This can be seen most with certain Gulfstream (G200, G450, G550,<br />

G650) and Bombardier models (Challenger 604/605 & Global 5000)<br />

where more transactions are occurring relative to the number for<br />

sale, and transactions are requiring less time on the market for<br />

sellers to complete.<br />

36 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

MARKET POSITIONING<br />

BUSINESS JETS<br />

MOVING TOWARDS<br />

BUYER’S MARKET<br />

Balanced<br />

Supply & Demand<br />

MOVING TOWARDS<br />

SELLER’S MARKET<br />

AIRBUS<br />

BOEING<br />

ACJ318<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ 1<br />

BBJ 2<br />

CL604<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

CL605<br />

CL850<br />

GL5000<br />

GL6000<br />

EMBRAER<br />

L600<br />

L650<br />

L1000<br />

F2000LX<br />

F2000LXS<br />

F2000S<br />

DASSAULT<br />

F7X<br />

F900DX<br />

F900EX<br />

F900EXe<br />

F900LX<br />

G200<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

G280<br />

G450<br />

G550<br />

G650<br />

G650ER<br />

The above chart provides a visual representation of the Supply /<br />

Demand Ratio of each aircraft model relative to the overall market,<br />

and is based on a ‘Marketability’ calculation for each particular model<br />

including the following four market indicators:<br />

When taking into account these four factors, the large and medium<br />

sized jet, such as Challenger 600, Falcon 2000 & 900 Series, as well as<br />

the various Gulfstream models, appear well positioned to find buyers<br />

available.<br />

1. The percentage of aircraft for sale relative to its fleet size.<br />

2. The number of aircraft sold relative to the average number for sale.<br />

3. The average days for sale relative to the overall market average.<br />

4. The momentum of the marketplace (represented by the trend<br />

towards supply and demand market equilibrium portrayed earlier).<br />

* ASG chose 26 popular aircraft models as described in this report<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 37


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

PRE-OWNED CIVIL HELICOPTERS FOR SALE - 2018 Q3<br />

INV<strong>EN</strong>TORY VALUE (USD) 1<br />

$1,354M<br />

JUN 2018<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

$1,167M<br />

$1,089M<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

$123M<br />

$113M<br />

JUN 2018<br />

$104M<br />

Sep<br />

2016<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

2017<br />

2018<br />

Sep<br />

The Inventory Value Line represents the number of aircraft actively being marketed for sale in USD terms. 2<br />

The Trend Line represents the market’s direction in terms of the balance between sellers and buyers (supply and<br />

demand) at today’s price levels. A rising Trend Line indicates that pre-owned activity is stabilizing, with sellers of<br />

aircraft increasingly likely to find buyers.<br />

The Signal Line represents an indication of where the market’s direction may be heading in the future. A Signal<br />

Line consistently falling below the Trend Line indicates that any improvement in the market’s direction may not be<br />

entirely sustainable.<br />

MARKET TR<strong>EN</strong>D 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

TR<strong>EN</strong>D<br />

REVERSAL<br />

MOVING TOWARDS SELLER’S MARKET<br />

MOVING TOWARDS BUYER’S MARKET<br />

TR<strong>EN</strong>D<br />

IMPROVEM<strong>EN</strong>T<br />

TR<strong>EN</strong>D<br />

WORS<strong>EN</strong>ING<br />

AIRCRAFT SOLD 1<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

10<br />

Sep<br />

2016<br />

8<br />

7 7 7<br />

10 10<br />

9<br />

10<br />

7<br />

6<br />

7<br />

4<br />

2<br />

1<br />

6<br />

9<br />

13<br />

14<br />

12 9<br />

9<br />

7 7 7<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

2017<br />

2018<br />

Sep<br />

1 The historical inventory value and transactions are subject to change based on latest market information updates.<br />

2 ASG’s Inventory Value line is calculated by taking the total number of aircraft for sale from a selection of 16 different models, multiplied by their average asking prices.<br />

38 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

% OF FLEET SOLD<br />

0.35%<br />

0.30%<br />

0.25%<br />

0.20%<br />

0.15%<br />

0.10%<br />

0.05%<br />

0.00%<br />

Sep<br />

16<br />

Nov<br />

16<br />

Jan<br />

17<br />

Mar<br />

17<br />

May<br />

17<br />

Jul<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

17<br />

Nov<br />

17<br />

Jan<br />

18<br />

Mar<br />

18<br />

May<br />

18<br />

Jul<br />

18<br />

Sep<br />

18<br />

AVERAGE ASKING PRICE<br />

MILLION USD<br />

6.5<br />

6<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

5.5<br />

5<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

4.5<br />

4<br />

Sep<br />

16<br />

Nov<br />

16<br />

Jan<br />

17<br />

Mar<br />

17<br />

May<br />

17<br />

Jul<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

17<br />

Nov<br />

17<br />

Jan<br />

18<br />

Mar<br />

18<br />

May<br />

18<br />

Jul<br />

18<br />

Sep<br />

18<br />

% OF FLEET FOR SALE<br />

8.0%<br />

7.0%<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

6.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

3.0%<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

2.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

Sep<br />

16<br />

Nov<br />

16<br />

Jan<br />

17<br />

Mar<br />

17<br />

May<br />

17<br />

Jul<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

17<br />

Nov<br />

17<br />

Jan<br />

18<br />

Mar<br />

18<br />

May<br />

18<br />

Jul<br />

18<br />

Sep<br />

18<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

800<br />

750<br />

700<br />

650<br />

600<br />

WORLDWIDE<br />

550<br />

500<br />

450<br />

400<br />

ASIA PACIFIC<br />

350<br />

300<br />

Sep<br />

16<br />

Nov<br />

16<br />

Jan<br />

17<br />

Mar<br />

17<br />

May<br />

17<br />

Jul<br />

17<br />

Sep<br />

17<br />

Nov<br />

17<br />

Jan<br />

18<br />

Mar<br />

18<br />

May<br />

18<br />

Jul<br />

18<br />

Sep<br />

18<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 39


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

SUPPLY / DEMAND INDICATORS<br />

CIVIL HELICOPTERS<br />

SUPPLY VS. DEMAND RATIO<br />

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET<br />

SUPPLY ><br />

DEMAND<br />

% OF FLEET<br />

FOR SALE<br />

MODEL<br />

DAYS ON MARKET<br />

15.1%<br />

S76C+<br />

11.5%<br />

SIKORSKY<br />

S76C++<br />

3.2%<br />

S92A<br />

AVERAGE<br />

6.2%<br />

8.2%<br />

4.7%<br />

BELL HELICOPTER<br />

BELL 412EP<br />

BELL 412HP<br />

BELL 429<br />

AVERAGE<br />

13.4%<br />

AW109E PWR<br />

5.1%<br />

LEONARDO<br />

AW109SP GN<br />

2.9%<br />

AW139<br />

3.0%<br />

AS332L1<br />

9.5%<br />

H225<br />

5.2%<br />

4.2%<br />

1.2%<br />

AIRBUS HELICOPTERS<br />

EC135P2<br />

EC135T2<br />

EC145<br />

25.0%<br />

EC155B<br />

6.8%<br />

H155<br />

350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0<br />

Average AC for sale / Total sold in last 12 months<br />

5.5%<br />

Average<br />

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800<br />

The above chart reflects where certain aircraft models are positioned in terms of supply and demand (based on a ration of completed transactions<br />

compared to the number of sellers, and average number of days on the market for a transaction to take place).<br />

40 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG


MARKET DYNAMICS<br />

MARKET POSITIONING<br />

CIVIL HELICOPTERS<br />

MOVING TOWARDS<br />

BUYER’S MARKET<br />

Balanced<br />

Supply & Demand<br />

MOVING TOWARDS<br />

SELLER’S MARKET<br />

S76C+<br />

SIKORSKY<br />

S76C++<br />

S92A<br />

BELL HELICOPTER<br />

BELL 412EP<br />

BELL 412HP<br />

BELL 429<br />

AW109E PWR<br />

LEONARDO<br />

AW109SP GN<br />

AW139<br />

AS332L1<br />

H225<br />

AIRBUS HELICOPTERS<br />

EC135P2<br />

EC135T2<br />

EC145<br />

EC155B<br />

H155<br />

The above chart provides a visual representation of the Supply / Demand Ratio of each aircraft model relative to the overall market, resulting in a<br />

‘Marketability’ calculation of each particular model based on the following four market indicators:<br />

1. The percentage of aircraft for sale relative to its fleet size.<br />

2. The number of aircraft sold relative to the average number for sale.<br />

3. The average days for sale relative to the overall market average.<br />

4. The momentum of the marketplace (represented by the trend towards supply and demand market equilibrium portrayed earlier).<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 41


INTERVIEW:<br />

MICHAEL HUI, ASG CONSULTING MANAGER<br />

EXPANDING CONSULTING SERVICES<br />

Interview by Litalia Yoakum<br />

With close to a decade of experience in the aviation industry, Asian Sky Group’s latest addition,<br />

Michael Hui, is bringing a different perspective to the consulting division. After working in<br />

commercial aviation for the length of his career, Michael is hopeful his knowledge will offer a new<br />

light to the division. As a dual citizen of both Hong Kong and Australia, he has the capacity to work crossculturally,<br />

in English, Mandarin and Cantonese.<br />

What attracted you to the aviation industry?<br />

The initial attraction started with a desire to travel around the world,<br />

after holidaying to several destinations with my father. This led to<br />

childhood aspirations of being a pilot. I later learned the pilot lifestyle<br />

might not be suitable for myself.<br />

Still, aviation was something I wanted to pursue, so I studied Aviation<br />

Management at the University of New South Wales in Australia. During<br />

the program, I learned the fundamentals of this quickly evolving<br />

industry. My excitement of working in aviation grew as I gained more<br />

practical experience.<br />

Tell me about your experience prior to joining<br />

Asian Sky Group?<br />

I have almost 10 years of experience in the aviation industry. After<br />

completing my Aviation Management degree, I began an internship at<br />

Hong Kong-based aircraft engineering and maintenance group HAECO,<br />

where I was part of the Inventory Technical Management team for<br />

two months. This was an intensive period, where the department<br />

mainly dealt with aircraft on ground (AOG) assignments, requiring tight<br />

scheduling periods and close cooperation in replacing and sourcing<br />

aircraft parts around the world.<br />

I then worked full-time at a regional airline in Australia, Regional<br />

Express (REX). My first role at REX involved updating technical<br />

documentation onboard, sometimes this involved driving around the<br />

tarmac and playing ‘hide-and-seek’ with 40 aircraft. I then moved over<br />

to REX’s commercial team, where I was responsible for the airline’s<br />

route profitability analysis. The challenge of this role was to maintain<br />

competitiveness against larger Australian airlines, such as Qantas<br />

Group and Virgin Australia, while improving the bottom line.<br />

My first aviation consultancy experience was with Sydney-based<br />

Ailevon Pacific Aviation Consulting, a consultancy firm that provides<br />

air service solutions to the major airports in the Australasia region.<br />

The company assists airports in attracting new airline businesses,<br />

while lobbying policy makers to expand bilateral agreements. During<br />

my time with this company, there was an influx of inbound travellers<br />

visiting the Australasia region. Thus, airports were actively seeking<br />

solutions for more infrastructure.<br />

In 2014, I moved to Hong Kong to work with Flight Ascend Consultancy,<br />

the advisory division of FlightGlobal, which is one of the leading<br />

aviation data providers. One of my key responsibilities at Flight Ascend<br />

Consultancy was aircraft valuation, where I would put a ‘price-tag’ on<br />

aircraft. This included tracking aircraft transactions and identifying key<br />

trends of aircraft values. On top of that, I was responsible for strategic<br />

planning and market analysis for various aviation stakeholders.<br />

Throughout my time in the commercial aviation sector, I’ve been<br />

fortunate to participate in a broad spectrum of the business, learning<br />

a lot along the way from the people I’ve met and projects I’ve worked<br />

on. Working alongside knowledgeable industry veterans has been<br />

inspiring. Every consultancy project I participated in and contributed<br />

to was informative and telling of the growing industry.<br />

42 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


INDUSTRY INSIDER<br />

Are there trends you witnessed in commercial<br />

aviation that you expect to transfer to<br />

business aviation?<br />

Commercial aviation has changed significantly over the years, in terms<br />

of aircraft management and ownership — especially in Asia, where<br />

more and more airlines are leasing aircraft from aircraft lessors.<br />

Airlines understand the benefits of being more flexible with their<br />

fleet management. Consequently, this has created more investment<br />

opportunities for aircraft lessors.<br />

In recent years, this has attracted more investors to develop aircraft<br />

leasing businesses and created more competition in the commercial<br />

aircraft leasing industry. However, I believe this business model can<br />

be transferred to business aviation as well. Aircraft leasing companies<br />

will begin to diversify their portfolios with private jets and helicopters<br />

to seek new opportunities as the airline sectors become overcrowded.<br />

What is the biggest challenge to growing the<br />

business aviation industry?<br />

In different stages of my consultancy work, I helped major airports in<br />

evaluating their long-term strategic planning. Several times, airport<br />

managers have considered sacrificing business/general aviation (B/<br />

GA) capacity and infrastructure to compensate for commercial airline<br />

growth<br />

Unfortunately, this doesn’t consider the vital role B/GA plays in the<br />

industry, the community and for the economy. This requires constant<br />

education to change preconceived notions that this segment is<br />

unnecessary and not as lucrative as commercial.<br />

Every consultancy project I<br />

participated in and contributed<br />

to was informative and telling<br />

of the growing industry.<br />

What consulting services does ASG provide?<br />

ASG provides a wide-range of aviation consulting services,<br />

including transactional advisory, operation advisory and completion<br />

management. Our work extends to all facets and life cycles of an<br />

aircraft, from the moment there’s interest in acquiring an aircraft.<br />

We continue to aid in choosing the most suitable model and conduct<br />

extensive market research to find the right purchase or selling price.<br />

ASG also assists with furnishing the interior of an aircraft, management<br />

selection and aircraft charter needs.<br />

For aviation companies, ASG’s consulting division offers solutions<br />

to develop business strategies and maximize market reach. Our<br />

research and analysis can aid in determining the feasibility of projects,<br />

ultimately helping a company’s bottom line.<br />

The knowledge and insight that ASG puts forth can be seen in our<br />

industry reports. Our team works with the regional industry to analyze<br />

fleet numbers and forecast what’s to come. In turn, we put out<br />

insightful and highly-anticipated reports throughout that year. This<br />

same sort of analysis is a clear example of what we can do for clients,<br />

in a more tailored manner.<br />

What do you expect for the future of ASG’s<br />

consulting division?<br />

ASG’s consulting division has grown immensely over the past few<br />

years and we hope to continue this development. Supported by our<br />

network of multi-lingual analysts and an extensive network of support<br />

throughout the industry, ASG will provide more tailored data for clients<br />

to offer several different perspectives. My objective is to utilize what<br />

I’ve learned in the commercial aviation sector and translate it to the<br />

general aviation world.<br />

The goal is to collate and synergize our data, experience and knowledge<br />

so that we can support the wider general aviation community to tackle<br />

day-to-day and long-term challenges.<br />

www.asianskygroup.com<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 43


AIRCRAFT SPOTLIGHT<br />

GLOBAL SERIES LINEUP<br />

In 2018, Bombardier Business Aircraft unveiled two additions to its fleet:<br />

the Global 5500 and the Global 6500. The latest variants entered the Global<br />

series just as the Canadian manufacturer elevated its Global 7000 to the<br />

Global 7500, making the upgraded model the line’s flagship aircraft.<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 45


Global 7500<br />

The 7500 is set to enter service in late 2018 and is marketed as the<br />

largest and longest-range business jet ever built, with an increased<br />

range of 7,700 nautical miles and a top speed of Mach 0.925. It is<br />

now the only business jet that can connect New York to Hong Kong<br />

and Singapore to San Francisco, powered by GE Passport engines.<br />

Sophisticated wing design gives the aircraft a takeoff distance of 5,800<br />

feet, allowing it to access airports with shorter runways. The landing<br />

performance of the 7500 has also been improved, now rivalling the<br />

stopping distance of aircraft in the light jet category.<br />

With four living spaces, the Global 7500 offers an unprecedented<br />

collection of floor plans and furnishing options suitable for up to 19<br />

passengers. Its cabin height stands at 6 feet 2 inches, with a width of<br />

8ft and length of 54ft 5in. This aircraft is also the first in Bombardier’s<br />

Global series to feature the Nuage seat, designed for ergonomic<br />

comfort with capability for swivelling and deep recline.<br />

In the cockpit, the Global 7500 features the Bombardier Vision<br />

flight deck from Rockwell Collins with next generation fly-by-wire<br />

technology, four large display, as well as a Head-Up Display (HUD),<br />

Enhanced Vision System (EVS) and Synthetic Vision System (SVS).<br />

SPECS<br />

PERFORMANCES GLOBAL 5500 GLOBAL 6500<br />

GLOBAL 7500<br />

Maximum Range<br />

Passenger<br />

Top Speed<br />

Takeoff Distance<br />

Landing Distance<br />

Maximum Operating Altitude<br />

5,700 nm<br />

UP to 16<br />

0.90 Mach<br />

5,490 ft<br />

2,207 ft<br />

51,000 ft<br />

6,600 nm<br />

UP to 17<br />

0.90 Mach<br />

6,370 ft<br />

2,236 ft<br />

51,000 ft<br />

7,700 nm<br />

UP to 19<br />

0.925 Mach<br />

5,800 ft<br />

2,520 ft<br />

51,000 ft<br />

<strong>EN</strong>GINES<br />

Manufacturer<br />

Thrust<br />

Rolls-Royce Pearl<br />

15,125 lb (67.3 kN)<br />

Rolls-Royce Pearl<br />

15,125 lb (67.3 kN)<br />

GE Passport<br />

18,650 lb (83 kN)<br />

AVIONICS<br />

• Bombardier Vision flight deck<br />

• Four large displays<br />

• Combined Vision System (CVS), Head-Up Display (HUD)<br />

• Graphical flight planning, Airport Moving Map (AMM)<br />

• MultiScan TM weather radar<br />

• ADS-B in<br />

• Latest Performance Based Navigation (PBN):<br />

• SBAS/ WAAS<br />

• LPV approach<br />

• RNAV, en-route RNP & RNP AR approaches<br />

• Controller Pilot Data Link Communication (CPDLC)<br />

• Datalink, high-speed SATCOM<br />

46 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


UPCOMING AIRCRAFT<br />

Global 5500 and Global 6500<br />

The Global 5500 and Global 6500 join the 7500 in Bombardier’s largecategory<br />

family. The two new aircraft build on the success of the Global<br />

5000 and Global 6000 by offering increased range, with 5,700nm and<br />

6,600nmm, respectively. While the 5500 connects Sao Paolo and Paris<br />

and Moscow and Los Angeles, the 6500 connects Hong Kong and<br />

London. These aircraft each reach top speeds of Mach 0.90, powered<br />

by brand-new Rolls-Royce Pearl engines. The new engines contribute<br />

to an additional 1,000-pounds of thrust and decreased fuel burn of up<br />

to 13 percent.<br />

Both the 5500 and 6500 offer open living spaces for up to 16 and<br />

17 passengers, respectively. Their spacious cabins offer a variety of<br />

configurations and a sleek design, each including a kitchen. The 6500<br />

also features a dedicated crew suite.<br />

Featuring the Bombardier Vision flight deck, the avionics in the Global<br />

5500 and Global 6500 offer improved capabilities combining synthetic<br />

and infrared enhanced vision onto the HUD giving pilots<br />

improved situational awareness and clears the way for smooth<br />

landings in difficult conditions.<br />

Expected to enter service at the end of 2019, the Global 5500<br />

and Global 6500 aircraft boast operating costs that rival all other<br />

aircraft in their class. Bombardier offers owners an extensive<br />

support system backed by a worldwide presence, including two<br />

service centers in Asia; one in Singapore and the other in Tianjin,<br />

China.<br />

www.businessaircraft.bombardier.com<br />

RANGE MAP<br />

Global 7500 range map<br />

from Hong Kong<br />

Global 6500 range map<br />

from Hong Kong<br />

Global 6500 range map<br />

from Hong Kong<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 47


48 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


AIRCRAFT POSITIONING<br />

BUSINESS JETS<br />

CORP. AIRLINER<br />

LONG RANGE<br />

LARGE<br />

MEDIUM<br />

LIGHT<br />

VERY LIGHT<br />

ACJ321 BBJ3<br />

BBJ2<br />

ACJ320<br />

ACJ319<br />

BBJ<br />

ACJ318 G650ER<br />

G650<br />

GLOBAL 6000<br />

G550<br />

LINEAGE 1000E<br />

F8X<br />

GLOBAL 5000<br />

G500<br />

F7X<br />

G450<br />

F900LX<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

16<br />

15<br />

14<br />

13<br />

12<br />

11<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

CIT. M2<br />

CIT. CJ1+<br />

CIT. CJ1<br />

PREMIER 1A<br />

HONDAJET<br />

CIT. XLS+<br />

CIT. XLS<br />

CIT. CJ3+<br />

CIT. SOVEREIGN+<br />

L75<br />

L70<br />

CIT. VII<br />

CIT. CJ4<br />

CIT. EXCEL<br />

CIT. CJ2+ CIT. CJ3<br />

DIAMOND 1A<br />

CIT. <strong>EN</strong>CORE+<br />

LEGACY 500<br />

LEGACY 600<br />

LEGACY 450<br />

CIT. SOVEREIGN<br />

H850XP<br />

NEXTANT 400XTI<br />

CIT. <strong>EN</strong>CORE CIT. ULTRA<br />

BEECHJET 400<br />

CIT. CJ2<br />

H400XP<br />

PH<strong>EN</strong>OM 100E<br />

CL850<br />

CIT. LATITUDE<br />

LEGACY 650<br />

CIT. X+<br />

CIT. X<br />

CL300<br />

H4000<br />

ASTRA SP<br />

CL350<br />

G350<br />

H900XP<br />

H800 H800XP<br />

PH<strong>EN</strong>OM 300<br />

L45XR L60XR<br />

L40XR<br />

G100<br />

CIT. BRAVO<br />

CL605<br />

F50EX<br />

G200<br />

GLOBAL EXPRESS XRS<br />

F2000LXS<br />

CL650<br />

F2000S<br />

GLOBAL EXPRESS<br />

G280<br />

F2000LX<br />

G-IVSP<br />

F900EX EASY<br />

F2000DX F900EX<br />

G-IV<br />

F2000<br />

G300 F2000EX<br />

G150<br />

CL604<br />

G600<br />

G-V<br />

7<br />

6<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

TOTAL ANNUAL COST (MILLION USD/YEAR)<br />

CIT. MUSTANG<br />

ECLIPSE 550<br />

500<br />

1,000<br />

1,500<br />

2,000<br />

2,500<br />

3,000<br />

3,500<br />

4,000<br />

4,500<br />

5,000<br />

5,500<br />

6,000<br />

6,500<br />

7,000<br />

7,500<br />

8,000<br />

1<br />

MAX RANGE (N.M.)<br />

* The estimated total yearly cost is based on aircraft ownership cost for 10 years including financing, plus annual operating costs and regional adjustments.<br />

Source: Conklin & de Decker 2017<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 49


AIRBUS<br />

0+4+0 0+0+0 4+0+<br />

4+0 0+0+0 4+0 0+0+0 4+0 0+5+0 0+0+0 5+0 0+0+0 5+0 1+0+0 5+0 4+0 0+ 0+0+0 5+0 0+0+0 5+0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 1+0+00+0+00+0<br />

SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

MARKET SUMMARY PER MODEL — BUSINESS JETS<br />

INV<strong>EN</strong>TORY LEVEL, PRICE TR<strong>EN</strong>D & TRANSACTIONS<br />

ACJ318<br />

• There are currently 5 Airbus ACJ318s available for sale, 2 on-market and 3<br />

off-market. The inventory level stayed at 5 in Q3 2018, which represents 25%<br />

of the total 20 aircraft in service.<br />

• Current asking prices range from US$33.5M for a 2008 model with 3,150<br />

hours to US$26M for a 2008 model with around 5,130 total hours. Average<br />

asking price of Q3 2018 went up to US$30.3M.<br />

• In Q3 2018, the average days on market for sale risen to 1,097 days.<br />

• There was one transaction completed in Q3 2018 and another under sales<br />

pending.<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$30.3<br />

$30.0<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

4,253 N.M. / 7,877 km (with ACTs)<br />

Max Speed<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

$29.3<br />

Typ. Passengers 19<br />

FOR SALE<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

No. for Sale<br />

5 (25.0%) 5 (25.0%)<br />

Avg Asking Price 30.3M USD 30.0M USD<br />

5 5 5 5 5 5 5<br />

Avg Days on Market 1,097 1,237<br />

4 4 4 4 4<br />

4<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months 2<br />

2<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018 Past 3 Months 0<br />

1<br />

For Sale Sold<br />

ACJ319<br />

0+10+0 0+0+0 12+0 14+0 0+0+0 0+14+0 2+0+0 14+0 0+ 0+0+0 14+0 0+14+0 0+0+0 18+0+<br />

2+0+0 20+0 0+16+0 0+0+0 20+0 0+0+0 0+18+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

$39.0<br />

5<br />

6<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

7 7 7 7 7 7<br />

1<br />

1<br />

9<br />

$47.1<br />

$51.4<br />

10 10<br />

8<br />

$50.8<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

9<br />

• There are currently 9 Airbus ACJ319s available for sale; 6 on-market and 3<br />

off-market. This represents 13% of the total 70 aircraft in service. The inventory<br />

level increased only slightly from 8 in Q2.<br />

• Current asking prices range from US$70M for a 2011 model which entered<br />

service in 2017 to US$18M for a 1999 model with 8,678 total hours. The average<br />

asking price in Q3 increased to US$50.8M.<br />

• In Q3 2018, 2 aircraft entered the market while 1 aircraft moved off-market.<br />

• The average days on market for sale for the ACJ319 is 354 days.<br />

• No transactions were completed in Q3.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

6,000 N.M. /11,112 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

2018 Q3<br />

9 (12.9%)<br />

50.8M USD<br />

354<br />

2018 Q3<br />

2<br />

0<br />

2017 Q2<br />

10 (14.1%)<br />

39.3M USD<br />

322<br />

2017 Q2<br />

4<br />

0<br />

50 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

BBJ<br />

• There are currently 15 Boeing BBJs available for sale. This represents<br />

approximately 11% of the total 135 aircraft in service. The inventory level<br />

declined in Q2 2018 with 1 aircraft sold.<br />

• The BBJ pre-owned market is segmented into two main categories: 2008<br />

YOM & up, typically asking US$49 million and above; and 2002 YOM & down,<br />

typically asking low USD 20s million and down. Current asking prices range<br />

from US$92.5M for a 2011 model with only ferry hours to US$19.5M for a<br />

1999 model with 10,115 total hours.<br />

• Currently, the average days on market for sale in Q3 2018 keeps going up to<br />

814 days.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

6,235 N.M. / 11,547 km (with 9 ACTs)<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

15(11.1%)<br />

39.3M USD<br />

819<br />

7<br />

1<br />

16 (11.9%)<br />

40.9M USD<br />

775<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

8<br />

1<br />

1+0+00+0+02+0+0+0+0+00+0+03+0+01+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 1+0+0 0+0+0<br />

$37.9<br />

16<br />

14<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$33.8<br />

17 18 18 18 18 17 18<br />

$40.9<br />

16 16 15 15<br />

1 2<br />

3<br />

1 1<br />

$39.3<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

BOEING<br />

0+15+0 0+16+00+18+00+17+0<br />

0+18+0 0+18+0 0+18+00+17+00+14+00+16+0<br />

0+15+0<br />

BBJ2<br />

• The BBJ2 market is a very limited one with only 22 aircraft in service worldwide<br />

and it is very much concentrated in the Middle East, where more than<br />

50% of the aircraft are in service. Asia only represents 22% of the market - a<br />

mere 5 aircraft.<br />

• Currently there are only 4 BBJ2 for sale, 2 on-market and 2 off-market, same<br />

as last quarter. This represents approximately 18% of the total 22 aircraft in<br />

service.<br />

• There was no transaction completed in this quarter, and there was only 1<br />

transaction happened in the past 12 months.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

5,620 N.M. / 10,408 km (with 7 ACTs)<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

2018 Q3<br />

4 (18.2%)<br />

58.0M USD<br />

687<br />

2018 Q3<br />

1<br />

0<br />

2018 Q2<br />

4 (17.4%)<br />

59.0M USD<br />

811<br />

2018 Q2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

0+12+0+16+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+16+0 0+0+0 0+16+0 0+0+0 0+16+0+0+0 0+20+0+0+0 0+16+0 0+16+0 4+0+0 0+0+0+16+0 0+0+0+16+0<br />

$62.0<br />

3<br />

$69.6<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

4 4<br />

$69.0<br />

5<br />

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

1<br />

$58.0<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 51


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 604/605<br />

• There were 19 CL604 and 10 CL605 on the market for sale, representing<br />

5.3% and 3,5% of the total fleet, respectively.<br />

• The average asking price of CL604 in Q3 2018 was US$5.2M, a 2% decrease<br />

from Q2 2018. The average asking price of CL605 was US$12.3M, decreasing<br />

by 1% from Q1 2018.<br />

• The average days on market of CL604 and CL605 were, respectively, 313 and<br />

429 days.<br />

• Q3 2018 recorded 12 CL604 transactions. In addition, 14 CL605 transactions<br />

were completed.<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

$11.0<br />

$5.2<br />

$10.7<br />

$12.7 $12.4 $12.3<br />

CL605<br />

$4.9<br />

CL604<br />

$5.3<br />

$5.2<br />

52 52<br />

51 50 49 49 47<br />

13<br />

7 6 6 7 8 7 8 7 8<br />

3 2<br />

36<br />

39<br />

30 28 28 29<br />

5<br />

8+0+0 13+0+0 7+0+02+0+08+0+0<br />

3+0+07+0+08+0+0<br />

7+0+06+0+06+0+07+0+0<br />

0+29+00+28+00+28+0<br />

0+30+00+39+00+36+0<br />

0+47+00+49+00+52+0<br />

0+50+00+49+00+51+00+52+0<br />

5+0+0<br />

CHALL<strong>EN</strong>GER 850<br />

$7.2<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

CL604<br />

4,027 N.M. / 7,458 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

9<br />

CL605<br />

4,000 N.M. / 7,408 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

9<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

For Sale Sold<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

19 (5.3%)<br />

5.2M USD<br />

313<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

41 41<br />

12<br />

19 (5.3%)<br />

5.3M USD<br />

326<br />

9<br />

2018 Q3<br />

10 (3.5%)<br />

12.3M USD<br />

429<br />

2018 Q3<br />

39<br />

14<br />

2018 Q2<br />

11 (3.8%)<br />

12.4M USD<br />

332<br />

2018 Q2<br />

31<br />

8<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

9<br />

0+9+0 0+6+0 0+6+0 0+7+0<br />

2+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 1+0+0<br />

10<br />

$8.3<br />

$8.6<br />

11 12<br />

10 10<br />

11 11<br />

10 10<br />

0+0+01+0+0<br />

0+0+01+0+0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0<br />

0+10+0 10+0 11+00+11+00+12+00+11+0<br />

0+10+0 0+10+0 0+10+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

• There were 71 CL850 operating worldwide and 10 were on market for sale,<br />

accounting for 14.1% of the total active fleet.<br />

• The average asking price in Q3 2018 was US$8.6M.<br />

• The average days on market of CL850 in Q3 2018 increased to 233 days, from<br />

221 days in Q2 2018.<br />

• In Q3 2018, 1 CL850 transaction was recorded, which is the same as the<br />

previous quarter.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

2,811 N.M. / 5,206 km<br />

Mach 0.80<br />

14<br />

2018 Q3<br />

10 (14.1%)<br />

8.6M USD<br />

233<br />

2018 Q2<br />

11 (15.5%)<br />

8.3M USD<br />

221<br />

7 6<br />

6<br />

2<br />

1 1 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3<br />

4<br />

1<br />

2018 Q2<br />

4<br />

1<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

52 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

GLOBAL 5000<br />

• There were 17 Global 5000 for sale in Q3 2018, rising from the previous<br />

quarter. With 222 operating worldwide, the for-sale fleet represented 7.7% of<br />

the total active fleet.<br />

• The average asking price in Q3 2018 was US$14.3M, a 7% decrease from Q2<br />

2018.<br />

• The asking prices ranged from US$ 8.5M to US$ 26.0M, which was slightly<br />

lower than the last quarter’s.<br />

• The average days on market was 286 days, up from 269 days in Q2 2018.<br />

• There were 2 Global 5000 transactions in Q3 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

5,200 N.M. / 9,630 km<br />

Mach 0.89<br />

13<br />

2018 Q3<br />

17 (7.7%)<br />

14.3M USD<br />

286<br />

2018 Q3<br />

19<br />

2<br />

2018 Q2<br />

14 (6.3%)<br />

15.4M USD<br />

269<br />

2018 Q2<br />

21<br />

7<br />

$19.0<br />

18<br />

1<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

1+0+0 1+0+0 3+0+0 1+0+0<br />

$13.9<br />

0+16+0 0+16+0 0+17+0 0+18+0<br />

$15.4<br />

$16.7<br />

$14.3<br />

17 18<br />

16 16<br />

17 17<br />

15 14 13 14 14 14<br />

3 4<br />

1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1<br />

0+0+0 1+0+02+0+04+0+0<br />

2+0+01+0+02+0+0<br />

0+17+00+14+0 0+14+00+17+00+13+0<br />

0+14+00+15+00+18+0<br />

1+0+0<br />

BOMBARDIER<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

GLOBAL 6000<br />

• There were 10 Global 6000 on the market and 275 in-operation aircraft. It<br />

represented 3.6% of the total active fleet.<br />

• The average asking price of Global 6000 in Q3 2018 was US$38.1M, which<br />

increased by 5% from US$36.3M in Q2 2018.<br />

• The asking prices ranged from US$28.5M to US$48M.<br />

• The average days on market for sale of Global 6000 was 275 days, down from<br />

280 days in Q2 2018.<br />

• In Q3 2018, there was 1 transaction, same as that of Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

6,000 N.M. / 11,112 km<br />

Mach 0.88<br />

13<br />

2018 Q3<br />

10 (3.6%)<br />

38.1M USD<br />

275<br />

2018 Q2<br />

14 (5.3%)<br />

36.3M USD<br />

280<br />

$28.5<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$38.0<br />

15 15<br />

0+0+0 0+0+01+0+01+0+04+0+0<br />

0+15+0 0+15+0 0+10+0 0+10+00+9+00+9+0<br />

1+0+0<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

16<br />

$36.3<br />

$38.1<br />

2018 Q3<br />

5<br />

1<br />

2018 Q2<br />

12<br />

1<br />

12<br />

9 9 10 10 10 11 10<br />

4<br />

1 1 1 1 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

1+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+01+0+0<br />

0+10+00+11+00+12+0<br />

0+14+00+15+00+16+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 53<br />

15<br />

14


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

FALCON 900DX/EX/EX EASy/LX<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

• There are 23 Falcon 900 series aircraft available on market for sale, including 2<br />

Falcon 900DX, 20 Falcon 900EXs/EASy and 1 Falcon 900LX. The inventory level<br />

remains stable, comparing to that in Q2 2018.<br />

• The average asking prices for Falcon 900EX and 900EX EASy are US$ 7.0M and US$<br />

16.4M; the average asking price for Falcon 900LX is US$ 18.5M, same with that in<br />

the last quarter.<br />

• Currently, the average days-on-market for Falcon 900 series is 309 days, lower than<br />

the data in Q2 2018, maintaining the stable state from last quarter.<br />

• In Q3 2018, there are only 3 Falcon 900 series aircraft transactions.<br />

DASSAULT<br />

0+26+00+23+0+24+0 0+25+0 0+25+0+26+0 0+26+0+23+0 0+24+0 0+24+0 0+24+00+23+0<br />

$21.0<br />

$15.6<br />

$11.5<br />

$6.6<br />

$18.3<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

2+0+0 4+0+0 1+0+0 4+0+0<br />

F900DX<br />

F900EX<br />

$15.7<br />

$16.4<br />

$6.7 $7.0<br />

26 25 26 26 26<br />

23 24 25<br />

24 23 24 24 23<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 4+0+06+0+03+0+0<br />

0+0+01+0+02+0+0<br />

2+0+0<br />

4<br />

F900LX<br />

$22.2<br />

F900EX EASy<br />

$18.5<br />

$18.5<br />

$12.9 $12.9<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

F900DX<br />

4,100 N.M. / 4,500 N.M. / 4,500 N.M. / 4,750 N.M. /<br />

7,593 km 8,334 km 8,334 km 8,800 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

12<br />

Reporting quarter vs. Previous quarter<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

2 | 2<br />

12.9M USD |<br />

12.9M USD<br />

153 | 51<br />

F900EX<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

12<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

10 | 8<br />

7.0M USD |<br />

6.7M USD<br />

336 | 324<br />

F900EX EASy<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

12<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

10 | 11<br />

16.4M USD |<br />

15.7M USD<br />

391 | 204<br />

F900LX<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

12<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

1 | 2<br />

18.5M USD |<br />

18.5M USD<br />

250 | 218<br />

6<br />

4 4<br />

1 2 2 3<br />

1<br />

2<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Reporting quarter vs. Previous quarter<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

1 | 1<br />

0 | 0<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

14 | 16<br />

1 | 7<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

5 | 6<br />

1 | 4<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

5 | 6<br />

0 | 2<br />

FALCON 2000LX/LXS/S<br />

MAKE<br />

OFFER<br />

$19.0<br />

$15.8<br />

$27.9<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$12.4<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

FALCON 2000LXS<br />

FALCON 2000S<br />

FALCON 2000LX<br />

$25.0<br />

$16.0<br />

$12.8<br />

11 10 10 11 10<br />

8 8<br />

9 9<br />

7 8<br />

4<br />

5<br />

3 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2<br />

$25.0<br />

$16.5<br />

$14.5<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

6<br />

2+0+01+0+0<br />

0+0+01+0+01+0+0<br />

0+6+00+5+00+8+0<br />

0+7+00+9+00+9+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

• There are 6 Falcon 2000 series aircraft on market for sale, including 2 Falcon<br />

2000LX, 2 Falcon 2000LXS and 2 Falcon 2000S. The inventory level is stable from<br />

the last quarter.<br />

• The average asking price for Falcon 2000LX is US$ 14.5M; the average asking price<br />

for Falcon 2000LXS is US$ 25M; the average asking price for Falcon 2000S is US$<br />

16.5M.<br />

• The average days on market for Falcon 2000 series aircraft is 169 days in Q3 2018,<br />

quite similar with the situation in the last quarter.<br />

• In Q3 2018, there are 3 transactions of Falcon 2000 series aircraft.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2000LX<br />

4,000 N.M. /<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

10<br />

Reporting quarter vs. Previous quarter<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

2 | 3<br />

14.5M USD |<br />

12.8M USD<br />

213 | 155<br />

Reporting quarter vs. Previous quarter<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

11 | 17<br />

1 | 1<br />

2000LXS<br />

4,000 N.M. /<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

10<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

2 | 2<br />

25.0M USD |<br />

25.0M USD<br />

45 | 143<br />

3 | 2<br />

1 | 1<br />

2000S<br />

3,350 N.M. /<br />

7,408 km 7,408 km 6,208 km<br />

Mach 0.83<br />

10<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

2 | 2<br />

16.5M USD |<br />

16.0M USD<br />

243 | 153<br />

Q3 | Q2<br />

1 | 0<br />

1 | 0<br />

2+0+0 1+0+0 1+0+0 1+0+0 2+0+0 3+0+0<br />

0+10+0 0+11+0 0+10+0 0+8+0 0+8+0 0+10+<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

54 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

FALCON 7X<br />

• There are 22 Falcon 7X aircraft on market for sale. The inventory level has<br />

been increasing from 19 to 25 since the beginning of 2018. Most Falcon 7Xs<br />

available for sale were manufactured in 2012 and 2013, which account for<br />

32% and 23%, respectively.<br />

• The average asking price for 7X in Q3 2018 is around US$ 25.9M, slightly<br />

lower than the price of Q2 2018.<br />

• Currently, the average days-on-market for sale in Q3 2018 is around 255<br />

days, much lower than the level of the last quarter.<br />

• In Q3 2018, there are 6 Falcon 7X transactions, indicating a continuously<br />

active market trend from the beginning of 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

5,950 N.M. / 11,018 km<br />

Mach 0.90<br />

12<br />

2018 Q3<br />

22 (7.9%)<br />

25.9M USD<br />

255<br />

2018 Q2<br />

23 (8.4%)<br />

26.9M USD<br />

306<br />

$26.8<br />

$24.9<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

24 24 25 25 24 25<br />

2+0+04+0+0<br />

1+0+04+0+02+0+00+0+0<br />

0+22+00+25+00+24+0<br />

0+25+0 0+25+00+24+00+24+0<br />

2+0+0<br />

$26.9<br />

22 23<br />

21 21 21 22<br />

19<br />

2+0+03+0+0<br />

0+0+01+0+03+0+0<br />

0+22+00+21+00+21+0<br />

0+23+00+21+00+19+0<br />

1+0+0<br />

$25.9<br />

DASSAULT<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3<br />

25<br />

6<br />

2018 Q2<br />

23<br />

4<br />

4 4<br />

2 2 2 3 3<br />

1 1 2 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 55


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

LINEAGE 1000/E<br />

$28.0<br />

7+0 0+7+0<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$27.4<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

0+7+0 0+8+0 0+7+0<br />

7+0 0+<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0<br />

0+7+0 0+<br />

$30.7<br />

$30.7<br />

• There were 6 Legacy 650s and 14 Legacy 600s on market for sale. With,<br />

respectively, 96 and 174 aircraft operating worldwide. The for sale fleet represented<br />

6.3% and 8.0%, respectively, of the total active fleet.<br />

• The average asking prices of a Legacy 650 in Q3 was US$12.8M, increasing by<br />

4% from US$12.3M in Q2. The average asking price of a Legacy 600 in Q3 was<br />

US$7.3M, in line with Q2 pricing.<br />

• The asking price of a Legacy 650 ranged from US$9.5M to US$15M, while the<br />

asking price of a Legacy 600 ranged from US$5.2M to US$9.5M.<br />

• The average days on market for sale of a Legacy 650 was 136 days, declining<br />

by 27% from 173 in Q2. The Legacy 600’s average days on market was 470<br />

days, increasing by 23% from 380 in Q2.<br />

• In Q3, there was one Legacy 650 transaction, down from five transactions in<br />

Q2. There were no 600 transactions, down from five in Q2.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

Lineage 1000<br />

4,400 N.M. / 8,149 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

2018 Q3<br />

6 (20.7%)<br />

30.7M USD<br />

623<br />

2018 Q2<br />

4 (20.0%)<br />

30.7M USD<br />

794<br />

Lineage 1000E<br />

4,600 N.M. / 8,520 km<br />

Mach 0.82<br />

19<br />

EMBRAER<br />

7 7<br />

7<br />

7<br />

7 8 7 7<br />

1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

For Sale Sold<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

6<br />

6<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3<br />

1<br />

0<br />

2018 Q2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 1+0+0 0+<br />

0+6+0 0+6+0 0+5+00+4+00+7+0<br />

0+6+0<br />

LEGACY 600/650<br />

$13.2<br />

$7.2<br />

30<br />

1<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$11.5<br />

Legacy 650<br />

Legacy 600<br />

24 23 22 22<br />

24<br />

$12.3<br />

20 20 20<br />

15 15<br />

17 17<br />

5<br />

3 5<br />

1<br />

3 4<br />

6<br />

1 1<br />

$12.8<br />

$7.3<br />

$6.8 $7.3<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

For Sale Sold<br />

0+0+01+0+0<br />

0+0+06+0+04+0+0<br />

1+0+03+0+01+0+0<br />

0+20+0 0+20+0 0+17+00+15+00+15+0<br />

0+20+00+24+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

• There were 6 Legacy 650 and 14 Legacy 600 on market for sale. With respectively<br />

96 and 174 aircraft operating worldwide, the for-sale fleet represented 6.3% and<br />

8.0% respectively of the total active fleet.<br />

• The average asking prices of Legacy 650 in Q3 2018 was US$12.8M, increasing by<br />

4% from US$12.3M in Q2 2018. The average asking price of Legacy 600 in Q3 2018<br />

was US$ 7.3M, similar to Q2 2018.<br />

• The asking price of Legacy 650 ranged from US$9.5M to US$15.0M; while the<br />

asking price of Legacy 600 ranged from US$ 5.2M to US$ 9.5M.<br />

• The average days on market for sale of Legacy 650 were 136 days, decreasing by<br />

27% from 173 in Q2 2018. Legacy 600’s average days on market for sale was 470<br />

days; increasing by 23% from 380 in Q2 2018<br />

• In Q3 2018, there were one Legacy 650 transactions, down from five transactions in<br />

Q2 2018; there were no transactions of Legacy 600, down from five transactions in<br />

Q1 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Legacy 600<br />

3,400 N.M. / 6,297 km<br />

Mach 0.80<br />

13<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

14 (8.0%)<br />

7.3M USD<br />

470<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

15<br />

1<br />

14 (8.0%)<br />

7.3M USD<br />

380<br />

17<br />

5<br />

Legacy 650<br />

3,640 N.M. / 7,112 km<br />

Mach 0.80<br />

13<br />

2018 Q3<br />

6 (6.3%)<br />

12.8M USD 12.3M USD<br />

136<br />

2018 Q3<br />

8<br />

0<br />

2018 Q2<br />

3 (3.1%)<br />

173<br />

2018 Q2<br />

8<br />

5<br />

0+22+0+22+0 0+23+0 0+24+0 0+30+0<br />

5+0+0 3+0+0 1+0+0 1+0+0<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

56 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

G200 & G280<br />

• There were 21 G200/G280 aircraft on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 30% since Q2 2018. There has been an increase of 1.8% in the total<br />

number of aircraft in operation, from 244 G200 and 135 G280 in Q2 2018 to 246 G200<br />

and 140 G280 in Q3 2018.<br />

• The average asking prices for a G200 and G280 aircraft in Q3 2018 was around<br />

US$4.5M and US$17M respectively.<br />

• The average days on market for a G200 and G280 in Q3 2018 was 362 and 50 days<br />

respectively. This was an increase of 7% from 338 days for G200 and a decrease of<br />

77% from 216 days for G280 in Q2 2018.<br />

• There was only one G280 aircraft for sale on market in Q2 2018. This aircraft was<br />

moved to off-market in Q3 and the quarter saw two new aircraft being put on market<br />

for sale, thus drastically reducing the average days on market for the aircraft listed.<br />

• There were 12 G200 sold transactions in Q3 2018. This was an increase of 9% from<br />

the 11 G200 sold transactions in Q2 2018. There were no G280 sold transactions in<br />

Q3 2018 as compared to the two G280 sold transactions in Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

G200<br />

3,050 N.M. / 5,651km<br />

Mach 0.81<br />

8<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

19 (7.7%)<br />

4.5M USD<br />

362<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

41 40<br />

12<br />

29 (11.9%)<br />

4.3M USD<br />

338<br />

11<br />

G280<br />

3,600 N.M. / 6,667 km<br />

Mach 0.84<br />

8<br />

2018 Q3<br />

2 (1.4%)<br />

17.0M USD 16.8M USD<br />

50<br />

2018 Q3<br />

4<br />

0<br />

2018 Q2<br />

1 (0.7%)<br />

216<br />

2018 Q2<br />

5<br />

2<br />

$16.0<br />

$5.2<br />

G280<br />

G200<br />

$12.5<br />

$16.8<br />

$18.3<br />

$17.0<br />

$4.3<br />

$4.1 $4.5<br />

40<br />

38<br />

34 33 34<br />

32 32<br />

29 30 30<br />

3<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

21 22 21<br />

6 6<br />

6<br />

4 4 4<br />

2<br />

3 3<br />

1 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

5<br />

4+0+03+0+0<br />

6+0+03+0+04+0+0<br />

6+0+01+0+06+0+0<br />

0+21+00+22+00+21+0<br />

0+30+00+32+00+32+0<br />

0+34+00+40+00+33+0<br />

5+0+0<br />

G450<br />

• There were 22 G450s on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 11% since Q2 2018.<br />

• The total number of aircraft in operation has remained constant at 354.<br />

• The average asking price for a G450 in Q3 2018 was around US$ 14M.<br />

• The average days on market for a G450 has decreased to 309 days in Q3 2018<br />

from 328 days in Q2 2018, a decrease of around 6%.<br />

• There were eight G450 sold transactions in Q3 2018. This was a decrease of<br />

11% from the nine G450 sold transactions in Q2 2018.<br />

2+0+04+0+03+0+0<br />

0+34+00+38+00+30+00+29+0<br />

1+0+0<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

4,350 N.M. / 8,056 km<br />

Mach 0.85<br />

13<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

22 (6.2%)<br />

14.0M USD 14.0M USD<br />

309<br />

26 (7.3%)<br />

328<br />

21 21<br />

2+0+03+0+0<br />

0+22+00+23+00+23+0<br />

3+0+0<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

31<br />

8<br />

35<br />

9<br />

$14.1<br />

32<br />

29<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

27<br />

$13.8<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

24<br />

27<br />

2+0+0 3+0+01+0+02+0+06+0+0<br />

0+21+0 0+21+00+28+0<br />

0+24+00+27+00+29+00+32+0<br />

2+0+0<br />

21 21<br />

26<br />

23 23 22<br />

6<br />

$15.2<br />

$14.0 $14.0<br />

4<br />

2 3<br />

1 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 3<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

3+0+04+0+0<br />

0+26+00+21+00+21+0<br />

2+0+0<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 57


MARKET SUMMARY -- JETS<br />

G550<br />

$23.6<br />

31<br />

5<br />

$22.8<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

28<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

24<br />

$25.0<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

29<br />

24 24 24<br />

22 21<br />

19<br />

17<br />

$28<br />

5 5 4 4 4<br />

2 2 3 2 2 5<br />

1<br />

27<br />

26<br />

• There were 26 G550s on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has decreased<br />

by 10% since Q2 2018.<br />

• There has been an increase of 1% in the total number of aircraft in operation,<br />

from 552 in Q2 2018 to 556 in Q3 2018.<br />

• The average age of the aircraft for sale on the market was six years in Q3<br />

2018. This represented a younger market as compared to Q2 2018 which had<br />

an average age of eight years.<br />

• The average asking price for a G550 in Q3 2018 was around US$28M - an<br />

increase of 20% from US$23.3M since Q2 2018. The dramatic increase in the<br />

prices could be attributed to the fact that the average age of the aircraft for<br />

sale on the market has been gradually decreasing since the end of Q2 2018,<br />

with younger models entering the market.<br />

• The average days on market for a G550 has decreased to 165 days in Q3 2018<br />

from 178 days in Q2 2018, a decrease of around 7%.<br />

• There were eight G550 sold transactions in Q3 2018. This was a decrease of<br />

11% from the nine G550 sold transactions in Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

6,750 N.M. / 12,501 km<br />

Mach 0.87<br />

18<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

26 (5.3%)<br />

28M USD<br />

165<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

39<br />

8<br />

29 (5.3%)<br />

25.0M USD<br />

178<br />

41<br />

9<br />

GULFSTREAM<br />

G650 & G650 ER<br />

$58.5<br />

$57.3<br />

0+24+0 0+24+0 0+28+0 0+31+0<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$65.8<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

4+0+0 5+0+0 5+0+0 5+0+0<br />

5+0+0 2+0+04+0+03+0+0<br />

4+0+02+0+02+0+0<br />

0+26+00+27+00+24+0<br />

0+29+00+24+00+21+0<br />

0+19+00+17+00+22+0<br />

1+0+0<br />

0+17+0 0+18+0 0+16+0 0+16+0<br />

1+0+0 4+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0<br />

$58.3<br />

$62.4<br />

$56.2<br />

$53.4<br />

$56.0<br />

$55.1<br />

20<br />

18<br />

16 16 17<br />

15 16 16<br />

15<br />

12 12 13<br />

11<br />

3+0+0 2+0+0 2+0+00+0+0<br />

3+0+02+0+02+0+0<br />

0+15+00+11+00+13+0<br />

0+16+00+20+00+16+0<br />

0+12+0 0+12+00+15+0<br />

2+0+0<br />

• There were 15 G650/650ER aircraft on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level<br />

has decreased by 6.2% since Q2 2018.<br />

• There has been an increase of 3.6% in the total number of aircraft in operation,<br />

from 201 G650 and 98 G650ER in Q2 2018 to 205 G650 and 102 G650ER<br />

in Q3 2018.<br />

• The average asking prices for a G650 and G650ER aircraft was around<br />

US$55.1M and US$56M respectively.<br />

• The average days on market for a G650 and G650ER in Q3 2018 was 236 and<br />

126 days respectively. This is a decrease of 33% from 354 days for G650 and<br />

an increase of 30% from 97 days for G650ER in Q2 2018.<br />

• There were four G650 and three G650ER sold transactions in Q3 2018. With a<br />

total of seven G650/G650ER sold transactions, the pre-owned market saw an<br />

increase in sales activity by 75% as compared to Q2 2018, which had only four<br />

G650/650ER sold transactions.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

G650<br />

7,000 N.M. / 12,964 km<br />

Mach 0.90<br />

18<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

9 (4.4%)<br />

55.1M USD 56.2M USD<br />

236<br />

8 (4.0%)<br />

354<br />

G650ER<br />

7,500 N.M. / 13,890 km<br />

Mach 0.90<br />

18<br />

2018 Q3<br />

6 (5.9%)<br />

56.0M USD<br />

126<br />

2018 Q2<br />

8 (8.2%)<br />

62.4M USD<br />

97<br />

4<br />

1<br />

2 2 3 2 2 2 3 2<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

17<br />

4<br />

15<br />

4<br />

2018 Q3<br />

6<br />

3<br />

2018 Q2<br />

3<br />

0<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

58 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


CIVIL HELICOPTERS<br />

Aircraft Acquisition Price vs Maximum Range<br />

8.00<br />

HEAVY<br />

(SUPER) MEDIUM<br />

LIGHT TWIN<br />

SINGLE TURBINE<br />

PISTON<br />

AC313*<br />

S-92<br />

H225<br />

AS332 L1E<br />

4.00<br />

AW189<br />

H175<br />

BELL 412EPI<br />

AW139<br />

S-76C++<br />

S-76D<br />

H155<br />

AC312*<br />

MD 520N<br />

MD 530F<br />

H145<br />

MD 902<br />

H135(T3)<br />

H130<br />

BELL 407<br />

BELL 206L4<br />

MD 500E<br />

BELL 430<br />

AW169<br />

BELL 429<br />

H135(P3)<br />

BELL 407GXP<br />

H125<br />

AC311*<br />

H120<br />

MD 600N<br />

EC145<br />

AW 109 GN<br />

AW109 POWER<br />

AW119KX<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

AIRCRAFT ACQUISTION PRICE (MILLION USD)<br />

S-333<br />

0.50<br />

0.25<br />

200<br />

250<br />

300<br />

350<br />

400<br />

450<br />

500<br />

550<br />

600<br />

650<br />

700<br />

750<br />

<strong>EN</strong>480B<br />

R66<br />

R44 RAV<strong>EN</strong> II<br />

R22 BETA II<br />

MAX RANGE (N.M.)<br />

* The estimated total yearly cost is based on aircraft ownership cost for 10 years including financing, plus yearly operating cost and regional adjustments.<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 59


SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

MARKET SUMMARY PER MODEL — CIVIL HELICOPTERS<br />

INV<strong>EN</strong>TORY LEVEL, PRICE TR<strong>EN</strong>D & TRANSACTIONS<br />

EC135T2 & P2<br />

$2.7<br />

$1.8<br />

11<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

EC135P2<br />

EC135T2<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$3.1<br />

$2.5<br />

$2.4<br />

$2.5<br />

17 18 18 18<br />

14 14 14 15 15<br />

14 14 14<br />

1 1 2 2<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

$2.4<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

EC135T2<br />

• There were six EC135T2 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has not<br />

changed since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 4.2% of the overall fleet<br />

in operation. There were three sold transactions in Q3 2018 as compared to<br />

only one in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 15.1% - from<br />

610 days in Q2 2018 to 702 days in Q3 2018. The average asking price has not<br />

changed since Q2 2018 and has remained at US$2.4M in Q3 2018.<br />

2+0+0 2+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+01+0+01+0+00+0+00+0+00+0+00+0<br />

0+14+0 0+14+0 0+14+0 0+18+0 0+18+0 0+18+0 0+17+00+15+00+15+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

EC135P2<br />

• There were eight EC135P2 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 33.3% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 5.2% of<br />

the overall fleet in operation. There was one sold transaction in Q3 2018 as<br />

compared to zero in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 22.5%<br />

- from 907 days in Q2 2018 to 1,111 days in Q3 2018. The average asking price<br />

has not changed since Q2 2018 and has remained at US$2.5M in Q3 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

EC135T2<br />

332 N.M. / 614 km<br />

127 Knots<br />

6<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

6 (4.2%)<br />

2.4M USD<br />

702<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

5<br />

3<br />

6 (4.2%)<br />

2.4M USD<br />

610<br />

2<br />

1<br />

EC135P2<br />

332 N.M. / 614 km<br />

127 Knots<br />

6<br />

2018 Q3<br />

8 (5.2%)<br />

2.5M USD<br />

1111<br />

2018 Q3<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2018 Q2<br />

12 (7.2%)<br />

2.5M USD<br />

907<br />

2018 Q2<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0+14+0 0+14+0 0+14+0 0+11+0<br />

AIRBUS<br />

AS332L1 & H225<br />

$22.4<br />

$8.5<br />

16<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

H225<br />

AS332L1<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

$11.6<br />

$4.0<br />

$8.8<br />

$4.0<br />

18 18 18 19 20<br />

18 18 18 18 18 18 18<br />

1 1 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

0+0+01+0+0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+01+0+00+0+00+0+00+0+00+0<br />

0+18+0 0+18+00+20+0<br />

0+18+0 0+18+00+19+00+18+0<br />

1+0+0<br />

AS332L1<br />

• There were two AS332L1 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 33.3% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 3% of the<br />

overall 67 fleet in operation. There was one sold transaction in Q3 2018 as<br />

compared to zero in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 22.1%<br />

- from 1,103 days in Q2 2018 to 1,347 days in Q3 2018. The average asking<br />

price has not changed since Q2 2018 and has remained at US$4M in Q3 2018.<br />

H225<br />

• There were 16 H225 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has increased<br />

by 6.7% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 9.5% of the overall fleet<br />

in operation. There was one sold transaction in Q3 2018 as compared to zero<br />

in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 9.4% - from 520 days<br />

in Q2 2018 to 569 days in Q3 2018. The average asking price has reduced to<br />

US$8.8M in Q3 2018 from US$11.6M in Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

AS332L1<br />

452 N.M. / 837 km<br />

142 Knots<br />

19<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

2 (4.5%)<br />

4.0M USD<br />

1347<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

1 0<br />

1<br />

3 (4.5%)<br />

4.0M USD<br />

1103<br />

0<br />

H225<br />

452 N.M. / 837 km<br />

142 Knots<br />

19<br />

2018 Q3<br />

16 (8.9%)<br />

8.8M USD<br />

569<br />

2018 Q3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2018 Q2<br />

15 (8.9%)<br />

19.0M USD<br />

520<br />

2018 Q2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0+18+0 0+18+0 0+18+0 0+16+0<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

60 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

EC145<br />

• There were 11 EC145 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

increased by 37.5% since Q2 2018.<br />

• The inventory accounted for 1.2% of the overall fleet in operation.<br />

• The average days on market increased by 0.8% - from 249 days in Q2 2018<br />

to 251 days in Q3 2018. The slow increase in the average days on market can<br />

be attributed to the three aircraft that were added for sale into the market in<br />

Q3 2018.<br />

• The average asking price has decreased to US$3.6M in Q3 2018 from<br />

US$3.7M in Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

461 N.M. / 855 km<br />

131 Knots<br />

9<br />

2018 Q3<br />

11 (1.2%)<br />

3.6M USD<br />

251<br />

2018 Q3<br />

4<br />

0<br />

2018 Q2<br />

8 (1.0%)<br />

3.7M USD<br />

249<br />

2018 Q2<br />

7<br />

4<br />

$5.4<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

9 9 9 9<br />

$3.8<br />

$3.6<br />

8 9 10 10<br />

11<br />

8 8 8 8<br />

1 2 2<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 2+0+00+0+02+0+0<br />

1+0+00+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0<br />

0+11+00+8+0 0+8+00+10+00+10+0<br />

0+8+00+9+00+8+0<br />

0+9+0 0+9+0 0+9+0 0+9+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

EC155B & H155<br />

EC155B<br />

• There were 7 EC155B on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 12.5% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 25% of the<br />

overall fleet in operation. There were no sold transactions in Q3 2018 as<br />

compared to one in Q2 2018. The average days on market decreased by 5.2%<br />

- from 1,062 days in Q2 2018 to 1,007 days in Q3 2018. The average asking<br />

price has not changed since Q2 2018 and has remained at US$2M in Q3<br />

2018.<br />

AIRBUS<br />

H155<br />

• There were 10 H225 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has decreased<br />

by 23.1% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 6.8% of the overall fleet<br />

in operation. There were two sold transactions in Q3 2018 as compared to<br />

three in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 13.8% - from<br />

756 days in Q2 2018 to 860 days in Q3 2018. The average asking price has<br />

increased to US$5.6M in Q3 2018 from US$5.2M in Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

EC155B<br />

516 N.M. / 955 km<br />

135 Knots<br />

13<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

7 (25.0%)<br />

2.0M USD<br />

1007<br />

8 (28.6%)<br />

2.0M USD<br />

1062<br />

H155<br />

516 N.M. / 955 km<br />

150 Knots<br />

13<br />

2018 Q3<br />

10 (6.8%)<br />

5.6M USD<br />

860<br />

2018 Q2<br />

13 (8.9%)<br />

5.2M USD<br />

756<br />

$4.6<br />

$3.3<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

H155<br />

EC155B<br />

$5.2<br />

$2.0<br />

24<br />

22 23 22 21 22<br />

20 20 21<br />

19<br />

20<br />

1+0+0 2+0+01+0+01+0+00+0+00+0+00+0+00+0+01+0+00+0+00+0+0<br />

0+17+00+18+00+20+0<br />

0+21+00+22+00+21+0<br />

0+20+00+22+00+23+0<br />

0+24+00+19+00+20+00+22+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

$5.6<br />

$2.0<br />

18 17<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2018 Q3<br />

6<br />

2<br />

2018 Q2<br />

4<br />

3<br />

1 1 1 2 1 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 61


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

BELL 412EP/412HP<br />

$5.2<br />

$3.0<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

BELL 412EP<br />

BELL 412HP<br />

$4.0 $4.2<br />

$2.8 $3.0<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

36 37 38 37<br />

35 35 35<br />

33 33 33 32<br />

30<br />

6<br />

3<br />

4<br />

1 2 1 2 3 3<br />

1 1 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

39<br />

1+0+03+0+02+0+00<br />

4+0+01+0+0<br />

0+39+00+37+00+38+0<br />

0+35+00+30+00+35+0<br />

0+32+00+33+00+33+0<br />

1+0+0<br />

2+0+0 6+0+0 1+0+0 3+0+0<br />

Bell 412EP<br />

• There were 34 Bell 412EP on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

increased by 9.7% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 6.2% of the<br />

overall fleet in operation. There were five sold transactions in Q3 2018 as<br />

compared to six in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 7.9%<br />

- from 509 days in Q2 2018 to 549 days in Q3 2018. The average asking price<br />

has increased to US$4.2M in Q3 2018 from US$4M in Q2 2018.<br />

Bell 412HP<br />

• There were 61 Bell 412HP on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has not<br />

changed since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 8.2% of the overall fleet<br />

in operation. The pre-owned market activity has been stagnant with no sold<br />

transactions in both Q3 and Q2 2018. The average days on market increased<br />

by 16% - from 239 days in Q2 2018 to 206 days in Q3 2018. The average asking<br />

price has increased to US$3M in Q3 2018 from US$2.8M in Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

Bell 412EP<br />

356 N.M. / 659 km<br />

140 Knots<br />

9<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

34 (6.2%)<br />

4.2M USD<br />

549<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

23 20<br />

4<br />

31 (5.6%)<br />

4.0M USD<br />

509<br />

6<br />

Bell 412HP<br />

349 N.M. / 646 km<br />

133 Knots<br />

14<br />

2018 Q3<br />

5 (8.2%)<br />

3.0M USD<br />

239<br />

2018 Q3<br />

2<br />

0<br />

2018 Q2<br />

4 (6.6%)<br />

2.8M USD<br />

206<br />

2018 Q2<br />

3<br />

0<br />

0+33+0 0+35+0 0+37+0 0+36+0<br />

BELL 429<br />

• There were 15 Bell 429 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 21.1% since Q2 2018.<br />

• The inventory accounted for 4.7% of the overall fleet in operation.<br />

• There were four sold transactions in Q3 2018 as compared to zero in Q2 2018-<br />

showing a more active pre-owned market in Q3.<br />

• The average days on market increased by 18.6% - from 370 days in Q2 2018<br />

to 439 days in Q3 2018.<br />

• The average asking price has decreased to US$5.5M in Q3 2018 from<br />

US$5.7M in Q2 2018.<br />

BELL<br />

$5.4<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$5.3<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

0+17+0 0+17+0 0+17+0 0+15+0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 1+0+0<br />

$5.7<br />

16 16 17 17 17<br />

15 15<br />

16 15 16<br />

3+0+01+0+0<br />

0+19+0 0+19+0 0+19+0 0+16+00+15+00+16+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0<br />

$5.5<br />

19 19 19<br />

0+15+0 0+15+0 0+17+0<br />

0+0+0 2+0+0 2+0+0<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

368 N.M. / 681 km<br />

130 Knots<br />

7<br />

2018 Q3<br />

15 (4.7%)<br />

5.5M USD<br />

439<br />

2018 Q2<br />

19 (6.1%)<br />

5.7M USD<br />

370<br />

1 1 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

3<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3<br />

8<br />

0<br />

2018 Q2<br />

6<br />

0<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

62 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

A109E POWER/A109SP GRANDNEW<br />

A109E Power<br />

• There were 50 A109E Power on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 10.7% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 13.4% of the<br />

overall fleet in operation. There were three sold transactions in Q3 2018 as<br />

compared to seven in Q2 2018. The 57.1% decrease in market activity may be<br />

interpreted a slowing pre-owned market for AE109E Power. The average days<br />

on market increased by 12.8% - from 619 days in Q2 2018 to 698 days in Q3<br />

2018. The average asking price has decreased to US$1.7M in Q3 2018 from<br />

US$1.8M in Q2 2018.<br />

A109SP Grandnew<br />

• There were 8 A109SP Grandnew on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level<br />

has not changed since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 5.1% of the<br />

overall fleet in operation. There were four sold transactions in Q3 2018 as<br />

compared to six in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 14.8%<br />

- from 183 days in Q2 2018 to 210 days in Q3 2018. The average asking price<br />

has increased to US$4.6M in Q3 2018 from US$3.8M in Q2 2018.<br />

$4.5<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

A109SP GRANDNEW<br />

$3.8<br />

$4.6<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

A109E Power<br />

353 N.M. / 654 km<br />

139 Knots<br />

7<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

50 (13.4%)<br />

1.7M USD<br />

698<br />

56 (16.0%)<br />

1.8M USD<br />

619<br />

A109SP Grandnew<br />

480 N.M. / 889 km<br />

130 Knots<br />

7<br />

2018 Q3<br />

8 (5.1%)<br />

4.6M USD<br />

210<br />

2018 Q2<br />

8 (5.1%)<br />

3.8M USD<br />

183<br />

$1.9 $1.8 $1.7<br />

A109E Power<br />

67<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

70 71 69<br />

69<br />

65<br />

63 63 64<br />

62 62 60 58<br />

1+0+0 2+0+05+0+06+0+0<br />

5+0+03+0+01+0+0<br />

3+0+01+0+00+0+02+0+0<br />

0+58+00+60+00+62+0<br />

0+64+00+63+00+62+0<br />

0+63+00+65+00+69+00+69+00+71+00+70+00+67+0<br />

4+0+0<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

11 9<br />

3<br />

7<br />

2018 Q3<br />

22<br />

4<br />

2018 Q2<br />

24<br />

6<br />

2<br />

1 3 1 3 5 6 5<br />

2 2 1<br />

4<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

For Sale Sold<br />

AW139<br />

• There were 25 AW139 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 10.7% since Q2 2018.<br />

• The inventory accounted for 2.9% of the overall fleet in operation.<br />

• There were two sold transactions in Q3 2018 as compared to zero in Q2 2018.<br />

• The average days on market increased by 0.6% - from 478 days in Q2 2018<br />

to 481 days in Q3 2018. The slow increase in the average days on market can<br />

be attributed to the two aircraft that were added and four that were removed<br />

from market in Q3 2018.<br />

• The average asking price has increased to US$7.9M in Q3 2018 from<br />

US$7.3M in Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

568 N.M. / 1,052 km<br />

140 Knots<br />

15<br />

2018 Q3<br />

25 (2.9%)<br />

7.9M USD<br />

481<br />

2018 Q2<br />

28 (3.3%)<br />

7.3M USD<br />

478<br />

$8.3<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$7.3<br />

$7.9<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

26<br />

29<br />

28 27 28<br />

24 25 24 23 24<br />

26 26 25<br />

0+0+02+0+0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 1+0+00+0+00+0+00+0+0<br />

0+25+00+26+00+26+0<br />

0+28+00+27+00+28+0<br />

0+29+00+24+00+23+0<br />

0+24+00+25+00+24+00+26+0<br />

0+0+0<br />

LEONARDO<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3<br />

4<br />

2<br />

2018 Q2<br />

2<br />

0<br />

1<br />

1 2<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

THIRD FIRST QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 63


MARKET SUMMARY -- HELICOPTERS<br />

S-76C+ / S-76C++<br />

$7.3<br />

$3.9<br />

53<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

$4.9<br />

S-76C++<br />

S-76C+<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

56 55 56<br />

52 54 53 54 55<br />

$6.2<br />

49<br />

47 47 46<br />

$5.4<br />

$2.0<br />

5<br />

1 2<br />

2<br />

1 1<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

For Sale Sold<br />

0+0+01+0+0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+02+0+05+0+0<br />

0+0+02+0+00+0+01+0+0<br />

0+46+00+47+00+47+0<br />

0+49+00+55+00+54+0<br />

0+53+00+54+00+52+0<br />

0+56+00+55+00+56+00+53+0<br />

1+0+0<br />

S76C+<br />

• There were 22 S-76C+ on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 4.3% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 15.1% of<br />

the overall fleet in operation. There was one sold transaction in Q3 2018 as<br />

compared to two in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 13.3%<br />

- from 866 days in Q2 2018 to 981 days in Q3 2018. The average asking price<br />

has not changed since Q2 2018 and has remained at US$2M in Q3 2018.<br />

S76C++<br />

• There were 24 S-76C++ on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has<br />

decreased by 7.7% since Q2 2018. The inventory accounted for 11.5% of<br />

the overall fleet in operation. There was one sold transaction in Q3 2018 as<br />

compared to two in Q2 2018. The average days on market increased by 16.2%<br />

- from 555 days in Q2 2018 to 645 days in Q3 2018. The average asking price<br />

has not changed since Q2 2018 and has remained at US$5.4M in Q3 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

S-76C+<br />

335 N.M. / 620 km<br />

155 Knots<br />

12<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

22 (15.1%)<br />

2.0M USD<br />

981<br />

2018 Q3 2018 Q2<br />

10<br />

1<br />

23 (15.8%)<br />

2.0M USD<br />

866<br />

10<br />

2<br />

S-76C++<br />

335 N.M. / 620 km<br />

155 Knots<br />

12<br />

2018 Q3<br />

24 (11.5%)<br />

5.4M USD<br />

645<br />

2018 Q3<br />

6<br />

1<br />

2018 Q2<br />

26 (12.4%)<br />

6.2M USD<br />

555<br />

2018 Q2<br />

6<br />

2<br />

S-92<br />

• There were 9 S-92 on market in Q3 2018. The inventory level has increased by<br />

28.6% since Q2 2018.<br />

• The inventory accounted for 3.2% of the overall fleet in operation.<br />

• The average days on market decreased by 10.1% - from 664 days in Q2 2018<br />

to 597 days in Q3 2018.<br />

• The average asking price has decreased to US$15.4M in Q3 2018 from<br />

US$16.1M in Q2 2018.<br />

SPECS<br />

Max Range<br />

Max Speed<br />

Typ. Passengers<br />

FOR SALE<br />

No. for Sale<br />

Avg Asking Price<br />

Avg Days on Market<br />

474 N.M. / 877 km<br />

155 Knots<br />

19<br />

SIKORSKY<br />

$20.1<br />

Average Asking Price<br />

For Sale vs. Sold<br />

0+8+0 0+8+0<br />

0+9+0 0+9+0 0+8+0<br />

$16.1<br />

0+7+0 0+7+0 0+9+0<br />

$15.4<br />

0+9+0 0+8+0 0+8+0<br />

0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0<br />

2018 Q3<br />

9 (3.2%)<br />

15.4M USD<br />

597<br />

2018 Q2<br />

7 (2.5%)<br />

16.7M USD<br />

664<br />

7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9<br />

7 8 8 9<br />

7<br />

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep<br />

2017 2018<br />

Sold<br />

For Sale<br />

1<br />

SOLD<br />

Past 12 Months<br />

Past 3 Months<br />

2018 Q3<br />

1<br />

0<br />

2018 Q2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0+0 0+0<br />

0+8+0+7+0<br />

Source: JETNET & ASG<br />

64 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER 2018


THIRD QUARTER 2018 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 65

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