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The New Paradigm - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

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26<br />

<strong>The</strong>YEAR<br />

inReview<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Federal</strong> <strong>Reserve</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dallas</strong><br />

marked the final year <strong>of</strong> the century<br />

with the same spirit and commitment<br />

that defined the <strong>Bank</strong> when its<br />

doors opened in 1914. Initiatives and<br />

services in 1999 reflected the <strong>Bank</strong>’s<br />

continued dedication to efficient and<br />

reliable financial services, sound<br />

banking and robust economic<br />

growth in the Eleventh District.<br />

Economic Overview<br />

In 1999 the Eleventh District continued<br />

the economic dynamism that<br />

prevailed throughout the decade. <strong>The</strong><br />

District’s reduced sensitivity to oil<br />

prices and the increased diversification<br />

<strong>of</strong> its export markets diminished<br />

the impact <strong>of</strong> low oil prices in early<br />

1999 and the lingering effects <strong>of</strong> the<br />

1997–98 Asian financial crisis.<br />

One engine <strong>of</strong> the Texas economy<br />

has been the technology sector,<br />

which grew at almost twice the rate<br />

<strong>of</strong> total nonfarm job growth in the<br />

1990s. High tech was still reeling<br />

from the Asian crisis in the first half<br />

<strong>of</strong> 1999 but bounced back in the second<br />

half. With the Y2K rollover out <strong>of</strong><br />

the way, firms are poised to increase<br />

spending on technology.<br />

<strong>The</strong> service sector was another<br />

source <strong>of</strong> strength for the Texas economy<br />

last year. This was especially<br />

true <strong>of</strong> distribution services such as<br />

trucking and warehousing, air transportation,<br />

and business and financial<br />

services, all <strong>of</strong> which showed strong<br />

gains from trade with our NAFTA<br />

partners.<br />

As the world economy picked up<br />

steam, Texas exports rose sharply<br />

during 1999.<br />

In November Texas posted its lowest<br />

unemployment rate (4.1 percent)<br />

in nearly 20 years. Many <strong>of</strong> the<br />

state’s large metropolitan areas have<br />

very low unemployment and very<br />

high labor force participation rates.<br />

To maintain employment growth in<br />

excess <strong>of</strong> working-age population<br />

growth, Texas needs continued inmigration.<br />

<strong>The</strong> ingredients for strong growth<br />

in 2000 are all in place: higher oil<br />

prices, a strong world economy, and<br />

increasingly significant high-tech<br />

and distribution sectors ready to<br />

capitalize on the growth in trade and<br />

technology.<br />

1999 ANNUAL REPORT <strong>Federal</strong> <strong>Reserve</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dallas</strong>

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