The New Paradigm - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
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26<br />
<strong>The</strong>YEAR<br />
inReview<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>Federal</strong> <strong>Reserve</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dallas</strong><br />
marked the final year <strong>of</strong> the century<br />
with the same spirit and commitment<br />
that defined the <strong>Bank</strong> when its<br />
doors opened in 1914. Initiatives and<br />
services in 1999 reflected the <strong>Bank</strong>’s<br />
continued dedication to efficient and<br />
reliable financial services, sound<br />
banking and robust economic<br />
growth in the Eleventh District.<br />
Economic Overview<br />
In 1999 the Eleventh District continued<br />
the economic dynamism that<br />
prevailed throughout the decade. <strong>The</strong><br />
District’s reduced sensitivity to oil<br />
prices and the increased diversification<br />
<strong>of</strong> its export markets diminished<br />
the impact <strong>of</strong> low oil prices in early<br />
1999 and the lingering effects <strong>of</strong> the<br />
1997–98 Asian financial crisis.<br />
One engine <strong>of</strong> the Texas economy<br />
has been the technology sector,<br />
which grew at almost twice the rate<br />
<strong>of</strong> total nonfarm job growth in the<br />
1990s. High tech was still reeling<br />
from the Asian crisis in the first half<br />
<strong>of</strong> 1999 but bounced back in the second<br />
half. With the Y2K rollover out <strong>of</strong><br />
the way, firms are poised to increase<br />
spending on technology.<br />
<strong>The</strong> service sector was another<br />
source <strong>of</strong> strength for the Texas economy<br />
last year. This was especially<br />
true <strong>of</strong> distribution services such as<br />
trucking and warehousing, air transportation,<br />
and business and financial<br />
services, all <strong>of</strong> which showed strong<br />
gains from trade with our NAFTA<br />
partners.<br />
As the world economy picked up<br />
steam, Texas exports rose sharply<br />
during 1999.<br />
In November Texas posted its lowest<br />
unemployment rate (4.1 percent)<br />
in nearly 20 years. Many <strong>of</strong> the<br />
state’s large metropolitan areas have<br />
very low unemployment and very<br />
high labor force participation rates.<br />
To maintain employment growth in<br />
excess <strong>of</strong> working-age population<br />
growth, Texas needs continued inmigration.<br />
<strong>The</strong> ingredients for strong growth<br />
in 2000 are all in place: higher oil<br />
prices, a strong world economy, and<br />
increasingly significant high-tech<br />
and distribution sectors ready to<br />
capitalize on the growth in trade and<br />
technology.<br />
1999 ANNUAL REPORT <strong>Federal</strong> <strong>Reserve</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dallas</strong>