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The New Paradigm - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

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19<br />

Exhibit 13<br />

Bigger Is Better<br />

Never has the number <strong>of</strong> corporate mergers and acquisitions<br />

been higher. Advances in information management and communication<br />

have helped firms cut costs by consolidating output into<br />

larger operations. Technology has made higher output the key to<br />

lower prices across many industries.<br />

U.S. Mergers and Acquisitions<br />

Thousands<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

’72 ’76 ’80 ’84 ’88 ’92 ’96<br />

system is big enough to serve a critical mass. This has<br />

always been true for telephones, trucking routes, airlines,<br />

television and electricity. Now it also applies to the Internet,<br />

media and telecommunications, all industries on the<br />

economy’s leading edge.<br />

Finally, the Information Age is largely a world <strong>of</strong> high<br />

fixed and low marginal cost. Modern technology <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

requires staggering startup costs, with tens or even hundreds<br />

<strong>of</strong> millions <strong>of</strong> dollars going to design products, recruit<br />

workers, purchase equipment and establish a presence in<br />

the marketplace. Once in production, however, delivering<br />

additional goods or services is typically rather cheap.<br />

Consider prescription drugs. It requires an average $350<br />

million to bring a new pill to market. At that price, the cost<br />

<strong>of</strong> producing the first dose is exorbitant. If it takes a penny<br />

to produce each additional one, though, average production<br />

costs fall quickly—to $350 each at 1 million pills,<br />

$3.51 at 100 million and 4¢ at 10 billion. (See Exhibit 14.)<br />

For about $60, pet owners can have a biocompatible glass capsule<br />

about the size <strong>of</strong> an uncooked grain <strong>of</strong> rice implanted between their<br />

pet’s shoulder blades. A tiny memory chip inside the capsule acts as a<br />

miniature transponder that relays information via low-frequency radio<br />

signals. With the help <strong>of</strong> a special scanner (about $400), veterinarians,<br />

animal shelters and the like can tap into a nationwide database <strong>of</strong> pet<br />

owners, their addresses and phone numbers, plus the animals’ characteristics,<br />

pedigree, medical history and more. Not only does the system<br />

make locating a lost pet much easier, it has made pet insurance affordable<br />

since conclusively identifying Fido is now possible.<br />

Keeping track <strong>of</strong> livestock can mean big savings for ranchers. With<br />

the help <strong>of</strong> electronic “ho<strong>of</strong> meters,” today’s high-tech dairy farmer can<br />

check on the whereabouts <strong>of</strong> any one <strong>of</strong> his cows by double-clicking on<br />

the animal’s face on a computer monitor. <strong>The</strong> history <strong>of</strong> each cow’s food<br />

and medicine intake, weight, milk yield and even temperature is<br />

instantly available from a comfortable remote location. What once took<br />

a legion <strong>of</strong> workers now takes just one.<br />

<strong>Federal</strong> <strong>Reserve</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Dallas</strong> 1999 ANNUAL REPORT

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