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<strong>Impact</strong> Investments:<br />

An emerging asset class<br />

Global Research<br />

29 November 2010<br />

foundations and mission driven investors willing to trade off financial return for<br />

social impact. Many newer entrants have a greater motivation, and in some cases, a<br />

fiduciary duty to balance strong financial returns with social impact.<br />

Deposits, guarantees and other investment instruments<br />

As shown in Table 3, beyond equity and debt, there are also deposits, guarantees,<br />

equity-like debt and real asset investments reported within our data sample. The<br />

$73m of reported deposits were all US-based, with return expectations (some of<br />

which were realized) in the 0–4.9% range. The $50m of guarantees were made with<br />

similar return expectations, though some were made outside the US and Canada. The<br />

survey also captured $489m of real asset investments, all of which were made in the<br />

housing sector in the US or Canada. No return expectations were reported for those<br />

investments. The equity-like debt investments totaling just $8m 37 are more globallybased<br />

and focused mostly in the microfinance sector. Return expectations for these<br />

investments range broadly, from less than 0% to as high as 15–20%.<br />

For more on developed market<br />

debt investments, see Appendix<br />

V: Additional returns data<br />

Realized debt returns broadly reflect the range of expectations: EM provides<br />

higher yields<br />

Zooming into the realized return data, we now show only the debt investments<br />

separated into the developed (Figure 13) and emerging markets (Figure 14). All of<br />

this data was provided by the same two respondents, so we caution against<br />

extrapolation, but present this data as one piece of evidence that the expectation of<br />

higher yields from emerging market debt investments is potentially justifiable.<br />

Interestingly, DM debt realizations outperform the average expectations. The amount<br />

of private equity realized return data is so small – only 20 deals amounting to $8m of<br />

notional – that it does not provide much insight. We have omitted that data for this<br />

reason.<br />

Figure 13: Realized returns – Developed market debt investments<br />

Total # of investments = 114; Total size of investments = $94m<br />

x-axis: Year of investment; y-axis: Return (gross annual yield, in USD)<br />

10.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

6.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012<br />

Source: GIIN, J.P. Morgan. Investments for which no return was reported are not included.<br />

Figure 14: Realized returns – Emerging market debt investments<br />

Total # of investments = 97; Total size of investments = $61m<br />

x-axis: Year of investment; y-axis: Return (gross annual yield, in USD)<br />

20.0%<br />

16.0%<br />

12.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012<br />

Source: GIIN, J.P. Morgan. Investments for which no return was reported are not included.<br />

Excludes five investments ($2mm notional value) with negative returns.<br />

Beyond returns: Characteristics of surveyed investments<br />

Investment sizes remain small, while costs are high…<br />

One of the characteristics of impact investments that many investors will struggle<br />

with is the small average deal size. Figure 15 illustrates the range of investment sizes<br />

37 Equity-like debt investments are defined for the purposes of our survey as: An instrument<br />

between debt and equity, typically a debt instrument with potential profit participation. E.g.<br />

Convertible debt, warrant, debt with equity kicker.<br />

34

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