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Social Impact Investing

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<strong>Impact</strong> Investments:<br />

An emerging asset class<br />

Global Research<br />

29 November 2010<br />

• How much financial return are investors expecting and realizing?<br />

We conducted a survey of leading impact investors, which resulted in 24<br />

respondents providing data on expected returns for over 1,100 individual<br />

investments. Reported return expectations vary dramatically: while some impact<br />

investors expect to outperform traditional investments, others expect to trade-off<br />

financial returns for social impact. Increasingly, entrants to the impact<br />

investment market believe they need not sacrifice financial return in exchange for<br />

social impact. Indeed, many have a regulated, fiduciary duty to generate riskadjusted<br />

returns that compete with traditional investments.<br />

• How large is the potential opportunity for investment in this market?<br />

While we have not endeavored to measure the entire impact investment market,<br />

we present a new framework for measuring the potential scale of invested capital<br />

and profit. Applying our methodology to selected businesses within five sectors<br />

— housing, rural water delivery, maternal health, primary education and financial<br />

services — for the portion of the global population earning less than $3,000 a<br />

year, we find that even this -segment of the market offers the potential over the<br />

next 10 years for invested capital of $400bn–$1 trillion and profit of $183–<br />

$667bn.<br />

• What does risk management and social performance monitoring involve?<br />

Our analysis of impact investment risk management includes components similar<br />

to those for venture capital or high yield debt investments (with country and<br />

currency risk components for emerging market transactions), with a unique set of<br />

complexities arising from social performance measurement and reputational<br />

exposure. Measuring and monitoring social performance are essential to track<br />

progress toward the intended impact and to manage the reputational exposure, but<br />

are challenging and potentially expensive in practice. Market initiatives are in<br />

place to build third party systems to facilitate these efforts.<br />

6

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