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<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>Roche</strong><br />

<strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

r<br />

Basel, London, New York, January/February 2008<br />

2<br />

1


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements<br />

may be identified by words such as ‘believes’, ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘projects’, ‘intends’, ‘should’,<br />

‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, ‘future’ or similar expressions or by discussion of, among other things, strategy,<br />

goals, plans or intentions. Various factors may cause actual results to differ materially in the future<br />

from those reflected in forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, among others:<br />

1 pricing and product initiatives of competitors;<br />

2 legislative and regulatory developments and economic conditions;<br />

3 delay or inability in obtaining regulatory approvals or bringing products to market;<br />

4 fluctuations in currency exchange rates and general financial market conditions;<br />

5 uncertainties in the discovery, development or marketing of new products or new uses of existing products,<br />

including without limitation negative results of clinical trials or research projects, unexpected side-effects of<br />

pipeline or marketed products;<br />

6 increased government pricing pressures;<br />

7 interruptions in production<br />

8 loss of or inability to obtain adequate protection for intellectual property rights;<br />

9 litigation;<br />

10 loss of key executives or other employees; and<br />

11 adverse publicity and news coverage.<br />

Any statements regarding earnings per share growth is not a profit forecast and should not be interpreted to mean<br />

that <strong>Roche</strong>’s earnings or earnings per share for this year or any subsequent period will necessarily match or<br />

exceed the historical published earnings or earnings per share of <strong>Roche</strong>.<br />

For marketed products discussed in this presentation, please see full prescribing information on our website –<br />

www.roche.com<br />

All mentioned trademarks are legally protected<br />

Additional information in relation to the offer for<br />

Ventana shares and where to find it<br />

These materials are for informational purposes only and do not constitute an offer to purchase or a solicitation of an offer<br />

to sell Ventana’s common stock. The tender offer is being made pursuant to a tender offer statement on schedule TO<br />

(including the offer to purchase, letter of transmittal and other related tender offer materials) filed by <strong>Roche</strong> with the<br />

Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on June 27, <strong>2007</strong>. These materials, as they may be amended from time to<br />

time, contain important information, including the terms and conditions of the offer, that should be read carefully before<br />

any decision is made with respect to the tender offer. Investors and stockholders can obtain a free copy of these<br />

materials and other documents filed by <strong>Roche</strong> with the SEC at the website maintained by the SEC at www.sec.gov. The<br />

tender offer materials may also be obtained for free by contacting the information agent for the tender offer, Mackenzie<br />

Partners, at (212) 929-5500 or (800) 322-2885 (toll-free). Additional information can also be found on www.roche.com.<br />

3<br />

4<br />

2


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Group<br />

Dr. Franz B. Humer<br />

Chief Executive Officer<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> in <strong>2007</strong>: Delivered on targets as committed<br />

Market FY<br />

growth <strong>2007</strong><br />

Targets for <strong>2007</strong><br />

• Above-market sales growth Pharma 6 % 11 %<br />

in local currencies Diagnostics 5 % 6 %<br />

• Double-digit local sales growth Pharma 11 %<br />

Group 10 %<br />

• Target for Core EPS<br />

growth to be above Core EPS growth 20 %<br />

sales growth (CHF) Sales growth 10 %<br />

5<br />

6<br />

3


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Industry-leading sales growth continued<br />

Sales in CHF billion % change in USD<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong> CHF local growth<br />

Pharmaceuticals 33.3 36.8 10 11 15<br />

Diagnostics 8.7 9.3 7 6 12<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Group 42.0 46.1 10 10 15<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Double-digit growth with and without Tamiflu 1<br />

incl. Tamiflu1 excl. Tamiflu1 H1/07 H2/07 <strong>2007</strong> H1/07 H2/07 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Pharmaceuticals Division 18 6 11 15 11 13<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Pharma 16 4 9 12 12 12<br />

Genentech 28 12 19 28 12 19<br />

Chugai 7 -1 3 -1 4 1<br />

Diagnostics Division 5 6 6 5 6 6<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Group 15 6 10 13 10 11<br />

1 Tamiflu corporate and government pandemic sales; all figures in %<br />

7<br />

8<br />

4


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Additional CHF 4 billion organic sales;<br />

Net income up 25%; Core EPS growth twice sales growth<br />

CHF billion Change<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong> CHF billion % loc %<br />

Sales 42.0 46.1 4.1 +10 +10<br />

Operating profit 11.7 14.5 2.7 +23 +22<br />

as % of sales 27.9 31.4<br />

Net income 9.2 11.4 2.3 +25<br />

as % of sales 21.8 24.8<br />

Core EPS 9.86 11.85 +20<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Major steps in building the base for<br />

future growth and stability<br />

Corporate Governance<br />

Split of the role of Chairman and CEO<br />

Management changes – succession planning<br />

Severin Schwan to become new CEO<br />

Organisational changes - building an appropriate environment to innovate<br />

New R&D in Pharma organised along 5 disease areas<br />

TALENT MANAGEMENT PIPELINE DEVELOPMENT STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT<br />

Alnylam<br />

Ventana<br />

NimbleGen 454<br />

9<br />

10<br />

5


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Actively shaping the future<br />

Pharma<br />

Sales 1997<br />

CHF 18.8 billion<br />

65%<br />

Diagnostics<br />

5%<br />

Vitamins &<br />

Fine Chem.<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

Fragrances &<br />

Flavours<br />

Pharma<br />

Sales <strong>2007</strong><br />

CHF 46.1 billion<br />

80%<br />

Continuing to focus on our core businesses<br />

Focus on differentiated products paying off<br />

Outstanding long-term value creation<br />

Group sales 1 (CHF billion)<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

1997<br />

1999<br />

CAGR 15 %<br />

2001<br />

2003<br />

1 Prescription and Diagnostics<br />

2 Continuing businesses, before exceptional items<br />

2005<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

2001<br />

20.2%<br />

16.3%<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

21.3%<br />

2004<br />

20%<br />

25.9% 27.9%<br />

22.9%<br />

2005<br />

Diagnostics<br />

Group operating profit<br />

16<br />

2 (CHF billion)<br />

31.4%<br />

CAGR 25 %<br />

Continuing to focus on our core assets<br />

2006<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

11<br />

12<br />

6


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Differentiated and rejuvenated product portfolio<br />

From 1 to 9 products with sales at or above CHF 1 billion<br />

24<br />

20<br />

16<br />

12<br />

8<br />

4<br />

Pharmaceuticals key products (CHF billion)<br />

By year of market introduction<br />

0<br />

'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07<br />

Outlook on 2008 sales: Growth 1.5 to 2 times the<br />

world market on an underlying basis<br />

Growth<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

+ 10%<br />

Tamiflu<br />

Pandemic<br />

sales<br />

High<br />

single<br />

digit<br />

Underlying<br />

growth<br />

Boniva<br />

Tarceva<br />

Avastin<br />

Pegasys<br />

Herceptin<br />

Xeloda<br />

NeoRecormon/<br />

Epogin<br />

MabThera/<br />

Rituxan<br />

CellCept<br />

Rocephin<br />

Roaccutane<br />

Pharmaceuticals 16 14 12 11<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Pharma 13 11 10 14<br />

Genentech 30 26 18 6<br />

Chugai -7 4 4 4<br />

Diagnostics 6 5 4 8<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Group 14 12 10 10<br />

Local sales growth rates <strong>2007</strong> vs 2006<br />

13<br />

Excluding government &<br />

corporate pandemic Tamiflu<br />

Q1 ‘07 Q2 ‘07 Q3 ‘07 Q4 ‘07<br />

14<br />

7


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Outlook 2008 Profit: A commitment to our future<br />

Redistribution of ‘costs’ into R&D<br />

Core EPS<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

Tamiflu<br />

pandemic<br />

sales impact<br />

Underlying<br />

growth<br />

and<br />

Product<br />

Mix<br />

and<br />

Efficiency<br />

gains<br />

R&D<br />

Commitment<br />

for the<br />

future<br />

Upside - not in outlook:<br />

- Additional Tamiflu pandemic sales<br />

- Avastin adjuvant<br />

- Delayed start or ‘failure’ of R&D<br />

assets (in particular risk-factored<br />

success of many phase II assets)<br />

2008: Investing now for the future<br />

While further redistributing efficiency gains into R&D<br />

Avastin adj.: Building standard of care<br />

Pertuzumab: Improving standard of care<br />

Ocrelizumab: Autoimmune: new and<br />

potentially large markets<br />

CETPi: Building a potentially<br />

vast new market<br />

GLP-1: Potential to enter as<br />

best-in-class product<br />

HCV pipeline: Shaping the future market<br />

15<br />

Schematic P&L (% of sales)<br />

• Cost of Sales<br />

• M&D<br />

• G&A<br />

• R&D<br />

16<br />

8


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Our objectives for 2008<br />

Sales<br />

• High single digit local currency sales increase for <strong>Roche</strong> Group (excl. Tamiflu pandemic1 )<br />

• Above-market sales growth1 in both divisions<br />

Core EPS<br />

• Core earnings per share target2 at least at record <strong>2007</strong> level despite significant increase in<br />

R&D investment and considerably lower Tamiflu pandemic sales<br />

Shareholder return<br />

• Continuous increase in dividend pay-out ratio over the next 3 years<br />

1 Excluding government and corporate stockpiling orders of Tamiflu for pandemic use<br />

2 At constant exchange rates Barring unforeseen events<br />

Pharmaceuticals Division<br />

William M. Burns<br />

CEO <strong>Roche</strong> Pharmaceuticals<br />

17<br />

18<br />

9


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Highlights in Pharma<br />

Double-digit growth in sales and profits<br />

• Pharma sales (+11 % in LC), <strong>Roche</strong> Pharma Q4: +14 % (excl. Tamiflu)<br />

• Operating profit margin improved by 3.8 % pts to 35.5 %<br />

Major progress for key marketed assets<br />

• Avastin launched in advanced breast and lung cancer (EU), approved in renal cell carcinoma (EU)<br />

• Approval of Avastin in 1st and later lines mCRC (EU) – not restricted by chemo choice<br />

• Mircera launched in EU<br />

Major pipeline progress<br />

• Actemra filed in EU / US<br />

• Ocrelizumab moved into phase III in lupus (SLE and LN), and into phase II in MS<br />

• Pertuzumab phase III in metastatic breast cancer starting soon<br />

• CETP inhibitor: decision to move into phase III<br />

• GLP-1: phase II data encouraging<br />

A review of <strong>2007</strong> – Pharmaceuticals<br />

Guidance met – significant pipeline progress<br />

Filings Major clinical data<br />

Compound Phase Indication Data Status YE'07<br />

R1503 (p38 kinase inh.) II Rheumatoid arthritis Final Terminated<br />

R1658 (CETP inh.) II Dyslipidemia Final �<br />

R1440 (GKA) II Type 2 Diabetes Final Backup prioritized<br />

R1626 (polymerase inh.) II HCV Final �<br />

pertuzumab II Solid tumors Final � (mBC)<br />

MabThera II RRMS Full data �<br />

Actemra III Rheumatoid arthritis Final � (4 ph. 3 trials)<br />

CellCept III Lupus nephritis Final Preliminary data<br />

Avastin III NSCLC (Avastin in Lung) Final �<br />

Avastin<br />

III RCC (AVOREN)<br />

Full data �<br />

Xeloda III Adjuvant CC (NO16968) Final ‘07/ ‘08 Data in 2008<br />

Xeloda III mCRC 2nd line (NO16967) Full data �<br />

Compound Indication Status YE‘07<br />

Avastin mCRC 1st line combo extension (EU) �<br />

Avastin RCC (EU) �<br />

Xeloda mCRC 1st/2nd line combo (US / EU) �<br />

Actemra Rheumatoid arthritis (US / EU) �<br />

CellCept Lupus nephritis (US / EU) Will not be filed<br />

Divisional sales<br />

growth<br />

Double-digit growth<br />

in local currencies<br />

19<br />

20<br />

10


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Pharma continues to significantly outgrow the market<br />

CHF 3.5 billion additional organic sales<br />

Sales CHF million<br />

% change in USD<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong> CHF local growth<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Pharma 20,666 22,970 11 9 16<br />

Genentech 9,125 10,414 14 19 19<br />

Chugai 3,503 3,399 -3 3 1<br />

Pharmaceuticals 33,294 36,783 10 11 15<br />

incl. Tamiflu1 excl. Tamiflu1 Growth in %<br />

H1/07 H2/07 <strong>2007</strong> H1/07 H2/07 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Pharmaceuticals Division 18 6 11 15 11 13<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Pharma 16 4 9 12 12 12<br />

Genentech 28 12 19 28 12 19<br />

Chugai 7 -1 3 -1 4 1<br />

1 Government and corporate pandemic<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Pharma operating margin: Up ~4 %-points<br />

The highest-ever margin increase<br />

CHF million % of sales<br />

31.7% 35.5%<br />

13,042<br />

10,545<br />

1 At constant exchange rates<br />

+22% 1<br />

(+24%)<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

29.7% 31.5%<br />

6,139<br />

+10%<br />

(+18%)<br />

7,225<br />

50.9%<br />

43.9%<br />

4,002<br />

+38%<br />

(+32%)<br />

5,298<br />

16.2% 17.9%<br />

Pharma Division <strong>Roche</strong> Pharma Genentech Chugai<br />

569<br />

+21%<br />

(+7%)<br />

610<br />

21<br />

22<br />

11


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Pharma operating performance<br />

Operating profit growth twice sales<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

CHF million % sales<br />

Sales 36,783 100.0 +3,489<br />

Royalties & other op inc 2,057 5.6 +848<br />

Cost of sales -9,502 -25.8 -470<br />

M & D -7,018 -19.1 -159<br />

R & D -7,598 -20.6 -1,008<br />

G & A -1,680 -4.6 -203<br />

Operating profit 13,042 35.5 +2,497<br />

1 Manufacturing Costs of goods sold & period costs<br />

Review of core assets by therapeutic area<br />

Pipeline, Outlook and future catalysts<br />

8%<br />

3%<br />

11%<br />

<strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

COGS & PC 1 : +5 %<br />

18%<br />

17%<br />

Administration: +8 %<br />

22%<br />

76%<br />

Excl. impairment: +17 %<br />

23<br />

24<br />

12


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Oncology: Strongest growing franchise<br />

Avastin: Best growing oncology brand ever<br />

CHF billion<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

<strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

+20 %<br />

6 %<br />

+11 %<br />

44 %<br />

50 %<br />

+14 %<br />

+28 %<br />

Europe/RoW US Japan<br />

Sales<br />

Avastin launch compared to other cancer<br />

therapies (US plus top-5 EU markets 1 )<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14<br />

Quarters since launch<br />

1 Source: IMS. Products included are Avastin, Alimta, Arimidex, Camptosar, Eloxatine, Erbitux, Femara, Gemzar, Herceptin, MabThera, Nexavar, Sutent, Tarceva,<br />

Taxol, Taxotere, Xeloda<br />

Oncology<br />

Existing and new indications fuelling growth<br />

Major brands (CHF billion)<br />

MabThera<br />

Rituxan<br />

Herceptin<br />

Avastin<br />

Xeloda<br />

Tarceva<br />

+19 %<br />

+31 %<br />

+41 %<br />

+23 %<br />

local growth<br />

+15 %<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

2006<br />

0 2 4 6<br />

Avastin<br />

Growth mainly from use following 1st l. in iNHL<br />

and RA (global RA sales: approx. CHF 500 m)<br />

Penetration in adj BC now 70% in top 5 EU and<br />

~75 % in US – still considerably lower in RoW<br />

US: Good uptake in NSCLC; EU: Strong growth<br />

in mCRC – promising launches in NSCLC, mBC<br />

Increased use in adj CC and mCRC (both EU and<br />

US) continues to drive growth<br />

Strong growth in Europe (NSCLC), EU approval<br />

for pancreatic cancer received early ’07<br />

25<br />

26<br />

13


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Major growth opportunities outside the US<br />

Herceptin leading the way<br />

% of Total <strong>2007</strong> Sales<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Herceptin<br />

68 %<br />

Xeloda<br />

62 %<br />

Tarceva MabThera/<br />

Rituxan<br />

Avastin<br />

53 %<br />

EU / ROW (incl. Japan)<br />

Avastin still early in its journey<br />

Realising full potential across tumour types<br />

Tumour<br />

Colon/<br />

rectal<br />

Lung<br />

(NSCLC)<br />

Breast<br />

(HER2-)<br />

Breast<br />

(HER2+)<br />

Kidney (RCC)<br />

Early/adjuvant<br />

(Potential for cure)<br />

Phase III<br />

(AVANT, NSABP C-08,<br />

E5202, E5204)<br />

Phase III<br />

(E1505)<br />

Phase III<br />

(BEATRICE, E5103)<br />

Phase III<br />

(BETH w/Herceptin)<br />

–<br />

�<br />

�<br />

�<br />

US<br />

Launched<br />

[EU majority of chemos,<br />

U.S. carboplatin/paclitaxel]<br />

Phase III<br />

(AVEREL w/Herceptin)<br />

48 %<br />

Launched [EU paclitaxel]<br />

Phase III (AVADO, RIBBON-1)<br />

�<br />

Launched<br />

[EU w/interferon]<br />

33 %<br />

Advanced/metastatic<br />

(Extending life)<br />

1st line of treatment 2nd line of treatment<br />

Launched<br />

[EU, U.S., JP; broad label in 1st and subsequent lines]<br />

Phase III<br />

(BETA Lung w/Tarceva)<br />

Avastin also trialed in gastric, ovarian, prostate, aNHL, and brain (GBM)<br />

(Trial names) [Approval status]. More trials are ongoing than listed above.<br />

–<br />

27<br />

Phase III<br />

(Ribbon-2, incl. w/Xeloda)<br />

28<br />

14


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Expanding the market for Avastin and Xeloda in mCRC<br />

Avastin to be combined with any chemo in any line of treatment<br />

Avastin Xeloda<br />

Current EU<br />

label:<br />

5-FU or 5-FU<br />

+ Irinotecan<br />

New EU label:<br />

Any fluoropyrimidine<br />

combination<br />

Source: Synovate Healthcare 2005<br />

Xeloda<br />

14%<br />

5-FU<br />

8%<br />

Oxaliplatin<br />

53%<br />

Full label<br />

any<br />

combo<br />

100%<br />

Irinotecan<br />

25%<br />

Xeloda<br />

14%<br />

5-FU<br />

8%<br />

Oxaliplatin<br />

53%<br />

Full label<br />

any<br />

combo<br />

100%<br />

Avastin launching with best-possible label in<br />

1st line NSCLC market in Europe 1<br />

Monotherapy<br />

/ Others<br />

33%<br />

Platinum +<br />

Vinorelbine<br />

15%<br />

Platinum +<br />

Gemcitabine<br />

36%<br />

Platinum +<br />

Taxane<br />

16%<br />

Monotherapy<br />

/ Others<br />

33%<br />

Irinotecan<br />

25%<br />

Avastin<br />

label:<br />

Platinumbased<br />

chemo<br />

67%<br />

Avastin in combo with all current standards (platinum)<br />

Source: Synovate Healthcare, MAT Q3 <strong>2007</strong>; 1 in non–squamous NSCLC<br />

Future EU label:<br />

Any combo,<br />

including with<br />

Avastin<br />

29<br />

30<br />

15


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Expanding the market for Avastin in breast cancer<br />

Large opportunity – strong commitment<br />

Current EU label:<br />

with paclitaxel<br />

Future broad<br />

target label<br />

Xeloda<br />

17%<br />

Source: Genactis MBC study Q4 2005<br />

other<br />

19%<br />

Taxane<br />

23%<br />

other 19%<br />

(e.g.<br />

monotherapy<br />

Vinorelbine)<br />

Anthracycline<br />

25%<br />

Anthracyc./<br />

Taxane<br />

16%<br />

target<br />

label<br />

81%<br />

Oncology in 2008<br />

Preparing for new market opportunities<br />

US submission for 1st line mBC<br />

– ODAC split vote Dec 5, <strong>2007</strong><br />

– FDA action date Feb 23, 2008<br />

Further phase III studies to report in ‘08<br />

– AVADO (docetaxel +/- Avastin):<br />

expect data in H1 2008<br />

– RIBBON-1 (var. chemos +/- Avastin):<br />

expect data in H2 2008<br />

Phase III adjuvant trials started<br />

– E5103 (HER2-), initiated Q4 <strong>2007</strong><br />

– BEATRICE (HER2-, ER-, PR-):<br />

initiated Q4 <strong>2007</strong><br />

– BETH (HER2+) combo with Herceptin<br />

to start H1 2008<br />

Breast cancer (BC)<br />

• Phase III data (AVADO, RIBBON-1) to broaden Avastin label for combination with<br />

all major chemos<br />

• HER2+ mBC<br />

– phase III for pertuzumab to start in Q1<br />

– opted-in to trastuzumab-DM1<br />

• Avastin adjuvant trials started: Large potential new market opportunity<br />

Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC)<br />

• Launch of Avastin and Xeloda in 1st and later lines – not restricted by chemo<br />

choice (incl. oxaliplatin) (EU)<br />

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL)<br />

• Positive data in 1st line - MabThera to enter a new market in Europe<br />

31<br />

32<br />

16


3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Inflammation/Autoimmune/Transplantation<br />

MabThera RA launch successful<br />

CHF billion <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

3.5<br />

local growth<br />

5 %<br />

40 %<br />

55 %<br />

2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

+12 %<br />

+8 %<br />

+12 %<br />

Europe/RoW US Japan<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

Overall franchise growing +11 %<br />

MabThera RA sales ~CHF ½ billion<br />

Rheumatoid Arthritis<br />

• MabThera: Launched (TNF failures)<br />

• Actemra: Filed in EU and US (RA)<br />

• Ocrelizumab: Phase III initiated<br />

Lupus<br />

• Ocrelizumab: Phase III initiated<br />

Multiple Sclerosis<br />

• MabThera: Positive phase II (RRMS)<br />

• Ocrelizumab: Phase II decision taken<br />

Next generation anti-CD20s (MabThera follow-ons)<br />

Opportunities for improvement<br />

2nd gen. anti-CD20 (ocrelizumab)<br />

Fully humanized<br />

Potential clinical benefits<br />

• Less immunogenicity<br />

• Better tolerability<br />

• Shorter infusion time<br />

In phase III in RA, and SLE<br />

LN to start soon<br />

Phase II in RRMS to start 2008<br />

3rd gen. anti-CD20 (R7159)<br />

Fc engineered (glycosylations)<br />

• Increased CD20 binding and apoptosis<br />

• Increased ADCC (antibody dependent cellmediated<br />

toxicity)<br />

• Reduced CDC (complement dependent cell<br />

toxicity)<br />

Potential clinical benefits<br />

• Improved efficacy<br />

• Less infusion reactions<br />

In phase I for oncology / hematology<br />

33<br />

34<br />

17


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Inflammation/Autoimmune in 2008<br />

Major market opportunities in focus<br />

Rheumatoid Arthritis<br />

• MabThera for DMARD-IRs (1st line biologic): expect data and filing<br />

• Actemra: regulatory approval expected (first in US)<br />

Multiple Sclerosis<br />

• Phase II/III data for MabThera in PPMS in H1 2008<br />

Lupus<br />

• Phase II / III data for MabThera in SLE in H1 2008<br />

Virology<br />

Building on our HCV franchise<br />

Major brands (CHF billion)<br />

Tamiflu<br />

Pegasys<br />

Valcyte/Cymevene<br />

Fuzeon<br />

Copegus<br />

Invirase/Fortovase<br />

+12 %<br />

+3 %<br />

+6 %<br />

+9 %<br />

+11 %<br />

local growth<br />

-19 %<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

2006<br />

Pandemic sales of CHF 1.9 bn (90 % of total sales);<br />

CHF 100-150 million pandemic sales expected in ’08<br />

Growth ex-US more than offsets US market decline;<br />

Japanese Copegus combo launch successful<br />

Growth driven by increased use in transplant and<br />

HIV/AIDS indications<br />

Steady growth in EU, decline in US<br />

Slight increase due to Japan, flat in EU/ RoW<br />

Growth driven by Invirase 500mg<br />

0 1 2 3<br />

Building new assets in HCV – early but promising data with<br />

polymerase and protease inhibitors<br />

35<br />

36<br />

18


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Tamiflu sales 2006 – <strong>2007</strong><br />

Significant slowdown in H2<br />

CHF million<br />

1000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

265<br />

54<br />

336 306<br />

77<br />

592<br />

98<br />

899<br />

119<br />

746<br />

460<br />

65<br />

192<br />

54<br />

458<br />

Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07<br />

1 Governmental & Corporate<br />

Hepatitis C portfolio in 2008<br />

Assets to potentially move standard of care<br />

xx %<br />

x % Seasonal<br />

Pandemic¹<br />

I II<br />

III<br />

Polymerase inhibitor R1626<br />

Polymerase inhibitor<br />

Protease inhibitor<br />

Phase<br />

R7227<br />

R7128<br />

Key 2008 newsflow:<br />

R7128: Phase Ib combo data with Pegasys<br />

R7227: Phase I data<br />

2006<br />

494<br />

2,133<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

229<br />

1,856<br />

37<br />

38<br />

19


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Metabolism/Bone<br />

Boniva continuously gaining market share<br />

Major brands (CHF million)<br />

Bonviva/Boniva<br />

Xenical<br />

Nutropin<br />

-1 %<br />

-10 %<br />

local growth<br />

+85 %<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

2006<br />

0 200 400 600 800 1000<br />

More than 15 % market share in US;<br />

strong EU launches<br />

Successful alli OTC launch in US<br />

in early <strong>2007</strong><br />

HDL: Next frontier in cardiovascular risk reduction<br />

Cholesteryl Ester Transfer Protein (CETP) Inhibitor<br />

• Epidemiologic data: strong inverse relationship between HDL and CV risk<br />

• LDL-C and HDL-C are independently related to CV risk<br />

1% decrease in LDL-C<br />

reduces CHD risk by 1% 1% increase in HDL-C<br />

reduces CHD risk by 1%<br />

• CETP inhibition: potential to decrease cardiovascular morbidity and mortality risk<br />

by increasing HDL-C<br />

Source: Amer J of Medicine (2005) 118, 1067-1077; J Amer Coll of Card (2005) 46(7) 1225-1228<br />

39<br />

40<br />

20


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

CETP Inhibitor (R1658)<br />

A major commitment – decision to enter phase III<br />

R1658 phase II summary<br />

• Generally well tolerated in clinical studies<br />

– Similar profile to placebo in terms of effects on blood pressure and electrolytes<br />

• R1658 increases HDL-C level in monotherapy and in combination with statins<br />

R1658 is different from torcetrapib<br />

• Different chemical structure and physicochemical properties<br />

• Different binding sites on CETP - different mechanisms leading to decreased CETP activity<br />

• HDL generated by R1658 and torcetrapib may be of different composition and function<br />

Health authorities feedback<br />

• R1658 can move forward in development<br />

• Morbidity & Mortality study required for initial registration for CETPi<br />

CETPi – development plan designed to mitigate risk<br />

Step-wise investment – several decision points<br />

investment<br />

CAP<br />

Decision<br />

point,<br />

data driven<br />

CAP<br />

Decision<br />

point,<br />

data driven<br />

CAP<br />

Decision<br />

point,<br />

data driven<br />

time<br />

41<br />

42<br />

21


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

GLP-1 Phase IIb data available<br />

Encouraging profile of sustained release formulation<br />

• R1583: An analogue of GLP-1 with increased stability<br />

• Phase 2b data (sustained release formulation) show encouraging and competitive<br />

effects on HbA1c and weight<br />

• Focus on differentiation beyond HbA1c and weight loss to include<br />

– dosing frequency (once a week)<br />

– auto injector (convenience, needle size)<br />

• Aiming for a best in class profile<br />

Metabolism/Diabetes in 2008<br />

Committed to become a major player<br />

CETP Inhibitor to move into phase III<br />

• Safety data to be presented at major medical meetings<br />

GLP-1 phase II data available<br />

• Decision for phase III to be taken in H1 2008<br />

• Publication planned for 2008<br />

Phase II data for DPP-IV (3) and PPARαγ expected<br />

• Looking for a differentiated profile (e.g. weight reduction for DPP-IV)<br />

• Go/no-go decisions for phase III trials to be taken this year<br />

43<br />

44<br />

22


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Review of core assets by therapeutic area<br />

Pipeline, Outlook and future catalysts<br />

Major <strong>Roche</strong> managed projected submissions<br />

over the next years<br />

Phase 3<br />

Phase 2<br />

MabThera<br />

CLL (EU)<br />

Avastin<br />

mBC + Taxotere (EU<br />

Avastin<br />

pancreatic cancer (EU)<br />

Tarceva+Avastin<br />

NSCLC 2nd line (EU)<br />

MabThera<br />

RA DMARD IR (EU)<br />

MabThera<br />

iNHL maint 1 st line (EU)<br />

Avastin<br />

adj. CC (EU)<br />

Avastin<br />

gastric Ca metastatic(EU)<br />

Avastin<br />

ovarian Ca (EU)<br />

Xeloda+Avastin<br />

adj. CC (EU)<br />

ocrelizumab (R1594 )<br />

RA & SLE (EU)<br />

HPV 16 (R3484)<br />

cervical neoplasia<br />

GLP-1 (R1583)<br />

type II diabetes<br />

Avastin<br />

prostate Ca (EU)<br />

Avastin+Herceptin<br />

mBC 1st line (EU)<br />

HCV pol.inhib. (R1626)<br />

HCV<br />

Avastin<br />

adj. NSCLC (EU)<br />

MabThera+Avastin<br />

aggressive NHL (EU)<br />

Tarceva<br />

adj. NSCLC (EU)<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 post 2011<br />

DBA Oncology<br />

DBA Inflammation<br />

DBA Virology<br />

DBA Metabolic<br />

DBA CNS<br />

Others<br />

Status as of December 31, <strong>2007</strong>.<br />

Xeloda<br />

adj. CC combo oxaliplatin<br />

Avastin<br />

mBC + standard chem (EU)<br />

Herceptin<br />

gastric Ca (EU)<br />

Tarceva<br />

NSCLC 1 st line maint (EU)<br />

Tarceva + Avastin<br />

NSCLC 1 st line maint (EU<br />

Xeloda<br />

adj. BC<br />

pertuzumab (R1273)<br />

HER 2+ BC (EU)<br />

aleglitazar (R1439)<br />

type II diabetes<br />

Unless stated otherwise, submissions will occur in US and EU.<br />

Avastin<br />

HER2- adj. BC (EU)<br />

Avastin<br />

NSCLC squamous (EU)<br />

Tarceva+Avastin<br />

NSCLC 1 st line (EU)<br />

IGF-1R inh huMAb R1507<br />

Ewing’s sarcoma (EU)<br />

pertuzumab (R1273)<br />

early BC (EU)<br />

CERA (R744 )<br />

cancer anaemia<br />

45<br />

PNP inhibitor (R3421)<br />

AI/transplant<br />

RAR gamma (R667)<br />

emphysema<br />

DPP-IV (3) (R1579)<br />

type II diabetes<br />

CETP inhibitor (R1658)<br />

dyslipidemia<br />

46<br />

23


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Major phase III commitments – large investments<br />

Additional large phase III trials started or starting soon<br />

Avastin mBC<br />

Avastin adjuvant CC<br />

Avastin adjuvant lung<br />

Avastin gastric, NHL<br />

Avastin adjuvant BC<br />

Pertuzumab mBC<br />

Actemra RA<br />

Ocrelizumab RA, lupus<br />

Ocrelizumab MS<br />

CETPi<br />

GLP-1<br />

Other T2D compounds<br />

HCV pipeline<br />

<strong>2007</strong> 2008 2009<br />

Key drivers in place for sustainable growth<br />

Current and projected sources of value creation (phase IIb and III)<br />

ILLUSTRATIVE<br />

Avastin<br />

mCRC,<br />

NSCLC<br />

MabThera<br />

NHL<br />

Herceptin<br />

adjuvant BC<br />

Avastin<br />

mBC<br />

extensions<br />

Actemra<br />

RA<br />

MabThera<br />

RA<br />

Avastin<br />

adjuvant<br />

Tarceva<br />

Colon cancer<br />

1st line maint.<br />

Xeloda<br />

adj. BC<br />

MabThera<br />

CLL<br />

Tarceva+<br />

Avastin<br />

combo 2nd line<br />

GLP-1<br />

T2 diabetes<br />

HPV16<br />

therapeutic<br />

vaccine<br />

Avastin<br />

adjuvant<br />

Avastin Breast cancer<br />

adjuvant<br />

Lung<br />

cancer<br />

Pertuzumab<br />

mBC<br />

CETP<br />

inhibitor<br />

HCV<br />

Polymerase<br />

Inhibitor<br />

Ocrelizumab<br />

Ocrelizumab<br />

MS<br />

RA, lupus<br />

<strong>2007</strong> 2011 2015<br />

47<br />

48<br />

24


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Pharmaceuticals objectives for 2008<br />

A rich clinical news flow ahead<br />

Major clinical data<br />

Filings<br />

Avastin+Tarceva<br />

III 2nd line NSCLC (BETA lung) interim Event-driven<br />

Tarceva<br />

III 1st line NSCLC (SATURN)<br />

H2 2008<br />

MabThera<br />

III SLE (EXPLORER)<br />

H1 2008<br />

CLL 1 Q1 2008<br />

GLP-1<br />

IIb Type 2 diabetes full data<br />

2008<br />

DPP-IV<br />

II Type 2 diabetes<br />

H2 2008<br />

st Compound Phase Indication / data Timing<br />

Avastin III mBC (AVADO) H1 2008<br />

Avastin III mBC (RIBBON-1) H2 2008<br />

MabThera III RA, DMARD-IR Q1 2008<br />

MabThera III PPMS (OLYPMUS) H1 2008<br />

MabThera<br />

III<br />

line ph. III data interim<br />

MabThera<br />

III CLL relapsed ph. III data interim Event-driven<br />

Xeloda III Adjuvant CC (NO16968) interim Event-driven<br />

Actemra III RA (AMBITION, RADIATE) full data 2008<br />

Compound Indication<br />

Avastin mBC (AVADO)<br />

Avastin+Tarceva NSCLC 2nd line (BETA lung)<br />

MabThera RA, DMARD IR, and CLL<br />

Diagnostics Division<br />

Severin Schwan<br />

CEO <strong>Roche</strong> Diagnostics<br />

Divisional sales growth<br />

Above-market excluding<br />

pandemic Tamiflu<br />

barring unforeseen events<br />

49<br />

50<br />

25


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Diagnostics continues solid growth<br />

Driven by new products and strategic acquisitions<br />

Strong operating performance<br />

− Sales growth above market, accelerating during the year<br />

Continued market penetration of new products<br />

− Strong cobas 6000 placements drove market share gains<br />

− New Accu-Chek products restoring Diabetes growth<br />

− Doubled market share in rapidly expanding DNA sequencing market<br />

Strategic transactions enabling entry into new markets<br />

− 454 Life Sciences: Ultra-fast gene sequencing<br />

− NimbleGen Systems: High density microarrays<br />

− BioVeris: ECL IP and expansion into clinical trial testing market<br />

− OCD / Novartis* agreement: Entry into HCV immunochemistry testing<br />

− Ventana: Merger agreement signed<br />

* Ortho-Clinical Diagnostics Inc. and Novartis Vaccines & Diagnostics<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Diagnostics sales by business area<br />

Growth driven by Professional Diagnostics<br />

Sales CHF million<br />

Professional Diagnostics* 3,929 4,294 9 8 14 %<br />

Diabetes Care 3,020 3,216 6 5 11 %<br />

Molecular Diagnostics 1,175 1,148 -2 -2 2 %<br />

Applied Science 623 692 11 11 16 %<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Diagnostics 8,747 9,350 7 6 12 %<br />

* Amalgamation of Centralized Diagnostics and Near Patient Testing<br />

% change in USD<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong> CHF local growth<br />

51<br />

52<br />

26


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Diagnostics half-yearly sales growth<br />

Growth acceleration continued<br />

4 %<br />

4 %<br />

4 %<br />

5 %<br />

5 %<br />

6 %<br />

H1 '05 H2 '05 H1 '06 H2 '06 H1 '07 H2 '07<br />

Growth on local currencies, versus same period prior year<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> is the #1 In Vitro Diagnostics company<br />

19 %<br />

13 %<br />

12 %<br />

Estimated market share <strong>2007</strong>1, 2<br />

10 %<br />

6 %<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Siemens* Abbott J&J Beckman<br />

Coulter<br />

4 %<br />

Becton<br />

Dickinson<br />

1 Source: company reports, Boston Biomedical Consultants and <strong>Roche</strong> analysis based on peer sales YTD Sept <strong>2007</strong><br />

2 in vitro diagnostics market; excludes Life Science research market * Siemens includes Dade (<strong>2007</strong> deal)<br />

3 %<br />

3 %<br />

bioMérieux Bayer<br />

53<br />

54<br />

27


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Diagnostics operating performance<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

CHF million % sales<br />

Sales 9,350 100.0 +603<br />

Royalties & other op inc 186 2.0 +4<br />

Cost of sales -4,241 -45.4 +12<br />

M & D -2,309 -24.7 -214<br />

R & D -787 -8.4 -12<br />

G & A -551 -5.9 -167<br />

Operating profit 1,648 17.6 +226<br />

1 Manufacturing costs of goods sold & period costs<br />

Business Area review<br />

Investing in our future<br />

-2%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

COGS & PC1 : +7 %<br />

1%<br />

<strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

10%<br />

Excl. impairment: +10 %<br />

Administration: +5%<br />

14%<br />

43%<br />

55<br />

56<br />

28


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Professional Diagnostics<br />

Double-digit immunochemistry growth for 7 th consecutive<br />

year<br />

CHF billion<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

+8 % 1<br />

2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Immunochemistry Clinical Chemistry<br />

POC products other<br />

+7 %<br />

+3 %<br />

+13 %<br />

1 local growth * Ortho-Clinical Diagnostics, Inc. and Novartis Vaccines & Diagnostics<br />

Diabetes Care<br />

New product portfolio restoring growth<br />

10%<br />

Accu-Chek<br />

Advantage<br />

Decline<br />

Mature flagship<br />

product<br />

Accu-Chek<br />

Aviva<br />

3%<br />

Accu-Chek<br />

Compact Plus<br />

Growth<br />

Leverage portfolio<br />

3%<br />

Accu-Chek<br />

Performa<br />

Accu-Chek<br />

Spirit<br />

Stabilisation<br />

Rejuvenated portfolio<br />

5%<br />

2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

• Gained market share through strong<br />

instrument placements<br />

– Elecsys 2010, cobas 6000, cobas e 411 systems<br />

• Immunochemistry sales benefiting from new<br />

markers<br />

– NT-proBNP, Trop T, TSH, Vitamin D, MPA<br />

• Clinical Chemistry testing volume increased,<br />

dampened by pricing pressure<br />

• Key transactions to access new markets<br />

– BioVeris acquisition (clinical trials)<br />

– OCD/ Novartis* agreement (HCV)<br />

• Accu-Chek Aviva driving growth in key<br />

markets<br />

• Accu-Chek Compact Plus and Accu-Chek<br />

Active strong contributors<br />

• Accu-Chek Spirit (insulin pump)<br />

continues gaining momentum<br />

• Launched:<br />

– Accu-Chek Performa<br />

– Accu-Chek Compact Plus (new)<br />

– Accu-Chek 360o 57<br />

58<br />

29


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Molecular Diagnostics<br />

Automated platforms supporting virology market share<br />

CHF million<br />

1200<br />

800<br />

400<br />

0<br />

1 local growth<br />

-2 % 1<br />

-1 %<br />

+4 %<br />

2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Virology Blood Screening<br />

Other Industrial Business<br />

Business Area review<br />

Investing in our future<br />

-49 %<br />

• Growth +3 % excluding industrial business,<br />

which declined as guided<br />

• Blood screening:<br />

– Continued up-take cobas s 201 system<br />

& cobas TaqScreen MPX Test in EU<br />

– WNV test for cobas s 201 system FDA<br />

approved<br />

– Contract with Japanese Red Cross<br />

renewed 5 yrs<br />

• Virology benefiting from successful launch of<br />

CAP/CTM HIV Test in the US<br />

59<br />

60<br />

30


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Investing in our future: Closing the gaps<br />

Full range of tissue- and serum/plasma-based Diagnostics<br />

Sequencing<br />

Microarray<br />

Analysis<br />

Real-time PCR<br />

IHC/ISH*<br />

ECL IA**<br />

Research IVD Development IVD Commercial<br />

LightCycler<br />

Applied<br />

Science<br />

AmpliChip<br />

TaqMan<br />

Elecsys<br />

* ImmunoHistoChemistry/In Situ Hybridisation ** ElectroChemiluminescent Label ImmunoAssay<br />

Investing in our future: Ventana*<br />

Closes the gap in tissue-based cancer diagnosis<br />

• Leader in tissue-based diagnostics<br />

– Large installed base in pathology labs<br />

– Strong US presence<br />

• Estimated financials <strong>2007</strong>**<br />

– Revenue `07: USD 296-300 million<br />

– Operating Margin ’07: ~17.5 %<br />

• Located in Tucson, Arizona<br />

– ~1000 employees<br />

* Merger agreement signed<br />

** Source: Ventana Q3 News release, Ventana Q2 Earnings and Future Guidance Presentations<br />

***<br />

*** Merger agreement signed<br />

61<br />

62<br />

31


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Investing in our future: Ventana acquisition*<br />

Deploying capital for the right strategic purposes<br />

Financials:<br />

− Tender offer of USD 89.50 per share (total transaction: USD 3.4 billion)<br />

− Price reflects strategic fit and value of friendly and accelerated integration<br />

− Tender offer set to expire on February 7, 2008, closing of merger expected H1 ‘08<br />

− Strategic flexibility of <strong>Roche</strong> group not affected<br />

Smooth integration expected:<br />

− Chris Gleeson will continue as CEO and will become a member of Diagnostics<br />

Executive Committee<br />

− Ventana to operate as dedicated business under <strong>Roche</strong> Diagnostics umbrella<br />

− Headquarters to remain in Tucson, Arizona<br />

* Merger agreement signed<br />

Investing in our future: Complementary technologies<br />

Complete tissue-based diagnostic capabilities for customers<br />

Testing on Tissue<br />

IHC<br />

protein markers<br />

FISH/CISH/SISH<br />

NA markers<br />

Ventana technology capabilities<br />

Pathologist<br />

Testing after Protein / Nucleic acid Extraction<br />

DNA mutation RNA<br />

expression<br />

via microarray<br />

AmpliChip<br />

RNA expression via<br />

multiple RT-PCR or<br />

mutation detection<br />

LC480<br />

RNA expression via<br />

multiple RT-PCR or<br />

mutation detection<br />

TaqMan<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Diagnostics technology capabilities<br />

Protein expression<br />

via IC system<br />

Elecsys<br />

63<br />

64<br />

32


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Investing in our future: Companion Diagnostics<br />

Strong oncology drug portfolio, combined with diagnostics<br />

capabilities uniquely positions <strong>Roche</strong> to lead in PHC<br />

Late<br />

Development/<br />

Market<br />

Early Development<br />

<strong>Roche</strong><br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Capabilities Ventana Capabilities<br />

Oncology Pipeline PCR Elecsys/ Others<br />

IHC/ ISH<br />

’<br />

Herceptin<br />

Tarceva<br />

MabThera/ Rituxan<br />

Pertuzumab<br />

R7204<br />

R7112<br />

R1507<br />

R7160<br />

R7159<br />

Investing in our future: Personalised healthcare<br />

Strengthening all businesses<br />

Life<br />

Sciences<br />

Strengthen leading<br />

position in Genomics<br />

• Microarrays<br />

• Sequencing<br />

* Merger agreement signed<br />

In Vitro<br />

Diagnostics<br />

Solidify leading<br />

position in diagnostics<br />

•HCV<br />

agreement<br />

•ECL IP<br />

Pharma<br />

Become Pharma’s<br />

“Partner of Choice”<br />

• Interfaces<br />

• Breadth of offering<br />

*<br />

65<br />

Increasing<br />

medical<br />

value<br />

to patients<br />

& physicians<br />

66<br />

33


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Key growth drivers in 2008<br />

Commercialise current assets; prepare market for new drivers<br />

Professional<br />

Diagnostics<br />

Diabetes Care<br />

Molecular<br />

Diagnostics<br />

Applied<br />

Science<br />

• cobas 4000 analyzer series<br />

– cobas e 411 analyzer<br />

• cobas IT 3000 & 1000<br />

• cobas h 232<br />

• cobas h 152 (Accutrend Plus)<br />

• Genome Sequencer FLX<br />

Divisional sales growth<br />

outlook<br />

Key <strong>2007</strong> Launches*<br />

• Accu-Chek Performa<br />

• Accu-Chek Compact Plus (new)<br />

• Accu-Chek 360 0<br />

• cobas s 201 system & WNV Test (US)<br />

• Cobas AmpliPrep/Cobas TaqMan HIV<br />

Test (US)<br />

* Subject to appropriate regulatory approvals; US launch may be later<br />

Group financial results<br />

Dr. Erich Hunziker<br />

Chief Financial Officer<br />

Key 2008 Launches*<br />

• cobas 4000 analyzer series<br />

– cobas c 311 analyzer<br />

• Accu-Chek Inform II<br />

• menu: HCV, RA, sepsis, CMV<br />

• Accu-Chek Aviva Nano<br />

• Accu-Chek Active (new)<br />

• CAP/CTM HCV Test (US)<br />

• cobas TaqScreen MPX (US, J)<br />

• cobas TaqMan 48 HBV Test (US)<br />

• cobas TaqMan 48 CT Test (EU)<br />

• Real-Time Cell Analyser (RTCA)<br />

• XLR-HD for DNA sequencing<br />

• High-density Microarray product line<br />

Above market growth in local currencies<br />

barring unforeseen events<br />

67<br />

68<br />

34


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Strong operating and financial performance<br />

Strong operating results<br />

• Record operating profit of CHF 14.5 billion (+22 % 1 )<br />

Translating operational excellence into bottom line and financial condition<br />

• Core EPS growth twice sales growth<br />

• Financial assets remain conservatively invested<br />

• Tax rate improved<br />

• Increase in net cash and equity ratio<br />

Improved financial disclosure<br />

• New presentation of operating results<br />

• Continued proactive disclosure beyond financial reporting standards<br />

1 in local currencies<br />

Group results <strong>2007</strong><br />

Highest-ever increase in operating margin<br />

directly translated into net income<br />

CHF million<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

% change<br />

CHF local<br />

Sales 42,041 46,133 +10 +10<br />

EBITDA 14,436 17,068 +18 +17<br />

% of sales 34.3 37.0 +2.7 p<br />

Operating profit 11,730 14,468 +23 +22<br />

% of sales 27.9 31.4 +3.5 p<br />

Net financial result 855 834 -2<br />

Taxes -3,436 -3,867 +13<br />

Tax rate in % 27.3 25.3 -2.0 p<br />

Net income 9,171 11,437 +25<br />

% of sales 21.8 24.8 +3.0 p<br />

Core EPS (CHF) 9.86 11.85 +20<br />

EPS (CHF) 9.05 11.16 +23<br />

69<br />

70<br />

35


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Group operating profit <strong>2007</strong><br />

Both divisions contributing<br />

CHF million % of sales<br />

27.9%<br />

11,730<br />

2006<br />

1 at constant exchange rates<br />

31.4%<br />

+22% 1<br />

(+23%)<br />

14,468<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

31.7%<br />

10,545<br />

35.5%<br />

+22% 1<br />

(+24%)<br />

13,042<br />

16.3%<br />

1,422<br />

17.6%<br />

+14%<br />

1,648<br />

1<br />

(+16%)<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Group Pharmaceuticals Diagnostics<br />

Group operating performance <strong>2007</strong><br />

Higher out-licensing income partially off-sets increase in<br />

R&D and G&A<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

CHF million % sales<br />

Sales 46,133 100.0 +4,092<br />

Royalties & other op inc 2,243 4.9 +852<br />

Cost of sales -13,743 -29.8 -458<br />

M & D -9,327 -20.2 -373<br />

R & D -8,385 -18.2 -1,020<br />

G & A -2,453 -5.3 -355<br />

Operating profit 14,468 31.4 +2,738<br />

5%<br />

5%<br />

10%<br />

<strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

16%<br />

19%<br />

22%<br />

66%<br />

71<br />

Administration: +7%<br />

72<br />

36


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Group general and administration <strong>2007</strong><br />

Administration growth below sales growth<br />

Sales 46,133 +4,092<br />

General and administration -2,453 -355<br />

• Administration -2,267 -123<br />

• Legal and environmental settlements -71 -85<br />

• Restructuring expenses -146 -111<br />

• Gains (losses) on disposal of PPE1 16 +2<br />

• Other general items 15 -38<br />

1 PPE: Property, plant and equipment<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

CHF million vs. 06<br />

Net financial income<br />

Stable contribution at very low risk<br />

Financial income (CHF billion)<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Financing costs (CHF billion)<br />

0.0<br />

-0.5<br />

-1.0<br />

-1.5<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

-66%<br />

Net cash (CHF billion)<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

Liquid funds<br />

Debt<br />

<strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

10%<br />

7%<br />

n.a.<br />

19%<br />

6%<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Financial income and financing costs excl. net pension management and also excl. exceptional financial income 2004<br />

324%<br />

Net cash<br />

73<br />

74<br />

37


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong> Group tax rate<br />

Considerable decline mainly driven by <strong>Roche</strong><br />

27.3 %<br />

0.5 % -0.5 %<br />

Mix Profit<br />

before tax<br />

<strong>Roche</strong>/<br />

Genentech/<br />

Chugai<br />

Tax rate<br />

Genentech<br />

41.6 %<br />

→<br />

40.0 %<br />

0.0 %<br />

Tax rate<br />

Chugai<br />

38.9 %<br />

→<br />

38.2 %<br />

-2.0 %<br />

Tax rate<br />

<strong>Roche</strong><br />

18.9 %<br />

→<br />

15.6 %<br />

25.3 %<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Core EPS continued to rise rapidly<br />

CHF<br />

14.0<br />

12.0<br />

10.0<br />

8.0<br />

6.0<br />

4.0<br />

2.0<br />

0.0<br />

4.34<br />

1 Compound <strong>Annual</strong> Growth Rate<br />

Core EPS CAGR 1 ('02 – '07): 22%<br />

4.71<br />

5.87<br />

7.84<br />

9.86<br />

11.85<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

75<br />

76<br />

38


CHF million<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Equity<br />

Increase due to net income<br />

46,814<br />

-3,027<br />

Dividends<br />

1 net of transactions in own equity instruments<br />

11,437<br />

Net<br />

income<br />

-887 761 -1,791<br />

Equity<br />

compensation<br />

plans, net of<br />

share<br />

repurchases<br />

Convertible<br />

debt<br />

instruments 1<br />

Net income<br />

directly<br />

recognised<br />

in equity 2<br />

53,307<br />

equity<br />

+14%<br />

31 Dec 06 31 Dec 07<br />

2 mainly currency translation adjustments<br />

77<br />

Balance sheet<br />

82% long-term financing<br />

CHF billion<br />

Cash and<br />

marketable<br />

securities<br />

Other<br />

current<br />

assets<br />

Non-current<br />

assets<br />

24.3<br />

16.6<br />

33.5<br />

74.4<br />

33 %<br />

22 %<br />

45 %<br />

24.2<br />

18.6<br />

35.3<br />

78.2<br />

31 %<br />

24 %<br />

45 %<br />

Current<br />

liabilities<br />

Non-current<br />

liabilities<br />

Equity<br />

(Net assets)<br />

12.7<br />

14.9<br />

46.8<br />

74.4<br />

17 %<br />

20 %<br />

63 %<br />

14.5<br />

10.4<br />

53.3<br />

78.2<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong> 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Assets<br />

Equity & liabilities<br />

18 %<br />

14 %<br />

68 %<br />

78<br />

39


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Net cash<br />

Increase by CHF 1.2 billion<br />

CHF million 31 December 31 December<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Cash 3,210 3,755<br />

Marketable securities 21,121 20,447<br />

Liquid funds 24,331 24,202<br />

Long-term debt -6,199 -3,834<br />

Short-term debt -2,044 -3,032<br />

Interest-bearing liabilities -8,243 -6,866<br />

Net Cash 16,088 17,336<br />

Committed to continuously increase pay-out ratio<br />

over the next 3 years<br />

CHF Dividend CAGR 1 (’91-’07): 19%<br />

5.00<br />

4.50<br />

4.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07<br />

1 compound annual growth rate<br />

1 Compound <strong>Annual</strong> Growth Rate.<br />

1995 includes centenary bonus. <strong>2007</strong> Dividend: Proposed by the Board of Directors.<br />

79<br />

80<br />

40


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Our objectives for 2008<br />

Sales<br />

• High single digit local currency sales increase for <strong>Roche</strong> Group (excl. Tamiflu pandemic1 )<br />

• Above-market sales growth1 in both divisions<br />

Core EPS<br />

• Core earnings per share target2 at least at record <strong>2007</strong> level despite significant increase in<br />

R&D investment and considerably lower Tamiflu pandemic sales<br />

Shareholder return<br />

• Continuous increase in dividend pay-out ratio over the next 3 years<br />

1 Excluding government and corporate stockpiling orders of Tamiflu for pandemic use<br />

2 At constant exchange rates Barring unforeseen events<br />

r<br />

81<br />

41


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Quarterly local sales growth in %<br />

2006 vs. 2005 <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />

Pharmaceuticals Division 19 19 25 22 20 16 6 5<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Pharma 19 15 25 20 18 13 1 7<br />

Genentech 40 39 33 37 30 26 18 6<br />

Chugai -8 1 2 2 11 2 8 -8<br />

Diagnostics Division 3 5 6 5 6 5 4 8<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Group 15 16 20 18 17 13 6 6<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Pharma sales (vs. 2006)<br />

Top 20 products<br />

Global US Japan Europe/RoW<br />

% % % %<br />

CHF m loc CHF m loc CHF m loc CHF m loc<br />

MabThera/Rituxan 5,516 15 2,851 10 190 3 2,475 23<br />

Herceptin 4,852 23 1,545 4 164 11 3,143 36<br />

Avastin 4,106 41 2,757 32 36 - 1,313 64<br />

NeoRecorm/Epogin 2,094 -7 - - 558 -14 1,536 -4<br />

Tamiflu 2,085 -19 962 10 394 2 729 -46<br />

CellCept 2,012 10 989 10 35 17 988 10<br />

Pegasys 1,637 11 397 -7 65 10 1,175 19<br />

Xeloda 1,151 19 435 19 28 9 688 19<br />

Tarceva 1,062 31 500 4 2 - 560 76<br />

Lucentis 991 117 991 117 - - - -<br />

Bonviva/Boniva 887 85 595 50 - - 292 278<br />

Xenical 632 -10 80 -27 - - 552 -7<br />

Xolair 567 10 567 10 - - - -<br />

Valcyte/Cymevene 542 12 268 8 - - 274 16<br />

Pulmozyme 483 12 267 12 - - 216 11<br />

Nutropin 470 -1 455 -1 - - 15 -3<br />

Kytril 425 -12 138 -26 138 5 149 -11<br />

Neutrogin 405 13 - - 405 13 - -<br />

Rocephin 399 -4 19 -21 58 5 322 -4<br />

Activase/TNKase 382 9 338 12 - - 44 -7<br />

83<br />

84<br />

42


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Pharma local sales growth 1 in %<br />

Global top 20 products<br />

Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07<br />

MabThera/Rituxan 17 17 16 17 12<br />

Herceptin 58 36 25 18 14<br />

Avastin 49 41 39 45 41<br />

NeoRecormon/Epogin -1 -3 -5 -5 -15<br />

Tamiflu 43 47 25 -60 -46<br />

CellCept 7 7 14 4 16<br />

Pegasys 6 15 7 7 14<br />

Xeloda 16 14 18 20 22<br />

Tarceva 71 44 31 28 24<br />

Lucentis - - 1964 31 -9<br />

Boniva 251 132 123 62 63<br />

Xenical 6 -10 -6 -9 -17<br />

Xolair 23 16 13 11 2<br />

Valcyte/Cymevene 30 15 19 9 7<br />

Pulmozyme 11 4 15 14 13<br />

Nutropin 8 5 -2 3 -8<br />

Kytril -10 -16 -18 -11 -3<br />

Neutrogin 7 11 12 15 14<br />

Rocephin -32 -7 -2 -2 -4<br />

Activase/TNKase<br />

1 versus previous year<br />

14 15 20 6 -2<br />

Pharma local sales growth 1 in %<br />

Top 20 products by region<br />

US Japan Europe/RoW<br />

Q1 1 Q2 1 Q3 1 Q4 1 Q1 1 Q2 1 Q3 1 Q4 1 Q1 1 Q2 1 Q3 1 Q4 1<br />

Mabthera/Rituxan 13 12 14 4 1 6 4 2 23 21 23 25<br />

Herceptin 7 3 6 1 23 25 3 0 61 43 26 23<br />

Avastin 34 33 37 23 - - - - 63 52 59 80<br />

NeoRecorm/Epogin - - - - -17 -3 -12 -22 3 -6 -2 -11<br />

Tamiflu -8 196 -71 52 55 -93 48 -58 76 -48 -70 -92<br />

Cellcept 3 18 -1 17 21 14 14 18 10 10 9 14<br />

Pegasys 6 -5 -27 -3 -38 -5 34 53 23 13 22 20<br />

Xeloda 2 23 30 19 3 6 11 14 22 16 15 25<br />

Tarceva 9 -1 1 5 - - - - 125 94 68 47<br />

Lucentis - 1964 31 -9 - - - - - - - -<br />

Boniva 83 77 27 40 - - - - 658 400 278 160<br />

Xenical -24 -8 -30 -46 - - - - -7 -6 -5 -11<br />

Xolair 16 13 11 2 - - - - - - - -<br />

Valcyte/Cymevene 8 20 4 3 - - - - 21 17 15 11<br />

Pulmozyme 6 17 14 10 - - - - 1 13 14 17<br />

Nutropin 5 -2 3 -8 - - - - 0 4 -7 -10<br />

Kytril -28 -36 -28 -10 7 5 8 1 -15 -19 -4 0<br />

Neutrogin - - - - 11 12 15 14 - - - -<br />

Rocephin -34 -7 -13 -32 4 5 11 -1 -5 -2 -4 -3<br />

Activase/TNKase 18 24 6 0 - - - - -6 -4 1 -16<br />

1 <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

86<br />

85<br />

43


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Pharma sales (vs. 2006)<br />

Other launches since January 2003 1<br />

1 other than launches already covered in Top 20<br />

Global US Japan Europe/RoW<br />

CHF % CHF % CHF % CHF %<br />

million loc million loc million loc million loc<br />

Fuzeon 320 3 140 -7 - - 180 13<br />

Copegus 221 6 -4 - 20 - 205 -1<br />

Evista 163 19 - - 163 19 - -<br />

Raptiva 144 15 144 15 - - - -<br />

Renagel 63 6 - - 63 6 - -<br />

Femara 11 216 - - 11 216 - -<br />

Actemra 5 21 - - 5 21 - -<br />

Quarterly local sales growth: 2H 07 affected by lower<br />

Tamiflu sales- strong underlying growth<br />

2006 vs. 2005 <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

Sales growth in % Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />

Pharmaceuticals Division 19 19 25 22 20 16 6 5<br />

excl. pandemic Tamiflu 16 16 19 16 16 14 12 11<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Pharma 19 15 25 20 18 13 1 7<br />

excl. pandemic Tamiflu 15 11 18 14 13 11 10 14<br />

Chugai -8 1 2 2 11 2 8 -8<br />

excl. pandemic Tamiflu -14 0 -5 -11 -7 4 4 4<br />

87<br />

88<br />

44


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Outgrowing the market in all geographies<br />

Local sales growth<br />

Division<br />

Europe<br />

North<br />

America<br />

Latin<br />

America<br />

Japan<br />

Other<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

3%<br />

4%<br />

10%<br />

7%<br />

6%<br />

11%<br />

12%<br />

15%<br />

17%<br />

<strong>Roche</strong><br />

IMS YTD Oct '07<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Pharmaceuticals Division<br />

Sales distribution and growth<br />

Geographies<br />

Japan +3%<br />

Latin<br />

America +6%<br />

North<br />

America +15%<br />

6%<br />

11% 14%<br />

42%<br />

% Key products of total pharmaceutical sales<br />

0%<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Others* +19%<br />

27%<br />

all growth figures are in local currencies * including Eastern Europe<br />

1%<br />

5%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

3%<br />

6%<br />

Western Europe +8%<br />

Boniva<br />

Tarceva<br />

Xeloda<br />

Pegasys<br />

CellCept<br />

NeoRecormon/<br />

Epogin<br />

Avastin<br />

Herceptin<br />

MabThera/<br />

Rituxan<br />

Western Europe<br />

Switzerland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Italy<br />

Spain<br />

UK<br />

other<br />

Western Europe<br />

89<br />

90<br />

45


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

MabThera / Rituxan<br />

Strong double-digit growth continues<br />

CHF billion<br />

6.0<br />

5.0<br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

Global sales<br />

+ 15% 1<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

local growth<br />

Europe/ RoW +23%<br />

Japan +3%<br />

US +10%<br />

• Sales of CHF 5.516 billion<br />

• Oncology:<br />

– US: growth from increased use following 1st line therapy in iNHL - adoption in other areas stable<br />

– Top 5 EU: adoption in relapsed iNHL maintenance use strongly increased (from 16% to 61%) –<br />

adoption rates in other areas flat to slightly increased from already high levels<br />

• RA: increasing adoption in US and EU<br />

– Global RA sales of approx. CHF 500 mn (of which USD 240-260 mn in US)<br />

91<br />

1 local growth<br />

Herceptin<br />

Adjuvant usage keeps increasing in EU/RoW<br />

CHF billion<br />

5.0<br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

• Sales of CHF 4.852 billion<br />

• US market penetration (Q4 ’07)<br />

– adjuvant: approximately 75%<br />

– 1st line metastatic: approx. 70%, stable<br />

• Top 5 EU market penetration (Q4 ’07)<br />

– adjuvant: approx. 70%, up from 40% at YE 2006<br />

– 1st line metastatic: approx. 80%, stable<br />

1 local growth<br />

Global sales<br />

+ 23% 1<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

local growth<br />

Europe/ RoW +36%<br />

Japan +11%<br />

US +4%<br />

92<br />

46


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Attacking the HER2 pathway from multiple angles<br />

Pertuzumab moving forward, Trastuzumab-DM1 in-licensed<br />

Mechanism Specifically targeting First in class HER Binds to HER2 and<br />

HER2<br />

dimerization inhibitor delivers intracellularly<br />

a potent cytotoxic<br />

Inhibits HER2-mediated Inhibits multiple HER- agent in a targeted<br />

signalling<br />

mediated pathways manner<br />

Phase of<br />

development<br />

Efficacy data<br />

Newsflow<br />

Herceptin<br />

Approved for adjuvant<br />

and mBC (HER2+)<br />

Survival benefit<br />

In adjuvant and<br />

metastatic<br />

HER2+ BC<br />

Unprecedented benefit –<br />

standard of care<br />

Pertuzumab<br />

Phase III CLEOPATRA<br />

FPI Q1 2008<br />

18% response rate<br />

39% clinical benefit<br />

rate<br />

Phase II final results<br />

in 2008<br />

Avastin<br />

Four new indications approved in EU<br />

CHF billion<br />

5.0<br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

Global sales<br />

+ 41% 1<br />

2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Trastuzumab-DM1<br />

Phase II FPI Q3 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Promising phase I<br />

data at ASCO <strong>2007</strong><br />

Partnered with<br />

Genentech<br />

• Sales of CHF 4.106 billion<br />

• Penetration rate, 1st line mCRC (major EU markets): approx. 60% of on label market (as of YE<strong>2007</strong>)<br />

• EU mCRC label so far: only approx. 30% of total EU market covered; large growth potential due to<br />

broadening of Avastin EU label to include combo with any chemo in any line of treatment – approved end<br />

of January 2008<br />

• Launch in 1st line mBC and mNSCLC in EU progressing well<br />

• EU approval in mRCC at the end of <strong>2007</strong>: launch in Q1 2008<br />

• Key clinical news flow in 2008: AVADO and RIBBON-1 (1st line mBC)<br />

94<br />

1 local growth<br />

93<br />

local growth<br />

Europe/ RoW +64%<br />

Japan<br />

US +32%<br />

47


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Avastin in adjuvant colon cancer<br />

Key phase III trials fully recruited<br />

Treatment regimen<br />

Number of patients<br />

Recruitment duration<br />

Efficacy analysis<br />

Filing<br />

FOLFOX-6 ± Avastin<br />

2,700<br />

Q3 2004 until Q4 2006<br />

First interim look: Q2 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Subsequently every 6 months<br />

Next interim look: Q2 2008<br />

2010 (or earlier)<br />

Xeloda<br />

Continuously gaining share<br />

CHF billion<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

NSABP C-08<br />

FOLFOX-4 ± Avastin<br />

XELOX + Avastin<br />

3,450<br />

Q4 2004 until Q2 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Event-driven analysis<br />

2010 (or earlier)<br />

AVANT<br />

• Sales of CHF 1.151 billion<br />

• Rollout in EU for gastric cancer (approved in EU in March <strong>2007</strong>)<br />

• Positive 5-year follow-up overall survival data in adjuvant colon cancer (X-ACT study) presented at ECCO<br />

• Xeloda mCRC label extension approval in EU expected early February 2008<br />

1 local growth<br />

Global sales<br />

+ 19% 1<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

95<br />

local growth<br />

Europe/ RoW +19%<br />

Japan +9%<br />

US +19%<br />

96<br />

48


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Tarceva<br />

<strong>Annual</strong> sales of more than CHF 1bn for the first time<br />

CHF billion<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

1 local growth<br />

Global sales<br />

+ 31% 1<br />

2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

• Sales of CHF 1.062 billion<br />

• Market penetration in NSCLC, top 5 EU: 2nd line: 25-30%, 3rd line: approx. 45%<br />

• Successful launch in metastatic pancreatic cancer (EU approval in January <strong>2007</strong>)<br />

Avastin<br />

Maximizing a key asset<br />

Main Indication<br />

Study name Status<br />

mCRC 2nd line, after progression on<br />

1st line Avastin<br />

SWOG S0600 Initiated Q2‘07<br />

local growth<br />

Europe/ RoW + 76%<br />

Japan<br />

US +4%<br />

Adjuvant CC Stage II high risk / stage III AVANT Recruitment completed Q2‘07<br />

Stage II high risk / stage III NSABP C-08 Recruitment completed Q4‘06<br />

Stage II<br />

E5202 Initiated Q3‘05<br />

Adj. rectal Cancer Stage II / stage III<br />

E5204 Initiated Q1‘06<br />

Met. Gastric cancer AVAGAST Initiated Q3 <strong>2007</strong><br />

RCC 1st line<br />

AVOREN Approved EU; US filing Q3’08<br />

1st line<br />

CALGB 90206 Topline PFS data to be<br />

submitted in US filing<br />

Pancreatic Cancer 1st line (with Tarceva) AVITA Did not meet primary endpoint<br />

Ovarian Cancer GOG 218 Initiated Q3‘05<br />

1st line<br />

1st line<br />

Relapsed<br />

ICON-7 Initiated Q4‘06<br />

GOG 213 Initiated Q4’07<br />

Prostate Cancer 1st line, hormone refractory CALGB 90401 Initiated Q2’05, enrollment<br />

completed Q4 <strong>2007</strong><br />

97<br />

98<br />

49


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Avastin<br />

Maximizing a key asset<br />

Main Indication<br />

Study name Status<br />

NHL aggressive 1st line, R-CHOP+/-Avastin MAIN<br />

Initiated in Q3‘07<br />

NSCLC 1st line non-sq. (with Tarceva) ATLAS Init. Q4’05, expect to compl. H1’08<br />

2nd line (with Tarceva) BETA Lung Init. Q2’05, expect to compl. H2’08<br />

1st line squamous BRIDGE (pilot study) Init. Q2’06, expect to compl. H1’08<br />

1st or 2nd line non-squamous<br />

previously treated CNS mets<br />

PASSPORT Init. Q1’06, expect to compl. Q2’08<br />

Adjuvant NSCLC Stage IB-IIIA, sq. + non-sq. ECOG 1505<br />

Initiated Q3‘07<br />

mBC 1st line HER2-negative AVADO Recruitment completed Q2‘07<br />

1st line HER2-negative RIBBON-1 Recruitment completed Q3‘07<br />

2nd line HER2-negative RIBBON-2 Initiated Q1‘06<br />

1st line HER2-pos. (with<br />

Herceptin)<br />

AVEREL Initiated Q3‘06<br />

Adjuvant BC HER2-negative E2104 Safety data pres. at SABCS ‘07<br />

HER2-negative E5103<br />

Initiated Q4‘07<br />

HER2-negative, ER-/PR-neg. BEATRICE Initiated Q4‘07<br />

HER2-positive (with Herceptin) BETH In preparation<br />

Glioblastoma 2nd/3rd line BRAIN Data presented Q4‘07<br />

Herceptin and pertuzumab<br />

Further strengthening our position in HER2-positive BC<br />

Main Indication<br />

HERCEPTIN<br />

Study name Status<br />

Gastric cancer ToGA Initiated Q3’05, final analysis<br />

2009, event-driven<br />

Adjuvant BC 1 year vs. 2 years treatment HERA event-driven - Interim analysis<br />

2008/’09 with potential for results<br />

on optimal treatment duration<br />

PERTUZUMAB<br />

mBC HER2+, 1st line Combo with Herceptin+<br />

docetaxel<br />

ph. III (CLEOPATRA) To start Q1’08<br />

mBC HER2+, 2nd line Combo with Herceptin <strong>Roche</strong> phase II Ongoing – positive stage 1<br />

data at ASCO ’07, final data ‘08<br />

Ovarian cancer<br />

platinum-sensitive<br />

Ovarian cancer<br />

platinum-resistant<br />

Combo with chemotherapy phase II (BO17931) results in Q1’08<br />

Combo with gemcitabine<br />

phase II (TOC3258g)<br />

Genentech study<br />

99<br />

Data presented at ASCO and<br />

ECCO <strong>2007</strong><br />

100<br />

50


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Xeloda / Tarceva / MabThera<br />

Expanding to new indications and combinations<br />

Main Indication<br />

XELODA<br />

Study name Status<br />

Adjuvant CC Combo with Avastin<br />

AVANT Recruitment completed Q2‘07<br />

XELOX vs. 5FU/LV<br />

NO16968 Recruitment completed, final<br />

analysis event driven (’08/’09)<br />

Adjuvant BC<br />

TARCEVA<br />

AC -> T vs. AC -> TX NO17629 Recruitment completed in<br />

Jan ‘06, final analysis event driven<br />

NSCLC 1st l. maint. Combo with chemotherapy SATURN<br />

Init. Q4’05, expect to compl. H1’08<br />

Combo with Avastin<br />

ATLAS<br />

Init. Q4’05, expect to compl. H1’08<br />

NSCLC 2nd line Combo with Avastin<br />

BETA Lung<br />

Init. Q2’05, expect to compl. H2’08<br />

Adjuvant NSCLC RADIANT<br />

Initiated Q3‘06<br />

MABTHERA<br />

NHL1st line maint. After MabThera induction PRIMA Recruitment completed Q1’07,<br />

final data expected in H1’10<br />

CLL 1st line ML17102<br />

Met primary endpoint<br />

CLL relapsed REACH<br />

Recruitment completed Q3’07,<br />

final data expected in H2’09<br />

101<br />

Actemra<br />

Broadly investigated in all RA segments<br />

Main Indication Study name Status<br />

Rheumatoid Arthritis MTX–IR<br />

OPTION Presented at EULAR <strong>2007</strong><br />

DMARD–IR TOWARD<br />

Presented at ACR <strong>2007</strong><br />

IR = inadequate responders<br />

MTX-naive (monotherapy)<br />

AMBITION<br />

Topline data positive<br />

Anti-TNF IR RADIATE<br />

Topline data positive<br />

MTX–IR<br />

Prevention of structural<br />

damage<br />

LITHE Recruitment completed,<br />

2 yrs study<br />

102<br />

51


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Actemra<br />

Potential to become a significant new RA treatment<br />

Large international phase III program<br />

• First-in-class agent<br />

• 5 registration trials (>4,000 patients)<br />

• Mono and combo therapy<br />

• Patient populations studied:<br />

– MTX inadequate responders<br />

– DMARD inadequate responders<br />

– Anti-TNFα inadequate responders<br />

– MTX-naïve patients<br />

Filed in US and EU in Q4 <strong>2007</strong><br />

• First 4 trials all met primary endpoint<br />

– Strong efficacy seen in MTX and<br />

DMARD IR (OPTION and TOWARD)<br />

– Superior to MTX as monotherapy<br />

(AMBITION)<br />

– Met primary endpoint in a-TNF-IR<br />

(RADIATE)<br />

• Generally well tolerated<br />

MabThera / ocrelizumab anti-CD-20 pipeline<br />

Major indications in phase III development<br />

Main Indication<br />

Rheumatoid Arthritis<br />

Study name Status<br />

MABTHERA MTX–IR<br />

Phase III SERENE Met primary endpoint<br />

MTX–IR dose escalation<br />

retreatment<br />

Phase III MIRROR Recruitment completed<br />

Anti-TNF–IR<br />

Phase III SUNRISE Met endpoint Q4’07<br />

MTX-naive, radiographic study Phase III IMAGE Recruitment completed Q4’07<br />

Combo with Enbrel Phase II TAME<br />

Initiated Q2‘06<br />

OCRELIZUMAB MTX–IR<br />

Phase III STAGE Initiated Q4‘06<br />

Anti-TNF IR<br />

Phase III SCRIPT Initiated Q2‘07<br />

MTX–naive; X-ray study Phase III FILM<br />

Initiated Q2‘07<br />

Anca ass. vasculitis<br />

MABTHERA RAVE Initiated Q4‘04<br />

Lupus nephritis<br />

MABTHERA Phase III LUNAR Enrollment completed Q1‘08<br />

OCRELIZUMAB Phase III BELONG To initiate Q1‘08<br />

IR = inadequate responders<br />

104<br />

103<br />

52


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

MabThera / ocrelizumab anti-CD-20 pipeline<br />

Major indications in phase III development<br />

Main Indication<br />

Syst. Lupus erythem.<br />

Study name Status<br />

MABTHERA Phase II / III EXPLORER <strong>Results</strong> expected H1’08<br />

OCRELIZUMAB Phase III BEGIN Initiated Q4’07<br />

Multiple Sclerosis<br />

MABTHERA PPMS<br />

OLYMPUS Recruitment completed Q4’05,<br />

results expected H1’08<br />

RRMS<br />

HERMES Met primary endpoint,<br />

data presented at AAN <strong>2007</strong><br />

OCRELIZUMAB RRMS<br />

Phase II Expected to initiate in H1’08<br />

Metabolic and vascular diseases<br />

Major decision points in <strong>2007</strong> and 2008<br />

Main Indication Status<br />

Type 2 Diabetes<br />

R1583 (GLP-1) Phase II<br />

Presented at ADA 2006<br />

Phase II sustained release formulation<br />

First data in - encouraging<br />

R1439 (PPAR αγ) Phase II<br />

Data in 2008<br />

R1579 (DPP IV-3) Phase II<br />

Data in 2008<br />

R1511 (GK 3) Phase I<br />

Ongoing<br />

Dyslipidemia<br />

R1658 (JTT-705) Phase II<br />

Encouraging data,<br />

plans to enter phase III<br />

105<br />

106<br />

53


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> key therapeutic areas<br />

Current and future pillars of growth<br />

Oncology<br />

Xeloda<br />

MabThera<br />

Herceptin<br />

Avastin<br />

Tarceva<br />

Pertuzumab<br />

R1507 (IGF-1R mAb)<br />

Apomab<br />

Apo2L/TRAIL<br />

14 phase I compounds<br />

On Hand<br />

RA/Autoimmune<br />

MabThera<br />

Actemra<br />

R1594 ocrelizumab<br />

PNP inhibitor<br />

7 phase I compounds<br />

Metabolic<br />

R1583 GLP-1<br />

R1658 CETP Inh.<br />

R1439 dual PPAR<br />

R1579 DPP-IV<br />

6 phase I compounds<br />

Promising Late<br />

Stage<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> R&D pipeline today<br />

phase I - (34 NMEs + 1 AI)<br />

phase II - (19 NMEs + 12 AIs)<br />

Virology<br />

Tamiflu<br />

Pegasys<br />

R3484 HPV16<br />

R1626 HCV pol. Inh.<br />

R7128 HCV pol. Inh.<br />

R7227 HCV prot. inh.<br />

Emerging<br />

Mid-Term<br />

phase III - (2 NMEs + 40 AIs)<br />

CNS<br />

4 phase I compounds<br />

Early<br />

Stage<br />

107<br />

Registration - (2 NMEs + 5 AIs)<br />

R435<br />

Avastin - NSCLC squamous<br />

R435<br />

Avastin - NSCLC mCNS treat.<br />

R1273<br />

R1415+R435 Tarceva + Avastin –NSCLC1<br />

R1507<br />

R3502<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

ARQ<br />

R667<br />

NME<br />

R3421<br />

Additional Indication<br />

ISO<br />

R1626<br />

R3484<br />

R1439<br />

R1579<br />

R1658<br />

R1594<br />

DBA Oncology<br />

DBA Inflammation<br />

DBA Virology<br />

DBA Metabolic<br />

DBA CNS<br />

Others<br />

MEM<br />

R744<br />

CHU<br />

R-No. <strong>Roche</strong> managed<br />

GEN Genentech managed<br />

CHU Chugai managed<br />

ARQ ArQule opt-in<br />

BTI BioTie opt-in<br />

MEM Memory opt-in<br />

ISO Isotechnika opt-in<br />

108<br />

st R547<br />

solid tumors<br />

MabThera –CLL1<br />

R1530<br />

solid tumors<br />

R4733<br />

solid tumors<br />

R7112<br />

oncology R1273 pertuzumab – EBC HER2+<br />

R7159<br />

NHL<br />

pertuzumab – ovarian cancer<br />

R7204<br />

malignant melanoma<br />

line<br />

GEN<br />

anti-cMET – cancer therapy<br />

Ewing‘s sarcoma<br />

GEN<br />

hedgehog ant. – solid tumors<br />

T-DM1 - mBC<br />

GEN<br />

anti-CD20 3rd gen. – hem. malig.<br />

CD40 Ab – diff. large B Cell lymph.<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

IAP ant. – cancer therapy<br />

MEK inh. – cancer therapy<br />

ABT-263–solid tumors & hem. malig.<br />

Apomab -sarcoma<br />

Apomab -cancer<br />

Apo2L/TRAIL - cancer<br />

GEN CD40 Ab – NHL/MM/rel.large B-CL<br />

ABT-869–solid tumors<br />

CHU<br />

CRC<br />

Avastin – glioblastoma recurr.<br />

R1646<br />

pain<br />

Avastin – extensive SCLC<br />

R1671<br />

asthma<br />

Avastin - relapsed MM<br />

R3477<br />

R7103<br />

autoimmune diseases<br />

COPD<br />

solid tumors<br />

RAR gamma - emphysema<br />

R7277<br />

RA<br />

PNP inh. – AI / transplant<br />

GEN<br />

IFN-alpha Ab - SLE<br />

BTI<br />

VAP-1 – inflammatory diseases<br />

renal transplant<br />

R7128<br />

R7227<br />

CHU<br />

R1511<br />

R1512<br />

R4929<br />

HCV<br />

HCV<br />

HCV<br />

type 2 diabetes<br />

PVD<br />

type 2 diabetes<br />

R1583<br />

HCV pol - HCV<br />

HPV16 – cervical neoplasia<br />

aleglitazar – type 2 diabetes<br />

DPP-IV (3) – type 2 diabetes<br />

GLP1 - type 2 diabetes<br />

CETP inh. - dyslipidemia<br />

ocrelizumab – RRMS<br />

R7201<br />

type 2 diabetes<br />

Alzheimer‘s / schizophrenia<br />

R7232<br />

dyslipidemia<br />

CERA – chemo induced anaemia<br />

R7234<br />

type 2 diabetes<br />

gastroparesis / IBS<br />

R1450<br />

Alzheimer‘s<br />

R1678<br />

schizophrenia<br />

R4996<br />

Alzheimer‘s<br />

Status as of December 31, <strong>2007</strong><br />

st line<br />

MabThera –CLLrelapsed<br />

MabThera –iNHLmaint. 1st line<br />

MabThera + Avastin – NHL aggr.<br />

Xeloda - adj. CC combo oxaliplatin<br />

Xeloda –adj. CC comboAvastin<br />

Xeloda –adj. BC<br />

Avastin -adj. CC<br />

Avastin – pancreatic cancer<br />

Avastin – ovarian cancer 1st line<br />

Avastin - mBC lineadj. combo Taxot. rectal cancer 1st line<br />

Avastin–mBC combo std. chem. 1st l.<br />

Avastin – mBC combo Hercept. 1st R105<br />

R105<br />

R105<br />

R105<br />

R340<br />

R340<br />

R340<br />

R435<br />

R435<br />

Avastin –prostatecancer<br />

R435<br />

R435<br />

R435<br />

R435<br />

R435<br />

. l.<br />

R435<br />

Avastin –adj. NSCLC<br />

R435<br />

Avastin –m. gastriccancer<br />

R435<br />

R597<br />

Avastin – adj. BC HER2-<br />

Herceptin –m. gastric cancer HER2+<br />

Tarceva -NSCLCmaint. 1st line<br />

Tarceva –adj. NSCLC<br />

Tarceva+Avastin–NSCLC maint.1st l.<br />

Tarceva + Avastin – NSCLC2nd line<br />

Avastin – ovarian cancer 2nd line<br />

Avastin –GISTrecurr.<br />

Avastin – adj. rectal cancer<br />

Avastin –mBC2nd Avastin–mCRC 1<br />

R1415<br />

R1415<br />

R1415+R435<br />

R1415+R435<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

line<br />

R99<br />

CellCept – pemphigus vulgaris<br />

R105<br />

MabThera – RA DMARD IR<br />

R1569<br />

Actemra –sJIA<br />

R1594<br />

ocrelizumab -RA<br />

R1594<br />

ocrelizumab -SLE<br />

CHU<br />

ED-71 – osteoporosis<br />

GEN<br />

MabThera – lupus nephritis<br />

GEN<br />

MabThera – ANCA ass. vascul.<br />

GEN<br />

MabThera –SLE<br />

GEN<br />

Xolair – pediatric asthma<br />

R127<br />

Valcyte –CMV extension<br />

GEN<br />

MabThera – PPMS<br />

GEN<br />

TNKase – catheter clearance<br />

GEN<br />

GEN<br />

CHU<br />

Lucentis – diabetic macul. edema<br />

Lucentis – renital vein occlusion<br />

Epogin – chemo induced anaemia<br />

st Xeloda –mCRCcombo1<br />

R435**<br />

combo oxalipl.<br />

R435***<br />

Avastin -RCC<br />

R1569<br />

Actemra -RA<br />

CHU<br />

Antevas – subarach. haemorr.<br />

st line<br />

Xeloda–mCRC combo 2nd line<br />

Avastin –mBCcomboTaxol1st R340*<br />

R340*<br />

R1273 pertuzumab – mBC HER2+<br />

R435<br />

l.<br />

* CPMP positive opinion granted Dec. <strong>2007</strong><br />

** approved in EU end of January 2008<br />

*** approved in EU, US to file in 2008<br />

GEN Raptiva - renal transplant<br />

R1663 anticoagulant<br />

R1295 MS<br />

54


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> managed R&D pipeline - overview<br />

Projects by Disease Biology Area (DBA)<br />

Inflammatory<br />

CNS<br />

25<br />

19<br />

Research Development<br />

Virology<br />

7<br />

92 Projects<br />

23<br />

Oncology<br />

Metabolic<br />

18<br />

Inflammatory<br />

13<br />

CNS<br />

6<br />

Others<br />

1<br />

44<br />

7<br />

Virology<br />

14<br />

Oncology<br />

85 Projects<br />

including 9 in Phase 0<br />

Virology<br />

Assets in development to secure long-term growth<br />

CHF billion <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Europe/RoW US Japan<br />

-8%<br />

10%<br />

37%<br />

54%<br />

+7%<br />

+3%<br />

-16%<br />

Metabolic<br />

109<br />

110<br />

55


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Metabolism/Bone<br />

Boniva drives growth<br />

CHF billion <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

+16%<br />

2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Europe/RoW US Japan<br />

Anemia<br />

NeoRecormon holds ground against competition<br />

20%<br />

43%<br />

37%<br />

+7%<br />

+20%<br />

+19%<br />

CHF billion <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

2004 2005 2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

Europe/ RoW Japan<br />

-7%<br />

36%<br />

64%<br />

-14%<br />

-4%<br />

111<br />

112<br />

56


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Pharmaceuticals<br />

EBITDA and operating profit<br />

CHF million % of sales<br />

1 at constant exchange rates<br />

40.0%<br />

36.5% 35.5%<br />

12,168<br />

+20% 1<br />

(+21%)<br />

14,706<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

31.7%<br />

10,545<br />

+22%<br />

13,042<br />

1<br />

(+24%)<br />

EBITDA Operating Profit<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Diagnostics margins<br />

EBITDA remains well above industry average<br />

CHF million % of sales<br />

1 at constant exchange rates<br />

28.6%<br />

2,500<br />

27.6%<br />

+2% 1<br />

(+3%)<br />

2,580<br />

2006 <strong>2007</strong><br />

16.3%<br />

1,422<br />

17.6%<br />

+14% 1<br />

(+16%)<br />

1,648<br />

EBITDA Operating Profit<br />

113<br />

114<br />

57


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Diagnostics local sales<br />

By Region and Business Area (vs. 2006)<br />

Sales CHF million<br />

Global Nth Am. EMEA RoW<br />

% loc<br />

growth<br />

% loc<br />

growth<br />

% loc<br />

growth<br />

% loc<br />

growth<br />

Professional Diag. 4,294 8 899 5 2,494 6 901 16<br />

Diabetes Care 3,216 5 930 5 1,849 3 437 13<br />

Molecular Diagnostics 1,148 -2 374 -1 480 6 294 -12<br />

Applied Science 692 11 278 15 293 7 121 12<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Diagnostics 9,350 6 2,481 5 5,116 5 1,753 9<br />

Diagnostics quarterly sales and local growth 1<br />

Sales CHF million<br />

Q4 ‘06 Q1 ‘07 Q2 ‘07 Q3 ‘07 Q4 ‘07<br />

% loc<br />

% loc<br />

Professional 1,024 5% 1,017 5% 1,093 8% 1,047 7% 1,137 10%<br />

Diagnostics<br />

Diabetes 844 6% 755 11% 789 3% 768 0% 904 7%<br />

Care*<br />

Molecular 293 -1% 278 -2% 296 -3% 282 -3% 292 1%<br />

Diagnostics*<br />

Applied 171 10% 166 7% 165 12% 167 11% 194 15%<br />

Science*<br />

DIA Division 2,332 5% 2,216 6% 2,343 5% 2,264 4% 2,527 8%<br />

1 2006 vs. 2005 for Q4 ‘06, <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006 for Q1 to Q4 ’07<br />

* service support removed from Business Areas DC, MD & AS and reallocated into Professional Diagnostics<br />

115<br />

% loc % loc % loc<br />

116<br />

58


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Diagnostics sales by region<br />

Strong growth in emerging markets<br />

CHF 9,350 million<br />

2,481<br />

5,116<br />

509<br />

1 Europe, Middle East and Africa<br />

784<br />

411<br />

49<br />

North America 27 %<br />

Latin America 5 %<br />

Asia Pacific 8 %<br />

Japan 4 %<br />

Others 1 %<br />

EMEA 1 55 %<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Dx<br />

North<br />

America<br />

EMEA*<br />

Latin<br />

America<br />

Asia Pacific<br />

Japan<br />

2008: Key planned product launches* (1)<br />

local sales growth<br />

Product BA 1 Indication Region<br />

cobas 4000 analyzer<br />

series<br />

- cobas c 311 analyzer<br />

Immunochemistry<br />

menu<br />

PD Next generation system consolidating clinical chemistry and<br />

immunochemistry testing for small to medium workload laboratories;<br />

software links stand-alone cobas c 311 (clinical chemistry) &<br />

cobas e 411 (immunochemistry) modules with cobas p242 data<br />

manager<br />

PD New assays for a number of important diagnostic uses:<br />

•Elecsys Anti-HCV: Assay for the detection of hepatitis C infection<br />

•Elecsys anti-CCP (anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody),: Assay<br />

for the diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis<br />

•IL-6 (interleukin-6): Immunoassay to aid in management of critically<br />

ill patients as early indicator for acute inflammation and to monitor<br />

course of disease<br />

•Procalcitonin: immunoassay to aid in early detection and monitoring<br />

of sepsis<br />

•Elecsys Anti-CMV IgG and Anti-CMV IgM: For the detection of<br />

cytomegalovirus infection<br />

2%<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

5%<br />

Global<br />

Accu-Chek Inform II PD First wireless enabled hospital blood glucose meter Global<br />

1 Business Areas: Professional Diagnostics (PD)<br />

* Subject to appropriate regulatory approvals; US launches may be later than indicated<br />

19%<br />

18%<br />

117<br />

Global/ EU<br />

118<br />

59


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

2008: Key planned product launches* (2)<br />

Product BA1 Indication Region<br />

Cobas TaqMan 48 HBV<br />

Test<br />

MD Automated, real-time PCR test for monitoring hepatitis B viral load US<br />

Cobas AmpliPrep/ Cobas<br />

TaqMan HCV Test<br />

cobas TaqScreen MPX<br />

Test<br />

Cobas TaqMan 48 CT Test<br />

MD Real-time PCR quantification of HCV viral levels on fully automated Cobas<br />

AmpliPrep/Cobas TaqMan systems<br />

MD Screens donated blood for major viruses (HIV-1, HIV-2, hepatitis B, and<br />

hepatitis C) in a single assay . Will run on automated cobas s 201 system<br />

in US and on automated, fully integrated cobas s 401 system in Japan<br />

MD<br />

New version of an automated, real-time PCR test for Chlamydia<br />

trachomatis; also detects the new Swedish CT strain<br />

US<br />

US, Japan<br />

Accu-Chek Aviva Nano DC Enhanced portability by reduced size, combined with an attractive design<br />

and improved features<br />

Global<br />

Accu-Chek Active (new) DC Proven performance with additional features in a handy modern design Global<br />

Real-Time Cell Analyser<br />

(RTCA)<br />

XLR-HD<br />

AS Enables for precise online measurement of cell activities without labelling<br />

DNA sequencing kit enabling increased read lengths and higher<br />

throughputs per plate<br />

1 Business Areas: Applied Science (AS), Molecular Diagnostics (MD), Diabetes Care (DC)<br />

* Subject to appropriate regulatory approvals; US launches may be later than indicated<br />

Group performance <strong>2007</strong><br />

Strong sales growth drives bottom line growth<br />

EU<br />

Global<br />

Change<br />

CHF million 2006 <strong>2007</strong> CHF million % loc %<br />

Sales 42,041 46,133 +4,092 +10 +10<br />

Operating profit 11,730 14,468 +2,738 +23 +22<br />

as % of sales 27.9 31.4<br />

Associated companies 2 2 - -<br />

Financial income 1,829 1,805 -24 -1<br />

Financing costs -974 -971 +3 0<br />

Profit before taxes 12,587 15,304 2,717 +22<br />

Income taxes -3,436 -3,867 -431 +13<br />

Tax rate in % 27.3 25.3<br />

Profit from continuing businesses 9,151 11,437 +2,286 +25<br />

as % of sales 21.8 24.8<br />

Profit from discontinued businesses 20 - -20 -100<br />

Net income 9,171 11,437 +2,266 +25<br />

as % of sales 21.8 24.8<br />

Attributable to <strong>Roche</strong> shareholders 7,880 9,761 +1,881 +24<br />

Minority interests 1,291 1,676 +385 +30<br />

119<br />

120<br />

60


1.31<br />

1.27<br />

1.23<br />

1.19<br />

1.15<br />

1.11<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong> and 2006<br />

CHF / USD<br />

1.35<br />

1.31<br />

1.27<br />

1.23<br />

1.19<br />

1.15<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

-5%<br />

2006<br />

Monthly averages<br />

Year-To-Date averages<br />

2006<br />

-3% -3% -4%<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

<strong>2007</strong> and 2006<br />

Average monthly CHF / USD<br />

1.31<br />

1.29<br />

1.27<br />

1.25<br />

1.23<br />

1.21<br />

1.19<br />

1.17<br />

1.15<br />

1.13<br />

average 2006<br />

average <strong>2007</strong><br />

monthly avg 2006<br />

monthly avg <strong>2007</strong><br />

1.11<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

122<br />

-4%<br />

121<br />

61


1.68<br />

1.66<br />

1.64<br />

1.62<br />

1.60<br />

1.58<br />

1.56<br />

1.54<br />

1.68<br />

1.66<br />

1.64<br />

1.62<br />

1.60<br />

1.58<br />

1.56<br />

1.54<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong> and 2006<br />

CHF / EUR<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

+4%<br />

2006<br />

2006<br />

Monthly averages<br />

Year-To-Date averages<br />

+5% +5%<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

<strong>2007</strong> and 2006<br />

Average monthly CHF / EUR<br />

1.68<br />

1.67<br />

1.66<br />

1.65<br />

1.64<br />

average <strong>2007</strong><br />

1.63 monthly avg <strong>2007</strong><br />

1.62<br />

1.61<br />

1.60<br />

1.59<br />

+4%<br />

1.58<br />

1.57<br />

1.56<br />

average 2006<br />

1.55<br />

1.54<br />

monthly avg 2006<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

124<br />

+4%<br />

123<br />

62


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong> and 2006<br />

Average exchange rates<br />

YTD YTD YTD 12 07 vs. YTD 12 06<br />

12 07 12 06<br />

EUR 1.64 1.57<br />

USD 1.20 1.25<br />

JPY 1.02 1.08<br />

17.4 %<br />

15.6 % 15.4 % 15.0 %<br />

-6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6%<br />

125<br />

Exchange rate impact on sales<br />

Stronger EUR almost compensates weaker USD and JPY<br />

Development of<br />

average exchange rates versus prior year period<br />

CHF / EUR +3.7 % +4.5 % +4.5 % +4.4 %<br />

CHF / USD -4.8 % -3.4 % -3.2 % -4.2 %<br />

CHF / JPY -6.8 % -6.9 % -6.1 % -5.4 %<br />

Difference<br />

in CHF / local -1.8 %pt -0.4 %pt -0.1 %pt -0.5 %pt<br />

growth<br />

Sales<br />

growth<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

vs. 2006<br />

local<br />

growth<br />

CHF<br />

growth<br />

12.0 % 11.9 %<br />

10.2 %<br />

Q1 H1 YTD 9 FY<br />

9.7 %<br />

126<br />

63


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Exchange rate impact on sales<br />

Stronger EUR compensates weaker USD & JPY in Q2 & Q3<br />

Development of<br />

average exchange rates versus prior year period<br />

CHF / EUR +3.7 % +5.4 % +4.5 % +4.2 %<br />

CHF / USD -4.8 % -1.8 % -3.0 % -7.2 %<br />

CHF / JPY -6.8 % -6.9 % -4.4 % -3.4 %<br />

Difference<br />

in CHF / local -1.8 %pt +1.1 %pt +0.5 %pt -1.7 %pt<br />

growth<br />

Sales<br />

growth<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

vs. 2006<br />

17.4 %<br />

15.6 %<br />

local<br />

growth<br />

CHF<br />

growth<br />

14.5 %<br />

13.4 %<br />

5.6 % 6.1 % 5.7 %<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />

Exchange rate impact on sales growth<br />

Stronger EUR compensates for weaker USD and JPY<br />

Local<br />

sales<br />

growth<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

vs.<br />

2006<br />

10.2%<br />

1.3 %<br />

0.4 %<br />

0.1 %<br />

0.0 %<br />

-1.8 %<br />

-0.5 %<br />

0.0 %<br />

EUR Other AS-PAC LAT-AM USD JPY CAD<br />

9.7%<br />

4.0 %<br />

127<br />

CHF<br />

sales<br />

growth<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

vs.<br />

2006<br />

128<br />

64


15.4 %<br />

<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Currency impact<br />

Difference in CHF / local growth<br />

-0.4 %pt -0.5 %pt<br />

local<br />

growth<br />

15.0 %<br />

CHF<br />

growth<br />

10.2 %<br />

9.7 %<br />

H1 FY<br />

Sales growth <strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

CHF 0.01 change against USD / EURO<br />

/ JPY effect on<br />

Sales<br />

CHF 144 m<br />

CHF 77 m<br />

CHF 37 m<br />

Currency<br />

USD<br />

EUR<br />

JPY<br />

• USD 1 = CHF 1.20 ± CHF 0.01<br />

• EUR 1 = CHF 1.64 ± CHF 0.01<br />

• JPY 100 = CHF 1.02 ± CHF 0.01<br />

Currency sensitivities (order of magnitude) are based on business / product mix composition of <strong>2007</strong><br />

Group royalties and other operating income <strong>2007</strong><br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

CHF million vs. 06<br />

Royalties & other op income 2,243 +852<br />

• Royalty income 1,202 +218<br />

• Income from<br />

out-licensing arrangements 777 +402<br />

• Income from disposal of<br />

products and other 264 +232<br />

26%<br />

<strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

66%<br />

115%<br />

Operating<br />

profit<br />

CHF 29 m<br />

CHF 37 m<br />

CHF 15 m<br />

727%<br />

129<br />

130<br />

65


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Group cost of sales <strong>2007</strong><br />

Increase in collaboration expenses almost compensated<br />

by absence of impairments<br />

Sales 46,133 +4,092<br />

Cost of sales -13,743 -458<br />

• Manufacturing COGS1 /period costs -8,737 -420<br />

• Royalty expenses -2,304 -12<br />

• Collaboration and profit sharing agreements -1,755 -209<br />

• Amortisation of product intangibles -942 -1<br />

• Impairment of property, plant & equipment -5 +66<br />

• Impairment of product intangibles 0 +118<br />

Gross profit margin 81.1 % +0.9 %p<br />

1 Cost of goods sold<br />

Net cash 31 December <strong>2007</strong><br />

Increase by CHF 1.2 bn<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

CHF million vs. 06<br />

-93%<br />

-100%<br />

<strong>2007</strong> vs. 2006<br />

local growth<br />

CHF million 31 December 2006 31 December <strong>2007</strong><br />

<strong>Roche</strong> GNE Chu Total <strong>Roche</strong> GNE Chu Total<br />

Cash 1,003 1,527 680 3,210 1,869 1,157 729 3,755<br />

Marketable securities 16,891 3,312 918 21,121 14,496 5,209 742 20,447<br />

Liquid funds 17,894 4,839 1,598 24,331 16,365 6,366 1,471 24,202<br />

Long-term debt -3,549 -2,648 -2 -6,199 -1,270 -2,564 - -3,834<br />

Short-term debt -2,044 - - -2,044 -2,357 -675 - -3,032<br />

Interest-bearing liabilities -5,593 -2,648 -2 -8,243 -3,627 -3,239 - -6,866<br />

Net cash 12,301 2,191 1,596 16,088 12,738 3,127 1,471 17,336<br />

Net cash increase <strong>Roche</strong> CHF +437 m<br />

Genentech CHF +936 m Group CHF +1,248 m<br />

Chugai CHF -125 m<br />

5%<br />

10%<br />

6%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

18%<br />

131<br />

132<br />

66


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

Net financial income <strong>2007</strong><br />

Higher interest income almost compensates net<br />

exchange losses and lower equity security income<br />

CHF m<br />

+<br />

2,000<br />

1,600<br />

1,200<br />

800<br />

400<br />

0<br />

-400<br />

-800<br />

Expected Return on<br />

Pension Plan Assets<br />

Interest Income &<br />

Debt Securities Income<br />

Equity Income<br />

Interest Expense<br />

Amortisation of Debt Discounts<br />

Time Cost of Provisions<br />

Interest Cost of<br />

Pension Plans<br />

Expected Return on<br />

Pension Plan Assets<br />

Interest Income &<br />

Debt Securities Income<br />

Equity Income<br />

Interest Expense<br />

Time Cost of Provisions<br />

Fx loss<br />

Interest Cost of<br />

Pension Plans<br />

-1,200<br />

-<br />

Net financial income<br />

2006<br />

855<br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

834<br />

Net treasury management 790 776<br />

Net pension management 65 58<br />

Net financial income <strong>2007</strong><br />

Higher interest income almost compensates net<br />

exchange losses and lower equity security income<br />

Change<br />

CHF million 2006 <strong>2007</strong> CHF million %<br />

Net financial income 855 834 -21 -2<br />

Financial income 1,829 1,805 -24 -1<br />

Equity security income 390 313 -77 -20<br />

Interest & debt security income 780 1,001 +221 +28<br />

Expected return on pension plan assets 636 670 +34 +5<br />

Net foreign exchange gains (losses) -24 -153 -129 +538<br />

Net other 47 -26 -73 -<br />

Financing costs -974 -971 +3 0<br />

Interest expense -315 -281 +34 -11<br />

Amortisation of discount debt instruments -40 -8 +32 -80<br />

Net gains (losses) interest rate derivatives -25 -2 +23 -92<br />

Net gains (losses) fin liabs at fair value P&L 51 1 -50 -98<br />

Time cost of provisions -74 -69 +5 -7<br />

Interest cost of pension plans -571 -612 -41 +7<br />

133<br />

134<br />

67


<strong>Roche</strong> Full Year <strong>Results</strong> <strong>2007</strong><br />

January 30, 2008<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Profit expansion driven by operating and tax lines<br />

CHF growth in %<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

9.7<br />

13.6<br />

23.3<br />

1.7<br />

25.0<br />

-3.1<br />

-1.2<br />

20.7<br />

-0.5<br />

20.2<br />

Sales Operating Operating Net Profit Amorti- Minorities Core net Dilution/ Core<br />

cost profit financial continuing sation/ income number of EPS<br />

before income businesses Impair- shares<br />

exceptional and before ment<br />

items taxes exceptional<br />

135<br />

items<br />

<strong>2007</strong>: Disclosure further improved<br />

New presentation of operating results (alliances and collaborations etc.)<br />

- More accurate assessment of sustainable earnings capacity<br />

- Improved comparability with other healthcare companies<br />

Expanded disclosures<br />

- Breakdown of Cost of Sales, R&D and G&A for Pharma and Diagnostics (proactive)<br />

- Impairments, commitments (proactive)<br />

- Financial risk management (IFRS 7)<br />

- Executive remuneration and shareholdings (new Swiss legal requirement)<br />

Internal Control over Financial Reporting<br />

- Risk-focused internal control approach (similar to new US regulations, AS5)<br />

- Management report and external audit opinion on effectiveness<br />

136<br />

68

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