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WWW.DAY.KIEV.UA<br />

DAY AFTER DAY No.1 JANUARY 16, 2018 3<br />

agreement on 11 million migrants.<br />

This is the most powerful agreement<br />

that can be achieved. There<br />

is still no certainty that this will<br />

happen, but it is a realistic<br />

prospect now. And this is so serious<br />

that we are seeing changes in<br />

the positions of the conservatives,<br />

in their approaches to this issue,<br />

there are some disappointments.<br />

For example, most likely, Steve<br />

Bannon’s strong career is over, as<br />

he has been removed from an editorial<br />

position in his Breitbart<br />

News magazine. In general, all<br />

these events indicate that the US<br />

government is looking for new solutions<br />

to domestic policy issues;<br />

it now needs to achieve some positive<br />

results, and the situation is<br />

being used by both parties to address<br />

issues that have been pressing<br />

over recent years. It must be<br />

understood that this is happening<br />

in America, a nation of immigrants.<br />

That is, this issue is of<br />

great concern to many.”<br />

US media have started to discuss<br />

possible presidential ambitions<br />

of TV host Oprah Winfrey. In<br />

addition, the White House has<br />

confirmed that president Trump<br />

will take part in the 2020 presidential<br />

election. What does such<br />

news mean?<br />

“Of course, 2020 is still a long<br />

way off. However, Winfrey’s<br />

speeches touch upon the most<br />

pressing issues on America’s agenda,<br />

including sexual harassment,<br />

support for the feminist movement,<br />

and protests against racial<br />

discrimination, as she is African<br />

American. She embodies those political<br />

issues that are now the talk<br />

of the country.<br />

“Particular attention is also<br />

drawn to this issue due to the fact<br />

that, although the presidential<br />

election will take place in 2020, the<br />

midterm congressional election<br />

will occur in 2018. Both parties<br />

will compete to shape the political<br />

agenda for the midterm election.<br />

They are looking for leaders who<br />

will be able to help them achieve<br />

positive results. For the Democrats,<br />

this is a moment when they<br />

can reform and tune in for a new<br />

leader.”<br />

journalism in Ukraine. Perhaps it is<br />

not good enough for such a great<br />

country as ours. But it did and does<br />

exist. It comes with uneven quality<br />

and quantity, but it does exist due to<br />

the fact that there are true authorities<br />

who learn themselves and teach<br />

others,” she said. According to the<br />

editor-in-chief, the publication of<br />

Den’s Library books – Two Rus’es;<br />

Wars and Peace, or Ukrainians and<br />

Poles: Brothers/Enemies, Neighbors;<br />

The Power of the Soft Sign; Return<br />

to Tsarhorod; My Sister Sofia... – “all<br />

hold the perimeter of our international<br />

relations.” “Instead of the<br />

state and the ‘grant society,’ it is us<br />

who do something that then comes to<br />

define a new cultural policy in<br />

20 years,” Ivshyna emphasized.<br />

“Creative and professional atmosphere<br />

prevalent in the newspaper<br />

Den is an incentive for highquality<br />

international journalism,”<br />

Mykola Siruk noted in turn.<br />

The Ukrainian Prism Foreign<br />

Policy Council is a network of nongovernmental<br />

think-tanks whose<br />

purpose is to participate in the establishment<br />

of democratic foundations<br />

for the development and implementation<br />

of foreign and security<br />

policies by state authorities of<br />

Ukraine, implementation of international<br />

and national projects and<br />

programs aimed at improving foreign<br />

policy analysis and expertise,<br />

and strengthening the participation<br />

of the expert community in the decision-making<br />

process in the fields<br />

of foreign policy, international relations,<br />

and public diplomacy.<br />

By Natalia PUSHKARUK, The Day<br />

The Polish government saw a<br />

sweeping reshuffle recently.<br />

As Prime Minister Beata<br />

Szydlo resigned on December<br />

7, Mateusz Morawiecki<br />

was appointed to this office. He has<br />

decided only now to make changes in<br />

the Polish Cabinet of Ministers.<br />

Gazeta Wyborcza has published<br />

the new Cabinet lineup. In particular,<br />

Poland’s Ministry of Foreign<br />

Affairs is now headed by Jacek Czaputowicz,<br />

until recently a deputy<br />

minister. He replaced Witold<br />

Waszczykowski who went on record<br />

as making many harsh statements<br />

about Ukraine. Mariusz Blaszczak<br />

and Joachim Brudzinski became<br />

ministers of defense (instead of Antoni<br />

Macierewicz) and of the interior<br />

(instead of Mariusz Blaszczak),<br />

respectively. The ministers of the<br />

environment, public health, and finance<br />

were also replaced.<br />

The Day requested some Polish<br />

and Ukrainian experts to explain<br />

what the reshuffle will lead to and<br />

what it means for Poland, the EU,<br />

and Ukraine.<br />

● “THE CURRENT CHANGES IN<br />

THE GOVERNMENT MAINLY<br />

FOCUS ON THE DOMESTIC<br />

MARKET AND RELATIONS<br />

WITH THE EU AND NATO”<br />

Michal KOBOSKO, director, Poland<br />

office, US Atlantic Council:<br />

“What has occurred in Warsaw<br />

is a really serious and sweeping governmental<br />

reshuffle. We did not<br />

expect so many changes. Only yesterday<br />

we expected three or four<br />

misters to be replaced.<br />

“Some important offices, such<br />

as foreign and defense ministers,<br />

will be held by other people. I think<br />

these changes are the most important<br />

because, from the international<br />

viewpoint, these officials are responsible<br />

for foreign policy and national<br />

defense. It is really important.<br />

Antoni Macierewicz was a very<br />

controversial minister of national<br />

defense. Many people thought that<br />

Mr. Kaczynski would not be strong<br />

enough to dismiss Mr. Macierewicz.<br />

In all probability, Polish President<br />

Andrzej Duda demanded that the<br />

defense minister be dismissed because<br />

there was a never-ending conflict<br />

between the president and<br />

Mr. Macierewicz. So it is a very positive<br />

signal for President Duda who<br />

is commander-in-chief of the Polish<br />

armed forces.<br />

“But this reshuffle leaves a lot of<br />

questions unanswered. Antoni<br />

Macierewicz is a strong personality<br />

The Day’s experts comment<br />

on Polish government reshuffle<br />

REUTERS photo<br />

Positive steps<br />

who holds strong positions inside the<br />

ruling PiS [Law and Justice. – Ed.]<br />

party. I don’t know what offer was<br />

made to Mr. Macierewicz. I think<br />

they will offer him something in parliament<br />

or some other official position<br />

because he may come into a new<br />

conflict with Jaroslaw Kaczynski.<br />

He was dismissed today, and it is<br />

important information for the ministry<br />

of national defense and the<br />

Polish army, where there are a lot of<br />

internal conflicts. Minister Macierewicz<br />

fired a lot of generals – a<br />

third of general’s positions have<br />

been vacant in the Polish army in the<br />

past few months. The new defense<br />

minister is to fill these vacancies.<br />

“Another major replacement is<br />

the minister of foreign affairs. Minister<br />

Waszczykowski was in conflict<br />

with many other ministers, countries,<br />

and especially with the EU. He<br />

was very controversial and provocative<br />

in his interviews. And although<br />

he is an experienced Polish diplomat,<br />

he failed to shape his own policy<br />

instead of pursuing the foreign<br />

policy of Mr. Jaroslaw Kaczynski.<br />

“So I think it is good news that<br />

Minister Waszczykowski has left office.<br />

We don’t know so far how the<br />

new foreign minister Jacek Czaputowicz<br />

will fare, whether he will<br />

be different in his first steps, decisions,<br />

and statements because, after<br />

all, it is Jaroslaw Kaczynski who<br />

makes final foreign-policy decisions.<br />

“As for the Polish-Ukrainian<br />

relations, President Duda recently<br />

paid a successful visit to Kharkiv<br />

and had a good meeting with President<br />

Poroshenko. We hope this is a<br />

chance to turn over a new leaf. I’d<br />

like the new foreign minister Czaputowicz<br />

to make a statement that<br />

will normalize our relations. I cannot<br />

be sure that this will happen.<br />

We don’t know yet what kind of<br />

foreign policy this new government<br />

will pursue and whether it will differ<br />

considerably from that of the<br />

previous cabinet. So far, I can hear<br />

no angry reports that signalize that<br />

Poland is going to speak with<br />

Ukraine in a new manner and there<br />

will be some breakthrough again.<br />

“In its foreign policy, the previous<br />

government did not seem to<br />

show much interest in Ukraine.<br />

Now I think that Prime Minister<br />

Morawiecki is aware of how important<br />

it is for Poland to maintain<br />

good working relations with Kyiv<br />

and that he will pay a visit to Kyiv<br />

in the near future.<br />

“The current changes in the government<br />

mainly focus on the domestic<br />

market and Poland’s relations<br />

with the EU and NATO. This explains<br />

the replacement of the ministers<br />

of foreign affairs and the environment<br />

– Minister Szyszko lost his<br />

office because the EU criticized him<br />

openly and harshly. The minister of<br />

defense, whom NATO criticized for<br />

being problematic, was also dismissed.<br />

“As for a likely change in the<br />

Poland-EU relations, the first<br />

step will be taken this evening<br />

[January 9. – Ed.] – Prime Minister<br />

Morawiecki is leaving for Brussels<br />

to meet Jean-Claude Juncker and<br />

Frans Timmermans in the European<br />

Commission. They will be discussing<br />

the debates on Article 7 the<br />

EC initiated before Christmas.<br />

Mr. Morawiecki will be discussing<br />

with EU officials whether Poland<br />

will obey EU regulations and meet<br />

its expectations, observe the rule of<br />

law – the things that stirred up biting<br />

EU criticism. It will be difficult<br />

for Prime Minister Morawiecki to<br />

change anything in Brussels. I am<br />

sure he will use the cabinet reshuffle<br />

to convince our European<br />

friends that Poland is doing the<br />

needful and making important<br />

changes in the government. It is a<br />

signal to Brussels that Poland<br />

wants to cooperate more closely<br />

with European institutions. It is<br />

common knowledge in Brussels<br />

that, unfortunately, Premier<br />

Morawiecki is not the one who<br />

makes final decisions. He is not<br />

flexible enough, but he is free to<br />

deal with any matters, including<br />

Poland’s relations with the EU.<br />

“The old government had<br />

two years to closely cooperate with<br />

European institutions, but this<br />

time was wasted. It is important<br />

that there have been some<br />

changes. At the same time, it is<br />

difficult to believe that the new<br />

government will radically change<br />

its policy in the relations with<br />

Brussels. I don’t expect many<br />

great changes. I can expect that<br />

the tone of discussions will be<br />

slightly different. But we cannot<br />

expect any major changes until<br />

Mr. Kaczynski changes his opinion<br />

about the EU.”<br />

● “WE CAN EXPECT SOBER<br />

AND BALANCED<br />

DECISIONS”<br />

Oksana YURYNETS, co-chairperson,<br />

Group for Inter-Parliamentary Ties<br />

with the Republic of Poland; Member<br />

of the Ukrainian Parliament:<br />

“This reshuffle is a very positive<br />

thing. Mr. Waszczykowski<br />

used to make all kinds of statements<br />

and things that were unclear<br />

to and unacceptable for<br />

Ukraine. The situation is different<br />

now, and changes have been made.<br />

We can surely forecast that there<br />

will be a new positive demand for<br />

international relations, particularly<br />

in the context of Ukraine and<br />

Poland.<br />

“The newly-appointed foreign<br />

minister is a career diplomat who is<br />

not too much politicized and is taking<br />

a pacifist attitude. He carved<br />

out his career gradually. It seems to<br />

me that now we can expect to see<br />

very sound diplomatic steps, sober<br />

and balanced decisions – the things<br />

that we need today.<br />

“As for expectations, we should<br />

take into account that Poland is a<br />

parliamentary-presidential republic,<br />

where people can be MPs and<br />

deputy ministers at the same time.<br />

Therefore, it may be easier for our<br />

group to pay visits of friendship<br />

and hold an assembly. This foreign<br />

policy should be pursued in the<br />

shape of correct and well-balanced<br />

diplomatic steps, which both the<br />

Polish and the Ukrainian sides<br />

need.<br />

“Of course, we expect to make a<br />

fresh positive start. For the Polish-<br />

Ukrainian Assembly, scheduled for<br />

December 11-12, was canceled because<br />

there was a government<br />

reshuffle and some MPs were also<br />

busy as cabinet members. I hope<br />

the group will resume work this<br />

year. The group is chaired by the<br />

parliament vice-speaker on our<br />

part and the Sejm deputy speaker<br />

on their part. Incidentally, Mykola<br />

Kniazhytskyi, the co-chairman,<br />

and I sent an inquiry of our friendship<br />

group to Warsaw almost two<br />

months ago, and we are still waiting<br />

for an answer. Maybe, some direction<br />

of strategic communication<br />

with Ukraine will be found right<br />

now. I am convinced that we will<br />

never fall apart, and we need communication,<br />

a dialog, today in order<br />

to fill the vacuum, which has<br />

formed in the past few months,<br />

with information. Besides, it is<br />

good that the presidents of Poland<br />

and Ukraine made a constructive<br />

visit to Kharkiv. They drew up a<br />

certain road map, and parliament<br />

and the Cabinet should now set<br />

such new and extremely important<br />

directions of work as cooperation<br />

within the limits of Euro-regions<br />

and cross-border cooperation.<br />

Poland is a strategic EU country,<br />

in fact our gate to Europe, so there<br />

are very many things to do. For<br />

this reason, changes in other ministries<br />

are equally crucial, for this<br />

will help find out what is to be done<br />

if a proper international policy is<br />

pursued. There is very much work<br />

to do, and the guidelines for the<br />

next year were in fact drawn up at<br />

the end of the last one.”

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