Fall 2017 JPI

16.12.2017 Views

The Rising China A Real Challenger to the US Hegemony? Kaibo Wang INTRODUCTION Is China a real challenger or a potential partner for the US? This is a question which has been asked more frequently in the last ten years. After the Cold War, historian Francis Fukuyama argued that the world was at “the end of history.” However, people immediately found out that history did not end at all. Although the Soviet Union disappeared, China became a new threat for America. In May 2007, the cover of The Economist featured a terrifying image for Americans in which a panda climbed atop the Empire State Building. Various schools of thought in international relations offer different answers to this question. Realists assert that China is a real competitor because they are “faithful to Hobbes for whom the three causes of quarrels were competition, difference (i.e., distrust), and glory.” 1 Specifically, realists view international politics as a zero-sum game, in which China’s gain will be come at cost of a loss to the US globally. Furthermore, even though communist ideas have lost popularity there, China is still an outlier and a threat to the US because of its authoritarian political system, lack of freedom, and rule by law (rather than rule of law). Moreover, the fast growth rate of China will make America lose it dominance over the world economy. In contrast, liberals consider China a potential partner. In the era of globalization, China and the US share enormous common economic interest, which means they have already become economic partners. “Economic interdependence would discourage states from using force against each other because warfare would threaten each side’s prosperity.” 2 What’s more, liberals are strongly confident with international institutions. Consequently, they point out that China and the US could solve disputes and cooperate for better global governance in international organizations. Unfortunately, not every school can comprehensively explain the complex relations between the two countries. When you apply liberal thought to understand the Sino-US relations, you could easily find that mutual economic interdependence doesn’t bring the honeymoon between the two countries described in the theory of commercial pacifism. For realists, it is sometimes hard to explain the cooperation between the two nations ranging from economic issues to regional conflict. It is necessary for us to tackle this question by examining history with theories of international relations. This topic is significant because no theory can fully answer the question related to world peace and prosperity. The Sino-US relationship is not merely about the two nations, as it has influence all over the world. When we define China as a challenger or a partner, China’s attitude toward the American world order could be seen as the benchmark. After careful analysis, my conclusion is that China is only a rising power in the international order, it has not behaved like the USSR, which sought to develop a new world order. Thus, China is not a real challenger for the US, which means the US still could consider China as a potential partner for global prosperity and governance. 1 Waltz, “Realist Thought and Neorealist Theory,” 35. 2 Walt, “International Relations: One World, Many Theories,” 29. JPI Fall 2017, pg. 43

The essay will be divided into five sections. In the first section, I will offer the definition of a challenger to American hegemony by examining the history of the USSR, a real challenger to the American world order. Models of economic development, security alliance systems, and global strategies will be considered as three key elements to define a challenger. In the second section, I will analyze why China does not fit the definition above. My response to opposing arguments will be presented in the third section, where Mearsheimer’s viewpoints on China will be discussed. The fourth section will be the analysis of the strategy for the US to transform China into a partner. Finally, a conclusion will be drawn based on the discussion. WHAT IS THE DEFINITION OF A CHALLENGER TO THE US HEGEMONY? When people search for the definition of a challenger to the hegemony of the US, the history of the Cold War provides them a good start. The existing world order was consolidated after the Second World War by the US. With the norms of democracy, open economy, and freedom, the US designed the American model of development and consolidated its blueprint of world order based on its model. People believed that their world could be modernized in the American way because they thought that the “American example could help people to liberate productivity and innovation from ‘ancient’ cultures and ideologies.” 3 With the American model of development, America formed a liberal world, which was also called the international order designed by the US. However, the American world order was soon under the threat of a rising power—the Soviet Union. According to the theory of communist internationalism, the USSR needed to support the “gigantic pace of world revolution and prevented revolution from being defeated by alliance of capitalist under the League of Nations.” 4 It was seen as the way to create a new world order which was different from the American one. “Soviet Communism became a deadly rival of Americanism because it could be seen as an alternative modernity.” 5 This new world order was founded on centralized politics, state-led economy, and world revolution, which became a threat to the capitalist world order. Consequently, the USSR became a challenger to the hegemony of the US. In order to protect the American model of economic development, the Marshall Plan was conducted to rebuild the economy of Europe, a continent which was a frontier that had to be defended against the invasion of the communism model. Containment was the main American foreign policy because the US needed to prevent the domino effect under the menace of the Eastern Bloc. The Bretton Woods system was developed as a global strategy to protect the American world order for the reason that the US needed to “make American capital available as cheap public loans to those governments that chose an open economy and the development of capitalist markets.” 6 From the competition between the two superpowers in the Cold War, we can determine the definition of a challenger to the US hegemony. It is the country that tries to develop a new world order which includes three key elements. A challenger should initially have and promote an alternative model of economic development to build the economic foundation for the new world order. The USSR applied and promoted the communist economic model, which “was based on a system of state ownership of the means of production, collective farming, industrial manufacturing, and centralized 3 Westad, The Global Cold War: Third World Interventions and the Making of Our Times, 11. 4 Mazower, Governing the World, The History of an Idea, 1815 to the present, 176. 5 Westad, The Global Cold War: Third World Interventions and the Making of Our Times, 17. 6 Odd Westad, The Global Cold War: Third World Interventions and the Making of Our Times, 153. JPI Fall 2017, pg. 44

The essay will be divided into five sections. In the first section, I will offer the definition of a<br />

challenger to American hegemony by examining the history of the USSR, a real challenger to the<br />

American world order. Models of economic development, security alliance systems, and global<br />

strategies will be considered as three key elements to define a challenger. In the second section, I will<br />

analyze why China does not fit the definition above. My response to opposing arguments will be<br />

presented in the third section, where Mearsheimer’s viewpoints on China will be discussed. The fourth<br />

section will be the analysis of the strategy for the US to transform China into a partner. Finally, a<br />

conclusion will be drawn based on the discussion.<br />

WHAT IS THE DEFINITION OF A CHALLENGER TO THE US HEGEMONY?<br />

When people search for the definition of a challenger to the hegemony of the US, the history<br />

of the Cold War provides them a good start. The existing world order was consolidated after the<br />

Second World War by the US. With the norms of democracy, open economy, and freedom, the US<br />

designed the American model of development and consolidated its blueprint of world order based on<br />

its model. People believed that their world could be modernized in the American way because they<br />

thought that the “American example could help people to liberate productivity and innovation from<br />

‘ancient’ cultures and ideologies.” 3 With the American model of development, America formed a<br />

liberal world, which was also called the international order designed by the US. However, the American<br />

world order was soon under the threat of a rising power—the Soviet Union.<br />

According to the theory of communist internationalism, the USSR needed to support the<br />

“gigantic pace of world revolution and prevented revolution from being defeated by alliance of<br />

capitalist under the League of Nations.” 4 It was seen as the way to create a new world order which<br />

was different from the American one. “Soviet Communism became a deadly rival of Americanism<br />

because it could be seen as an alternative modernity.” 5 This new world order was founded on<br />

centralized politics, state-led economy, and world revolution, which became a threat to the capitalist<br />

world order. Consequently, the USSR became a challenger to the hegemony of the US. In order to<br />

protect the American model of economic development, the Marshall Plan was conducted to rebuild<br />

the economy of Europe, a continent which was a frontier that had to be defended against the invasion<br />

of the communism model. Containment was the main American foreign policy because the US needed<br />

to prevent the domino effect under the menace of the Eastern Bloc. The Bretton Woods system was<br />

developed as a global strategy to protect the American world order for the reason that the US needed<br />

to “make American capital available as cheap public loans to those governments that chose an open<br />

economy and the development of capitalist markets.” 6<br />

From the competition between the two superpowers in the Cold War, we can determine the<br />

definition of a challenger to the US hegemony. It is the country that tries to develop a new world<br />

order which includes three key elements. A challenger should initially have and promote an alternative<br />

model of economic development to build the economic foundation for the new world order. The<br />

USSR applied and promoted the communist economic model, which “was based on a system of state<br />

ownership of the means of production, collective farming, industrial manufacturing, and centralized<br />

3 Westad, The Global Cold War: Third World Interventions and the Making of Our Times, 11.<br />

4 Mazower, Governing the World, The History of an Idea, 1815 to the present, 176.<br />

5 Westad, The Global Cold War: Third World Interventions and the Making of Our Times, 17.<br />

6 Odd Westad, The Global Cold War: Third World Interventions and the Making of Our Times, 153.<br />

<strong>JPI</strong> <strong>Fall</strong> <strong>2017</strong>, pg. 44

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