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Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

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<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

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O<strong>the</strong>r reports in this collection<br />

Figure 6-15: Bar charts of radiative forcing in 2050 (a) from all perturbations (from IPCC, 1996), (b) from<br />

subsonic aviation (Fa1), <strong>and</strong> (c) from <strong>the</strong> additional effect due to supersonic air traffic. Note scale change from (a)<br />

to (b) <strong>and</strong> (c). In (b), best estimate (bars) <strong>and</strong> high-low 67% probability intervals (whiskers) are given. No best<br />

estimate is shown for cirrus clouds; ra<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> dashed line indicates a range of possible estimates. The<br />

evaluations below <strong>the</strong> graph are relative appraisals of <strong>the</strong> level of scientific underst<strong>and</strong>ing associated with each<br />

component. In (c), white bars denote <strong>the</strong> direct effect of <strong>the</strong> supersonic fleet (HSCT1000), whereas <strong>the</strong> black bars<br />

display <strong>the</strong> change resulting from <strong>the</strong> displaced subsonic air traffic.<br />

Table of contents<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r reports in this collection<br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/avf6-15c.htm08.05.2008 02:46:40<br />

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