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Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

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<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

in 1987 to $9.5 billion in 1994. Except for <strong>the</strong> cost of fuel, environmental costs were not considered (U.S. Federal <strong>Aviation</strong> Administration, 1995). The European<br />

Organisation for Safety <strong>and</strong> Navigation (EUROCONTROL) reports that air traffic delays in Europe are primarily <strong>the</strong> result of national institutional factors, capacity<br />

overloads, <strong>and</strong> air traffic control inefficiencies. Association of European Airlines (AEA) data show that in 1989, <strong>the</strong> number of departures for short- <strong>and</strong> medium-term<br />

flights delayed by more than 15 minutes was 23.8%. This figure dropped to 12.7% in 1993, but has risen steadily since <strong>the</strong>n: The rate was 19.5% in 1997 <strong>and</strong> 20.1%<br />

for <strong>the</strong> January-June 1998 period (Association of European Airlines, 1998). These data are consistent with EUROCONTROL data for <strong>the</strong> same years<br />

(EUROCONTROL, 1998).<br />

ICAO air traffic system policies, plans, st<strong>and</strong>ards, <strong>and</strong> recommended practices have not been regarded as measures that might be used to achieve environmental<br />

gains. Studies assessing <strong>the</strong> costs <strong>and</strong> benefits of CNS/ATM modernization conclude that <strong>the</strong> benefits to airlines <strong>and</strong> passengers from reduced delays <strong>and</strong> fuel<br />

savings far outweigh <strong>the</strong> incremental costs. Recent studies have focused on estimating <strong>the</strong> environmental benefits of a more efficient air traffic system. These studies<br />

indicate that emissions from aviation may be reduced significantly. Although states are working within ICAO toward global modernization of <strong>the</strong> air traffic system, this<br />

activity has only recently been placed in <strong>the</strong> context of addressing environmental issues (EISG, 1995; Aylesworth, 1997; U.S. Federal <strong>Aviation</strong> Administration, 1998a,<br />

b).<br />

Studies <strong>and</strong> working papers prepared for CAEP/3 Working Group 3 (emissions) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> ICAO Worldwide CNS/ATM Systems Implementation Conference (see<br />

Chapter 8) indicate that improvements to <strong>the</strong> air traffic system could reduce annual fuel consumption 6-12%. For <strong>the</strong> total flight regime, 94% of fuel saving would occur<br />

at cruise altitude <strong>and</strong> 6% below 900 m. NO x reductions are estimated to be 10-16%. This discussion of measures for mitigation leads to <strong>the</strong> following conclusions:<br />

. Potential gains from operational measures within <strong>the</strong> current air traffic system are much smaller than those that may be gained through modernization of <strong>the</strong><br />

air traffic system.<br />

. Although modernizing <strong>the</strong> air traffic system <strong>and</strong> improved operational measures are important environmental policy instruments in <strong>the</strong>ir own right, delayed or<br />

early realization of <strong>the</strong>ir potential would have adverse or beneficial environmental consequences, respectively.<br />

These conclusions have important environmental policy implications. Successful implementation of CNS/ATM is a daunting task that requires worldwide <strong>and</strong> regional<br />

collaboration <strong>and</strong> cooperation. Impediments to be overcome include restricted airspace, sovereignty issues, institutional development, <strong>and</strong> finance, particularly for<br />

developing nations <strong>and</strong> countries in transition.<br />

10.4.2.2. Engine Emissions Stringency<br />

ICAO Annex 16 emission st<strong>and</strong>ards are certification requirements for individual engines (ICAO,<br />

1993b). Because of extensive regulation of <strong>the</strong> industry to maintain high levels of safety <strong>and</strong> to<br />

maintain <strong>and</strong> promote competition, as well as comparatively long technology development <strong>and</strong><br />

product economic lifetimes (Chapter 7), ICAO has set limitations on emissions at <strong>the</strong>ir sources<br />

(stringency) on <strong>the</strong> basis of <strong>the</strong> best achievable technology by all manufacturers.<br />

These ICAO st<strong>and</strong>ards define emissions levels for unburned HC, CO, NOx , <strong>and</strong> smoke. They do<br />

not address aircraft emissions of CO2 , sulfur dioxide (SO2 ), or H2O. Nei<strong>the</strong>r are <strong>the</strong>re any ICAO<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards for trace compounds such as particulates, aerosols, certain types of HC, <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

nitrogen compounds. <strong>Aviation</strong> is not a source of nitrous oxide (N2O), a greenhouse gas. ICAO<br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/153.htm (4 von 6)08.05.2008 02:44:43

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