13.12.2012 Views

Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

Table of contents | Previous page | Next page<br />

7.10. Supersonic Transport Aircraft<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r reports in this collection<br />

Supersonic transport aircraft are not new. In <strong>the</strong> 1960s <strong>and</strong> early 1970s, <strong>the</strong>re were three major supersonic transport projects in Europe, <strong>the</strong> United States, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Soviet Union. Only one of those projects, <strong>the</strong> Concorde, was completed <strong>and</strong> continues in revenue service-<strong>and</strong> only between Western Europe (London <strong>and</strong> Paris) <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> eastern U.S. seaboard (New York <strong>and</strong>, until recently, Washington). Only 13 of <strong>the</strong>se aircraft are in airline service, including charter operations <strong>and</strong> demonstration<br />

flights. The ground <strong>and</strong> flight operational acceptability for this type of aircraft has been demonstrated worldwide.<br />

The life development of Concorde aircraft now suggests <strong>the</strong>y could continue in service for an additional 10-15 years. The levels of exhaust emissions produced by<br />

Concorde's Olympus engines [EI(NO x ) = 18] is higher than could be achieved now but is commensurate with <strong>the</strong> design knowledge of <strong>the</strong> 1960s. With a limited small<br />

fleet <strong>and</strong> an average aircraft utilization of 600 hours per year, <strong>the</strong>se aircraft do not appear to constitute a major environmental concern, although <strong>the</strong>y must be<br />

considered in aircraft fleet mix scenarios in view of <strong>the</strong> Concorde's higher cruising altitude.<br />

The Concorde operates for passengers prepared to pay high fares. Improvements in materials, structural, <strong>and</strong> systems technology that are available or currently being<br />

developed could make a second generation of supersonic aircraft more widely affordable. Studies have concluded that an aircraft with between 250 <strong>and</strong> 300 seats<br />

cruising at Mach 2 to 2.4 (at altitudes between 16 <strong>and</strong> 20 km) is most likely to be successful (Shaw et al., 1997). To make such aircraft effective for <strong>the</strong> long overseas<br />

routes that benefit most from <strong>the</strong> increased speed <strong>and</strong> maintain viability with regard to viewpoint of sonic booms, <strong>the</strong> projected range must be at least 8000 km (<strong>and</strong><br />

possibly 10400 km). Studies have examined a wide range of speeds <strong>and</strong> concluded that speeds higher than Mach 2.4 offer little gain in block time, whereas <strong>the</strong>y<br />

exacerbate airframe materials <strong>and</strong> propulsion problems, hence increase technical risk (Zurer, 1995). Prior projections concluded that aircraft with a cruise speed of<br />

Mach 2.0 to 2.4 were feasible for entry into service in 2005, <strong>and</strong> a hypersonic vehicle cruising at Mach 5 might enter service by about 2030 (Zurer, 1995). Events have<br />

shown that <strong>the</strong>se projections were optimistic, <strong>and</strong> it is unlikely that a new Mach 2 to 2.4 vehicle will enter service much before 2015. By <strong>the</strong> same token, required<br />

research for <strong>the</strong> hypersonic vehicle <strong>and</strong> its economics would make entry into service of a hypersonic vehicle unlikely before 2050-<strong>and</strong> possibly later unless scheduling<br />

<strong>and</strong> airport curfews could be accommodated to demonstrate higher cruise speed benefits. Therefore, <strong>the</strong> focus of <strong>the</strong> remaining discussion is on vehicles cruising at<br />

speeds up to Mach 2.4.<br />

The Concorde has already demonstrated <strong>the</strong> practicality of Mach 2.05 as an achievable cruise speed with aluminum alloys for <strong>the</strong> basic structure. For speeds above<br />

Mach 2.2, more exotic materials would be required including titanium alloys <strong>and</strong> organic composites for structural items <strong>and</strong> more complex air intakes. At speeds<br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/113.htm (1 von 4)08.05.2008 02:43:51

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!