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Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

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<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

Figure 7-18: Combustor development process.<br />

It is important to note that <strong>the</strong> intrinsic complexity of <strong>the</strong> combustion process <strong>and</strong> limitations of current analytical tools lead to considerable uncertainty in prediction of<br />

emissions from new combustor designs. Mongia (1997a) estimates that even with analytical models that have been "anchored" to measured data-a process to<br />

systematically calibrate a model so that it reproduces measured emissions results-prediction accuracy is only about ±15% for NO x <strong>and</strong> ±30% for CO <strong>and</strong> HC. The<br />

uncertainty in prediction is even higher for smoke.<br />

One of <strong>the</strong> clear lessons that emerged from early emissions reduction programs was that changes to reduce NOx emissions could produce adverse effects on o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

performance characteristics, leading toward tradeoffs in design. Tradeoffs can be attributed to <strong>the</strong> engine cycle selected or <strong>the</strong> combustor design itself. Tradeoffs<br />

based on engine cycle reflect changes in overall pressure <strong>and</strong> bypass ratios, which, in turn, affect fuel burn rates <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> conditions at which combustion occurs (see<br />

Section 7.4.1.1). Tradeoffs generated by design changes affecting <strong>the</strong> combustor can influence major combustor performance parameters, including operability,<br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/102.htm (2 von 7)08.05.2008 02:43:36

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