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Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

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<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

9.4.1.1. Development of Traffic Projection Model<br />

9.4.1.2. FESG Technology Projections<br />

9.4.1.3. FESG Emissions Scenario Results<br />

9.4.2. DTI 2050 Scenarios<br />

9.4.3. Environmental Defense Fund Long-Term Scenarios<br />

9.4.4. World Wide Fund for Nature Long-Term Scenario<br />

9.4.5. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Long-Term Scenarios<br />

9.5. High-Speed Civil Transport (HSCT) Scenarios<br />

9.5.1. Description of Methods<br />

9.5.2. Description of Results<br />

9.6. Evaluation <strong>and</strong> Assessment of Long-Term Subsonic Scenarios<br />

9.6.1. Difficulties in Constructing Long-Term Scenarios<br />

9.6.2. Structure <strong>and</strong> Assumptions<br />

9.6.3. Traffic Dem<strong>and</strong><br />

9.6.4. NO x Technology Projections<br />

9.6.5. Infrastructure <strong>and</strong> Fuel Availability Assumptions<br />

9.6.6. Plausibility Checks<br />

References<br />

9.6.6.1. Fleet Size<br />

9.6.6.2. Airport <strong>and</strong> Infrastructure Implications<br />

9.6.6.3. Fuel Availability<br />

9.6.6.4. Manufacturing Capability <strong>and</strong> Trends in Aircraft Capacity<br />

9.6.6.5. Syn<strong>the</strong>sis of Plausibility Analyses<br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/130.htm (2 von 3)08.05.2008 02:41:03

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