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Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

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<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

al., 1998a). Aircraft initiate contrail formation by increasing <strong>the</strong> humidity within <strong>the</strong>ir exhaust trails, whereas<br />

local atmospheric conditions govern <strong>the</strong> subsequent evolution of contrail cirrus clouds. Indeed, <strong>the</strong> ice mass<br />

in long-lasting contrails originates almost completely from ambient water vapor (Knollenberg, 1972).<br />

Ice-supersaturated air masses are often formed when ice-saturated air masses are lifted by ambient air<br />

motions. While <strong>the</strong> air lifted, it may remain cloud-free until it is cooled adiabatically to near-liquid saturation<br />

(Ludlam, 1980). O<strong>the</strong>r evidence for large supersaturation occurring in <strong>the</strong> upper troposphere is provided by<br />

cirrus fallstreaks that grow while falling through supersaturated air layers (Ludlam, 1980) <strong>and</strong> by a few<br />

localized humidity measurements (Brewer, 1946; Murphy et al., 1990; Ovarlez et al., 1997; Heymsfield et al.,<br />

1998b). Recent humidity measurements by commercial aircraft show that-in flights between Europe, North<br />

<strong>and</strong> South America, Africa, <strong>and</strong> Asia-14% of flight time was in air masses that were ice-supersaturated with a<br />

mean value of 15% (Helten et al., 1998; Gierens et al., 1999).<br />

3.4.2 Cirrus <strong>and</strong> Contrail Models<br />

Small-scale, regional, <strong>and</strong> global models have been used to study cirrus clouds <strong>and</strong> contrails. Small-scale<br />

models simulate <strong>the</strong> details of cloud formation in a single parcel of air along some defined trajectory (e.g.,<br />

Jensen et al., 1994b). High-resolution 2-D models have simulated <strong>the</strong> dynamics <strong>and</strong> microphysics of cirrus<br />

(Starr <strong>and</strong> Cox, 1985) <strong>and</strong> contrails (Gierens, 1996; Chlond, 1998). Regional <strong>and</strong> global models describe <strong>the</strong><br />

large-scale dynamics of clouds with simpler representations of microphysical cloud processes (Sundqvist,<br />

1993; Lohmann <strong>and</strong> Roeckner, 1995; Fowler et al., 1996; Westphal et al., 1996). Regional-scale (typically 10km<br />

horizontal grid-scale) <strong>and</strong> global-scale models are not able to resolve <strong>the</strong> vertical motions <strong>and</strong> small-scale<br />

temperature <strong>and</strong> humidity fluctuations (Gierens et al., 1997) that drive supersaturations involved in cirrus<br />

nucleation. However, global models with prescribed or parameterized contrail cover have been useful for<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>the</strong> radiative impact of a change in cloud cover as a result of aircraft emissions (Ponater et al.,<br />

1996).<br />

3.4.3. Contrail Occurrence<br />

At plume ages between 1 min <strong>and</strong><br />

1 h, contrails grow much faster<br />

horizontally (to several km width)<br />

than vertically (200 to 400 m),<br />

especially in highly sheared<br />

environments (Freudenthaler et al.,<br />

1995, 1996; Sassen, 1997). Young<br />

contrails spread as a result of<br />

turbulence created by aircraft<br />

vortices (Lewellen <strong>and</strong> Lewellen,<br />

1996; Gerz et al., 1998; Jensen et<br />

al., 1998a,b,c), shear in <strong>the</strong><br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/038.htm (3 von 10)08.05.2008 02:42:05<br />

Figure 3-13: Time series of GOES-8 satellite<br />

images showing <strong>the</strong> evolution of a contrail from an<br />

initial oval shape to extensive cirrus clouds (from<br />

Minnis et al., 1998a).

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