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Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

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<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

distribution <strong>and</strong> composition <strong>and</strong> may lead to efficient cloud condensation nuclei production<br />

(Yu <strong>and</strong> Turco, 1998b).<br />

3.2.2.2. Observations <strong>and</strong> Modeling of Volatile Particles <strong>and</strong> Sulfur<br />

Conversion<br />

Volatile particle abundances observed in situ in <strong>the</strong> plumes (mostly young, < 100 s) of<br />

subsonic <strong>and</strong> supersonic aircraft are summarized in Figure 3-3a. The data have been<br />

compiled from various field studies (Fahey et al., 1995a,b; Schumann et al., 1997; Anderson<br />

et al., 1998a,b; Schröder et al., 1998a). The results show EIs for ultrafine volatile aerosol<br />

particles (nominal radii > 2 to 3 nm) in <strong>the</strong> range of 1015 to 1016/kg fuel for low to average<br />

fuel sulfur content values <strong>and</strong> exceeding 1017/kg fuel for high-sulfur fuel. Besides <strong>the</strong><br />

obvious dependence on fuel sulfur content, <strong>the</strong> spread in EI values may be explained by<br />

differences in <strong>the</strong> emission characteristics of <strong>the</strong> engines, variations in <strong>the</strong> lower size<br />

detection limits of <strong>the</strong> particle counters, <strong>and</strong> differences in plume ages at <strong>the</strong> time of <strong>the</strong><br />

observations. The increase in ultrafine particle abundance with increasing fuel sulfur content<br />

for <strong>the</strong> Advanced Technology Testing Aircraft System (ATTAS), T-38, <strong>and</strong> B757 aircraft<br />

strongly suggests an important role for fuel sulfur in <strong>the</strong> growth of volatiles from molecular<br />

clusters to detectable particles.<br />

Figure 3-2: Size distribution of various aerosol types present in<br />

young jet aircraft exhaust plumes (adapted from Kärcher, 1998a).<br />

Only a few observations have been analyzed using detailed microphysical simulation<br />

models (Brown et al., 1996a; Danilin et al., 1997; Kärcher <strong>and</strong> Fahey, 1997; Yu <strong>and</strong> Turco,<br />

1997, 1998a; Andronache <strong>and</strong> Chameides, 1998; Kärcher et al., 1998a,b). Simulations show better agreement between calculated <strong>and</strong> observed particle<br />

concentrations when ion effects are taken into account. More important, <strong>the</strong> description of plume microphysics using binary homogeneous nucleation failed to explain a<br />

field measurement (Yu et al., 1998). In two cases, condensation nucleus observations in <strong>the</strong> exhaust of <strong>the</strong> ATTAS <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Concorde (Figure 3-3a) have been<br />

explained in detail with a model that includes CI emissions on <strong>the</strong> order of 1017/kg fuel. The observable (ion mode) particles have mean radii of about 2 to 4 nm in <strong>the</strong><br />

young plume, for EI(S) ranging from average to high values. For decreasing levels of available H 2 SO 4 , <strong>the</strong> ion mode particles decrease in size. The number of<br />

detected particles falls below 1017/kg fuel when <strong>the</strong> mean radius of <strong>the</strong>ir size distribution becomes smaller than <strong>the</strong> detection limit of <strong>the</strong> particle counters.<br />

The extent of conversion of fuel sulfur to S(VI) necessary to explain <strong>the</strong> observed mass of<br />

volatile aerosol in young plumes seems to be variable. Direct measurements of H 2 SO 4 have<br />

provided a lower bound of ~0.4% (for high-sulfur fuel, 2.7 g/kg fuel) <strong>and</strong> an upper bound of<br />

~2.5% (for low-sulfur fuel, 0.02 g/kg fuel) for <strong>the</strong> conversion fraction in one case (Curtius et<br />

al., 1998), consistent with calculated SO 3 emission levels (Brown et al., 1996a,c). For <strong>the</strong><br />

low fuel-sulfur case, it has been demonstrated that <strong>the</strong> observed volatile particles cannot be<br />

mainly composed of H 2 SO 4 (Kärcher et al., 1998b). In o<strong>the</strong>r cases, conversion fractions<br />

have been indirectly inferred from mass balance arguments involving observed or inferred<br />

particle size <strong>and</strong> number distributions, available sulfur as measured in fuel samples, <strong>and</strong><br />

assumptions of aerosol composition. The dependence of <strong>the</strong> conversion fraction on EI(S)<br />

differs in <strong>the</strong> few studies performed to date (Fahey et al., 1995a; Schumann et al., 1996;<br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/034.htm (7 von 9)08.05.2008 02:41:56

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