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Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

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<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

LS have been performed with increasing sophistication since <strong>the</strong> 1970s. Most studies set up<br />

a base case without aircraft NO x emissions <strong>and</strong> a perturbed case with <strong>the</strong> aircraft source<br />

added. Differences in atmospheric composition <strong>and</strong>, ultimately, radiative forcing between<br />

<strong>the</strong> two cases are attributed to <strong>the</strong> influence of aircraft emissions. There are detailed<br />

differences among <strong>the</strong> many model studies that arise because of differences in <strong>the</strong> aircraft<br />

emission inventories employed. There are, however, many o<strong>the</strong>r more crucial differences in<br />

<strong>the</strong> model studies: The extent <strong>and</strong> accuracy of <strong>the</strong> treatment of atmospheric chemistry<br />

processes; <strong>the</strong> treatment of o<strong>the</strong>r NO x sources besides aircraft; <strong>the</strong> treatment of dispersion,<br />

transport, <strong>and</strong> advection of NO x species; <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> adequacy of <strong>the</strong> treatment of <strong>the</strong><br />

underpinning description of <strong>the</strong> coupled chemistry <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> global atmospheric circulation in<br />

<strong>the</strong> UT <strong>and</strong> LS.<br />

Many of <strong>the</strong> model studies note that <strong>the</strong> bulk of aircraft NOx emissions from subsonic<br />

aviation occurs in an atmospheric region that is sensitive to <strong>the</strong>se emissions. Because of Figure 2-3: Maximum percentage increase in ozone concentrations,<br />

low background NOx levels-typically 50-200 ppt-in <strong>the</strong> mid-latitude UT <strong>and</strong> LS, high NO/NO2 in principal traffic areas, in <strong>the</strong> 9- to 13-km altitude range, 30-60°N<br />

latitude range, during summer, normalized by assumed global aircraft<br />

ratios, <strong>and</strong> low HOx concentrations, ozone production (in terms of ozone molecules) per<br />

NOx emission to 0.5 Tg N yr-1 <strong>and</strong> plotted against <strong>the</strong> year <strong>the</strong><br />

NOx molecule is more efficient here than anywhere else in <strong>the</strong> atmosphere. Because <strong>the</strong> calculation was performed.<br />

greenhouse blanketing produced by a given atmospheric ozone increment is directly<br />

proportional to <strong>the</strong> temperature contrast between radiation absorbed <strong>and</strong> radiation emitted,<br />

radiative forcing efficiency is greatest for ozone changes near <strong>the</strong> tropopause (Lacis et al., 1990), though its climate sensitivity may have a different response (Hansen<br />

et al., 1997).<br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/026.htm (2 von 6)08.05.2008 02:41:43<br />

Table 2-1: Calculated changes in ozone inprincipal traffic areas <strong>and</strong> 9- to 13-km region during summer for five<br />

selected models employed in Chapter 4 for <strong>the</strong> 1992 aircraft subsonic fleet NOx emissions of 0.5 Tg N yr-1 (see<br />

Chapter 9), toge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong> range of previous studies shown in Figure 2-3.

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