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Aviation and the Global Atmosphere

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<strong>Aviation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Atmosphere</strong><br />

NO speeds <strong>the</strong> catalytic oxidation rate of CO <strong>and</strong> reduces <strong>the</strong> destruction rate of ozone by HO x <strong>and</strong> halogens (primarily in <strong>the</strong> stratosphere). In this context, it is<br />

important to note that <strong>the</strong> conventional troposphere-stratosphere boundary (i.e., <strong>the</strong> tropopause), reflecting important changes in atmospheric dynamics, does not<br />

coincide with <strong>the</strong> separation between net positive <strong>and</strong> negative NO x -induced changes in ozone (see right panel of Figure 2-2). This distinction is important when<br />

considering future aviation scenarios that include a significant supersonic component.<br />

The actual quantitative change in ozone from present aircraft operation is very sensitive to <strong>the</strong> meteorology of this region of <strong>the</strong> atmosphere; longer residence times will<br />

lead to larger NO x increases <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>refore higher ozone. As a result, only coupled chemical <strong>and</strong> dynamic models can estimate how large an increase is expected. To<br />

accurately predict <strong>the</strong> perturbation, <strong>the</strong>se models must accurately describe <strong>the</strong> background NO x concentration, <strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> aircraft-induced NO x perturbation,<br />

<strong>the</strong> sources of HO x in this region of <strong>the</strong> atmosphere, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> meteorology. Finally, because ozone itself is relatively long-lived in <strong>the</strong> UT <strong>and</strong> LS, its concentration is<br />

strongly influenced by transport (as discussed in Section 2.1.1.3.3). The transport of ozone between different regions of <strong>the</strong> atmosphere significantly confounds<br />

attempts to assign causality to local ozone trends. As described in Section 2.1.3, <strong>the</strong> production of particulates <strong>and</strong> aircraft-induced formation of clouds may be<br />

important for ozone. Chemical processes occurring in aerosols <strong>and</strong> on ice clouds may lead to increases in chlorine radical abundance in <strong>the</strong> stratosphere <strong>and</strong> suppress<br />

NO x throughout <strong>the</strong> region.<br />

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O<strong>the</strong>r reports in this collection<br />

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/023.htm (8 von 8)08.05.2008 02:41:39<br />

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