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Innovation

Global Investor Focus, 02/2007 Credit Suisse

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GLOBAL INVESTOR FOCUS <strong>Innovation</strong> — 46<br />

Alzheimer’s<br />

Wyeth<br />

WYE US<br />

Wyeth offers an attractive combination of<br />

solid core product growth and an interesting<br />

new product pipeline.<br />

Eli Lilly<br />

LLY US<br />

BUY<br />

BUY<br />

Eli Lilly’s industry-leading pipeline, low exposure<br />

to patent expirations and improving<br />

operating margins support our positive stance.<br />

Myriad Genetics<br />

MYGN US<br />

BUY<br />

Credit Suisse’s BUY rating is for long-term investors<br />

looking for risky stocks. Phase 3 data on<br />

Alzheimer’s drug Flurizan is expected in 2008.<br />

Neurochem<br />

NRM CN<br />

HOLD<br />

Caution is advised with this stock, as unpredictable<br />

data from Alzhemed studies, due Q2<br />

2007, will have a big impact on the share price.<br />

Promising treatments<br />

Drug name Company Ticker Mechanism Phase<br />

Alzhemed Neurochem NRM CN Prevent formation of<br />

amyloid deposits<br />

Flurizan<br />

Myriad<br />

Genetics<br />

MYGN US<br />

Bapineuzumab Wyeth and Elan WYE US and<br />

ELN US<br />

Decreases production of<br />

amyloid<br />

Clear amyloid deposits 2<br />

LY2062430 Eli Lilly LLY US Possibly influences amyloid<br />

production<br />

LY450139 Eli Lilly LLY US Blocks amyloid-making<br />

enzyme<br />

3<br />

3<br />

2<br />

2<br />

Alzheimer’s disease (AD) affects more than 25 million people<br />

worldwide. According to a Johns Hopkins University study published<br />

this year, AD prevalence will quadruple by 2050, leaving<br />

one in 85 people worldwide living with the disease. With no means<br />

to prevent the disease, no cure and poor methods of treatment,<br />

the picture looks bleak. Last month, US lawmakers proposed a<br />

package of legislation aimed at enhancing patient care, describing<br />

AD as the “number one health crisis of the 21st century.” There<br />

are strong grounds for concern, as the situation could become a<br />

severe economic burden to society, as patient care already costs<br />

an estimated USD 91 billion per year. That makes it the third most<br />

costly illness in the USA after heart disease and cancer.<br />

To gain precious time, it is better to detect the disease early.<br />

Limitations in achieving such early diagnosis are currently a huge<br />

hurdle in the race to treat patients. Existing methods to screen for<br />

AD are based on cognitive tests, which sometimes lead to misdiagnosis.<br />

More refined methods such as lab tests are being developed<br />

that detect molecular markers of AD in spinal and cerebral<br />

fluid. Promising new molecular approaches in detection<br />

include a nanotechnology-based diagnostic tool being developed<br />

by Applied NeuroSolutions Nanosphere.<br />

Research efforts are primarily focused on the aberrant amyloid<br />

plaque deposits formed in the brain of AD patients. Current<br />

drugs only treat the symptoms of AD, but do not block the molecular<br />

basis of plaque formation and progression. Japanese scientists<br />

recently developed an oral vaccine for AD which has proved<br />

effective in monkeys. The team may move to clinical trials this<br />

year. Professor Tabira, the director of the research institute, explains:<br />

“It seems likely that [the] vaccine prevents or delays the<br />

onset of AD.” He also says that they are currently seeking large<br />

companies for a partnership.<br />

Drugs on the market treating the symptoms of AD include Aricept<br />

from Pfizer, Exelon from Novartis, Namenda from Forest<br />

Labs, and Razadyne from Johnson & Johnson. A new treatment<br />

concept could be introduced with the launch of the so-called disease-modifying<br />

drugs (DMDs) from 2009 onwards. The key mechanism<br />

behind DMDs involves blocking the underlying biological<br />

causes of AD. A number of drug companies have come up with<br />

interesting data from late-stage clinical trials in this new paradigm.<br />

Of particular interest are large companies such as Wyeth and Eli<br />

Lilly. Smaller companies such as Myriad Genetics and Neurochem<br />

are conducting clinical studies for promising drugs that directly<br />

attack the underlying basis of the disease, not just the symptoms.<br />

In the case of patients for whom all available pharmaceutical<br />

options have failed, brain-stimulation technology shows significant<br />

potential. One very promising avenue for influencing the living<br />

brain has emerged in the past few years, based on the use of<br />

pulsed magnetic fields. This novel noninvasive magnetic field<br />

technique is called transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS). The<br />

technique employs head-mounted wire coils that send strong but<br />

very short magnetic pulses directly into specific brain regions,<br />

thus safely and painlessly inducing tiny electric currents in a person’s<br />

neural circuitry. TMS is currently being tested for the treatment<br />

of a number of neurological diseases, including AD. The<br />

companies actively conducting TMS research in this area are<br />

Neuronetics (not listed), Magstim (not listed), Nexstim (not listed)<br />

and Medtronic. Carri Duncan, Tania Dimitrova, Maria Custer Sigrist<br />

Source: Credit Suisse

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