Innovation
Global Investor Focus, 02/2007 Credit Suisse
Global Investor Focus, 02/2007
Credit Suisse
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GLOBAL INVESTOR FOCUS <strong>Innovation</strong> — 12<br />
Photo: Thomas Eugster<br />
Giovanni Dosi is Professor of Economics<br />
at the Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies,<br />
Pisa. He is author and editor of works on<br />
economic innovation, industrial economics,<br />
evolutionary theory and organizational<br />
studies. He is Codirector of task forces on<br />
industrial policy and intellectual property<br />
rights at Columbia University and is a consultant<br />
for the OECD, UNCTAD and other bodies.<br />
So far ICT has made very little difference to consumption patterns.<br />
The invention of the cell phone and even the PC have not made as<br />
much impact so far as the introduction of the car, washing machine<br />
or television did in the past. This view may differ from that of some,<br />
but right through history, people have tended to praise the innovations<br />
of their time at the expense of those of preceding eras. This<br />
happened in the Industrial Revolution and again in the so-called<br />
second Industrial Revolution.<br />
ICT may speed up and add value to industrial processes, but it<br />
doesn’t completely replace them. So, while perhaps 95% of the development<br />
of a new aircraft may take place on a computer, it cannot<br />
be commercialized without intensive testing in practice – and it is<br />
these actual tests that will establish whether a project is feasible or<br />
not.<br />
Also, the effects of ICT have not always been as spectacular as<br />
hoped for. The pharmaceutical industry, for example, has made<br />
huge progress in areas such as genetics, where ICT has played a<br />
pivotal role. But such advances have not necessarily paved the way<br />
for “silver bullet” cures for diseases in the way that was being predicted<br />
20 years ago. Instead of simplifying the path to a cure, the<br />
greater knowledge brought via ICT can reveal a much more complex<br />
picture than foreseen. In some cases, we now know that perhaps<br />
as many as 1,000 genes may act on a disease, particularly generative<br />
and systemic diseases, and this unexpected complexity means<br />
the pace of advance in some areas of life sciences has been retarded,<br />
in spite of the ICT tools at scientists’ disposal.<br />
As more corporate resources go into patenting innovations, or<br />
fighting claims of patent infringement, is there a risk of creating a<br />
legal straightjacket restricting innovation? There has been a proliferation<br />
in the registration of patents, which is not necessarily helpful<br />
to innovators. A process similar to that at work in an arms race<br />
seems to be going on, with the attitude that if your rivals are patenting<br />
everything, then so must you. This is often done just to stake<br />
out territory in a technological field, or perhaps with a view to using<br />
the patent as a bargaining chip – even if nothing worthwhile is likely<br />
to come out of the patent long-term. It has been estimated that<br />
the cost of patent litigation in the US now accounts for up to onethird<br />
of the country’s research and development budget.<br />
The outcome of all this may be merely frivolous, such as the US<br />
patent which describes a method of exercising a cat. But it may<br />
also be harmful, as can be the case in developing countries. One<br />
has to ask whether the aggressiveness with which intellectual property<br />
rights (IPRs) are now being enforced has the effect of accelerating<br />
or obstructing the process of global innovation. The enforcement<br />
of IPRs is generally in the interest of countries and companies<br />
on the technological frontier. On the other side of the equation are<br />
the “catching-up” countries that tend to oppose sweeping enforcement<br />
of IPRs – often with good reason. In some areas, IPRs tend<br />
to restrict imitation and the diffusion of technological knowledge,<br />
which leads to major difficulties in catching-up countries as they<br />
race to improve their position. In the past, these countries used to<br />
imitate goods and processes from elsewhere and then go on to<br />
invent their own innovative products on the basis of what they had<br />
learned. International negotiations to bring about wide-scale symmetric<br />
waivers for IPRs in developing countries to try to ease the difficulties<br />
in catching up could prove highly beneficial in this regard.<br />
In the case of developed countries, we can, at least, dispel some<br />
myths. For example, IPRs are not as important as some believe. Of<br />
more importance is the governance of the institutions that preside