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Indian Gold Book:Indian Gold Book - Gold Bars Worldwide

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GOLD JEWELLERY CONSUMERS<br />

SOCIAL CLASSES<br />

Middle class<br />

Retailers everywhere refer to the impact of economic growth on jewellery consumption during the 1990s.<br />

The National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) estimates that, over the past 7 years, the number of<br />

households of the high, upper middle and middle class has increased by 66%, from 30 million to 49 million, approximately<br />

20% of the 181 million households.<br />

It expects this group to increase over the next 5 years by a further 85% to 91 million households.<br />

Although the NCAER’s income classification by class by Western standards is extremely low (and lower than that estimated<br />

by large retailers), it illustrates the growth in the size of the middle class.<br />

Most large retailers view the emerging “middle class” in both urban and rural areas as their primary target for jewellery sales.<br />

Lower middle class<br />

Retailers observe that “everyone will try to own some gold”.<br />

According to the NCAER classification, the lower middle class accounts for 72 million (40%) of the 181 million households.<br />

55 million households (76% of the lower middle class) are in rural areas. Although their capacity to buy gold each year is<br />

limited, retailers stress that they have a strong commitment to owning and giving gold when they can afford to do so.<br />

Low class<br />

The capacity of the low class to buy gold is reported in most States to be extremely limited.<br />

According to the NCAER, the low class accounts for 59 million (33%) of the 181 million households.<br />

53 million low class households (89% of all low class households) are in the rural areas. Almost all fall below the poverty<br />

line.<br />

Importance of each class to the jewellery market<br />

Trying to obtain a sense of the importance of annual purchases by class is difficult as the NCAER classification does not match<br />

the perception of most retailers.<br />

For many large retailers, for example, the “middle class” category would start at family income levels of Rs 15,000 (US$ 300)<br />

per month. This would put almost all the upper middle and middle class into the “high” class by NCAER standards (although<br />

NCAER does not take into account the impact of the underground economy).<br />

Anecdotal evidence suggests tentatively at this time the following:<br />

Nationally, around 40% (72 million households) have a limited capacity to buy much jewellery each year, unless supported<br />

by a family NRI.<br />

The top 5% (9 million households) may well account for more than 15%, but their commitment to buying extremely large<br />

quantities, compared to the past, is eroding, particularly in urban areas.<br />

The market appears to rely on around 60% (109 million households) for the bulk of annual purchases.<br />

The national breakdown would not apply to individual States, such as the wealthier States in the south and Punjab in the<br />

north.<br />

120<br />

“Wearable” gold jewellery – lighter in weight and stylish – is widely regarded as an<br />

important new market segment.<br />

AN INTRODUCTION TO THE INDIAN GOLD MARKET

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