Executive Summary Diagnostic Analysis for the City of St Louis Missouri

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The Diagnostic Center analyzed crime data and found that St. Louis’ homicide rates are high compared to similar cities Homicides Rates in St. Louis, Five Year Comparison St. Louis Cities U.S. and 2013 120 80 70 60 50 the Nation, 1985 - 2015 2014 159 Change from 2013 +39 Percent Change 32.5% -.5% 2015 189 Change from 2014 +29 St. Louis Percent Change 18.2% 10.8% Recent Homicide Rise Recently, St. Louis experienced a sharp rise in homicides from 120 in 2013 to 159 a year later, a 32.5 percent increase. This rise continued in 2015 and peaked at 188, an 18.2 percent increase from the previous year. Homicides remained level in 2016 (188). In comparison, the nation experienced a small decrease in homicides in 2014 (-.5 percent) and an increase of 10.8 percent in 2015. 40 30 20 10 Five City Avg. US Year St. Louis U.S. Homicides % Change % Change 2013 Recent 120 Rise in Homicides in St. Louis compared to U.S 2014 159 +32.5% -0.5% 2015 188 +18.2% +10.8% 2016 188 0% -- 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 *Rates per 100,000 population Source: SLMPD and UCR Per the preface disclaimer, points of view or opinions in this document do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. 5
Per the preface disclaimer, points of view or opinions in this document do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Both victims and suspects of gun violence were disproportionately likely to be young black males Victim/Suspect Demographics Analysis of gun violence over the five years from 2011 to 2015 indicates both the victims and suspects were predominantly young black males. Gun violence is defined as homicide, rape, robbery or aggravated assault committed with a gun. While 64.7 percent of victims were male and 35 percent were female, males constituted 92.6 percent of suspects. Over three-quarters (77.5 percent) of victims were black and 21.4 percent were white. An even larger percentage of suspects (93.8 percent) were black. The victims of gun violence were, on average, nearly five years older than suspects. Well over half of suspects (58.4 percent) and over one-third of victims (36 percent) were young, ages 15-24 years old. Within the 35 years and older population, a person was much more likely to be a victim than a suspect (30.5 percent versus 14 percent). Distribution of Gun Violence Victims and Suspects in St. Louis by Gender, Race and Age, 2011-2015 Gender Race Age 100% 92.6% 100% 93.8% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 64.7% Male 35.3% 7.4% Female 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 77.5% 21.4% 5.6% 1.1% 0.6% Black White Other 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 6.1% 0.9% 36.0% 58.4% 27.4% 30.5% 26.8% 14.0% Under 15 15-24 25-34 35 and older Source: SLMPD Victim Suspect 6
Page 1 and 2: Executive Summary March 2017 Diagno
Page 3 and 4: Per the preface disclaimer, points
Page 5: Per the preface disclaimer, points
Page 11 and 12: Police incident data indicated abou
Page 15 and 16: In St. Louis, clearance rates for g
Page 17 and 18: Percentage of Gun Crimes Resulting
Page 19 and 20: Stakeholders identified key challen
Page 23 and 24: Systematic Social Observations foun

Executive Summary Diagnostic Analysis for the City of St Louis Missouri

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