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Executive Summary Diagnostic Analysis for the City of St Louis Missouri

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Clearance rates <strong>for</strong> gun crimes are significantly affected by a<br />

victim’s race; however, gender and age also have an influence<br />

Clearance Rates by Victim Demographics<br />

Clearances rates <strong>for</strong> gun crimes differ according to <strong>the</strong> demographic characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> victim. Incidents involving male victims (two-thirds <strong>of</strong> gun crimes)<br />

were less likely to be cleared by an arrest than those involving female victims (36.9 percent versus 44.7 percent).<br />

Gun crimes involving victims under age 30 (62 percent <strong>of</strong> gun crimes) were less likely to be cleared by an arrest than those with victims over age 30 (38.6<br />

percent versus 42.4 percent).<br />

Even larger differences occur in <strong>the</strong> clearance rate <strong>for</strong> incidents involving black victims (87 percent <strong>of</strong> gun crimes). These incidents were far less likely to be<br />

cleared by an arrest (37.1 percent) than those with white victims (56.7 percent) or victims <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r races (50.6 percent).<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> Gun Crimes Cleared<br />

by Arrest, by Victim Gender, 2010-<br />

2012<br />

(Total = 6,465)<br />

36.9%<br />

Male<br />

(n=4,285)<br />

44.7%<br />

Female<br />

(n=2,180)<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> Gun Crimes Cleared<br />

by Arrest, by Victim Age, 2010-2012<br />

(Total = 6,477)<br />

36.1%<br />

Under 18<br />

(n=944)<br />

38.6%<br />

18-29<br />

(n=3082)<br />

42.4%<br />

30 and Over<br />

(n=2,451)<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> Gun Crimes Cleared<br />

by Arrest, by Victim Race , 2010-<br />

2012 (Total = 6,513)<br />

37.1%<br />

Black<br />

(n=5,646)<br />

56.7%<br />

White<br />

(n=788)<br />

50.6%<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r<br />

(n=79)<br />

15<br />

Source: SLMPD<br />

Per <strong>the</strong> preface disclaimer, points <strong>of</strong> view or opinions in this document do not necessarily represent <strong>the</strong> <strong>of</strong>ficial position or policies <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S. Department <strong>of</strong> Justice.

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