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Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

Saudi Arabia<br />

6 April 2017<br />

January 18, 2010<br />

Key themes<br />

A 23% y-o-y increase in ageing financing (financing<br />

past due date, but not impaired) may indicate higher<br />

provisions y-o-y in Q1. Post recent fall in SAIBOR,<br />

asset yields may not rise as much as previously<br />

expected while cost of deposits are likely to be<br />

lower. Non-financing income could be lower on weak<br />

financing growth and TASI volumes.<br />

<strong>Banking</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />

Earnings may remain weak<br />

Contrary to our earlier expectations, we now expect Q1 2017 banking <strong>sector</strong><br />

consolidated earnings to see some weakness compared to the same period last<br />

year, on the back of risk of higher provisions (y-o-y) as well as moderation of<br />

commission and fee incomes. We expect provisioning to remain elevated y-o-y,<br />

but lower on q-o-q basis because of a 23% y-o-y increase in ageing financing<br />

(due, but not impaired) at the end of 2016. NIMs may improve mildly while<br />

non-financing income may witness a moderate decline (y-o-y) due to weak<br />

credit growth along with a decline in Tadawul trading volumes. After posting<br />

record monthly profit in January, monthly profit for February declined c20%<br />

m-o-m and profit for the first two months was up only +3.5% y-o-y.<br />

Potential increase in provisions y-o-y: Ageing financing (financing which is<br />

past due date, but not impaired yet), has risen 23% y-o-y. Notably, there are a<br />

few banks which have seen a sharp increase in financing past due but not<br />

impaired yet which could see higher provisions. In the last two years, banks in<br />

aggregate had provisions amounting to 5.8%-7.7% of its ageing advances in the<br />

following quarter (Q1 of the following year). Applying this figure to current<br />

ageing financing, the potential provisioning in Q1 2017 could be in the range of<br />

SAR1.63-2.15bn compared to SAR1.75bn provisioning in Q1 2016 (based on the<br />

<strong>sector</strong>’s current total ageing advances of ~SAR28bn at the end of 2016).<br />

Moreover, sequentially declining deposits suggest that there may be some more<br />

delay in receiving Govt. payment of dues, which may continue to put pressure on<br />

asset quality. Thus, we believe provisions could continue (though lower than Q4<br />

2016 levels). On the other hand Banks’ loan loss coverage levels stand at<br />

comfortable levels, reaching ~176% for the <strong>sector</strong>. Some banks have more than<br />

230% loan loss coverage.<br />

Figure 1 Ageing financing<br />

SAR mn<br />

20,000<br />

18,000<br />

17,220<br />

16,000<br />

14,000<br />

14,222<br />

12,000<br />

11,384<br />

Mazen Al-Sudairi,<br />

Head of Research,<br />

Tel +966 11 2119449,<br />

alsudairim@alrajhi-capital.com<br />

10,000<br />

8,000<br />

6,000<br />

4,000<br />

2,000<br />

0<br />

6,120<br />

3,688<br />

4,341<br />

2014 2015 2016<br />

Pritish Devassy, CFA,<br />

Tel +966 11 2119370,<br />

devassyp@alrajhi-capital.com<br />

Less than 30 days<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital (* excludes SAMBA)<br />

31-90 days<br />

Note: We do not cover Banks. Al Rajhi Capital does<br />

not support non-Shariah stocks. Please read special<br />

disclaimers at the end of the report.<br />

Non-financing income could decline y-o-y: Non-financing income mainly<br />

consists of commissions and fee income, followed by foreign exchange income,<br />

investment income and others. Commissions and fee income primarily include<br />

fees related to financing processing, restructuring etc., brokerage income and<br />

other commissions. The chart below (figure 2) shows that commission and fees<br />

Please see penultimate page for additional important disclosures. Al Rajhi Capital (Al Rajhi) is a foreign broker-dealer unregistered in the<br />

USA. Al Rajhi research is prepared by research analysts who are not registered in the USA. Al Rajhi research is distributed in the USA pursuant to<br />

Rule 15a-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 solely by Rosenblatt Securities, an SEC registered and FINRA-member broker-dealer.


Q1 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q3 2012<br />

Q4 2012<br />

Q1 2013<br />

Q2 2013<br />

Q3 2013<br />

Q4 2013<br />

Q1 2014<br />

Q2 2014<br />

Q3 2014<br />

Q4 2014<br />

Q1 2015<br />

Q2 2015<br />

Q3 2015<br />

Q4 2015<br />

Q1 2016<br />

Q2 2016<br />

Q3 2016<br />

Q4 2016<br />

Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

income generally have moved along with net financing growth. Given that total financing<br />

growth has slowed (YTD down marginally), and trading volume on the Tadawul has<br />

remained weak in Q1 2017, we believe total commission and fees income may come under<br />

pressure.<br />

Figure 2 Commission and fees depends mostly on financing given<br />

SAR mn<br />

5,000<br />

4,500<br />

4,000<br />

3,500<br />

3,000<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

SAR mn<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

-<br />

(10,000)<br />

(20,000)<br />

(30,000)<br />

(40,000)<br />

Sequential change in loans (RHS)<br />

Commission and Fees<br />

Source: SAMA, Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Asset yields may not rise as much as expected: After rising sharply in H2 2016, we<br />

believe Q1 asset yields may not have risen as much as previously expected due to the fall in<br />

SAIBOR towards the end of the quarter. Assuming financing rates for corporates are reset<br />

every 6 months, total corporate book may re-price only after 6 months. Hence change in asset<br />

yields are likely to be more gradual as compared to change in SAIBOR. We note that average<br />

SAIBOR in Q1 (average of each day for the past 180 days) is slightly lower than in Q4 2016,<br />

which may lower asset yields on q-o-q basis contrary to estimates at the start of the quarter.<br />

Given different financing and deposit structure of banks, impact on banks are likely to vary<br />

with banks with higher corporate exposure likely to see re-pricing sooner as compared to<br />

banks with higher retail exposure.<br />

As a result, after healthy profits in 2 months, provisioning could weaken Q1 earnings<br />

further: As per SAMA’s monthly data, cumulative profit for months of January and February<br />

grew at a moderate pace of 3.5% y-o-y. We believe this may be attributable to an expansion in<br />

NIMs, helped by lower cost of deposits. However, as mentioned above, a potential increase in<br />

provisions could impact profitability for the quarter. In the past, banks have booked higher<br />

provisions in the third month of the quarter. We also observe that some banks have seen a<br />

sharp increase in past dues but not impaired financing.<br />

Liquidity squeeze is unlikely: SAMA has changed the calculation regulation for SAIBOR.<br />

The inter-bank exchange rate would now be calculated by Thomson Reuters, which our<br />

checks suggest is likely to reduce volatility. We believe there is unlikely to be a liquidity<br />

squeeze which could result in SAIBOR levels rising as we saw in 2H 2016.<br />

a) Financing growth, which remains correlated to gross capital spending is expected to<br />

remain moderate. As companies look to deleverage to save on financing costs, loan to deposit<br />

ratio may moderate. Moreover, if the government pays off its dues soon, it could further<br />

improve the liquidity situation.<br />

b) Additionally Saudi Arabia's government decided to suspend its monthly issue of domestic<br />

bonds in March (source: Maal). Even otherwise there is ample scope for SAMA to mitigate an<br />

unexpected liquidity squeeze. For example, even when Saudi Govt issued domestic bonds in<br />

the past, banks were able to purchase these bonds by selling SAMA bills held by them (See<br />

figure 18). So in-turn this resulted in shift from SAMA to Govt through two different<br />

instruments. Moreover, the liquidity with banks has improved over the last few quarters. The<br />

banking <strong>sector</strong>’s deposit with SAMA (including holding of SAMA bills) as a % of total deposits<br />

stood at c14%, up from a low of 11% in June 2016, while they are only required to hold 7% of<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 2


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

demand deposits and 4% of time deposits. Thus, even if the Saudi government issues<br />

domestic bonds, the banking system would have the ability to absorb it without squeezing<br />

liquidity.<br />

c) Moreover, Banks have sufficient liquid assets (in the form of investments) over and above<br />

the required 20% of deposits they are required to maintain.<br />

Valuation and risks: After moving up sharply in Q4 2016 on news of Govt payment of dues,<br />

the banking <strong>sector</strong> has thereafter declined in Q1 2017, (down 4.1% sequentially). In terms of<br />

valuations, the <strong>sector</strong> is currently trading at 1.2x FY2016 book value. However, if the<br />

government starts to pay its outstanding dues to companies, it could lead to repayment to<br />

banks, which may result in reversal of provisions and act as a catalyst for the banking <strong>sector</strong><br />

stocks.<br />

Figure 3 Performance of Bank <strong>sector</strong> vs. TASI<br />

Figure 4 ROE (avg. last 4 quarters) vs. P/B (12m forward)<br />

110.0<br />

105.0<br />

100.0<br />

95.0<br />

18.0%<br />

16.0%<br />

Title:<br />

Source:<br />

NCB<br />

Al Rajhi<br />

Please fill in the values above to have them entered in your report<br />

90.0<br />

85.0<br />

80.0<br />

75.0<br />

14.0%<br />

12.0%<br />

SABB<br />

ANB BSF Samba<br />

Aljazira<br />

Albilad<br />

70.0<br />

65.0<br />

60.0<br />

10.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

SIB<br />

Riyad<br />

Alawwal<br />

Alinma<br />

Banks TASI<br />

6.0%<br />

0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 3


Q1 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q3 2012<br />

Q4 2012<br />

Q1 2013<br />

Q2 2013<br />

Q3 2013<br />

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Q1 2016<br />

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Q4 2016<br />

Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 5 Movement of asset yield, cost of deposit, net interest margin and interest rates<br />

5.0%<br />

4.5%<br />

4.0%<br />

3.5%<br />

3.0%<br />

2.5%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

1.0%<br />

4.0% 4.3%<br />

3.6% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4%3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 3.7% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%<br />

3.1%<br />

3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0%<br />

3.1%<br />

2.9%<br />

2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1%<br />

1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2%<br />

0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1%<br />

0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

Q1<br />

2012<br />

Q2<br />

2012<br />

Q3<br />

2012<br />

Q4<br />

2012<br />

Q1<br />

2013<br />

Q2<br />

2013<br />

Q3<br />

2013<br />

Q4<br />

2013<br />

Q1<br />

2014<br />

Q2<br />

2014<br />

Q3<br />

2014<br />

Q4<br />

2014<br />

Q1<br />

2015<br />

Q2<br />

2015<br />

Q3<br />

2015<br />

Q4<br />

2015<br />

Q1<br />

2016<br />

Q2<br />

2016<br />

Q3<br />

2016<br />

Q4<br />

2016<br />

Asset yield Cost of deposits NIM 3m SAIBOR 3m LIBOR<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital (* NIM is calculated as Non-interest income divided by interest earning assets)<br />

Figure 6 Non-performing loan ratio vs. coverage ratio<br />

190%<br />

180%<br />

170%<br />

160%<br />

150%<br />

140%<br />

130%<br />

120%<br />

2.4%<br />

2.2%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.8%<br />

1.6%<br />

1.4%<br />

1.2%<br />

1.0%<br />

Figure 7 Net interest income for the <strong>sector</strong><br />

SAR mn<br />

16,000<br />

14,000<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

8,000<br />

6,000<br />

4,000<br />

2,000<br />

0<br />

Title:<br />

Source:<br />

16%<br />

14%<br />

12%<br />

Please fill in the values above to have them entered in your report<br />

10%<br />

8%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

2%<br />

0%<br />

-2%<br />

-4%<br />

-6%<br />

coverage ratio<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Non-performing loan to gross loans (RHS)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Net interest income y-o-y (RHS) q-o-q (RHS)<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 4


Q1 2012<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q3 2012<br />

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Q4 2015<br />

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Q3 2016<br />

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Q4 2016<br />

Q1 2012<br />

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Q3 2012<br />

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Q4 2016<br />

Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 8 <strong>Banking</strong> <strong>sector</strong> provisions trend<br />

SAR mn<br />

4,500<br />

4,000<br />

3,500<br />

3,000<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

100.0%<br />

80.0%<br />

60.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-20.0%<br />

-40.0%<br />

-60.0%<br />

Figure 9 <strong>Banking</strong> <strong>sector</strong> non-interest income<br />

SAR mn<br />

8,000<br />

7,000<br />

6,000<br />

5,000<br />

4,000<br />

3,000<br />

2,000<br />

1,000<br />

-<br />

Title:<br />

40%<br />

Source:<br />

30%<br />

Please fill in the values above to have them entered in your report<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Provisions y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Non-interest income (SARmn) y-o-y (RHS) q-o-q (RHS)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 10 <strong>Banking</strong> <strong>sector</strong> operating income trend<br />

SAR mn<br />

25,000<br />

20,000<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

Figure 11 <strong>Banking</strong> <strong>sector</strong> net profit<br />

SAR mn<br />

14,000<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

Title:<br />

40%<br />

Source:<br />

30%<br />

Please fill in the values above to have them entered in your report<br />

20%<br />

15,000<br />

5%<br />

8,000<br />

10%<br />

10,000<br />

0%<br />

6,000<br />

0%<br />

4,000<br />

-10%<br />

5,000<br />

-5%<br />

2,000<br />

-20%<br />

0<br />

-10%<br />

0<br />

-30%<br />

Operating income y-o-y (RHS) q-o-q (RHS)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

net income y-o-y (RHS) q-o-q (RHS)<br />

Figure 12 <strong>Banking</strong> <strong>sector</strong> cost to income ratio (cost excluding<br />

provisions/income)<br />

Figure 13 Loan-to-deposit ratio vs. y-o-y change in loans and<br />

deposits<br />

42%<br />

40%<br />

38%<br />

36%<br />

34%<br />

32%<br />

30%<br />

92.0%<br />

90.0%<br />

88.0%<br />

86.0%<br />

84.0%<br />

82.0%<br />

80.0%<br />

78.0%<br />

76.0%<br />

74.0%<br />

72.0%<br />

Title:<br />

Source:<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

Please fill in the values above to have them entered in your report<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

LDR Loans (RHS) deposits (RHS)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Source: SAMA, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 5


Q1 2012<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q3 2012<br />

Q3 2012<br />

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Q4 2012<br />

Q1 2013<br />

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Q1 2013<br />

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Q3 2013<br />

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Q1 2014<br />

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Q1 2014<br />

Q2 2014<br />

Q2 2014<br />

Q2 2014<br />

Q3 2014<br />

Q3 2014<br />

Q4 2014<br />

Q3 2014<br />

Q1 2015<br />

Q4 2014<br />

Q4 2014<br />

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Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 14 Real Estate and Consumer Loans<br />

deposit % SAR bn<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

45%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

Figure 15 Loans breakup by economic activity<br />

100%<br />

90% 17.7% 18.9% 20.4% 18.0% 17.7%<br />

80% 4.6% 4.3% 3.8% 3.5%<br />

4.2%<br />

6.7% 5.5% 4.6%<br />

5.9% 5.8%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

29.5% 30.4% 30.8% 31.2% 32.3%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

14.0% 13.7% 13.2% 13.1% 13.1%<br />

20%<br />

18.9% 18.9% 17.8% 18.7% 18.3%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

8.5% 8.3% 9.0% 9.4% 9.3%<br />

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />

Real Estate loans<br />

y-o-y change in real estate (RHS)<br />

Source: SAMA, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Consumer loans<br />

y-o-y change in consumer (RHS)<br />

Construction & Building Commerce Industrial/manufact.<br />

Personal Services Transport. and comm.<br />

Others<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 16 Demand deposits % of total deposits Figure 17 Loans breakup by maturity (%)<br />

66.00<br />

65.00<br />

64.00<br />

63.00<br />

62.00<br />

61.00<br />

60.00<br />

59.00<br />

58.00<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

25% 25%<br />

Title:<br />

Source:<br />

28% 29% 30% 32% 30% 31% 28% 29%<br />

24%<br />

26% 29%<br />

31%<br />

Please fill 27% in the values 28% above 31% to have 31% them 32% entered 29% in your report<br />

17% 18%<br />

19%<br />

18%<br />

18% 18%<br />

20% 19% 19%<br />

19% 18% 19% 17%<br />

20%<br />

19%<br />

17%<br />

19%<br />

19%<br />

18% 20%<br />

58%<br />

53%<br />

53%<br />

52%<br />

52%<br />

58% 57% 53% 53% 52% 50% 52% 52% 52% 52%50%<br />

54%<br />

54%<br />

50%<br />

50%<br />

Short Term Medium Term Long Term<br />

Source: SAMA, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Source: SAMA, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 18 Consolidated assets of commercial bank assets<br />

Figure 19 Consolidated liabilities of commercial banks<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

58% 58% 60% 59% 60% 59% 60% 62% 64% 62%<br />

56% 59% 58% 60% 59% 61% 59% 60% 64%<br />

64%<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Title:<br />

Source:<br />

Please fill in the values above to have them entered in your report<br />

19% 18% 18%<br />

19% 19% 18% 18% 17% 19% 18% 18% 19% 21%<br />

18% 18% 19% 17% 20%<br />

22%<br />

20%<br />

42% 42% 45% 45% 46% 45% 48% 48% 44% 42%<br />

42% 43% 46% 45% 46% 46% 49% 44% 43% 43%<br />

0%<br />

Bank reserves<br />

SAMA Bills<br />

Foreign Assets<br />

Claims on Private Sector<br />

Claims on Govt.& Quasi-govt. Other<br />

Source: SAMA, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Demand deposit Time & savings deposit Other deposits<br />

Foreign Liabilities Capital account (total) Inter-bank Liabilities<br />

Other Liabilities<br />

Source: SAMA, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 6


Q1 2012<br />

Al Rajhi<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q3 2012<br />

Samba<br />

Q4 2012<br />

Riyad<br />

Q1 2013<br />

Q2 2013<br />

BSF<br />

Q3 2013<br />

Q4 2013<br />

SABB<br />

Q1 2014<br />

ANB<br />

Q2 2014<br />

Q3 2014<br />

Al Awwal<br />

Q4 2014<br />

Q1 2015<br />

SIB<br />

Q2 2015<br />

Alinma<br />

Q3 2015<br />

Q4 2015<br />

AlJazira<br />

Q1 2016<br />

Q2 2016<br />

Albilad<br />

Q3 2016<br />

NCB<br />

Q4 2016<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q2 2012<br />

Q3 2012<br />

Q3 2012<br />

Q4 2012<br />

Q4 2012<br />

Q1 2013<br />

Q1 2013<br />

Q2 2013<br />

Q2 2013<br />

Q3 2013<br />

Q3 2013<br />

Q4 2013<br />

Q4 2013<br />

Q1 2014<br />

Q1 2014<br />

Q2 2014<br />

Q2 2014<br />

Q3 2014<br />

Q3 2014<br />

Q4 2014<br />

Q4 2014<br />

Q1 2015<br />

Q1 2015<br />

Q2 2015<br />

Q2 2015<br />

Q3 2015<br />

Q3 2015<br />

Q4 2015<br />

Q4 2015<br />

Q1 2016<br />

Q1 2016<br />

Q2 2016<br />

Q2 2016<br />

Q3 2016<br />

Q3 2016<br />

Q4 2016<br />

Q4 2016<br />

Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 20 Breakup of banks’ aggregate assets<br />

Figure 21 Breakup of bank's aggregate liabilities<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

57% 60% 60% 61% 59% 61% 60% 61% 65%<br />

59% 59% 61% 60% 61% 60% 61% 63% 65% 65% 63%<br />

24% 23% 21% 23% 23% 25% 24% 23% 21%<br />

21% 23% 22% 24% 24% 24% 21% 19%<br />

18%18% 18%<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Title:<br />

Source:<br />

36% 37% 35% Please 36% fill in the 28% values 28% above 25% to have 26% them entered 28% in 30% your report<br />

37% 37% 35% 35%<br />

27% 28% 24% 29% 29% 29%<br />

40%<br />

39%<br />

39%<br />

40%<br />

42%<br />

43%<br />

42%<br />

43%<br />

50%<br />

50%<br />

50%<br />

50%<br />

53%<br />

54%<br />

52%<br />

48%<br />

48%<br />

46%<br />

45%<br />

47%<br />

Cash with SAMA<br />

Investments<br />

Property & Equipment<br />

Due from other financial institutions<br />

Net financing<br />

Other assets<br />

Due to banks & other fin. institutions<br />

Other deposits<br />

Shareholder's equity<br />

Demand deposits<br />

Other Liabilities<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 22 Bank wise breakdown of loans by economic activity<br />

Figure 23 Government deposits as a % of total liabilities<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

1%<br />

7%<br />

17%<br />

16%<br />

23%<br />

21% 16% 15% 19%<br />

36% 4% 34%<br />

32%<br />

40% 5%<br />

3% 6%<br />

5%<br />

7%<br />

7%<br />

27%<br />

27% 3%<br />

2%<br />

10% 22%<br />

20%<br />

70%<br />

3%<br />

42% 35%<br />

15%<br />

35%<br />

9%<br />

27%<br />

15% 18% 17% 18% 22% 17% 14%<br />

12%<br />

10% 13%<br />

12%<br />

16%<br />

12%<br />

22%<br />

12%<br />

18% 24%<br />

5%<br />

21% 23% 19%<br />

15%<br />

23% 19%<br />

12%<br />

22% 21%<br />

13% 10% 10%<br />

4%<br />

9%<br />

14% 7% 10%<br />

4%<br />

7%<br />

17.0%<br />

16.5%<br />

16.0%<br />

15.5%<br />

15.0%<br />

14.5%<br />

14.0%<br />

13.5%<br />

13.0%<br />

Construction + Building Commercial Industrial/manufact.<br />

Personal Services Others<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Source: SAMA, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 7


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Company-wise information<br />

Figure 24 Net special Income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 2,487 2,913 2,921 17.5% 0.3% 18.4% 19.8%<br />

Samba 1,189 1,466 1,325 11.5% -9.6% 8.8% 9.0%<br />

Riyad 1,341 1,321 1,363 1.6% 3.2% 9.9% 9.2%<br />

BSF 1,032 1,136 1,017 -1.5% -10.4% 7.6% 6.9%<br />

SABB 1,076 1,222 1,236 14.8% 1.1% 8.0% 8.4%<br />

ANB 901 1,067 1,031 14.4% -3.4% 6.7% 7.0%<br />

Al Awwal 593 664 638 7.6% -4.0% 4.4% 4.3%<br />

SIB 428 461 378 -11.7% -18.0% 3.2% 2.6%<br />

Alinma 571 665 706 23.7% 6.2% 4.2% 4.8%<br />

AlJazira 390 407 405 3.7% -0.6% 2.9% 2.7%<br />

Albilad 310 370 365 17.6% -1.5% 2.3% 2.5%<br />

NCB 3,211 3,470 3,365 4.8% -3.0% 23.7% 22.8%<br />

Market 13,529 15,162 14,749 9.0% -2.7% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 25 Fees and Commission<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 849 693 580 -31.7% -16.3% 19.7% 15.1%<br />

Samba 359 354 400 11.3% 13.1% 8.3% 10.4%<br />

Riyad 438 320 356 -18.9% 11.3% 10.2% 9.2%<br />

BSF 278 313 324 16.6% 3.6% 6.5% 8.4%<br />

SABB 339 303 283 -16.3% -6.4% 7.9% 7.4%<br />

ANB 252 251 219 -13.2% -12.9% 5.9% 5.7%<br />

Al Awwal 209 186 177 -15.4% -4.9% 4.8% 4.6%<br />

SIB 119 96 103 -12.7% 8.2% 2.8% 2.7%<br />

Alinma 182 142 169 -6.9% 19.2% 4.2% 4.4%<br />

AlJazira 251 141 261 4.0% 84.8% 5.8% 6.8%<br />

Albilad 192 199 201 4.7% 0.8% 4.5% 5.2%<br />

NCB 839 754 779 -7.1% 3.4% 19.5% 20.2%<br />

Total 4,307 3,751 3,852 -10.6% 2.7% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 26 Total operating income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 3,594 3,877 3,812 6.1% -1.7% 18.3% 18.7%<br />

Samba 1,843 2,019 1,848 0.3% -8.5% 9.4% 9.1%<br />

Riyad 1,884 1,855 1,843 -2.2% -0.6% 9.6% 9.1%<br />

BSF 1,534 1,616 1,554 1.3% -3.8% 7.8% 7.6%<br />

SABB 1,549 1,687 1,664 7.4% -1.4% 7.9% 8.2%<br />

ANB 1,349 1,510 1,322 -2.0% -12.4% 6.9% 6.5%<br />

Al Awwal 865 911 910 5.1% -0.2% 4.4% 4.5%<br />

SIB 615 633 570 -7.4% -10.0% 3.1% 2.8%<br />

Alinma 780 829 957 22.7% 15.5% 4.0% 4.7%<br />

AlJazira 581 575 590 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 2.9%<br />

Albilad 588 647 683 16.1% 5.6% 3.0% 3.4%<br />

NCB 4,444 4,725 4,600 3.5% -2.6% 22.6% 22.6%<br />

Total: 19,626 20,884 20,354 3.7% -2.5% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 27 All operating costs<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 1,653 1,867 1,765 6.8% -5.5% 17.0% 14.4%<br />

Samba 610 678 758 24.3% 11.9% 6.3% 6.2%<br />

Riyad 1,033 1,125 1,550 50.0% 37.7% 10.6% 12.6%<br />

BSF 584 605 1,180 102.0% 95.0% 6.0% 9.6%<br />

SABB 611 692 1,058 73.3% 52.8% 6.3% 8.6%<br />

ANB 763 789 761 -0.3% -3.5% 7.9% 6.2%<br />

Al Awwal 414 648 1,159 180.1% 78.8% 4.3% 9.4%<br />

SIB 543 414 268 -50.8% -35.3% 5.6% 2.2%<br />

Alinma 389 517 567 45.7% 9.6% 4.0% 4.6%<br />

AlJazira 425 415 438 2.9% 5.6% 4.4% 3.6%<br />

Albilad 371 419 460 24.2% 9.8% 3.8% 3.7%<br />

NCB 2,317 2,763 2,314 -0.1% -16.3% 23.9% 18.8%<br />

Total 9,714 10,933 12,277 26.4% 12.3% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 28 NIM (as a % of interest earning assets)<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 3.6% 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 59.5 0.9<br />

Samba 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.8% 50.7 (14.4)<br />

Riyad 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 0.8 17.5<br />

BSF 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.3% (20.8) (26.4)<br />

SABB 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 61.3 17.1<br />

ANB 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 40.4 (6.1)<br />

Al Awwal 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.6% 17.3 (4.0)<br />

SIB 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% (27.0) (34.8)<br />

Alinma 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 6.0 7.7<br />

AlJazira 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9 4.0<br />

Albilad 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 29.0 1.0<br />

NCB 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 31.2 (1.9)<br />

Total: 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 27.4 (2.3)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 29 Brokerage net income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 1,333 2,070 2,233 67.5% 7.9% 13.9% 23.4%<br />

Samba 174 107 90 -48.5% -16.2% 1.8% 0.9%<br />

Riyad 98 86 82 -15.8% -3.8% 1.0% 0.9%<br />

BSF 1,587 1,172 1,077 -32.1% -8.1% 16.6% 11.3%<br />

SABB 693 616 642 -7.3% 4.3% 7.2% 6.7%<br />

ANB 1,704 1,729 1,720 1.0% -0.5% 17.8% 18.0%<br />

Al Awwal 543 548 554 2.1% 1.2% 5.7% 5.8%<br />

SIB 397 394 341 -14.2% -13.6% 4.1% 3.6%<br />

Alinma 324 418 449 38.5% 7.2% 3.4% 4.7%<br />

AlJazira 441 496 815 84.9% 64.2% 4.6% 8.5%<br />

Albilad 431 241 227 -47.2% -5.6% 4.5% 2.4%<br />

NCB 1,858 1,568 1,314 -29.3% -16.2% 19.4% 13.8%<br />

Total 9,582 9,444 9,544 -0.4% 1.1% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 8


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 30 NIM (as a % of interest earning assets)<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 3.6% 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 59.5 0.9<br />

Samba 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.8% 50.7 (14.4)<br />

Riyad 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 0.8 17.5<br />

BSF 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.3% (20.8) (26.4)<br />

SABB 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 61.3 17.1<br />

ANB 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 40.4 (6.1)<br />

Alawwal 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.6% 17.3 (4.0)<br />

SIB 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% (27.0) (34.8)<br />

Alinma 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 6.0 7.7<br />

AlJazira 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9 4.0<br />

Albilad 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 29.0 1.0<br />

NCB 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 31.2 (1.9)<br />

Total: 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 27.4 (2.3)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 31 Net income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 1,941 2,009 2,047 5.5% 1.9% 19.6% 25.3%<br />

Samba 1,232 1,341 1,090 -11.6% -18.8% 12.4% 13.5%<br />

Riyad 851 729 293 -65.5% -59.8% 8.6% 3.6%<br />

BSF 950 1,010 374 -60.6% -63.0% 9.6% 4.6%<br />

SABB 939 995 606 -35.5% -39.1% 9.5% 7.5%<br />

ANB 586 722 562 -4.1% -22.2% 5.9% 7.0%<br />

Al Awwal 451 263 (249) -155.2% -194.9% 4.6% -3.1%<br />

SIB 72 219 302 321.1% 37.7% 0.7% 3.7%<br />

Alinma 391 312 390 -0.2% 25.2% 3.9% 4.8%<br />

AlJazira 155 161 152 -1.9% -5.1% 1.6% 1.9%<br />

Albilad 217 228 223 2.5% -2.2% 2.2% 2.8%<br />

NCB 2,127 1,962 2,287 7.5% 16.6% 21.5% 28.3%<br />

Total 9,912 9,951 8,077 -18.5% -18.8% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 32 Net loans (SAR bn)<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 210.2 225.9 225.0 7.0% -0.4% 15.3% 16.1%<br />

Samba 130.0 129.8 125.2 -3.7% -3.5% 9.4% 9.0%<br />

Riyad 145.1 152.6 142.9 -1.5% -6.4% 10.5% 10.2%<br />

BSF 123.8 133.9 129.5 4.6% -3.3% 9.0% 9.3%<br />

SABB 125.9 125.9 121.0 -4.0% -3.9% 9.1% 8.7%<br />

ANB 115.7 115.6 115.5 -0.1% -0.1% 8.4% 8.3%<br />

Al Awwal 76.4 77.3 72.7 -4.8% -5.9% 5.5% 5.2%<br />

SIB 60.3 61.3 60.2 0.0% -1.7% 4.4% 4.3%<br />

Alinma 57.0 69.3 70.3 23.3% 1.5% 4.1% 5.0%<br />

AlJazira 42.2 43.2 42.1 -0.2% -2.5% 3.1% 3.0%<br />

Albilad 34.3 36.2 36.2 5.6% -0.2% 2.5% 2.6%<br />

NCB 256.6 259.9 257.5 0.3% -0.9% 18.6% 18.4%<br />

Total 1,377.4 1,430.9 1,398.2 1.5% -2.3% 100% 100%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 33 Interest earning assets (SAR bn)<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 277.0 276.5 285.6 3.1% 3.3% 14.1% 14.9%<br />

Samba 214.4 195.3 186.2 -13.1% -4.6% 10.9% 9.7%<br />

Riyad 199.1 203.2 192.6 -3.2% -5.2% 10.1% 10.1%<br />

BSF 168.5 182.0 178.9 6.2% -1.7% 8.6% 9.4%<br />

SABB 172.9 165.7 158.5 -8.4% -4.4% 8.8% 8.3%<br />

ANB 154.5 148.9 145.1 -6.1% -2.6% 7.9% 7.6%<br />

Al Awwal 98.4 98.9 95.0 -3.4% -3.9% 5.0% 5.0%<br />

SIB 85.7 85.5 84.0 -1.9% -1.7% 4.4% 4.4%<br />

Alinma 80.6 92.7 94.1 16.8% 1.5% 4.1% 4.9%<br />

AlJazira 58.3 60.7 59.9 2.7% -1.4% 3.0% 3.1%<br />

Albilad 45.6 48.3 47.2 3.6% -2.3% 2.3% 2.5%<br />

NCB 407.9 390.2 384.3 -5.8% -1.5% 20.8% 20.1%<br />

Total 1,962.9 1,947.7 1,911.4 -2.6% -1.9% 100% 100%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 34 Provisions<br />

Market share<br />

Banks Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 950 571 508 -46.5% -11.0% 39.1% 12.3%<br />

Samba 33 62 55 65.3% -11.9% 1.4% 1.3%<br />

Riyad 241 385 761 215.2% 97.6% 9.9% 18.4%<br />

BSF 51 54 636 1158.2% 1069.0% 2.1% 15.4%<br />

SABB 113 190 557 392.4% 193.8% 4.7% 13.5%<br />

ANB 216 241 192 -10.9% -20.3% 8.9% 4.6%<br />

Al Awwal 123 340 745 507.3% 119.3% 5.1% 18.0%<br />

SIB 169 195 40 -76.3% -79.5% 7.0% 1.0%<br />

Alinma 38 150 121 222.6% -19.4% 1.5% 2.9%<br />

AlJazira (12) 29 38 NM 33.4% -0.5% 0.9%<br />

Albilad 8 51 44 470.3% -13.1% 0.3% 1.1%<br />

NCB 499 956 439 -12.0% -54.1% 20.6% 10.6%<br />

Total 2,428 3,224 4,137 70.4% 28.3% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 35 Asset yield<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 3.7% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 71.9 1.2<br />

Samba 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 117.0 21.5<br />

Riyad 3.3% 3.3% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 67.8 24.5<br />

BSF 3.0% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 49.6 6.0<br />

SABB 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% 109.3 18.1<br />

ANB 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 118.1 19.4<br />

Al Awwal 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 4.4% 4.6% 132.6 21.9<br />

SIB 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 90.9 2.9<br />

Alinma 3.4% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 82.8 29.1<br />

AlJazira 4.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 6.2% 138.3 219.2<br />

Albilad 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 93.1 14.1<br />

NCB 4.1% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.9% 86.4 54.1<br />

Market 3.4% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.3% 90.9 29.2<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 9


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 36 Gross NPAs<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% (27.4) (14.1)<br />

Samba 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3 1.8<br />

Riyad 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% (12.9) (3.7)<br />

BSF 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 39.3 48.6<br />

SABB 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 1.4<br />

ANB 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% (21.4) (1.9)<br />

Al Awwal 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 115.1 98.4<br />

SIB 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.7% 101.4 93.2<br />

Alinma 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 2.7 8.3<br />

AlJazira 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 29.9 1.0<br />

Albilad 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% (10.2) (10.8)<br />

NCB 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 8.6 (7.8)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 37 NPL coverage ratio<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 177% 163% 195% 201% 231% 5,457 3,014<br />

Samba 181% 183% 165% 170% 174% (724) 384<br />

Riyad 140% 144% 152% 170% 223% 8,284 5,213<br />

BSF 207% 213% 216% 220% 176% (3,100) (4,383)<br />

SABB 164% 167% 166% 158% 175% 1,067 1,609<br />

ANB 225% 234% 288% 259% 270% 4,533 1,106<br />

Al Awwal 167% 167% 168% 156% 130% (3,683) (2,636)<br />

SIB 187% 211% 212% 196% 93% (9,437) (10,297)<br />

Alinma 175% 178% 175% 172% 105% (6,989) (6,722)<br />

AlJazira 173% 173% 168% 151% 156% (1,665) 485<br />

Albilad 168% 176% 187% 185% 198% 3,042 1,368<br />

NCB 151% 146% 145% 147% 151% (8) 419<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 38 Investments (SAR bn)<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 39.9 33.8 34.0 -14.7% 0.8% 8.9% 8.7%<br />

Samba 70.0 53.7 51.4 -26.5% -4.3% 15.6% 13.2%<br />

Riyad 44.8 44.0 45.2 0.9% 2.6% 10.0% 11.6%<br />

BSF 28.4 24.9 24.1 -15.3% -3.5% 6.4% 6.2%<br />

SABB 35.5 29.0 29.3 -17.6% 0.8% 7.9% 7.5%<br />

ANB 33.3 25.7 25.5 -23.3% -0.5% 7.4% 6.6%<br />

Al Awwal 21.3 20.9 21.3 0.0% 1.9% 4.8% 5.5%<br />

SIB 19.0 20.5 21.4 13.0% 4.4% 4.2% 5.5%<br />

Alinma 6.5 6.3 6.2 -4.9% -2.7% 1.4% 1.6%<br />

AlJazira 11.4 16.5 16.4 44.0% -0.3% 2.6% 4.2%<br />

Albilad 2.9 3.0 3.1 4.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.8%<br />

NCB 134.1 111.5 111.5 -16.8% 0.0% 30.0% 28.6%<br />

Total 447.0 389.9 389.4 -12.9% -0.1% 100% 100%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 39 Total assets (SAR bn)<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 315.6 330.5 339.7 7.6% 2.8% 14.5% 15.3%<br />

Samba 235.2 238.3 231.5 -1.6% -2.9% 10.8% 10.5%<br />

Riyad 223.3 223.5 217.6 -2.6% -2.6% 10.3% 9.8%<br />

BSF 183.7 195.7 203.4 10.7% 3.9% 8.5% 9.2%<br />

SABB 187.8 185.9 186.1 -0.9% 0.1% 8.7% 8.4%<br />

ANB 170.4 167.3 170.0 -0.2% 1.6% 7.9% 7.7%<br />

Al Awwal 108.1 106.9 105.1 -2.8% -1.7% 5.0% 4.7%<br />

SIB 93.6 96.3 94.4 0.8% -2.0% 4.3% 4.3%<br />

Alinma 88.7 102.9 104.7 18.0% 1.7% 4.1% 4.7%<br />

AlJazira 63.3 66.0 66.3 4.8% 0.4% 2.9% 3.0%<br />

Albilad 51.2 55.7 53.9 5.2% -3.3% 2.4% 2.4%<br />

NCB 448.6 438.8 441.5 -1.6% 0.6% 20.7% 19.9%<br />

Total 2,170 2,208 2,214 2.1% 0.3% 100% 100%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 40 Total deposits (SAR bn)<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 257.8 272.6 272.6 5.7% 0.0% 15.5% 16.3%<br />

Samba 171.8 174.0 172.1 0.2% -1.1% 10.3% 10.3%<br />

Riyad 167.9 160.8 156.7 -6.7% -2.6% 10.1% 9.4%<br />

BSF 141.9 147.3 158.5 11.7% 7.6% 8.5% 9.5%<br />

SABB 148.9 144.1 140.6 -5.5% -2.4% 8.9% 8.4%<br />

ANB 135.8 128.2 135.9 0.1% 6.0% 8.2% 8.1%<br />

Al Awwal 89.1 84.2 85.4 -4.2% 1.4% 5.4% 5.1%<br />

SIB 70.5 66.4 65.6 -6.9% -1.2% 4.2% 3.9%<br />

Alinma 65.7 77.3 80.6 22.7% 4.3% 3.9% 4.8%<br />

AlJazira 49.8 50.3 51.6 3.7% 2.5% 3.0% 3.1%<br />

Albilad 42.2 41.2 40.2 -4.6% -2.4% 2.5% 2.4%<br />

NCB 323.9 311.2 315.6 -2.5% 1.4% 19.5% 18.8%<br />

Total 1,665.1 1,657.8 1,675.4 0.6% 1.1% 100% 100%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 41 Demand deposit % of total deposits<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 93% 93% 92% 90% 90% (333) 44<br />

Samba 64% 63% 61% 59% 60% (414) 129<br />

Riyad 43% 44% 44% 43% 50% 671 645<br />

BSF 63% 65% 62% 56% 56% (695) (51)<br />

SABB 59% 56% 55% 55% 59% (7) 396<br />

ANB 49% 52% 51% 50% 48% (91) (235)<br />

Al Awwal 60% 58% 58% 58% 60% (35) 170<br />

SIB 30% 31% 32% 32% 36% 689 424<br />

Alinma 54% 55% 53% 51% 54% (41) 254<br />

AlJazira 50% 51% 49% 47% 49% (67) 239<br />

Albilad 68% 64% 63% 65% 67% (53) 169<br />

NCB 71% 71% 70% 70% 71% 17 126<br />

Total: 64% 64% 63% 62% 63% (46) 160<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 10


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 42 Cost of deposits<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 0.12% 0.19% 0.20% 0.24% 0.24% 12 0<br />

Samba 0.39% 0.55% 0.64% 0.73% 1.09% 70 36<br />

Riyad 0.61% 1.00% 1.07% 1.40% 1.47% 86 7<br />

BSF 0.69% 0.90% 1.08% 1.22% 1.52% 83 30<br />

SABB 0.47% 0.67% 0.88% 1.01% 1.01% 54 (0)<br />

ANB 0.69% 0.95% 1.04% 1.31% 1.55% 86 23<br />

Al Awwal 0.92% 1.36% 1.74% 2.00% 2.25% 134 26<br />

SIB 1.28% 1.72% 2.03% 2.38% 2.86% 158 48<br />

Alinma 0.56% 0.72% 1.11% 1.21% 1.45% 89 24<br />

AlJazira 2.43% 1.16% 1.52% 1.71% 4.20% 178 250<br />

Albilad 0.31% 0.58% 0.86% 0.93% 1.09% 78 16<br />

NCB 1.08% 0.99% 1.05% 1.16% 1.82% 73 66<br />

Total 0.70% 0.82% 0.95% 1.10% 1.43% 74 34<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 43 Loan to deposit ratio<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 81.5% 81.7% 82.9% 82.9% 82.5% 100 (32)<br />

Samba 75.7% 74.2% 76.0% 74.6% 72.8% (289) (184)<br />

Riyad 86.4% 92.4% 94.3% 94.9% 91.2% 478 (370)<br />

BSF 87.3% 88.1% 93.4% 90.9% 81.7% (555) (924)<br />

SABB 84.6% 85.8% 87.2% 87.4% 86.0% 142 (135)<br />

ANB 85.2% 87.9% 91.3% 90.2% 85.0% (20) (517)<br />

Al Awwal 85.8% 91.6% 90.1% 91.8% 85.2% (55) (654)<br />

SIB 85.5% 87.2% 90.0% 92.2% 91.8% 632 (45)<br />

Alinma 86.8% 87.6% 89.6% 89.6% 87.2% 45 (237)<br />

AlJazira 84.7% 83.3% 86.6% 85.8% 81.6% (316) (423)<br />

Albilad 81.2% 85.0% 87.7% 87.9% 89.9% 871 204<br />

NCB 79.2% 81.4% 84.1% 83.5% 81.6% 235 (192)<br />

Total: 83.7% 85.5% 87.8% 87.6% 84.7% 106 (292)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 11


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Segmental breakup<br />

Figure 44 Net income breakup<br />

Bank Retail Corporate Treasury<br />

Investment<br />

services &<br />

brokerage<br />

Others<br />

Al Rajhi 52% 17% 26% 5% 0%<br />

Samba 28% 41% 28% 2% 0%<br />

Riyad 72% -25% 67% 10% -24%<br />

BSF 11% -5% 86% 8% 0%<br />

SABB 15% 38% 44% 0% 4%<br />

ANB 52% 37% -4% 4% 12%<br />

Al Awwal -15% 115% 2% -2% 0%<br />

SIB -2% 78% 35% 3% -13%<br />

Alinma 12% 45% 33% 9% 0%<br />

AlJazira 15% 17% 78% 9% -18%<br />

Albilad 10% 38% 23% 7% 22%<br />

NCB 29% 23% 41% 3% 5%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 45 Total assets breakup<br />

Bank Retail Corporate Treasury<br />

Investment<br />

services &<br />

brokerage<br />

Others<br />

Al Rajhi 52% 18% 29% 0.7% 0%<br />

Samba 16% 46% 39% 0.0% 0%<br />

Riyad 18% 48% 33% 0.0% 1.5%<br />

BSF 8% 57% 34% 0.5% 0%<br />

SABB 17% 50% 33% 0.0% 0%<br />

ANB 23% 48% 27% 1.0% 1.3%<br />

Al Awwal 20% 49% 30% 0.5% 0%<br />

SIB 30% 38% 28% 0.4% 3%<br />

Alinma 17% 55% 28% 0.4% 0%<br />

AlJazira 30% 34% 34% 1.2% 0.2%<br />

Albilad 34% 42% 21% 0.4% 2.4%<br />

NCB 24% 32% 34% 0.3% 9.2%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 46 Retail operating income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 3,089 2,821 2,594 -16.0% -8.0% 34.1% 29.6%<br />

Samba 565 965 811 43.6% -15.9% 6.2% 9.2%<br />

Riyad 816 539 495 -39.3% -8.2% 9.0% 5.6%<br />

BSF 378 370 356 -5.8% -3.7% 4.2% 4.1%<br />

SABB 571 612 588 3.0% -4.0% 6.3% 6.7%<br />

ANB 493 497 746 51.4% 50.0% 5.4% 8.5%<br />

Al Awwal 302 371 384 27.1% 3.5% 3.3% 4.4%<br />

SIB 240 275 184 -23.5% -33.3% 2.7% 2.1%<br />

Alinma 263 297 288 9.5% -3.0% 2.9% 3.3%<br />

AlJazira 249 230 238 -4.3% 3.3% 2.7% 2.7%<br />

Albilad 321 330 324 1.1% -1.8% 3.5% 3.7%<br />

NCB 1,768 1,914 1,770 0.1% -7.5% 19.5% 20.2%<br />

Total 9,054 9,222 8,778 -3.0% -4.8% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 47 Retail net operating income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 1906 1330 1073 -43.7% -19.3% 47.3% 38.1%<br />

Samba 168 307 309 83.9% 0.9% 4.2% 11.0%<br />

Riyad 373 226 213 -43.0% -6.1% 9.3% 7.5%<br />

BSF 125 73 43 -66.1% -41.8% 3.1% 1.5%<br />

SABB 184 226 88 -52.3% -61.0% 4.6% 3.1%<br />

ANB 126 24 295 133.2% 1124.3% 3.1% 10.5%<br />

Al Awwal 109 110 37 -65.8% -66.0% 2.7% 1.3%<br />

SIB 104 99 -7 -106.3% -106.6% 2.6% -0.2%<br />

Alinma 68 69 48 -28.5% -29.9% 1.7% 1.7%<br />

AlJazira 32 20 22 -31.0% 13.4% 0.8% 0.8%<br />

Albilad 40 35 23 -42.7% -35.5% 1.0% 0.8%<br />

NCB 792 601 670 -15.3% 11.5% 19.7% 23.8%<br />

Total 4,028 3,120 2,815 -30.1% -9.8% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 48 Total retail segment assets<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 169,972 178,424 177,178 4.2% -0.7% 32.0% 32.2%<br />

Samba 38,886 38,410 35,982 -7.5% -6.3% 7.3% 6.5%<br />

Riyad 39,686 39,102 39,437 -0.6% 0.9% 7.5% 7.2%<br />

BSF 15,978 17,040 16,500 3.3% -3.2% 3.0% 3.0%<br />

SABB 33,000 33,456 31,751 -3.8% -5.1% 6.2% 5.8%<br />

ANB 39,173 40,324 38,646 -1.3% -4.2% 7.4% 7.0%<br />

Al Awwal 17,343 21,195 21,469 23.8% 1.3% 3.3% 3.9%<br />

SIB 26,218 26,789 28,418 8.4% 6.1% 4.9% 5.2%<br />

Alinma 15,466 17,699 17,590 13.7% -0.6% 2.9% 3.2%<br />

AlJazira 19,624 20,201 20,167 2.8% -0.2% 3.7% 3.7%<br />

Albilad 15,818 18,078 18,343 16.0% 1.5% 3.0% 3.3%<br />

NCB 99,916 107,786 104,491 4.6% -3.1% 18.8% 19.0%<br />

Total 531,081 558,504 549,974 3.6% -1.5% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 49 Retail segment yield (operating income/assets)<br />

Change bps<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 7.3% 6.3% 6.6% 6.4% 5.8% (142.0) (51.5)<br />

Samba 5.8% 6.1% 4.3% 10.0% 8.7% 296.0 (125.8)<br />

Riyad 8.1% 6.4% 6.4% 5.5% 5.0% (303.4) (47.9)<br />

BSF 9.3% 9.6% 9.0% 8.6% 8.5% (84.9) (14.9)<br />

SABB 6.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.2% 54.3 (1.1)<br />

ANB 5.0% 5.4% 5.3% 4.9% 7.6% 251.0 269.2<br />

Al Awwal 7.2% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% (0.4) 15.9<br />

SIB 3.8% 3.5% 4.4% 4.0% 2.7% (114.7) (131.8)<br />

Alinma 6.8% 6.8% 6.5% 6.6% 6.5% (25.0) (10.0)<br />

AlJazira 5.1% 5.0% 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% (37.3) 20.1<br />

Albilad 8.7% 7.9% 7.4% 7.3% 7.1% (152.7) (21.1)<br />

NCB 7.1% 7.6% 7.3% 7.1% 6.7% (46.2) (41.1)<br />

Total 6.8% 6.5% 6.4% 6.6% 6.3% (49.3) (24.6)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 12


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 50 Corporate operating income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi (13) 608 552 NM -9.2% -0.2% 8.5%<br />

Samba 812 728 636 -21.7% -12.6% 14.5% 9.8%<br />

Riyad 723 730 774 7.0% 5.9% 12.9% 11.9%<br />

BSF 734 787 749 2.1% -4.8% 13.1% 11.5%<br />

SABB 693 773 769 11.0% -0.5% 12.4% 11.9%<br />

ANB 501 506 451 -10.1% -10.9% 9.0% 6.9%<br />

Al Awwal 263 484 464 76.1% -4.2% 4.7% 7.1%<br />

SIB 172 315 302 75.2% -4.0% 3.1% 4.7%<br />

Alinma 395 369 397 0.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.1%<br />

AlJazira 106 124 129 21.9% 3.8% 1.9% 2.0%<br />

Albilad 196 223 204 4.1% -8.5% 3.5% 3.1%<br />

NCB 1,002 1,274 1,063 6.1% -16.6% 17.9% 16.4%<br />

Total 5,584 6,920 6,489 16.2% -6.2% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 51 Corporate net operating income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi (460) 337 341 0.0% 1.2% -12.9% 7.8%<br />

Samba 684 583 449 -34.4% -23.1% 19.2% 13.5%<br />

Riyad 562 376 (74) 0.0% 0.0% 15.7% 8.7%<br />

BSF 518 611 (18) 0.0% 0.0% 14.5% 14.1%<br />

SABB 482 489 228 -52.7% -53.4% 13.5% 11.3%<br />

ANB 210 282 208 -0.9% -26.1% 5.9% 6.5%<br />

Al Awwal 327 234 (286) 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 5.4%<br />

SIB 101 242 235 132.6% -3.0% 2.8% 5.6%<br />

Alinma 280 253 175 -37.3% -30.6% 7.8% 5.8%<br />

AlJazira (3) 33 26 -934.3% -21.0% -0.1% 0.8%<br />

Albilad 133 111 84 -36.4% -24.2% 3.7% 2.6%<br />

NCB 738 767 532 -27.9% -30.6% 20.7% 17.8%<br />

Total 3,572 4,319 1,901 -46.8% -56.0% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 52 Total corporate segment assets<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 54,520 63,778 61,797 13.3% -3.1% 6.1% 6.9%<br />

Samba 106,307 107,875 105,514 -0.7% -2.2% 12.0% 11.8%<br />

Riyad 105,783 114,016 103,814 -1.9% -8.9% 11.9% 11.6%<br />

BSF 110,466 121,578 116,505 5.5% -4.2% 12.4% 13.0%<br />

SABB 96,850 96,859 93,094 -3.9% -3.9% 10.9% 10.4%<br />

ANB 81,991 80,678 81,689 -0.4% 1.3% 9.2% 9.1%<br />

Al Awwal 59,069 56,069 51,274 -13.2% -8.6% 6.7% 5.7%<br />

SIB 38,262 38,803 36,013 -5.9% -7.2% 4.3% 4.0%<br />

Alinma 45,380 56,329 57,567 26.9% 2.2% 5.1% 6.4%<br />

AlJazira 23,028 23,359 22,682 -1.5% -2.9% 2.6% 2.5%<br />

Albilad 22,793 23,197 22,537 -1.1% -2.8% 2.6% 2.5%<br />

NCB 143,147 150,314 142,830 -0.2% -5.0% 16.1% 16.0%<br />

Total 887,596 932,856 895,315 0.9% -4.0% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 53 Corporate segment yield (operating income/assets)<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi -0.1% 2.8% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 360.6 (27.7)<br />

Samba 3.1% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 2.4% (70.7) (31.4)<br />

Riyad 2.8% 2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% (0.3) 29.7<br />

BSF 2.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% (14.3) (12.6)<br />

SABB 2.8% 3.3% 3.2% 3.1% 3.2% 40.1 12.2<br />

ANB 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% (24.9) (26.5)<br />

Al Awwal 1.8% 3.9% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 164.6 2.8<br />

SIB 1.8% 1.6% 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 142.1 (7.5)<br />

Alinma 3.6% 2.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% (84.1) 10.7<br />

AlJazira 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 41.4 15.4<br />

Albilad 3.8% 3.4% 2.8% 3.8% 3.6% (24.3) (26.5)<br />

NCB 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.4% 2.9% 5.2 (47.3)<br />

Total 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 29.5 (12.3)<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 54 Treasury operating income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 324 322 552 NM NM 10.5% 15.6%<br />

Samba 353 171 342 -3.0% 99.7% 11.4% 9.7%<br />

Riyad 179 294 209 16.7% -29.1% 5.8% 5.9%<br />

BSF 363 402 380 4.7% -5.4% 11.7% 10.7%<br />

SABB 285 302 307 7.8% 1.9% 9.2% 8.7%<br />

ANB 200 387 1 -99.5% -99.8% 6.5% 0.0%<br />

Al Awwal (46) 45 45 -199.9% 0.1% -1.5% 1.3%<br />

SIB 260 141 130 -49.9% -7.3% 8.4% 3.7%<br />

Alinma 87 134 199 128.6% 48.8% 2.8% 5.6%<br />

AlJazira 192 203 196 2.4% -3.3% 6.2% 5.6%<br />

Albilad 38 62 67 78.5% 8.1% 1.2% 1.9%<br />

NCB 857 820 1,107 29.2% 35.0% 27.7% 31.3%<br />

Total 3,092 3,283 3,537 14.4% 7.7% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 55 Treasury net operating income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 360 260 540 49.9% 107.4% 15.4% 18.3%<br />

Samba 321 340 308 -4.0% -9.4% 13.7% 10.4%<br />

Riyad 161 233 196 22.2% -15.5% 6.9% 6.7%<br />

BSF 295 308 321 9.0% 4.1% 12.6% 10.9%<br />

SABB 247 264 264 6.8% 0.1% 10.6% 9.0%<br />

ANB 178 335 (25) -114.1% -107.5% 7.6% -0.9%<br />

Al Awwal 13 (81) (5) NM NM 0.5% -0.2%<br />

SIB 100 (48) 106 NM NM 4.3% 3.6%<br />

Alinma 22 (33) 130 NM NM 0.9% 4.4%<br />

AlJazira 142 131 118 -16.7% -9.7% 6.1% 4.0%<br />

Albilad 25 49 52 109.6% 4.9% 1.1% 1.8%<br />

NCB 476 535 944 98.5% 76.4% 20.3% 32.0%<br />

Total 2,340 2,293 2,950 26.1% 28.6% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 13


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Figure 56 Treasury total assets<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 89,794 86,244 98,504 NM NM 13.2% 13.9%<br />

Samba 89,876 91,922 89,903 0.0% -2.2% 13.2% 12.7%<br />

Riyad 74,488 67,210 71,022 -4.7% 5.7% 10.9% 10.0%<br />

BSF 55,694 55,947 69,346 24.5% 23.9% 8.2% 9.8%<br />

SABB 57,207 54,973 60,568 5.9% 10.2% 8.4% 8.5%<br />

ANB 44,489 42,458 45,777 2.9% 7.8% 6.5% 6.5%<br />

Al Awwal 31,115 29,115 31,773 2.1% 9.1% 4.6% 4.5%<br />

SIB 26,287 28,258 26,788 1.9% -5.2% 3.9% 3.8%<br />

Alinma 27,554 28,490 29,125 5.7% 2.2% 4.0% 4.1%<br />

AlJazira 20,032 21,841 22,521 12.4% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2%<br />

Albilad 10,582 12,939 11,481 8.5% -11.3% 1.6% 1.6%<br />

NCB 154,322 133,707 152,048 -1.5% 13.7% 22.6% 21.4%<br />

Total 681,440 653,104 708,856 4.0% 8.5% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 57 Treasury segment yield (Net operating income/assets)<br />

Change (bps)<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q<br />

Al Rajhi 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 2.3% 75.2 113.7<br />

Samba 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 1.4% (7.0) (23.6)<br />

Riyad 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 1.1% 27.7 (22.3)<br />

BSF 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% (4.5) (9.8)<br />

SABB 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 17.7 (8.4)<br />

ANB 1.6% 2.4% 3.2% 3.3% -0.2% (187.6) (350.6)<br />

Al Awwal 0.2% -0.5% 0.6% -1.1% -0.1% (25.3) 103.2<br />

SIB 1.5% 2.4% 0.7% -0.7% 1.5% 4.6 222.5<br />

Alinma 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% -0.5% 1.8% 147.3 229.2<br />

AlJazira 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 2.1% (39.8) (21.2)<br />

Albilad 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 74.0 8.7<br />

NCB 1.1% 2.4% 2.0% 1.6% 2.6% 154.4 108.0<br />

Total 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4% 1.7% 39.8 32.2<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 58 Brokerage operating income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 193 126 114 -41.0% -9.4% 21.2% 16.2%<br />

Samba 113 127 58 -48.2% -53.9% 12.4% 8.3%<br />

Riyad 93 61 67 -27.8% 10.5% 10.2% 9.5%<br />

BSF 60 57 69 15.1% 20.9% 6.6% 9.8%<br />

SABB 0 0 0 NA NA NA NA<br />

ANB 41 55 47 15.5% -15.0% 4.5% 6.7%<br />

Al Awwal 13 11 17 31.7% 56.0% 1.4% 2.4%<br />

SIB 23 19 26 16.5% 41.2% 2.5% 3.7%<br />

Alinma 35 41 61 74.0% 49.5% 3.8% 8.6%<br />

AlJazira 53 37 51 -3.9% 38.1% 5.9% 7.3%<br />

Albilad 20 20 35 76.2% 74.4% 2.2% 5.0%<br />

NCB 270 114 160 -40.8% 39.7% 29.5% 22.6%<br />

Total 913 667 706 -22.7% 5.7% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 59 Brokerage net income<br />

Market share<br />

Bank Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 y-o-y q-o-q Q4 2015 Q4 2016<br />

Al Rajhi 1,333 2,070 2,233 67.5% 7.9% 13.9% 23.4%<br />

Samba 174 107 90 -48.5% -16.2% 1.8% 0.9%<br />

Riyad 98 86 82 -15.8% -3.8% 1.0% 0.9%<br />

BSF 1,587 1,172 1,077 -32.1% -8.1% 16.6% 11.3%<br />

SABB 693 616 642 -7.3% 4.3% 7.2% 6.7%<br />

ANB 1,704 1,729 1,720 1.0% -0.5% 17.8% 18.0%<br />

Al Awwal 543 548 554 2.1% 1.2% 5.7% 5.8%<br />

SIB 397 394 341 -14.2% -13.6% 4.1% 3.6%<br />

Alinma 324 418 449 38.5% 7.2% 3.4% 4.7%<br />

AlJazira 441 496 815 84.9% 64.2% 4.6% 8.5%<br />

Albilad 431 241 227 -47.2% -5.6% 4.5% 2.4%<br />

NCB 1,858 1,568 1,314 -29.3% -16.2% 19.4% 13.8%<br />

Total 9,582 9,444 9,544 -0.4% 1.1% 100.0% 100.0%<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Figure 60 Efficiency ratio (costs excluding provisions/total<br />

operating income)<br />

Figure 61 Capital adequacy (tier I + tier II)<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

25.00%<br />

20.00%<br />

15.00%<br />

10.00%<br />

5.00%<br />

0.00%<br />

Title:<br />

Source:<br />

Please fill in the values above to have them entered in your report<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016<br />

Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Q4 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2016<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 14


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 15


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR U.S. PERSONS<br />

This research report was prepared by Al Rajhi Capital (Al Rajhi), a company authorized to engage in securities activities in Saudi Arabia. Al<br />

Rajhi is not a registered broker-dealer in the United States and, therefore, is not subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research<br />

reports and the independence of research analysts. This research report is provided for distribution to “major U.S. institutional investors” in<br />

reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the<br />

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Any U.S. recipient of this research report wishing to effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments based on<br />

the information provided in this research report should do so only through Rosenblatt Securities Inc, 40 Wall Street 59th Floor, New York<br />

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transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments through Al Rajhi. Rosenblatt Securities Inc. accepts responsibility for the<br />

contents of this research report, subject to the terms set out below, to the extent that it is delivered to a U.S. person other than a major U.S.<br />

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The analyst whose name appears in this research report is not registered or qualified as a research analyst with the Financial Industry<br />

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Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest<br />

Rosenblatt Securities Inc. or its affiliates does not ‘beneficially own,’ as determined in accordance with Section 13(d) of the Exchange Act,<br />

1% or more of any of the equity securities mentioned in the report. Rosenblatt Securities Inc, its affiliates and/or their respective officers,<br />

directors or employees may have interests, or long or short positions, and may at any time make purchases or sales as a principal or agent<br />

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Compensation and Investment <strong>Banking</strong> Activities<br />

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This research report is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. This research report has no<br />

regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient, even if sent only to a single<br />

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developments referred to in this research report. Neither Al Rajhi nor any of its directors, officers, employees or agents shall have any<br />

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Investing in any non-U.S. securities or related financial instruments (including ADRs) discussed in this research report may present certain<br />

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Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Al<br />

Rajhi with respect to future performance. Income from investments may fluctuate. The price or value of the investments to which this<br />

research report relates, either directly or indirectly, may fall or rise against the interest of investors. Any recommendation or opinion<br />

contained in this research report may become outdated as a consequence of changes in the environment in which the issuer of the<br />

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No part of the content of this research report may be copied, forwarded or duplicated in any form or by any means without the prior consent<br />

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Investors should seek financial, legal or tax advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or<br />

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income derived from, certain investments. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Al Rajhi Capital or its<br />

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investments, including long or short positions in securities, warrants, futures, options, derivatives, or other financial instruments. Al Rajhi<br />

Capital or its affiliates may from time to time perform investment banking or other services for, solicit investment banking or other business<br />

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This research document and any recommendations contained are subject to change without prior notice. Al Rajhi Capital assumes no<br />

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duplicated, transmitted or distributed in any form or by any means. This research document is not directed to, or intended for distribution to<br />

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registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction.<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 16


Saudi Banks Sector<br />

Banks –Finance<br />

6 April 2017<br />

Disclaimer and additional disclosures for Equity Research<br />

Disclaimer<br />

This research document has been prepared by Al Rajhi Capital Company (“Al Rajhi Capital”) of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. It has been prepared<br />

for the general use of Al Rajhi Capital’s clients and may not be redistributed, retransmitted or disclosed, in whole or in part, or in any form or<br />

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data and information provided and Al Rajhi Capital does not represent that the information content of this document is complete, or free<br />

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information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other investment<br />

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Investors should seek financial, legal or tax advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or<br />

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Al Rajhi Capital uses a three-tier rating system based on absolute upside or downside potential for all stocks under its coverage except<br />

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if a company’s profits or operating performance exceed or fall short of our expectations.<br />

Contact us<br />

Mazen Al-Sudairi,<br />

Head of Research<br />

Tel : +966 1 211 9449<br />

Email: alsudairim@alrajhi-capital.com<br />

Al Rajhi Capital<br />

Research Department<br />

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Al Rajhi Capital is licensed by the Saudi Arabian Capital Market Authority, License No. 37/07068.<br />

Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 17

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